U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday threatened to send federal immigration
agents to airports across the country on Monday if Democrats don’t agree to end
the Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now approaching five weeks.
“If the Radical Left Democrats don’t immediately sign an agreement to let our
Country, in particular, our Airports, be FREE and SAFE again, I will move our
brilliant and patriotic ICE Agents to the Airports where they will do Security
like no one has ever seen before, including the immediate arrest of all Illegal
Immigrants who have come into our Country,” he wrote.
“Illegal Immigrants who have come into our Country, with heavy emphasis on those
from Somalia” would be targeted with an especially firm hand, the president
wrote on Truth Social.
Shortly thereafter, Trump followed up to say he plans to send ICE to airports in
just days.
“I look forward to moving ICE in on Monday, and have already told them to, ‘GET
READY.’ NO MORE WAITING, NO MORE GAMES!” he wrote in a separate Truth Social
post on Saturday.
It’s his latest bid to push Democrats, who have refused to greenlight DHS
funding without changes to how it carries out immigration enforcement, pointing
to deadly incidents as Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents descended en
masse on major American cities. Increased callouts among TSA agents and airport
staffers are expected to roil airports in the coming weeks, with major
interruptions to airport procedure likely to follow.
Both sides have seemingly made progress in recent days toward ending the
shutdown. The White House made several concessions on immigration enforcement
policies in a proposal shared with Senate Democrats on Friday. But the ICE agent
masking ban Democrats are seeking in exchange for their support on a funding
package remains a bridge too far, Republicans argue.
Trump’s latest threat isn’t likely to make the prospects of a truce any more
viable, especially given his focus on Minnesota, where tensions flared after
federal immigration agents killed two protesters during a major surge of
personnel in January.
In a post on X following Trump’s threat, Rep. Lauren Boebert said, “The airport
in Minnesota is about to be a ghost town.”
The president’s threat Saturday lands squarely in the middle of a confirmation
fight over his pick to run DHS, Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), a process that
has quickly become a proxy battle over the future of ICE itself.
At his hearing this week, Mullin tried to strike a more measured tone than in
some of his past remarks, pledging to rein in some enforcement tactics and lower
the agency’s public profile. But he repeatedly defended ICE agents amid mounting
scrutiny, including backing officers involved in high-profile civilian deaths
and arguing Democrats are tying the agency’s hands.
Republicans — including Mullin — have instead pushed to expand ICE’s resources
and authority, framing the standoff as a fight over public safety.
The backdrop is the messy ouster of Kristi Noem, whose tenure was defined by
aggressive deportation policies, costly PR campaigns and a series of
controversies that ultimately led Trump to push her out after a bruising round
of congressional hearings.
The enforcement-heavy approach Trump threatened Saturday sets up a preview for
what Mullin will perhaps be asked to defend — and potentially formalize — as the
next head of DHS.
ICE and the Transportation Security Administration did not immediately respond
to requests for comment from POLITICO.
Tag - Immigration
The Trump administration is doubling down on its endorsement of Hungarian leader
Viktor Orbán in next month’s Hungarian elections, even as Orbán’s deal-blocking
in Brussels has been labeled “unacceptable” by EU peers.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday reiterated his “complete and total
endorsement” of Orbán in the Hungarian elections. And U.S. Vice President JD
Vance is reportedly due to fly to Budapest in April in support of the prime
minister.
The EU’s longest-serving leader, facing an election in less than a month that he
is forecast to lose, has long been a thorn in the side of Brussels. In the
latest stand-off against his European counterparts, Orbán held hostage a €90
billion loan to Ukraine this week over an oil dispute.
“The prime minister has been a strong leader whose shown the entire world what’s
possible when you defend your borders, your culture, your heritage, your
sovereignty and your values,” Trump said in a video address to the Conservative
Political Action Conference (CPAC) taking place in Hungary on Saturday.
Trump praised Hungary’s “strong borders” and said the country will continue to
“work very hard on immigration,” and said Europe has to “work very hard” to
solve “a lot of problems” around immigration.
The American president said that Hungary and the U.S. are “showing the way
toward a revitalized West,” and would also work “hard together on energy.”
Vance is planning an April trip to Budapest just ahead of the Hungarian
elections in a show of support for Orbán, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter
Szijjarto confirmed in a podcast on Friday. Reuters first reported on Vance’s
planned trip to Budapest.
LONDON — U.K. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has been warned her planned
overhaul of settlement rules for migrants will not save the £10 billion she has
claimed.
Instead, the policy to drastically increase the length of time migrants must
wait before gaining permanent residency could end up costing the Treasury
billions, according to a private briefing note shared with the Home Office and
obtained by POLITICO.
The document, drawn up by the IPPR think tank where Mahmood made the case for
her reforms earlier this month, is being used by Labour MPs to pressure for a
rethink of the policy. A leading critic said it totally “dismantles” her
financial argument.
In her speech, Mahmood cited increased welfare costs from the 196,000 migrants
on health and social care visas and their dependents who arrived during a
post-Brexit immigration spike, and who are expected to start getting settled
status soon, as a key reason for the overhaul.
Under her proposals, care workers would have to wait around 15 years before
being eligible for indefinite leave to remain (ILR), up from the current five
years.
“If we do not, we will see a £10 billion pound drain on our public finances and
further strain on public services, like housing and healthcare, already under
immense pressure,” Mahmood said.
But the progressive think tank, which is well-connected in Labour circles,
argues the Home Office’s calculations are flawed for four reasons.
The department’s figure is based on the cost of welfare spending over the
individuals’ lifetimes.
But the IPPR points out that estimates from the government’s own Migration
Advisory Committee (MAC) show dependents making net positive financial
contributions until they stop working, claim the state pension and start having
higher health costs.
Though Mahmood’s proposals will lengthen the time it takes them to gain access
to the welfare system, the change “will not make a significant difference to the
lifetime fiscal impact” of these migrants, according to the report.
“The only way this policy would significantly bring down the £10 billion
lifetime fiscal cost is if it led to large numbers of care workers and
dependents leaving the U.K. before they reached the qualifying period for
settlement,” the IPPR says. As it stands, that’s not the case Mahmood is making.
The primary reason care workers make a negative net lifetime financial
contribution is because they are poorly paid. Gaining settlement would allow
them to earn more by opening the door to work in any occupation. But delaying
this traps them in lower-paid work for longer, the document argues.
“The overall fiscal impact of the proposed earned settlement reforms should
therefore consider the potential costs of lower tax contributions from the care
worker cohort while they wait for settlement, as well as the fiscal benefits of
restricting access to public funds for longer,” the IPPR says.
If indeed the policy is to encourage care workers and their dependents to leave
the U.K. in large numbers then the briefing argues it could in fact add to
costs.
Estimates by the MAC, which advises the Home Office, point out that their adult
dependents are net positive contributors for 20 — and it’s only after around 40
years that they make a cumulative net negative financial impact to the British
state.
“Given the [Treasury’s] fiscal rules work to a 5-year horizon, the emigration of
care workers would make it harder — not easier — for the Treasury to meet its
fiscal targets,” the IPPR argues.
‘DISMANTLES THE RATIONALE’
The briefing also digs into the wider “earned settlement” policy. Estimates of
the effects are hard to ascertain because behavioral impacts are uncertain. But
last year’s immigration white paper was accompanied by an illustrative example
of a drop of between 10-20 per cent in skilled workers, care workers and their
dependents.
The IPPR uses this to calculate the cost to the Treasury based on that reduction
being applied to both care workers and skilled workers. They argue that this
would mean a potential cost to the exchequer of £11 billion to £22 billion over
the lifetimes of migrants granted relevant visas last year.
“Even if the policy is designed in such a way to minimise any direct effects on
skilled workers who make a positive fiscal contribution, it is possible that the
reforms will deter (and indeed may already be deterring) higher-paid workers who
seek certainty for their and their family’s status,” it says.
“Even a small impact on higher-paid skilled workers would counteract the savings
from care workers, given the per person net lifetime fiscal contribution of
skilled workers is £689,000, nearly 20 times larger than the per person net
costs of care workers.”
Leading Labour critic of the policy Tony Vaughan used the findings to argue that
Mahmood’s proposals “will be a fiscal cost to the U.K. for decades.”
“The IPPR report dismantles the rationale for this earned settlement policy,”
the MP told POLITICO.
“It would also undermine community cohesion and integration, weakening the bonds
that hold our society together. This is not a policy that can be trimmed around
the edges. It is fundamentally flawed and should be abandoned.”
POLITICO reported this week that the government is considering watering down the
proposals, potentially introducing transitions to ease the retrospective nature
of the changes that are proving most controversial among Labour MPs.
But, as critics consider parliamentary action to force a vote on the issue,
Vaughan indicated the compromises under consideration would not be enough.
“I say that as a loyal Labour MP who has never voted against the government and
who desperately wants us to succeed, but cannot in good conscience stand by and
see a policy as flawed as this, which is so strongly against our national
interest, reach the statute books,” he said.
The Home Office has yet to respond to a request for comment.
LONDON — The U.K. government is considering substantial compromises on its plan
to make it harder for migrants to permanently settle in Britain, following a
backlash from Labour MPs.
Downing Street declined to guarantee on Wednesday that proposals to
significantly extend the length of time migrants must wait for permanent
residence would proceed as planned.
Angela Rayner, a frontrunner to succeed struggling Prime Minister Keir Starmer,
made a major intervention on the issue Tuesday night, intensifying the existing
pressure to change tack from MPs in Starmer’s center-left party.
Rayner, his former deputy PM, branded the plans “bad policy,” a “breach of
trust” and “un-British” in a speech.
The government issued a statement on Wednesday backing the broad policy of
increasing the standard route to settlement from five to ten years. But
officials reiterated that they were looking at transitional arrangements for
migrants already in the U.K. — suggesting that not all proposals would apply
retroactively.
That would address concern from Rayner and other critics that the government is
“moving the goalposts” — but also be a major headache for the Home Office, which
is facing the consequences of a surge in legal migration after Brexit.
One senior minister, granted anonymity to discuss internal conversations, said
one potential compromise was to introduce more routes for migrants to obtain
indefinite leave to remain (ILR) in a shorter timeframe.
They told POLITICO that the proposals had been “shifting anyway” before Rayner’s
intervention.
“No. 10 and the chief whip are heavily engaged with MPs, in a way that they
weren’t with the welfare reforms,” they added.
Critics have complained that lower-earning migrants will have to wait far longer
than high earners before being granted settlement under the government’s
proposed changes.
Tony Vaughan, the backbench leader of a push to get Starmer to rethink the
plans, told the same event that Rayner spoke at: “We cannot have a system where
the child of a banker gets settlement after three years and the child of a care
worker gets it after 15.”
On Wednesday, officials came under intense pressure to back Home Secretary
Shabana Mahmood’s plans. By the afternoon, the government released a statement
insisting it would “double the route to settlement from five to ten years,” but
added that “we are consulting to apply this change to those [who are] in the
U.K. today but have not received settled status.”
That consultation — which the government says has received 200,000 responses —
gives ministers wriggle-room to water down their proposals.
But if the changes aren’t applied retroactively, it risks undermining the
argument that they are being introduced to target the so-called “Boriswave,” a
nickname for the significant spike in migrants arriving in the U.K. following
COVID lockdowns under former Conservative Prime Minister Boris Johnson. These
people are due to start receiving settled status shortly.
‘OPEN FOR DISCUSSION’
Mahmood’s proposals are being dispersed through various pieces of legislation —
making a fightback against them harder for critics. The ILR restrictions will be
made via a rule change that doesn’t require legislation at all. But some Labour
opponents asked whether that position is sustainable.
“The big question is if politically they can do that even if they can legally,”
said one Rayner ally. “The one thing that appears to unite a growing body of
people is a blunt retrospective five to ten year element, with no protections.”
The opponents hope they can get the PM to water the plans down himself, but
failing that, they want to push for a vote. They’re yet to land on a means, but
tabling an amendment to one element of the legislation is one possibility under
discussion, one adviser told POLITICO.
Like other critics, the same adviser had been buoyed by Rayner’s speech: “That
was very helpful last night. That was a big intervention.”
Vaughan, an immigration lawyer at the firm where Starmer practised, Doughty
Street Chambers, has written a detailed letter to the PM calling for a rethink
that has amassed more than 100 signatures from fellow Labour MPs.
One government official said: “They’re doing an awful lot of engagement with
MPs. It’s been going on for weeks. I hadn’t heard that they were willing to
shift, but I’ve noticed that they’ve been doing loads of engagement. Anyone who
wants to talk to a minister is being put in front of one, and anything on the
proposals that have been floated has been open for discussion.”
Mahmood, however, thinks her plans are popular with the wider public. Her team
points to research by the More in Common think tank that suggests extending the
waiting period for ILR, even if applied to those already living in the U.K., is
backed by Green supporters on the left of British politics.
A LEADERSHIP PITCH?
Rayner’s comments on the migration proposals were part of a broader swipe at the
direction and strategy of Starmer’s government, from which she resigned over a
tax scandal in September. She said her party was “running out of time” to show
change and “cannot just go through the motions in the face of decline.”
Some of Rayner’s supporters — and critics — in Labour suggested privately that
her intervention was geared toward winning the support of grassroots members in
any future leadership contest.
Leadership contenders generally require some support from major unions, which
are formally affiliated to Labour. One of the largest, UNISON, branded the
migration reforms “reckless” in February.
One union official said: “Rayner’s intervention on changes to indefinite leave
to remain is savvy. It’s one of UNISON’s big campaign asks right now — UNISON
represents a lot of migrant social care workers. Rayner coming out publicly
against Mahmood’s proposals won’t go unnoticed.”
The left-wing TSSA union, which has already publicly backed Rayner to replace
Starmer, praised her “sound advice” on Wednesday while Andy Burnham, the Greater
Manchester mayor who had been touted as a possible leadership contender before
he was blocked from running for parliament, said Rayner “needs to be listened
to.”
A second union official said: “She’s playing a canny game, the way she’s got the
unions and Burnham on her side over this. She’s making clear that she is the
default candidate.”
The Trump administration quietly shifted its immigration messaging in the weeks
after its violent operation in Minneapolis that included the fatal shooting of
two Americans, largely dropping mentions of “mass deportations” as public
sentiment shifted against the aggressive tactics.
A POLITICO review of social media posts from major official administration
accounts shows only one mention of the term in the past month, compared to more
than a dozen in the four weeks prior.
The analysis examined the social media accounts of top Trump officials and White
House-run pages the administration has leveraged to push support for its
immigration agenda.
The findings suggest an administration recalibrating its message in the wake of
wavering poll numbers on what had been one of President Donald Trump’s signature
issues. It comes as Republicans have grown worried about the 2026 midterms, with
calls for large-scale deportations — a hallmark of Trump’s campaign — now seen
by some in the party as a vulnerability, particularly with Hispanic voters who
had shifted toward the president just two years ago.
“Deportations have a different look after Minneapolis, and we need to reclaim
immigration as an issue,” said Michigan-based GOP strategist Jason Roe.
“Deporting criminals remains popular, and the fact that the Democrats
reflexively take the opposite side of Trump puts them, once again, on the side
of criminals.”
For months, calls for “mass deportation” were a frequent feature of the Trump
administration’s aggressive social media strategy. On X, the White House’s
prolific Rapid Response account spent days in mid-January linking “mass
deportations” to lower crime, more jobs and lower housing costs.
But that account hasn’t used the phrase “mass deportation” since Feb. 12, when
it shared clips from a press conference during which border czar Tom Homan, who
was dispatched to Minneapolis to deescalate tensions, said mass deportations
were still on but emphasized more targeted enforcement.
“The message focus is a reflection on where the administration’s strongest
arguments have always been, which is an emphasis on border security policies
that draw a contrast with the Biden-Harris administration, and a more
prioritized and precise focus on illegal immigrants with criminal offenses,”
said Kevin Madden, a Republican strategist who has worked for House GOP
leadership and on presidential campaigns.
Last week, Trump picked Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.) to be the next Homeland
Security secretary, moving current DHS chief Kristi Noem to a special envoy
role in the face of growing frustrations with her tenure.
The official White House account, along with social media accounts tied to other
top Trump officials, including deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and press
secretary Karoline Leavitt, have also eschewed the phrase after highlighting
mass deportations in the past — even as they continue to post when immigrants
accused of violent crimes are arrested.
A White House official, granted anonymity to discuss internal strategy, said the
rapid response page is not indicative of any policy changes. The account
amplifies and engages with major news stories, the official said, noting that
there has been less news coverage about immigration since early February. The
official said the same applies to other officials’ X accounts.
The Department of Homeland Security’s public ad campaign has also started to
take a different tact: An ad that began running in February, weeks after the
Minnesota shootings, sought to highlight “victims of illegal immigration,” in
contrast with ads the agency had previously run that featured footage of
arrests.
A DHS spokesperson said the agency “remains committed to arresting and deporting
the worst of the worst illegal aliens to keep the American people safe, just as
President Trump promised.” The spokesperson also shared several DHS press
releases from this week highlighting arrests of immigrants who had committed
crimes.
White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson said the administration’s immigration
enforcement isn’t changing, and that the president’s “highest priority has
always been the deportation of illegal alien criminals who endanger American
communities.” She also said that 70 percent of deportations to date have been
unauthorized immigrants with criminal records, and said the administration has
had the “most secure border in U.S. history for nine straight months.”
This week, White House deputy chief of staff James Blair privately urged House
Republicans at their annual policy retreat in Doral, Florida, to focus their
immigration message on removing violent criminals instead of “mass
deportations.” Blair’s message was first reported by Axios.
A senior White House official said Blair’s comments were taken “out of context.”
The official said the administration can highlight deportations but that the
White House also has to tout the president’s success at the border.
“Like the border numbers are astronomical — zero, right?” the senior official
said. “Zero people coming in. That’s a great message to push.”
A person close to the White House, granted anonymity to speak candidly about the
strategy, said among crucial voting blocs, including Latino voters, moderate
Republicans, Independents, and young voters, “mass deportations” is associated
with sweeping round-ups in community gathering places. If candidates instead
focus on criminal arrests, public safety, and the president’s success in
securing the southern border, the person argued, they can turn the issue against
Democrats.
“Just have to message it a little bit better,” the person said. “If you can go
on a campaign, and you can contrast and say, ‘OK, this person wants open
borders, this person wants amnesty for criminal illegal aliens — it’s madness.’
It’s just not where the majority of the American people are.”
The president, during the State of the Union address, sought to draw that
contrast when he asked members of Congress to stand if they agreed that “the
first duty of the American government is to protect American citizens, not
illegal aliens” — a standout moment Vice President JD Vance amplified again
during a speech in North Carolina on Friday. In the February address, the
president only said “deporting” once to emphasize his focus on deporting
“criminal illegal aliens.” It was part of a section in which Trump introduced
the mother of Lizbeth Medina, a teenager killed by an unauthorized immigrant.
It was a departure from Trump’s 2025 address when the president reiterated his
vow to conduct the “largest deportation operation in U.S. history.” Promises of
“mass deportations” were also a recurring feature of his 2024 campaign — a vow
he and his top officials repeatedly amplified during his first year back in the
White House.
“People know where President Trump stands on immigration, on deportation,” the
senior official said, when asked about the president’s SOTU address. “It was a
hallmark of his campaign. … We don’t need to explain our immigration position.”
The White House’s shift in messaging is infuriating some Trump allies who have
launched a lobbying effort to reverse that reversal. Those concerns underscore
the GOP divide on how aggressive to be on immigration enforcement.
Immigration hardliners want Trump to ramp up deportations but many Republicans
worry that would risk a further loss of public support.
Recent immigration polling, including a January POLITICO poll conducted before
37-year-old Alex Pretti was killed, has shown growing unease with the
president’s deportation campaign. Even among his base, the poll found that more
than 1 in 3 Trump voters said that while they supported the goal of his policy,
they disapproved of its implementation.
Eli Stokols and Alex Gangitano contributed to this report.
BRUSSELS — The EU is braced for a wave of refugees fleeing the war in Iran,
according to four national migration ministers, and is hoping that the rules it
spent a decade working on will be up to the challenge.
More than a million people sought asylum in Europe in 2015, many of them fleeing
civil war in Syria, and Europe’s scramble to respond to it exposed deep
divisions in the bloc. In its wake, the EU spent years in tough negotiations on
reforming its migration policy by allowing migrants to be dispersed more evenly
among countries and accelerating deportations of failed asylum-seekers.
Just weeks before those rules come into force, the escalating violence in the
Middle East has raised the possibility of an early stress test.
The EU “cannot overlook the possibility of a new refugee crisis,” said Nicholas
Ioannides, deputy migration minister of Cyprus, the EU country that’s closest to
the Middle East.
Such a crisis “might test [the] effectiveness of the bloc’s new rules, and
that’s something we need to be prepared for,” he warned. Cyprus currently holds
the rotating EU presidency.
The violence in the Middle East shows no sign of slowing, two weeks after
U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran began, with Tehran launching its own attacks in the
region, including on the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, and Israel saying it
would expand its attacks in Lebanon.
The EU “cannot overlook the possibility of a new refugee crisis,” said Nicholas
Ioannides, deputy migration minister of Cyprus, the EU country that’s closest to
the Middle East. | Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu via Getty Images
In addition to the hundreds of people who have been killed, hundreds of
thousands have been forced out of their homes, with IOM’s Regional Director for
the Middle East Othman Belbeisi saying Thursday that Lebanon is now nearing one
million displaced people.
For the time being, there’s no sign of large numbers of people fleeing to Europe
to escape the violence, according to the U.N. migration agency (IOM) — but in a
region long battered by conflicts, the seeds for a large-scale displacement are
there, with some 19 million displaced people in the Middle East before the war
even began.
In a report written before the war, the EU’s agency for asylum warned that in
Iran, a country of 90 million, “even partial destabilization could generate
refugee movements of an unprecedented magnitude.”
“We will see how things turn out if [the EU’s migration policy] comes under
pressure again,” Dutch Migration Minister Bart van den Brink, who only took up
his role last month, told POLITICO on the sidelines of a meeting of migration
ministers in Brussels last week.
Van den Brink was optimistic, however, saying that “there has been much more
solidarity and relaxation in the relationship between different member states”
since the EU agreed on the migration pact and that “the willingness to cooperate
is also far greater” now that migration is so high on the political agenda.
The Migration and Asylum Pact, the product of years of negotiations between
national governments, is due to be implemented on June 12 and will introduce
stricter procedures to process asylum applications at the border, special
measures for crisis situations, and a mechanism to support countries that
receive the bulk of migrants by providing financial aid or by accepting
relocations.
“We will see how things turn out if [the EU’s migration policy] comes under
pressure again,” Dutch Migration Minister Bart van den Brink told POLITICO last
week. | John Beckmann/DeFodi Images/DeFodi via Getty Images
The new measures show the EU has “come a long way since 2015, when the refugee
crisis erupted,” Cyprus’s Ioannides said.
WIR SCHAFFEN DAS
The desire to come up with new migration rules was spurred by the events of
2015, when an estimated one million people sought asylum in Europe, half of them
fleeing Syria. Europe’s response tested the EU’s unity, as countries criticized
the way Greece, which received the vast majority of the refugees, was handling
the crisis; reinstated border controls to stop refugees from traveling onward
within the bloc; and dragged their feet over an emergency relocation plan.
The European Commission’s response was to step up collaboration with Turkey,
with Ankara agreeing to take back Syrian migrants who reach Greece illegally in
return for financial support and the relocation in Europe of Syrian refugees in
Turkey. The bloc would go on to agree migration deals with countries, including
Tunisia, Egypt and Lebanon.
But it would take the EU years to find an agreement that bridged the positions
of border countries, which demanded more support in handling asylum seekers, and
inland countries, which said too many people were arriving and moving around
Europe without permission or oversight.
As far-right anti-migration parties amassed support in the wake of the crisis,
centrist parties in EU countries increasingly embraced a tougher approach to
migration. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s statement in 2015 that
Europe would be able to manage the influx of refugees — “Wir schaffen das” — is
regularly brought up as evidence of Europe’s missteps.
Spain, which recently announced plans to regularize 500,000 undocumented
migrants, appeared to stand by Merkel’s approach at the time.
“In 2015, we were able to face an important movement of refugees coming from
Syria,” Home Affairs Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska told POLITICO. “So if
it’s necessary, it’s not going to be any kind of problem to receive refugees
coming from the East.”
Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s statement in 2015 that Europe would be
able to manage the influx of refugees is regularly brought up as evidence of
Europe’s missteps. | Thomas Kienzle/AFP via Getty Images
Other ministers, however, treated 2015 as a cautionary tale. “A new refugee
crisis … is not an option for us,” Sweden’s Migration Minister Johan Forssel
said.
Forssel argued that “we are still seeing the consequences of what happened 10
years ago. And that’s not just the situation in Sweden, but I would say
elsewhere in Europe too.”
A DROP IN THE OCEAN
The “status quo … is not an option,” the Commission said after the 2015 influx,
as it sought to shepherd new migration rules. Agreement on the new migration
pact was finally found in 2023 and will be applied from June. Additional rules
that will allow countries to detain and deport failed asylum seekers to a
country with which the person doesn’t have ties, and which have led to an outcry
from NGOs, are still under negotiation.
“The rules took a long [time] to reform because the EU needed to fill up a
vacuum of trust with legislation,” said Alberto Horst Neidhardt, head of the
European Policy Centre’s migration program. “Today, that trust remains very
fragile.”
The new rules, which are meant to promote solidarity, “would be a drop in the
ocean if we were to witness mass displacement,” Neidhardt said, adding that
crisis provisions would not prevent countries from resorting to border closures
if there was mass migration into Europe, putting the EU’s asylum system, and
also its free-travel Schengen zone and even EU integration as a whole, at risk.
He argued that, whether over “genuine concern about the humanitarian situation
in the region” or over fears about its impact on Europe, the EU’s best bet is to
support efforts to stabilize and offer protection in the Middle East.
ROME — Facing possible defeat in an important referendum, Italy’s right-wing
Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on Thursday put herself at front of the campaign,
throwing her full political weight behind a vote that is increasingly shaping
into a test of her authority.
The March 22-23 referendum on judicial reform is a decisive showdown for Meloni.
The Italian right has long looked for an opportunity to remold a legal system
that it sees as skewed to favor the left.
But the national plebiscite has evolved beyond a vote on the rules governing the
careers and oversight of judicial officials and into a broader vote of
confidence in her and her government. The latest polls suggest she may be facing
the first major reversal of her premiership, just as she appeared to be on a
roll at home and in Brussels.
Meloni’s tone was combative on Thursday, as she accused the current judicial
structure of committing numerous miscarriages of justice, and calling some
judgments “surreal.”
Speaking at the Franco Parenti theater in Milan, Meloni doubled down on the
central arguments of her campaign, insisting judges are unaccountable and out of
control. She is also increasingly casting the judiciary as run by left-wing
opposition “factions” and accusing judges of blocking her key goal of clamping
down on illegal migration and crime.
“If the reform doesn’t pass this time, we will probably not have another chance.
We will find ourselves with even more powerful factions, even more negligent
judges, even more surreal sentences, immigrants, rapists, pedophiles, drug
dealers being freed and putting your security at risk,” she said.
“When justice doesn’t work you can’t do anything, no-one can do anything,” she
said. “Except this time,” she added, urging people to get out and vote later
this month.
ENTERING THE RING
In the months leading up to the vote, Meloni largely kept her distance from the
campaign, encouraging allies and ministers to deliver the message while she
limited herself to occasional remarks and sporadic attacks on judges.
But with the final public polls last week suggesting her side will lose by
around five points, the prime minister has now decided to step in more directly.
Opposition figures say the move shows the government fears defeat.
“The prime minister, in contradiction to her commitment not to involve the
government in the referendum, has thrown herself headlong into the campaign,”
said parliamentarian Alfredo D’Attorre, a senior figure in the opposition
center-left Democratic Party,. “It is clear that she is very worried about the
result.”
He added voters might not be impressed if Meloni “spends the next two weeks
being an influencer for the ‘yes’ vote” rather than governing Italy “at a moment
of international tension.”
Indeed, Meloni is having to weather political headwinds at home related to her
alliance with U.S. President Donald Trump, who is highly unpopular in Italy, and
the war in Iran that Italians fear will increase their already steep power
bills.
POLITICAL GAMBLE
The challenge for Meloni is that the referendum campaign revolves around
technical institutional changes that are difficult to explain, and even harder
to mobilize voters around.
“The arguments are very technical and abstract which doesn’t win hearts,” said
Giovanni Orsina, a political historian at Luiss University in Rome. “The
opposition has a solid core of voters who will turn out against Meloni
regardless. How can she mobilize her supporters? By creating an enemy and a
clash between good and evil.”
Meloni has tried to frame the referendum around issues that resonate more
strongly with her electorate, particularly migration and public security.
Orsina said Meloni’s cautious entry into the campaign made political sense.
“As prime minister, you cannot expose yourself too much,” he said. “If you
become the face of the campaign and lose, you pay the price.”
“She will be monitoring private polls and testing the waters. If she enters the
campaign and the polls move in her favor, she will become a stronger presence.
If not, she may step back to avoid taking the full blow.”
The dilemma is clear: without Meloni’s direct involvement, the campaign risks
losing momentum. But the more closely the referendum becomes associated with her
personally, the greater the political damage a loss would inflict on her.
“The referendum has turned out to be an unnecessary risk for Meloni,” said
Orsina. “This was selected as the easiest of the reforms she planned to carry
through, but even so, it much less easy than expected.”
Italians know all too well that former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi had to step
down after a failed referendum on constitutional reform in 2016, but Meloni
insists she’s going nowhere, whatever the result.
“There’s no way I’ll resign under any circumstances. I want to see the end of
this legislature,” she said.
FAVERSHAM, U.K. — Frank Furedi, one of the European populist right’s
intellectual darlings, has a nagging anxiety. What if they gain power, then blow
it?
A Hungarian-born sociologist who spent decades on the political fringes himself,
Furedi now runs MCC Brussels, a think tank backed by Viktor Orbán’s Budapest
government. It aims to challenge what he calls the European Union’s liberal
consensus — and help sharpen the ideas of a rising populist right.
Speaking in his home office in the English market town of Faversham, where he
was recovering from a recent illness, the 78-year-old professional provocateur —
who has risen to prominence in Europe’s right-wing circles — hailed what he sees
as the impending collapse of Europe’s political center. But he also questioned
whether the insurgent movements benefiting from that upheaval have the
discipline needed to govern if they win.
“You can win an election, but if you’re not prepared for its consequences, then
you become your worst enemy,” he said during a two-hour conversation in his
paper-strewn office. “You basically risk being doomed forever.”
Across Europe, the movements Furedi is talking about are already testing the
political mainstream. Nigel Farage’s Reform Party is surging in Britain, Marine
Le Pen’s National Rally has a real shot at the French presidency, and the
Alternative for Germany is consistently at or near the top of polls. In Italy
and Hungary, Giorgia Meloni and Orbán have already shown what populists in power
can look like.
Inside his house in Faversham, the conversation turned from Europe’s populist
surge to the ideas that might shape what comes next. As Furedi led the way up
the stairs, a yapping cockerpoo was hauled away into some back room. At the top
of the staircase was a framed poster of Hannah Arendt, the philosopher who
understood the attraction of radical political movements for the disenfranchised
and alienated — and the potential for those movements to veer into evil.
Nigel Farage’s Reform Party is surging in Britain, Marine Le Pen’s National
Rally has a real shot at the French presidency, and the Alternative for Germany
is consistently at or near the top of polls. | Nicolas Guyonnet/Hans Lucas/AFP
via Getty Images
But Furedi isn’t worried about a return of European totalitarianism — if
anything, he thinks the current regime is where freedom of thought and speech
are being crushed. His real fear is that Europe’s right-wingers arrive in power
unprepared — failing to learn from the experience of the U.S. MAGA movement,
which almost blew its chance after Donald Trump won power in 2016 but couldn’t
execute a coherent vision for government.
“There’s a real demand for something different,” he said. “It’s the collapse of
the old order, which is really what’s exciting.” But while Furedi is eager to
watch it all burn down, he’s unconvinced by the right-wing parties carrying the
torches.
“At the moment, all politics is negative,” he said, noting two exceptions where
the right has managed to govern with stability: Meloni and Orbán.
“It’s a fascinating moment in most parts of Europe, but it’s a moment that isn’t
going to be there forever,” he said. “But whether these movements have got the
maturity and the professionalism to be able to project themselves in a
convincing way still remains to be seen.”
POLITICAL PROGRAM
Like Farage, Meloni and many of their ilk, Furedi is riding a political wave
after a lifetime spent far from power or relevance.
Since the 1960s he has been an agitator at the obscure edge of politics, first
on the left as a founder of the Revolutionary Communist Party and its magazine
Living Marxism, which attacked the British Labour Party for its centrism, later
to become a writer for Spiked, an internet magazine that attacked Labour from
the right.
His real fear is that Europe’s right-wingers arrive in power unprepared —
failing to learn from the experience of the U.S. MAGA movement. | Heather
Diehl/Getty Images
He’s pro-Brexit, but thinks the EU should remain intact (albeit with diminished
power). He despises doctrinaire multiculturalism, is a defender of women’s right
to have an abortion, and thinks Covid and climate change reveal an undesirable
timidity in the face of danger. He’s an implacable supporter of Israel, but
thinks freedom of speech should extend even to abhorrent ideas, including
Holocaust denial. He thinks the far right should support trade unions.
“I don’t see myself as right-wing. So even though other people might call me
far-right, right, fascist or whatever, I identify myself in a very different
kind of way,” he said. That evening he planned to watch Wuthering Heights. The
best thing he’s seen recently? Sinners.
Under Furedi, MCC Brussels has gained notoriety — and some level of mainstream
acceptance — as a far-right counterweight to the hefty centrist institutes that
dot the city’s European Quarter.
The think tank promotes Hungary’s brand of right-wing nationalism and its
rejection of European federalism, immigration policy and LGBTQ+ inclusion. But
he insists the project isn’t about being a mouthpiece for Budapest so much as
creating a place where right-wing ideas can be tested and hardened. Across all
of politics, he laments, “ideas are not taken sufficiently seriously.”
MCC Brussels is fully funded by the Mathias Corvinus Collegium, a private higher
education institution that has received massive financial backing from Orbán’s
government. While Furedi acknowledges that the think tank’s publications
frequently echo the Hungarian government — “we have our sympathies” — he denies
that Orbán calls the shots.
MCC Brussels is fully funded by the Mathias Corvinus Collegium, a private higher
education institution that has received massive financial backing from Orbán’s
government. | János Kummer/Getty Images
Hungary’s upcoming election, which threatens to end the prime minister’s 16-year
rule, is unlikely to affect its funding. The college is floated by assets
permanently gifted by the government, said John O’Brien, MCC Brussels head of
communications.
OTHER MOVEMENTS’ WEAKNESSES
In his eighth decade, Furedi worries he will run out of time to see “something
nice happening.” But he’s convinced the political order he has spent his life
attacking is ready to fold.
To illustrate why, he points to Faversham. He arrived in the area in 1974 to
study at the University of Kent, where he later became a professor. In the last
few years the town has become a flash point for anti-immigration protests after
a former care home was converted to house a few dozen refugee children.
Last summer and fall, left and right protest groups clashed over a campaign to
hang English flags across the town. One Guardian reader reported hearing chants
of “Sieg Heil” in the streets at night.
To Furedi, the anger behind the clashes is the inevitable consequence of a
narrow politics that has not only lost touch with the people it represents, but
actively shut them out. “Our elites adopted what are called post-material values
and basically looked down on people who were interested in their material
circumstances,” he said.
YouGov’s most recent seat-by-seat polling analysis in September put Farage’s
Reform easily ahead in Faversham. But Furedi doesn’t give the party a lot of
credit for winning people’s backing with a positive program for government. “I
think Reform recognizes the fact that they have to be both more professional,”
he said. But, he added, “You cannot somehow magic a professional cadre of
operators.”
YouGov’s most recent seat-by-seat polling analysis in September put Farage’s
Reform easily ahead in Faversham. | Ben Birchall/PA Images via Getty Images
The successes of the right are, in Furedi’s view, primarily based on being
“beneficiaries of other movements’ weaknesses.”
The same was also true for Trump, he said. “It wasn’t like a love affair or
anything of that sort. The U.S. president just happened to act as a conduit for
a lot of those sentiments.”
Is this a recipe for good government? “No,” he said. “One of the big tragedies
in our world is that democracy in a nation requires serious political parties.”
When U.S., Mexican and Canadian soccer officials fanned out across the globe
nearly a decade ago to sell the 2026 World Cup, they traveled in threes — one
representative from each country — to underscore a simple message: North
America’s three largest countries were in lockstep.
“It was so embedded into everything we did that this was a united bid. Our
success was tied to the joint nature of the bid. That was the anchor regarding
the premise of what we were trying to do,” said John Kristick, former executive
director of the 2026 United Bid Committee.
The pitch worked. In 2018, FIFA members awarded the tournament to North America,
marking the first time three countries would co-host a men’s World Cup. Bid
strategists were delighted when The Washington Post editorial page approvingly
called it ”the NAFTA World Cup.”
The North American Free Trade Agreement is no more, a victim of President Donald
Trump’s decision to withdraw during his first term, and the successor
U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is now teetering. At almost exactly the midway
point of the 39-day tournament, trade ties that link the three countries’
economies will expire.
The trilateral relationship is more frayed than it has ever been, tensions
reflected in this year’s World Cup itself. Instead of one continental showcase,
the 2026 World Cup increasingly resembles three distinct tournaments, with
different immigration regimes, security plans and funding models, all a function
of different policy choices in each host country. Soccer governing body FIFA “is
the only glue that’s holding it together,” said one person intimately involved
in the bid who was granted anonymity to speak candidly about the sensitive
political dynamics.
The “United” in the United Bid, once the anchor of the entire project, now
competes with three national agendas, each running on its own track. POLITICO
spoke to eight people involved in developing a World Cup whose path from
conception to execution reflects the crooked arc of North American integration.
“When these events are awarded, they’re concepts. They’re ideas. They feel
good,” said Lee Igel, a professor of global sport at NYU who has advised the
U.S. Conference of Mayors on sports policy. “But between the award and the event
itself, the world changes. Politics change. Leaders change.”
THE TRUMP TOURNAMENT
At the start of the extravagant December event that formally set the World Cup
schedule, Trump stood next to Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and Canadian
Prime Minister Mark Carney to ceremonially draw the first lottery ball. FIFA
officials touted the moment at the Kennedy Center as a milestone: the first time
the three leaders had appeared together in person, united by soccer.
The trio also met for 90 minutes off stage in a meeting — facilitated by FIFA as
part of World Cup planning.
That novelty was notable. While each national government has named a “sherpa” to
serve as its lead, those officials — including Canadian Secretary of State for
Sport Adam van Koeverden and Mexican coordinator Gabriela Cuevas — have met only
a handful of times in formal trilateral settings. At a January security summit
in Colorado Springs, White House FIFA Task Force director Andrew Giuliani did
not mention Canada or Mexico during his remarks. Only when FIFA security officer
GB Jones took the stage was the international nature of the tournament
acknowledged.
“We have been and continue to work very closely with officials from all three
host countries on topics including safety, security, logistics, transportation
and other topics related to hosting a successful FIFA World Cup,” a FIFA
spokesperson wrote via email. “This is one World Cup presented across all three
host countries and 16 host cities, while showcasing the uniqueness of each
individual location and culture.”
The soccer federations behind the United Bid have been largely sidelined, with
FIFA — rather than national governments — serving as the link between them. It
has brought personnel of local host-city organizing committees for quarterly
workshops and other meetings, and situated nearly 1,000 of its own employees
across all three countries, according to a FIFA spokesperson who says they are
“working seamlessly in a united effort.” (The number will swell to more than
4,000 when the tournament is underway.)
But those FIFA staff are forced to navigate wildly varied fiscal conditions
depending on where they land. Mexico, which will have matches in three cities,
has imposed a tax exemption to stimulate investment in the World Cup and related
tourist infrastructure in its three host cities. The Canadian government has
dedicated well over $300 million to tournament costs, with more than two-thirds
going directly to host-city governments.
“The federal government are contributing significantly to both Vancouver and
Toronto in terms of funding,” said Sharon Bollenbach, the executive director of
the FIFA World Cup Toronto Secretariat, which unlike American host committees is
run directly out of city hall.
American cities, however, have been left to secure their own funding, largely
through the pursuit of commercial sponsorships and donations to local organizing
committees. Congress has allocated $625 million for the federal government to
reimburse host cities in security costs via a grant program. But the partial
government shutdown and an attendant decision by Homeland Security Secretary
Kristi Noem to stop approving FEMA grants is exacerbating a logjam for U.S.
states and municipalities — including not only those with World Cup matches but
hosting team training camps — that rely on federal funds to coordinate
counterterrorism and security efforts.
That has left American host cities in very different financial situations just
months before the tournament starts. Houston and Dallas-area governments can
count on receiving a share of state revenue from Texas’ Major Events
Reimbursement Program. The small Boston suburb of Foxborough, Massachusetts,
however, is refusing to approve an entertainment license for matches at Gillette
Stadium because of an unresolved $7.8 million security bill.
Because of the budget squeeze, American cities have cut back on “fan festival”
gatherings that will run extend during the tournament’s full length in Canadian
and Mexican cities. Jersey City has canceled the fan fest planned at Liberty
State Park in favor of smaller community events, and Seattle’s fan fest will
be scaled down into a “distributed model” spread cross four locations.
The tournament has become tightly intertwined with Trump, as FIFA places an
outsized emphasis on courting the man who loves to be seen as the consummate
host. Public messaging from the White House has focused almost exclusively on
the United States’ role, and Trump rarely mentions Canada or Mexico from the
Oval Office or on Truth Social.
Since returning to office, Trump has had eight in-person meetings with FIFA
President Gianni Infantino — besides the lottery draw at the Kennedy Center —
whereas Sheinbaum and Carney have only had one each. While taking questions from
the media during a November session with Infantino in the Oval office, Trump did
not rule out the use of U.S. military force, including potential land actions,
within Mexico to combat drug cartels.
Guadalajara, which is set to host four World Cup matches, this weekend erupted
in violence after Mexican security forces killed the head of a cartel that Trump
last year labeled a “foreign terrorist organization.” A White House spokesperson
wrote in a social-media post that the United States provided “intelligence
support” to the mission.
It is part of a more significant set of conflicts than Trump had with the United
States’ neighbors during his first term. In January, Trump claimed that
Sheinbaum is “not running Mexico,” while Carney rose to office promising
Canadians he would “stand up to President Trump.” Since then, Trump has
regularly proposed annexing Canada as the 51st state, as his government offers
support to an Alberta separatist movement that could split the country through
an independence vote on the province’s October ballot.
The July 1 renewal deadline for the five-year-old USMCA has injected urgency
into relations among the three leaders. Without an extension, the largely
tariff-free trade that underpins North America’s economy would come into
question, and governments and businesses would begin planning for a rupture.
Trump, who recently called the pact “irrelevant,” has signaled he would be
content to let it lapse.
Suspense around the free trade zone’s future will engulf preparations for the
World Cup, potentially granting Trump related in unrelated negotiations.
“In the lead-up to mega-events, geopolitical tensions tend to hover in the
background,” Igel said. “Once the matches begin, the show can overwhelm
everything else, unless something dramatic like a boycott intervenes. But in the
months before? That’s when you see the friction.”
THE ORIGINS OF THE UNITED BID
It was not supposed to be this way. When North American soccer officials first
decided, in 2016, to fuse three national campaigns to host the World Cup into
one, they saw unity as the strategic advantage that would distinguish their bid
from any competitors.
Each country had considered pursuing the World Cup on its own. Canada, looking
to build on its success as host of the 2015 Women’s World Cup, wanted to host
the larger men’s competition. Mexico, the first country to host it twice, wanted
another shot. The United States dusted off an earlier bid for the 2022
tournament, which was awarded to Qatar.
Sunil Gulati, a Columbia University economist serving as the U.S. Soccer
Federation’s president, envisioned an unprecedented compromise: Instead of
competing with one another they would work together — with the United States
using its economic primacy and geographical centrality to ensure it remained the
tournament’s focal point.
The three countries’ economies had been deeply intertwined for nearly a
quarter-century. Their leaders signed NAFTA in 1992, lowering trade barriers and
snaking supply chains across borders that had previous isolated economic
activity. But the trade pact triggered a broad backlash in the United States
that allied labor unions on the left and isolationists on the right. That
political disquiet exploded with the candidacy of Donald Trump, who called NAFTA
“the worst trade deal” and immediately moved to renegotiate it upon taking
office.
Gulati, meanwhile, was pitching Emilio Azcárraga Jean, CEO and chair of Mexican
broadcaster Grupo Televisa, and Canada Soccer President Victor Montagliani, on
his own plan for regional integration. They agreed to sketch out a tournament
that would have 75 percent of the games held in the U.S. with the remainder
split between Canada and Mexico.
“I’d rather have a 90 percent chance of winning 75 percent of the World Cup than
a 75 percent chance of, you know, winning all of it,” Gulati told the U.S.
Soccer board, according to two people who heard him say it.
Montagliani and Mexico Football Federation President Decio de María joined
Gulati to formally announce the so-called United Bid in New York in April 2017.
The three federation presidents knew that the thrust of their pitch had to be
more emotional and inclusive than “we are big, rich and have tons of ready-built
stadiums,” as one of the bid organizers put it. Kristick laced a theme of
“community” through the 1,500-page prospectus known to insiders as a bid book.
“In 2026, we can create a bold new legacy for players, for fans and for football
by hosting a FIFA World Cup that is more inclusive, more universal than ever,”
declared a campaign video that the United Bid showed to the organization’s
voting members. “Not because of who we are as nations, but because of what we
believe in as neighbors. To bid together, countries come together.”
It was a sentiment increasingly out of sync with the times. The same month that
Gulati had stood with his counterparts in New York announcing the joint bid,
Trump was busy demanding that Congress include funding for a wall along the
border with Mexico. He told then-Mexico President Enrique Peña Nieto and
then-Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau that he wanted to renegotiate NAFTA,
using aluminum and steel tariffs as a cudgel.
Carlos Cordeiro, who displaced Gulati as U.S. Soccer president during the bid
process in 2018, became the driving force of the lobbying effort to sell the
idea to 211 national federations that would vote on it. In Cordeiro’s view,
according to two Americans intimately involved in the bid at the time, the bid’s
biggest challenge was assuring voters that the tournament would be more than a
U.S. event dressed up with the flags of its neighbors.
Teams fanned out across each of soccer’s six regional confederations to make
their pitch, each presentation designed to paint a picture of tri-national
cooperation, and returned to a temporary base in London to debrief.
“It was very pragmatic. It was like Carlos, or another U.S. representative,
would say this and talk about this. The Canada representative will then talk
about this. The Mexico representative will talk about this. And it was very much
trying to be even across the three in terms of who was speaking,” one person on
the traveling team said.
When the United Bid finally prevailed in June 2018, defeating a rival bid from
Morocco, Trump celebrated it as an equal triumph for the three countries.
“The U.S., together with Mexico and Canada, just got the World Cup,” he wrote on
Twitter, now known as X. “Congratulations — a great deal of hard work!”
THREE DIFFERENT TOURNAMENTS
What began with a united bid is turning into parallel tournaments: with
different fan bases, security procedures and off-field programs, all a function
of different policy choices in each host country.
Fans from Iran and Haiti are barred from entering the United States under travel
restrictions imposed by Trump, while other World Cup countries are subject to
elevated scrutiny that could block travel plans. (Official team delegations are
exempt.) Canada and Mexico do not impose the same restrictions, creating uneven
access across the tournament: fans traveling from Ivory Coast will likely find
it much easier to reach Toronto for a June 20 match against Germany than one in
Philadelphia five days later against Curaçao.
“FIFA recognizes that immigration policy falls within the jurisdiction of
sovereign governments,” read a statement provided by the FIFA spokesperson.
“Engagement therefore focuses on dialogue and cooperation with host authorities
to support inclusive tournament delivery, while respecting national law.”
A fan who does cross borders will encounte a patchwork of security régimes
depending on which government is in charge. Mexican authorities draw from deep
experience policing soccer matches, with a mix of traditional crowd-control
tactics and advanced technology like four-legged robots. The United States
is emphasizing novel drone defenses and asked other countries for lists of its
most problematic fans.
Ongoing immigration enforcement actions in the U.S. have also prompted concern
among the international soccer community and calls for a boycott of the
tournament. The White House this month issued clarifying talking points to host
cities to buttress the “shared commitment to safety, hospitality, and a
successful tournament experience for all.” The document confirms that U.S.
Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement “may have
a presence” at the tournament to assist with non-immigration-related functions
like aviation security and anti-human trafficking efforts.
No where is the fragmentation more glaring among countries than on human rights.
After previous World Cups were accused of “sportswashing” autocratic regimes in
Qatar and Russia, the United Bid made “human rights and labor standards” a
centerpiece of its proposal to FIFA. The bid stipulated that each host city by
August 2025 must submit concrete plans for how the city would protect individual
rights, including respect for “indigenous peoples, migrant workers and their
families, national, ethnic and religious minorities, people with disabilities,
women, race, LGBTQI+, journalists, and human rights defenders.”
“Human rights were embedded in the bid from the beginning,” said Human Rights
Watch director of global initiatives Minky Worden, who worked closely with Mary
Harvey, a former U.S. goalkeeper and soccer executive who now leads the Centre
for Sport and Human Rights, on the language. Harvey consulted with 70
civil-society groups across the three countries while developing the strategy.
That deadline passed without a single U.S. city submitting their plan on time.
Now just months before the kickoff, host cities have finally started to release
their reports, creating a patchwork of approaches. While Vancouver’s report
makes multiple references to respecting LGBTQ+ populations, Houston’s has no
mention of sexual orientation and identity at all.
The FIFA spokesperson says the organization has embedded inclusion and human
rights commitments directly into agreements signed by host countries, cities and
stadium operators, and that dedicated FIFA Human Rights, Safeguarding and
Anti-Discrimination teams will monitor implementation and hold local organizers
to account for violations.
“All of these standards were supposed to be uniform across these three
countries,” said Worden. “It wasn’t supposed to be the lowest common denominator
with the U.S. being really low.”
BRUSSELS — Right-wing political groups in the European Parliament on Thursday
sealed an agreement on EU rules to deport migrants staying illegally in the EU
after negotiations within the centrist coalition collapsed.
The compromise deal, obtained by POLITICO, gives countries greater flexibility
to establish deportation hubs in non-EU countries; allows detention for up to 24
months; broadens the definition of people considered security risks, along with
provisions to deport and detain them; and allows the belongings of non-EU
nationals to be searched and seized during deportations.
The text also says that filing appeals against the procedure doesn’t
automatically halt the deportation process.
It’s the latest in a series of laws aimed at streamlining and firming up EU
migration rules following the 2024 EU election, which delivered a shift to the
right. That includes a push to boost deportations and to allow countries to
deport migrants to non-EU countries that aren’t the person’s country of origin.
Swedish lawmaker Charlie Weimers, lead negotiator for the right-wing European
Conservatives and Reformists group, said the compromise resulted from
negotiations it held with the center-right European People’s Party and the
far-right Patriots and Europe of Sovereign Nations groups.
“Now we see this cooperation taking form over time in different negotiations, we
can accept that we have a stable majority on the center-right on migration
issues,” Weimers said.
The lead negotiator on the law, Dutch liberal MEP Malik Azmani, had tried to
find a compromise within the centrist coalition that gave Commission President
Ursula von der Leyen a second term (the EPP, the liberals of Renew Europe, and
the center-left Socialists and Democrats).
But on Wednesday evening Azmani halted negotiations and sent a compromise
proposal to all political groups, igniting fury on the left and right. A Greens
official referred to Azmani’s handling of the issue as “chaotic.”
“Half of the text, we didn’t really negotiate it,” said the Patriots’ lead
negotiator, Marieke Ehlers. “In the end, he [Azmani] presented his own
‘compromise’ that is not good enough for those on the right, but I would wager
that it’s also not good enough for S&D.”
On Thursday, EPP negotiator François-Xavier Bellamy circulated a new compromise
text that relies on the support of right-wing and far-right groups.
The text will be put to a vote in the civil liberties committee on Monday and
will likely be ratified by the Parliament’s plenary at the end of March. The
Parliament will then need to negotiate a deal with EU countries.
“Our compromise is very close to the Council, so I am very optimistic,” Weimers
said of the prospect of a quick deal with member countries.