LONDON — Britain will reduce its aid sent to Africa by more than half, as the
government unveils the impact of steep cuts to development assistance for
countries across the world.
On Thursday the Foreign Office revealed the next three years of its overseas
development spending, giving MPs and the public the first look at the impact of
Labour’s decision to gut Britain’s aid budget in order to fund an increase in
defense spending.
Government figures show that the value of Britain’s programs in Africa will fall
by 56 percent from the £1.5 billion in 2024/25 when Labour took office to £677
million in 2028/9. It follows the move to reduce aid spending from 0.5 to 0.3
percent of gross national income.
However, the government did not release the details of the funding for specific
countries, giving Britain’s ambassadors and diplomats time to deliver the news
personally to their counterparts across the world ahead of any potential
backlash from allies.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told MPs that affected countries want Britain
“to be an investor, not just a donor” and “want to attract finance, not be
dependent on aid,” as she pointed to money her department had committed to
development banks and funds which will help Africa raise money.
The decision shows a substantial shift in the government’s focus, moving away
from direct assistance for countries, and funneling much of the remaining money
into international organizations and private finance initiatives.
Chi Onwurah, chair of the All Party Parliamentary Group for Africa, told
POLITICO that she was “dismayed at the level and extent of the cuts to
investment in Africa and the impact it will have particularly on health and
economic development.”
She added: “I hope the government recognizes that security of the British people
is not increased by insecurity in Africa and increased migration from Africa,
quite the opposite.”
Ian Mitchell from the Center for Global Development think tank noted the move
was “a remarkable step back from Africa by the U.K.”
NEW PRIORITIES
Announcing the cuts in the House of Commons, Cooper stressed that the decision
to reduce the aid budget had been “hugely difficult,” pointing to similar moves
by allies such as France and Germany following the U.S. President Donald Trump’s
decision to dramatically shrink America’s aid programs after taking office in
January 2025.
She insisted that it was still “part of our moral purpose” to tackle global
disease and hunger, reiterating Labour’s ambition to work towards “a world free
from extreme poverty on a livable planet.”
Cooper set out three new priorities for Britain’s remaining budget: funding for
unstable countries with conflict and humanitarian disasters, funneling money
into “proven” global partnerships such as vaccine organizations, and a focus on
women and girls, pledging that these will be at the core of 90 percent of
Britain’s bilateral aid programs by 2030.
A box with the Ukrainian flag on it awaits collection in Peterborough, U.K. on
March 10, 2022. | Martin Pope/Getty Images
Only three recipients will see their aid spending fully protected: Ukraine, the
Palestinian territories and Sudan. Lebanon will also see its funding protected
for another year. All bilateral funding for G20 countries will end.
Despite the government’s stated priorities, the scale of the cuts mean that even
the areas it is seeking to protect will not be protected fully.
An impact assessment — which was so stark that ministers claimed they had to
rethink some of the cuts in order to better protect focus areas such as
contraception — published alongside the announcement found that there will
likely be an end to programs in Malawi where 250,000 young people will lose
access to family planning, and 20,000 children risk dropping out of school.
“These steep cuts will impact the most marginalized and left behind
communities,” said Romilly Greenhill, CEO of Bond, the U.K. network for NGOs,
adding: “The U.K. is turning its back on the communities that need support the
most.”
Last-minute negotiations did see some areas protected from more severe cuts,
with the BBC World Service seeing a funding boost, the British Council set to
receive an uplift amid its financial struggles, and the Independent Commission
for Aid Impact (ICAI) — the aid spending watchdog that had been at risk of being
axed — continuing to operate with a 40 percent budget cut.
GREEN THREAT
Though the move will not require legislation to be confirmed — after Prime
Minister Keir Starmer successfully got the move past his MPs last year — MPs
inside his party and out have lamented the impact of the cuts, amid the ongoing
threat to Labour’s left from a resurgent Green Party under new leader Zack
Polanski.
Labour MP Becky Cooper, chair of the APPG on global health and security said
that her party “is, and always has been, a party of internationalism” but
today’s plans would “put Britain and the world at risk.”
Sarah Champion, another Labour MP who chairs the House of Commons international
development committee said that the announcement confirmed that there “will be
no winners from unrelenting U.K. aid cuts, just different degrees of losers,”
creating a “desperately bleak” picture for the world’s most vulnerable. “These
cuts do not aid our defense, they make the whole world more vulnerable,” she
added.
Her Labour colleague Gareth Thomas, a former development minister, added: “In an
already unsafe world, cutting aid risks alienating key allies and will make
improving children’s health and education in Commonwealth countries more
difficult.”
The announcement may give fresh ammunition to the Greens ahead of May’s local
elections, where the party is eyeing up one of its best nights in local
government amid a collapse in support for Labour among Britain’s young,
progressive, and Muslim voters.
Reacting to the news that Britain will cut its aid to developing countries aimed
at combatting climate change, Polanski said: “Appalling and just unbelievably
short-sighted. Our security here in the U.K. relies on action around the world
to tackle the climate crisis.”
Tag - Ammunition
India wants to “dramatically” deepen its partnership with the European Union,
including by striking defense deals, as the Iran war and global crises push New
Delhi closer to Brussels, the country’s foreign minister told POLITICO.
In January, the EU inked what’s been described as the “mother of all” trade
deals with India during a bilateral summit where Ursula von der Leyen and
Antonio Costa, the top two officials in the EU, were welcomed as official state
guests during Republic Day celebrations.
As that deal snakes its way toward approval in the European Parliament, India
sees potential for further upgrading EU-India ties, notably by inking a security
of information deal that could pave the way for much closer cooperation on
defense armament agreements, per Subrahmanyam Jaishankar.
“In my career, I have seen some of our relationships really change, dramatically
change. And I am convinced that we are poised at that moment where Europe is
concerned,” he said during a visit to Brussels where he attended a gathering of
EU foreign ministers.
“We are aware of the strategic nature of what we’re doing … This is not just one
more trade deal. It’s something much much bigger,” he added.
Jaishankar went on to cite potential deals for the EU to procure weapons from
India’s armaments industry, including via the purchase of ammunition and drone
and counter-drone technology, citing a deal with Airbus to construct in India as
an example of deals to come.
Such deals should occur within “an enabling environment where Indian companies
and European companies have the ability to work with each other without any
regulatory or political restriction,” he said, adding that he was “bullish”
about prospects for EU-India relations.
On trade, Jaishankar said he did not expect the Parliament to get in the way of
the EU-India deal. “I think on India, frankly, there is a unity of purpose, and
even in the European Parliament the overwhelming sentiment is very much, very
much in favor.”
Before the EU-India deal was signed, New Delhi had hoped to be exempted from the
EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, an exemption that was not granted.
Jaishankar said that the two sides would “continue our discussions to see how
any issues pertaining to that can be addressed.”
GLOBAL MEDIATOR
But there’s a dark cloud on the EU-India horizon: Russia.
New Delhi has maintained its relations with Moscow, including purchasing its
energy exports despite U.S. and EU sanctions on Russian oil. Russian President
Vladimir Putin met with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in December of last
year, amid other ongoing contacts.
The Indian minister — who cited the term “values-based realism” to describe
India’s foreign policy outlook — said he expected to hear criticism from some EU
counterparts about India-Russia ties during his stay in Brussels, but that this
would be outweighed by desire for “mutual de-risking” in a time of turmoil.
“I would certainly assume that I will hear views … which will be based on the
European Union’s experience of dealing with Russia,” he said. “I think our
position has been frankly very balanced and very objective. If you look at how
many world leaders from 2022 have been to both Moscow and Kyiv, there are not
that many. And my prime minister [Modi] happens to be one of them.”
Jaishankar’s visit coincided with growing concerns about the impact of a
U.S.-Israeli war against Iran — which the Indian foreign minister described as
“deeply concerning.”
“We have really enormous stakes there,” he said, referring to Iran. India had
“very early on expressed deep concern because … when you see instability, when
you [see] conflict in a contiguous area, that has consequences for a lot of
people, and if on top of it your trade and energy are impacted, it matters a
lot.”
While U.S. President Donald Trump is pressing EU countries to help clear the
Strait of Hormuz, India has avoided taking any sides. Jaishankar maintains
regular contact with his Iranian counterpart, Abbas Araghchi, including a phone
call late last week. Another conversation is expected to take place in coming
days.
Asked what sort of message he was relaying to Tehran, Jaishankar cited “the need
to de-escalate,” “concern at the widening of the conflict,” the “energy
implications for us,” as well as concern for the roughly 10,000 Indians residing
in Iran and millions living across the wider region.
“Our hope is that there is a decision made that heads toward an end to the
conflict, certainly toward de-escalation, and then an end to the conflict,” he
said, adding: “We only see a downside to this conflict.”
As for India’s relationship with the United States, Jaishankar — who met with
his counterpart, Marco Rubio, on Feb. 3 — steered clear of critical comments on
Washington. Asked if he welcomed Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on exports
of Russian energy firms Lukoil and Rosneft, he sidestepped, saying: “If you want
the global economy to grow, if you want to see stability, predictability in the
markets, then let the markets be the focus.”
The U.S. and India are negotiating their own trade deal, which has stalled
following a ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court against Trump’s tariff policy.
Asked if the delay had to do with the U.S. campaign against Iran, he added:
“Well, I want to be very clear: what’s happening in the Middle East has nothing
to do with that.”
U.S. President Donald Trump did not commit to a definitive timeline for the war
in Iran, saying in a Friday interview that the fighting would end when he feels
it “in my bones.”
Trump told Fox News Radio that he didn’t think the war “would be long.” But he
suggested that only he will know when it will be over, saying the conflict will
end “when I feel it, feel it in my bones.”
The Trump administration has sent mixed signals on the length of the war, with
senior administration officials suggesting at times that the war could last
anywhere from days to months.
Trump on Friday said he expected the conflict to end soon but added that it
could also continue indefinitely if necessary. The president dismissed reports
that the U.S. was facing a munitions shortage.
“Nobody has the technology or the weapons that we have,” Trump told Fox News’
Brian Kilmeade. “We’re way ahead of schedule. Way ahead.” He later said the U.S.
had “virtually unlimited ammunition. We’re using it, we’re using it. We can go
forever.”
While the president suggested the decision to end the war will ultimately be
based on his personal judgment, he said he was consulting with senior advisers,
including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and
Vice President JD Vance.
“Operation Epic Fury will continue until President Trump, as Commander-in-Chief,
determines that the goals of Operation Epic Fury, including for Iran to no
longer pose a military threat, have been fully realized,” White House
spokesperson Anna Kelly said in a statement when asked for comment.
Earlier on Friday, Hegseth suggested victory was a certainty and attacked the
press for what he viewed as unfriendly media coverage about the war.
Trump also sought to downplay any economic ramifications of the conflict, saying
the U.S. economy was the greatest in the world and would “bounce right back, so
fast.”
The Trump administration has sought to quell concerns over rising oil and gas
prices after U.S.-Israeli military action against Iran began in February. The
war triggered the largest oil supply disruption in history and cost $11
billion in its first week, according to the Pentagon.
The president’s messaging around the run-up in crude prices has caused a
potential public relations nightmare for the oil industry.
“The United States is the largest Oil Producer in the World, by far, so when oil
prices go up, we make a lot of money,” Trump wrote Wednesday on Truth Social.
BRUSSELS — The European Union must move more quickly to include new members and
expand the 27-member club, the bloc’s top diplomat said Monday in a nod to
Ukraine, Montenegro and other candidate countries waiting to join.
Enlargement must “remain merit-based but in the current context we need to step
up the pace,” Kaja Kallas told an annual conference of EU diplomats in Brussels.
“Enlargement is the antidote to Russian imperialism, and a sign that the most
ambitious multilateral project in history, the European Union, is here to stay.”
Kallas’ push for faster integration of EU candidate countries lands amid tense
discussions between the European Commission, which advocates for speedy
enlargement, and national capitals that have backed a more gradual approach.
At a dinner last week attended by the European Commission president’s chief of
staff, Bjoern Seibert, EU ambassadors rejected the possibility of allowing in
new members with limited privileges.
Kallas’ words offer heavyweight backing to the idea that enlargement isn’t
simply a bureaucratic process by which candidates fulfill EU criteria but a
geopolitical choice — as Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has
suggested.
“Enlargement has been described as the union’s most successful foreign policy,
extending the area of stability, peace and prosperity,” Kallas said, citing
Eurobarometer data showing wide support for expanding the 27-member bloc.
But, she added, “it is up to us to keep telling the enlargement story.”
A senior EU diplomat, granted anonymity to speak freely, said countries would do
their best to keep the bloc’s enlargement process on track, despite the
differences between the Council and the Commission.
Work is now underway to make the next three presidencies of the Council of the
EU focus on bringing in new member countries, with an eye to finishing Ukraine’s
negotiations by the end of 2027, even if an accession treaty might take longer
to complete.
The prospect of a public debate about Ukraine’s membership is worrying to some
EU leaders, who fear it could give ammunition to far-right parties ahead of
elections in France, Finland and other countries next year.
“You need to have a political narrative on Ukraine,” the senior EU diplomat
said.
American allies are watching in disbelief as the Pentagon reroutes weapon
shipments to aid the Iran war, angry and scared that arms the U.S. demanded they
buy will never reach them.
European nations that have struggled to rebuild arsenals after sending weapons
to Ukraine fear they won’t be able to ward off a Russian attack. Asian allies,
startled by America’s rate of fire, question whether it could embolden China and
North Korea. And even in the Middle East, countries aren’t clear if they will
get air defenses from the U.S. for future priorities.
Nearly a dozen officials in allied nations in Asia and Europe say they can’t
win. The Trump administration has put them under extreme political pressure to
raise defense budgets and buy American weapons — from air defense interceptors
to guided bombs — only to quickly burn through those munitions in a war of its
own.
“It shouldn’t be a secret to anyone that the munitions that have been and will
be fired are the ones that everybody needs to acquire in large numbers,” said
one northern European official.
Weapons production is a complex process that takes years of planning and runs
through a supply chain riddled with bottlenecks. Trump’s reassurances that the
U.S. has a “virtually unlimited supply” of munitions to fight Iran has done
little to soothe allies’ fears.
“It is very frustrating, the words are not matching the deeds,” said an Eastern
European official, who like others interviewed, was granted anonymity to speak
candidly. “It is pretty clear to everyone that the U.S. will put their own,
Taiwan’s, Israel’s, and hemisphere priorities before Europe.”
The joint U.S.-Israel war, officials warn, could accelerate the distancing
between America and its allies when it comes to defense. The European Union
already has approved rules to favor its own arms-makers over American
contractors — risking tens, if not hundreds of billions in future U.S. sales.
Even major companies, such as the German drone-maker Helsing are touting
“European sovereignty.” Poland, a longtime American ally, has bought tanks and
artillery from South Korea instead of U.S. contractors such as General Dynamics.
It’s been a wake-up call for officials in Asia and Europe who once took Pentagon
arms sales for granted.
“The Europeans still live in a dream world in which the U.S. is a gigantic
Walmart, where you buy the stuff and you get it immediately, and that is simply
not true,” said Camille Grand, a former top NATO official who now heads the
Brussels-based Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe.
Allies in the Pacific — where China has built the world’s largest Navy and now
has missiles that can attack American troops on Guam — are worried that the
Pentagon will run out of ammunition in Iran and won’t have any left to deter a
war in Asia.
“It’s natural that the longer the conflict, the more urgent the supply of
munitions and its inevitable for the U.S. to mobilize its foreign assets to
maintain the operation,” said a Washington-based Asian diplomat, who warned it
would affect “readiness” in the region.
The fears of depleted weapons stockpiles extend to the U.S., where some Pentagon
officials are warning about the state of the military’s munitions stockpiles,
according to a congressional aide and two other people familiar with the
dynamic.
Defense Department officials warned Congress this week that the U.S. military
was expending “an enormous amount” of munitions in the conflict, according to
two of the people familiar with the conversations.
The congressional aide briefed by the Pentagon said the U.S. was using precision
strike missiles and cutting-edge interceptors in “scary high” numbers despite
the Iranian military’s relative weakness. The weapons also include Tomahawk
land-attack missiles, Patriot PAC-3 and ship-launched air defenses fired by the
Navy.
“The idea of doing a larger campaign with Iran was not on anyone’s mathematical
bingo card as we were looking at munitions implications,” said a former defense
official. “I struggle to see a way that layering on the Iran element makes the
math problem get any better.”
The Pentagon referred questions to the White House.
Anna Kelly, a White House spokesperson, said Iran’s retaliatory ballistic
missile attacks had fallen by 90 percent because of U.S. strikes. “President
Trump is in close contact with our partners in Europe and the Middle East, and
the terrorist Iranian regime’s attacks on its neighbors prove how imperative it
was that President Trump eliminate this threat to our country and our allies,”
she said.
But some defense hawks in Congress are worried. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.)
warned Wednesday on the Senate floor that the military is “not prepared” to
deter aggression from both Russia and China at once due to the munitions
shortfall.
McConnell did not reply to a request for comment.
Trump said in a social media post that he met with defense executives on Friday,
including Boeing, Northrop Grumman, RTX, and Lockheed, who agreed to quadruple
their production of “Exquisite Class” weapons. He did not explain which systems
that entailed or how the U.S. planned to rapidly build factories, hire workers
and increase weapons production.
Some allies worried about weapons are hoping that’s more than an empty promise.
“It seems that U.S. defense primes are still challenged to produce at the speed
of demand,” said Giedrimas Jeglinskas, a Lithuanian member of Parliament who is
also a former deputy Defense minister. “We welcome any effort by the
administration to incentivize defense companies to get into war mode of
production.”
Others cautioned that the defense industrial base can’t be turned on with a
switch to start mass producing the sophisticated missiles and air defenses that
the U.S. and its allies desperately need.
“There’s always this idea that there is a world in which we just have to go
World War II,” said Grand, the former NATO official. “But [in] World War II,
producing Sherman tanks was pretty close to producing tractor engines. Producing
a Patriot is not pretty close to producing a Tesla.”
Paul McLeary contributed to this report.
President Donald Trump is on the warpath: In an interview Thursday, he dismissed
concerns about the Iran war, told POLITICO the United States would help choose
Iran’s next leader, predicted the downfall of the Cuban regime and attacked
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the tech giant Anthropic.
The president is facing domestic political backlash on numerous fronts,
including criticism of the Iran war from within the MAGA coalition and
unrelenting attacks from Democrats over the cost of living.
But speaking in a phone call Thursday, Trump was entirely on offense. He brushed
off worries about the impact of the Iran war on gas prices and U.S. ammunition
reserves, and he insisted that the military onslaught was popular with voters.
Many recent public polls show the opposite is true, although a survey released
Thursday by Fox News found voters have mixed opinions on Iran.
“People are loving what’s happening,” Trump insisted. He predicted that Iran’s
government would not be the last to buckle in a Trump-initiated confrontation:
“Cuba’s going to fall, too.”
“We cut off all oil, all money, or we cut off everything coming in from
Venezuela, which was the sole source. And they want to make a deal,” he said.
INTERVENTION IN CUBA
Asked whether the United States was playing a role in the Cuban government’s
demise, Trump responded: “Well, what do you think? For 50 years, that’s icing on
the cake. Venezuela is doing fantastically. [Delcy Rodríguez] is doing a
fantastic job. The relationship with them is great.”
Trump also confirmed the United States is in touch with Cuba’s communist
leadership as instability on the island intensifies following the capture of
Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro.
“They need help. We are talking to Cuba,” Trump said.
And he suggested the island’s worsening situation is partly the result of U.S.
pressure, including cutting off the Venezuelan oil supplies that once sustained
Havana.
“Well, it’s because of my intervention, intervention that is happening,” Trump
said. “Obviously, otherwise they wouldn’t have this problem. We cut off all oil,
all money, … everything coming in from Venezuela, which was the sole source.”
“How long have you been hearing about Cuba — Cuba, Cuba — for 50 years?” Trump
added. “And that’s one of the small ones for me.”
CONFIDENCE ON IRAN
Speaking as U.S. military operations against Iran continue to dominate the
administration’s foreign policy agenda, Trump indicated the United States
intends to play a significant role in shaping Iran’s postwar political
landscape.
Asked how much influence he expects to have over Iran’s future leadership, Trump
replied: “I’m going to have a big impact, or they’re not going to have any
settlement, because we’re not going to have to go do this again.”
“We’ll work with the people and the regime to make sure that somebody gets there
that can nicely build Iran but without nuclear weapons,” Trump said.
The president also weighed in on the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s son, who is
in contention to be the new supreme leader saying, “Now they’re looking at the
son. The reason the father wouldn’t give it to the son is they say he’s
incompetent.”
Trump emphasized the U.S. is going to “work with them to help them make the
proper choice” because he wants to avoid having a head of Iran “that’s going to
lead to having to do this again in another 10 years.”
Trump projected confidence about the campaign’s trajectory and dismissed
concerns that rising gas prices tied to the conflict could hurt Republicans
politically ahead of the November elections that could break the party’s power
trifecta in Washington.
“People are loving what’s happening,” Trump said. “We’re taking out a threat to
the United States of America, major threat, … and doing it like nobody’s ever
seen before.”
Trump described the U.S. campaign against Iran as highly controlled while
boasting about overwhelming military capacity despite Pentagon officials and
Hill lawmakers’ concern over dwindling weapons supplies.
“We’re being surgical,” he said. “We have unlimited supply of weapons,
unlimited. … We have thousands, thousands, of them.”
The president also painted a picture of Iran’s military capability being
effectively dismantled.
“They have no navy. They have no air force. They have no detection of air. It’s
all wiped out. Their radar is all wiped out. Their military is decimated,” Trump
said. “All they have is guts.”
IMPATIENCE WITH ZELENSKYY
Even as Iran remains a top focus, Trump said negotiations over the war in
Ukraine continue. And he again expressed frustration with Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
“Zelenksyy he has to get on the ball, and he has to get a deal done,” Trump
said.
On the other hand, Trump said he believes Russian President Vladimir Putin is
prepared to negotiate an end to the war.
“I think Putin is ready to make a deal,” he said. Trump has said that before.
When pressed on what Zelenskyy’s obstacle is to a peace deal, Trump declined to
elaborate but maintained that Ukraine’s leader is not showing enough willingness
to negotiate.
“It’s unthinkable that he’s the obstacle,” Trump said. “You don’t have the
cards. Now he’s got even less cards.”
‘I FIRED ANTHROPIC’
Trump also stepped into the increasingly contentious dispute between the
Pentagon and Anthropic over the AI startup’s refusal to give the military
unfettered access to its technology.
“Well, I fired Anthropic. Anthropic is in trouble because I fired [them] like
dogs, because they shouldn’t have done that,” he said.
And underscored his support for his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
“You see how good Pete’s doing, and you see how good the military. And so we
have an amazing military. The whole world is seeing that now I built the
military in my first term, and I’m using it in my second term,” he said.
BERLIN — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has worked hard to curry favor with
U.S. President Donald Trump.
But their Oval Office meeting on Tuesday begged two important questions: How far
is Merz willing to go to stay on Trump’s good side — and at what political cost?
The conservative German chancellor sat deferentially and mostly silent as Trump
threatened to “embargo” Spain for not spending more on defense and for
condemning U.S. strikes on Iran. Nor did Merz respond when Trump attacked
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on an array of issues — “this is not Winston
Churchill that we’re dealing with” — and threatened to escalate his trade war
with Europe.
Merz’s silence was part of an obvious strategy: Never contradict Trump in front
of the cameras, and try in private talks to cajole the president into seeing
things Germany’s way.
Yet the image of the EU’s most powerful national leader sitting obsequiously
beside Trump as he berated fellow European leaders will likely have jarred many
Germans and left a sour taste in capitals across Europe, underscoring the
political dangers of placating the U.S. president.
It also shows the relative powerlessness of a German leader whose chief foreign
policy goals —from deterring Russian aggression to bolstering Germany’s
export-driven economy— depend largely on a frequently humiliating balancing act
to manage relations with a thin-skinned, unpredictable Trump.
Merz appears to have succeeded at getting Trump to like him. The president
called the chancellor a “friend” on Tuesday and praised him for doing “really a
great job.” Trump also sounded thankful for the chancellor’s rhetorical support
for U.S. strikes on Iran, saying Merz has been “helping us out” and “very nice”
on the matter.
This was, in fact, Merz’s strategy going into the talks with Trump. Before his
departure he said he supported Trump’s goals regarding Tehran even as he
acknowledged a fear that the strikes could lead to an Iraq-style quagmire. “Now
is not the time to lecture our partners and allies,” he concluded, stowing his
concerns.
Once in the Oval Office, as Trump bragged of the damage U.S. airstrikes had
inflicted on Iran — “just about everything has been knocked out” — Merz gave an
approving chuckle and said Germany was on the “same page” on the need to
eliminate the regime in Tehran.
By contrast, Spain’s socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has drawn Trump’s
ire for criticizing the Iran strikes as illegal and barring the U.S. from using
Spanish bases to attack the country. He has also refused to abide by NATO’s new
5-percent-of-GDP spending target.
For those reasons, Trump said: “We’re going to cut off all trade with Spain. We
don’t want anything to do with Spain.”
Merz said nothing in response, agreeing only that Spain needs to spend more on
defense. “We are trying to convince them that this is a part of our common
security, that we all have to comply with these numbers,” he said.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in Washington after his Oval Office meeting. He
later said “there is no way that Spain will be treated particularly badly” on
trade as a member of the EU. | Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
French President Emmanuel Macron, in stark contrast to Merz, later publicly
aligned with Sánchez in questioning the legality of Trump’s war.
NO CHURCHILL
Merz also said nothing when Trump attacked the center-left Starmer over an
ongoing dispute between Washington and London about the status of Diego Garcia —
an island in the Chagos Archipelago in the Indian Ocean that is home to a joint
U.S.-U.K. military base.
“The U.K. has been very, very uncooperative with that stupid island that they
have, that they gave away,” Trump said. “They ruin relationships. It’s a shame.”
Merz needs close ties with both the British prime minister and Sánchez. Starmer
is an important ally in the “E3” format that Germany, France and the U.K. use to
coordinate European strategy toward Ukraine. Sánchez, meanwhile, represents the
largest faction within the center-left Socialists and Democrats group in the
European Parliament, with whom Merz’s conservatives must reach compromises.
Following his meeting with Trump on Tuesday, Merz said: “There is no way that
Spain will be treated particularly badly” on trade as a member of the EU. He
also said he had defended Starmer to Trump, telling the president the British
leader “is making a really very, very large, very, very valuable contribution in
the E3 format to ending the war in Ukraine, and that I consider this criticism
of him to be unjustified.”
The key, Merz said, had been not to correct Trump in front of the cameras.
“I did this behind closed doors because, as I said, I did not want to play out
the conflict on the open stage there.”
Perhaps the biggest question for Merz, however, is whether the appeasement is
working.
Merz’s goal, after all, had been to convince Trump to deescalate his tariff war
on Europe and to get the U.S. leader to pressure Russian President Vladimir
Putin more aggressively with sanctions to end the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine.
Merz said after his meeting with Trump that he had shown the U.S. president a
map of the front lines in Ukraine, and that he had come away with the impression
“that the president is now more understanding what is at stake for this country”
when it comes to the need to avoid territorial concessions. He also said he had
told Trump that the EU-U.S. trade agreement agreed last summer is not up for
debate.
“Here in Washington, they know that we on the European side have reached a limit
in terms of what we are willing to accept,” Merz said. “I have gained the
impression that the president and his staff see it that way too.”
Preserving that opportunity to persuade Trump on such issues is why Merz avoids
open confrontation with the president. Of course, behind closed doors, Trump may
also have told Merz what he wanted to hear.
In front of the cameras, however, Tuesday’s meeting provided no evidence that
Merz was able win Trump around on the key issues. On the contrary, Trump
threatened to intensify his trade wars and complained of having given away
“massive amounts of ammunition” to Ukraine.
As a foreign policy tactic, Merz may have discovered, flattering Trump has its
dangers and limits.
Belgian authorities have arrested four people over suspected links to war crimes
and crimes against humanity tied to Cameroon’s ongoing separatist conflict,
federal prosecutors said Tuesday.
The Federal Prosecutor’s Office said in a press statement that since last summer
it has been probing “possible crimes against humanity and war crimes allegedly
committed in Cameroon since 2020” following a tip from Norwegian judicial
authorities. The investigation targets individuals in Belgium who are suspected
of belonging to the leadership of the Ambazonia Defence Forces (ADF), an armed
separatist movement.
Four suspects were picked up during coordinated searches in the town of
Londerzeel, 20 kilometers north of Brussels, and Antwerp on Sunday, three of
whom were placed in pre-trial detention. Prosecutors said “money is reportedly
being raised for the armed struggle and for the purchase of arms and
ammunition,” adding that “instructions for attacks and liquidations are said to
be given from Belgium.”
Cameroon’s conflict pits French-speaking forces loyal to the government in the
capital Yaoundé against English-speaking separatists seeking to create the
breakaway state of Ambazonia in northwest Cameroon. The violence, which erupted
in 2017 after protests over the perceived marginalization of the country’s
anglophone regions, has killed at least 6,000 people and displaced hundreds of
thousands.
Prosecutors said they continue to work with authorities in Norway and the United
States, where parallel probes into suspected ADF members are underway. U.S.
prosecutors indicted two alleged ADF leaders in Minnesota last September,
accusing them of financing and directing attacks in Cameroon. In 2024, Norwegian
authorities arrested prominent Ambazonian separatist figure Ayaba Cho Lucas in
Norway on suspicion of inciting crimes against humanity.
LONDON — Keir Starmer has offered fresh support for Kyiv on the fourth
anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Britain announced Tuesday it will provide £20 million for emergency repairs to
energy supplies damaged by Russian attacks over the winter, as well as help to
resist so-called “Russification” tactics, and helicopter training for Ukrainian
pilots in the U.K.
The announcement comes ahead of a a virtual “coalition of the willing” meeting
of Ukraine’s allies Tuesday — the first since Britain and France signed a
declaration to send troops to Ukraine if a peace deal is agreed.
Starmer will co-chair the meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron to
discuss plans in the event of a ceasefire.
“This war remains the most critical issue of our age. It asks the question of
whether Ukrainian and European freedom will endure. Our answer, together, is
unequivocal. Russia is not winning this war. They will not win this war,”
Starmer said in a statement announcing the extra support.
The British government said preparations for the peacekeeping effort — known as
Multinational Force Ukraine — are being overseen from its headquarters in Paris,
now staffed by 70 personnel.
The latest show of support takes place amid stalled peace negotiations, as
recent talks in Geneva yielded little progress on the key questions of halting
hostilities, prisoner of war exchanges or a pause in strikes on energy
infrastructure.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the BBC in an interview to mark the
anniversary he believes Russian President Vladimir Putin has already started a
third world war. “The question is how much territory he will be able to seize
and how to stop him,” he said.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper will visit Kyiv Tuesday. She is expected to
condemn the attempted “Russification” of Ukrainians in occupied territories via
the imposition of Russian passports and banning the Ukrainian language.
Russia is facing economic hardship and issues with army recruitment, according
to Western officials, who said the prospect of a summer offensive will depend on
whether they are able to find enough manpower.
Nonetheless, the same officials said there is no imminent prospect of Moscow
seeking an end to the war as Kyiv also experiences a strain on infantry and
ammunition.
Speaking to reporters, Defence Minister Al Carns stressed there is an active
threat to the U.K. from Russia, particularly through cyber attacks.
“A lot of people say that the U.K. doesn’t have a front line, but the reality is
we do. It sits in the north Atlantic. It sits in the High North. It sits in
cyberspace, and it sits in influence. It is being battled out every day,” he
said.
“The defense industry across the whole of Europe is starting to pick up pace” in
order to boost supply chains and the delivery of weapons to Ukraine, despite
internal struggles in London over the pace of defense spending, Carns added.
Andrew Puzder is U.S. Ambassador to the EU and Matthew Whitaker is U.S.
Ambassador to NATO.
The NATO transatlantic alliance has been the foundation of European and American
security for decades. Today, as the world faces complex and unprecedented
security challenges, the United States and Europe must work together to sustain
and strengthen this partnership. Limiting U.S. defense industry participation in
European procurement programs threatens that partnership and weakens our mutual
security.
To their credit, NATO allies have responded to President Donald Trump’s call for
increased defense investment, with commitments to raise defense spending to 5
percent of GDP. But for the most part those commitments are as yet unfulfilled,
meaning the U.S. still bears a disproportionate share of Europe’s security costs
and provides technical and defense production capabilities our NATO allies lack.
As the war in Ukraine rages on, U.S. production lines must operate at capacity
to supply munitions other nations cannot, such as U.S. air defense systems and
their interceptor missiles and F-16 ammunition and spare parts. This is
particularly true as the U.S. strives to meet its own defense production needs
as well as those of our allies across the world. For the U.S. to continue
supplying the armaments Ukraine and NATO member countries need requires orders
sufficient to justify their production and the resources to pay for them.
With that in mind, the United States has expressed concerns about how EU defense
initiatives like Security Action for Europe (SAFE) and the European Defense
Industry Program (EDIP) restrict market access for American companies. Such
exclusionary measures undermine our collective defense by limiting competition,
stifling innovation and depriving these companies of the orders they need to
maintain production at the levels required to meet our allies’ needs.
EDIP and SAFE mandate the EU maintain control over the design, configuration,
and future modification of defense systems. And these requirements threaten
intellectual property rights, constrain supply chains, and impede transatlantic
interoperability. Additionally, these programs impose a 35 percent cap on U.S.
industrial participation, limiting the possibility of U.S.-EU joint defense
ventures.
EU policymakers considering the future of defense cooperation face a clear
choice. | Armend Nimani/AFP via Getty Images
Looking ahead, we are especially concerned about the Commission’s plan to
incorporate “European preference” in the Defense Procurement Directive in 2026.
Revisions to the Directive are critical because they will directly impact how EU
countries spend their national money on defense procurements. Our view is that
EU countries should have the full sovereign autonomy to make decisions about
defense procurements — including where to make purchases — without the EU
imposing additional eligibility criteria similar to those present in SAFE and
EDIP.
Similarly, if the goal of the European Commission’s proposed €90 billion loan to
Ukraine is for Ukraine to defeat Russia, the EU should allow Ukraine to purchase
what it needs as quickly as possible. Otherwise, the loan appears to serve more
as an economic development initiative that favors certain EU countries’ defense
industries.
Let us be clear: We welcome member countries’ efforts to ramp up their defense
budgets and the EU utilizing financial levers to encourage more defense
spending. But not at the cost of decades of cooperation by fragmenting the
defense market and reducing the effectiveness of joint efforts.
The economic implications are significant. U.S. defense companies are not merely
suppliers; they’re partners who have invested in European economies, created
tens of thousands of good-paying European jobs, and provided the advanced
technology that strengthens NATO. Our transatlantic defense industry is most
effective when nations are free from protectionist policies and able to choose
equipment and capabilities best suited to their needs. Joint ventures and
transatlantic supply chains have enabled collaboration on next-generation
technologies including missile and cyber defense. By leveraging the expertise
and resources of American industry, Europe can share the burden of defense
investment and ensure access to the best possible equipment.
The U.S. has consistently welcomed European investment and competition in our
own defense market, including through Reciprocal Defense Procurement Agreements
(RDPAs) with 19 of 27 EU countries. Reciprocal openness is essential to maintain
trust and ensure both sides benefit from shared investments. Restrictive
measures stand in direct contrast to member countries’ commitments under these
agreements and undermine access to our long shared, transatlantic defense
industrial base.
The stakes are high. A prosperous, secure Europe is in the best interests of
both the EU and the United States. European defense capability strengthens NATO
and enables both sides to meet global challenges more effectively. Creating
barriers for U.S. industry will slow Europe’s rearming efforts and undermine
both NATO readiness and interoperability by severing access to integrated
transatlantic supply chains.
EU policymakers considering the future of defense cooperation face a clear
choice — pursue policies that restrict market access and fragment the defense
sector, or foster an environment of openness, competition, and innovation. The
latter approach supports our collective security, readiness, resilience, and
cost-effective investment, benefiting taxpayers, workers, and service members on
both sides of the Atlantic.