Ukraine is willing to drop demands for NATO accession should the U.S. and Europe
offer sufficient security guarantees in ongoing talks on a proposed peace deal,
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was reported to say on Sunday.
“We are talking about bilateral security guarantees between Ukraine and the
United States — namely, Article 5-like guarantees … as well as security
guarantees for us from our European partners and from other countries such as
Canada, Japan and others,” Zelenskyy told journalists in a group chat, according
to a report by the Financial Times.
Ukraine and European leaders are working on a U.S.-drafted 20-point peace plan
that includes territorial concessions to Russia.
Zelenskyy has said that he hasn’t heard back from the White House on his
proposed revisions to the plan.
Zelenskyy’s comments come while German, British and French officials on Sunday
are reportedly discussing the proposals to end the Ukraine war, ahead of a
meeting on Monday that’s to include the leaders of those countries.
U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to meet with Zelenskyy, who will be
received by Merz in Berlin on Monday.
Tag - Multinational defense programs
U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff plans to meet with Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Germany this weekend to discuss a plan to end the war
with Russia, according to multiple media reports.
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron and German
Chancellor Friedrich Merz also are expected to take part in the meeting,
according to the reports. The Wall Street Journal was first to report on the
planned meeting in Berlin.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner will also attend the
Berlin meeting with Zelenskyy and the European leaders, Reuters reported.
The meeting is to discuss the latest version of a 20-point peace plan brokered
by the U.S. just days after Ukraine handed over its revised version to
Washington, according to the reports.
The plan proposes a demilitarized “free economic zone” in the Donbas region
where American business interests could operate.
A major sticking point in the negotiations is the fate of territory in eastern
Ukraine, which Kyiv refuses to cede after Moscow’s occupation.
BRUSSELS — U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau on Wednesday
slammed European NATO allies for prioritizing their own defense industry over
American arms suppliers, according to three NATO diplomats.
The intervention came during Wednesday’s meeting of NATO foreign ministers —
which was skipped by Landau’s boss Marco Rubio.
Landau, a longtime NATO skeptic who spoke first at the closed-door meeting, told
ministers not to “bully” his country’s defense firms out of participating in
Europe’s rearmament.
He then left the room soon after for other meetings, the diplomats said, though
they noted that ministers only staying for a short time was not unusual.
A U.S. State Department official said: “Deputy Secretary Landau delivered two
key messages. One is the is the need for Europe to turn its defense
spending commitments into capabilities. The second is that protectionist and
exclusionary policies that bully American companies out of the market undermines
our collective defense.”
The EU has moved to scale up its historically depleted defense industry amid
growing warnings by countries like Germany that Russia could attack Europe by
the end of the decade.
Brussels has unveiled strategies in several legal proposals seeking to encourage
local industry. Those efforts include the new €150 billion loans-for-arms SAFE
program, but third countries like the U.S. can only supply a maximum of 35
percent of the value of weapons systems.
Landau’s broadside is the latest in a long list of blows by the current U.S.
administration to its historic partners, which includes pressuring the EU into
accepting a humiliating trade deal to stave off tariffs.
President Donald Trump has repeatedly slammed the bloc for treating the U.S.
unfairly — while the EU has said Washington’s demands on trade were tantamount
to blackmail.
Landau’s comments are likely to leave a bitter taste in some capitals, coming as
several European countries like Germany and Poland announced millions in new
cash for a NATO-backed scheme that pays U.S. defense firms to supply critical
weapons to Ukraine. In total, Europe and Canada have pledged $4 billion to the
scheme, NATO chief Mark Rutte said Wednesday.
Trump has in the past questioned NATO’s security guarantees even if he has
largely lauded the alliance’s efforts to ramp up defense spending to 5 percent
of GDP by 2035. Over the summer Landau posted a deleted social media comment
stating, “NATO is still a solution in search of a problem.”
Rubio’s absence marks the first time in more than two decades that Washington’s
top diplomat hasn’t been present for a NATO ministerial meeting.
“No one’s shocked by the U.S. line that Europe shouldn’t be protectionist,” said
one NATO diplomat, while adding: “But what did you expect … tact or nuance from
the U.S.?”
NATO declined to comment.
This article has been updated.
Canada has reached a final agreement to join the EU’s €150 billion Security
Action for Europe program, two EU diplomats told POLITICO, marking the first
time a third country will formally participate in the bloc’s flagship joint
procurement initiative.
The breakthrough follows months of technically complex negotiations and was
communicated directly to ministers taking part in Monday’s Foreign Affairs
Council; Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius informed delegations that
negotiations with Ottawa had concluded.
Canada’s accession to the loan-for-weapons SAFE scheme gives Ottawa access to
jointly financed defense projects and allows Canadian companies to bid into
EU-supported joint procurement projects. For Brussels, securing a G7 partner
strengthens the credibility of SAFE as it seeks to coordinate long-term weapons
demand and ramp up Europe’s defense industrial base.
Under SAFE, third countries can account for a maximum of 35 percent of the value
of a weapons system paid for by the scheme; Canada will be able to have a larger
share but it will have to pay a fee “commensurate with the benefits the Partner
Country and its entities are expected to derive,” factoring in GDP, industrial
competitiveness and the depth of cooperation with European manufacturers.
Other issues tackled in negotiations covered conditions on intellectual property
control and limits on non-EU inputs for sensitive systems including drones,
missile-defense assets and strategic enablers.
Similar talks with the U.K. broke down on Friday.
The timing aligns with a major SAFE milestone: Kubilius announced on X that all
19 participating EU countries had submitted their spending plans that will be
financed by low interest SAFE loans.
He added that 15 members included support for Ukraine in their plans, involving
“billions, not millions” — something the Commission has been keen to encourage.
This article has been updated.
BERLIN — Germany and France are expected to reach a political decision on the
future of their troubled joint fighter jet project on Dec. 17, people familiar
with the discussions told POLITICO.
The date is emerging as the key moment to settle months of stalled negotiations
over Europe’s effort to build a next-generation combat aircraft.
The Future Combat Air System was launched in 2017 to replace the Rafale and
Eurofighter Typhoon in the 2040s. Conceived as Europe’s most ambitious defense
initiative, FCAS combines a sixth-generation fighter jet with accompanying
unmanned drones and a shared “combat cloud” designed to link aircraft and
sensors across different countries.
But years of industrial disputes — particularly between France’s Dassault
Aviation and Germany’s Airbus — have repeatedly held back progress. Spain is
also a member of the consortium but its participation has been much less
problematic.
The target timing would allow Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President
Emmanuel Macron to take part in that day’s EU–Western Balkans summit in Brussels
with an aligned stance on FCAS.
A German chancellery spokesperson declined to comment on the matter. The French
Defense Ministry did not immediately respond to POLITICO’s request for comment.
While no final decision has been taken, officials and industry figures say the
working expectation is that the program is likely to continue in a scaled-down
or reconfigured form.
France also walked out of the Eurofighter project, quitting over disputes about
design authority and operational requirements, and instead developed the Rafale.
| Daniel Karmann/Getty Images
According to people familiar with the matter, one option is that the program
would continue as an overarching framework for shared technologies like the
combat cloud and sensors. The most disputed element, the fighter jet, could end
up splitting into separate national airframes, meaning each country would build
its own version of the aircraft instead of sharing a single design.
France would rather operate a 15-ton warplane, which is light enough to land on
aircraft carriers, while Germany is more inclined toward a 18-ton aircraft aimed
at air superiority.
France also walked out of the Eurofighter project, quitting over disputes about
design authority and operational requirements, and instead developed the Rafale.
Officials said the outcome could still shift ahead of Dec. 17. But the date is
now widely viewed inside government and industry as the moment of political
clarity after months of gridlock over workshare and design leadership.
Following talks last week between Macron and Merz in Berlin, German air force
leaders drafted a “decision roadmap” including a “mid-December” deadline to
strike a deal, Reuters reported first.
Talks over British entry into a major EU defense program have been deadlocked
for weeks over the question of money. Negotiators might just have found a way
out.
With a Sunday deadline looming, the two sides are exploring “alternative payment
models” to bypass the row over the entry price for London to take part in joint
procurements financed by the EU’s €150 billion Security Action for Europe
loans-for-weapons program, according to an EU diplomat briefed on the
negotiations.
A U.K. official, also granted anonymity to speak about the ongoing talks, told
POLITICO: “We are trying to find a solution” and “being flexible in our
approach.”
SAFE is meant to kick-start a European security renaissance, provide
independence from the U.S. and give the continent the tools to defend itself
against Russian aggression.
The EU wants the U.K., with its large defense industry, in the tent. Britain
wants in too — predicting benefits for its industry and its security. But so
far, they’ve not been able to agree about cash.
London has balked at the high price tag Brussels is demanding — ranging from €2
billion to €6.5 billion, but London is offering much less.
While details on the alternative models being discussed are still sketchy, one
idea is that the U.K. may be able to avoid the ‘sticker shock’ of a high upfront
price by signing up to a more ‘pay as you go’ approach that depends on the
ultimate level of U.K. participation.
It might just be what’s needed to get an agreement over the line. Both sides
want a deal by Sunday so that the U.K. is in the room before EU member countries
submit their spending plans to the Commission on the same day.
Under SAFE, outside countries can only account for a maximum of 35 percent of
the value of a weapons system, but the U.K. is negotiating for a higher
percentage.
Canada is negotiating a similar agreement.
A European Commission spokesperson said: “As a partner country, and in line with
the SAFE regulation, the UK will contribute financially to take part in SAFE, in
addition to an administrative fee. That contribution will reflect the benefits
the UK gains from its participation.”
A U.K. government spokesperson said the talks “are ongoing,” adding: “The UK is
committed to a broad and constructive relationship with the EU, and we are
working to implement the package agreed at the UK-EU summit in May.”
‘WE’RE IN THE CONCLUDING PHASE’
The Commission had previously suggested an earlier deadline last week to give
member states time to adjust to possible U.K. membership, but London didn’t play
ball.
Two EU diplomats said the Commission had in recent days started sounding “more
hopeful” in its briefings to ambassadors in Brussels, signalling a possible
“shifting of gears.”
London is hopeful, too. “We think we’re in a concluding phase, working towards
Sunday deadline,” the U.K. official quoted above added.
Still, the timeline could in theory flex further.
One EU diplomat suggested member countries could always tweak their bids after
the terms of U.K. participation become clear, even beyond Sunday. “It isn’t
ideal,” but could still work, they added.
However, the diplomats added that the Commission has consistently made clear in
its messaging that SAFE could go ahead without the U.K. if there is no deal.
But that outcome is one most in Brussels and London want to avoid. “It’s
important for the narrative and future security cooperation — where do you go
from here if working with U.K. on defense falls at the first hurdle?” one of the
two EU diplomats added.
Jacopo Barigazzi also contributed to this report.
Update: This article has been updated to include responses from the European
Commission and U.K. government.
The U.K. is following France and Germany in providing staff and equipment to
help Belgium counter drone incursions around sensitive facilities, British Chief
of the Defense Staff Richard Knighton told the BBC on Sunday.
Belgium’s Defense Minister Theo Francken thanked “our British friends” for their
decision to deploy an anti-drone team in Belgium, after similar moves by France
and Germany were announced in recent days.
Airports in Brussels and Liège were forced to suspend flights last week after
unidentified drones were spotted in their airspace, and other drones overflew
the port of Antwerp recently. Even Belgium’s military bases have been targeted.
Incursions of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over the EU’s critical
infrastructure sites have escalated in recent months, with the European
Commission dubbing them part of the hybrid war that Russia is conducting against
the bloc. Russia denies the allegations.
Belgium’s National Air Security Center will be fully operational by Jan. 1,
2026, Francken said after holding an emergency meeting of the National Security
Council on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Belgian government asked for help from
Berlin, Paris and London, which are all sending air force experts.
Germany’s Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said that the drone incursions are
linked to the ongoing talks on using Russian frozen assets to help fund
Ukraine’s effort to defend itself against Moscow’s all-out invasion. The assets
are mostly held in Belgium’s Euroclear facility.
“This is a measure aimed at spreading insecurity, at fearmongering in Belgium:
Don’t you dare to touch the frozen assets. This cannot be interpreted any other
way,” Pistorius said at a Friday press conference, Reuters reported.
Belgium’s government did not explicitly point fingers at Moscow, but the
country’s secret service has little doubt about the origin of the drones,
according to VRT. Francken said on Saturday that “Russia is clearly a plausible
suspect.”
Sergey Lavrov, the veteran Russian foreign minister, said he’s ready to hold an
in-person meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio but insisted that
Moscow’s interests need to be taken into account when discussing the war in
Ukraine.
“It is important to discuss the Ukrainian issue and promote the bilateral
agenda,” Lavrov said in an interview with news agency Ria Novosti published on
Sunday. “That is why we communicate by telephone and are ready to hold
face-to-face meetings when necessary,” he added.
The interview comes after the Kremlin on Friday dismissed media reports that
Lavrov, a long-standing ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, had fallen out
of favor in the Kremlin because of a lack of results in discussions with
Washington.
In the interview, Lavrov said that the talks Putin and U.S. President Donald
Trump held in Alaska in the summer should remain the basis of a potential deal
to end the aggression against Ukraine.
“At the time, the Americans assured us they would be able to ensure that
[Ukrainian President] Volodymyr Zelenskyy did not impede the peace process.
Apparently, certain difficulties have arisen in this regard,” Lavrov said.
Lavrov repeatedly attacked European leaders during the interview, arguing that
“Brussels and London are trying to persuade Washington to abandon its intention
to resolve the crisis through political and diplomatic means and fully engage in
efforts to exert military pressure on Russia.”
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine is continuing despite efforts by the
Trump administration and others to encourage negotiations.
Lavrov has not appeared in public since Oct. 28 as Washington scrapped a planned
meeting with Putin in Budapest because he did not show a willingness to make
concessions, according to a Financial Times report.
BERLIN — Friedrich Merz said the quiet part out loud back in May: Germany
intends to build the Bundeswehr into “the strongest conventional army in
Europe,” pledging to give it “all the financial resources it needs.”
Five months later, the German chancellor aims to add the hardware to that
ambition, according to new internal government documents seen by POLITICO.
The sprawling 39-page list lays out €377 billion in desired buys across land,
air, sea, space and cyber. The document is a planning overview of arms purchases
that will be spelled out in the German military’s 2026 budget, but many are
longer-term purchases for which there is no clear time frame.
Taken together, it’s a comprehensive roadmap for Germany’s long-overdue defense
overhaul, anchored firmly in domestic industry.
Politically, the timing tracks with Merz’s shift to a new financing model. Since
the spring, Berlin has moved to carve out defense from Germany’s constitutional
debt brake, allowing sustained multiyear spending beyond the nearly exhausted
€100 billion special fund set up under former Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s tenure.
Items on the list will eventually appear, in smaller tranches, when they’re
mature enough for a parliamentary budget committee vote. All procurements valued
over €25 million need the committee’s sign-off.
HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS
The documents show that the Bundeswehr wants to launch about 320 new weapons and
equipment projects over the next year’s budget cycle. Of those, 178 have a
listed contractor. The rest remain “still open,” showing that much of the
Bundeswehr’s modernization plan is still on the drawing board.
German companies dominate the identifiable tenders with around 160 projects,
worth about €182 billion, tied to domestic firms.
Rheinmetall is by far the biggest winner. The Düsseldorf-based group and its
affiliated ventures appear in 53 separate planning lines worth more than €88
billion. Around €32 billion would flow directly to Rheinmetall, while another
€56 billion is linked to subsidiaries and joint ventures, such as the Puma and
Boxer fighting vehicle programs run with KNDS.
The document foresees a total of 687 Pumas, including 662 combat versions and 25
driver-training vehicles, to be delivered by 2035.
Rheinmetall is by far the biggest winner. | Hannibal Hanschke/EPA
In air defense, the Bundeswehr aims to procure 561 Skyranger 30 short-range
turret systems for counter-drone and short-range protection — a program fully
under Rheinmetall’s lead. Along with that come grenades and rifle rounds in the
millions.
Diehl Defence emerges as the Bundeswehr’s second major industrial anchor after
Rheinmetall. The Bavarian missile manufacturer appears in 21 procurement lines
worth €17.3 billion.
The largest share comes from the IRIS-T family, which is set to form the
backbone of Germany’s future air defense architecture. According to the
document, the Bundeswehr aims to buy 14 complete IRIS-T SLM systems valued at
€3.18 billion, 396 IRIS-T SLM missiles for about €694 million and another 300
IRIS-T LFK short-range missiles worth €300 million. Together, these lines alone
amount to around €4.2 billion — making IRIS-T one of the most significant single
air defense programs in the Bundeswehr’s planning.
Drones are also gaining ground on the military wish list.
On the higher end, the Bundeswehr wants to expand its armed Heron TP fleet
operated with Israel’s IAI, aiming to buy new munitions for around €100 million.
A dozen new LUNA NG tactical drones follow at about €1.6 billion. For the navy,
four uMAWS maritime drones appear in the plan for an estimated €675 million,
which will include replacement parts, training and maintenance.
Several of the Bundeswehr’s most expensive new projects sit not on land, sea or
in the air — but in orbit. The list includes more than €14 billion in satellite
programs, calling for new geostationary communications satellites, upgraded
ground control stations and, most ambitiously, a low-Earth-orbit satellite
constellation worth €9.5 billion to ensure constant, jam-resistant connectivity
for troops and command posts.
The push aligns with Defense Minister Boris Pistorius’ €35 billion plan to boost
Germany’s “space security.”
KEEPING THE CASH AT HOME
One of the most politically charged plans on the Bundeswehr’s wish list is the
potential top-up of 15 F-35 jets from Lockheed Martin, worth about €2.5 billion
under the U.S. Foreign Military Sales system.
These would keep Germany’s nuclear-sharing role intact but also retain its
reliance on American maintenance, software and mission-data access. It could
also signal a further German convergence on American weaponry it cannot replace,
just as political tensions deepen over the Franco-German-Spanish
sixth-generation fighter jet, the Future Combat Air System.
The same U.S. framework appears across other high-profile projects.
The Bundeswehr plans to buy 400 Tomahawk Block Vb cruise missiles for roughly
€1.15 billion, along with three Lockheed Martin Typhon launchers valued at €220
million — a combination that would give Germany a 2,000-kilometer strike reach.
The navy’s interim maritime-patrol aircraft plan, worth €1.8 billion for four
Boeing P-8A Poseidons, also sits within the foreign military sales pipeline.
One of the most politically charged plans on the Bundeswehr’s wish list is the
potential top-up of 15 F-35 jets from Lockheed Martin. | Kevin Carter/Getty
Images
All three tie Berlin’s future strike and surveillance capabilities to U.S.
export and sustainment control.
Together, about 25 foreign-linked projects worth roughly €14 billion appear
clearly in the Bundeswehr’s internal planning — less than 5 percent of the total
€377 billion in requested spending.
Yet they account for nearly all of Germany’s strategic, nuclear-related and
long-range capabilities, from nuclear-certified aircraft to deep-strike and
maritime surveillance systems.
By contrast, nearly half of the list is anchored in German industry, spanning
armored vehicles, sensors and ammunition lines. In financial terms, domestic
firms dominate; politically, however, the few foreign systems define the
country’s most sensitive military roles.
The EU is seeking to boost the bloc’s powers to board vessels in Russia’s shadow
fleet for inspections, according to a document prepared for Monday’s meeting of
EU foreign ministers and seen by POLITICO.
The issue of ships transporting Russian oil sailing under different flags to
escape EU sanctions has wide implications for the bloc as those vessels not only
help to boost Moscow’s war economy but also “pose threats to the environment and
to navigation safety,” according to the five-page document prepared by the
European External Action Service, the EU diplomatic arm.
The shadow fleet ships also are a risk for critical infrastructure and “can be
used as platforms for hybrid attacks against EU territory,” the document states.
The vessels are in some cases suspected to be launch pads for Russian drones
used to reconnoiter critical Western sites and disrupt civilian airports.
The EEAS this month initiated a discussion at the technical level on the basis
of a draft declaration of the EU and its member states on reinforcing the
International Law of the Sea framework, according to the EEAS document. That
effort “would provide an additional tool to member states to boost the
effectiveness of enforcement actions, including providing a basis to board
shadow fleet ships,” the document says.
The draft declaration proposes “possible bilateral agreements between the flag
states and the EU on pre-authorized boardings for inspections,” the EEAS wrote
in the document.
The objective is to finalize the draft declaration by the end of November and to
adopt it at the following meeting of EU foreign ministers.
Once the declaration is be supported by member states, the EU’s top diplomat
Kaja Kallas will “seek the authorization of the Council to open negotiations for
bilateral agreements with identified flag states,” according to the document.
EU member states “increasingly demonstrate a renewed momentum for more robust
enforcement actions tackling the shadow fleet,” according to the document, which
makes the example of French soldiers that at the start of the month boarded an
oil tanker, the Boracay, believed to be part of Russia’s shadow fleet, which was
off the coast of Denmark when unidentified drones forced the temporary closure
of several airports and also was anchored off western France for a few days.
The EU “could support member states in their efforts if they agree to grant the
EU the right to negotiate agreements on their behalf for pre-authorized
boardings for inspections,” the document says.
The EU is already reaching out to priority flag states and coastal states that
provide or enable logistical support and bunkering services to the shadow
fleet and, among other actions, it also “aims to mobilize its various tools to
provide support and incentives to flag states to deregister sanctioned vessels,”
according to the EEAS document.
Panama, the largest ship registry, “has agreed to deregister vessels sanctioned
by the EU and recently decided to stop registering vessels older than 15 years,”
the EEAS says in the document.
In terms of further sanctions, the EU “will continue to propose additional
listings of vessels and shadow fleet ecosystem operators such as insurers and
flag registries,” the document states, building on measures taken already in the
current sanctions packages.
And “possible additional measures could include targeting the provision of
logistical support to shadow fleet vessels, such as oil bunkering,” the document
says.