Soccer may be the world’s most popular pastime, but much about Friday’s lottery
draw setting the match schedule for next summer’s World Cup has been programmed
with just one fan in mind. Never before has the sports governing body given out
a peace prize to a politician eager for one, or booked the Village People and
Andrea Bocelli to play alongside.
President Donald Trump’s appearance on the Kennedy Center stage will be at least
his seventh encounter this year with FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who has
logged more face time with Trump this year than any world leader. Infantino’s
savvy navigation of the American political scene has helped FIFA build
institutional support for a tournament facing unprecedented logistical
complications.
But that success is beginning to weaken Infantino, as the third-term FIFA
president faces newfound internal opposition for his over-the-top courtship of
Trump. Our interviews with six international soccer officials across three
continents reveal widespread frustration with Infantino’s decision to side with
Trump even as White House policies cause chaos for World Cup-bound teams, fans
and local organizers, clashing with Infantino’s promise to have a tournament
that welcomes the world.
“[FIFA] has always promoted a very cozy, close relationship with politicians and
political actors in a variety of ways, including by having them in their bodies
or running the National Football Associations, for example,” said Miguel Maduro,
the chairman of FIFA’s governance and review committee between 2016 and 2017.
“This said, the extent of this cozy relationship that we’ve seen and and the
public character that has been assumed between Mr. Infantino and Mr. Trump is
different even from what we saw in the past,” said Maduro. “It’s not that things
like that didn’t happen in the past, but it didn’t happen so obviously and so
emphatically as they do now.”
Our reporting found that Infantino did not inform his 37-member FIFA Council
before creating the FIFA Peace Prize this year, three people familiar with the
matter told POLITICO. Over the past year, at least three of FIFA’s eight vice
presidents have publicly or privately expressed their concerns about the lengths
Infantino is willing to go to please Trump.
While Infantino has won his last two terms unopposed, when he stands next for
reelection in 2027 he will likely have to answer to FIFA’s 211 member
federations for his willing entanglement in the controversies of American
politics. Infantino’s allies say that those opposed to many of his
soccer-related initiatives — focused on growing the game in emerging markets and
expanding FIFA’s flagship tournaments — are using his Trump ties to exploit
differences on unrelated issues.
“If a challenger to Gianni for the 2027 election emerges, it will be in the next
six to eight months and the World Cup will be a litmus test,” said a person
involved with World Cup planning granted anonymity to characterize private
conversations with top soccer officials. “If something goes off the rails or
somebody decides they want to make a run against him, they’re going to use his
relationship with Trump to exploit the cracks.”
THE MAKING OF THE PRESIDENTS
Infantino launched his first campaign for FIFA’s presidency as an underdog. A
corruption scandal had toppled much of FIFA’s leadership in 2015, forcing a
so-called “extraordinary congress” the next year in which members would vote to
decide who would complete the unfinished term vacated by the newly suspended
president Sepp Blatter.
FIFA, comprised of national soccer federations, picks its president through a
secret ballot of those members — one nation, one vote. To win in a
multi-candidate field, one must capture two-thirds of the total ballots cast,
with rounds of voting until a single candidate locks in a two-way majority.
The favorite to succeed Blatter was Sheik Salman Bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa, a
Bahraini royal who headed the Asian Football Confederation and appeared to have
stitched together a coalition of Asian and African nations. Infantino, a
polyglot Swiss-Italian lawyer who had spent seven years as secretary general of
European confederation UEFA, pitched himself as someone who could disperse the
organization’s wealth back to member countries.
“The money of FIFA is your money,” Infantino said in a speech shortly before the
vote. “It is not the money of the FIFA president. It’s your money.”
Infantino and Al Khalifa ran neck-in-neck in the first round. With a clear
two-person race, the United States — which had been supporting Prince Ali bin
Al-Hussein of Jordan, who finished a distant third — switched its vote to
Infantino in the second round, triggering a rush of support from the Western
Hemisphere that gave Infantino a conclusive 115-vote total. A fourth candidate,
former French diplomat Jérome Champagne, credited Infantino’s victory to “a
strong alliance between Europe and North America and the Anglo-Saxon world.”
“Prepare yourself well but be vigilant,” Blatter warned Infantino upon his
election in a public letter. “While everyone supports you and tells you nice
words, know that once you are the president, friends become rare.”
Once in office, Infantino’s initiatives were focused on expanding FIFA’s most
valuable properties. He converted a ten-day, exhibition-like competition among
seven regional club champions into the month-long FIFA Club World Cup. He also
pushed, with mixed success, to grow the size and scope of the World Cup and
increase its frequency.
In 2017, Infantino announced that the first World Cup under an expanded format —
up from 32 countries participating to 48, adding a week of matches to the
schedule — would take place in the United States, Canada and Mexico. Facing the
first tournament in which hosting responsibilities would be shared by three
countries, Infantino visited Trump to secure assurances of government support.
Infantino went on to win subsequent terms in 2019 and 2023, and when Trump
returned to the White House for his second, in 2025, their political
trajectories became permanently intertwined. Infantino set out to raise his
profile in American life and his relationships with the country’s political
class, including through a campaign-style tour through many of the American
cities hosting matches for the inaugural Club World Cup in 2025 and the World
Cup the following summer.
Infantino sat next to Trump at the tournament’s final, held at New Jersey’s
MetLife Stadium in July, dragging him onto the winners’ platform as Infantino
went to award a trophy and medals to champions Chelsea. Trump lingered awkwardly
on stage to the befuddlement of Chelsea’s players, who had not expected they
would share the moment with an American politician.
Other appearances with Trump placed Infantino squarely between a president
intent on solving overseas conflicts and punishing foes, while closing American
borders to visitors and trade, and FIFA member nations who may hold starkly
different views, or worse.
Infantino stood quietly in the Oval Office as he said he would not rule out
strikes against fellow World Cup co-host Mexico to target drug cartels, and
joined Trump’s entourage on a trip designed to cultivate investment
opportunities in the Persian Gulf.
When FIFA had to delay the opening of its annual congress in Asuncion, Paraguay,
to accommodate Infantino’s travel from a Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh,
two FIFA vice presidents were among those who joined English Football
Association chairwoman Debbie Hewitt and other federation heads exiting in
protest. European confederation UEFA — with 55 member nations, FIFA’s largest —
attacked him with unusually pointed language.
“To have the timetable changed at the last minute for what appears to be simply
to accommodate private political interests,” UEFA wrote in its statement, “does
the game no service and appears to put its interests second.”
GIANNI ON THE SPOT
In September, Trump said he would try to move scheduled World Cup matches out of
Democratic-run jurisdictions that are “even a little bit dangerous.” Infantino,
whose organization had spent years vetting and preparing those cities for the
tournament, said nothing.
But a potential rival to Infantino’s leadership took issue with both the
American president’s threat — since repeated but not acted upon — and the FIFA
president’s silence.
“It’s FIFA’s tournament, FIFA’s jurisdiction, FIFA makes those decisions,” FIFA
vice president Victor Montagliani, the organization’s leading figure from North
America, said at a sports-business conference in London six days later.
While president of the Canadian Soccer Association, Montagliani helped to secure
his country’s participation in the three-way so-called “United Bid” for next
summer’s World Cup. (The Vancouver insurance executive also helped bring the
Women’s World Cup to Canada in 2015.) He now serves as president of CONCACAF,
the 41-member regional federation encompassing the 41 nations of North America,
Central America and the Caribbean.
Close to Prime Minister Mark Carney, Montagliani has come to believe Infantino
has catered too much to Trump for a tournament realized through the cooperation
of three nations, according to three of the people familiar with the dynamics of
FIFA’s leadership. (Montagliani declined an interview request.) The leaders of
the United States, Mexico and Canada will all participate in a ceremonial ball
draw in today’s draw.
“With all due respect to current world leaders, football is bigger than them and
football will survive their regime and their government and their slogans,”
Montagliani told an interviewer at the London conference in late September.
“That’s the beauty of our game, is that it is bigger than any individual and
bigger than any country.” Montagliani’s “FIFA’s jurisdiction” remarks did not
land well with Infantino’s inner sanctum. “It is ultimately the government’s
responsibility to decide what’s in the best interest of public safety,” FIFA
said in a statement to POLITICO in October after Trump’s next round of threats
to relocate matches.
The relationship between Infantino and Montagliani has further soured in recent
months as Trump reignited tensions between Washington and Ottawa over an
anti-tariff ad taking aim at U.S. trade policy, according to a person close to
Montagliani granted anonymity to candidly characterize his thinking. Montagliani
has his own thoughts on how far relationships with government figures should go
but respects Infantino’s perspective, that person said, maintaining the two men
had a good relationship despite occasional differences.
Others around FIFA have their own parochial concerns with Trump.
Despite being among the first teams to qualify for the tournament, Iran
threatened to boycott Friday’s draw because some members of its delegation were
denied visas for travel to Washington. According to a FIFA official, Iran
ultimately reversed course and sent Iranian head coach Ardeshir Ghalenoy after
FIFA worked closely with the U.S. government and Iran’s soccer federation.
Another qualifying team, Haiti, is also covered by the 19-country travel ban
that Trump signed in June. The State Department said that while the policy has a
specific carveout for World Cup competitors and their families, the exception
will not be applied to fans or spectators.
The president of the Japanese Football Association, Tsuneyasu Miyamoto, told
POLITICO in an interview last month that he was worried that Trump’s immigration
policies could subject Japanese travelers to “deportations happening
unnecessarily.”
Infantino has stopped short of pressuring Trump to make exceptions to
immigration policy for the sake of soccer. FIFA officials have said that when it
chooses a tournament location it does not expect that country to significantly
alter its immigration laws or vetting standards for the tournament, although
many past hosts have chosen to relax visa requirements for World Cup
ticketholders.
Many European countries’ soccer federations, led by Ireland and Norway, have
pushed to ban Israel from international soccer due to its military invasion of
Gaza. The movement received an apparent boost from UEFA President Aleksander
Čeferin, who supported unfurling a banner that read “Stop Killing Children; Stop
Killing Civilians” on the field before a UEFA Super Cup match in August.
“If such a big thing is going on, such a terrible thing that doesn’t allow me to
sleep — not me, all my colleagues,” — nobody in this organization said we
shouldn’t do it. No one,” Čeferin told POLITICO in August. “Then you have to do
what is the right thing to do.”
European countries were set on a collision with Trump, whose State Department
indicated it would work to “fully stop any effort to attempt to ban Israel’s
national soccer team from the World Cup.” UEFA pulled back on a planned vote
over Israel’s place as a Trump-negotiated peace agreement took hold. Infantino
joined Trump and other heads of state in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, for a summit to
implement the agreement’s first phase.
Nothing threatens to awaken opposition to Infantino as much as his decision to
invent a FIFA Peace Prize just as Trump began to complain in October about being
passed over for one from the Norwegian Nobel Committee. According to a draft
run-of-show for Friday’s draw, Trump is scheduled to speak for two minutes today
after receiving the Peace Prize.
“He is just implementing what he said he would do,” Infantino said at an
American Business Forum in Miami, also attended by Trump, on the day news of the
prize was made public. “So I think we should all support what he’s doing because
I think it’s looking pretty good.”
According to FIFA rules, the organization’s president needs sign-off from the
37-member FIFA council on certain items like the international match calendar,
host designations for upcoming FIFA tournaments, and financial matters. FIFA’s
charter does not contemplate the creation of a new prize specifically to award a
world leader, but those familiar with the organization’s governance say it may
violate an ethics policy that requires officers “remain politically neutral.”
(In 2019, FIFA honored Argentina’s President Mauricio Macri, who previously led
venerable club Boca Juniors, with its first-ever Living Football Award.)
“Giving this award to someone that is an active political actor, by itself, is,
at least in my opinion, likely a violation of the principle of political
neutrality,” said Maduro, a Portuguese legal scholar appointed to oversee FIFA’s
governance in the wake of the corruption scandal that helped bring Infantino to
office. “We need to know two things: how the award was created and who then took
the decision to whom the award was to be given. Both of these decisions should
not be taken by the president himself.”
Infantino fully bypassed the FIFA Council in deciding to create and award the
prize to Trump, according to three people familiar with conversations between
Infantino and the council’s members. Even the vice presidents who were given a
heads-up ahead of time say they were simply being told after the decision was
made.
FOUR MORE YEARS?
Infantino, a quintessential European first elected with support from his home
continent, now sees his strongest base of support in Asia, Africa, and the Gulf
countries.
He won his last two terms by acclamation, after delivering on his promises to
disperse the $11 billion FIFA takes in each World Cup cycle. The FIFA Forward
program, launched in 2016, sent $2.8 billion back to member federations and
regional confederations in its first six years, funding everything from the
development of Papua New Guinea’s women’s squad to an air dome for winter
training in Mongolia.
But Infantino’s political choices may be costing him in Europe, where the sport
is more established and national federations are less dependent on FIFA’s
largesse. Infantino’s defenders say that European soccer officials, including
Čeferin, have turned against him because they see his attempts to expand the
World Cup and institute the Club World Cup as a threat to the primacy of their
regional competitions.
Many in international soccer see Montagliani as the most viable potential
challenger, although a person close to him says he has no intention of seeking
FIFA’s presidency in 2027 and instead plans to seek reelection that year to what
would have to be his final term as CONCACAF’s president. But he fits the profile
of someone best positioned to dethrone the incumbent, ironically by stitching
together the type of trans-Atlantic alliance that lifted Infantino to his first
victory.
“Mexico is not happy. Canada is not happy, and that’s because they’re
politically not happy with Trump,” said a senior national-federation official,
granted anonymity to candidly discuss dynamics within CONCACAF. “There’s that
direct tension.”
Tag - Cartels
President Donald Trump intends for the U.S. to keep a bigger military presence
in the Western Hemisphere going forward to battle migration, drugs and the rise
of adversarial powers in the region, according to his new National Security
Strategy.
The 33-page document is a rare formal explanation of Trump’s foreign policy
worldview by his administration. Such strategies, which presidents typically
release once each term, can help shape how parts of the U.S. government allocate
budgets and set policy priorities.
The Trump National Security Strategy, which the White House quietly released
Thursday, has some brutal words for Europe, suggesting it is in civilizational
decline, and pays relatively little attention to the Middle East and Africa.
It has an unusually heavy focus on the Western Hemisphere that it casts as
largely about protecting the U.S. homeland. It says “border security is the
primary element of national security” and makes veiled references to China’s
efforts to gain footholds in America’s backyard.
“The United States must be preeminent in the Western Hemisphere as a condition
of our security and prosperity — a condition that allows us to assert ourselves
confidently where and when we need to in the region,” the document states. “The
terms of our alliances, and the terms upon which we provide any kind of aid,
must be contingent on winding down adversarial outside influence — from control
of military installations, ports, and key infrastructure to the purchase of
strategic assets broadly defined.”
The document describes such plans as part of a “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe
Doctrine. The latter is the notion set forth by President James Monroe in 1823
that the U.S. will not tolerate malign foreign interference in its own
hemisphere.
Trump’s paper, as well as a partner document known as the National Defense
Strategy, have faced delays in part because of debates in the administration
over elements related to China. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pushed for some
softening of the language about Beijing, according to two people familiar with
the matter who were granted anonymity to describe internal deliberations.
Bessent is currently involved in sensitive U.S. trade talks with China, and
Trump himself is wary of the delicate relations with Beijing.
The new National Security Strategy says the U.S. has to make challenging choices
in the global realm. “After the end of the Cold War, American foreign policy
elites convinced themselves that permanent American domination of the entire
world was in the best interests of our country. Yet the affairs of other
countries are our concern only if their activities directly threaten our
interests,” the document states.
In an introductory note to the strategy, Trump called it a “roadmap to ensure
that America remains the greatest and most successful nation in human history,
and the home of freedom on earth.”
But Trump is mercurial by nature, so it’s hard to predict how closely or how
long he will stick to the ideas laid out in the new strategy. A surprising
global event could redirect his thinking as well, as it has done for recent
presidents from George W. Bush to Joe Biden.
Still, the document appears in line with many of the moves he’s taken in his
second term, as well as the priorities of some of his aides.
That includes deploying significantly more U.S. military prowess to the Western
Hemisphere, taking numerous steps to reduce migration to America, pushing for a
stronger industrial base in the U.S. and promoting “Western identity,” including
in Europe.
The strategy even nods to so-called traditional values at times linked to the
Christian right, saying the administration wants “the restoration and
reinvigoration of American spiritual and cultural health” and “an America that
cherishes its past glories and its heroes.” It mentions the need to have
“growing numbers of strong, traditional families that raise healthy children.”
As POLITICO has reported before, the strategy spends an unusual amount of space
on Latin America, the Caribbean and other U.S. neighbors. That’s a break with
past administrations, who tended to prioritize other regions and other topics,
such as taking on major powers like Russia and China or fighting terrorism.
The Trump strategy suggests the president’s military buildup in the Western
Hemisphere is not a temporary phenomenon. (That buildup, which has
included controversial military strikes against boats allegedly carrying drugs,
has been cast by the administration as a way to fight cartels. But the
administration also hopes the buildup could help pressure Venezuelan leader
Nicolas Maduro to step down.)
The strategy also specifically calls for “a more suitable Coast Guard and Navy
presence to control sea lanes, to thwart illegal and other unwanted migration,
to reduce human and drug trafficking, and to control key transit routes in a
crisis.”
The strategy says the U.S. should enhance its relationships with governments in
Latin America, including working with them to identify strategic resources — an
apparent reference to materials such as rare earth minerals. It also declares
that the U.S. will partner more with the private sector to promote “strategic
acquisition and investment opportunities for American companies in the region.”
Such business-related pledges, at least on a generic level, could please many
Latin American governments who have long been frustrated by the lack of U.S.
attention to the region. It’s unclear how such promises square with Trump’s
insistence on imposing tariffs on America’s trade partners, however.
The National Security Strategy spends a fair amount of time on China, though it
often doesn’t mention Beijing directly. Many U.S. lawmakers — on a bipartisan
basis — consider an increasingly assertive China the gravest long-term threat to
America’s global power. But while the language the Trump strategy uses is tough,
it is careful and far from inflammatory.
The administration promises to “rebalance America’s economic relationship with
China, prioritizing reciprocity and fairness to restore American economic
independence.”
But it also says “trade with China should be balanced and focused on
non-sensitive factors” and even calls for “maintaining a genuinely mutually
advantageous economic relationship with Beijing.”
The strategy says the U.S. wants to prevent war in the Indo-Pacific — a nod to
growing tensions in the region, including between China and U.S. allies such as
Japan and the Philippines.
“We will also maintain our longstanding declaratory policy on Taiwan, meaning
that the United States does not support any unilateral change to the status quo
in the Taiwan Strait,” it states. That may come as a relief to Asia watchers who
worry Trump will back away from U.S. support for Taiwan as it faces ongoing
threats from China.
The document states that “it is a core interest of the United States to
negotiate an expeditious cessation of hostilities in Ukraine,” and to mitigate
the risk of Russian confrontation with other countries in Europe.
But overall it pulls punches when it comes to Russia — there’s very little
criticism of Moscow.
Instead, it reserves some of its harshest remarks for U.S.-allied nations in
Europe. In particular, the administration, in somewhat veiled terms, knocks
European efforts to rein in far-right parties, calling such moves political
censorship.
“The Trump administration finds itself at odds with European officials who hold
unrealistic expectations for the [Ukraine] war perched in unstable minority
governments, many of which trample on basic principles of democracy to suppress
opposition,” the strategy states.
The strategy also appears to suggest that migration will fundamentally change
European identity to a degree that could hurt U.S. alliances.
“Over the long term, it is more than plausible that within a few decades at the
latest, certain NATO members will become majority non-European,” it states. “As
such, it is an open question whether they will view their place in the world, or
their alliance with the United States, in the same way as those who signed the
NATO charter.”
Still, the document acknowledges Europe’s economic and other strengths, as well
as how America’s partnership with much of the continent has helped the U.S. “Not
only can we not afford to write Europe off — doing so would be self-defeating
for what this strategy aims to achieve,” it says.
“Our goal should be to help Europe correct its current trajectory,” it says.
Trump’s first-term National Security Strategy focused significantly on the U.S.
competition with Russia and China, but the president frequently undercut it by
trying to gain favor with the leaders of those nuclear powers.
If this new strategy proves a better reflection of what Trump himself actually
believes, it could help other parts of the U.S. government adjust, not to
mention foreign governments.
As Trump administration documents often do, the strategy devotes significant
space to praising the commander-in-chief. It describes him as the “President of
Peace” while favorably stating that he “uses unconventional diplomacy.”
The strategy struggles at times to tamp down what seem like inconsistencies. It
says the U.S. should have a high bar for foreign intervention, but it also says
it wants to “prevent the emergence of dominant adversaries.”
It also essentially dismisses the ambitions of many smaller countries. “The
outsized influence of larger, richer, and stronger nations is a timeless truth
of international relations,” the strategy states.
The National Security Strategy is the first of several important defense and
foreign policy papers the Trump administration is due to release. They include
the National Defense Strategy, whose basic thrust is expected to be similar.
Presidents’ early visions for what the National Security Strategy should mention
have at times had to be discarded due to events.
After the 9/11 attacks, George W. Bush’s first-term strategy ended up focusing
heavily on battling Islamist terrorism. Biden’s team spent much of its first
year working on a strategy that had to be rewritten after Russia moved toward a
full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
A pair of documents laying out the Trump administration’s global security
strategy have been delayed for weeks due in part to changes that Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent insisted on concerning China, according to three people
familiar with the discussions on the strategies.
The documents — the National Security Strategy and National Defense Strategy —
were initially expected to be released earlier this fall. Both are now almost
done and will likely be released this month, one of the people said. The second
person confirmed the imminent release of the National Security Strategy, and the
third confirmed that the National Defense Strategy was coming very soon. All
were granted anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.
The strategies went through multiple rounds of revisions after Bessent wanted
more work done on the language used to discuss China, given sensitivity over
ongoing trade negotiations with Beijing and the elevation of the Western
Hemisphere as a higher priority than it had been in previous administrations,
the people said.
The National Security Strategy has been used by successive administrations to
outline their overall strategic priorities from the economic sphere to dealing
with allies and adversaries and military posture. The drafting goes through a
series of readthroughs and comment periods from Cabinet officials in an attempt
to capture the breadth of an administrations’ vision and ensure the entire
administration is marching in the same direction on the president’s top issues.
The administration has been involved in sensitive trade talks with Beijing for
months over tariffs and a variety of trade issues, but the Pentagon has
maintained its position that China remains the top military rival to the United
States.
The extent of the changes after Bessent’s requests remains unclear, but two of
the people said that Bessent wanted to soften some of the language concerning
Chinese activities while declining to provide more details. Any changes to one
document would require similar changes to the other, as they must be in sync to
express a unified front.
It is common for the Treasury secretary and other Cabinet officials to weigh in
during the drafting and debate process of crafting a new strategy, as most
administrations will only release one National Security Strategy per term.
In a statement, the Treasury Department said that Bessent “is 100 percent
aligned with President Trump, as is everyone else in this administration, as to
how to best manage the relationship with China.” The White House referred to the
Treasury Department.
Trump administration officials have alternately decried the threat from China
and looked for ways to improve relations with Beijing.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is expected to deliver a speech on Friday at the
Reagan Library in Simi Valley, California, on Pentagon efforts to build weapons
more quickly to meet the China challenge.
At the same time, Hegseth is working with his Chinese counterpart, Adm. Dong
Jun, to set up a U.S.-China military communication system aimed to prevent
disagreements or misunderstandings from spiraling into unintended conflict in
the Indo-Pacific.
Bessent told the New York Times Dealbook summit on Wednesday that China was on
schedule to meet the pledges it made under a U.S.-China trade agreement,
including purchasing 12 million metric tons of soybeans by February 2026.
“China is on track to keep every part of the deal,” he said.
Those moves by administration officials are set against the massive Chinese
military buildup in the Indo-Pacific region and tensions over Beijing’s
belligerent attitude toward the Philippines, where Beijing and Manila have been
facing off over claims of land masses and reefs in the South China Sea. The U.S.
has been supplying the Philippines with more sophisticated weaponry in recent
years in part to ward off the Chinese threat.
China has also consistently flown fighter planes and bombers and sailed warships
close to Taiwan’s shores despite the Taiwan Relations Act, an American law that
pledges the U.S. to keep close ties with the independent island.
The National Security Strategy, which is put out by every administration, hasn’t
been updated since 2022 under the Biden administration. That document
highlighted three core themes: strategic competition with China and Russia;
renewed investment and focus on domestic industrial policy; and the recognition
that climate change is a central challenge that touches all aspects of national
security.
The strategy is expected to place more emphasis on the Western Hemisphere than
previous strategies, which focused on the Middle East, counterterrorism, China
and Russia. The new strategy will include those topics but also focus on topics
such as migration, drug cartels and relations with Latin America — all under the
umbrella of protecting the U.S. homeland.
That new National Defense Strategy similarly places more emphasis on protecting
the U.S. homeland and the Western Hemisphere, as POLITICO first reported, a
choice that has caused some concern among military commanders.
Both documents are expected to be followed by the “global posture review,” a
look at how U.S. military assets are positioned across the globe, and which is
being eagerly anticipated by allies from Germany to South Korea, both of which
are home to tens of thousands of U.S. troops who might be moved elsewhere.
One key figure is missing from the pack of top national security officials
crisscrossing the globe to achieve a Ukraine peace deal: Defense Secretary Pete
Hegseth.
But that sits fine with the White House, which is happy with his culture war
attacks, made-for-TV images rallying the troops and online trolling of MAGA
enemies.
The Defense secretary has stayed silent on the surprising role of his
subordinate, Army Secretary Dan Driscoll, who recently catapulted into the
spotlight by leading surprise negotiations with Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy in Kyiv and Russian advisers in Abu Dhabi. Hegseth, instead, has been
stirring support from President Donald Trump’s base for authorizing an
investigation into Sen. Mark Kelly, a former Navy captain, who told troops in a
video that they can refuse illegal orders.
The Pentagon leader — a former Fox News host who seems more at home railing
against diversity programs than leading diplomatic consultations — has carved
out an unorthodox political niche that has helped insulate him from criticism
within the administration, at least for now.
“The president expects Pete to rule out DEI at the Pentagon, which he has been
quite successful at doing,” said a senior White House official. “The president
also loves that.”
The Defense secretary position is traditionally not an overtly partisan role,
especially since the person works with a military that has taken an oath to stay
apolitical. But Hegseth’s tenure has been markedly different from his
predecessors in the way he’s politicized the office. He’s antagonized Democratic
lawmakers on social media, huddled with conservative activists such as Laura
Loomer in his office, and stacked a new hand-picked Pentagon press corps with
far-right conspiracy websites.
“It’s all about projecting an image of strength,” said a former Pentagon
official, who, like others interviewed, was granted anonymity to discuss a
sensitive topic. “The new acquisition reform policy is a huge and important
thing he’s doing,” the person said, in reference to a new initiative to
transform U.S. weapons sales. “But he’s still focused on talking about DEI and
grooming standards instead of that policy change.”
And that appears to have gone over well in an administration that appreciates
confidence, power and loyalty.
“Hegseth still seems in tight with (read: loyal) to POTUS,” said another defense
official. “And this ridiculousness with Sen. Kelly and the IG investigation
could make Hegseth more popular with the president in the short term. Until it
backfires.”
The Pentagon did not respond to a request for comment. The White House insisted
Hegseth was involved in broader discussions about the future of Ukraine.
“Secretary Hegseth is deeply involved in all national security matters,
including the Russia-Ukraine War, and any suggestion to the contrary is false,”
said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt. “In addition to running the
Pentagon, Secretary Hegseth manages the weapons sales process to NATO, provides
critical battlefield updates to the president, participates in the president’s
intelligence briefings, and he is also deeply involved in discussions about
Venezuela, China, and all of the challenges around the globe.”
His tenure is still tenuous. Hegseth continues to face fallout from Signalgate,
one of the most embarrassing incidents of Trump’s second term. The Defense
Department’s inspector general is expected to soon conclude an
investigation into whether the Pentagon chief released classified information
about U.S. military strikes in Yemen this year in a Signal chat that
accidentally included a journalist.
The release of the report, if it further implicates Hegseth, could present
problems. And the Pentagon leader may face subpoenas and uncomfortable hearings
if the Democrats win back the House in the midterm elections.
Hegseth appears to be playing at least some role in the administration’s
controversial efforts to root out drug cartels in Latin America and weaken the
authority of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. He traveled to the Dominican
Republic on Wednesday as the Pentagon continues with an unprecedented military
buildup in the Caribbean.
“They’re very situational and they plug and play based on what makes sense at
the moment,” said Alex Gray, a National Security Council chief of staff in the
first Trump administration. “Some of the things that [Hegseth] is front and
center on are things that require the most adept communication expertise and the
best messaging capacity.”
But Driscoll continued to make his own headlines this week, pushing Ukraine and
European allies to accept Trump’s peace proposal and meeting with a Russian
delegation as the main U.S. negotiator. Trump indicated on Tuesday that special
envoy Steve Witkoff would head to Moscow while Driscoll met with the Ukrainians.
The White House tasked Driscoll, who was already set to visit Ukraine to talk
about drones, to “go and then open the door for peace,” said a U.S. official
familiar with the matter.
The plug-and-play dynamic may have roots much earlier in the administration.
Another person familiar with the situation said that behind the scenes, Hegseth
can come off as stilted and uncomfortable in closed-door diplomatic meetings,
and has had to rely on scripts in certain situations.
“When you’re in a fluid diplomatic discussion, you can’t just stick to a
script,” the person said.
And yet it’s Hegseth who has gotten attention from some of Trump’s most ardent
supporters, including Loomer, a MAGA influencer. She occasionally meets with
Hegseth and has lambasted Driscoll online for not being sufficiently loyal to
the president.
“I’m not telling Pete Hegseth how to do his job,” Loomer told POLITICO this
summer. “He’s a good leader in the sense that he’s not just ignoring [issues I
raise] and saying, ‘Oh, well, it doesn’t matter.’”
White House allies made the case that Hegseth also has a key role both in
Trump-era housecleaning of military brass and the Pentagon’s increasing role in
border security and domestic deployments.
“The amount of internal cleanup that has to be done is extraordinary,” said
Gray. “[Hegseth] has had to be incredibly focused on messaging and communicating
the president’s agenda for reforming the department.”
LOS ANGELES — The 2028 Olympic games is adding Team Trump to its roster.
LA28, the organizing committee for the upcoming Summer Games and Paralympics in
Los Angeles, posted new members of the board of directors to its website
Thursday. The common thread among nearly all of the new additions is ties to
President Donald Trump.
The slate includes well-known political figures like Reince Priebus, the onetime
Republican National Committee chair who served as Trump’s first chief of staff
in his first term, and Kevin McCarthy, the former House Speaker and Trump ally
who is also close with Los Angeles’ Democratic mayor, Karen Bass.
Others with Trump connections are Wisconsin Trump mega-donor Diane Hendricks,
Patrick Dumont, owner of the Dallas Mavericks and son-in-law of major Trump
benefactor Miriam Adelson, and investment banker Ken Moelis, who was a banker
for Trump in the 1990s.
The influx of new additions means that access to Trump’s White House is now just
one phone call away for the commission, an asset at a time when Trump has no
hesitation threatening the Democratic-led cities hosting major events. Los
Angeles has been a particular target of the president’s ire, including
his extraordinary mobilization of the Marines this summer in response to
protests against his immigration crackdown.
Prior to Thursday’s new members, the board was dominated by former Olympians,
Hollywood power players and sports and corporate executives, with little overt
partisan branding. Elaine Chao, the former Transportation secretary during
Trump’s first term who broke with the president after the Jan. 6 attack on the
U.S. Capitol, joined the board in January.
With the Olympics, America’s 250th anniversary and the World Cup all taking
place during Trump’s second term, international sports bodies appear to be
moving in sync in their swing toward Trump.
FIFA president Gianni Infantino, who has scored more Oval Office visits with
Trump this year than any world leader, came to one of his meetings bearing a
24-carat gold trophy that Infantino allowed Trump to keep. FIFA went back to
Tiffany & Co. to have a replica made for the team that actually won.
Beyond sitting through awkward moments in the Oval Office as Trump threatens
tournament co-host Mexico over cartels while taking questions from the press,
Infantino has gone out of his way to create a new award, the FIFA Peace Prize,
that is widely expected to be given to Trump at the World Cup draw at the
Kennedy Center in early December.
Casey Wasserman, the chairman of the 2028 LA Olympics organizing committee, has
also been solicitous of Trump. He gifted the president medals from the 1984
games in Los Angeles during an August signing ceremony establishing a federal
task force for the mega-event. Trump is chair of the task force, which is meant
to ensure the games are “safe, seamless and historically successful.”
Also joining the LA28 board is Los Angeles business consultant Denita Willoughby
and philanthropist Maria Hummer-Tuttle, while Muffy Davis, a seven-time
Paralympic medalist, is leaving the board.
“We are thrilled to welcome this accomplished group to the LA28 Board who will
help create an unforgettable Games for athletes and fans alike,” Wasserman said
in a statement.
The United States on Friday sanctioned Colombian President Gustavo Petro, the
latest escalation of tensions between Washington and Bogotá over drug
trafficking and other issues of bilateral importance.
In a press release, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the left-wing leader
“has allowed drug cartels to flourish and refused to stop this activity.” The
sanctions target Petro and his associates — chiefly his wife, son and several
leading Colombian officials.
Bessent added that the Trump administration’s actions are intended to “protect
our nation and make clear that we will not tolerate the trafficking of drugs
into our nation.”
Reacting to the sanctions on social media, Petro said “fighting against drug
trafficking for decades with efficiency has brought these measures against me by
the government of the country which we help to stop its consumption of cocaine.
All a paradox, but no steps back and never on our knees.”
It’s highly unusual for the U.S. to sanction the sitting leader of a country,
let alone a longtime ally like Colombia. But the imposition of sanctions
reflects the continued tensions between Petro and the administration, as the
Colombian leader has criticized the U.S. military buildup in the Western
Hemisphere in the name of combating drug cartels. Petro also
previously criticized the U.S. for supporting what he alleged was an Israeli
genocide in Gaza, and called on U.S. officials to face charges for a recent
spate of strikes against alleged drug trafficking vessels that he claims killed
innocent Colombian fishermen.
The administration has made no secret of its frustrations with Colombia’s
leader. Earlier this week, Trump cut off U.S. aid to Colombia after Petro
attacked the administration’s drug boat strikes. And in September, the U.S.
revoked Petro’s visa, citing comments he made at a pro-Palestine protest on the
sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly where he called on U.S. service
members to resist Israeli actions in Gaza.
Colombia was also recently restored to a U.S. list of countries seen as major
hubs of narcotics trafficking. The country’s coca fields have expanded
continuously since Petro took power, even as Colombia has pushed back on claims
that it has turned a blind eye to a resurgent cocaine industry within its
borders. Colombian officials have pointed to the continued interdiction of
cocaine.
Petro, who as a young man joined a Marxist guerrilla group that fought against
the Colombian state during the South American country’s ongoing decades-long
armed conflict, has advocated for reaching “total peace” with militant groups
that continue to fight against the Colombian state. He’s also downplayed the
need for eradicating coca fields and blamed Western elites for driving demand
for cocaine, severing cooperation with longtime allies, including the United
States.
Petro’s son, Nicolás Petro, has been accused of funneling drug cartel funds into
his father’s electoral campaign. But there is no evidence that the Colombian
president himself is involved with or directly supportive of the cartels the
U.S. links him to.
The decision was applauded by some of Petro’s Republican critics in Congress,
many of whom represent large Colombian American communities and have bashed the
leader.
“GREAT MOVE, Petro is a problem for Colombia and our hemisphere!” posted Rep.
Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.), chair of the House Foreign Affairs Western
Hemisphere Subcommittee. Salazar also called Petro a “socialist dictator” in her
post on X.
President Donald Trump on Wednesday floated targeting Venezuelan drug cartels
with land strikes, an escalation of his administration’s repeated strikes on
boats out of the country as he tries to staunch the flow of drugs into the U.S.
Speaking to reporters, Trump said his administration has “almost totally
stopped” drug trafficking by sea and “now we’ll stop it by land.”
“I don’t want to tell you exactly, but we are certainly looking at land now
because we have the sea very well under control,” Trump said.
Over the last month, the U.S. has carried out at least five strikes on
Venezuelan boats the White House characterized as “narcoterrorists” responsible
for smuggling drugs into the country. The latest strike on Tuesday killed six
suspected drug traffickers in international waters, Trump said.
The strikes have been met with backlash, with lawmakers on both sides of the
aisle arguing the actions constitute “illegal killings.” A group of former
Republican officials have said they believe the strikes may not be legal.
Trump on Wednesday defended his administration’s decisions, stating that the
previous use of the U.S. Coast Guard investigating boats before action was taken
has been “totally ineffective.”
“They have faster boats, some of these boats, I mean, they are world-class
speedboats,” Trump said. “But they’re not faster than missiles.”
Trump argued that each strike his administration launches saves thousands of
American lives.
“Every time you see a boat and you feel badly and you say ‘wow that’s rough,’ it
is rough but if you lose three people and save 25,000 people — these are people
that are killing our population,” Trump said. “The boats get hit and you see
that fentanyl all over the ocean, it’s like floating in bags, it’s all over the
place. We’re saving a tremendous amount of lives.”
The European Commission has opened a door marked danger. In July it issued a
guidance letter blessing the creation of what is known as an Automotive
Licensing Negotiation Group (Auto LNG). In doing so, it gave the green light to
rival carmakers to form a cartel-like entity to negotiate licenses for patents
that underpin standardized technologies (standards essential patents, or
SEPs).
>
SEPs are vital in many industries because they enable devices and services to
interoperate seamlessly across different manufacturers, platforms and
geographies. They cover technologies such as Wi-Fi, 5G and video coding, and are
integral to the Internet of Things.
> SEPs are vital in many industries because they enable devices and services to
> interoperate seamlessly across different manufacturers, platforms and
> geographies.
For decades, EU competition law treated the collective bargaining among
competitors that LNGs of any kind represent as off-limits. The timing of the
change was not incidental.
In September the Commission also released draft revisions of its Technology
Transfer Block Exemption Regulation and Technology Transfer Guidelines (TTG).
Together, these texts shape how Europe manages its innovation economy, including
its SEP licensing market.
A success story at stake
On the positive side, the drafts reaffirm the importance of transparent patent
pools. Such pools bring together complementary SEPs owned by multiple parties
and make them available through a single license. Pools cut transaction costs,
create efficiencies and provide clarity to technology implementers.
SEP owners who contribute technology to a standard promise to license their
patents on fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory (FRAND) terms. Pools put that
commitment into practice by offering a single license that the market can accept
or reject.
The draft TTG strengthens requirements for transparency and governance in pools
by emphasizing the importance of essentiality checks, published terms, open
participation and safeguards against collusion. These measures codify practices
many pools already follow. In doing so, the Commission is rightly cementing
transparent pools’ role as trusted intermediaries in SEP licensing.
LNGs and FRAND cannot co-exist
Properly structured pools only succeed if implementers view their terms as
balanced; they cannot ‘enforce’ acceptance into existence. When the market
pushes back, pools adjust. That responsiveness makes them both pro-competitive
and self-correcting.
LNGs invert that logic. As coalitions of buyers, their explicit objective is to
aggregate purchasing power to secure discounts from the prevailing FRAND rate —
all while their members continue to use the technology. However, the
non-discrimination limb of FRAND makes across the board ‘group discounts’ very
hard to square with commitments owed to all implementers, including those that
have already taken licenses, directly or through a pool. This distorts
competition by enabling buyers to exert undue pressure on licensors.
The draft TTG seeks to allay concerns by requiring LNG participation to be open
and internally non-discriminatory, yet it does not grapple with the external
effect on the SEP holder’s non-discrimination duty. That omission risks forcing
a de facto “LNG rate” onto the whole market.
Asymmetry and holdout risk
The asymmetry here is striking. If price talks fail for tangible inputs,
suppliers can simply stop shipments. Not so with SEPs: once standardized, the
technology is embedded and keeps being used unless long, costly litigation is
pursued. This reality gives coordinated buyers leverage to delay or avoid paying
– a textbook recipe for holdout and cartel-like behavior.
Some argue that if licensors can license jointly through pools, licensees should
be able to do so in LNGs. This is false logic. Pools aggregate non-competing
assets to make complementary patents accessible. LNGs aggregate competing buyers
to dictate price, a monopsony dynamic that competition law has long treated with
suspicion. Pools, by contrast, have no such power. They live or die by market
acceptance. Their incentive is to align with existing demand.
Process shortcuts, shaky justifications
Equally troubling is how the Commission chose to act. The July letter was issued
under an ‘informal guidance’ procedure, an opaque tool usually used to clarify
cutting-edge cases. SEP holders and smaller innovators were not consulted,
despite being directly affected.
The substantive justification is no better. Both the Commission and Germany’s
Bundeskartellamt, which had previously authorized the ALNG in June 2024, leaned
on a market-share threshold, finding automakers represent less than 15 percent
of the ‘general mobile communications’ market.
However, connected cars represent a completely separate vertical, with distinct
technical features like vehicle-to-vehicle communication, and the market
threshold should apply to it specifically. Furthermore, in licensing markets, a
coordinated 15 percent holdout can freeze dealmaking across the board. That risk
is ignored.
> Connected cars represent a completely separate vertical, with distinct
> technical features.
Meanwhile, the invocation of decarbonization as a reason to tolerate cartel-like
structures conflates policy domains. Climate objectives, however worthy, cannot
excuse weakening competition law guardrails.
Keep the back door closed
Pools already deliver the benefits LNGs claim — lower transaction costs, broader
access, transparent terms, market efficiencies — without cartel risks. Most
importantly, the FRAND framework, tested in courts and practice, continues to
support rapid technology rollouts across the EU and is fully compatible with
pools. It is utterly incompatible with LNGs. To adhere to FRAND principles that
are the cornerstone of SEP licensing worldwide, LNGs cannot exist.
> Pools already deliver the benefits LNGs claim — lower transaction costs,
> broader access, transparent terms, market efficiencies — without cartel risks.
If the Commission wants to modernize SEP policy, it should do so openly and only
when market failures are identified. This involves consultation to establish
clear criteria and evidence of consumer benefit. By contrast, its current
approach threatens to disrupt efficient markets, squeeze royalties that fund
research and development, and slow Europe’s pace of innovation.
In reinforcing transparent pools, the Commission got one big thing right with
its draft TTG. It should not squander that by blessing LNGs.
Roberto Dini has more than 40 years’ experience in patent licensing and is
recognized as one of the global market’s most respected experts.
For a detailed analysis of the legal, economic and procedural defects in the
Auto LNG approach — and a fuller comparison between pools and LNGs — see: Auto
Licensing Negotiation Groups are a Bad, Anticompetitive Idea.