LONDON — Green Party leader Zack Polanski is open to forming a discrete
non-aggression pact with Labour in order to stop right-winger Nigel Farage from
ever entering Downing Street, according to two senior Green officials.
Polanski, the leader of the “eco-populist” outfit that is helping squeeze the
incumbent Labour government’s progressive vote, has been keen to make the case
that his radical politics can halt Farage — whose insurgent Reform UK is riding
high in the polls — in his tracks.
But the recently elected party chief, who has overseen a big boost to Green
polling with his punchy defenses of leftist causes on social media and
television, has told allies he “couldn’t live with myself” if he contributed to
Farage’s victory, according to a second senior Green official, granted anonymity
like others in this piece to speak about internal thinking.
Such a move would stop short of a formal Green-Labour deal, instead tapping into
tactical voting. Green officials are discussing the prospect of informal, local
prioritizations of resources so the best-placed progressive challenger can win,
as seen in elections past with Labour and the centrist Liberal Democrats.
At the same time, Green advisers are keen to lean into the deep divisions within
Labour about whether Starmer should be replaced with another leader to prevent
electoral oblivion. Starmer appears deeply unpopular with Green supporters. One
YouGov study has him rated just as unfavorably as Conservative chief Badenoch
with backers of Polanski’s party.
The first Green official argued there is “no advantage in working electorally
with Labour under Starmer.” Instead, they’re eyeing up — even expecting — a
change in Labour leadership. Polanski has talked up Andy Burnham, the Greater
Manchester Labour mayor who is seen as one potential challenger to Starmer.
LABOUR: WE ARE NOT EVEN THINKING ABOUT THAT
As the party in power, Labour — which has ramped up its attacks on the Greens in
recent weeks — is keen to tamp down talk of working together. Asked about the
Greens, a senior U.K. government adviser said: “We are not even thinking about
that. We need to focus on being a viable government.”
They expect Polanski’s polling to plummet once there’s more scrutiny of his
politics, including his criticism of NATO, as well as his more colorful
comments. Back in 2013, as a hypnotherapist, Polanski suggested to a reporter he
could enlarge breasts with his mind.
“The hypnotist thing goes down in focus groups like a bucket of cold sick,” the
government adviser added.
There’s skepticism that a non-aggression deal could work anyway, not least
because the Greens will be vying for the kind of urban heartlands Labour can’t
afford to back down from. Neither party “has an incentive to go soft on one
another,” as a result, Luke Tryl, a director at the More in Common think tank,
said.
“I really doubt they’re going to forgo taking more seats off us in London or
Bristol in the greater interest of the left,” said a Labour MP with a keen eye
on the polling. “They’re trying to replace us — they’re not trying to be our
little friends.”
The Labour MP instead argued that voters typically make their minds up in the
lead-up to elections as to how best to stop a certain outcome, whether that’s
due to past polling or activities on the ground.
Zack Polanski has been keen to make the case that his radical politics can halt
Nigel Farage — whose insurgent Reform UK is riding high in the polls — in his
tracks. | Lesley Martin/Getty Images
That can well work against Labour, as seen in the Caerphilly by-election in
October. The constituency of the devolved Welsh administration had been Labour
since its inception in 1999 — but no more.
Voters determined to stop Farage decided it was the center-left Welsh
nationalists of Plaid Cymru that represented the best party to coalesce around.
Reform’s success was thwarted — but Labour’s vote plummeted in what were once
party heartlands.
“There’s no doubt the Greens risk doing to Labour what Farage did to the
Conservatives,” said Tryl of More in Common, who pointed out that the Greens may
not even win many seats as a result of the fracturing (party officials
internally speak of winning only 50 MPs as being a huge ask).
“Labour’s hope instead will have to be that enough disgruntled progressives
hold their nose and opt for PM Starmer over the threat of PM Farage.”
Labour and the Greens are not the only parties dealing with talk of a pact,
despite a likely four-year wait for Britain’s next general election.
Ever since 1918, it’s been either the Conservatives or Labour who’ve formed the
British government, with Westminster’s first-past-the-post, winner-takes-all
system across 650 constituencies meaning new parties rarely get a look in.
But the general election in July last year suggested this could be coming apart.
Farage has already been forced to deny a report that he views an electoral deal
with establishment Conservatives as the “inevitable” route to power. His stated
aim is to replace the right-wing party entirely.
Conservative Leader Kemi Badenoch is publicly pretty firm that she won’t buddy
up with Reform either. “I am the custodian of an institution that has existed
for nigh on 200 years,” she said in February. “I can’t just treat it like it’s a
toy and have pacts and mergers.” Robert Jenrick, the right-winger who’s widely
tipped as her successor, has been more circumspect, however.
That appears to be focusing minds on the left.
Farage may be polling the highest — but there’s still a significant portion of
the public horrified by the prospect of him entering No.10. A YouGov study on
tactical voting suggested that Labour would be able to count on a boost in
support from Liberal Democrat and Green voters to stave off the threat of
Farage.
Outwardly, Polanski is a vocal critic of Labour under Starmer and wants to usurp
the party as the main vehicle for left-wing politics.
The Green leader is aiming to win over not just progressives, but also
disenchanted Reform-leaning voters, with his support for wider public ownership,
higher taxes on the wealthy, and opposition to controversial measures like
scaling back jury trials and introducing mandatory digital IDs.
But privately, Polanski is more open to doing deals because in his mind, “at the
general election, stopping Farage is the most important objective,” as the first
senior Green adviser put it.
“We expect to be the main challengers to Reform, but of course we are open to
discussing what options exist to help in that central mission of stopping
Farage,” they said.
Tag - Social Media
FORGET THE FAR RIGHT. THE KIDS WANT A
‘UNITED STATES OF EUROPE.’
On social media, the upcoming generation is expressing more European solidarity
than the continent has seen in decades.
By NICHOLAS VINCOUR
Illustration by Joanne Joo for POLITICO
A futuristic EU soldier stands guard, laser blaster at the ready. European
fighter jets zoom through the sky over thumping Eurodance beats. An imaginary
map shows a vastly enlarged EU, swallowing everything from Greenland to the
Caucasus.
Welcome to the wild world of pro-Europe online propaganda, where the EU isn’t a
fractious club of 27 countries but a juiced-up superpower on par with China or
the United States, only wiser and more cultured.
This type of content, which re-imagines the EU as a pan-European empire, a
European Federation or the United States of Europe — take your pick — has
flooded social media platforms over the past two years, garnering billions of
views collectively on X, TikTok and Instagram as the EU has reeled from Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine and a U.S.-EU trade deal decried as “humiliation” for
Brussels in many parts of Europe.
In the face of withering attacks from U.S. President Donald Trump, who called
European leaders “weak” in an interview with POLITICO, as well as anti-EU
tirades from X owner Elon Musk, such pro-EU memes are flowing thicker and faster
than ever.
Its mainstays are Soviet-style propaganda posters featuring the EU’s ring of
stars emblem, video montages with soaring drone shots of European monuments
and memes where the EU’s strengths — from its laid-back work culture to rich
cultural heritage — are favorably compared to other parts of the world, namely
Donald Trump’s America.
Scrolling through these posts, it can be tempting to shrug off the entire trend
as meaningless “AI slopaganda” (AI-generated content does loom
large). Indeed the hyper-confident Europe envisioned by accounts with names like
“European propagandist” or “Ave Europa” bears little resemblance to the actual
EU, where leaders remain divided over everything from how to finance Ukraine’s
war next year to what reforms should be undertaken to reverse a long trend of
economic decline.
But for the people behind these accounts, the point isn’t to stick too closely
to the day-to-day reality of EU politics. It’s to generate a sense of agency,
vision and possibility at a time when bullying from Trump, expansionism from
Russia and competition between U.S. and China have left young Europeans feeling
powerless. POLITICO reached out to 11 of the users behind the accounts and
learned that they were real people with widely differing political views ranging
from left-wing to the hard-right, and used different terms to describe where
they stood on Europe. Some called their beliefs “Eurofed,” short for
European federalist. Others described themselves as pan-European imperialist,
emphasizing the notion of a European “civilization” to defend rather than any
existing political setup.
One thing they all had in common: They were under the age of 35. “People are
looking to escape powerlessness… to regain action and sovereignty and act on
things,” said Christelle Savall, president of the Young Federalists Association
Europe, a non-profit advocacy group that has existed since 1972 but has recently
seen a surge in membership
For years, Europe’s dominant political narrative has been that the far right
is ascendant and the only question is how much further it will rise and how much
more it will corrode the eighty-year-old project that grew out of the ashes of
World War II to become the European Union. These online warriors believe that is
flat-out wrong and that the future lies with a stronger Europe, a view reflected
in a growing swell of opinion in the real world. Just as the MAGA online
movement mirrored and fueled the rise of Trump before the 2016 presidential
election, Europe’s online glowup is reflected in polls showing support for the
EU at an all-time high.
Strong majorities of Europeans across all age groups now favor more deeply
integrated security and defense, according to the 2025 Eurobarometer
survey. Another poll across nine European countries showed that most Germans —
69 percent — favor the creation of an EU army, a prospect often scoffed at by
sitting leaders as a pipe dream.
And there are hints that, far from existing in an online vacuum, this
youth-driven burst in pro-EU feelings can also help to win elections.
Rob Jettens, the 38-year-old centrist who recently won the most votes in Dutch
elections, is one of the gang as far as some young federalists are concerned. A
pan-European party called Volt Europa, which defines itself as centrist or
center-left, has grown its footprint significantly since its launch in 2017,
including a foothold in the European Parliament.
“The center right Eurofed group is more and more turning from an online
phenomenon to a real-life movement… They try to create something akin to a
centrist to right-wing alternative to Volt,” wrote the holder of the X account
European Challenges, who described himself as a 25–35-year-old STEM graduate in
high-tech. I agreed to grant him anonymity due to concern about being “doxxed”
or harassed by other social media users and not wanting users to focus on his
nationality, which would be evident from his name.
For Joseph de Weck, a foreign policy analyst and author of a biography on French
President Emmanuel Macron, this surge in youthful patriotism is being missed by
leaders and many media outlets who are obsessively focused on the far-right.
“It’s a fundamental mistake… Public opinion has changed,” he said.
The reality, he argues, is that Europe’s far-right itself is no longer, for the
most part, anti-European but merely critical of certain policies emanating from
Brussels, like its push for net zero carbon emissions. The big political fight
in coming years won’t be over whether to dismantle the European Union, he
argues, but over which version of a more federalist bloc will prevail. “No one
is putting into question the existence of the EU anymore, but they fundamentally
disagree [on] what they should do,” he added.
A FRAGILE UNION
The idea that Europe — ground zero for two world wars — should abolish national
borders and form up into a unified polity isn’t new. In 1849, speaking to the
International Peace Congress in Paris, French author Victor Hugo predicted that
“a day will come when you France, you Russia, you Italy, you England, you
Germany, you all, nations of the continent, without losing your distinct
qualities and your glorious individuality will be merged closely within a
superior unit and you will form the European brotherhood.”
That idea was forgotten at the outset of a 20th century marked by savage
nationalism. But it reemerged forcefully in the aftermath of World War II, when
a group of European countries formed the European Economic Community in 1957.
Six years later, in a speech to the Irish Dáil, former U.S. President John F.
Kennedy called for a “United States of Europe,” urging leaders to form a
“political federation of Europe, not as a rival to the United States but as a
partner.”
In subsequent decades the European Union, which was formally created in 1992,
massively expanded its membership to 28 countries and more than 500 million
citizens, and even after Brexit it has 27 countries and 450 million
citizens. The union made the huge leap of abolishing border controls between
some countries in 1995, introduced a single currency, the euro, in 1999, and
over time created the Schengen free travel zone.
But that’s about as far as things got. Kennedy’s vision of a “United States of
Europe” ran headlong into the nationalism of leaders like France’s Charles de
Gaulle, who famously poured cold water on the prospect of a European federalism.
“States, once created, have their own existence that cannot be dissolved. They
are irreversibly individual,” he wrote in his “Memoir of Hope” published in
1970.
A group of young girls sit in the European Parliament chamber in Brussels. |
Michael Currie/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
While endorsing expansion, European leaders have consistently resisted taking
any steps that would turn the EU into a real federation — namely an integrated
army and a fiscal transfer union where tax resources are seamlessly
redistributed. Even after the Covid-19 pandemic, which saw EU capitals
centralize aspects of health policy in Brussels, and Russia’s full-scale
invasion of Ukraine, which has led to some centralization of defense policy, the
mood that now prevails among Europe’s leaders is one of “euro-realism” — code
for, don’t try anything crazy, it will only help the far-right.
Even Macron, who swept to power in 2017 in France with a staunchly pro-European
campaign, seems to have given in to the prevailing mood.
Mario Draghi, a former Italian prime minister and ex-central bank chief whom
many federalists hold up as their mascot, has acknowledged as much. Given
widespread reluctance to rock the boat, he argued in an October speech that
Europe should embrace “pragmatic federalism,” i.e. coalitions of like-minded
countries acting in concert on specific areas of interest instead of any big
leaps forward.
Czechia’s outgoing foreign minister, Jan Lipavsky, described the current
attitude among EU leaders as “not idealistic” in a recent POLITICO interview. A
few days later, Belgium’s defense minister brushed off the idea of a European
army. “Anyone who believes in a European army is selling castles in the air,” he
told local outlet Humo.
REDDIT SUB-GROUP BATTLES
Yet it so happens that castles in the air — i.e. big jumps forward — is exactly
what Europe’s young boosters want, and they’re tired of hearing that they’re too
idealistic. “A direct election of the commission president… is absolutely
necessary. As long as that doesn’t happen, the EU will not get more trust,” the
European Challenges account holder wrote to me in a DM.
Savall says young Europeans yearn for politicians who can articulate a strategic
view of where Europe is headed, rather than fighting out the domestic political
battle of the day. “There’s long-term [vision], but no one is selling it,” she
said, noting that membership in her group grew 6 percent in 2024 to 10,000. In
October, with other pro-federalist groups, it relaunched the Action Committee
for a United States of Europe which had been dormant for decades. A key driver
for new adherents was the EU-U.S. trade deal inked by European Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen in Turnberry, Scotland, which was widely panned
as a humiliation for the bloc. “It was disappointing because Europe’s power was
its trade mandate. Soft power was commerce,” said Savall.
Other pro-federalist or pan-European groups report a similar jump in membership.
Membership in Ave Europa, a federalist group founded in March of this year which
describes itself as “center-right”, has gained 400–500 members since its launch.
Board member Nikodem Skrobisz wrote that the tense Oval Office meeting last
February between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Trump, in which
Trump and Vice President JD Vance berated their guest, had spurred the group’s
launch. “A wave of Europatriotism swept the continent in defiance to
the Trumpist attempts to humiliate our continent,” he wrote in a message to me.
“The subsequent trade and tariff disputes further demonstrated that Europe can
no longer rely on others to defend its interests; and with every MAGA attack
against Europe, we saw a new wave of recruits boost our ranks.”
Not all pro-Europeans share the same roadmap, however. “I think the term
‘European federalism’ is just misplaced for this day and age… Europe will
probably head towards greater centralization and will more closely resemble a
confederation of some sorts,” said Alex Asgari, a Czech-American 25-year-old
lobbyist in Washington, D.C., who previously worked as a Republican aide in the
U.S. House of Representatives.
Indeed, federalists are far from being a politically homogenous group. Several
meme warriors told me that there is an ideological battle ongoing in the dank
recesses of federalist Reddit subgroups and chatrooms between broadly centrist
people who believe in boosting the power of existing Brussels institutions, and
far-right people who hate Brussels but nonetheless want Europe to assert itself
on the world stage. The big divider is identity politics and migration policy:
far-right groups tend to envision Europe as a culturally and ethnically
homogenous “empire” — read, white and Christian, preferably Catholic — that
keeps foreigners out.
“I limit potential membership to countries that have a Latin-European model of
social life… only a Civilisationally homogeneous state has the right to function
stably,” said the user of an account named Sacrum Imperium, a 30-year-old law
student whom I agreed not to identify by name because they said expressing
political views in public could be detrimental to their career. The user also
voiced skepticism about Brussels, advocating limited competences for EU
institutions. “The optimal division of competences… should provide for tasks at
European level only those that are necessary and cannot be carried out at
national level,” they added.
EUROPE OR BUST
For de Weck, the point is not that these young Europeans don’t see eye to eye,
but that their frame of reference is Europe — not the domestic political debate
of France, Germany or any other EU member country. This marks a profound shift
compared to 2016, when Britain’s vote to leave the European Union was widely
seen as heralding other EU exits, and euroskeptic politicians ranging from
France’s Marine Le Pen to Austria’s Sebastian Kurk and the Netherlands’ Geert
Wilders dominated headlines.
Indeed, a big factor linking pro-Europe online users is their youth. With all
reporting their age as under 35, these Europeans may or may not have witnessed
the last big surge of euro-idealism around the turn of the century, when the
euro currency was introduced in several countries and the overtly pro-EU movie
“The Spanish Apartment” (L’Auberge Espagnole” originally) promoted
Europe’s Erasmus student program as an ideal way to find love. But they have all
been through what came after this period of optimism: terrorism, a surge in
migration, the rise of far-right parties across Europe and, more recently,
Russia’s aggressive expansionism and the collapse of a U.S.-led post-World War
II order.
A giant EU flag is unfurled during Europe Day celebrations in Milan in May. |
Emanuele Cremaschi/Getty Images
Such upheavals, combined with other problems — like grinding economic decline
and an ageing population — have painted Europe as a victim, or at least a losing
party, in the minds of many youths. It’s a feeling that these people are
rebelling against — and one that may well fuel the rise of a new generation of
much more Europe-minded, if not overtly federalist, politicians in coming
years.
For now, it’s still populists and their favorite rivals, centrists such as
France’s Macron, who continue to occupy headlines. In the past decade hard-right
leaders have won elections, becoming prime ministers in Austria and Italy, or
political kingmakers, as was the case with Dutch far-right leader Geert Wilders
in 2023. The prime minister of Hungary, Viktor Orbán, has been in power since
2010, positioning himself as an arch-opponent of Brussels-based EU
institutions.
But the reality is that, unlike in 2016 when Europe feared a wave of
Brexit-style “-exits,” none of these leaders now advocates pulling their country
out of the bloc. In a recent chat with POLITICO, Orbán’s political director said
that despite virulent criticism of the EU as currently configured, Budapest
still sees its place firmly within the EU. “We want to be inside. We are part of
the club,” said the aide, Balasz Orbán (no relation). Similarly, Czechia’s
populist incoming prime minister Andrej Babiš, though no fan of Brussels, has
gone so far as to rule out a referendum on his country’s membership in the EU or
NATO in his government manifesto.
Could this be the first hint of a tectonic shift in European politics? Ave
Europa, the group founded in March, plans to run candidates in the next EU
elections. Volt Europa, a pan-European, federalist party, won five seats in the
most recent European Parliament elections, and now has 30 national chapters both
inside and outside the EU. To grow much bigger, such parties would benefit from
a change to the European Parliament’s rules that would allow candidates to
compete for a number of EU-wide seats in transnational campaigns, versus the
current system whereby campaigns are nationally bound — a change that Savall of
the Young Federalists points to as her group’s “No. 1” policy priority.
But to become a reality, it would have to be embraced by the EU’s current
leaders, who haven’t shown much interest in recent years. The United States of
Europe may not become a reality in the next few months, or even years. But its
online cheerleaders are determined to bring that horizon closer — one “EU
soldier” meme at a time.
LONDON — Britain’s Trade Secretary Peter Kyle told POLITICO he is “not in the
business of criticizing other countries” amid President Trump’s plan to require
tourists to the United States to hand over their social media data.
According to a proposal by the Trump administration published Wednesday,
visitors to the U.S. — including from Britain — would have to submit five years
of social media activity before being allowed through the border.
The plans, which come shortly before hundreds of thousands of football fans are
expected to travel to the U.S. to watch their teams compete in the World Cup
this summer, have generated concern among some European politicians.
“Every country takes very seriously the way that it protects its borders and
makes sure that it has a grip on people who come into the country that are
aligned with its own values and principles,” Kyle said when asked if he was
worried about the plans.
“I’m not in a business of criticizing other countries in the way that they do
it, because we are certainly taking it very seriously for our own country.”
Kyle spoke to POLITICO in California as part of a visit to advance trade talks
and drum up investment alongside U.K. Technology Secretary Liz Kendall.
Both Kendall and Kyle previously expressed criticism of Trump on social media
before entering government.
Kendall said “the American government is rightly passionate about freedom of
speech and will follow its own values and principles there.”
U.S. President Donald Trump’s plan to require tourists to hand over their social
media data ahead of next year’s World Cup generated outrage on Wednesday.
An elected European official, human rights groups and fan organizations
condemned the move and urged the world football governing body, FIFA, to
pressure the Trump administration to reverse course.
Visitors to the U.S. — including those from visa-free countries such as
France, Germany and Britain — would have to submit five years of social media
activity before being allowed through the border, according to a proposal by the
Trump administration published Wednesday.
The new rules, which would also require travelers to provide emails, phone
numbers and addresses used in the last five years, would come into effect early
next year — shortly before hundreds of thousands of football fans are expected
to travel to the U.S. to watch their teams compete in the World Cup, which
begins in June. The U.S. is co-hosting the tournament with Mexico and Canada.
“President Trump’s plan to screen visitors to the U.S. based on their past
five-year social media history is outrageous,” Irish Member of the European
Parliament Barry Andrews of the centrist Renew group said in a statement.
“Even the worst authoritarian states in the world do not have such an official
policy,” he added. “The plans would of course seriously damage the U.S. tourist
industry as millions of Europeans would no longer feel safe … including football
fans due to attend next year’s World Cup.”
The Trump administration has stepped up social media surveillance at the
border, vetting profiles and denying tourists entry or revoking visas over
political posts, prompting rights groups to make accusations of censorship and
overreach.
Minky Worden, director of global initiatives at Human Rights Watch — which
has repeatedly warned FIFA about its interactions with the Trump administration
— called the new entry requirements “an outrageous demand that violates
fundamental free speech and free expression rights.”
“This policy expressly violates [football governing body] FIFA’s human rights
policies, and FIFA needs to pressure the Trump administration to reverse
it immediately,” she added. “The World Cup is not an opportunity for the U.S. to
exclude and harass fans and journalists whose opinions Trump
officials don’t like.”
FIFA directed POLITICO to the U.S. State Department when asked for comment. The
State Department and Customs and Border Protection, the agency that authored the
proposal, did not immediately respond to POLITICO’s requests for comment.
The prospect of turning over years of social media data to American authorities
also sparked fury from football supporters, who turned their fire on FIFA.
Fan organizations condemned the move and urged FIFA to pressure the Trump
administration to reverse course. | Mustafa Yalcin/Getty Images
“Freedom of expression and the right to privacy are universal human rights. No
football fan surrenders those rights just because they cross a border,” said
Ronan Evain, executive director at Football Supporters Europe, a representative
group for fans. “This policy introduces a chilling atmosphere of surveillance
that directly contradicts the welcoming, open spirit the World Cup is meant to
embody, and it must be withdrawn immediately.
“This is a World Cup without rules. Or at least the rules change every
day. It’s urgent that FIFA clarifies the security doctrine of the tournament, so
that supporters can make an informed decision whether to travel or stay home,”
he added.
Aaron Pellish contributed to this report.
PARIS — How do you celebrate a major anniversary of the world’s most significant
climate treaty while deprioritizing the fight against climate change?
That’s the quandary in Paris heading into Friday, when the landmark Paris
Agreement turns 10.
With budgets strapped and the fight against climate change losing political
momentum, the only major celebration planned by the French government consists
of a reception inside the Ministry of Ecological Transition hosted by the
minister, Monique Barbut, according to the invitation card seen by POLITICO.
Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu won’t be there, and it’s unclear if President
Emmanuel Macron will attend.
Lecornu will be talking about health care in the region of Eure,
where he’s from. Macron’s plans for Friday are not yet public, but the day
before he’ll address the “consequences of misinformation on climate change” as
part of a nationwide tour to speak with French citizens about technology and
misinformation.
According to two ministerial advisers, the Elysée Palace had initially planned
to organize an event, details of which were not released, but it was canceled at
the last minute. When contacted about the plans, the Elysée did not respond.
Even if Macron ends up attending the ministerial event, the muted nature of the
celebration is both a symptom of the political backlash against Europe’s green
push and a metaphor for the Paris Agreement’s increasingly imperiled legacy
— sometimes at the hands of France itself, which had been supposed to act as
guarantor of the accord.
“France wants to be the guardian of the Paris Agreement, [but] it also needs to
implement it,” said Lorelei Limousin, a climate campaigner at Greenpeace. “That
means really putting the resources in place, particularly financial resources,
to move away from fossil fuels, both in France and internationally.”
PARIS AGREEMENT’S BIRTHDAY PLANNER
Before being appointed to government, Barbut was Macron’s special climate envoy
and had been tasked with organizing the treaty’s celebration. She told
POLITICO in June that she hoped to use the annual Paris Peace Forum to celebrate
the anniversary, then bring together hundreds of the world’s leading climate
scientists in late November and welcome them at the Elysée.
Those events, which have already come and gone, were supposed to be followed by
a grand finale on Friday.
According to one of the ministerial advisers previously cited, the moratorium on
government communications spending introduced in October by the prime minister
threw a wrench in those plans.
“We’d like to do something more festive, but the problem is that we have no
money,” the adviser said.
Environmentalists say the muted plans point to a government that remains mired
in crisis and shows little interest in prioritizing climate change. Lecornu is
laser-focused on getting a budget passed before the end of the year, whereas
Macron’s packed agenda sees him hopscotching across the globe to tackle
geopolitical crises and touring France to talk about his push to regulate social
media.
Anne Bringault, program director at the Climate Action Network, accused the
government of trying to minimize the anniversary of the treaty “on the sly”
because there “is no political support” for a celebration.
Some hope the government will use the occasion to present an update of its
climate roadmap, the national low-carbon strategy, which is more than two years
overdue.
They also still hope that Lecornu will change his plans and show up to mark the
occasion. Apart from his trip to his fiefdom in the Eure, the prime minister’s
schedule shows no appointments. His office told POLITICO that Lecornu has no
plans to change his schedule for the time being.
As for Macron, it’s still unclear what he’ll be doing on Friday.
This story is adapted from an article published by POLITICO in French.
BERLIN — U.S. President Donald Trump’s overtures to the European far right have
never been more overt, but the EU’s biggest far-right parties are split over
whether that is a blessing or a curse.
While Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has welcomed
Trump’s moral support, viewing it as a way to win domestic legitimacy and end
its political ostracization, France’s National Rally has kept its distance —
viewing American backing as a potential liability.
The differing reactions from the two parties, which lead the polls in the EU’s
biggest economies, stem less from varying ideologies than from distinct domestic
political calculations.
AfD leaders in Germany celebrated the Trump administration’s recent attacks on
Europe’s mainstream political leaders and approval of “patriotic European
parties” that seek to fight Europe’s so-called “civilizational erasure.”
“This is direct recognition of our work,” AfD MEP Petr Bystron said in a
statement after the Trump administration released its National Security Strategy
— which, in parts, sounds like it could have been a manifesto of a far-right
European party — warning that Europe may be “unrecognizable” in two decades due
to migration and a loss of national identities.
“The AfD has always fought for sovereignty, remigration, and peace — precisely
the priorities that Trump is now implementing,” added Bystron, who will be among
a group of politicians in his party traveling to Washington this week to meet
with MAGA Republicans.
One of the AfD’s national leaders, Alice Weidel, also celebrated Trump’s
security strategy.
“That’s why we need the AfD!” Weidel said in a post after the document was
released.
By contrast, National Rally leaders in France were generally silent. Thierry
Mariani, a member of the party’s national board, explained Trump hardly seemed
like an ideal ally.
“Trump treats us like a colony — with his rhetoric, which isn’t a big deal, but
especially economically and politically,” he told POLITICO. The party’s national
leaders, Mariani added, see “the risk of this attitude from someone who now has
nothing to fear, since he cannot be re-elected, and who is always excessive and
at times ridiculous.”
AFD’S AMERICAN DREAM
It’s no coincidence that Bystron is part of a delegation of AfD politicians set
to meet members of Trump’s MAGA camp in Washington this week. Bystron has been
among the AfD politicians increasingly looking to build ties to the Trump
administration to win support for what they frame as a struggle against
political persecution and censorship at home.
This is an argument members of the Trump administration clearly sympathize with.
When Germany’s domestic intelligence agency declared the AfD to be extremist
earlier this year, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the move “tyranny
in disguise.” During the Munich Security Conference, U.S. Vice President JD
Vance urged mainstream politicians in Europe to knock down the “firewalls” that
shut out far-right parties from government.
“This is direct recognition of our work,” AfD MEP Petr Bystron said in a
statement after the Trump administration released its National Security
Strategy. | Britta Pedersen/Picture Alliance via Getty Images
AfD leaders have therefore made a simple calculation: Trump’s support may lend
the party a sheen of acceptability that will help it appeal to more voters
while, at the same time, making it politically harder for German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz’s conservatives to refuse to govern in coalition with their
party.
This explains why AfD polticians will be in the U.S. this week seeking political
legitimacy. On Friday evening, Markus Frohnmaier, deputy leader of the AfD
parlimentary group, will be an “honored guest” at a New York Young Republican
Club gala, which has called for a “new civic order” in Germany.
NATIONAL RALLY SEES ‘NOTHING TO GAIN’
In France, Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally has distanced itself from
the AfD and Trump as part of a wider effort to present itself as more palatable
to mainstream voters ahead of a presidential election in 2027 the party believes
it has a good chance of winning.
As part of the effort to clean up its image, Le Pen pushed for the AfD to be
ejected from the Identity and Democracy group in the European Parliament last
year following a series of scandals that made it something of a pariah.
At the same time, National Rally leaders have calculated that Trump can’t help
them at home because he is deeply unpopular nationally. Even the party’s
supporters view the American president negatively.
An Odoxa poll released after the 2024 American presidential election found that
56 percent of National Rally voters held a negative view of Trump. In the same
survey, 85 percent of voters from all parties described Trump as “aggressive,”
and 78 percent as “racist.”
Jean-Yves Camus, a political scientist and leading expert on French and
international far-right movements, highlighted the ideological gaps separating
Le Pen from Trump — notably her support for a welfare state and social safety
nets, as well as her limited interest in social conservatism and religion.
“Trumpism is a distinctly American phenomenon that cannot be transplanted to
France,” Camus said. “Marine Le Pen, who is working on normalization, has no
interest in being linked with Trump. And since she is often accused of serving
foreign powers — mostly Russia — she has nothing to gain from being branded
‘Trump’s agent in France.’”
LONDON — Australia hopes its teenage social media ban will create a domino
effect around the world. Britain isn’t so sure.
As a new law banning under-16s from signing up to platforms such as YouTube,
Instagram and TikTok comes into force today, U.K. lawmakers ten thousand miles
away are watching closely, but not jumping in.
“There are no current plans to implement a smartphone or social media ban for
children. It’s important we protect children while letting them benefit safely
from the digital world, without cutting off essential services or isolating the
most vulnerable,” a No.10 spokesperson said Tuesday.
Regulators are tied up implementing the U.K.’s complex Online Safety Act, and
there is little domestic pressure on the ruling Labour Party to act from its
main political opponents.
While England’s children’s commissioner and some MPs are supportive of a ban,
neither the poll-topping Reform UK or opposition Conservative Party are pushing
to mirror moves down under.
“We believe that bans are ineffective,” a Reform UK spokesperson said.
Even the usually Big Tech skeptic lobby groups have their doubts about the
Australian model — despite strong public support to replicate the move in the
U.K.
Chris Sherwood, chief executive of the NSPCC, which has led the charge in
pushing for tough regulation of social media companies over the last decade,
said: “We must not punish young people for the failure of tech companies to
create safe experiences online.
“Services must be accountable for knowing what content is being pushed out on
their platforms and ensuring that young people can enjoy social media safely.”
Andy Burrows, who leads the Molly Rose Foundation campaign group, argues the
Australian approach is flawed and will push children to higher-risk platforms
not included in the ban.
His charity was set up in 2018 in the name of 14-year-old Molly Russell, who
took her own life in 2017 while suffering from “depression and the negative
effects of online content,” a coroner’s inquest concluded.
Regulators are tied up implementing the U.K.’s complex Online Safety Act, and
there is little domestic pressure on the ruling Labour Party to act from its
main political opponents. | Ian Forsyth/Getty Images
“The quickest and most effective response to better protect children online is
to strengthen regulation that directly addresses product safety and design risks
rather than an overarching ban that comes with a slew of unintended
consequences,” Burrows said.
“We need evidence-based approaches, not knee-jerk responses.”
AUSSIE RULES
Australia’s eSafety commissioner Julie Inman Grant, an American tasked with
policing the world’s first social media account ban for teenagers, acknowledges
Australia’s legislation is the “most novel, complex piece of legislation” she
has ever seen.
But insists: “We cannot control the ocean, but we can police the sharks.”
She told a conference in Sydney this month she expects others to follow
Australia’s lead. “I’ve always referred to this as the first domino,” she says.
“Parents shouldn’t have to fight billion-dollar companies to keep their kids
safe online — the responsibility belongs with the platforms,” Inman Grant told
Australia’s Happy Families podcast.
But the move does come with diplomatic peril.
Inman Grant has not escaped the attention of the White House, which is
pressuring countries to overturn tech regulations it views as unfairly targeting
American companies.
U.S. congressman and Trump ally Jim Jordan has asked Inman Grant to testify
before the Judiciary Committee he chairs, accusing her of being a “zealot for
global [content] takedowns.” She hit back last week, describing the request as
an example of territorial overreach.
The social media account ban for under-16s is the latest in a line of Australian
laws that have upset U.S. tech companies. It was the first to bring in a news
media bargaining code to force Google and Facebook to negotiate with publishers,
and was the first major economy to rule out changing laws to let AI companies
train on copyrighted material without permission.
The U.K. has also upset the White House with its existing online safety
measures, and the Trump administration said earlier this year it is monitoring
freedom of speech concerns in the U.K.
Australia is used to facing down the Big Tech lobby, explains Daniel Stone, who
advised the ruling Labor Government on tech policy. “Julie has the benefit of
knowing the [political] cabinet is fully supportive of her position,” he said.
“It defines what’s permissible across the whole system.”
The social media account ban for under-16s is the latest in a line of Australian
laws that have upset U.S. tech companies. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
“If there is a lesson for the U.K., it is that you don’t have a strong regulator
unless you have a strong political leader with a clear and consistent agenda,”
Stone adds.
“Australia has its anxieties, too, about pushing U.S. tech companies, but they
carry themselves with confidence,” said Stone. “You have to approach Trump from
a position of strength.”
Rebecca Razavi, a former Australian diplomat, regulator and visiting fellow at
the Oxford Internet Institute, agrees. “The thinking is, we’re a mid-sized
economy and there’s this asymmetry with tech platforms dominating, and there’s
actually a need to put things in place using an Australian approach to
regulation,” she said.
Other countries, including Brazil, Malaysia and some European countries are
moving in a similar direction. Last month the European Parliament called for a
continent-wide age restriction on social media.
SLOW DOWN
Others are biding their time.
The speed at which Australia’s social media ban was approved by parliament means
that many of its pitfalls have not been explored, Razavi cautioned.
The legislation passed through parliament last December in 19 days with
cross-party and wide public support. “It was really fast,” she said. “There was
a feeling that this is something that parents care about. There’s also a deep
frustration that the tech companies are just taking too long to make the reforms
that are needed.”
But she added: “Some issues, such as how it works in practice, with age
verification and data privacy are only being addressed now.”
Lizzie O’Shea, a human rights lawyer and founder of campaign group Digital
Rights Watch, agreed. “There was very little time for consultation and
engagement,” she said. “There has then subsequently been a lot of concerns about
implementation. I worry about experimenting on particularly vulnerable people.”
For now, Britain and the world is watching to see if Australia’s new way to
police social media delivers, or becomes an unworkable knee-jerk reaction.
The EU wanted to set the record straight Tuesday after U.S. President Donald
Trump said Europe is a “decaying” group of countries ruled by “weak” leaders.
Trump slammed Europe as poorly governed and failing to regulate migration in an
interview with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns that aired Tuesday in a special episode of
The Conversation podcast.
“I think they’re weak,” the Republican said, referring to the continent’s
presidents and prime ministers, adding, “I think they don’t know what to do.
Europe doesn’t know what to do.”
Asked by POLITICO to respond to Trump’s withering assessment, the European
Commission’s Chief Spokesperson Paula Pinho mounted a spirited defense
of Europe’s leaders.
“We are very pleased and grateful to have excellent leaders, starting with the
leader in this house, president of the European Commission von der Leyen, who we
are really proud of, who can lead us in the many challenges that the world is
facing,” Pinho said.
Pinho also lauded the “many other leaders at the head of the 27 member states
that are part of this European project, of this peace project, who are leading
the EU with all the challenges that it is facing, from trade to war in our
neighborhood.”
She added, “So let me use the opportunity to reiterate what is the sense of
many of the millions of citizens in the EU: We are proud of our leaders.”
Europe has repeatedly come under attack from the Trump administration in recent
days, with a U.S. national security manifesto suggesting the continent is in
civilizational decline, and top officials lambasting the bloc for censorship
after the Commission fined Elon Musk’s social media platform X €120 million for
breaching transparency rules.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission said it will “make sure” it receives money
owed by Elon Musk’s X after the company was fined €120 million for failing to
meet transparency rules.
The Commission on Friday said X has breached transparency and deceptive design
obligations under the EU’s platforms regulation, the Digital Services Act, and
issued the €120 million penalty.
The decision set off a cascade of accusations of censorship from U.S. officials,
Musk and his supporters, with some suggesting the company should refuse to pay
the fine.
“X will have to pay that fine. The €120 million will have to be paid. We will
make sure that we get this money,” Commission Spokesperson Thomas Regnier told
reporters during a daily press briefing, when asked how the EU can ensure that X
pays the penalty.
He noted X still has the opportunity to challenge the decision in court. “There
are procedural steps to take into account, and any decision taken by the
Commission can be challenged in front of the Court of Justice of the European
Union,” he said.
Speaking to POLITICO after the briefing, Regnier called for patience: “Let’s not
jump the gun. We have just taken a decision and issued a fine to X. The company
now has to pay the fine and [has] 90 days to get back to us.”
X has repeatedly gone to court to challenge regulatory decisions it disagrees
with. The company has not yet said whether it will appeal Friday’s decision.
X has yet to issue an official company response, with its Global Government
Affairs account, which voices the company’s views on regulatory matters,
reposting U.S. officials’ views.
Musk on Saturday threatened action against both the EU and unnamed individuals.
“The ‘EU’ imposed this crazy fine not just on [X], but also on me personally,
which is even more insane!” he wrote on X. “Therefore, it would seem appropriate
to apply our response not just to the EU, but also to the individuals who took
this action against me.”
The company hasn’t replied to POLITICO’s repeated requests for comment.
Regnier also justified the Commission’s continued use of X as a platform for
corporate communications, despite the severity of anti-EU comments posted by
Musk over the weekend and the platform’s decision to suspend the Commission’s
account for paid advertising.
The EU executive uses 15 social media platforms and hasn’t made a decision to
suspend its use of X, Regnier said.
All these platforms are ways to “get in touch to citizens, stakeholders, to do
some outreach work, to precisely speak about what we are doing in the EU,” he
said.
Statements comparing the EU to Nazi Germany are “part of the freedom of speech
that we very much praise in the EU,” which “allows even for the craziest
statements that you can imagine,” Chief Spokesperson Paula Pinho said.
The Commission stopped “using paid advertising or any paid services for X” in
2023 and its regular account remains open, Regnier said.
The Commission did not respond to questions as to whether it has heard from U.S.
officials directly on the matter since the fine was announced. Regnier said the
EU executive remains in touch with the company and that X was informed ahead of
the announcement.
Europe’s far-right firebrands are rushing to hitch their fortunes to
Washington’s new crusade against Brussels.
Senior U.S. government officials, including Vice President JD Vance and
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have launched a raft of criticism against what
they call EU “censorship” and an “attack” of U.S. tech companies following a
€120 million fine from the European Commission on social media platform X. The
fine is for breaching EU transparency obligations under the Digital Services
Act, the bloc’s content moderation rule book.
“The Commission’s attack on X says it all,” Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor
Orbán said on X on Saturday. “When the Brusselian overlords cannot win the
debate, they reach for the fines. Europe needs free speech, not unelected
bureaucrats deciding what we can read or say,” he said.
“Hats off to Elon Musk for holding the line,” Orbán added.
Tech mogul Musk said his response to the penalty would target the EU officials
who imposed it.
“The European Commission appreciates censorship & chat control of its citizens.
They want to silence critical voices by restricting freedom of speech,” echoed
far-right Alternative for Germany leader Alice Weidel.
Three right-wing to far-right parties in the EU are pushing to stop and
backtrack the integration process of European countries — the European
Conservatives and Reformists, the Patriots for Europe, and the Europe of
Sovereign Nations. Together they hold 191 out of 720 seats in the European
Parliament.
The parties’ lawmakers are calling for a range of proposals — from shifting
competences from the European to the national level, to dismantling the EU
altogether. They defend the primacy of national interests over common European
cooperation.
Since Donald Trump’s reelection, they have portrayed themselves as the key
transatlantic link, mirroring the U.S. president’s political campaigning in
Europe, such as pushing for a “Make Europe Great Again” movement.
The fresh U.S. criticism of EU institutions has come in handy to amplify their
political agendas. “Patriots for Europe will fight to dismantle this censorship
regime,” the party said on X.
The ECR group — political home to Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni — issued
a statement questioning the enforcement of the DSA following the U.S. criticism.
“A digital law that lacks legal certainty risks becoming an instrument of
political discretion,” ECR co-chairman Nicola Procaccini said on Saturday after
the U.S. backlash.
The group supported the DSA when it passed through the Parliament, having said
in the past the law would “protect freedom of expression, increase trust in
online services and contribute to an open digital economy in Europe.”