LONDON — Donald Trump has launched a crusade to convert European politics to his
cause, mobilizing the full force of American diplomacy to promote “patriotic”
parties, stamp on migration, destroy “censorship” and save “civilization” from
decay.
The question is whether Europe’s embattled centrists have the power, or the
will, to stop him.
In its newly released National Security Strategy document, the White House set
out for the first time in a comprehensive form its approach to the geopolitical
challenges facing the U.S. and the world.
While bringing peace to Ukraine gets a mention, when it comes to Europe,
America’s official stance is now that its security depends on shifting the
continent’s politics decisively to the right.
Over the course of three pages, the document blames the European Union, among
others, for raising the risk of “civilizational erasure,” due to a surge in
immigrants, slumping birth rates and the purported erosion of democratic
freedoms.
“Should present trends continue, the continent will be unrecognizable in 20
years or less,” it says. “As such, it is far from obvious whether certain
European countries will have economies and militaries strong enough to remain
reliable allies.”
With its talk of birth rates declining and immigration rising, the racial
dimension to the White House rhetoric is hard to ignore. It will be familiar to
voters in Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands and Germany, where far-right
politicians have articulated the so-called “great replacement theory,” a racist
conspiracy theory falsely asserting that elites are part of a plot to dilute the
white population and diminish its influence. “We want Europe to remain
European,” the document says.
“Over the long term, it is more than plausible that within a few decades at the
latest, certain NATO members will become majority non-European,” the document
reads — making it “an open question” whether such countries will continue to
view an alliance with the U.S. as desirable.
The policy prescription that follows is, in essence, regime change. “Our goal
should be to help Europe correct its current trajectory,” the strategy document
says. That will involve “cultivating resistance” within European nations. In
case there is any doubt about the political nature of the message, the White
House paper celebrates “the growing influence of patriotic European parties” as
a cause for American optimism.
In other words: Back the far right to make Europe great again.
FIGHTING SHY
Since Trump returned to the White House in January, European leaders have kept
up a remarkable performance of remaining calm amid his provocations, so far
avoiding an open conflict that would sever transatlantic relations entirely.
But for centrist leaders currently in power — like Emmanuel Macron in Paris,
Keir Starmer in London and Germany’s Friedrich Merz — the new Trump doctrine
poses a challenge so existential that they may be forced to confront it
head-on.
“We are facing the same challenges, or versions of the same challenges, and we
do talk about it,” Starmer said. | Jeff J. Mitchell/Getty Images
That confrontation could come sooner rather than later, with high-stakes
elections in parts of Britain and Germany next year and the possibility of a
snap national vote ever-present in France. In each case, MAGA-aligned parties —
Reform U.K., the Alternative for Germany and the National Rally — are poised to
make gains at the expense of establishment centrists currently in power.
America, it is now clear, may well intervene to help.
On current evidence, European officials whose job it is to protect their
elections from foreign interference have little appetite for a fight with Trump.
The European Commission recently unveiled its plans for a “democracy shield” to
protect elections from disinformation and foreign interference. Michael McGrath,
the commissioner responsible for the policy, told POLITICO recently that the
shield should be drawn widely as Russia is “not the only actor” that may have “a
vested interest” in influencing elections. “There are many actors who would like
to damage the fabric of the EU, and ultimately undermine trust in its
institutions,” he said.
In light of the new National Security Strategy, Trump’s America must now surely
count among them.
But McGrath played the diplomat when asked, before the strategy was published,
if he would rather U.S. leaders stopped campaigning in European elections and
criticizing European democracy.
“They’re entitled to their views, but we have our own standards and we seek to
apply our own values and the European approach to international affairs and
international diplomacy,” McGrath replied. “We don’t comment or interfere on the
domestic matters of a close partner like the United States.”
PATHETIC FREELOADERS
Even before the strategy was published, Trump administration figures had already
provided ample evidence of its disdain for Europe’s political center ground. So
far this year, Vice President JD Vance launched a broadside against Europe over
free speech and democracy; Elon Musk intervened in the German election to back
the far-right Alternative for Germany; and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
privately savaged “pathetic” Europeans for “freeloading” on security.
The difference this time is that Trump’s National Security Strategy is official.
“It was one thing for them to think it and say it to each other (or in a speech
in Munich),” said one EU diplomat, granted anonymity to speak candidly. “It’s
something else to put it into a policy document.”
What is worse for leaders like Macron, Merz and Starmer is that the Trumpian
analysis — that a critical mass of voters want their own European MAGA — may,
ultimately, be right.
These leaders are all under immense pressure from the populist right in their
own backyards. In Britain, Nigel Farage’s Reform U.K. is on track to make major
gains at next year’s regional and local elections, potentially triggering a
leadership challenge in the governing Labour Party that could force Starmer
out.
In Paris, Marine Le Pen’s National Rally tortures Macron’s struggling
administrators in parliament, while the Alternative for Germany breathes down
Merz’s neck in Berlin and pushes him to take ever harder positions on
migration.
The British prime minister disclosed in an interview with The Economist this
week that he spoke to Merz and Macron at a recent private dinner in Berlin about
the shared threat they all face from the right. “We are facing the same
challenges, or versions of the same challenges, and we do talk about it,”
Starmer said.
If America makes good on Trump’s new strategy, private dinner party chats among
friends may not be enough.
Tag - Munich Security Conference
BERLIN — Alex Bruesewitz, an adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump, told
leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD — a party labeled
extremist by German authorities — that he sees them as “bold visionaries”
shaping the country’s future.
Speaking to a room packed with AfD parliamentarians and supporters in Berlin on
Wednesday night, Bruesewitz declared that MAGA conservatives and members of
Germany’s rising far right are united in a common fight along with other
nationalist forces around the world against “Marxists” and “globalists” that he
framed as “a spiritual war for the soul of our nations.”
Bruesewitz, a social media guru credited with helping Trump return to the White
House, is now a senior adviser to Never Surrender, Trump’s leadership political
action committee. His speech to AfD parliamentarians comes at a time when German
far-right figures are increasingly looking for legitimacy and support from MAGA
Republicans in the U.S., particularly for what they frame as a struggle against
political persecution and censorship at home.
It’s something of a turnabout for AfD politicians, who have historically
exhibited a strong anti-American streak, viewing the U.S. as having infringed on
Germany’s sovereignty in the postwar era and seeking instead to build closer
relations with Russia. But since Trump’s return to the White House, AfD leaders
have made a concerted effort to get close to MAGA Republicans.
Beatrix von Storch, an AfD politician who has been at the forefont of the
party’s efforts to build connections with MAGA Republicans, said Bruesewitz’s
visit was about “reaching out to be closer to our American friends.”
Bruesewitz echoed that message during his talk on “the global battle for truth,”
as the event was dubbed.
“We are in this together,” he said. “The globalists fear united patriots more
than anything.”
WHO’S THE ANTI-DEMOCRAT?
The AfD is now the strongest opposition party in the German parliament, and in
many recent polls has surpassed German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s ruling
conservatives. The party’s growing popularity comes despite the fact that
earlier this year, Germany’s federal domestic intelligence agency, which is
tasked with monitoring groups deemed to be antidemocratic, declared the AfD to
be an extremist organization.
This designation fueled debate among mainstream German politicians about whether
the party ought to be banned under provisions of the German Constitution
designed to prevent a repeat of the Nazi rise to power. Centrist parties in
Germany have so far refused to form national coalitions with the AfD,
maintaining a so-called firewall around the far right that has been in place
since shortly after World War II.
But AfD politicians argue that German mainstream politicians are the true
antidemocratic forces and are seeking to suppress the will of the German people
through the state apparatus. They have often found a sympathetic ear for that
argument in MAGA circles.
When Germany’s domestic intelligence agency declared the AfD to be extremist,
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the move “tyranny in disguise.”
During the Munich Security Conference earlier this year, U.S. Vice President JD
Vance urged mainstream politicians in Europe to protect free speech rights of
anti-immigration parties and to knock down the “firewalls” that shut out
far-right parties from government.
The AfD is now the strongest opposition party in the German parliament, and in
many recent polls has surpassed German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s ruling
conservatives. | Clemens Bilan/EPA
AfD politicians have repeatedly visited Washington in recent months to make the
case that they are the victims of political persecution and to solicit American
support. Last week, German right-wing influencer and AfD ally Naomi Seibt said
she had applied for asylum in the U.S., claiming to be “facing persecution” in
Germany for her views and saying she is the target of “severe government and
intelligence surveillance and harassment.”
LOST IN TRANSLATION
During his Berlin speech, Bruesewitz suggested MAGA Republicans had faced a
similar experience of persecution in the U.S., likening criminal indictments
against Trump and past social media deplatforming of right-wing figures to the
same kind of leftist, anti-democratic suppression AfD leaders claim to be
facing.
“As I sit and watch what’s happening all over Europe with the censorship
concerns, the same thing happened in America,” said Bruesewitz. “You can let it
happen here. You have to protect free speech,” he added to a round of
enthusiastic applause.
Not all aspects of Bruesewitz’s message were met with equal enthusiasm. His
defense of Trump’s tariffs, which have hit Germany’s export-oriented industries
particularly hard, did not win applause.
Bruesewitz also repeatedly invoked passages from the Bible and called on Germans
to embrace a distinctly American brand of Christian nationalism that, while
embraced by some AfD politicians, is largely alien to Germans, who are broadly
less pious.
At one point, Bruesewitz called faith “our greatest weapon,” and said the
killing of conservative American influencer Charlie Kirk had made him realize
that conservative nationalists are not just engaged in a political battle, but
rather a “spiritual war” that extends beyond the U.S.
“The forces arrayed against us aren’t just ideological opponents, they’re
manifestations of evil, seeking to extinguish the light of faith, family and
freedom,” Bruesewitz said. “This spiritual battle isn’t confined to the United
States. Oh, no. Germany and America may be separated by thousands of miles of
ocean, but we face the same exact enemies, the same threats, the same insidious
forces trying to tear us down.”
Police in Berlin on Thursday searched the home of prominent conservative
political commentator and former university professor Norbert Bolz over a social
media post he wrote in 2024 that contained a Nazi-era slogan.
On Thursday morning, officers arrived at Bolz’s home and questioned him about a
post on X that featured the Nazi-affiliated expression, “Deutschland erwache!”
(“Germany, awake!”). Bolz confirmed his authorship of the post, avoiding the
seizure of his laptop, he told POLITICO.
“The friendly police officers gave me the good advice to be more careful in the
future. I’ll do that and only talk about trees from now on,” Bolz sarcastically
commented in a separate post on X. Bolz is a regular commentator for WELT, a
sister publication of POLITICO in the Axel Springer Group.
A Berlin public prosecutor confirmed that police carried out a search in
connection with an investigation into the “use of symbols of unconstitutional
organizations.”
Bolz had shared a post from the left-wing newspaper taz that read, “Ban of the
AfD and a petition against Höcke: Germany awakens,” and added ironically: “A
good translation for “woke”: Germany awake!”
The German case comes after U.K. authorities arrested “Father Ted” co-creator
Graham Linehan on suspicion of inciting violence with a series of social media
posts about transgender people, amid a wider debate over hate speech laws and
free expression in the U.K. and other European countries.
In February at the Munich Security Conference, U.S. Vice President JD
Vance lambasted European leaders, arguing that free speech was increasingly
under threat on the continent, though the Trump administration has itself also
clamped down on some commentary posted on social media.
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Heute Abend tagt der Koalitionsausschuss – und die Stimmung zwischen Union und
SPD ist nicht die beste. Nachdem SPD-Chefin Bärbel Bas die Warnungen zum
Sozialstaat des Kanzlers als „Bullshit“ bezeichnet hat, steht vieles auf der
Kippe. Rasmus Buchsteiner analysiert, was auf der Agenda steht und ob eine
Einigung überhaupt möglich ist.
Im 200-Sekunden-Interview: Matthias Miersch. Der SPD-Fraktionschef über seine
schwierige politische Partnerschaft mit Jens Spahn, wieso er Bärbel Bas
„Bullshit” nicht unangemessen findet und warum er an möglichen Steuererhöhungen
festhält.
Außerdem: Das Klassentreffen der Diplomaten in Berlin. Gordon blickt auf die
Botschafterkonferenz kommende Woche und auf einen Beinahe-Eklat um einen
Frauenempfang im Auswärtigen Amt.
Und: Rixa Fürsen nimmt euch zum “Family & Friends”-Treffen der Münchner
Sicherheitskonferenz in Berlin mit.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
LONDON — JD Vance is on a summer break in Britain. He’s not always been such a
fan.
Donald Trump’s second-in-command hasn’t exactly been shy in expressing what he
really thinks about the U.K. over the years, branding it an “Islamist” hellhole
bent on ending free speech. But apart from that!
As he holidays in the idyllic Cotswolds (dubbed the “Hamptons of England“) —
including a stay at U.K. Foreign Secretary David Lammy’s taxpayer-funded country
pile — Vance will see if his pontificating from afar matches reality.
POLITICO runs through five occasions where Vance did not hold back in his
assault on old Blighty.
1) BRITAIN IS AN “ISLAMIST COUNTRY”
Vance made this outburst before Trump selected him as his VP pick. Last July,
the then-Ohio senator called the U.K. an “Islamist country” after Labour ousted
the Conservatives from Downing Street.
Speaking at the National Conservatism Conference in Washington, D.C., Vance
recounted a conversation with a friend about the dangers of nuclear
proliferation. And then he pushed the red button.
“I was talking about what is the first truly Islamist country that will get a
nuclear weapon,” Vance recalled. “Maybe it’s Iran, maybe Pakistan already kind
of counts, and then we sort of finally decided maybe it’s actually the U.K.,
since Labour just took over.”
Labour, then briefly basking in their election glory, shrugged off Vance’s
comments.
“I don’t recognize that characterization,” said no-nonsense Deputy Prime
Minister Angela Rayner. “I’m very proud of the election success that Labour had
recently. I think he said quite a lot of fruity things in the past as well.”
That’s one way of putting it.
2) BRITAIN KILLED FREEDOM OF SPEECH
One of Vance’s first overseas visits in the new gig was to the Munich Security
Conference — dubbed “Davos with guns” — in February.
Vance’s trip includes a stay at U.K. Foreign Secretary David Lammy’s
taxpayer-funded country pile. | Johnny Green/PA Images via Getty Images
Vance used the forum to launch an attack on Western societies for curbing free
speech and allowing mass migration. The U.K. came in for particular criticism,
with Vance claiming the “backslide away from conscience rights has placed the
basic liberties of religious Britons in particular in the crosshairs.”
Vance attacked buffer zones outside U.K. abortion clinics, which prohibit
protest within a certain distance. And he claimed that the Scottish government
had urged citizens to “report any fellow citizens suspected guilty of thought
crime.”
3) GUNNING FOR KEIR STARMER
When a guest comes to visit, it’s generally nice to make them feel welcome. Not
for Vance, who was happy to make British Prime Minister Keir Starmer sit just a
little uneasily in the Oval Office back in February.
While Starmer and Trump appeared to get on like a house on fire, Vance, sat to
one side on a couch, carped about how Britain was attacking free speech.
“We also know that there have been infringements on free speech that actually
affect not just the British — of course what the British do in their own country
is up to them — but also affect American technology companies and, by extension,
American citizens,” Vance said.
In fairness, the U.K. government did demand Apple grant it a backdoor to access
user data, teeing up an almighty fight with the U.S. And its online safety laws
have tried to rein in tech giants with new rules forcing them to police
“harmful” content – much to the annoyance of some U.S. lawmakers.
Still, Starmer managed to hold his own in the face of the impromptu attack.
“We’ve had free speech for a very, very long time in the United Kingdom and it
will last for a very, very long time,” the PM shot back as Trump looked on.
4) YOU AND WHOSE ARMY?
As Britain and France strained to show Trump that Europe was willing to commit
peacekeepers to bolster any Ukrainian ceasefire deal, Vance stepped on a rake.
He claimed that the big minerals deal struck between Kyiv and Washington would
actually be a better guarantee of Ukraine’s security than “some random country
that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years.”
A soldier of “some random country that hasn’t fought a war in 30 or 40 years”
fires on the Taliban in Afghanistan, 2007. John Moore/Getty Images
The U.K. and France had both fought wars more recently than that — and, while he
didn’t name names, Vance was accused by British politicians of disrespecting the
memory of the hundreds of soldiers killed while fighting alongside the U.S. in
Afghanistan and Iraq.
Vance called the criticism of him “absurdly dishonest” and insisted he wasn’t
referring to the U.K. and France but unspecified countries who didn’t have the
“battlefield experience nor the military equipment.” That’s that cleared up,
then.
5) LABORING THE POINT
Vance’s most recent criticism is a familiar right-wing talking point, with the
vice-president claiming that immigration has tanked Britain’s productivity.
“If you look in nearly every country, from Canada to the U.K., that imported
large amounts of cheap labor, you’ve seen productivity stagnate,” he told
Washington, D.C. tech bros. “That’s not a total happenstance. I think that the
connection is very direct.”
In an act of unparalleled generosity, he pointed out that the U.S. has also
pursued “40 years of failed economic policy” too. There’s that missing sense of
transatlantic solidarity!
… AND THE ONE TIME HE WAS NICE
Perhaps aware he may have crossed the line one time too many, Vance told UnHerd
in April that there is a deep “cultural affinity” between the two nations.
He highlighted Trump’s admiration for King Charles and the late Queen Elizabeth.
That’s code for: I want to tag along on your fancy state visit, Donald.
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Wer regiert die Welt – und was treibt sie an?
In unserem Sommer-Spezial geht es um die mächtigsten und umstrittensten
Politikerinnen und Politiker unserer Zeit. Wir zeigen, wie sie denken,
entscheiden – und was das für uns bedeutet. Ein Politiker pro Tag, ein Blick
hinter die Kulissen der Macht.
In der Machthaber-Serie:
04.08.2025 – Wladimir Putin
05.08.2025 – Marine Le Pen
06.08.2025 – Javier Milei
07.08.2025 – Xi Jinping
08.08.2025 – Giorgia Meloni
11.08.2025 – Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
12.08.2025 – Benjamin Netanjahu
13.08.2025 – Narendra Modi
14.08.2025 – Friedrich Merz
15.08.2025 – Mohammed bin Salman
16.08.2025 – Ursula von der Leyen
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
The Trump administration is attacking Europe over free speech, saying its
regulation of social media and other online platforms amounts to “Orwellian”
censorship.
In a social media post Tuesday, the State Department, without giving any
specifics, said thousands of people are being convicted for criticizing their
own governments, echoing remarks Vice President JD Vance made earlier this year.
“This Orwellian message won’t fool the United States,” it said. “Censorship is
not freedom.”
The State Department then appeared to link the claim to the Digital Services
Act, the EU’s tech and social media rulebook, saying: “All the DSA protects is
European leaders from their own people.”
The State Department did not immediately respond to follow-up questions.
Several American social media giants, including Meta and X, have faced legal
action under the DSA, which entered into force in 2022.
Meanwhile, U.S. authorities have increasingly scrutinized the social media posts
of foreigners seeking to enter the country, including students, with the State
Department directing consular officers to be on the lookout for “any indications
of hostility toward the citizens, culture, government, institutions or founding
principles of the United States.”
The State Department post appeared to be a continuation of previous Trump
administration criticism of EU content moderation rules. In March, Brendan Carr,
the chair of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission, warned in a speech to
the Mobile World Congress that the regulations threaten free speech.
Vance launched an attack on European governments at the Munich Security
Conference in February, lambasting what he deemed “the retreat of Europe from
some of its most fundamental values.”
Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in May a new visa restriction policy
targeting foreign officials complicit in censoring what Americans post online,
singling out Latin America and Europe.