LONDON — U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is braced for a meeting with Chinese
leader Xi Jinping — and there’ll be more than a few elephants in the room.
Though Britain has improved its relationship with China following the more
combative approach of previous Conservative administrations, a litany of
concerns over national security and human rights continues to dog Labour’s
attempted refresh.
Starmer, who will meet the Chinese president in Beijing Thursday morning, told
reporters engaging with China means he can discuss “issues where we disagree.”
“You know that in the past, on all the trips I’ve done, I’ve always raised
issues that need to be raised,” he said during a huddle with journalists on the
British Airways flight to China on Tuesday evening.
In a sign of how hard it can be to engage on more tricky subjects, Chinese
officials bundled the British press out of the room when Starmer tried to bring
up undesirable topics the last time the pair met.
From hacking and spying to China’s foreign policy aims, POLITICO has a handy
guide to all the ways Starmer could rile up the Chinese president.
1) STATE-SPONSORED HACKING
China is one of the biggest offenders in cyberspace and is regarded by the
U.K.’s National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) — part of Britain’s GCHQ
intelligence agency — as a “highly sophisticated threat actor.” The Electoral
Commission said it has taken three years to recover from a Chinese hack of its
systems.
The Chinese state, and private companies linked directly or obliquely to its
cyber and espionage agencies, have been directly accused by the British
government, its intelligence agencies and allies. As recently as last month, the
U.K. government sanctioned two Chinese companies — both named by the U.S. as
linked to Chinese intelligence — for hacking Britain and its allies.
2) ACTIONS AGAINST BRITISH PARLIAMENTARIANS
Politicians in Britain who have spoken out against Chinese human rights abuses
and hostile activity have been censured by Beijing in recent years. This
includes the sanctioning of 5 British MPs in 2021, including the former security
minister Tom Tugendhat, who has been banned from entering the country.
Last year, Liberal Democrat MP Wera Hobhouse was refused entry to Hong Kong
while attempting to visit her grandson, and was turned back by officials. The
government said that the case was raised with Chinese authorities during a visit
to China by Douglas Alexander, who was trade minister at the time.
3) JIMMY LAI
In 2020, the British-Hong Kong businessman and democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai
was arrested under national security laws imposed by Beijing and accused of
colluding with a foreign state. Lai — who is in his late 70s — has remained in
prison ever since.
Last month, a Hong Kong court convicted Lai of three offenses following what his
supporters decried as a 156-day show trial. He is currently awaiting the final
decisions relating to sentencing — with bodies including the EU parliament
warning that a life imprisonment could have severe consequences for Europe’s
relationship with China if he is not released. Lai’s son last year called for
the U.K. government to make his father’s release a precondition of closer
relations with Beijing.
4) REPRESSION OF DISSIDENTS
China, like Iran, is involved in the active monitoring and intimidation of those
it considers dissidents on foreign soil — known as trans-national repression.
China and Hong Kong law enforcement agencies have repeatedly issued arrest
warrants for nationals living in Britain and other Western countries.
British police in 2022 were forced to investigate an assault on a protester
outside the Chinese consulate in Manchester. The man was beaten by several men
after being dragged inside the grounds of the diplomatic building during a
demonstration against Xi Jinping. China removed six officials from Britain
before they could be questioned.
5) CHINESE SPY SCANDALS
Westminster was last year rocked by a major Chinese spying scandal involving two
British men accused of monitoring British parliamentarians and passing
information back to Beijing. Though the case against the two men collapsed, the
MI5 intelligence agency still issued an alert to MPs, peers and their staff,
warning Chinese intelligence officers were “attempting to recruit people with
access to sensitive information about the British state.”
It is not the only China spy allegation to embroil the upper echelons of British
society. Yang Tengbo, who in 2024 outed himself as an alleged spy banned from
entering the U.K., was a business associate of Andrew Windsor , the` disgraced
brother of King Charles. Christine Lee, a lawyer who donated hundreds of
thousands of pounds to a Labour MP, was the subject of a security alert from
British intelligence.
In October, Ken McCallum, the head of MI5, said that his officers had
“intervened operationally” against China that month.
6) EMBASSY DING DONG
This month — after a protracted political and planning battle — the government
approved the construction of a Chinese “super-embassy” in London. This came
after a litany of security concerns were raised by MPs and in the media,
including the building’s proximity to sensitive cables, which it is alleged
could be used to aid Chinese spying.
Britain has its own embassy headache in China. Attempts to upgrade the U.K.
mission in Beijing were reportedly blocked while China’s own London embassy plan
was in limbo.
7) SANCTIONS EVASION
China has long been accused of helping facilitate sanctions evasion for
countries such as Russia and Iran. Opaque customs and trade arrangements have
allegedly allowed prohibited shipments of oil and dual-use technology to flow
into countries that are sanctioned by Britain and its allies.
Britain has already sanctioned some Chinese companies accused of aiding Russia’s
war in Ukraine. China has called for Britain to stop making “groundless
accusations” about its involvement in Russia’s war efforts.
8) HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES AND GREEN ENERGY
U.K. ministers are under pressure from MPs and human rights organizations to get
tougher on China over reported human rights abuses in the country’s Xinjiang
region — where many of the world’s solar components are sourced.
In a meeting with China’s Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang last March, Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband raised the issue of forced labor in supply chains,
according to a government readout of the meeting. But he also stressed the need
for deeper collaboration with China as the U.K.’s lofty clean power goal looms.
British academic Laura Murphy — who was researching the risk of forced labor in
supply chains — had her work halted by Sheffield Hallam University amid claims
of pressure from China. “I know that there are other researchers who don’t feel
safe speaking out in public, who are experiencing similar things, although often
more subtly,” Murphy said last year.
9) THE FUTURE OF TAIWAN
China continues to assert that “Taiwan is a province of China” amid reports it
is stepping up preparations for military intervention in the region.
In October, the Telegraph newspaper published an op-ed from the Chinese
ambassador to Britain, which said: “Taiwan has never been a country. There is
but one China, and both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one and the same
China.”
In a sign of just how sensitive the matter is, Beijing officials reportedly
threatened to cancel high-level trade talks between China and the U.K. after
Alexander, then a trade minister, travelled to Taipei last June.
10) CHINA POOTLING AROUND THE ARCTIC
Britain is pushing for greater European and NATO involvement in the Arctic amid
concern that both China and Russia are becoming more active in the strategically
important area. There is even more pressure to act, with U.S. President Donald
Trump making clear his Greenland aspirations.
In October, a Chinese container ship completed a pioneering journey through the
Arctic to a U.K. port — halving the usual time it takes to transport electric
cars and solar panels destined for Europe.
Tag - Spying
LONDON — Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney left Beijing and promptly declared
the U.S.-led “world order” broken. Don’t expect his British counterpart to do
the same.
Keir Starmer will land in the Chinese capital Wednesday for the first visit by a
U.K. prime minister since 2018. By meeting President Xi Jinping, he will end
what he has called an “ice age” under the previous Conservative administration,
and try to win deals that he can sell to voters as a boost to Britain’s
sputtering economy.
Starmer is one of a queue of leaders flocking to the world’s second-largest
economy, including France’s Emmanuel Macron in December and Germany’s Friedrich
Merz next month. Like Carney did in Davos last week, the British PM has warned
the world is the most unstable it has been for a generation.
Yet unlike Carney, Starmer is desperate not to paint this as a rupture from the
U.S. — and to avoid the criticism Trump unleashed on Carney in recent days over
his dealings with China. The U.K. PM is trying to ride three horses at once,
staying friendly — or at least engaging — with Washington D.C., Brussels and
Beijing.
It is his “three-body problem,” joked a senior Westminster figure who has long
worked on British-China relations.
POLITICO spoke to 22 current and former officials, MPs, diplomats, industry
figures and China experts, most of whom were granted anonymity to speak frankly.
They painted a picture of a leader walking the same tightrope he always has
surrounded by grim choices — from tricky post-Brexit negotiations with the EU,
to Donald Trump taking potshots at British policies and freezing talks on a
U.K.-U.S. tech deal.
Starmer wants his (long-planned) visit to China to secure growth, but be
cautious enough not to compromise national security or enrage Trump. He appears
neither to have ramped up engagement with Beijing in response to Trump, nor
reduced it amid criticism of China’s espionage and human rights record.
In short, he doesn’t want any drama.
“Starmer is more managerial. He wants to keep the U.K.’s relationships with big
powers steady,” said one person familiar with planning for the trip. “You can’t
really imagine him doing a Carney or a Macron and using the trip to set out a
big geopolitical vision.”
An official in 10 Downing Street added: “He’s clear that it is in the U.K.’s
interests to have a relationship with the world’s second biggest economy. While
the U.S. is our closest ally, he rejects the suggestion that means you can’t
have pragmatic dealings with China.”
He will be hoping Trump — whose own China visit is planned for April — sees it
that way too.
BRING OUT THE CAVALRY
Starmer has one word in his mind for this trip — growth, which was just 0.1
percent in the three months to September.
The prime minister will be flanked by executives from City giants HSBC, Standard
Chartered, Schroders and the London Stock Exchange Group; pharmaceutical company
AstraZeneca; car manufacturer Jaguar Land Rover; energy provider Octopus; and
Brompton, the folding bicycle manufacturer.
The priority in Downing Street will be bringing back “a sellable headline,” said
the person familiar with trip planning quoted above. The economy is the
overwhelming focus. While officials discussed trying to secure a political win,
such as China lifting sanctions it imposed on British parliamentarians in 2021,
one U.K. official said they now believe this to be unlikely.
Between them, five people familiar with the trip’s planning predicted a large
number of deals, dialogues and memorandums of understanding — but largely in
areas with the fewest national security concerns.
These are likely to include joint work on medical, health and life sciences,
cooperation on climate science, and work to highlight Mandarin language schemes,
the people said.
Officials are also working on the mutual recognition of professional
qualifications and visa-free travel for short stays, while firms have been
pushing for more expansive banking and insurance licences for British companies
operating in China. The U.K. is meanwhile likely to try to persuade Beijing to
lower import tariffs on Scotch whisky, which doubled in February 2025.
A former U.K. official who was involved in Britain’s last prime ministerial
visit to China, by Theresa May in 2018, predicted all deals will already be
“either 100 or 99 percent agreed, in the system, and No. 10 will already have a
firm number in its head that it can announce.”
THREADING THE NEEDLE
Yet all five people agreed there is unlikely to be a deal on heavy energy
infrastructure, including wind turbine technology, that could leave Britain
vulnerable to China. The U.K. has still not decided whether to let Ming Yang, a
Chinese firm, invest £1.5 billion in a wind farm off the coast of Scotland.
And while Carney agreed to ease tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs),
three of the five people familiar with the trip’s planning said that any deep
co-operation on EV technology is likely to be off the table. One of them
predicted: “This won’t be another Canada moment. I don’t see us opening the
floodgates on EVs.”
Britain is trying to stick to “amber and green areas” for any deals, said the
first person familiar with the planning. The second of the five people said: “I
think they‘re going for the soft, slightly lovey stuff.”
Britain has good reason to be reluctant, as Chinese-affiliated groups have long
been accused of hacking and espionage, including against MPs and Britain’s
Electoral Commission. Westminster was gripped by headlines in December about a
collapsed case against two men who had been accused of spying for China. Chinese
firm Huawei was banned from helping build the U.K.’s 5G phone network in 2020
after pressure from Trump.
Even now, Britain’s security agencies are working on mitigations to
telecommunications cables near the Tower of London. They pass close to the
boundary of China’s proposed embassy, which won planning approval last week.
Andrew Small, director of the Asia Programme at the European Council on Foreign
Relations, a think tank working on foreign and security policy, said: “The
current debate about how to ‘safely’ increase China’s role in U.K. green energy
supplies — especially through wind power — has serious echoes of 5G all over
again, and is a bigger concern on the U.S. side than the embassy decision.”
Starmer and his team also “don’t want to antagonize the Americans” ahead of
Trump’s own visit in April, said the third of the five people familiar with trip
planning. “They’re on eggshells … if they announce a new dialogue on United
Nations policy or whatever bullshit they can come up with, any of those could be
interpreted as a broadside to the Trump administration.”
All these factors mean Starmer’s path to a “win” is narrow. Tahlia Peterson, a
fellow working on China at Chatham House, the international affairs think tank,
said: “Starmer isn’t going to ‘reset’ the relationship in one visit or unlock
large-scale Chinese investment into Britain’s core infrastructure.”
Small said foreign firms are being squeezed out of the Chinese market and Xi is
“weaponizing” the dependency on Chinese supply chains. He added: “Beijing will
likely offer extremely minor concessions in areas such as financial services,
[amounting to] no more than a rounding error in economic scale.”
Chancellor Rachel Reeves knows the pain of this. Britain’s top finance minister
was mocked when she returned with just £600 million of agreements from her visit
to China a year ago. One former Tory minister said the figure was a “deliberate
insult” by China.
Even once the big win is in the bag, there is the danger of it falling apart on
arrival. Carney announced Canada and China would expand visa-free travel, only
for Beijing’s ambassador to Ottawa to say that the move was not yet official.
Despite this, businesses have been keen on Starmer’s re-engagement.
Rain Newton-Smith, director-general of the Confederation of British Industry,
said firms are concerned about the dependence on Chinese rare earths but added:
“If you map supply chains from anywhere, the idea that you can decouple from
China is impossible. It’s about how that trade can be facilitated in the best
way.”
EMBASSY ROW
Even if Starmer gets his wins, this visit will bring controversies that (critics
say) show the asymmetry in Britain’s relationship with China. A tale of two
embassies serves as a good metaphor.
Britain finally approved plans last week for China’s new outpost in London,
despite a long row over national security. China held off formally confirming
Starmer’s visit until the London embassy decision was finalized, the first
person familiar with planning for the trip said. (Others point out Starmer would
not want to go until the issue was resolved.)
The result was a scramble in which executives were only formally invited a week
before take-off.
And Britain has not yet received approval to renovate its own embassy in
Beijing. Officials privately refer to the building as “falling down,” while one
person who has visited said construction materials were piled up against walls.
It is “crumbling,” added another U.K. official: “The walls have got cracks on
them, the wallpaper’s peeling off, it’s got damp patches.”
British officials refused to give any impression of a “quid pro quo” for the two
projects under the U.K.’s semi-judicial planning system. But that means much of
Whitehall still does not know if Britain’s embassy revamp in Beijing will be
approved, or held back until China’s project in London undergoes a further
review in the courts. U.K. officials are privately pressing their Chinese
counterparts to give the green light.
One of the people keenest on a breakthrough will be Britain’s new ambassador to
Beijing Peter Wilson, a career diplomat described by people who have met him as
“outstanding,” “super smart” and “very friendly.”
For Wilson, hosting Starmer will be one of his trickiest jobs yet.
The everyday precautions when doing business in China have made preparations for
this trip more intense. Government officials and corporate executives are
bringing secure devices and will have been briefed on the risk of eavesdropping
and honeytraps.
One member of Theresa May’s 2018 delegation to China recalled opening the door
of what they thought was their vehicle, only to see several people with headsets
on, listening carefully and typing. They compared it to a scene in a spy film.
Activists and MPs will put Starmer under pressure to raise human rights issues —
including what campaigners say is a genocide against the Uyghur people in
Xinjiang province — on a trip governed by strict protocol where one stray word
can derail a deal.
Pro-democracy publisher Jimmy Lai, who has British nationality, is facing
sentencing in Hong Kong imminently for national security offenses. During the
PM’s last meeting with Xi in 2024, Chinese officials bundled British journalists
out of the room when he raised the case. Campaigners had thought Lai’s
sentencing could take place this week.
All these factors mean tension in the British state — which has faced a tussle
between “securocrats” and departments pushing for growth — has been high ahead
of the trip. Government comments on China are workshopped carefully before
publication.
Earlier this month, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told POLITICO her work on
Beijing involves looking at “transnational repression” and “espionage threats.”
But when Chancellor Rachel Reeves met China’s Finance Minister He Lifeng in
Davos last week to tee up Starmer’s visit, the U.K. Treasury did not publicize
the meeting — beyond a little-noticed photo on its Flickr account.
SLOW BOAT TO CHINA
Whatever the controversies, Labour’s China stance has been steadily taking shape
since before Starmer took office in 2024.
Labour drew inspiration from its sister party in Australia and the U.S.
Democrats, both of which had regular meetings with Beijing. Party aides argued
that after a brief “golden era” under Conservative PM David Cameron, Britain
engaged less with China than with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. The
result of Labour’s thinking was the policy of “three Cs” — “challenge, compete,
and cooperate.”
A procession of visits to Beijing followed, most notably Reeves last year,
culminating in Starmer’s trip. His National Security Adviser Jonathan Powell was
involved in planning across much of 2025, even travelling to meet China’s top
diplomat, Wang Yi, in November.
Starmer teed up this week’s visit with a December speech arguing the “binary”
view of China had persisted for too long. He promised to engage with Beijing
carefully while taking a “more transactional approach to pretty well
everything.”
The result was that this visit has long been locked in; just as Labour aides
argue the London embassy decision was set in train in 2018, when the Tory
government gave diplomatic consent for the site.
Labour ministers “just want to normalize” the fact of dealing with China, said
the senior Westminster figure quoted above. Newton-Smith added: “I think the
view is that the government’s engagement with eyes wide open is the right
strategy. And under the previous government, we did lose out.”
But for each person who praises the re-engagement, there are others who say it
has left Britain vulnerable while begging for scraps at China’s table. Hawks
argue the hard details behind the “three Cs” were long nebulous, while Labour’s
long-awaited “audit” of U.K.-China relations was delayed before being folded
briefly into a wider security document.
“Every single bad decision now can be traced back to the first six months,”
argued the third person familiar with planning quoted above. “They were
absolutely ill-prepared and made a series of decisions that have boxed them into
a corner.” They added: “The government lacks the killer instinct to deal with
China. It’s not in their DNA.”
Luke de Pulford, a human rights campaigner and director of the
Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, argued the Tories had engaged with China
— Foreign Secretary James Cleverly visited in 2023 — and Labour was simply going
much further.
“China is pursuing an enterprise to reshape the global order in its own image,
and to that end, to change our institutions and way of life to the extent that
they’re an obstacle to it,” he said. “That’s what they’re up to — and we keep
falling for it.”
END OF THE OLD ORDER?
His language may be less dramatic, but Starmer’s visit to China does have some
parallels with Canada. Carney’s trip was the first by a Canadian PM since 2017,
and he and Xi agreed a “new strategic partnership.”
Later at Davos, the Canadian PM talked of “the end of a pleasant fiction” and
warned multilateral institutions such as the United Nations are under threat.
One British industry figure who attended Davos said of Carney’s speech: “It was
great. Everyone was talking about it. Someone said to me that was the best and
most poignant speech they’d ever seen at the World Economic Forum. That may be a
little overblown, but I guess most of the speeches at the WEF are quite dull.”
The language used by Starmer, a former human rights lawyer devoted to
multilateralism, has not been totally dissimilar. Britain could no longer “look
only to international institutions to uphold our values and interests,” he said
in December. “We must do it ourselves through deals and alliances.”
But while some in the U.K. government privately agree with Carney’s point, the
real difference is the two men’s approach to Trump.
Starmer will temper his messaging carefully to avoid upsetting either his
Chinese hosts or the U.S., even as Trump throws semi-regular rocks at Britain.
To Peterson, this is unavoidable. “China, the U.S. and the EU are likely to
continue to dominate global economic growth for the foreseeable future,” she
said. “Starmer’s choice is not whether to engage, but how.”
Esther Webber contributed reporting.
BRUSSELS — Hungarian Commissioner Olivér Várhelyi has said he didn’t know
anything about a spy ring that allegedly operated out of Budapest’s embassy to
the EU while he was in charge.
When quizzed on the scandal by EU lawmakers on Monday, Várhelyi said he hadn’t
been approached by intelligence services to pass on secret information. “Have I
been approached by the Hungarian or any other services? No, I have not,” he told
MEPs in a European Parliament committee meeting.
A joint investigation by Hungarian outlet Direkt36, Germany’s Der Spiegel,
Belgian daily De Tijd and others reported in October that Hungarian intelligence
officials disguised as diplomats had tried to infiltrate EU institutions and
recruit spies between 2012 and 2018.
At the time the reports surfaced, Várhelyi told European Commission President
Ursula von der Leyen that he was “not aware” of the alleged Hungarian efforts, a
denial he repeated on Monday.
“I had no knowledge of this claim which was made in the press,” he told MEPs in
response to a question from Greens lawmaker Daniel Freund.
Freund had asked the commissioner if he had known of any of the activities
supposedly run out of the Hungarian permanent representation to the EU, which he
worked at from 2011 and ran from 2015.
Hungarian officials working in the EU institutions at the time described the
network to POLITICO as an open secret in the Belgian capital.
Following the media reports, Hungarian opposition leader Péter Magyar — who also
worked at the Hungarian permanent representation under Várhelyi — accused him of
withholding information about his time as an ambassador.
“In my opinion, Olivér Várhelyi, the current EU Commissioner and former EU
Ambassador (and my former boss), did not reveal the whole truth when he denied
this during the official investigation the other day,” Magyar wrote in a
Facebook post.
“It was a common fact at the EU Embassy in Brussels, that during the period of
János Lázár’s ministry in 2015-2018, secret service people were deployed to
Brussels,” he continued.
The Commission last year set up an internal group to look into the claims that
Hungarian officials had spied on the EU institutions. Commission spokesperson
Balazs Ujvari told reporters on Monday that its work is “ongoing.”
Gerardo Fortuna contributed to this report.
In the desolate Arctic desert of Kangerlussuaq, Greenland, Europeans are
building defenses against a new, up-and-coming security threat: space hacks.
A Lithuanian company called Astrolight is constructing a ground station, with
support from the European Space Agency, that will use laser beams to download
voluminous data from satellites in a fast and secure manner, it announced last
month.
It’s just one example of how Europe is moving to harden the security of its
satellites, as rising geopolitical tensions and an expanding spectrum of hybrid
threats are pushing space communications to the heart of the bloc’s security
plans.
For years, satellite infrastructure was treated by policymakers as a technical
utility rather than a strategic asset. That changed in 2022, when a cyberattack
on the Viasat satellite network coincided with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Satellites have since become popular targets for interference, espionage and
disruption. The European Commission in June warned that space was becoming “more
contested,” flagging increasing cyberattacks and attempts at electronic
interference targeting satellites and ground stations. Germany and the United
Kingdom warned earlier this year of the growing threat posed by Russian and
Chinese space satellites, which are regularly spotted spying on their
satellites.
EU governments are now racing to boost their resilience and reduce reliance on
foreign technology, both through regulations like the new Space Act and
investments in critical infrastructure.
The threat is crystal clear in Greenland, Laurynas Mačiulis, the chief executive
officer of Astrolight, said. “The problem today is that around 80 percent of all
the [space data] traffic is downlinked to a single location in Svalbard, which
is an island shared between different countries, including Russia,” he said in
an interview.
Europe’s main Arctic ground station sits in Svalbard and supports both the
navigation systems of Galileo and Copernicus. While the location is strategic,
it is also extremely sensitive due to nearby Russian and Chinese activities.
Crucially, the station relies on a single undersea cable to connect to the
internet, which has been damaged several times.
“In case of intentional or unintentional damage of this cable, you lose access
to most of the geo-intelligence satellites, which is, of course, very critical.
So our aim is to deploy a complementary satellite ground station up in
Greenland,” Mačiulis said.
THE MUSK OF IT ALL
A centerpiece of Europe’s ambitions to have secure, European satellite
communication is IRIS², a multibillion-euro secure connectivity constellation
pitched in 2022 and designed to rival Elon Musk’s Starlink system.
“Today, communications — for instance in Ukraine — are far too dependent on
Starlink,” said Anders Fogh Rasmussen, the founding chairman of political
consultancy Rasmussen Global, speaking at an event in Brussels in November.
“That dependence rests on the shifting ideas of an American billionaire. That’s
too risky. We have to build a secure communications system that is independent
of the United States.”
The European system, which will consist of 18 satellites operating in low and
medium Earth orbit, aims to provide Europe with fast and encrypted
communication.
“Even if someone intercepts the signal [of IRIS² ], they will not be able to
decrypt it,” Piero Angeletti, head of the Secure Connectivity Space Segment
Office at the European Space Agency, told POLITICO. “This will allow us to have
a secure system that is also certified and accredited by the national security
entities.”
The challenge is that IRIS² is still at least four years away from becoming
operational.
WHO’S IN CHARGE?
While Europe beefs up its secure satellite systems, governments are still
streamlining how they can coordinate cyber defenses and space security. In many
cases, that falls to both space or cyber commands, which, unlike traditional
military units, are relatively new and often still being built out.
Clémence Poirier, a cyberdefense researcher at the Center for Security Studies
at ETH Zurich, said that EU countries must now focus on maturing them.
“European states need to keep developing those commands,” she told POLITICO.
“Making sure that they coordinate their action, that there are clear mandates
and responsibilities when it comes to cyber security, cyber defensive
operations, cyber offensive operations, and also when it comes to monitoring the
threat.”
Industry, too, is struggling to fill the gaps. Most cybersecurity firms do not
treat space as a sector in its own right, leaving satellite operators in a blind
spot. Instead, space systems are folded into other categories: Earth-observation
satellites often fall under environmental services, satellite TV under media,
and broadband constellations like Starlink under internet services.
That fragmentation makes it harder for space companies to assess risk, update
threat models or understand who they need to defend against. It also complicates
incident response: while advanced tools exist for defending against cyberattacks
on terrestrial networks, those tools often do not translate well to space
systems.
“Cybersecurity in space is a bit different,” Poirier added. “You cannot just
implement whatever solution you have for your computers on Earth and just deploy
that to your satellite.”
BERLIN — Far-right German politician Ringo Mühlmann has taken a noteworthy
interest in exposing information his political opponents say could be of great
interest to Russian intelligence.
Using the rights afforded to him as a lawmaker for the Alternative for Germany
(AfD) in the parliament of the eastern German state of Thuringia — where the AfD
is the strongest party — Mühlmann has repeatedly asked the regional government
to disclose intricate details on subjects such as local drone defenses and
Western arms transports to Ukraine.
“What information does the state government have about the extent of military
transit transports through Thuringia since 2022 (broken down by year, type of
transport [road, rail], number of transits, and known stops)?” Mühlmann asked in
writing in September.
One day in June, Mühlmann — who denies he is doing Russia’s bidding — filed
eight inquiries related to drones and the drone defense capabilities of the
region’s police, who are responsible for detecting and fending off drones deemed
a spy threat.
“What technical systems for drone defense are known to the Thuringian police
(e.g., jammers, net launchers, electromagnetic pulse devices), and to what
extent have these been tested for their usability in law enforcement?” Mühlmann
asked.
Such questions from AfD lawmakers on the state and federal parliaments have led
German centrists to accuse the far-right party’s lawmakers of using their seats
to try to expose sensitive information that Moscow could use in its war on
Ukraine and to help carry out its so-called “hybrid war” against Europe.
“One cannot help but get the impression that the AfD is working through a list
of tasks assigned to it by the Kremlin with its inquiries,” Thuringian Interior
Minister Georg Maier, a member of the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD),
told German newspaper Handelsblatt.
“What struck me was an incredible interest in critical infrastructure and the
security authorities here in Thuringia, especially how they deal with hybrid
threats,” Maier subsequently told POLITICO. “Suddenly, geopolitical issues are
playing a role in their questions, while we in the Thuringian state parliament
are not responsible for foreign policy or defense policy.”
‘PERFIDIOUS’ INSINUATIONS
AfD leaders frequently take positions favorable to the Kremlin, favoring a
renewal of economic ties and gas imports and a cease of weapons aid for Ukraine.
Their political opponents, however, have frequently accused them of acting not
from conviction alone — but at the behest of Moscow. Greens lawmaker Irene
Mihalic, for instance, last month called the party Russian President Vladimir
Putin’s “trojan horse” in Germany.
AfD politicians deny allegations they are using their rising parliamentary power
both nationally and in Germany’s states to try to pass on sensitive information
to the Kremlin.
Tino Chrupalla, one of the AfD’s national leaders, strongly pushed back against
the allegations his party is attempting to reveal arms supply routes to benefit
the Kremlin.
“Citizens have legitimate fears about what they see and experience on the
highways every evening,” he said in a talk show last month when asked about
Mühlmann’s inquiries. “These are all legitimate questions from a member of
parliament who is concerned and who takes the concerns and needs of citizens
seriously. You are making insinuations, which is quite perfidious; you are
accusing us of things that you can never prove.”
Tino Chrupalla, one of the AfD’s national leaders, strongly pushed back against
the allegations his party is attempting to reveal arms supply routes to benefit
the Kremlin. | Thomas Lohnes/Getty Images
Mühlmann, a former police officer, speaking to POLITICO, denied that he’s
following an assignment list “in the direction of Russia.”
Government ministers, while obligated to answer each parliamentary inquiry, are
not obliged to reveal sensitive or classified information that could endanger
national security, Mühlmann also argued.
“It is not up to me to limit my questions, but up to the minister to provide the
answers,” he said. “If at some point such an answer poses a danger or leads to
espionage, then the espionage is not my fault, but the minister’s, because he
has disclosed information that he should not have disclosed.”
FLOOD OF PARLIAMENTARY QUESTIONS
Marc Henrichmann, a conservative lawmaker and the chairman of a special
committee in Germany’s Bundestag that oversees the country’s intelligence
services, said that while the government is not obliged to divulge classified or
highly sensitive information in its answers to parliamentary questions, Russian
intelligence services can still piece together valuable insights from the sheer
volume and variety of AfD inquiries.
“Apart from insignificant inquiries and sensitive inquiries, there is also a
huge gray area,” Henrichmann said. “And what I have regularly heard from various
ministries is that individual inquiries are not really the problem. But when you
look at these individual inquiries side by side, you get a picture, for example,
of travel routes, aid supplies, and military goods to or in the direction of
Ukraine.”
Henrichmann said AfD parliamentary questions in the Bundestag on subjects such
as authorities’ knowledge of Russian sabotage and hybrid activities in the
Baltic Sea region as well as of the poisoning of the late Russian opposition
leader Alexei Navalny had caught his attention and raised concerns.
“Apart from insignificant inquiries and sensitive inquiries, there is also a
huge gray area,” Marc Henrichmann said. | Niklas Graeber/picture alliance via
Getty Images
AfD factions in German state parliaments have submitted more than 7,000
security-related inquiries since the beginning of 2020, according to a data
analysis by Spiegel — more than any other party and about one-third of all
security-related inquiries combined.
In Thuringia — where state intelligence authorities have labelled the AfD an
extremist group — the party has submitted nearly 70 percent (1,206 out of 1,738)
of all questions filed this legislative period. In the Bundestag, the parties
parliamentary questions account for more than 60 percent of all inquiries (636
out of 1,052).
The AfD’s strategic use of parliamentary questions is nothing new, experts say.
Since entering the Bundestag in 2017, the party has deployed them to flood
ministries and to gather information on perceived political adversaries, experts
say
“From the outset, the AfD has used parliamentary questions to obstruct,
paralyze, and also to monitor political enemies,” said Anna-Sophie Heinze, a
researcher at the University of Trier.
With regard to the flood of inquiries related to national security, the question
of what is driving the AfD is largely irrelevant, Jakub Wondreys, a researcher
at the Technical University Dresden who studies the AfD’s Russia policy, said.
“It’s not impossible that they’re acting on behalf of Kremlin. It’s also
possible that they are acting on behalf of themselves, because, of course, they
are pro-Kremlin. But the end result is pretty much the same. These questions are
a potential threat to national security.”
LONDON — The U.K. government is “dragging its heels” on whether to classify
China as a major threat to Britain’s national security, the parliament’s
intelligence watchdog warned on Monday.
Lawmakers on the Intelligence and Security Committee — which has access to
classified briefings as part of its work overseeing Britain’s intelligence
services — said they are “concerned” by apparent inaction over whether to
designate Beijing as a top-level threat when it comes to influencing Britain.
Ministers have been under pressure to put China on the “enhanced tier” of
Britain’s Foreign Influence Registration Scheme — a tool to protect the economy
and society from covert hostile activity.
Both Iran and Russia have been placed on the top tier, which adds a new layer of
restrictions and accountability to their activities in Britain.
The government has so far resisted calls to add China to that list, even though
Beijing has been accused of conducting state-threat activities in the U.K. such
as industrial espionage, cyber-attacks and spying on politicians.
In its annual report the Committee said British intelligence agency MI5 had
previously told them that measures like the registration scheme would “have
proportionately more effect against … Chinese activity.”
The Committee said “hostile activity by Russian, Iranian and Chinese
state-linked actors is multi-faceted and complex,” adding that the threat of
“state-sponsored assassination, attacks and abductions” of perceived dissidents
has “remained at a higher level than we have seen in previous years.”
It added that while there are “a number of difficult trade-offs involved” when
dealing with Beijing, it has “previously found that the Government has been
reluctant to prioritise security considerations when it comes to China.”
“The Government should swiftly come to a decision on whether to add China to the
Enhanced Tier of the [Foreign Influence Registration Scheme],” the Committee
said, demanding that it be provided a “full account” to “ensure that security
concerns have not been overlooked in favour of economic considerations.”
The pressure comes as U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer prepares to visit China
in January — the first British leader to visit the country since Theresa May in
2018.
A government spokesperson said: “National security is the first duty of this
government. We value the [Intelligence and Security Committee]’s independent
oversight and the thoroughness of their scrutiny.
“This report underscores the vital, complex work our agencies undertake daily to
protect the UK.
“This Government is taking a consistent, long term and strategic approach to
managing the UK’s relations with China, rooted in UK and global interests. We
will cooperate where we can and challenge where we must.”
LONDON — On the face of it, the new MI6 chief’s first speech featured many of
the same villains and heroes as those of her predecessors.
But in her first public outing Monday, Blaise Metreweli, the first female head
of the U.K.’s foreign intelligence service, sent a strong signal that she
intends to put her own stamp on the role – as she highlighted a wave of
inter-connected threats to western democracies.
Speaking at MI6’s HQ in London, Metreweli, who took over from Richard Moore in
October, highlighted a confluence of geo-political and technological
disruptions, warning “the frontline is everywhere” and adding “we are now
operating in a space between peace and war.”
In a speech shot through with references to a shifting transatlantic order and
the growth of disinformation, Metreweli made noticeably scant reference to the
historically close relationship with the U.S. in intelligence gathering — the
mainstay of the U.K.’s intelligence compact for decades.
Instead, she highlighted that a “new bloc and identities are forming and
alliances reshaping.” That will be widely seen to reflect an official
acknowledgement that the second Donald Trump administration has necessitated a
shift in the security services towards cultivating more multilateral
relationships.
By comparison with a lengthy passage on the seriousness of the Russia threat to
Britain, China got away only with a light mention of its cyber attack tendencies
towards the U.K. — and was referred to more flatteringly as “a country where a
central transformation is taking place this century.”
Westminster hawks will note that Metreweli — who grew up in Hong Kong and so
knows the Chinese system close-up — walked gingerly around the risk of conflict
in the South China Sea and Beijing’s espionage activities targeting British
politicians – and even its royals. In a carefully-placed line, she reflected
that she was “going to break with tradition and won’t give you a global threat
tour.”
Moore, her predecessor, was known for that approach, which delighted those who
enjoyed a plain-speaking MI6 boss giving pithy analysis of global tensions and
their fallout, but frustrated some in the Foreign Office who believed the
affable Moore could be too unguarded in his comments on geo-politics.
The implicit suggestion from the new chief was that China needs to be handled
differently to the forthright engagement with “aggressive, expansionist and
revisionist” Russia.
The reasons may well lie in the aftermath of a bruising argument within
Whitehall about how to handle the recent case of two Britons who were arrested
for spying for China, and with a growth-boosting visit to Beijing by the prime
minister scheduled for 2026.
Sources in the service suggest the aim of the China strategy is to avoid
confrontation, the better to further intelligence-gathering and have a more
productive economic relationship with Beijing. More hardline interpreters of the
Secret Intelligence Service will raise eyebrows at her suggestion that the
“convening power” of the service would enable it to “ defuse tensions.”
But there was no doubt about Metreweli’s deep concern at the impacts of
social-media disinformation and distortion, in a framing which seemed just as
worried about U.S. tech titans as conventional state-run threats: “We are being
contested from battlefield to boardroom — and even our brains — as
disinformation manipulates our understanding of each other.”
Declaring that “some algorithms become as powerful as states,” seemed to tilt
at outfits like Elon Musk’s X and Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta-owned Facebook.
Metreweli warned that “hyper personalized tools could become a new vector for
conflict and control,” pushing their effects on societies and individuals in
“minutes not months – my service must operate in this new context too.”
The new boss used the possessive pronoun, talking about “my service” in her
speech several times – another sign that she intends to put a distinctive mark
of the job, now that she has, at the age of just 48, inherited the famous
green-ink pen in which the head of the service signs correspondence.
Metreweli is experienced operator in war zones including Iraq who spent a
secondment with MI5, the domestic intelligence service, and won the job in large
part because of her experience in the top job via MI6’s science and technology
“Q” Branch. She clearly wants to expedite changes in the service – saying
agents must be as fluent in computer coding as foreign languages. She is also
expected to try and address a tendency in the service to harvest information,
without a clear focus on the action that should follow – the product of a glut
of intelligence gathered via digital means and AI.
She was keen to stress that the human factor is at the heart of it all — an
attempt at reassurance for spies and analysts wondering if they might be
replaced by AI agents as the job of gathering intelligence in the era of facial
recognition and biometrics gets harder.
Armed with a steely gaze Metreweli speaks fluent human, occasionally with a
small smile. She is also the first incumbent of the job to wear a very large
costume jewelry beetle brooch on her sombre navy attire. No small amount of
attention in Moscow and Beijing could go into decoding that.
HOW THE KREMLIN GETS UKRAINIANS TO BETRAY THEIR COUNTRY
Two young people were desperately short of cash. Then the Kremlin stepped in to
help.
By VERONIKA MELKOZEROVA in Kyiv
Illustration by Hokyoung Kim for POLITICO
Olena, 19, and Bohdan, 22, smile happily as they enter the room; they’re in
handcuffs and are accompanied by armed Security Service of Ukraine agents.
It’s the first time the couple has seen each other in a month; both are being
held in a detention center until their trial on treason charges.
Olena is blonde with soft, childish features, and Bohdan is an athletic young
man. Both admit that they colluded with Russia in hopes of getting a 15-year
prison sentence instead of spending life behind bars. They were not identified
by their last names.
The security service, or SBU, accused Olena and Bohdan of using spy cameras to
watch Western weapons deliveries and a police station, and that they were
preparing to reveal air defense locations in Kyiv and the northern Chernihiv
regions to the Russians. They were caught by SBU agents.
Bohdan and Olena are not alone. The SBU has investigated more than 24,000 cases
of crimes against Ukrainian national security since February 2022, and more than
4,100 cases of state treason, with more than 2,300 being currently before the
courts, said the SBU press service.
CRIMES AND MISDEMEANORS
“It all started when we found an ad in a Telegram channel called Jobs in Kyiv.
The ad promised easy money. We started doing it, because we really needed some
cash, like most of the people in Ukraine nowadays,” said Olena.
“We really wanted to live together, but we were in debt, worked a lot, fought a
lot because we still had no money,” Bohdan said.
First, Olena and Bohdan were asked to scout out local supermarkets, taking
pictures of shelves and price tags and checking shop schedules. But over time,
the tasks changed.
They got orders to set cameras next to a police station and then on a railroad
used to carry shipments of Western weapons into Ukraine. Then there was the
final task — set up spy cameras to spot air defense locations in the Kyiv
region.
Bohdan admitted he figured out they were working for Russia after the first two
jobs, but preferred to “think positively.”
There was also fear about what Russia could do to them if they tried to stop.
“Those guys would not let you jump off that easily,” Olena said.
Usually, Russians promise different sums to their recruits in Ukraine, depending
on the complexity of the job, an SBU official said on condition of anonymity to
reveal details of investigations.
The SBU said that Russia is directing a lot of resources to destabilize Ukraine
from inside. | Igor Golovniov/LightRocket via Getty Images
The tasks can vary: from taking pictures of military factories, railways,
electricity infrastructure and oil refineries — which helps Russians locate
targets and direct missiles and drones — to bombing military recruitment offices
and police stations, and burning military cars.
Four years into a brutal war, the motivation for turncoats is more money than
ideology. There are few Russian allies left in territory held by Ukraine,
instead, Russia hunts for agents among the poor and desperate who need cash,
several SBU officials said.
Olena and Bohdan admit that they were helping Russia for money. She worked as a
fast-food cook, sometimes for 12 to 16 hours a day for little pay, while he
worked temporary jobs.
“The reward can start from several hundred to several thousand hryvnias, with
no guarantee that they would actually get paid,” the SBU official said. “Olena
and Bohdan were getting 400-3,000 hryvnias (€8-€62) for a mission.”
Even the money Moscow was paying left them struggling to survive.
THE KREMLIN’S GAME
The SBU said that Russia is directing a lot of resources to destabilize Ukraine
from the inside.
Ukraine’s State Bureau of Investigation, the country’s top law enforcement
agency, has registered 1,500 criminal proceedings for treason against Ukrainian
officials, judges, military personnel and law enforcement officers since 2022.
“Each fact of high treason, collaboration, aiding the aggressor state, and other
crimes is thoroughly investigated by law enforcers in accordance with their
jurisdiction,” the SBU said.
Then there is the issue of Ukrainians living under Russian occupation, where the
struggle to survive can put them on the wrong side of Ukrainian law.
“In no way am I justifying real collaborators. But many of those on trial for
collaborationism are just people trying to survive under Russian occupation,”
said Hanna Rassamakhina, head of the War and Justice Department at the Media
Initiative for Human Rights nongovernmental organization. “We see that any
person who remained in the occupied territory, who is forced to look for work,
means of livelihood, of course, he is in contact with the occupation authorities
against his will, such a person cannot be 100 percent sure that he will not be
accused of collaborationism later.”
While some more high-profile defendants can hire expensive lawyers to try to get
them off the hook and cut their sentences, that’s unlikely to happen for Bohdan
and Olena.
“A professional lawyer is often enough to destroy the accusation. But many of
these people are not able to hire a professional lawyer. In the end, courts
actually accept all the arguments of the prosecution, and these people are
convicted,” Rassamakhina said.
That prompts many accused to go for plea deals to reduce the harshness of the
sentence.
Olena and Bohdan have made peace with the fact that they will likely not see
each other for at least 15 years. They are planning to meet again after they
have served their time.
When reminded about a possibility of being released from prison if a convict
agrees to serve in the Ukrainian army, Bohdan said he would rather stay in
prison.
“I already talked to some inmates about that and, you know … People don’t come
back from there … And I don’t want to waste my life in vain,” Bohdan said.
LONDON — Keir Starmer is set to approve a new Chinese “super-embassy” in central
London despite a string of security concerns which were raised through the
planning process.
The Times reported Friday that intelligence services MI5 and MI6 are now
satisfied that the project — long a source of controversy in the U.K. — should
go ahead, with some “mitigations” to protect national security.
A British government official did not reject the Times reporting when pressed
Friday.
The 20,000-square meter building near the Tower of London is expected to be the
biggest embassy in Europe once completed.
Beijing purchased the site for £255 million in 2018, but objections have since
been raised over its proximity to cables carrying communications to the vital
City of London financial district. There are also concerns over Beijing’s
refusal to present full internal layout plans to British authorities.
China angrily warned of “consequences” if the embassy was not granted planning
permission, with British ministers repeatedly delaying a decision on whether to
proceed.
However, the outgoing head of MI6, Richard Moore, recently said it was “right
and proper” to allow the embassy to be built despite national security fears.
Starmer has faced a domestic backlash as he tries to reset relations with China.
His government faced blowback over the collapsed prosecution of two men accused
of spying for Beijing, while China-skeptics have attacked the government for
failing to publish a major audit of the U.K.’s policy towards the country.
This week the security services warned MPs they were being actively targeted by
agents of the Chinese state on social network LinkedIn.
Starmer is nonetheless expected to travel to China next year as Britain seeks to
strengthen economic ties with Beijing. It would mark the first visit by a U.K.
prime minister to China since Theresa May in 2018.
WARSAW — Saboteurs who damaged a small section of a rail line linking the Polish
capital to the eastern city of Lublin and on to Ukraine were two Ukrainians
working for Russia, Prime Minister Donald Tusk told the Polish parliament
Tuesday.
Train traffic along the busy route was halted Sunday morning after a high-speed
Intercity train driver spotted damage to the line, warning nearby trains. “The
outcome could have been a serious disaster with victims,” Tusk told MPs.
The perpetrators are two Ukrainian nationals “who have been operating and
cooperating with Russian services for a prolonged period of time,” the Polish
leader said. They had left their country for Belarus, from where they arrived in
Poland shortly before carrying out the attack on the rail line. Both returned to
Belarus before Polish services identified them.
Tusk said one of the suspects had a track record of being involved in acts of
sabotage in Ukraine. The other, he added, was a resident of the eastern
Ukrainian region of Donbas.
“Polish security services and prosecutors have all personal data of these
individuals, as well as recorded images of them,” Tusk said, adding Poland will
ask Belarusian and Russian authorities to hand over the suspects to face trial.
The Warsaw-Lublin train route that was attacked is one of country’s busiest,
linking the capital to the biggest city in eastern Poland and on toward
Ukraine.
Tusk described the two attempts at sabotaging the line. “The first involved
placing a steel clamp on the track, with a likely intention to derail a train.
The incident was meant to be recorded by a mobile phone with a power bank that
had been set up near the tracks. That attempt proved entirely unsuccessful.
“[In] the second incident … a military-grade C-4 explosive was detonated using
an initiating device connected by a 300-meter electrical cable.”
Tusk also said that the government will introduce a higher degree of security
alert, known as “Charlie,” along selected rail lines. A lower security alert,
“Bravo,” remains in place for the rest of the country.
Since Russia’s full-scale assault on Ukraine in February 2022, Poland has been
on high alert for cases of foreign espionage and sabotage, and has arrested
multiple people on those grounds.
Last month, two Ukrainian nationals were detained on suspicion of spying for a
foreign intelligence service. Other recent incidents include an alleged
Belarusian refugee accused by authorities of being a Russian operative, a fire
set in a shopping mall near Warsaw and an alleged attempt to sabotage a railway
station in southern Poland by leaving an unmarked railcar on tracks used by
passenger trains.
“The adversary has begun preparations for war,” the Polish chief of the general
staff, Gen. Wiesław Kukuła, told Polish Radio Monday.
“It is building a certain environment here that is intended to undermine public
trust in the government and institutions such as the armed forces and the
police. This is to create conditions conducive to potential aggression on Polish
territory,” Kukuła said.