LONDON — For Keir Starmer, the crises and climbdowns just keep getting faster.
The British prime minister, facing questions about his judgment in appointing
Peter Mandelson as U.K. ambassador to Washington despite his Jeffrey Epstein
links, pledged on Wednesday to publish a cache of emails and texts between the
ex-Labour peer and his top team — on his own terms.
But hours later he was forced to toughen up independent scrutiny of this
document release in the face of a revolt by his own MPs, who are horrified by
the scandal and fear opposition accusations of a cover-up will stick.
Taken alone, this technical U-turn will not enter any history books. But the
last-minute drama around it puts the already weak Labour leader in further
peril.
Nervous MPs in his governing party, now awaiting the document dump with deep
unease, are rounding with renewed ferocity on the PM and his chief of staff
Morgan McSweeney.
POLITICO spoke to 20 Labour MPs and current and former officials for this piece.
“We need a head,” said one moderate Labour MP who entered parliament in 2024 and
was, like others quoted, granted anonymity to speak frankly.
“Someone has to pay the price for this failure,” a second, usually loyal, MP
from the 2024 intake said, adding they “wouldn’t care” who exactly it was.
In the minds of many of Labour’s own MPs and officials, the Mandelson affair has
further weakened Starmer and McSweeney, who pushed for the appointment of his
close ally and friend as ambassador in late 2024.
After rows over a succession of tax and policy U-turns, some believe the
Mandelson crisis exemplifies their criticisms of Starmer’s leadership — paying
too little attention to a potential problem until it blows up into a full-blown
scandal.
“I love Morgan, but Keir has to sack him and he should have sacked him a long
time ago,” said one Labour official who has long been loyal to the leadership.
“The problem is, who does Keir replace him with?”
TAINTED BY MANDELSON
Starmer defended McSweeney to the hilt on Wednesday.
“Morgan McSweeney is an essential part of my team,” he told MPs. “He helped me
change the Labour Party and win an election. Of course I have confidence in
him,” the PM said.
Some MPs also rallied around Starmer, blaming an overexcited media narrative and
MPs on edge for the next scandal. “This feels like a Westminster story at the
moment rather than something terminal for the PM in the eyes of the public,”
said a third Labour MP elected in 2024. But the mood in large parts of the party
on Wednesday night was bleak.
The latest round of bloodletting began in earnest on Monday, when emails
released as part of the Epstein files appeared to show Mandelson leaking
government financial discussions in the wake of the 2008 banking crash. Police
are now investigating allegations of misconduct in public office.
Mandelson didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the police
investigation Tuesday evening. He has previously said he was wrong to have
continued his association with Epstein and apologized “unequivocally” to
Epstein’s victims.
Starmer, like the rest of the British state and public, insists he did not know
about the bombshell emails, and would never have appointed Mandelson if he did.
Having already sacked Mandelson in September he is now obliterating his
reputation, saying on Wednesday that Mandelson “lied repeatedly” during his
appointment as ambassador.
Yet it was well known that Mandelson came with baggage.
Starmer knew the former Labour Cabinet minister had been repeatedly sacked in
scandal — and confirmed at the weekly Prime Minister’s Questions session on
Wednesday that he had known Mandelson was friends with Epstein.
“That was the moment,” said a fourth, moderate Labour MP. “The mood was awful. I
had opposition MPs saying to me that they had not seen one that bad in decades.”
Several Labour MPs and officials who spoke to POLITICO voiced fears that
revealing details of the vetting process will paint Starmer and his chief of
staff as too incurious about the wider situation.
Mandelson had worked closely with McSweeney since the late 2010s and gave Labour
informal advice in the run-up to its 2024 election landslide.
One former No. 10 official said Mandelson was not on the list of potential
ambassadors until McSweeney took over as chief of staff in October 2024,
claiming: “Morgan didn’t do anything without speaking to Peter.”
“Once the timeline — and the degree to which searching questions were asked —
become clear, I think Morgan might be in trouble,” one U.K. government official
added.
Mandelson went through at least three layers of checks, a second U.K. government
official said.
Before his role was announced, the Cabinet Office carried out due diligence.
Afterward, he was subjected to full deep security vetting.
The third layer — and potentially the most problematic for Starmer and McSweeney
— was a letter to Mandelson before his appointment from the chief of staff on
the PM’s behalf. It asked three questions: why he continued contact with Epstein
after his conviction, why he was reported to have stayed in one of Epstein’s
home when the financier was in prison, and whether he was associated with a
charity founded by Epstein’s associate Ghislaine Maxwell.
A No. 10 official said reports that linked Mandelson to Epstein, including after
he was first convicted, had been looked into as part of the appointment process.
“Peter Mandelson lied to the Prime Minister, hid information that has since come
to light and presented Epstein as someone he barely knew,” the No. 10 official
added.
HURRY UP AND WAIT
Some Labour MPs — spooked by consistent polls putting Labour behind Nigel
Farage’s populist Reform UK — are so angry that they want to see regime change
immediately.
For many on Labour’s left or “soft left” flank this was simply a chance to push
their campaign against No. 10.
One former minister, already hostile to the leadership, said it felt like the
worst part of Starmer’s premiership and McSweeney should go now.
Left-wing former Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn, long cast out of the party over
comments on antisemitism, went on Sky News to say Starmer may even be challenged
before local elections, which will be held across the U.K. in May.
Others were new converts to immediate action. A fifth Labour MP, a moderate who
entered parliament in 2024, also said McSweeney should go now. They lamented the
“blind spot for many in the leadership” who allowed Mandelson to become
ambassador.
It has left some MPs angry and dejected. One, Sarah Owen, made an impassioned
intervention in Wednesday’s debate: “Don’t we need to put the victims at the
heart of this, not just ourselves?”
But they will have to wait if they want the facts behind the case to become
clear.
MPs agreed on Wednesday night to release a series of documents concerning the
diligence and vetting around Mandelson’s appointment, as well as communications
he had with McSweeney, ministers, civil servants and special advisers in the six
months before his appointment.
Starmer had intended to block the release of any documents that would prejudice
U.K. national security or international relations.
But No. 10 staged a late climbdown after Angela Rayner — a key figure among MPs
on Labour’s “soft left” who resigned as deputy prime minister amid a housing
scandal in September — called for parliament’s Intelligence and Security
Committee (ISC) to have a role. Officials scrambled to compile a new amendment
that would give the ISC the final say on what is blocked.
It will likely take days or weeks for the government to work through what needs
to be released, and far longer for the ISC to work through the most contentious
documents after that.
The Met Police also released a statement on Wednesday night warning the release
of specific documents “could undermine” its current investigation into
Mandelson’s alleged misconduct in public office.
The releases — which could include Mandelson’s private messages to friends in
the Cabinet, such as Health Secretary Wes Streeting — will provide easy fodder
to a British media gripped by the stories of Epstein’s friendships with
Mandelson and Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly known as Prince Andrew.
But most MPs and officials who spoke to POLITICO agreed that No. 10 and
McSweeney stand to lose the most.
A second former No. 10 official said: “Lots of people are nice to creepy people
in politics. But when it comes down to the brass tacks of who knew what or did
what when they made the appointment — that’s the chopping block stuff.”
A sixth Labour MP, on the left of the party, said even frontbenchers were
“questioning why they should jeopardise their own positions to protect one
individual [McSweeney].”
But the question of “when” remains a key one.
One Labour figure loyal to Starmer’s No. 10 admitted there will be pressure for
McSweeney to go now, but insisted anyone with an ounce of political sense would
delay any move against him until after local elections in May — so that he could
absorb the blame for any losses and protect the PM.
Even a staunch ally of McSweeney — who has been at Starmer’s side since he first
ran to be Labour leader — said they had no idea if he will survive.
But a seventh Labour MP, elected in 2024, thinks questions over McSweeney’s
future are a red herring. “It’s ultimately about the PM’s judgement,” they said.
The fourth Labour MP quoted above added: “If one of them goes, the other one has
to go too.”
Esther Webber contributed reporting.
Tag - Parliament
ATHENS — Greece’s authorities on Wednesday launched an internal investigation
into a deadly collision between a coast guard patrol vessel and a speedboat
carrying migrants off the island of Chios.
According to a statement by the coast guard, the collision occurred after the
speedboat, which had its navigation lights off, ignored signals from the patrol
vessel and changed course. The boat capsized due to the force of the impact,
sending its passengers into the sea.
At least 15 migrants were killed while 24 were rescued. A search and rescue
operation is ongoing, and it is still unclear how many were on board. Two coast
guard officers were also slightly injured.
A prosecutor ordered the arrest of a Moroccan national who was piloting the
speedboat. The coast guard said a camera installed on its vessel was not active
at the time of the crash.
An official from Frontex, the EU’s coastguard agency, said the agency wasn’t
involved in the operation. Frontex has offered a plane to support the search and
rescue but has not yet been asked by Greek authorities to deploy it.
Greece has repeatedly been condemned by the European Court of Human Rights,
Frontex and the EU Commission for pushbacks of migrant vessels and for improper
investigations by its coast guard. In the notorious case of the Pylos shipwreck,
among the deadliest in modern Mediterranean history, an independent
investigation by the Greek Ombudsman recommended that disciplinary charges be
filed against coast guard officers for alleged dereliction of duty.
Migration Minister Thanos Plevris relayed the coast guard’s version of events
and told the parliament that the tragedy underscores the fight Greece must wage
against “killer smugglers.”
Dimitris Mantzos, spokesperson of the Pasok main opposition party, said: “The
truth must be revealed institutionally, without ideological bias or
anti-immigration rhetoric.”
BRUSSELS — The European Parliament’s top trade lawmakers failed on Wednesday to
reach a common position on the EU-U.S. trade deal, in a move that risks fueling
Washington’s impatience against the EU’s slow pace in finally implementing its
side of a bargain struck last summer.
Negotiations will continue until next week, two people who attended a meeting of
the lawmakers told POLITICO. One said that committee vote was penciled in for
Feb. 24 and a final plenary vote for March. Both were granted anonymity to
discuss the closed-door talks.
The meeting failed to clear remaining hurdles regarding the Parliament’s
position on the removal of tariffs on U.S. industrial goods and lobsters — a
precondition for Washington to reduce its own tariffs on European cars.
Lawmakers from the international trade committee disagreed on the length of a
sunset clause which would limit the proposals’ application to 18 to 36 months,
as well as whether the EU should withdraw any tariff concessions until a
solution is found between Brussels and Washington on the 50 percent tariff the
Trump administration has put on steel derivatives.
With the EU still processing the shock of Trump’s threats against the
territorial sovereignty of Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark, the liberal
Renew group and the Socialists & Democrats are pushing to Trump-proof the deal
by inserting suspension clauses into enabling legislation in case the U.S.
president turns hostile again.
The center-right European People’s Party has pushed to sign off the deal
following calls from EU leaders to unfreeze the implementation of the deal.
Failure to reach an agreement on Wednesday throws into disarray the timeline for
parliamentary approval, and further delays the start of negotiations with EU
capitals and the European Commission.
ATHENS — Greece’s parliament is expected to pass double-edged legislation on
Wednesday that will help recruit tens of thousands more South Asian workers,
while simultaneously penalizing migrants that the government says have entered
the country illegally.
Greece’s right-wing administration seeks to style itself as tough on migration
but needs to pass Wednesday’s bill thanks to a crippling labor shortfall in
vital sectors such as tourism, construction and agriculture.
The central idea of the new legislation is to simplify bringing in workers
through recruitment schemes agreed with countries such as India, Bangladesh and
Egypt. There will be a special “fast track” for big public-works projects.
The New Democracy government knows, however, that these measures to recruit more
foreign workers will play badly with some core supporters. For that reason the
bill includes strong measures against immigrants who have already entered Greece
illegally, and also pledges to clamp down on the non-government organizations
helping migrants.
“We need workers, but we are tough on illegal immigration,” Greece’s Migration
Minister Thanos Plevris told ERT television.
The migration tensions in Greece reflect the extent to which it remains a hot
button issue across Europe, even though numbers have dropped significantly since
the massive flows of 2015, when the Greek Aegean islands were one of the main
points of arrival.
More than 80,000 positions for immigrants have been approved by the Greek state
annually over the past two years. There are no official figures on labor
shortages, but studies from industry associations indicate the country’s needs
are more than double the state-approved number of spots, and that only half of
those positions are filled.
The migration bill is expected to pass because the government holds a majority
in parliament.
Opposition parties have condemned it, saying it ignores the need to integrate
the migrants already in Greece and adopts the rhetoric of the far right. Under
the new legislation, migrants who entered the country illegally will have no
opportunity to acquire legal status. The bill also abolishes a provision
granting residence permits to unaccompanied minors once they turn 18, provided
they attend school in Greece.
“Whoever is illegal right now will remain illegal, and when they are located
they will be arrested, imprisoned for two to five years and repatriated,”
Plevris told lawmakers.
Human-rights groups also oppose the legislation, which they say criminalizes
humanitarian NGOs by explicitly linking their migration-related activities to
serious crimes.
The bill envisages severe penalties such as mandatory prison terms of at least
10 years and heavy fines for assisting irregular entry, providing transport for
illegal migration, or helping those migrants stay.
“Whoever is illegal right now will remain illegal,” Thanos Plevris told
lawmakers. | Orestis Panagiotou/EPA
Wednesday’s legislation also grants the migration minister broad powers to
deregister NGOs based solely on criminal charges against one member, and will
allow residence permits to be revoked on the basis of suspicion alone —
undermining the presumption of innocence.
Greece’s national ombudsman has expressed serious concerns about the bill,
arguing that punishing people for entering the country illegally contravenes
international conventions on the treatment of refugees.
Lefteris Papagiannakis, director of the Greek Council for Refugees, was equally
damning.
“This binary political approach follows the global hostile and racist policy
around migration,” he said.
BRUSSELS — The EU and U.K. must overcome historic gripes and “reset” their
relationship to be able to work together in an increasingly uncertain world, the
bloc’s top parliamentarian said.
European Parliament President Roberta Metsola used an address to the Spanish
senate on Tuesday to call for closer ties with the U.K. as London steps up
efforts to secure smoother access to European markets and funding projects,
after the country voted to leave the bloc in 2016.
“Ten years on from Brexit … and in a world that has changed so profoundly,
Europe and the U.K. need a new way of working together on trade, customs,
research, mobility and on security and defense,” Metsola said. “Today it is time
to exorcize the ghosts of the past.”
Metsola called for a “reset” in the partnership between Britain and the EU as
part of a policy of “realistic pragmatism anchored in values that will see all
of us move forward together.”
Her speech comes after British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said he intended to
try and ensure his country’s defense industries can benefit from the EU’s
flagship SAFE scheme — a €150 billion funding program designed to boost
procurement of military hardware.
That push has been far from smooth, with a meeting of EU governments on Monday
night failing to sign off U.K. access to SAFE, despite France — which has
consistently opposed non-EU countries taking part — supporting the British
inclusion.
Starmer has also signaled in recent days that he is seeking closer integration
with the EU’s single market. Brussels has so far been reluctant to reopen the
terms of the U.K.’s relations with the bloc just six years after it exited.
While those decisions lie with the remaining 27 EU member countries, rather than
the Parliament, Metsola’s intervention marks a shift in tone that could bolster
the British case for closer relations. In the context of increasingly tense
relations with the U.S., capitals are depending on cooperation with British
intelligence and military capabilities and in key industries.
Europe must take “the next steps towards a stronger European defense, boosting
our capabilities and cooperation, and working closely with our NATO allies so
that Europe can better protect its people,” Metsola said.
ROME — Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini faces a battle to save his
far-right League party from electoral oblivion.
The party’s internal crisis exploded into public view last week after Salvini’s
maverick deputy, Roberto Vannacci, an ex-general and defender of fascist
dictator Benito Mussolini, threatened to form a splinter party to the right of
the League called National Future.
Salvini seeks to play down the split with his No. 2, but Vannacci’s move
revealed starkly how the League — a key part of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s
right-wing ruling coalition — risks disintegrating as a political force before
next year’s elections.
Current and former party members told POLITICO that Salvini’s rift with Vannacci
had exposed a deeper and potentially devastating factional struggle at the heart
of the party — between moderates and extremists, and over whether the League
should return to its roots ad seek northern autonomy from Rome.
In the short term, weakness in the League could bring some relief to the
Atlanticist, pro-NATO Meloni, who is prone to irritation at the anti-Ukrainian,
Kremlin-aligned outbursts of Salvini and Vannacci, who are supposed to be her
allies. In the longer term, however, the party’s full implosion would
potentially make it harder for her to build coalitions and to maintain Italy’s
unusually stable government.
PUBLIC FEUD
The tensions between Salvini and Vannacci became impossible to disguise last
month.
On Jan. 24 Vannacci registered a trademark for his new National Future party. He
later distanced himself from an Instagram account announcing the party’s launch,
but hinted on X that he could still turn to social media to launch a party when
the time was ripe. “If I decide to open such channels, I will be sure to inform
you,” he said.
By Jan. 29 Salvini was in full firefighting mode. Speaking before the stately
tapestries of the Sala della Regina in Italy’s parliament, he insisted there was
“no problem.”
“There is space for different sensibilities in the League … we want to build and
grow, not fight,” he added, vowing to hold a meeting with Vannacci to set the
relationship back on course.
Many in the League are more hostile to Vannacci, however, particularly those
alarmed by the former paratrooper’s placatory language about Mussolini and
Russian leader Vladimir Putin. A powerful bloc in the League that is more
socially moderate — and deeply committed to northern autonomy — is pressing for
Salvini to take the initiative and fire Vannacci, according to two people
involved in the party discussions.
Daniele Albertazzi, a politics professor and expert on populism at the
University of Surrey, said a schism looked imminent. “[Vannacci] is not going to
spend years building someone else’s party,” Albertazzi said. “It’s clear he
doesn’t want to play second fiddle to Salvini.”
FROM ASSET TO LIABILITY
Vannacci emerged from obscurity in 2023 with a self-published bestseller “The
World Back to Front.” It espoused the Great Replacement Theory — a conspiracy
that white populations are being deliberately replaced by non-whites — and
branded gay people “not normal.” More recently he has stated he prefers Putin to
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Vannacci emerged from obscurity in 2023, with a self-published bestseller “The
World Back to Front.” | Nicola Ciancaglini/Ciancaphoto Studio/Getty Images
Albertazzi said Vannacci was positioning himself on the extreme right. “You can
see it even in the typography of his symbol [for National Future], which evokes
the fascist era,” he said.
Salvini originally identified the military veteran as a lifeline who could
reverse the League’s flagging fortunes.
Salvini had early success in transforming the League from a regional party “of
the north” into a national force, and it won a record 34 percent of the Italian
vote in the 2019 European elections. But by 2022 things were souring, and
support collapsed to about 8 percent in the general election. Vannacci was
brought in to broaden the party’s appeal and shore up his own leadership.
The gamble initially paid off. In the 2024 European elections, Vannacci
personally received more than 500,000 preference votes — roughly 1.5 percent of
the national total —validating Salvini’s strategy.
But Vannacci has since become a liability. He was responsible for a failed
regional campaign in his native Tuscany in October and has flouted party
discipline, building his own internal group, opening local branches and
organizing rallies outside the League’s control, operating as “a party within a
party.” In recent interviews Vannacci has increasingly flirted with the idea of
going solo with his own party.
For the traditional northern separatist camp in the League, Vannacci has gone
too far. Luca Zaia, head of the Veneto regional assembly, a towering figure in
northern politics, and three other major northern leaders are now demanding
privately that he be expelled, according to two League insiders.
“His ideas are nationalist and fascist, and have never been compatible with the
League,” said a party member, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive
internal disputes. “The writing is on the page. Since the first provocation it
has been clear that it is only a matter of when, not if, he starts his own
party.”
An elected League official added: “Now if he gets votes it’s Salvini’s fault for
giving him a ton of publicity. No one had heard of him before. He basically won
the lottery.”
Attilio Fontana, a senior League official who is president of the Lombardy
region, said Vannacci’s actions raised questions for Salvini.
“I think that if inside the party there are differences, that can enrich the
party. But creating local branches, holding demonstrations outside the party,
registering a new logo and website, this is an anomaly … these are issues that
[Salvini] will be looking at,” he told reporters in Milan on Friday.
EVERY VOTE COUNTS
There’s no guarantee any party Vannacci launches will be a success. Three
leaders in his “World Back to Front” movement — seen as a precursor to his
National Future party — quit on Friday, issuing a statement that described a
lack of leadership and “permanent chaos.”
But his party could upset the political landscape, even if he only peels off
relatively minor support from the League. Meloni will have a close eye on the
arithmetic of potential alliances in the run-up to next year’s election,
particularly if left-wing parties team up against her.
Giorgia Meloni will have a close eye on the arithmetic of potential alliances in
the run-up to next year’s election. | Simona Granati/Corbis via Getty Images
Polling expert Lorenzo Pregliasco of You Trend, which is canvassing a potential
new party led by Vannacci, said it had a potential electorate on the right of
the coalition of about 2 per cent, among voters who had supported [Meloni’s]
Brothers of Italy, League voters and non-voters with an anti immigrant,
anti-political correctness stance, who are attracted by Vannacci’s
outspokenness.
The potential party “poses some risks for Meloni and the coalition … It’s not a
huge electorate but in national elections two points could make the difference
between winning and not winning, or winning but with a very narrow majority that
could mean you were not able to form a government.”
Vannacci “has been clever in putting himself forward as a provocative opinion
leader and converted this into electoral success … He has the potential to be a
strong media presence and central to political debate.”
The northern separatist Pact for the North movement, led by former League MP
Paolo Grimoldi, said Salvini’s reputation was now damaged because of the faith
he put in Vannacci.
While Salvini could resign and support an alternative figure such Zaia as League
leader, this was extremely unlikely, Grimoldi told POLITICO. “If not, there
aren’t tools to get rid of him before the next election,” he added.
“The result will be political irrelevance and electoral defeat [for the
League].”
PARIS — The French state budget for 2026 officially passed through parliament on
Monday, ending a months-long deadlock that had increased fears of a debt crisis
in the European Union’s second-largest economy.
After months of cross-party negotiations failed to yield consensus, center-right
Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu activated a constitutional clause that allows
the government to pass legislation without a vote in parliament. The use of that
clause, however, allows lawmakers to put forward motions of no confidence,
which, if passed, lead to the bill’s defeat and force the government to resign.
Lecornu’s minority government survived several no-confidence votes put forward
by left-wing and far-right groups. His survival came down to a decision by the
center-left Socialist Party not to join their former allies on the left in
voting against Lecornu, in exchange for government concessions including €1
lunches for university students.
Lecornu had initially aimed to pass a budget that would bring France’s 2026
deficit to 4.7 percent of gross domestic product, but policy requests granted to
various political groups bumped that figure to about 5 percent of GDP, per the
government’s most recent estimate.
To avoid a U.S.-style shutdown after failing to finalize fiscal plans before the
new year, last year’s budget was rolled over into January. The 2026 budget is
expected to take effect shortly after receiving a green light from France’s
Constitutional Court, which will proceed imminently with a routine legal review.
PARIS — French President Emmanuel Macron’s celebrations over the imminent
passage of the 2026 budget will be short-lived. Once it’s approved, he’s going
to be a lame duck until the presidential election of spring next year.
Current and former ministers, lawmakers and political aides — including three
Macron allies — told POLITICO that now that the budget fight is over and the
concerns of angry citizens and jittery markets are assuaged, the whole cycle of
French politics will shift to campaign mode at the expense of the dirty work of
lawmaking.
First will come next month’s municipal elections, where voters in all of
France’s 35,000-plus communes will elect mayors and city councils. Then all
attention will flip to the race for the all-powerful presidency, Macron cannot
run again due to term limits, and polls show he could be replaced by a candidate
from the far-right National Rally.
“It’s the end of [Macron’s] term,” a former adviser close to Prime Minister
Sébastien Lecornu said of the budget’s passage.
Gabriel Attal, Macron’s former prime minister who now leads the French
president’s party, confirmed in an interview with French media last month that
he told his troops the budget marked “the end” of Macron’s second term.
“I stand by what I said,” Attal told FranceInfo.
As president, Macron continues to exert a strong influence over foreign affairs
and defense, two realms that will keep him on the world stage given the
geopolitical upheaval brought on by U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term.
Domestically, however, he’s been hampered by the snap election in 2024 that
delivered a hung parliament.
Lecornu was only able to avoid being toppled over the passage of the budget, as
his two immediate predecessors were, thanks to his political savvy, some
compromises and a few bold decisions. These included pausing Macron’s flagship
pension reform that raised the retirement age and going back on his promise not
to use a constitutional backdoor to ram it through without a vote.
“Lecornu was smart enough to make the budget phase pass and end on a high
note. That’s commendable, given that [former Prime Ministers Michel] Barnier and
[François] Bayrou didn’t manage to do so, and he did it with considerable
skill,” said a ministerial adviser who, like others quoted in this piece, was
granted anonymity to speak candidly.
But Lecornu’s decision to prioritize uncontroversial measures in the coming
weeks speak to the difficulties that lie ahead.
These priorities include defining the division of power between the central
government and local authorities, and streamlining and centralizing welfare
payments that are currently doled out in an ad hoc fashion. Lecornu is also
planning to get to work early on France’s 2027 fiscal plans to try to prevent
the third budget crisis in a row.
French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu leaves the Elysee Palace in Paris after
a Cabinet meeting on Jan. 28. His decision to prioritize uncontroversial
measures in the coming weeks speak to the difficulties ahead. | Mohammed
Badra/EPA
“There will be a presidential election in 2027. Before then, we need to agree on
a bottom line which allows the country to move forward,” government spokesperson
Maud Bregeon said Thursday on Sud Radio.
Lecornu has repeatedly stressed that his government should be disconnected from
the race for president, blaming “partisan appetites” for both the budget crisis
and the collapse of his 14-hour government, which was eventually replaced with a
suite of less ambitious ministers.
But it’s ironic that some French government officials and MPs are now saying the
self-described warrior-monk prime minister may have vaulted himself into the
realm of presidential contender with his budget win.
Mathieu Gallard, a pollster at Ipsos, said Lecornu had clearly become a
more viable presidential candidate but noted that the jump from prime minister
to president “is always a hard task.”
One parliamentary leader was much less sanguine. They said the same “partisan
appetites” Lecornu has long warned about will likely cost him his job
before voters head to the polls to choose Macron’s successor.
“[Lecornu] has few friends … And now that the budget has passed, every political
group can have fun throwing him out of office to plant their flag before the
next presidential election,” the leader said.
Anthony Lattier, Sarah Paillou and Elisa Bertholomey contributed to this
report.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission on Friday announced an investigation into
Slovakia over the dismantling of its whistleblower protection office.
In its latest rule-of-law spat with Bratislava, the EU executive criticized
leftist-populist leader Robert Fico for trying to replace the office with a new
institution whose leadership would be politically appointed.
“The Commission considers that this law breaches EU rules,” it wrote in an
official note on Friday.
Brussels’ move comes amid strong pressure from lawmakers and NGOs to act against
Fico’s crackdown against independent institutions and suspected fraud involving
EU farm funds.
Zuzana Dlugošová, the head of the whistleblower protection office, said that she
had repeatedly warned Slovak officials that the plans were in contradiction with
EU law.
“If expert feedback had been taken into account, Slovakia could have avoided EU
infringement proceedings. Still, we believe that this process itself can help
foster a more professional and substantive debate on how whistleblower
protection should be properly set up in Slovakia,” Dlugošová said.
Slovakia’s permanent representation in Brussels and interior ministry did not
immediately respond to POLITICO’s requests for comment.
Brussels has given Bratislava one month to respond to its queries before taking
further action — which could potentially include cutting EU payouts to Slovakia
after a multi-layered process.
Since returning to power in 2023 for a fourth term, Fico’s Smer party has taken
steps to dismantle anti-corruption institutions, including abolishing
the Special Prosecutor’s Office, which handled high-profile corruption cases,
and disbanding NAKA, an elite police unit tasked with fighting organized crime.
“The European Commission’s decision … sends a clear message: protecting
whistleblowers is not optional — it is a core obligation of every EU Member
State,” Czech MEP Tomáš Zdechovský said in written remarks to POLITICO.
Before launching the probe, the EU executive had pressed Slovakia to roll back
on its anti-democratic crackdown.
EU Budget Commissioner Piotr Serafin encouraged Fico not to dismantle the
whistleblower protection office during a meeting in Bratislava in December,
according to two Commission officials with knowledge of proceedings who were not
authorized to go on the record.
Nevertheless, in December 2025, the Slovak parliament pushed through a bill that
cut short the current director’s tenure and weakened protections for
whistleblowers. It was set to enter into force in on Jan. 1 but Slovakia’s top
court paused the disputed decision to review whether it complies with the
constitution.
German Green MEP Daniel Freund welcomed the Commission’s move but urged it to go
even further.
“The Commission needs to do more. Fico’s government has dismantled the special
prosecutor for corruption, has dismantled the national crime agency and has
changed the penal code to have hundreds of convicted corruption offenders walk
free,” Freund told POLITICO.
Slovakia is already subject to another infringement procedure, launched by the
Commission in November, over a reform that enshrines only two genders in the
constitution.
BRUSSELS — The EU’s move to designate Iran’s feared paramilitary force as a
terrorist organization was the product of a recalculation by several
governments, in which the need to respond to Tehran’s brutal crackdown
outweighed the diplomatic risks.
For weeks, a group of influential EU capitals — led by France and, until
recently, Italy and Spain — warned that a terror listing would close off what
little diplomatic leverage Europe still had with Iran, risking reprisals against
European nationals and complicating nuclear talks.
That argument began to unravel as the regime’s internet blackout lifted and
video footage circulated of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ violence
against protesters. By Wednesday afternoon, the capitals championing the
designation, among them Berlin, had managed to peel away Italy and Spain from
France — with Paris loath to be out on its own.
While “there was an internet ban everything was not clear,” said EU chief
diplomat Kaja Kallas when asked by POLITICO on Thursday what had changed
capitals’ minds. But “when the atrocities were clear, then also it was clear
there has to be a very strong response from the European side.”
European Parliament President Roberta Metsola told POLITICO that after “seeing
the appalling images emerging from Iran of the continued brutality of the regime
… it was necessary for Europe to act.”
French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot said Paris had revised its view due to
the “unwavering courage of the Iranians, who have been the target of this
violence.”
As other capitals got on board, “the pressure [on France] became too much,” a
European Parliament official said. “They didn’t want to stand there like the
only ones blocking this decision and supporting that regime … The shame of being
the one to block this, the cost became too big.”
DOMINOES FALLING
Dutch Foreign Minister David van Weel told POLITICO that the emergence of new
video evidence of killings and violence from regime forces had crossed a “big
line” for many EU countries. The Netherlands has been one of the key proponents
of designating the Revolutionary Guard.
Italy was the first to publicly declare it had changed camps, with Foreign
Minister Antonio Tajani on Monday saying “the losses suffered by the civilian
population during the protests require a clear response.”
One EU diplomat from a country that had pushed for the listing in the lead-up to
Thursday’s meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels said footage of parents
looking for their children in body bags had been particularly “horrific” and
“motivating,” along with reports of deaths in the tens of thousands.
Early on Wednesday afternoon, Spain signaled its position had also shifted, with
the foreign ministry telling POLITICO it supported the designation, which puts
the Revolutionary Guard in the same category as al Qaeda, Hamas and Daesh.
Paris was the last holdout.
U.S. President Donald Trump warned on Wednesday that “time is running out” for
the regime. | Laurent Gillieron/EPA
French officials had argued such a massive terror listing — the group has more
than 100,000 personnel — would limit opportunities to talk about nuclear
nonproliferation and other matters due to the fact that many of Europe’s
interlocutors are tied to the sprawling Revolutionary Guards.
France, along with the U.K. and Germany, is also a member of the E3 group of
nations that are holding nuclear talks with Iran. While the E3 recently
activated snapback sanctions on Tehran over its failure to cooperate with
inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency, Paris was still hoping
for a diplomatic solution.
For France, keeping the Revolutionary Guard off the EU terror list “maintained
the possibility that the E3 could play a role if the negotiations on the nuclear
program started again,” said a European diplomat.
But there was another reason preventing Paris from coming aboard. While French
officials had avoided making the link between France’s stance and Iran’s use of
hostage diplomacy, weighing on them were the fates of two of their nationals —
Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris — who had recently been released from the
notorious Evin Prison and are under house arrest at the French Embassy in
Tehran.
But lacking support from its allies to continue to resist the move, Paris
dropped its opposition. France’s Barrot said the deaths of thousands of
protesters could not “happen in vain.”
The United States, which designated the Revolutionary Guard as a terror group in
2019, has also been pressing the EU to follow suit, with a French presidency
official saying Paris had had “a very large number of exchanges with the
Americans” on Iran.
U.S. President Donald Trump warned on Wednesday that “time is running out” for
the regime and that a “massive Armada” was “moving quickly, with great power,
enthusiasm, and purpose” toward the country.
Clea Caulcutt, Victor Goury-Laffont, Gabriel Gavin and Tim Ross contributed
reporting.