BRUSSELS — The European Union faces a critical week as it seeks to shield
Ukraine from a humiliating peace deal carved out by the U.S. and Russia while
attempting to salvage an agreement to fund a multi-billion euro loan to keep
Kyiv afloat.
After a series of stinging attacks from Washington ― including Donald Trump
telling POLITICO that European leaders are “weak” ― the coming days will be a
real test of their mettle. On Monday leaders will attempt to build bridges and
use their powers of persuasion over the peace agreement when they meet Ukraine
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and U.S. officials in Berlin. At the same time in
Brussels, EU foreign ministers and diplomats will battle to win over a growing
number of European governments that oppose the loan plan.
By Thursday, when all 27 leaders gather in the Belgian capital for what promises
to be one of the most pivotal summits in years, they’ll hope to have more
clarity on whether the intense diplomacy has paid off. With Trump’s stinging
put-downs ― Europe’s leaders “talk, but they don’t produce” ― and NATO chief
Mark Rutte’s stark warnings about the the threat from Russia ringing in their
ears, they’re taking nothing for granted.
“We are Russia’s next target, and we are already in harm’s way,” Rutte said last
week. “Russia has brought war back to Europe and we must be prepared for the
scale of war our grandparents and great grandparents endured.”
Little wonder then that European officials are casting the next few days as
existential. The latest shot of 11th-hour diplomacy will see the leaders of the
U.K., Germany and possibly France, potentially with Trump’s son-in-law Jared
Kushner and his special envoy Steve Witkoff, meeting with Zelenskyy in Berlin.
As if to underscore the significance of the meeting, “numerous European heads of
state and government, as well as the leaders of the EU and NATO, will join the
talks” after the initial discussion, said Stefan Kornelius, spokesperson for
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. French President Emmanuel Macron hasn’t
confirmed his attendance but spoke to Zelenskyy by telephone on Sunday.
The discussion will represent Europe’s attempt to influence the final
settlement, weeks after a 28-point peace plan drafted by Witkoff — reportedly
with the aid of several Kremlin officials — provoked a furious backlash in both
Kyiv and European capitals. They’ve since scrambled to put together an
alternative.
Further European disunity this week would send a “disastrous signal to Ukraine,”
said one EU official. That outcome wouldn’t just be a hammer blow to the
war-struck nation, the official added: “It’s also fair to say that Europe will
then fail as well.”
EMPTYING TERRITORIES
This time the focus will be on a 20-point amendment to the plan drafted by Kyiv
and its European allies and submitted to Washington for review last week.
The contents remain unclear, and nothing is decided, but the fate of the
Ukrainian territories under Russian occupation is particularly thorny. Trump has
pitched emptying out the territories of Ukrainian and Russian troops and
establishing a demilitarized “free economic zone” where U.S. business interests
could operate.
Ukraine has rejected that proposal, according to a French official, who was
granted anonymity because of the sensitivity of the negotiations.
The U.S. has insisted on territorial concessions despite fierce European
objections, the official added, creating friction with the Trump administration.
Leaders will attempt to build bridges and use their powers of persuasion over
the peace agreement when they meet Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and
U.S. officials in Berlin. | Antonio Masiello/Getty Images
Europe’s leaders insist there can be no progress on territory before Ukraine is
offered security guarantees.
In a sign of movement toward some kind of deal, Zelenskyy said over the weekend
he was willing to “compromise” and not demand NATO membership for Ukraine.
Instead, the country should be afforded an ad-hoc collective defense
arrangement, he told journalists in a WhatsApp conversation.
“The bilateral security guarantees between Ukraine and the United States … and
the security guarantees from our European colleagues for us, as well as from
other countries such as Canada and Japan ― these security guarantees for us
provide an opportunity to prevent another outbreak of Russian aggression,” he
said.
REPEATED SETBACKS
Europe will have further opportunities to discuss the way forward after Monday.
EU affairs ministers will continue on Tuesday in Brussels to thrash out plans
for Thursday’s summit. In between, Wednesday will see the leaders of Europe’s
“Eastern flank” ― with countries including the Baltics and Poland represented ―
huddle in Helsinki.
The EU has been trying for months to convince Belgian Prime Minister Bart De
Wever to consent to a plan to use the cash value of the €185 billion in Russian
state assets held in Brussels-based depository Euroclear to fund and arm
Ukraine. (The remainder of the total €210 billion financial package would
include €25 billion in frozen Russian assets held across the bloc.)
In a sign the chances of a deal at Thursday’s summit are worsening rather than
improving, Italy — the EU’s third-largest country — sided with Belgium’s demands
to look for alternative options to finance Ukraine in a letter on Friday that
was also signed by Malta and Bulgaria.
Czechia’s new Prime Minister Andrej Babiš also rejected the plan on Sunday.
“The more such cases we have the more likely it is that we will have to find
other solutions,” an EU diplomat said.
The five countries — even if joined by pro-Kremlin Hungary and Slovakia — would
not be able to build a blocking minority, but their public criticism erodes the
Commission’s hopes of striking a political deal this week.
A meeting of EU ambassadors originally planned for Sunday evening was postponed
until Monday.
While the last-minute diplomatic effort has left many concerned the money might
not be approved before the end of the year, with Ukraine in desperate need of
the cash, three diplomats insisted they were sticking to the plan and that no
alternatives were yet being considered.
Belgium is engaging constructively with the draft measures, actively making
suggestions and changes in the document to be considered when ambassadors meet
on Monday, one of the diplomats and an EU official said.
The decision on the Russian assets is “a decision on the future of Europe and
will determine whether the EU is still a relevant actor,” a German official
said. “There is no option B.”
Bjarke Smith-Meyer, Nick Vinocur, Victor Jack and Zoya Sheftalovich in Brussels,
Veronika Melkozerova in Kyiv, Clea Caulcutt and Laura Kayali in Paris and Nette
Nöstlinger in Berlin contributed to this report.
Tag - Produce
President Donald Trump’s pursuit of an end to the war between Russia and Ukraine
is increasingly being driven by his own impatience — with Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders who Trump believes are standing in the
way of both peace and future economic cooperation between Washington and Moscow.
Trump, who has called for Russia’s return to the G7 and spoken repeatedly about
his eagerness to bring Russia back into the economic fold, laid bare his
frustrations Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a special
episode of “The Conversation.” He derided European leaders as talkers who “don’t
produce” and declared that Zelenskyy has “to play ball” given that, in his view,
“Russia has the upper hand.”
Zelenskyy, who Trump grumbled hadn’t read the latest peace proposal, spent
Monday working with the leaders of France, Germany and Britain on a revision of
the Americans’ 28-point proposal that he said has been shaved down to 20 points.
“We took out openly anti-Ukrainian points,” Zelenskyy told a group of reporters
in Kyiv, emphasizing that Ukraine still needs stronger security guarantees and
that he isn’t ready to give Russia more land in the Donbas than its military
currently holds.
With Russia unlikely to budge from its demands, the White House-driven peace
talks appear stalled. And as Trump’s irritation deepens, pressure is mounting on
the Europeans backing Zelenskyy to prove Trump wrong.
“He says we don’t produce, and I hate to say it, but there’s been some truth to
that,” said a European official, one of three interviewed for this report who
were granted anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly. “We
are doing it now, but we have been slow to realize we are the solution to our
problem.”
The official pointed to NATO’s increased defense spending commitments and the
PURL initiative, through which NATO allies are buying U.S. weapons to send to
Ukraine, as evidence that things have started to shift. But in the near term,
the European Union is struggling to convince Belgium to support a nearly $200
billion loan to Ukraine funded with seized Russian assets.
“If we fail on this one, we’re in trouble,” said a second European official.
Trump’s mounting pressure on Ukraine makes clear that months of careful
management of the president through private texts, public flattery and general
deference has gotten Europe very little.
But Liana Fix, a senior fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations,
said that the leaders on the other side of the Atlantic “know very well that
they can’t just stand up to Trump and tell him courageously that, you know, this
is not how you treat Europe, because [of] the existential dependence that is
still there between Europe and the United States.”
Still, some in Europe continue to express shock and revulsion over Trump’s
lopsided diplomacy in favor of Russia, disputing the president’s assessment
during his POLITICO interview that Putin’s army has the upper hand despite its
slow advance across the Donbas, more than half of which is now in Russian
control.
“Our view is not that Ukraine is losing. If Russia was so powerful they would
have been able to finish the war within 24 hours,” a third European diplomat
said. “If you think that Russia is winning, what does that mean — you give them
everything? That’s not a sustainable peace. You’ll reward the Russians for their
aggression and they will look for more – not only in Ukraine but also in
Europe.”
Trump has refused to approve additional defense aid to Ukraine, while blasting
his predecessor for sending billions in aid — approved by Democrats and many
Republicans in Congress — to help the country defend itself following Russia’s
Feb. 2022 invasion.
Jake Sullivan, President Joe Biden’s national security adviser, said Trump’s
brief that Russia is prevailing on the battlefield doesn’t match the reality.
“Russia has not achieved its strategic objectives in Ukraine. It has completely
failed in its initial objective to take Kyiv and subjugate the country, and it
has even failed in its more limited objective in taking all of the Donbas and
neutering Ukraine from a security perspective,” Sullivan said, adding that he
thinks Ukraine could prevail militarily with stronger U.S. support.
“But if the United States throws Ukraine under the bus and essentially takes
Russia’s side functionally, then things, of course, are much more difficult for
Ukraine, and that seems to be the direction of travel this administration is
taking.”
The White House did not respond to a request for additional comment.
Clearly eager to normalize relations with Moscow, Trump appears to be motivated
more by the prospect of cutting deals with Putin than maintaining a
transatlantic alliance built on shared democratic principles.
Fiona Hill, a Russia expert who served on Trump’s national security council in
his first term, noted that the U.S.-Russia diplomacy involves three people with
business backgrounds and investment portfolios: special envoy Steve Witkoff and
Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner on the U.S. side and Russia’s Kirill Dmitriev,
the head of Russia’s sovereign investment fund.
“Putin’s always thinking about what’s the angle here? How do I approach
somebody? He’s got the number of President Trump,” Hill said Monday on a
Brookings Institution podcast. “He knows he wants to make a deal, and he’s
emphasizing this, and all the context is business, not really as diplomacy.”
Additionally, Trump is eager to end Europe’s decades-long dependence on the
U.S., which he believes has been saddled with the burden of its continental
security for far too long.
Ending the war with a deal that largely favors Putin would not only burnish
Trump’s own self-conception as a global peacemaker — it would serve final notice
to Europe that many of America’s oldest and most steadfast allies are truly on
their own.
Trump’s new national security strategy, released last week, made that point
explicit, devoting more words to the threat of Europe’s civilizational decline —
castigating the entire continent over its immigration and economic policies —
than to threats posed by China, Russia or North Korea.
Asked by POLITICO if European countries would continue to be U.S. allies, Trump
demurred: “It depends,” he said, harshly criticizing immigration policies. “They
want to be politically correct, and it makes them weak.”
Europe, despite years of warnings from Trump and their own growing awareness
about the need for what French President Emanuel Macron has called “strategic
autonomy,” has been slow to mobilize its defenses to be able to defend the
continent — and Ukraine — on its own.
At Trump’s behest, NATO members agreed in June to increase defense spending to 5
percent of GDP over the coming decade. And NATO is now purchasing U.S. weapons
to send to Ukraine through a new NATO initiative. But it may be too little, too
late as the war grinds into a fourth winter with Ukraine’s military low on
ammunition, weapons and morale.
“That is why they will continue to engage this administration despite the
strategy,” Fix said.
And while Trump sees Ukraine and European stubbornness as the primary impediment
to peace, many longtime diplomats believe that it’s his own unwillingness to
ratchet up pressure on Moscow — Trump imposed new sanctions on Russian oil last
month, only to pull some of them back — that is rendering his peacemaking
efforts so fruitless.
“It’s not enough to want peace. You’ve got to create a context in which the
protagonists are willing to compromise either enthusiastically or reluctantly,”
said Richard Haass, the former president of the Council on Foreign Relations who
served as a senior adviser to Secretary of State Colin Powell in the George W.
Bush administration. “The president has totally failed to do that, so it’s not a
question of wordsmithing. In order to succeed at the table, you have to succeed
away from the table. And they have failed to do that.”
Veronika Melkozerova, Ari Hawkins and Daniella Cheslow contributed to this
report.
LONDON — The British government pushed back on Tuesday against Donald Trump’s
assertion that European nations spend too much time discussing the war in
Ukraine without reaching a resolution.
The U.S. president told POLITICO’s Dasha Burns in a Monday interview for a
special episode of The Conversation that European leaders “talk too much” about
the conflict and have failed to help end the war.
“They’re not producing,” Trump said. “We’re talking about Ukraine. They talk but
they don’t produce. And the war just keeps going on and on.”
POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most influential figure shaping European
politics in the year ahead, a recognition previously conferred on leaders
including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister
Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s spokesperson challenged Trump’s framing of the
Ukraine peace negotiations, which have entered a pivotal moment almost four
years after Russia’s full-scale invasion.
“I would reject that,” the spokesperson said. “You’ve seen the number of
countries involved in the Coalition of the Willing discussions. You would also
see the work that the U.K. has done in terms of leading the response on
sanctions, including against the shadow fleet [carrying embargoed Russian
goods].”
However, they confirmed that British support for the U.S.-led peace plan for
Ukraine remained strong, and welcomed “the significant U.S. efforts to bring
about peace to Ukraine, which no one wants more than President [Volodymyr]
Zelenskyy.”
Washington has held separate talks with both Moscow and Kyiv, neither of which
has yielded an outcome that satisfies both sides.
The spokesperson also pushed back against the U.S. president’s desciption of the
continent as a “decaying” group of nations led by “weak” people.
“You’ve seen the strong relationship between the prime minister and the
president,” they said, noting that the U.S.-U.K. trade deal signed earlier this
year was about “securing and protecting and creating jobs.”
The spokesperson also referenced the unity of the E3 nations (Britain, Germany
and France) in speaking with Zelenskyy at Downing Street on Monday: “We will
continue to put our shoulder to the wheel in order to strengthen Ukraine’s
position, in order to bring this barbaric war to an end.”
Starmer will meet U.S. Ambassador to the U.K. Warren Stephens at Downing Street
on Tuesday afternoon for a previously scheduled appointment.
MIDDLE GROUND
Trump also hit out against left-wing London Mayor Sadiq Khan, claiming the
city’s first Muslim mayor had only been elected “because so many people have
come in. They vote for him now.”
Downing Street did not challenge that assertion: “The prime minister has a
strong relationship with the U.S. president and a strong relationship with the
mayor of London and on both is committed to working together in order to deliver
stronger outcomes for the British people.”
But the U.S. president’s comments drew some criticism from Labour MPs.
“Strength is the ability to work with others and bring them along with you, to
listen and to make friends,” argued Emily Thornberry, who chairs Britain’s
Foreign Affairs Committee. “It’s not strong to try to push other people around.”
A backbench Labour MP, granted anonymity to speak candidly, admitted it was
“hard to remain calm when you read Trump when he’s in full flow.” The MP added
that the U.K. government should “be absolutely unapologetic and fearless when
making our views known.”
“It’s clear Trump sees [Russian President Vladimir] Putin as an ally in subduing
Europe and we can’t allow that to happen.”
A third Labour MP was dismissive of Trump’s stance on European politics: “So
he’s allowed to interfere with our politics, but God forbid I do a bit of
door-knocking for Kamala Harris.”
Esther Webber contributed to this report.
This article is also available in French and German.
President Donald Trump denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by
“weak” people in an interview with POLITICO, belittling the traditional U.S.
allies for failing to control migration and end the Russia-Ukraine war, and
signaling that he would endorse European political candidates aligned with his
own vision for the continent.
The broadside attack against European political leadership represents the
president’s most virulent denunciation to date of these Western democracies,
threatening a decisive rupture with countries like France and Germany that
already have deeply strained relations with the Trump administration.
“I think they’re weak,” Trump said of Europe’s political leaders. “But I also
think that they want to be so politically correct.”
“I think they don’t know what to do,” he added. “Europe doesn’t know what to
do.”
Trump matched that blunt, even abrasive, candor on European affairs with a
sequence of stark pronouncements on matters closer to home: He said he would
make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in his choice
of a new Federal Reserve chair. He said he could extend anti-drug military
operations to Mexico and Colombia. And Trump urged conservative Supreme Court
Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, both in their 70s, to stay on the
bench.
Trump’s comments about Europe come at an especially precarious moment in the
negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, as European leaders express
intensifying alarm that Trump may abandon Ukraine and its continental allies to
Russian aggression. In the interview, Trump offered no reassurance to Europeans
on that score and declared that Russia was obviously in a stronger position than
Ukraine.
Trump spoke on Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a
special episode of The Conversation. POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most
influential figure shaping European politics in the year ahead, a recognition
previously conferred on leaders including Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orbán.
Trump’s confident commentary on Europe presented a sharp contrast with some of
his remarks on domestic matters in the interview. The president and his party
have faced a series of electoral setbacks and spiraling dysfunction in Congress
this fall as voters rebel against the high cost of living. Trump has struggled
to deliver a message to meet that new reality: In the interview, he graded the
economy’s performance as an “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus,” insisted that prices
were falling across the board and declined to outline a specific remedy for
imminent spikes in health care premiums.
Even amid growing turbulence at home, however, Trump remains a singular figure
in international politics.
In recent days, European capitals have shuddered with dismay at the release of
Trump’s new National Security Strategy document, a highly provocative manifesto
that cast the Trump administration in opposition to the mainstream European
political establishment and vowed to “cultivate resistance” to the European
status quo on immigration and other politically volatile issues.
In the interview, Trump amplified that worldview, describing cities like London
and Paris as creaking under the burden of migration from the Middle East and
Africa. Without a change in border policy, Trump said, some European states
“will not be viable countries any longer.”
Using highly incendiary language, Trump singled out London’s left-wing mayor,
Sadiq Khan, the son of Pakistani immigrants and the city’s first Muslim mayor,
as a “disaster” and blamed his election on immigration: “He gets elected because
so many people have come in. They vote for him now.”
The president of the European Council, António Costa, on Monday rebuked the
Trump administration for the national security document and urged the White
House to respect Europe’s sovereignty and right to self-government.
“Allies do not threaten to interfere in the democratic life or the domestic
political choices of these allies,” Costa said. “They respect them.”
Speaking with POLITICO, Trump flouted those boundaries and said he would
continue to back favorite candidates in European elections, even at the risk of
offending local sensitivities.
“I’d endorse,” Trump said. “I’ve endorsed people, but I’ve endorsed people that
a lot of Europeans don’t like. I’ve endorsed Viktor Orbán,” the hard-right
Hungarian prime minister Trump said he admired for his border-control policies.
It was the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than electoral politics, that Trump
appeared most immediately focused on. He claimed on Monday that he had offered a
new draft of a peace plan that some Ukrainian officials liked, but that
Zelenskyy himself had not reviewed yet. “It would be nice if he would read it,”
Trump said.
Zelenskyy met with leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Monday
and continued to voice opposition to ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia as
part of a peace deal.
The president said he put little stock in the role of European leaders in
seeking to end the war: “They talk, but they don’t produce, and the war just
keeps going on and on.”
In a fresh challenge to Zelenskyy, who appears politically weakened in Ukraine
due to a corruption scandal, Trump renewed his call for Ukraine to hold new
elections.
“They haven’t had an election in a long time,” Trump said. “You know, they talk
about a democracy, but it gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.”
Latin America
Even as he said he is pursuing a peace agenda overseas, Trump said he might
further broaden the military actions his administration has taken in Latin
America against targets it claims are linked to the drug trade. Trump has
deployed a massive military force to the Caribbean to strike alleged drug
runners and pressure the authoritarian regime in Venezuela.
In the interview, Trump repeatedly declined to rule out putting American troops
into Venezuela as part of an effort to bring down the strongman ruler Nicolás
Maduro, whom Trump blames for exporting drugs and dangerous people to the United
States. Some leaders on the American right have warned Trump that a ground
invasion of Venezuela would be a red line for conservatives who voted for him in
part to end foreign wars.
“I don’t want to rule in or out. I don’t talk about it,” Trump said of deploying
ground troops, adding: “I don’t want to talk to you about military strategy.”
But the president said he would consider using force against targets in other
countries where the drug trade is highly active, including Mexico and Colombia.
“Sure, I would,” he said.
Trump scarcely defended some of his most controversial actions in Latin America,
including his recent pardon of the former Honduran President Juan Orlando
Hernández, who was serving a decades-long sentence in an American prison after
being convicted in a massive drug-trafficking conspiracy. Trump said he knew
“very little” about Hernández except that he’d been told by “very good people”
that the former Honduran president had been targeted unfairly by political
opponents.
“They asked me to do it and I said, I’ll do it,” Trump acknowledged, without
naming the people who sought the pardon for Hernández.
HEALTH CARE AND THE ECONOMY
Asked to grade the economy under his watch, Trump rated it an overwhelming
success: “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus.” To the extent voters are frustrated about
prices, Trump said the Biden administration was at fault: “I inherited a mess. I
inherited a total mess.”
The president is facing a forbidding political environment because of voters’
struggles with affordability, with about half of voters overall and nearly 4 in
10 people who voted for Trump in 2024 saying in a recent POLITICO Poll that
the cost of living was as bad as it had ever been in their lives.
Trump said he could make additional changes to tariff policy to help lower the
price of some goods, as he has already done, but he insisted overall that the
trend on costs was in the right direction.
“Prices are all coming down,” Trump said, adding: “Everything is coming down.”
Prices rose 3 percent over the 12 months ending in September, according to the
most recent Consumer Price Index.
Trump’s political struggles are shadowing his upcoming decision on a nominee to
chair the Federal Reserve, a post that will shape the economic environment for
the balance of Trump’s term. Asked if he was making support for slashing
interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick
“yes.”
The most immediate threat to the cost of living for many Americans is the
expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies for Obamacare exchange plans
that were enacted by Democrats under former President Joe Biden and are set to
expire at the end of this year. Health insurance premiums are expected to spike
in 2026, and medical charities are already experiencing a marked rise in
requests for aid even before subsidies expire.
Trump has been largely absent from health policy negotiations in Washington,
while Democrats and some Republicans supportive of a compromise on subsidies
have run into a wall of opposition on the right. Reaching a deal — and
marshaling support from enough Republicans to pass it — would likely require
direct intervention from the president.
Yet asked if he would support a temporary extension of Obamacare subsidies while
he works out a large-scale plan with lawmakers, Trump was noncommittal.
“I don’t know. I’m gonna have to see,” he said, pivoting to an attack on
Democrats for being too generous with insurance companies in the Affordable Care
Act.
A cloud of uncertainty surrounds the administration’s intentions on health care
policy. In late November, the White House planned to unveil a proposal to
temporarily extend Obamacare subsidies only to postpone the announcement. Trump
has promised on and off for years to unveil a comprehensive plan for replacing
Obamacare but has never done so. That did not change in the interview.
“I want to give the people better health insurance for less money,” Trump said.
“The people will get the money, and they’re going to buy the health insurance
that they want.”
Reminded that Americans are currently buying holiday gifts and drawing up
household budgets for 2026 amid uncertainty around premiums, Trump shot back:
“Don’t be dramatic. Don’t be dramatic.”
SUPREME COURT
Large swaths of Trump’s domestic agenda currently sit before the Supreme Court,
with a generally sympathetic 6-3 conservative majority that has nevertheless
thrown up some obstacles to the most brazen versions of executive power Trump
has attempted to wield.
Trump spoke with POLITICO several days after the high court agreed to hear
arguments concerning the constitutionality of birthright citizenship, the
automatic conferral of citizenship on people born in the United States. Trump is
attempting to roll back that right and said it would be “devastating” if the
court blocked him from doing so.
If the court rules in his favor, Trump said, he had not yet considered whether
he would try to strip citizenship from people who were born as citizens under
current law.
Trump broke with some members of his party who have been hoping that the court’s
two oldest conservatives, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, might consider
retiring before the midterm elections so that Trump can nominate another
conservative while Republicans are guaranteed to control the Senate.
The president said he’d rather Alito, 75, and Thomas, 77, the court’s most
reliable conservative jurists, remain in place: “I hope they stay,” he said,
“’cause I think they’re fantastic.”
Europe’s security does not depend solely on our physical borders and their
defense. It rests on something far less visible, and far more sensitive: the
digital networks that keep our societies, economies and democracies functioning
every second of the day.
> Without resilient networks, the daily workings of Europe would grind to a
> halt, and so too would any attempt to build meaningful defense readiness.
A recent study by Copenhagen Economics confirms that telecom operators have
become the first line of defense in Europe’s security architecture. Their
networks power essential services ranging from emergency communications and
cross-border healthcare to energy systems, financial markets, transport and,
increasingly, Europe’s defense capabilities. Without resilient networks, the
daily workings of Europe would grind to a halt, and so too would any attempt to
build meaningful defense readiness.
This reality forces us to confront an uncomfortable truth: Europe cannot build
credible defense capabilities on top of an economically strained, structurally
fragmented telecom sector. Yet this is precisely the risk today.
A threat landscape outpacing Europe’s defenses
The challenges facing Europe are evolving faster than our political and
regulatory systems can respond. In 2023 alone, ENISA recorded 188 major
incidents, causing 1.7 billion lost user-hours, the equivalent of taking entire
cities offline. While operators have strengthened their systems and outage times
fell by more than half in 2024 compared with the previous year, despite a
growing number of incidents, the direction of travel remains clear: cyberattacks
are more sophisticated, supply chains more vulnerable and climate-related
physical disruptions more frequent. Hybrid threats increasingly target civilian
digital infrastructure as a way to weaken states. Telecom networks, once
considered as technical utilities, have become a strategic asset essential to
Europe’s stability.
> Europe cannot deploy cross-border defense capabilities without resilient,
> pan-European digital infrastructure. Nor can it guarantee NATO
> interoperability with 27 national markets, divergent rules and dozens of
> sub-scale operators unable to invest at continental scale.
Our allies recognize this. NATO recently encouraged members to spend up to 1.5
percent of their GDP on protecting critical infrastructure. Secretary General
Mark Rutte also urged investment in cyber defense, AI, and cloud technologies,
highlighting the military benefits of cloud scalability and edge computing – all
of which rely on high-quality, resilient networks. This is a clear political
signal that telecom security is not merely an operational matter but a
geopolitical priority.
The link between telecoms and defense is deeper than many realize. As also
explained in the recent Arel report, Much More than a Network, modern defense
capabilities rely largely on civilian telecom networks. Strong fiber backbones,
advanced 5G and future 6G systems, resilient cloud and edge computing, satellite
connectivity, and data centers form the nervous system of military logistics,
intelligence and surveillance. Europe cannot deploy cross-border defense
capabilities without resilient, pan-European digital infrastructure. Nor can it
guarantee NATO interoperability with 27 national markets, divergent rules and
dozens of sub-scale operators unable to invest at continental scale.
Fragmentation has become one of Europe’s greatest strategic vulnerabilities.
The reform Europe needs: An investment boost for digital networks
At the same time, Europe expects networks to become more resilient, more
redundant, less dependent on foreign technology and more capable of supporting
defense-grade applications. Security and resilience are not side tasks for
telecom operators, they are baked into everything they do. From procurement and
infrastructure design to daily operations, operators treat these efforts as core
principles shaping how networks are built, run and protected. Therefore, as the
Copenhagen Economics study shows, the level of protection Europe now requires
will demand substantial additional capital.
> It is unrealistic to expect world-class, defense-ready infrastructure to
> emerge from a model that has become structurally unsustainable.
This is the right ambition, but the economic model underpinning the sector does
not match these expectations. Due to fragmentation and over-regulation, Europe’s
telecom market invests less per capita than global peers, generates roughly half
the return on capital of operators in the United States and faces rising costs
linked to expanding security obligations. It is unrealistic to expect
world-class, defense-ready infrastructure to emerge from a model that has become
structurally unsustainable.
A shift in policy priorities is therefore essential. Europe must place
investment in security and resilience at the center of its political agenda.
Policy must allow this reality to be reflected in merger assessments, reduce
overlapping security rules and provide public support where the public interest
exceeds commercial considerations. This is not state aid; it is strategic social
responsibility.
Completing the single market for telecommunications is central to this agenda. A
fragmented market cannot produce the secure, interoperable, large-scale
solutions required for modern defense. The Digital Networks Act must simplify
and harmonize rules across the EU, supported by a streamlined governance that
distinguishes between domestic matters and cross-border strategic issues.
Spectrum policy must also move beyond national silos, allowing Europe to avoid
conflicts with NATO over key bands and enabling coherent next-generation
deployments.
Telecom policy nowadays is also defense policy. When we measure investment gaps
in digital network deployment, we still tend to measure simple access to 5G and
fiber. However, we should start considering that — if security, resilience and
defense-readiness are to be taken into account — the investment gap is much
higher that the €200 billion already estimated by the European Commission.
Europe’s strategic choice
The momentum for stronger European defense is real — but momentum fades if it is
not seized. If Europe fails to modernize and secure its telecom infrastructure
now, it risks entering the next decade with a weakened industrial base, chronic
underinvestment, dependence on non-EU technologies and networks unable to
support advanced defense applications. In that scenario, Europe’s democratic
resilience would erode in parallel with its economic competitiveness, leaving
the continent more exposed to geopolitical pressure and technological
dependency.
> If Europe fails to modernize and secure its telecom infrastructure now, it
> risks entering the next decade with a weakened industrial base, chronic
> underinvestment, dependence on non-EU technologies and networks unable to
> support advanced defense applications.
Europe still has time to change course and put telecoms at the center of its
agenda — not as a technical afterthought, but as a core pillar of its defense
strategy. The time for incremental steps has passed. Europe must choose to build
the network foundations of its security now or accept that its strategic
ambitions will remain permanently out of reach.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Connect Europe AISBL
* The ultimate controlling entity is Connect Europe AISBL
* The political advertisement is linked to advocacy on EU digital, telecom and
industrial policy, including initiatives such as the Digital Networks Act,
Digital Omnibus, and connectivity, cybersecurity, and defence frameworks
aimed at strengthening Europe’s digital competitiveness.
More information here.
BRUSSELS — A jolt of optimism that Brussels and the Latin American countries of
Mercosur can finally seal their mammoth trade deal this year has given way to
trepidation that everything could fall apart just before the finish line.
The biggest hurdle that remains is approving a workaround to protect European
farm markets in the event of a sudden influx of produce from the Mercosur bloc,
which groups Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay.
The safeguards, calibrated in consultation with Paris and presented in early
October, seemed enough at first to reassure skeptical politicians and farmers in
France and Poland.
But the mood in the European Parliament and in some capitals has turned
volatile.
And with the clock ticking down to a tentative Dec. 20 date for European
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to fly to Brazil for a formal signing
ceremony, the path to that successful outcome is narrowing.
Brazil’s ambassador to the EU, Pedro Miguel da Costa e Silva, is bullish that
the agreement, which has been 25 years in the making and would create a
free-trade area spanning nearly 800 million people, can still be done.
“What will happen will be exactly what happened with other agreements that the
EU negotiated with other countries: In the beginning there was a lot of
backlash, but then suddenly people discovered that it was a mutual benefit
equation,” da Costa e Silva said at an event in Brussels last week.
To close the deal in time, everything needs to go right. European lawmakers must
first approve the additional safeguards, after which the Council, the
intergovernmental branch of the EU, then needs to sign off on the broader deal.
Finally, the Commission must sign it.
PARLIAMENT UNCHAINED
The Parliament has witnessed chaotic scenes in recent days as pro-Mercosur
lawmakers tried, and failed, to fast-track a vote to approve the safeguards.
Although seemingly only a technical measure, the safeguard text is a crucial
political condition for President Emmanuel Macron of France — the EU’s
second-largest country — to back the overall agreement.
The Council has concluded its work on the safeguards, and is waiting for the
Parliament to move forward.
The text will now tentatively be put to a committee vote in the Parliament on
Dec. 8, followed by a Dec. 16 vote in the plenary — just four days before the
planned signing ceremony.
Although seemingly only a technical measure, the safeguard text is a crucial
political condition for President Emmanuel Macron of France. | Thierry
Nectoux/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
“We have been negotiating this agreement for 25 years and now we are being told
that we must act quickly,” said Céline Imart, a French MEP from the European
People’s Party group and a farmer herself.
Adding to the headaches, over 140 lawmakers have called for a resolution seeking
a legal opinion from the Court of Justice of the European Union on whether the
overall deal is compatible with the European treaties.
That would paralyze the Parliament’s approval of the safeguards until the court
— known for its lengthy procedures — rules on the issue.
Parliament President Roberta Metsola rejected the request on the grounds that
the Council had not yet weighed in on the agreement. Those lawmakers have
criticized the decision and are now pushing for further explanations from the
Parliament’s own legal service on whether Metsola overstepped her powers.
THE HOME STRETCH
With U.S. President Donald Trump breathing down Europe’s neck, fence-sitters
like the Netherlands and Italy have come to terms with the fact that the deal
would offer a welcome boost for the bloc’s struggling exporters.
Even Macron struck a conciliatory tone after meeting Brazil’s Luiz Inácio Lula
da Silva in early November.
Still, in the Council, where a qualified majority of EU countries is needed to
approve the deal, the battle is not yet won.
Poland — one of the countries Brussels had hoped to soothe with the new
safeguard rules — this week restated its opposition. “Our position is clearly
defined: We will vote against, despite the agreement on safeguards that has been
reached,” Michal Baranowski, Poland’s undersecretary of state in the Ministry of
Economic Development, said Monday.
Confusion at the highest level hasn’t helped either.
At the last European leaders’ summit in October, German Chancellor Friedrich
Merz prematurely announced that EU leaders had unanimously backed the
contentious deal.
That forced European Council President António Costa to clarify that he had
merely sought to assess next steps with European leaders. France followed up by
seeking fresh reassurances that the European market would be protected from
agricultural products that don’t meet the bloc’s standards.
If the approval process hasn’t already gone off track by then, the EU leaders’
summit on Dec. 18-19 in Brussels could still deliver some last-minute drama
before von der Leyen can catch that flight to Brazil.
“Ursula von der Leyen already has her tickets to Brazil. It is up to us to
ensure that she only goes there for a holiday,” added Imart, the French MEP.
Businesses from Wall Street to main street are struggling to comply with
President Donald Trump’s byzantine tariff regime, driving up costs and
counteracting, for some, the benefits of the corporate tax cuts Republicans
passed earlier this year.
Trump has ripped up the U.S. tariff code over the past year, replacing a
decades-old system that imposed the same tariffs on imports from all but a few
countries with a vastly more complicated system of many different tariff rates
depending on the origin of imported goods.
To give an example, an industrial product that faced a mostly uniform 5 percent
tariff rate in the past could now be taxed at 15 percent if it comes from the EU
or Japan, 20 percent from Norway and many African countries, 24 to 25 percent
from countries in Southeast Asia and upwards of 50 percent from India, Brazil or
China.
“This has been an exhausting year, I’d say, for most CEOs in the country,” said
Gary Shapiro, CEO and vice chair of the Consumer Technology Association, an
industry group whose 1,300 member companies include major brands like Amazon,
Walmart and AMD, as well as many small businesses and startups. “The level of
executive time that’s been put in this has been enormous. So instead of focusing
on innovation, they’re focusing on how they deal with the tariffs.”
Upping the pressure, the Justice Department has announced that it intends to
make the prosecution of customs fraud one of its top priorities.
The proliferation of trade regulations and threat of intensified enforcement has
driven many companies to beef up their staff and spend what could add up to tens
of millions of dollars to ensure they are not running afoul of Trump’s
requirements.
The time and expense involved, combined with the tens of billions of dollars in
higher tariffs that companies are paying each month to import goods, amount to a
massive burden that is weighing down industries traditionally reliant on
imported products. And it’s denting, for some, the impact of the hundreds of
billions of dollars of tax cuts that companies will receive over the next decade
via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act championed by the White House.
“Every CEO survey says this is their biggest issue,” said Shapiro.
A recent survey by KPMG, a professional services firm, found 89 percent of CEOs
said they expect tariffs to significantly impact their business’ performance and
operations over the next three years, with 86 percent saying they expect to
respond by increasing prices for their goods and services as needed.
Maytee Pereira, managing director for customs and international trade at
PriceWaterhouseCoopers, another professional services firm, has seen a similar
trend. “Many of our clients have been spending easily 30 to 60 percent of their
time having tariff conversations across the organization,” Pereira said.
That’s forced CEOs to get involved in import-sourcing decisions to an
unprecedented degree and intensified competition for personnel trained in
customs matters.
“There’s a real dearth of trade professionals,” Pereira said. “There isn’t a day
that I don’t speak to a client who has lost people from their trade teams,
because there is this renewed need for individuals with those resources, with
those skill sets.”
But the impact goes far beyond a strain on personnel into reducing the amount of
money that companies are willing to spend on purchasing new capital equipment or
making other investments to boost their long-term growth.
“People are saying they can’t put money into R&D,” said one industry official,
who was granted anonymity because of the risk of antagonizing the Trump
administration. “They can’t put money into siting new factories in the United
States. They don’t have the certainty they need to make decisions.”
A White House spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment. However,
the administration has previously defended tariffs as key to boosting domestic
manufacturing, along with their overall economic agenda of tax cuts and reduced
regulation.
They’ve also touted commitments from companies and other countries for massive
new investments in the U.S. in order to avoid tariffs, although they’ve
acknowledged it will take time for the benefits to reach workers and consumers.
“Look, I would have loved to be able to snap my fingers, have these facilities
going. It takes time,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview
this week on Fox News. “I think 2026 is going to be a blockbuster year.”
For some companies, however, any benefit they’ve received from Trump’s push to
lower taxes and reduce regulations has been substantially eroded by the new
burden of complying with his complicated tariff system, said a second industry
official, who was also granted anonymity for the same reason.
“It is incredibly complex,” that second industry official said. “And it keeps
changing, too.”
Matthew Aleshire, director of the Milken Institute’s Geo-Economics Initiative,
said he did not know of any studies yet that estimate the overall cost, both in
time and money, for American businesses to comply with Trump’s new trade
regulations. But it appears substantial.
“I think for some firms and investors, it may be on par with the challenges
experienced in the early days of Covid. For others, maybe a little less so. And
for others, it may be even more complex. But it’s absolutely eating up or taking
a lot of time and bandwidth,” Aleshire said.
The nonpartisan think tank’s new report, “Unintended Consequences: Trade and
Supply Chain Leaders Respond to Recent Turmoil,” is the first in a new series
exploring how companies are navigating the evolving trade landscape, he said.
One of the main findings is that it has become very difficult for companies to
make decisions, “given the high degree of uncertainty” around tariff policy,
Aleshire said.
Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs — imposed on most countries under a 1977 emergency
powers act that is now being challenged in court — start at a baseline level of
10 percent that applies to roughly 100 trading partners. He’s set higher rates,
ranging from 15 to 41 percent, on nearly 100 others, including the 27-member
European Union. Those duties stack on top of the longstanding U.S. “most-favored
nation” tariffs.
Two notable exceptions are the EU and Japan, which received special treatment in
their deals with Trump.
Companies also could get hit with a 40 percent penalty tariff if the Trump
administration determines an item from a high-tariffed country has been
illegally shipped through a third country — or assembled there — to obtain a
lower tariff rate. However, businesses are still waiting for more details on how
that so-called transshipment provision, which the Trump administration outlined
in a summer executive order, will work.
The president also has hit China, Canada and Mexico with a separate set of
tariffs under the 1977 emergency law to pressure those countries to do more to
stop shipments of fentanyl and precursor chemicals from entering the United
States.
Imports from Canada and Mexico are exempt from the fentanyl duties, however, if
they comply with the terms of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a trade pact
Trump brokered in his first term. That has spared most goods the U.S. imports
from its North American neighbors, but also has forced many more companies to
spend time filling out paperwork to document their compliance.
Trump’s increasingly baroque tariff regime also includes the “national security”
duties he has imposed on steel, aluminum, autos, auto parts, copper, lumber,
furniture and heavy trucks under a separate trade law.
But the administration has provided a partial exemption for the 25 percent
tariffs he has imposed on autos and auto parts, and has struck deals with the
EU, Japan and South Korea reducing the tariff on their autos to 15 percent.
In contrast, Trump has taken a hard line against exemptions from his 50 percent
tariffs on steel and aluminum, and recently expanded the duties to cover more
than 400 “derivative” products, such as chemicals, plastics and furniture, that
contain some amount of steel and aluminum or are shipped in steel and aluminum
containers.
And the administration is not stopping there, putting out a request in
September for further items it can add to the steel and aluminum tariffs.
“This is requiring companies that do not even produce steel and aluminum
products to keep track of and report what might be in the products that they’re
importing, and it’s just gotten incredibly complicated,” one of the industry
officials granted anonymity said.
That’s because companies need to precisely document the amount of steel or
aluminum used in a product to qualify for a tariff rate below 50 percent.
“Any wrong step, like any incorrect information, or even delay in providing the
information, risks the 50 percent tariff value on the entire product, not just
on the metal. So the consequence is really high if you don’t get it right,” the
industry official said.
The administration has also signaled plans to similarly expand tariffs for other
products, such as copper.
And the still unknown outcomes of ongoing trade investigations that could lead
to additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, critical minerals,
commercial aircraft, polysilicon, unmanned aircraft systems, wind turbines,
medical products and robotics and industrial machinery continue to make it
difficult for many companies to plan for the future.
Small business owners say they feel particularly overwhelmed trying to keep up
with all the various tariff rules and rates.
“We are no longer investing into product innovation, we’re not investing into
new hires, we’re not investing into growth. We’re just spending our money trying
to stay afloat through this,” said Cassie Abel, founder and CEO of Wild Rye, an
Idaho company which sells outdoor clothing for women, during a virtual press
conference with a coalition of other small business owners critical of the
tariffs.
Company employees have also “spent hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of hours
counter-sourcing product, pausing production, restarting production, rushing
production, running price analysis, cost analysis, shipping analysis,” Abel
said. “I spent zero minutes on tariffs before this administration.”
In one sign of the duress small businesses are facing, they have led the charge
in the Supreme Court case challenging Trump’s use of the 1977 International
Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose both the reciprocal and the
fentanyl-related tariffs.
Crutchfield Corp., a family-owned electronics retailer based in Charlottesville,
Virginia, filed a “friend of the court” brief supporting the litigants in the
case, in which the owners detailed its difficulties in coping with Trump’s
erratic tariff actions.
“If tariffs can be imposed, increased, decreased, suspended or altered … through
the changing whim of a single person, then Crutchfield cannot plan for the short
term, let alone the long run,” the company wrote in its brief, asking “the Court
to quell the chaos.”
BRUSSELS — A large group of European lawmakers is joining forces in a bid to
derail efforts to get a long-awaited trade deal with Latin American countries
over the finish line.
The group — counting more than 100 MEPs — plans to propose a motion on Friday
calling for a resolution to ask the Court of Justice of the EU to assess
whether the accord with the Mercosur trade bloc is compatible with the European
treaties.
Should the resolution be adopted at the European Parliament’s next plenary
session, from Nov. 24 to 27, it risks thwarting the European Commission’s bid to
sign the deal before Christmas to create one of the largest free-trade areas in
the world. Mercosur groups Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay.
The text would show that “it is still possible to work constructively across our
groups,” said Belgian Green MEP Saskia Bricmont.
“Beyond the sometimes divergent views on the pros and cons of the agreement with
Mercosur, we must ensure that it is fully compatible with our European
treaties,” she told POLITICO.
If a majority of lawmakers supports the resolution, the Parliament would then
have to wait until the court issues its opinion before it can vote to approve
the agreement. That would risk delaying the process as judicial proceedings in
Luxembourg are typically lengthy.
Should the Court issue an opinion against the legality of the agreement, this
would put the EU executive in an impossible spot, given how divisive the issue
is across the bloc. While it might not crash the whole deal, any required
amendments could easily delay the process by a year.
The lawmakers — spanning the EPP, S&D, Renew, the Greens and the Left group —
want the Court of Justice to issue an opinion on a rebalancing mechanism baked
into the deal. This provision, a first in EU trade agreements, foresees that
either party can seek redress in the form of tariffs or quotas if they consider
the other party has introduced a measure that “nullifies or substantially
impairs” the benefits of the deal.
The MEPs also want the court to rule on the legal basis for splitting the deal’s
trade and partnership sections. Such splits have been introduced to ensure that
the main trade provisions can go through a streamlined ratification process that
only requires the approval of the European Parliament — but not national or
regional parliaments.
In addition, the lawmakers want the court to review whether the EU-Mercosur deal
is compatible with the EU’s right to apply the so-called precautionary
principle, fearing that it could weaken or override this principle when the EU
tries to act on environmental or health risks. The principle foresees preventive
action in the face of foreseeable environmental harms.
The signatories mostly come from countries that have traditionally opposed the
behemoth deal — such as Poland, France, Belgium and Ireland.
The EPP, the biggest group in the European Parliament, is represented by its
Polish and French members, such as Krzysztof Hetman, Marta Wcisło and
François-Xavier Bellamy, among others. Other MEPs include Renew’s Pascal Canfin
and S&D’s Raphaël Glucksmann, as well as the Greens’ Majdouline Sbaï.
The Parliament is also set to decide next week which of the trade and
agriculture committees will lead work on the Commission’s proposal to introduce
safeguards in case a surge of imports of sensitive agricultural produce hurts
European markets.
Camille Gijs and Antonia Zimmermann reported from Brussels, and Judith Chetrit
from Paris. Max Griera Andreu and Koen Verhelst contributed to this report.
ROME — The conservative think tank behind Donald Trump’s Project 2025 roadmap is
looking for new friends across the Atlantic.
The Heritage Foundation, the intellectual engine behind the 922-page blueprint
that has become the key policy manual for Trump’s second term, is partnering
with a constellation of European nationalist far-right movements to export its
playbook for countering progressive policies.
That included a conference in late October at the frescoed former home of late
premier Silvio Berlusconi in Rome focused on Europe’s demographic crisis and the
idea that falling birthrates pose a threat to Western civilization. Speakers
included Roger Severino, Heritage’s vice president of domestic policy and the
architect of the group’s campaign to roll back abortion access in the U.S., as
well as Italy’s pro-life family minister Eugenia Roccella, the deputy speaker of
the Senate, and members of Italian right-wing think tanks.
Severino and the Heritage Foundation’s president, Kevin Roberts, have also been
speaking guests at summits and assemblies of far-right groups such as Patriots
for Europe, which includes Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National and Italy’s
League, under a Make Europe Great Again banner.
Meanwhile Heritage representatives have held private meetings in Washington and
Brussels with lawmakers from far-right parties in Hungary, Czechia, Spain,
France and Germany. Just in the past 12 months, the group held seven meetings
with members of the European Parliament, compared to just one in the five years
prior, according to Parliament records. And they’ve had additional meetings with
MEPs that weren’t formally reported, including with three members from Italian
Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party.
Severino told POLITICO that meetings with the European right serve to exchange
ideas. But the meetings signal more than pleasantries. For European politicians,
they’re a way to get access to people in Trump’s orbit. For Heritage, they’re a
way to extend influence beyond Washington and achieve its ideological goals,
which under Roberts have grown increasingly aligned with Trump’s MAGA approach.
Mike Gonzalez, a senior fellow at Heritage, said he meets with conservative
parties to share experience in dealing with common challenges — “comparing
notes, that kind of thing.” He said his interlocutors are “very interested” in
policies on abortion, gender theory, defense and China, adding that parts of
Project 2025 such as a section he wrote on defunding public broadcasters, are
“very transferable” to Europe.
The foundation has been active in Europe for years, he points out, but demand
has increased since Trump’s return to office. European right-wing leaders,
Gonzalez said, “see Trump and what he is doing and say, ‘I want to get me some
of that.’”
BETTER THE SECOND TIME
It’s not the first time MAGA has attempted to galvanize the European right.
Trump’s former strategist Steve Bannon unsuccessfully tried to unite populist
nationalist parties under the Movement think tank in 2019, hamstrung by a lack
of buy-in from the parties themselves.
Some observers are doubtful this renewed push will go differently. “I’m
skeptical that it will amount to much,” said EJ Fagan, an associate politics
professor at the University of Illinois and author of The Thinkers, a book on
partisan think tanks. “The European right have their own resources that produce
policies, so there’s not a lot Heritage can provide to European parties.”
That is especially an issue, Fagan noted, when it comes to finessing
legislation, since Heritage doesn’t have a deep bench of “people who have a fine
understanding of laws and treaties” in Europe.
But the Heritage Foundation’s European mission comes as far-right groups gain
ground across Europe by tapping public frustration over issues such as
immigration, climate policy and sovereignty and pushing policies that are
similar to those laid out in the group’s Project 2025 agenda.
Heritage Foundation’s president, Kevin Roberts, have also been speaking guests
at summits and assemblies of far-right groups such as Patriots for Europe. | Jim
Lo Scalzo/EPA
In Italy, two MPs have proposed legislation granting fetal personhood, which
would make abortion impossible. The regional government in Lazio is preparing to
approve a law that would guarantee protection of the fetus “from conception,”
echoing a similar push in the US. And Rocella, Meloni’s family minister who
appeared last month with Heritage’s Severino, is attempting to block a regional
law banning conscientious objectors from roles in clinics providing abortions.
It’s not just reproductive rights. Meloni’s government has pulled out of a
memorandum of understanding on the Belt and Road Initiative, the Chinese
government’s ambitious program that aims to finance over $1 trillion in
infrastructure investments. It effectively blocked Chinese telecoms giant Huawei
from being a part in telecommunications development.
Lucio Malan, an MP in Meloni’s Brothers of Italy party and a panelist at two
conferences organized with the Heritage Foundation, attempted to reverse a ban
on homophobic and sexist advertisements — though he told POLITICO he took part
in the events on the invitation of the center-right FareFuturo think tank, which
co-organized the events with Heritage.
Heritage and its allies in the Trump administration have everything to gain from
stronger nationalist parties in Europe, which are also pushing for delays in
climate and agriculture regulations and sided with the US and Big Tech on
digital regulation. Earlier this year, Heritage hosted the presentation of
proposals by two far-right European think tanks, Hungary’s Mathias Corvinus
Collegium (MCC) and Poland’s Ordo Iuris Institute for Legal Culture, to overhaul
and hollow out the EU, undermining the commission and the European Court of
Justice.
And Heritage’s activity in Europe comes as the organization faces a swirl of
controversy back home after Roberts sided with right-wing political commentator
Tucker Carlson over criticism for interviewing a white nationalist. The incident
triggered an open revolt against Roberts, who subsequently apologized.
The unexpectedly swift and wide-ranging implementation of Project 2025 in the
U.S. has boosted Heritage’s credentials in Europe, said Kenneth Haar of
Corporate Europe Observatory, a non-profit that monitors lobbying in the EU.
“Trump’s wholesale adoption of their agenda has given them unparalleled status,”
he said. Now, Haar added, Heritage “is not just a think tank from the U.S., it
is a representative of the MAGA coalition. It is not an exaggeration to say they
are carrying out foreign policy on behalf of the president.”
But the Heritage Foundation’s European mission comes as far-right groups gain
ground across Europe by tapping public frustration over issues such as
immigration, climate policy and sovereignty and pushing policies that are
similar to those laid out in the group’s Project 2025 agenda. | Shawn Thew/EPA
For Heritage, there’s good reason to focus on Europe in particular: It has
become a focal point for the group’s donors and activists in the U.S., who fret
about perceived Islamicization and leftist politics on the continent.
“We have an existential interest in having Europe be sovereign and free and
strong,” Gonzalez told POLITICO.
A RALLYING POINT
Historically, Europe’s right has struggled to cooperate, with different factions
representing conflicting national interests. But the machinery underpinning
Trump’s reelection, and his ability to move national policy in European
capitals, has shifted those dynamics, making Heritage “a factor in uniting the
European right,” Haar said.
“MAGA has become a rallying point, the European right is meeting more
frequently,” he added. Trump’s support for their policies also gives them more
“clout” in Europe, he said, as Europe’s leaders seek favor from Trump and his
allies across a range of issues, including tariffs.
Transparency activists said that they’re seeing a notable uptick in activity
that suggests Heritage is gaining traction beyond symposiums and events.
Raphaël Kergueno, Senior Policy Officer at Transparency International, a NGO
advocating against undue political influence, said the group’s activities —
including those undeclared meetings with MEPs, which may put those members in
breach of the European Parliament’s code of conduct — underscores the weakness
of European rules on lobbying and advocacy.
Kenneth Haar added, Heritage “is not just a think tank from the U.S., it is a
representative of the MAGA coalition. It is not an exaggeration to say they are
carrying out foreign policy on behalf of the president.” | Shawn Thew/EPA
“The Heritage Foundation has pushed blatantly anti-democratic projects, and is
now free to court MEPs without disclosing its goals or funding,” he said. “If
the EU does not clean up its act, it will allow hostile actors to import
authoritarianism through the backdoor.”
But Nicola Procaccini, an MEP in Meloni’s party who has held several meetings
with Heritage, dismissed the idea that Heritage presents a danger to the rule of
law or to European politics. He said he has not read Project 2025, and pointed
to the group’s long history as an economic policy powerhouse — though that has
changed in the Trump era, as the group’s new head Roberts has pivoted closer to
Trump.
Nevertheless, he said, “You can share or not share their views … but Heritage is
certainly an authoritative voice.”
China suspended a ban on exporting some dual-use materials to the U.S., the
Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced on Sunday, following the easing of trade
tensions between the two sides.
The move covers exports of gallium, germanium and antimony, which are used in
the production of advanced semiconductors used in smartphones and computing. The
materials are also used in military technologies such as electronic warfare and
surveillance systems, and, in the case of antimony, also missile systems and
ammunition.
Beijing suspended a measure introduced last year that restricted exports of
those materials and imposed stricter checks on dual-use items that include
graphite. The suspension will be in effect “from now until Nov. 27, 2026,” the
ministry said in a statement.
China’s President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump recently agree to
lower tariffs and ease other trade measures for one year, providing relief to
global value chains after a trade war that threatened to escalate.
Beijing has relaxed checks on exports of rare earths and lithium battery
materials and agreed to resume shipping key chips for Europe’s manufacturers.