The Trump administration is making the case that it ordered expansive, deadly
strikes to stop an imminent threat from Tehran, but is providing no evidence
Iran had such plans.
The White House, amid the largest military buildup in the region in decades, has
yet to explain to the public or to Congress what Iranian threat prompted the
massive attacks that have upended the region and could draw the U.S. into
another Middle East war.
The administration first tested out its justification more than 12 hours after
the U.S. began bombarding Iran with missiles, drones and long-range artillery. A
senior Trump administration official told reporters Saturday that the U.S. had
determined American troops would have suffered far more casualties by waiting
for an impending Iranian strike. In the same briefing, two other officials said
the president ordered the strikes after he determined Iran would not agree to
stop uranium enrichment altogether.
But the administration’s efforts to construct a case for war only after the
shots have started flying has few historical parallels. The Pentagon has held no
briefings nearly 36 hours after the U.S. military strikes, bucking a practice of
doing so after attacks that goes back to the Vietnam War. And unlike past
presidents embarking on major military campaigns, Trump made little effort to
drum up support from Congress, U.S. allies or the American people. The
administration did not try to convince the Senate to authorize the war, as
President George W. Bush did in Iraq, or plead to the United Nations, as George
H.W. Bush did to build a coalition against Saddam Hussein’s attack on Kuwait.
“Whatever imminent threat they’re posing was likely in reaction to our
unprecedented military buildup in the region,” said Sen. Andy Kim (D-N.J.).
“This is an example of the president deciding what he wanted to do, and then
making his administration go and find whatever argument they could make to
justify it.”
The administration briefed some Hill staffers Sunday on the operation. But
officials did not present clear evidence the Iranians were preparing an imminent
attack on U.S. troops, said two people who attended. They, like others in this
report, were granted anonymity to discuss a sensitive topic.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, Joint Chiefs
Chair Gen. Dan Caine and CIA Director John Ratcliffe will give an Iran briefing
to House members on Tuesday, according to four people with direct knowledge of
the meeting. They will also meet with senators, according to two people familiar
with the plans.
Trump, in an eight-minute video on Truth Social after the first wave of attacks,
said Iran had continued to develop long-range missiles that could threaten
Europe and U.S. troops — although American intelligence agencies have assessed
Tehran won’t acquire those weapons for years.
The president, in a second video posted online Sunday, said operations will
continue and U.S. casualties will likely mount. But Trump has not formally
addressed the country or taken questions about his decision to deploy force,
other than brief one-on-one calls with several media outlets. His actions are a
surprising reversal from campaign promises he made to end forever wars and from
his criticism of longstanding American nation-building in the Middle East during
a speech last year in Saudi Arabia.
“The interventionists,” Trump said, “were intervening in complex societies that
they did not even understand themselves.”
U.S. Central Command has said the strikes were “prioritizing locations that
posed an imminent threat,” including Iranian air defense, drone and missile
launch sites and military airfields. But it has not mentioned anything specific
about a time-sensitive threat to U.S. troops.
“The United States did not start this conflict,” Hegseth said Saturday evening
in an X post, “but we will finish it.”
The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment.
The CIA had spent several weeks making inroads with some Iranian officials,
according to a person familiar with the covert effort. The intelligence informed
the timing and location of Saturday’s strikes that killed Iranian Supreme Leader
Ali Khamenei and other senior Iranian officials, the person added.
The CIA did not respond to a request for comment. The Office of the Director of
National Intelligence referred questions to the White House.
The White House, in a statement, said diplomacy had been Trump’s preferred
course of action and that “his representatives worked extensively, and in good
faith, to make a deal that would ensure that Iran’s nuclear and ballistic
missile capabilities posed no threat to our homeland. Unfortunately, the Iranian
regime refused to engage realistically with the United States.”
But a growing number of skeptics of the administration’s justification are
emerging, especially after the first U.S. troops were killed Sunday in an
Iranian retaliatory strike.
Senate Intelligence Vice Chair Mark Warner (D-Va.), who was among committee
leaders briefed by senior officials last week, told CNN he had seen no
intelligence “that Iran was on the verge of launching any kind of preemptive
strike against the United States of America.”
The president, he said, has “started a war of choice.”
Iran, and its proxies Hezbollah and the Houthis, presented ongoing threats, and
U.S. bases in the region faced real risks, Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), a
Senate Armed Services member, said in an interview. But he argued those dangers
were being managed with existing U.S. and allied air and missile defense
systems.
“They simply don’t have a missile that can reach the United States, and probably
won’t for years, ” he said.
The administration’s defenders in Congress also shied away from discussing any
Iranian plans. Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio) on Sunday repeated the word “imminent”
to describe the threat in a CBS interview, but resisted getting more specific.
Experts did not see immediate danger ahead of the strikes. Daryl Kimball, the
executive director of the Arms Control Association, a membership organization
dedicated to nonproliferation, noted last week that it would take Iran months to
enrich sufficient material for a weapon and years to rebuild nuclear facilities
the U.S. military damaged last year.
Richard Haass, the Council on Foreign Relations president and a former State
Department official under George W. Bush described the threat posed by Iran as
manageable.
That, he said, makes this a “preventive, not a preemptive war.”
Jordain Carney and Meredith Lee Hill contributed to this report.
Tag - Arms control
PARIS — There is a risk of nuclear proliferation in the world today, according
to a French official from the Elysée Palace.
“We are living in a period that is fundamentally conducive to nuclear
proliferation,” the official told reporters on Wednesday, adding that pressure
was mounting on the international non-proliferation regime.
The comments come ahead of French President Emmanuel Macron’s speech on France’s
nuclear doctrine, scheduled for March 2. He is expected to provide more details
on how France’s nuclear weapons can contribute to Europe’s security. Countries
such as Germany and Sweden have publicly confirmed talks with France about the
country’s nuclear deterrent.
Since the war in Ukraine started, Russia’s Vladimir Putin has made repeated
nuclear threats, also updating the country’s doctrine to lower the threshold
that would trigger a nuclear strike.
In the past few years, several Cold War-era treaties that limited nuclear
arsenals have also expired. The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, known
as INF, ended in 2019. The New Start agreement, which capped American and
Russian strategic nuclear warheads at 1,550, expired earlier this month and is
not expected to be renewed in the near future.
“We are clearly witnessing an erosion of everything that remains of the arms
control framework,” the Elysée official stressed, adding that nuclear-armed
countries now no longer shy away from military confrontations, pointing to India
and Pakistan.
China is also pushing to increase its nuclear arsenal — the U.S. estimates that
Beijing could have 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030 — and other countries, such as
Iran, are looking to develop their own.
The French official addressed the open desire of some countries in Europe and
Asia to have their own nuclear weapons.
“Another reason [for the risk of proliferation] is the feeling of insecurity in
a number of countries, particularly when political shifts among various actors
mean that those who believed they could rely on guarantees are no longer assured
of them,” they said, in a thinly veiled reference to Washington’s recent
geopolitical actions under President Donald Trump.
While no countries were named, there are talks ongoing in South Korea and Japan
about whether they should develop homegrown nuclear deterrents. Earlier this
month, Polish President Karol Nawrocki said his country should start developing
nuclear defenses, given the threat from Moscow.
However, the Non-Proliferation Treaty, known as NPT, still remains one of the
cornerstones of arms control in the world, the official said: “NPT is not dead.”
The killing of Alex Pretti by federal immigration agents in Minnesota has led to
a rare rebuke of top Trump administration officials by leading 2nd Amendment
advocates.
Multiple national gun-rights organizations, as well as a prominent Minnesota gun
rights group, have expressed horror at top Trump administration officials’
criticism of Pretti for being armed with a handgun that he had a legal permit to
carry.
“The FBI director needs to brush off that thing called the Constitution, because
he clearly hasn’t read it,” National Association for Gun Rights President Dudley
Brown told POLITICO. “I know of no more crucial place to carry a firearm for
self defense than a protest.”
FBI Director Kash Patel said Sunday on Fox News that “You cannot bring a
firearm, loaded, with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want.
It’s that simple. You don’t have a right to break the law.” DHS Secretary Kristi
Noem said Saturday that she didn’t “know of any peaceful protester that shows up
with a gun and ammunition rather than a sign.” White House press secretary
Karoline Leavitt said Monday that “any gun owner knows” that carrying a gun
raises “the assumption of risk and the risk of force being used against you,”
during interactions with law enforcement.
Gun-rights groups rushed to push back on an administration that was breaking
with conservative orthodoxy on the right to bear arms in public places.
Several were particularly outraged by Bill Essayli, the acting U.S. attorney for
the Central District of California, who posted on X: “If you approach law
enforcement with a gun, there is a high likelihood they will be legally
justified in shooting you.”
The National Rifle Association, a longtime ally of President Donald
Trump, posted that Essayli’s remarks were “dangerous and wrong,” and called for
a full investigation rather than “making generalizations and demonizing
law-abiding citizens.”
Aidan Johnston, the director of federal affairs for Gun Owners of America,
called Essayli’s remarks “absolutely unacceptable.”
“Federal prosecutors should know better than to comment on a situation when he
didn’t know all the facts, to make a judgment in a case like this, and then
also, just to make a blanket statement, threatening gun owners in that way,”
Johnston said Monday.
It’s not the first time Trump and the gun lobby have tangled since he returned
to office. In September, gun rights advocates were shocked by reports that the
administration was looking into a gun ban for transgender Americans. During
Trump’s first term, his administration issued a regulation to ban bump stocks,
but the Supreme Court ultimately blocked the rule in 2024.
There are still conflicting accounts surrounding Saturday’s shooting — including
whether Pretti’s hand at any point during the incident was near his gun. Video
verified and analyzed by several media outlets, including the New York Times,
show the item Pretti appeared to be holding was a phone he was using to film the
scene before he attempted to help a woman who had been pushed to the ground by
Border Patrol agents. According to a Washington Post analysis of video footage,
federal agents appear to have secured Pretti’s gun moments before an agent shot
the 37-year-old ICU nurse, who was also a U.S. citizen.
“We can all see what is on video,” said Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus chair Bryan
Strawser, arguing statements from Trump’s officials have not lined up with
footage of the event.
Strawser hoped the incident would help Democrats understand the importance of
gun ownership.
“If it has helped move the needle and helped individual folks realize that they
should be protecting this right, I think that’s a good thing,” he said. “I think
the more political-minded part of my brain would say, ‘are they just using this
for their own political purposes and this isn’t going to change their position
at all?’ I think time will tell as to where that goes.”
California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom — who became a gun owner last year —
responded on X to Noem’s remarks: “The Trump administration does not believe in
the 2nd Amendment. Good to know.”
Rep. Dave Min (D-Calif.) and former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) also used the
moment to highlight the right to carry.
“Joining the gun lobby to condemn Bill Essayli was not on my bingo card but here
we are,” Min said on X. “Lawfully carrying a firearm is not grounds for being
killed.”
Brown argued it was Newsom and Democrats who were being hypocritical, pointing
to Newsom’s longtime support for more gun control.
“The irony is thick,” he said.
Jacob Wendler contributed to this report.