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After Hungary was accused of leaking sensitive EU discussions to the Kremlin,
the spotlight is now shifting to Germany.
Zoya Sheftalovich is joined by Ian Wishart to unpack mounting concerns in
Brussels over the far-right AfD’s access to confidential EU documents — and
whether Europe’s open systems are creating new vulnerabilities.
The duo also discuss Denmark’s election, where Mette Frederiksen is fighting for
another term in a tight race, and break down a razor-thin result in Slovenia —
plus what Giorgia Meloni’s referendum defeat means for her authority at home.
And finally — Europe’s quirkiest contest returns. The “Eurovision of trees” is
about to crown its winner, and we want your pick. Which tree do you like the
most? Which one gets your vote? Send us your choice on our WhatsApp: +32 491 05
06 29.
Tag - Foreign Affairs
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Zoya Sheftalovich and Nick Vinocur unpack Donald Tusk’s accusation that Hungary
may have leaked sensitive European Council discussions to Moscow — and what that
means for trust, decision-making and Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán’s position in
Brussels.
Plus: Europe’s balancing act as Donald Trump turns up the pressure over Iran —
and a breakdown of the weekend’s voting in France and Germany.
Questions? Comments? Send them to our WhatsApp: +32 491 05 06 29.
BRUSSELS — The EU is limiting the flow of confidential material to Hungary and
leaders are meeting in smaller groups — as Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk
warned of long-standing suspicions Viktor Orbán’s government is sharing
information with Russia.
But there will not be any formal EU response to a fresh set of allegations
because of the possible impact on the Hungarian election on April 12, according
to five European diplomats and officials who told POLITICO they were concerned
about the risk of Budapest leaking sensitive information to the Kremlin.
“The news that Orbán’s people inform Moscow about EU Council meetings in every
detail shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone,” Polish Prime Minister Donald
Tusk, who has backed Hungarian opposition leader Péter Magyar in the election,
wrote on X on Sunday. “We’ve had our suspicions about that for a long time.
That’s one reason why I take the floor only when strictly necessary and say just
as much as necessary.”
In a report on Saturday the Washington Post said that Orbán’s government
maintained close contacts with Moscow throughout the war in Ukraine, and Foreign
Minister Péter Szijjártó used breaks during meetings with other member countries
to update his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov.
Worries about Hungary sending information directly to Moscow were behind the
rise of breakout formats with like-minded leaders, instead of holding meetings
with all 27 EU members, said one of the European government officials, who, like
others in this article, was granted anonymity to speak freely about sensitive
matters.
“Overall the less-than-loyal member states are the main reason why most of
relevant European diplomacy is now happening in different smaller formats — E3,
E4, E7, E8, Weimar, NB8, JEF, etc,” the official said.
The numerals refer to the number of European leaders in the group. The Weimar
alliance comprises France, Germany and Poland. NB8 is the eight countries in the
Nordics and Baltics. JEF is the Joint Expeditionary Force of 10 northern
European nations.
‘FAKE NEWS’
Former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis, who frequently
attended Council meetings where Szijjártó was present, told POLITICO he was
warned as early as 2024 that the Hungarian side could be passing on information
to Russia, and that he and his counterparts had limited the information they
shared when he was present.
Even ahead of a critical NATO summit in Vilnius in 2023, envoys moved to cut
Budapest’s delegation out of sensitive talks, Landsbergis said.
“We would only speak in formal terms, later breaking out to speak without
Hungary about the achievables of the summit,” he said.
The Bucharest Group of Nine, a club of countries on the military alliance’s
Eastern Flank, reportedly contemplated kicking Budapest out of the format the
following year over failures to agree on support for Ukraine.
Hungary’s Europe Minister János Bóka told POLITICO the reports over the weekend
were “fake news” designed as “a desperate reaction to [Orban’s party] Fidesz
gaining momentum in the election campaign. But the Hungarian people won’t be
deceived.”
János Bóka, Hungary’s EU affairs minister, is pictured at a General Affairs
Council in Brussels, Belgium on Jan. 28, 2025. | Martin Bertrand/Hans Lucas/AFP
via Getty Images
For his part, Szijjártó rejected the content of the Washington Post article and
accused the media of putting forward “conspiracy theories that are more
preposterous than anything seen before.”
More information could be held back in light of the fresh allegations, one of
the diplomats said. “There is an argument to be made for classification of info
and documents on the EU side,” the diplomat said. While using the classified
designation “isn’t a silver bullet,” it could “serve as a deterrent against
leaks and the passing of sensitive info to third parties. It would also make
investigations more automatic.”
NO SURPRISES
The five diplomats said they were unsurprised by the news, but that any formal
response would depend on whether Orbán is re-elected in April. Despite lagging
behind Magyar’s Tisza in the polls, the Hungarian prime minister told POLITICO
on Friday he could “certainly” secure another term.
“It undermines trust, cooperation, and the integrity of the European Union,”
said a second diplomat of the allegations. “It’s a deplorable situation. If he
stays after [the] election, I think the EU need to find ways to deal with this
in another manner.”
Another cautioned that whatever the EU and its leaders do, Orbán will use it in
his favor in the campaign. “I don’t think anybody is eager to do anything that
would add oil to fire before April 12,” they said.
Despite widespread agreement on the threat posed by Russia, a fourth diplomat
pointed out that the content of discussions among leaders and foreign ministers
are routinely reported in the press and frequently take place in an unrestricted
format, meaning leaders don’t leave their phones outside to minimize the risk of
surveillance. But the optics of an EU government working so closely with a
hostile state remains politically explosive.
“The fact that the Hungarian foreign minister, a close friend of [Russian
Foreign Minister] Sergey Lavrov, has been reporting to the Russians practically
minute by minute from every EU meeting is outright treason,” Magyar said at a
campaign rally over the weekend. “This man has not only betrayed his own
country, but Europe as well.”
The allegations come as Orbán’s foreign supporters set course for Budapest to
help him campaign in the final stretch of the elections. Polish President Karol
Nawrocki — a political rival of Tusk’s — will attend events on Monday, while
U.S. Vice President JD Vance will jet in ahead of the vote next month.
Orbán refused to sign off on €90 billion in much-needed loans for Ukraine at
Friday’s European Council, sparking a furious reaction from fellow leaders.
“It wouldn’t be surprising if this proves true,” said a fifth EU diplomat of the
allegations. “Hungary has long been [Russian President Vladimir] Putin’s ally
within the EU and continues to sabotage European security. The blocked €90
billion is simply the latest example of that pattern.”
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk on Sunday said a media report alleging
Hungary’s foreign minister regularly called his Russian counterpart to brief him
during EU summits “shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone.”
“We’ve had our suspicions about that for a long time,” Tusk posted on social
media network X. “That’s one reason why I take the floor only when strictly
necessary and say just as much as necessary.”
The Washington Post in a story published Saturday quoted an anonymous European
security official as saying that Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó made
regular phone calls during breaks at EU summits to provide his Russian
counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, with “live reports on what’s been discussed” and
possible solutions. POLITICO has not independently verified the story.
Szijjártó denied the claims in a post on X on Sunday, calling it “fake news.”
Szijjártó was responding to a X post by Poland’s Foreign Minister and Deputy
Prime Minister Radosław Sikorski that referenced the Washington Post claim.
“This would explain a lot, Peter. @FM_Szijjarto,” Sikorski wrote.
“Fake news as always,” Szijjártó responded to Sikorski. “You are telling lies in
order to support Tisza Party to have a pro-war puppet government in Hungary. You
will not have it!”
The Post’s story also said that Russia’s foreign intelligence service (SVR) had
proposed staging an assassination attempt against Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orbán to boost plummeting public support ahead of next month’s
parliamentary election in that country. It cited an “an internal report for the
SVR obtained and authenticated by a European intelligence service and reviewed
by The Washington Post.”
Orbán goes head to head in the polls next month with conservative opposition
leader Péter Magyar, for the Tisza Party, who has emerged as a serious
challenger.
Szijjártó extended his defense against the allegations in a post on Facebook.
Hungarians can “see clearly that this fake news, these lies that are part of
Ukrainian propaganda, are not created for anything else, except to support the
Tisza Party in the Hungarian election and to influence the outcome of the
elections,” Szijjártó said on Facebook.
Magyar weighed into the controversy on the campaign trail. “The fact that the
Hungarian foreign minister, a good friend of Sergei Lavrov, reports to the
Russians almost every minute about every EU meeting is pure treason,” Magyar
said in the Hungarian village of Nyúl, as reported by Hungarian outlet Telex.
“This man has betrayed not only his country, but Europe.”
Iranian missiles late Saturday hit two southern Israeli towns close to a nuclear
facility in what Tehran said was retaliation for Israeli strikes on Iran’s
nuclear site at Natanz.
More than 160 people were injured in the strikes, which hit the towns of
Dimona and Arad near Israel’s Negev Nuclear Research Center, according to the
Israeli health ministry.
The attack came as U.S. President Donald Trump warned that the United States
will “obliterate” energy plants in Iran if the government in Tehran doesn’t
fully open the Strait of Hormuz, giving the country a 48-hour deadline to
comply. Tehran warned in reply that any strike on its energy facilities would
prompt retaliatory attacks on U.S. and Israeli energy and infrastructure
facilities.
Iranian state TV said Saturday’s strikes by Tehran were a response to an attack
on Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility earlier in the day, according to the BBC.
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of Iran’s parliament, said the fact that
ballistic missiles evaded Israeli defenses and struck near the nuclear research
site appears to signal “a new phase” in the war.
“If Israel is unable to intercept missiles in the heavily protected Dimona area,
it is, operationally, a sign of entering a new phase of the conflict,” he posted
on social media network X. “Israel’s skies are defenseless.”
He added that the “time has come to implement the next pre-planned schemes,”
without providing further details.
Israeli military spokesman Effie Defrin said the strikes did not represent a new
threat. “The air defense systems operated but did not intercept the missile. We
will investigate the incident and learn from it,” he wrote on X.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it had been a “very difficult
evening,” and vowed to “continue to strike our enemies on all fronts.”
The International Atomic Energy Agency said it was aware of the strikes near the
nuclear research center and has not received any indication of damage to the
facility, nor any information from regional states indicating that abnormal
radiation levels have been detected.
YOKOSUKA, Japan — Germany is seeking to deepen defense ties with Japan, with
Defense Minister Boris Pistorius proposing a new agreement to make it easier for
troops from both countries to operate on each other’s territory.
Speaking at Japan’s Yokosuka naval base after talks with Japanese Defense
Minister Shinjirō Koizumi on Sunday, Pistorius said Berlin had floated a
so-called Reciprocal Access Agreement — a framework designed to “ease the
exchange of soldiers in each other’s countries and significantly reduce
bureaucratic hurdles.”
Such agreements allow partner countries to deploy troops on each other’s soil
more easily for training, exercises or operations by streamlining legal and
administrative procedures. Japan has signed similar deals with countries like
the United Kingdom and Australia as it deepens its own security ties amid rising
regional tensions.
The proposal marks a step beyond Germany’s recent Indo-Pacific engagements,
which have largely focused on joint exercises and short-term deployments. It
signals a shift toward more structured military cooperation with Berlin’s
partners in the region.
Pistorius framed the move as part of a broader response to growing global
instability. “How close our partnership is has become clear in light of the
current developments in Iran and the Middle East,” he said, pointing to Japan’s
heavy reliance on energy imports through the Strait of Hormuz. “The freedom of
sea routes must be guaranteed and protected.”
Germany and Japan share an interest in securing global trade routes, he added,
stressing that both countries remain committed to the rules-based international
order. “We are united by the conviction that the strength of the law must
prevail,” Pistorius said.
The initiative also reflects a broader strategic shift in Berlin and Tokyo. As
both governments face rising pressure from authoritarian powers — from Russia’s
war in Ukraine to China and North Korea in East Asia — they are increasingly
treating their security challenges as interconnected, translating those shared
concerns into closer bilateral defense cooperation.
The Trump administration is telling foreign officials and others that it will
not reschedule a summit between the U.S. president and Chinese leader Xi Jinping
until the Iran war ends.
A Washington-based diplomat privy to U.S.-China summit planning confirmed that
the administration has made clear “the next dates for the Trump-Xi summit will
only be proposed after the active part of the Iran conflict is over.” A
Washington-based individual close to the administration also briefed on White
House summit planning confirmed the administration shared that timeline.
POLITICO granted both the people anonymity because they were not authorized to
speak publicly about sensitive diplomatic discussions.
The U.S. State Department directed queries to the White House. The White House
denied the summit timeline was tied to the Iran war.
“This is fake news. The United States and China are having productive
discussions about rescheduling President Trump’s visit — announcements are
forthcoming,” White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said.
The Chinese embassy said it had “no information to provide” about the possible
delay in summit scheduling.
The long-anticipated meeting between Trump and Xi had originally been planned
for the end of March, but Trump said Monday the meeting would be pushed back “a
month or so” because “we’ve got a war going on.” On Thursday, he said it would
happen in “about a month and a half.”
Speaking to reporters on Wednesday, White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt
suggested the meeting might not take place until after May. “The president has
some things here at home in May that he has to attend to, and I’m sure President
Xi is a very busy man, as well, so we’ll get the dates on the books as soon as
we can,” Leavitt said.
Tying the summit preparations to the end of the Iran conflict could mean
additional delays to a meeting intended to maintain stability in a fragile
U.S.-China trade truce.
As the war on Iran enters its fourth week, the Trump administration appears to
be preparing for a longer conflict. The U.S. has made detailed plans for the
deployment of ground troops onto Iranian soil, CBS News reported Friday. The
administration is also moving to dispatch thousands of troops to the region.
Trump told reporters Thursday he’s “not putting troops anywhere” but then added:
“If I were, I certainly wouldn’t tell you.”
“There are operational constraints to managing a war from a foreign country —
particularly a hostile one like China,” said the person close to the
administration. “It would be terribly awkward for Trump and Xi to transact in
this climate.”
On Friday, Trump signaled a potential wind-down in the Iran conflict in a Truth
Social post, suggesting the U.S. could scale back its role while pushing allies
to take on more responsibility in securing the Strait of Hormuz, the major
commercial waterway that connects the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea.
“We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down
our great military efforts in the Middle East,” Trump wrote.
Trump and Xi made progress toward heading off an intensified trade war in an
October meeting in South Korea. During that meeting, Xi committed to Chinese
purchases of U.S. agricultural products like soybeans and the elimination of
many of Beijing’s restrictions on critical minerals exports. In return, Trump
agreed to extend a pause on triple-digit tariffs on Chinese goods.
Wendy Cutler, a former negotiator in the U.S. Trade Representative’s office,
argued this work can continue even if Trump and Xi don’t meet again in person.
“The stabilization part of this won’t necessarily be jeopardized without a
meeting,” she said. “Now, if something happens in the war, either foreseen or
unforeseen, there’s just lots of flash points that can threaten this truce,
which are unforeseeable at this period.”
Rush Doshi, former senior director for China and Taiwan in the Biden
administration, said a meeting between the two leaders is important to
strengthening and maintaining the bilateral relationship.
“Without leader-to-leader communication to manage a relationship of this
complexity until the war is over — and there’s no sense of when the war is going
to be over — there’s a real risk the relationship is going to be less stable
than people might have expected,” said Doshi, now at the Council on Foreign
Relations.
The Trump administration is doubling down on its endorsement of Hungarian leader
Viktor Orbán in next month’s Hungarian elections, even as Orbán’s deal-blocking
in Brussels has been labeled “unacceptable” by EU peers.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday reiterated his “complete and total
endorsement” of Orbán in the Hungarian elections. And U.S. Vice President JD
Vance is reportedly due to fly to Budapest in April in support of the prime
minister.
The EU’s longest-serving leader, facing an election in less than a month that he
is forecast to lose, has long been a thorn in the side of Brussels. In the
latest stand-off against his European counterparts, Orbán held hostage a €90
billion loan to Ukraine this week over an oil dispute.
“The prime minister has been a strong leader whose shown the entire world what’s
possible when you defend your borders, your culture, your heritage, your
sovereignty and your values,” Trump said in a video address to the Conservative
Political Action Conference (CPAC) taking place in Hungary on Saturday.
Trump praised Hungary’s “strong borders” and said the country will continue to
“work very hard on immigration,” and said Europe has to “work very hard” to
solve “a lot of problems” around immigration.
The American president said that Hungary and the U.S. are “showing the way
toward a revitalized West,” and would also work “hard together on energy.”
Vance is planning an April trip to Budapest just ahead of the Hungarian
elections in a show of support for Orbán, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter
Szijjarto confirmed in a podcast on Friday. Reuters first reported on Vance’s
planned trip to Budapest.
Switzerland said it won’t allow weapons exports to the U.S. as long as
Washington is involved in its ongoing military campaign against Iran.
The Swiss government said on Friday that it will not sign off on any new
licenses for the export of war materiel to countries involved in the conflict,
citing Switzerland’s commitment to neutrality.
Switzerland said that it has not issued new export licenses to send weapons to
the U.S. since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Tehran on Feb. 28.
Existing licenses to export weapons to the U.S. can continue as they are not
relevant “to the war at present,” but they will be kept under review in case
they conflict with Swiss neutrality laws, it said.
Exports of other dual-use and military goods, and other goods affected by
sanctions against Iran, will also be kept under review, it added.
Switzerland has not granted weapons export licenses for Israel or Iran for a
“number of years,” the government said.
Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other on Saturday, the latest in
a string of attacks since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Tehran in late
February.
The U.S., meanwhile, was sending thousands more Marines to the Middle East,
according to media reports, even as U.S. President Donald Trump broached
“winding down” American military operations in the regioin.
Israel’s military said Saturday’s attacks targeted “the Iranian terrorist
regime” in Tehran, as well as “Hezbollah targets” in Beruit. Israel also said
that it identified missiles fired from Iran at Israeli territory.
Tehran also fired two ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, a joint U.S.-U.K.
military base in the middle of the Indian Ocean, but did not hit the base,
according to a report by the Wall Street Journal.
The British government condemned “Iran’s reckless strikes” and confirmed
London’s agreement for Washington to use U.K. bases in attacks against Iranian
“missile sites and capabilities being used to attack ships in the Strait of
Hormuz.” The U.K. “is working closely with international partners to develop a
viable plan to safeguard international shipping in the Strait of Hormuz,” it
said in a statement.
Defense ministries in Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates said on Saturday
that they were responding to incoming missile and drone threats, as the conflict
continues to spill over into Persian Gulf states.
Trump said in a Truth Social post late Friday that Washington is “getting very
close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down” the U.S. military
campaign against Iran. He listed the objectives being met as “completely
degrading” Iran’s missile capability, “destroying” the country’s defense
industrial base, “eliminating” Iran’s navy and air force, keeping the country
far away from nuclear capability, and protecting U.S. allies in the Middle East.
Trump’s statement is at odds with the reports that the U.S. is sending more
troops and warships to the region, and has requested another $200 billion from
Congress to fund the war.
The conflict has caused global oil prices to spike, driven in part by Israeli
strikes on Iran’s vast offshore gas field and Iran’s closure of the Strait of
Hormuz, a critical trade passage that facilitates a significant share of the
world’s oil and natural gas trade.
The U.S. said on Friday that it would temporarily waive sanctions on Iranian oil
to help ease the short term shock to global markets, as Trump called NATO allies
“cowards” for refusing to join the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran and help reopen
the Hormuz channel.