BRUSSELS ― Two wars on Europe’s doorstep loomed over a 12-hour summit of EU
leaders ― and for very different reasons they found themselves paralyzed rather
than able to do much about either.
Rarely has the bloc’s inability to take a lead on international affairs been so
obvious. Between Germany’s Friedrich Merz, France’s Emmanuel Macron and Italy’s
Giorgia Meloni ― heads of three of the world’s top 10 economies ― and the other
24 in attendance, they could only look the other way, squabble with each other,
or offer little but words as the bombing, missile-firing and killing continued.
“In these very troubled moments in which we are living, more than ever it’s
decisive to uphold the international rules-based order,” European Council
President António Costa, who chaired the gathering in Brussels, told reporters.
“The alternative is chaos. The alternative is the war in Ukraine. The
alternative is the war in the Middle East.”
And that speech was about as far as it went.
As Tehran pounded its neighbors, disrupting Europe’s energy supplies, Kyiv
attacked Russian factories repairing military planes, and Donald Trump in
Washington joked about the Pearl Harbor attack alongside the Japanese prime
minister, European leaders used their talks to tinker with the bloc’s carbon
permit scheme, the Emissions Trading System. It’s not a wholly unrelated matter
to the global energy shock, but hardly an issue where the continent could
demonstrate its geopolitical might.
On Iran, leaders found they had little leverage or will to make any significant
intervention. On Ukraine, more than four years after Russia’s full-scale
invasion ― a conflict where they do have leverage and they do have will ― they
were unable to overcome internal divisions to approve sending €90 billion Kyiv’s
way.
There was “no willingness to get involved across the table” on the Iran
conflict, said a senior European government official, granted anonymity like
others quoted in this article to discuss the talks behind closed doors.
German Chancellor Merz even complained that focusing on Iran risked shifting
attention away from measures to boost Europe’s flagging economy — the summit’s
original raison d’être before would affairs got in the way — according to three
officials.
“The world looked very different at Alden Biesen,” an EU official said,
referring to last month’s competitiveness-focused meeting in a Belgian castle
that was meant to set the stage for this summit. That was before Iran’s war and
Ukraine’s funding dilemma, brought about by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor
Orbán going back on his promise to approve the loan, radically reshaped the
agenda.
NOT OUR WAR
That’s not to say Iran was ignored completely.
There was some renewed discussion about sending French warships to protect the
Strait of Hormuz, the vital oil transit point that Tehran has effectively shut
down by threatening to strike ships, potentially with backing from the U.N.
Security Council. “We have begun an exploratory process, and we will see in the
coming days if it has a chance of succeeding,” Macron said.
But the summit’s final statement stopped short of pledging any new mission,
referring only to strengthening existing EU naval operations in the region.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at a press conference at the end of the
European Council summit on March 19, 2026 in Brussels. | Pier Marco Tacca/Getty
Images
By the end of the talks, the EU’s leaders reached a sobering conclusion: Europe
has little power or inclination to shape events.
“Middle East impacts us a lot — but are we a player in the game?” an EU official
who was party to the leaders’ discussions asked. “They’re trying to find a place
in this debate and we have a lot of statements and positions [but] is there a
role for Europeans for solving this process?”
Evidently not, according to Kaja Kallas, the EU’s foreign policy chief, who
warned leaders that “starting war is like a love affair — it’s easy to get in
and difficult to get out,” according to two diplomats briefed on her remarks.
Translation: This is not Europe’s war — and it’s not going to be.
The EU was left with doing “what we always do,” an EU official said, writing
“nice statements.”
BURNING GAS FIELDS
Europe already angered U.S. President Trump earlier this week when its top
envoys rejected his call to secure the Strait of Hormuz. The summit’s final
conclusions leaned heavily on familiar calls for “de-escalation” and
“restraint,” without proposing concrete action, sticking to that earlier
position.
That’s despite Qatar warning Thursday it would not be able to fulfill its
liquefied natural gas contracts with Belgium and Italy after Iran directed its
wrath — and its ballistic missiles — over U.S.-Israeli strikes at the Gulf
country, knocking out almost a fifth of its LNG export capacity.
Yet rather than grapple head-on with the rapidly expanding energy shock,
Europe’s leaders spent hours debating the bloc’s climate policy, including its
ETS, which a group of countries are eager to reform.
“To say ETS is the biggest issue when big gas fields are burning is a bit
weird,” an EU official said.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the consequences of the
war extended far beyond the Middle East, adding its most “immediate impact” was
on energy supply and prices. She announced a slate of emergency measures to
lower costs, from lowering taxes to boosting investment in ETS.
‘JUST CRAZY’
If anything, the summit exposed where the wars in Iran and Ukraine overlap.
In what could be his final EU gathering after 16 years if he loses next month’s
election, Hungary’s Orbán slammed Europe’s approach to the unfolding energy
crisis.
“The behavior and the strategy that the Europeans have here is just crazy,” he
said — adding the EU needed to buy Russian oil to “survive.”
Orbán has blocked a €90 billion EU loan to Kyiv because of a dispute about a
damaged pipeline carrying Russian oil through Ukraine to Hungary and other
central European countries.
For that reason, the bloc was similarly unable to offer much more than
assurances on the Ukraine war either.
Orbán maintained his opposition on Thursday and even won the sympathy of Meloni,
who told leaders she understood his position.
As frustration inside the room boiled over, many leaders sharply criticized the
Hungarian premier, according to Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
“I have never heard such hard-hitting criticism of anyone, ever,” he told
reporters during a break in the talks.
Merz concurred that leaders were “deeply upset” at Orbán. “I am firmly convinced
that this will leave a lasting mark,” he said.
But the pressure from his peers failed to sway Orbán and questions of the EU
loan will roll on to another summit next month ― by which time Hungary could
have a new leader, or at least an old one not desperate for votes.
On Iran and on Ukraine, the EU didn’t get anywhere. Earlier predictions by
diplomats that leaders might continue discussions through the night or even
reconvene for a second day as the urgency of a world in turmoil forced them to
face up to the challenges before them failed to materialize. Things were done
and dusted before midnight.
After 12 hours of few decisions, leaders were left with little new to tell
people back home.
“There are many things worrying about this war” in the Middle East, while
Orban’s veto of the loan to Kyiv “is still there and we are extremely unhappy
about this, and so of course is Ukraine,” Sweden’s Kristersson told reporters
upon leaving the summit.
And that was that.
Zoya Sheftalovich, Nette Nöstlinger, Nicholas Vinocur, Gerardo Fortuna, Gabriel
Gavin, Hans von der Burchard, Sonja Rijnen, Zia Weise, Seb Starcevic, Giorgio
Leali, Hanne Cokelaere, Ferdinand Knapp, Milena Wälde, Aude van den Hove,
Gregorio Sorgi, Koen Verhelst, Victor Jack, Ben Munster, Jacopo Barigazzi and
Bartosz Brzezińksi contributed reporting.
Tag - Carbon
BRUSSELS — EU leaders were supposed to spend Thursday mapping out how to boost
Europe’s economy. Instead, they were left scrambling to deal with two wars, a
deepening transatlantic rift and a standoff over Ukraine.
Twelve hours of talks, a few showdowns and many, many coffees later, here’s
POLITICO’s rapid round-up of what we learned at the European Council.
1) Viktor Orbán’s not a man for moving …
The most pressing question ahead of this summit was whether Hungary’s prime
minister could be convinced to drop his veto to the EU’s €90 billion loan for
Ukraine. He wasn’t.
The European Commission had attempted to appease Orbán in the days running up to
the summit by sending a mission of experts to Ukraine to inspect the damaged
Druzhba pipeline, which supplies Russian oil to Hungary and Slovakia. Orbán has
argued that Ukraine is deliberately not addressing the issue, and tied that to
his blocking of the cash.
Asked whether he saw any chance for progress on the loan going into the summit,
Orbán’s response was simple: “No.” Twelve hours later, that answer was much the
same.
2) … But he does like to stretch his legs.
In one of the most striking images to have come out of Thursday’s summit, the
Hungarian prime minister stands on the sidelines of the outer circle of the room
while the rest of the leaders are in their usual spots listening to a virtual
address from Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (on screen) speaks to EU leaders via
video at the European Council summit in Brussels, March 19, 2026. | Pool photo
by Geert Vanden Wijngaert/OL / AFP via Getty Images
The relationship between the two has descended into outright acrimony after the
Hungarian leader refused to back the EU loan and the Ukrainian leader made
veiled threats — which even drew the (rare) rebuke of the Commission.
Faced with Zelenskyy’s address, the Hungarian decided to vote with his feet.
3) The new kid on the block is happy to be a part of this European family,
dysfunctional as it may be.
This was the first leaders’ summit for Rob Jetten, the Netherland’s
newly-installed prime minister. Ahead of the meeting, he said he was “very much
looking forward to being part of this family.”
His verdict after the talks? That leaders differ greatly in their speaking
style, with some quite efficient while others take longer to get to the point —
but he welcomed the jokes of Belgian’s Bart De Wever, “especially when the
meeting has been going on for hours.”
5) Though not everyone was so charitable.
Broadly speaking, Orbán digging in his heels did not go down well. Sweden’s
prime minister told reporters after the summit that leaders’ criticism of the
Hungarian in the room was “very, very harsh,” and like nothing he’d ever heard
at an EU summit.
Jetten said the vibe in the room with EU leaders was “icy” at points, with
“awkward silences.”
6) The EU’s not giving up on the loan.
Despite murmurs ahead of the talks of a plan B in the works, multiple EU leaders
as well as Costa and Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen were adamant that the
loan was the only way to go — and that it will happen, eventually.
“We will deliver one way or the other … Today, we have strengthened our
resolve,” von der Leyen. Costa added: “Nobody can blackmail the European
Council, no one can blackmail the European Union.”
Top EU diplomat Kaja Kallas arrives at the European Council summit on March 19,
2026. | Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images
7) Kaja Kallas wants to avoid a messy entanglement.
In her address to the bloc’s leaders, Kallas, the EU’s top diplomat, stressed
the importance of not getting caught up in the conflict in the Middle East.
“Starting war is like a love affair — it’s easy to get in and difficult to get
out,” she said, according to two diplomats briefed by leaders on the closed-door
talks.
At the same time, Kallas reiterated the importance of the EU’s defending its
interests in the region but said there was little appetite for expanding the
remit of its Aspides naval mission, currently operating in the Red Sea.
8) But it was all roses with the U.N.
U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres joined the Council for lunch, thanking
them for their “strong support for multilateralism and international law.”
In an an exclusive interview with POLITICO on the sidelines of the summit,
Guterres applauded the restraint shown by the Europeans, despite Donald Trump’s
anger at their refusal to actively support the war or help reopen the Strait of
Hormuz, a critical maritime artery that Iran has largely sealed off, driving up
global energy prices.
9) Kinda.
One senior EU official told POLITICO that the lunch meeting was “unnecessary.”
“With all appreciation for multilateralism and its importance … considering the
role the U.N. is not playing in international crises right now, it is
unnecessary,” said the official, granted anonymity to speak freely.
10) Celery is a very versatile vegetable.
Also on the table while they picked over the future of the multilateral world
order was a pâté en croûte with spring vegetables and fillet of veal with
celery three ways.
Three ways!
And for dessert? A mandarin tartlet with cinnamon.
11) Cyprus and Greece want the EU to get serious about mutual defense.
Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos
Mitsotakis asked the EU to think about a roadmap for acting on the bloc’s mutual
defense clause, according to two EU diplomats and one senior European government
official.
The clause, Article 42.7, is the EU’s equivalent of NATO’s Article 5. Its
existence and potential use has recently come into focus since British bases in
Cyprus were attacked by drones.
12) And the Commission hopes it’s already got serious enough about migration.
Von der Leyen said that while the EU has not yet experienced an increase in
migrants as a result of the conflict in Iran, the bloc should be prepared.
“There is absolutely no appetite … to repeat the situation of 2015 in the event
of large migration flows resulting from the conflict in the Middle East,” said
one national official.
The Commission chief emphasized that the mistakes of the 2015 refugee crisis
won’t happen again.
13) Von der Leyen likes to cross her Ts.
Speaking of emphasis — “temporary, tailored and targeted” was how von der Leyen
described the EU’s short-term actions to minimize the impact on Europe of the
recent energy price spikes after the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran.
The moves will impact four components that affect energy prices: energy costs,
grid charges, taxes and levies and carbon pricing, she said.
14) The ETS is here to stay — with some modifications.
While EU leaders agreed to make some adjustments to the Emissions Trading System
— the bloc’s carbon market — most forcefully backed the continuation of the
system itself.
“This ETS is a great success. It has been in place for 20 years and is a
market-based and technology-neutral system. So we are not calling the ETS into
question,” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz told reporters after the talks had
concluded.
While the Commission will propose some adjustments to the ETS by July, these are
merely adjustments, not fundamental changes, the German leader said.
In the run-up to the summit, some EU countries, including Italy, floated the
idea of weakening the ETS to help weather soaring energy prices.
15) No matter what, EU leaders want to get home — ASAP.
While Costa has so far ensured every European Council under his watch lasts only
one day instead of the once-customary two, this time around, that goal was
looking optimistic.
However, at the end of the day, leaders’ dogged determination to get out of
there prevailed (even if that meant kicking a discussion on the long-term budget
to April). À bientôt!
When Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni attended her first European leaders’
summit in Brussels in December 2022, few would have expected her to become one
of the most effective politicians sitting around the table four years later.
In fact, few would have expected that she’d still be there at all, as Italian
leaders are famously short-lived. Remarkably, her right-wing Brothers of Italy
party looks as rock solid in polls as it did four years ago, and she now has her
eye on the record longest term for an Italian premier — a feat she is due to
accomplish in September.
A loss in what is set to be a nail-biting referendum on the bitter and complex
issue of judicial reform on March 22 and 23 would be her first major set back —
and would puncture the air of political invincibility that she exudes not only
in Rome but also in Brussels.
Meloni has thrived on the European stage, and has become adept at using the EU
machinery to her advantage. Only in recent months, she has made decisive
interventions on the EU’s biggest dossiers, such as Russian assets, the Mercosur
trade deal and carbon markets, leveraging Italy’s heavyweight status to win
concessions in areas like farm subsidies.
Profiting from France’s weakness, Meloni is also establishing a strong
partnership with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz — a double act between the
EU’s No. 1 and No. 3 economies — to mold the bloc’s policies to favor
manufacturing and free trade.
CRASHING DOWN TO EARTH
For a few more days, at least, Meloni looks like a uniquely stable and
influential Italian leader.
Nicola Procaccini, a Brothers of Italy MEP very close to Meloni and co-chair of
the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group, called the government’s
longevity a “real novelty” in the European political landscape.
“Until recently, Italy couldn’t insert itself into the dynamics of those that
shape the European Union — essentially the Franco-German axis — because it
lacked governments capable of lasting even a year,” said the MEP. “Giorgia
Meloni is not just a leader who endures; she is a leader who shapes decisions
and influences the direction to be taken.”
But critics of the prime minister said a failure in the referendum would mark a
critical turning point. Her rivals would finally detect a chink in her armor and
move to attack her record, particularly on economic weaknesses at home. The
unexpected, new message to other EU leaders would be clear: She won’t be here
for ever.
Brando Benifei, an MEP in Italy’s center-left opposition Democratic Party,
conceded that other EU leaders saw her as the leader of a “ultra-stable
government.” But, if she were to lose the referendum, he argued “she would
inevitably lose that aura.”
“Everyone remembers how it ended for Renzi’s coalition after he lost his
referendum,” Benifei added, in reference to former Democratic Party Prime
Minister Matteo Renzi who resigned after his own failed referendum in 2016.
MACHIAVELLIAN MELONI
Meloni owes much of her success on the EU stage to canny opportunism. At the
beginning of the year, she slyly spotted an opportunity — suddenly wavering on
the Mercosur trade deal, which Rome has long supported — to win extra cash for
farmers that would please her powerful farm unions at home. She held off from
actually killing the agreement, something that would have lost her friends among
other capitals.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni at a
signing ceremony during an Italy-Germany Intergovernmental Summit in Rome on
Jan. 23, 2026. | Pool photo by Michael Kappeler/AFP via Getty Images
The Italian leader “knows how to read the room very well,” said one European
diplomat, who was granted anonymity to discuss European Council dynamics.
Teresa Coratella, deputy head of the Rome office at the think tank European
Council on Foreign Relations, said Meloni had “a political cunning” that
allowed her to build “variable geometries,” allying with different European
leaders by turn based on the subject under discussion.
One of her first victories came on migration in 2023. She was able to elevate
the issue to the top level of the European Council, and even managed to secure a
visit by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to Tunisia,
eventually resulting in the signing of a pact on the issue.
Others wins followed.
Last December, with impeccable timing, Meloni unexpectedly threw her lot in with
Belgium’s Prime Minister Bart De Wever at the last minute, scuppering a plan to
fund Ukraine’s defenses with Russian frozen assets, instead pushing for more EU
joint debt.
Italian diplomats said that Meloni is a careful student, showing up to summits
always having read the relevant documents, and having asking the apposite
questions. That wasn’t always the case with former Italian prime ministers.
They said her choice of functionaries — rewarding competence over and above
political affiliation — also helps. These include her chief diplomatic
consigliere Fabrizio Saggio and Vincenzo Celeste, ambassador to the EU. Neither
is considered close politically to Meloni.
Her biggest coup, though, has been shunting aside France as Germany’s main
European partner on key files, with her partnership with Merz even being dubbed
“Merzoni.”
ROLLING THE DICE
Meloni’s strength partly explains why she dared call the referendum.
Italy’s right has for decades complained that the judiciary is biased to the
left. It’s a feud that goes back to the Mani Pulite (Clean Hands)
anti-corruption drive in the 1990s that pulverized the political elite of that
time, and the constant court cases against playboy premier and media tycoon
Silvio Berlusconi, father of the modern center-right.
The proposal in the plebiscite is to restructure the judiciary. But it’s a
high-stakes gamble, and why she called it seems something of a puzzle. The
reforms themselves are highly technical — and by the government’s own admission
won’t actually speed up Italy’s notoriously long court cases.
Prime Minister of Italy, Giorgia Meloni attends the European Council meeting on
June 26, 2025 in Brussels. | Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images
Instead, the vote has turned into a more general vote of confidence in Meloni
and her government. The timing is tough as Italians widely dislike her ally U.S.
President Donald Trump and fear the war in Iran will drive up their already high
power prices.
Still, she is determined not to suffer Renzi’s fate and insists she will not
step down even if she loses the referendum.
Asked at a conference on Thursday whether a loss would make Rome appear less
stable in its dealings with other European capitals, Foreign Minister Antonio
Tajani was adamant that the referendum has “absolutely nothing to do with the
stability of the government.”
“This government will last until the day of the next national elections,” he
added.
A victory on Monday will put the wind in her sails before the next general
elections, which have to be held by the end of 2027. It would also set the stage
for other reforms that Meloni wants to enact: a move to a more presidential
system, with a direct election of the prime minister, making the role more like
the French presidency.
But a loss would galvanize the opposition — split between the populist 5Star
Movement, and the traditional center-left Democratic Party.
The danger is her rivals would round on her particularly over the economy. Even
counting for the fact Italy has benefitted from the largest tranche of the
Covid-era recovery package — growth has been sluggish, consistently below 1
percent, falling to 0.5 percent in 2025.
“We have a situation in which the country is increasingly heading toward
stagnation and we have to ask ourselves what would have happened if we had not
had the boost of the Recovery Fund,” said Enrico Borghi, a senator from Italia
Viva, Renzi’s party.
Procaccini, however, defended her, both on employment and growth.
“It could be better,” he conceded. “But we are still talking about growth,
unlike countries that in this historical phase are recording a decline, as in
the case of Germany.”
BUDAPEST — If Brussels claws back €10 billion of EU funds controversially
disbursed to Hungary, it will also have to recover as much as €137 billion from
Poland too, Budapest’s EU affairs minister told POLITICO.
The European Commission made a highly contentious decision in December 2023 to
free up €10 billion of EU funds to Hungary that had been frozen because of
weaknesses on rule of law deficiencies and backsliding on judicial independence.
Members of the European Parliament condemned what looked like a political
decision, offering a sweetener to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán just before a key
summit where the EU needed his support for Ukraine aid.
On Feb. 12, Court of Justice of the European Union Advocate General Tamara
Ćapeta recommended annulling the decision, meaning Hungary may have to return
the funds if the court follows in its final ruling in the coming months. Orbán
has slammed the idea of a repayment as “absurd.”
János Bóka, Hungary’s EU affairs minister, told POLITICO that clawing back the
€10 billion from the euroskeptic government in Budapest would mean that Brussels
should also be recovering cash from Poland, led by pro-EU Prime Minister Donald
Tusk.
“We believe that the Commission’s decision was lawful … the opinion, I think,
it’s legally excessive,” Bóka said. He warned that “if the Advocate General’s
opinion is followed then the Commission would be legally required to freeze all
the EU money going to Poland as well, which I think in any case the Commission
is not willing to do.”
The legal opinion on Hungary states the the Commission was wrong in unfreezing
the funds “before the required legislative reforms had entered into force or
were being applied,” Ćapeta said in February.
Bóka said that would seem to describe the situation in Poland too.
In February 2024, the EU executive released €137 billion in frozen funds to
Tusk’s government in exchange for promised judicial reforms. But these have
since been blocked by President Karol Nawrocki as tensions between the two
worsen — spelling trouble for Poland’s continued access to EU cash.
“It’s very easy to get the EU funds if they want to give it to you, as we could
see in the case of Poland, where they could get the funds with a page-and-a-half
action plan, which is still not implemented because of legislative difficulty,”
Bóka said.
Fundamentally, that is why Bóka said he believed “the court will not issue any
judgment that would put Poland in a difficult position.”
Bóka risks leaving office with Orbán after the April 12 election, with
opposition leader Péter Magyar leading in the polls on a platform of unlocking
EU funds, tackling corruption, and improving healthcare and education.
The Commission is, separately, withholding another €18 billion of Hungarian
funds — €7.6 billion in cohesion funds and €10.4 billion from the coronavirus
recovery package.
“I think Péter Magyar is right when he says that the Commission wants to give
this money to them … in exchange, like they did in the case of Poland, they want
alignment in key policy areas,” he said, “like support for Ukraine,
green-lighting progress in Ukraine’s accession process, decoupling from Russian
oil and gas, and implementing the Migration Pact.”
“Just like in the case of Poland, they might allow rhetorical deviation from the
line, but in key areas, they want alignment and compliance.”
Poland’s Tusk has been vocal against EU laws, such as the migration pact and
carbon emission reduction laws.
Bóka also accused the Commission of deciding “not to engage in meaningful
discussions [on EU funds] as the elections drew closer.”
He added that if Orbán’s Fidesz were to win the election, “neither us nor the
Commission will have any other choice than to sit down and discuss how we can
make progress in this process.”
Legal experts are cautious about assessing the potential impact of such a
ruling, noting that the funds for Poland and Hungary were frozen under different
legal frameworks. However, there is broad agreement that the case is likely to
set some form of precedent over how the Commission handles disbursements of EU
funds to its members.
If the legal opinion is followed, “there could be a strong case against
disbursing funds against Poland,” said Jacob Öberg, EU law professor at
University of Southern Denmark. He said, however, that it is not certain the
court will follow Ćapeta’s opinion because the cases assess different national
contexts.
Paul Dermine, EU law professor at the Université Libre de Bruxelles agreed the
court ruling could “at least in theory, have repercussions on what happened in
the Polish case,” but said that he thought judges would follow the legal opinion
“as the wrongdoings of the Commission in the Hungarian case are quite blatant.”
LONDON — The U.K. government is expected to publish a long-awaited plan to
decarbonize new homes next week, with ministers set to mandate low-carbon
heating for all new-builds and solar panels on the vast majority.
According to two energy sector figures briefed on the plan, the government will
publish the Future Homes Standard next week. Both were granted anonymity to
discuss behind-closed-doors briefings from government.
One of the energy sector figures said the plan was expected Tuesday.
The strategy — which has been subject to years of consultation — will likely be
presented as an essential step to reduce U.K. reliance on fossil fuels and to
cut energy bills in the context of the Iran war and the resulting surge in oil
and gas prices, they added.
“We’re expecting it to confirm that all new homes will have heat pumps or
connections to low-carbon heat networks,” the person said, “and the vast
majority of new homes will have solar.”
The policies are in line with expectations, and the timing of the publication
suggests the government is using the Middle East energy crisis to double down on
green plans at home.
A third energy sector figure, also granted anonymity to speak candidly, said
they had expected plans for publication to be “accelerated” after Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband said on Sunday the government would go “further and
faster” in pursuit of clean energy and electrification.
The Future Homes Standard, first planned under the previous Conservative
government, has been beset by delays and lobbying by house builders concerned
that some of its measures could push up costs or prove impractical.
But the third energy sector figure added: “It looks like the crisis has shut up
the volume house-builder lobbyists.”
An official at the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government said
the FHS will mean new homes need “no future retrofitting to meet net zero” and
will contribute to bringing down bills.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission will look into loosening state aid rules and
capping the price of gas to help member countries deal with the energy crisis
triggered by the Iran war, according to a letter sent by Commission President
Ursula von der Leyen.
The letter, dated March 16 and obtained by POLITICO, singles out a number of
main ways countries could combat higher energy costs, which have risen sharply
as a result of the U.S.-Iraeli war with Iran. The letter comes ahead of a
meeting of European leaders in Brussels on Thursday.
Since the war broke out last month, effectively shutting off the Strait of
Hormuz through which a fifth of the world’s oil supply transits, EU countries
have been debating a broad range of responses to a looming energy crunch.
Proposed measures have ranged from the modest and technical, such as relaxing
rules to allow governments to compensate households and businesses for rising
energy costs; to the radical and controversial, such as scrapping the EU’s most
important climate laws.
One option proposed in Monday’s letter is to relax state aid rules to permit
national capitals to redistribute profits generated by gas-fired plants to
support consumers and businesses facing rising bills, the letter says. Another
potential change would allow countries to cap the price of gas.
Von der Leyen said both of these policies had been used after Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine in 2022 and stressed that the Commission would determine on a
case-by-case basis whether they would be deployed again.
“The design of these emergency mechanisms should in any case avoid internal
market distortions, preserve long-term investment signals for clean energy and
preclude excessive additional demand for gas,” she said.
The Commission will also “further strengthen” a mechanism that allows countries
to compensate 80 percent of the carbon price paid under the Emissions Trading
System, the EU’s flagship carbon pricing mechanism, von der Leyen added.
The letter also stresses that measures ought to be “targeted and temporary” — an
apparent rebuke to countries that have sought to dismantle key climate policies
that they blame for higher prices.
The Commission president added that the Commission would also look into
simplifying rules for companies to buy electricity through power purchase
agreements. It will also propose a new law to “ensure that grid users receive
the right incentives to make optimal use of existing grid infrastructure, as
this will avoid unnecessary and costly grid expansions,” she said.
The National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management (NFEPWM)
will be the first institution to implement the ELENA (European Local Energy
Assistance) instrument at the national level in Poland. As the leader of green
investment financing in Poland, it is launching a new advisory services segment
for companies and local governments preparing sustainable investments. On March
3, 2026, in Luxembourg, Ioannis Tsakiris, a vice president at the European
Investment Bank, and Dorota Zawadzka-Stepniak, the board president of the
NFEPWM, officially acknowledged an agreement for the ELENA National Pilot
Program. The project preparation budget is €4.5 million, with €4.05 million
provided as grant support from the ELENA facility — a joint EIB and European
Commission facility under InvestEU.
Pre-investment support will target local government authorities and heating
companies. Increased investments in heating and energy efficiency will lead to
energy savings and reduced carbon dioxide emissions. These efforts are part of
Poland’s energy transition, with the NFEPWM playing a significant role. In 2026,
the fund will allocate 85 percent of its planned green investment budget of €8.8
billion to the energy transition.
After a consultation, the European Commission formally approved the ELENA grant,
and it was decided to leverage the NFEPWM’s experience to implement an ELENA
pilot mechanism nationally. The fund will combine its experience with the EIB’s
established practices under the ELENA instrument. After the pilot phase, the
NFEPWM plans to continue and expand the program to include beneficiaries from
other sectors.
> In 2026, the fund will allocate 85 percent of its planned green investment
> budget of €8.8 billion to the energy transition.
“The competence center, established as part of the ELENA project, addresses
market needs in investment consulting to support Poland’s energy transition. The
ELENA program will provide the NFEPWM with a unique range of services in Europe,
combining advisory and financial support for future beneficiaries. This
initiative aligns with the fund’s strategy for 2025–2028, which focuses on
developing advisory services and creating a competence center within the fund,
as well as utilizing modern financial instruments,” explains Zawadzka-Stepniak.
ELENA in Poland: pilot project assumptions
Between 2026 and 2029, Polish investors planning thermal modernization of public
buildings and upgrades in the heating sector will have access to advisory
services. Local government authorities and heating companies will receive
comprehensive expert support in preparing their investments. The involvement of
relevant experts will facilitate the development of high-quality project
documentation, leading to effective funding applications in calls for proposals
conducted by the NFEPWM.
The pilot program will support entities that choose not to modernize public
buildings or heating plants due to a lack of know-how. It will target new
investors who can evaluate the profitability of potential investments, helping
to expand the NFEPWM program’s beneficiaries. Some Polish local authorities and
heating companies, constrained by limited finances, avoid the risk of
inefficient spending on investment analysis, missing the chance to secure
support from European funds or the Modernisation Fund. Under the ELENA project,
the NFEPWM will reach out to these investors, providing technical assistance and
identifying financing opportunities for future projects. This approach addresses
the need for local governments to enhance energy efficiency and the requirements
for heating companies to adopt more environmentally friendly heat generation
methods.
The future beneficiary will gain a partner in the NFEPWM, an expert in preparing
technical documentation for co-financing applications and green project funding.
Assistance will focus on supporting preparatory processes, including energy
audits, feasibility studies, technical documentation, public procurement
services and ex-ante analyses.
The transformation of district heating is a priority for change in the Polish
economy, making it crucial to enhance the efficiency of district heating systems
and increase the use of renewable energy from various sources. More than 15
million Poles are daily users of district heating produced by small municipal
heating plants typical of the Central European region. Although the networks are
extensive, improving their efficiency is often necessary. The challenges include
reducing heat production from coal combustion and minimizing unnecessary heat
consumption. Companies are increasingly investing in modern technologies that
decrease the release of dust and harmful compounds into the atmosphere. The last
20 years have brought significant changes to the Polish heating sector — carbon
dioxide emissions have fallen by nearly 20 percent, the production of harmful
dust has been reduced by over 90 percent, sulfur dioxide emissions have
decreased by almost 90 percent and nitrogen oxides by over 60 percent.
> For nearly 37 years, the NFEPWM has led green transformation financing in
> Poland, improving the natural environment and quality of life. It has
> co-financed environmental protection and water management investments totaling
> nearly 160 billion złoty.
Modernizing the heating sector and improving the energy efficiency of public
buildings will reduce greenhouse gas emissions locally and nationally. The ELENA
project in Poland will co-finance at least 65 entities in the heating sector.
Energy efficiency projects will lower energy consumption, increase renewable
energy use and enhance facility comfort. Long-term investments will reduce local
government operating costs, improving air quality and residents’ quality of
life. The national pilot aims to support analyses and documentation for at least
80 thermal modernization investments in public buildings.
The ELENA instrument is implemented by the European Investment Bank under an
agreement with the European Commission. Established in 2009 as part of the
Intelligent Energy Europe II program, ELENA provides pre-investment support for
sustainable energy, transport and housing. It is an EIB Advisory grant facility,
under InvestEU, which supports the preparation of sustainable investments.
As of the end of 2025, the ELENA facility has provided €374 million in grants
for 206 projects across the European Union, supporting investments of over €12.7
billion.
For nearly 37 years, the NFEPWM has led green transformation financing in
Poland, improving the natural environment and quality of life. It has
co-financed environmental protection and water management investments totaling
nearly 160 billion złoty. Thanks to the NFEPWM, green investments worth
approximately 340 billion złoty have been implemented in Poland. Under the
Ministry of Climate and Environment, NFEPWM supports EU environmental and energy
policy objectives.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Polish National ELENA Pilot Programme
Co-funded by the InvestEU Advisory Hub of the European Union
LONDON — Britain must “back the Americans in this vital fight against Iran!”
said Reform UK Leader Nigel Farage the day the war began.
Less than two weeks on and he’s changed his tune. We “don’t have a Navy” and
“cannot get involved directly in another foreign war,” Farage told a press
conference on Tuesday.
What’s changed? An energy shock.
When the conflict had just started, and before it — predictably — sent oil and
gas prices soaring and became a cost-of-living issue, he was all for it.
But as soon as it threatened to hit British voters in their pockets, and proved
deeply unpopular in polls of normal Brits, he went all wobbly.
Some of Farage’s political opponents are determined not to let the populist
leader distance himself from his original enthusiasm.
“Trying to pull the wool over our eyes,” said Green Party Leader Zack Polanski
on Tuesday, responding to an X post in which Farage’s Treasury spokesperson,
Robert Jenrick, said the “war needs to come to an end as soon as possible,
because it is making Britain poorer.”
Having initially backed the conflict, Reform, said Polanski, is now “the party
of foreign wars and higher bills.”
Liberal Democrat Leader Ed Davey has taken a similar tack, telling the BBC on
Monday that voters worried about the war’s effect on the cost of living should
remember that Farage’s Reform, like the Conservative’s Kemi Badenoch, “cheered
on Donald Trump.”
Farage insisted Tuesday there’s no inconsistency, and that his original position
had merely been that Prime Minister Keir Starmer should have allowed U.S. forces
to launch attacks on Iran from U.K. bases from the outset of the conflict, not
necessarily that the U.K. should join attacks on Iran.
But the shift in tone reveals something fundamental about British politics in
2026: The cost of living is everything. A war that threatens to send it even
higher always had the potential to prove unpopular.
“The public are deeply uneasy about what they think could be unnecessary and
costly involvement in foreign wars, [and have] significant hesitations about too
close an alignment with President Trump,” said pollster Scarlett Maguire,
director of Merlin Strategy.
Ed Miliband posted a video seeking to “reassure” voters that the “cost of living
crisis remains our number one priority — because its yours.” | Sean Gallup/Getty
Images
“The cost of living crisis in this country only exacerbates this, with voters
already feeling that the government are not doing enough to bring down energy
prices and inflation,” she added.
On Tuesday, Farage and Jenrick attempted to flip the narrative by blaming “a
ruinous climate agenda” for high energy costs in the U.K. The two unveiled a
pledge not to increase taxes on gasoline, a promise they would pay for by
scrapping green spending on heat pumps and carbon capture technology.
And the Reform UK leader downplayed the impact of the war on oil and gas prices.
“If the Straits of Hormuz are cleared — I accept that’s an ‘if’ — oil will be
back into the low 80s [dollars per barrel],” predicted Farage at the event at
service station Derbyshire. But he was challenged by a local news reporter, who
noted that a third of people in the local area use heating oil to warm their
homes — and are already seeing prices rise.
The Labour government has, so far, been cautious not to attack Reform or the
Conservatives too fiercely for their initial stance on the war, wary of driving
a further wedge between Downing Street and the White House.
But they are seeking to portray themselves as the grown-ups in the room,
laser-focused on the cost of living. Energy Secretary Ed Miliband posted an
uncharacteristically sober video message to social media on Tuesday, seeking to
“reassure” voters that the “cost of living crisis remains our number one
priority — because its yours.”
Despite its own missteps over the Iran war, that’s a message Starmer’s
government will be desperate to land, as the conflict’s shockwaves continue to
hit Britain’s shores.
Noah Keate contributed to this report.
LONDON — The Palace of Westminster stands on the banks of the River Thames as a
proud symbol of British democracy.
But upon closer inspection, this neo-gothic mini-village, part of a UNESCO World
Heritage site, is falling apart.
Britain’s parliament has become an increasingly dangerous place to work for the
650 MPs, more than 800 members of the House of Lords, and thousands more staff
who use it.
The Restoration and Renewal (R&R) program, set up to deliver the long-delayed
overhaul of the palace, warns of serious risks from fire, flooding, crumbling
stonework and aging mechanical and electrical systems.
Parliament needs fixing — and in the coming weeks, MPs and peers are expected to
vote on what to do next.
But there’s little consensus on how to proceed. The fight over the future of the
site is now pitting politicians worried about spiraling costs against those who
think the need to act is growing more urgent by the day. As this week’s POLITICO
Westminster Insider podcast explores, fixing parliament is a story of seemingly
endless division and delay.
TWO OPTIONS, EYE-WATERING NUMBERS
The way forward, presented to MPs and peers by the R&R team, has been boiled
down to two stark options.
The first is the so-called “full decant.” This would involve moving MPs and
peers out of the palace to allow major works to be carried out. On current
estimates, it would take 19 to 24 years and cost up to £15.6 billion.
The second is an even slower, staged approach — catchily named “Enhanced
Maintenance and Improvement plus”(EMI+) — where only the House of Lords is moved
out, and works are done in phases while MPs’ parliamentary business continues on
the estate. But that could take 38 to 61 years and cost up to £39.2 billion, the
program’s figures suggest.
In the coming weeks, MPs and peers are expected to vote on whether to at least
green-light an initial seven-year package of preparatory works — a step that
keeps both longer-term options alive, with a final decision pushed into the next
decade.
One of the most prominent advocates of the faster approach is Marie Goldman, the
Liberal Democrat MP for Chelmsford. Goldman is a member of parliament’s
Restoration and Renewal Programme Board, a cross-party body that scrutinizes the
restoration team’s work.
For Goldman, the logic is blunt: if the work is going to happen at all, it is
safer and ultimately cheaper to do it without thousands of staff, MPs and
visitors continuing to use the building. “Trying to do those works with MPs and
everyone else in place… feels like an absolute nightmare,” she says.
The fight over the future of the site is now pitting politicians worried about
spiraling costs against those who think the need to act is growing more urgent
by the day. | Pool photo by Henry Nicholls via WPA/Getty Images
Goldman is adamant that MPs and peers find a solution and believes Britain’s
international reputation is at stake: “Nothing would say. Hey, look at the
demise of Britain than watching the Houses of Parliament crumble into the
Thames.”
The government has said it will allow MPs a free vote on the restoration plans.
Labour MP Mike Reader has followed the saga closely since his election in 2024.
He backs option two, EMI+.
Reader told POLITICO he has spoken directly with the consultants and contractors
working across the estate — and believes the restoration team has underestimated
the scale of the work needed, saying he fears “the discovery risk” of finding
new problems as the work progresses.
Reader says a longer-term approach would allow the restoration team greater
scope “to learn and improve over time.” His “biggest fear” is that a different
government decides to “stall and delay” the scheme or “require a complete
rethink.”
“Instability and uncertainty are the biggest risks to a program like this,” he
warns.
WASTING MONEY
The fiercest critics see the project as typical of Westminster’s habit of
wasting public money — and argue selling a multi-billion pound revamp will be
impossible in a country grappling with the rising cost of living.
Veteran Tory MP Edward Leigh, styled as the Father of the House for his long
service, is a long-standing skeptic who argues that parliament should focus
narrowly on essential safety upgrades rather than what he derides as
“gold-plating.” He believes plans to create a new visitors’ reception and steps
to reduce the building’s carbon footprint are “bells and whistles.”
“You don’t need all this, not when there’s an economic crisis. Our constituents
are going to be absolutely furious.”
Leigh wants what he describes as a “third option”: repealing parts of the
current legal framework that mandates the restoration “in one go” and repairing
the Palace in stages around MPs.
His concerns over the costs involved are shared by the Conservative Party’s top
brass. Leader Kemi Badenoch has raised “serious concerns about value for money.”
She has instructed her party to vote against the plans in any parliamentary
vote.
‘CATASTROPHE’
Academic and parliament restoration specialist Alexandra Meakin — who has
studied the project for years and previously worked in parliament — strongly
disagrees with the Conservative Party’s position.
Parliament needs fixing — and in the coming weeks, MPs and peers are expected to
vote on what to do next. | Andy Rain/EPA
“Desperately wanting there to be a third way or for it to not cost as much or
for the repairs not to be as essential doesn’t make it less true,” she warns.
Meakin adds: “Every review, every expert shows you cannot do this in any
cheaper, quicker or safer way than just moving out entirely.”
In her view, the core purpose of restoration is not gilding the palace — but
preventing a future in which the building becomes unusable because of a major
fire, flood or infrastructure failure.
She warns: “The catastrophe is coming. The Palace of Westminster will become
uninhabitable, whether it’s through fire, flood, or a failure of the essential
infrastructure. And at that point, MPs and peers will have to face up to the
fact that they have lost their own workplace, but they’ve also lost this iconic
building for the nation.”
LOOKING TO OTTAWA
The U.K. is not the only old democracy grappling with decaying, neo-Gothic
legislature buildings. Canada’s already moved its Commons chamber into a
temporary home (known as West Block) while major works on Ottawa’s Centre Block
proceed.
Nick Taylor-Vaisey is POLITICO’s Ottawa bureau chief. He told Westminster
Insider that Canada’s success was in part down to persuading hesitant MPs to
move out entirely.
The trick? Ensuring they were excited by their new alternative.
“The West Block Chamber is actually a former courtyard and there is a glass
ceiling on top, a novel, modern take on how you can build a legislature.”
Looking to the U.K., Taylor-Vaisey advised: “There is this chance to rethink
what it could be.”
Current plans in Westminster would likely involve MPs moving into Richmond House
on the Whitehall estate, while the Lords would move into the QEII conference
center.
So far neither seems to have captured the imagination.
When David stepped onto the battlefield, he did not oppose order. He opposed
imbalance. He did not reject authority. He rejected disproportionate power
concentrated in the hands of a giant.
Today, many European taxpayers feel cast in a comparable role.
Across the European Union, a growing number of citizens sense that the balance
between Brussels and the member states is shifting in ways that were neither
clearly articulated nor democratically legitimized. What was conceived as a
union of sovereign nations cooperating for peace and prosperity increasingly
resembles a polity acquiring its own fiscal architecture — one that reaches
directly into the pockets of Europeans.
The StopEUTaxes campaign was born from this concern. It is not anti-European. It
is not nostalgic. It is not isolationist. It is constitutional.
Via Taxpayers Europe
At the heart of the European project lies subsidiarity — the principle enshrined
in the Maastricht Treaty that decisions should be taken as closely as possible
to citizens. Taxation has always been among the most sovereign of competencies.
It reflects national political choices, social contracts and economic
priorities. It binds voters to governments through accountability.
The current debate over new EU ‘own resources’ challenges that settlement.
Since 2020, the European Union has entered new terrain. Joint borrowing under
the NextGenerationEU program marked an extraordinary response to extraordinary
circumstances. The pandemic demanded speed and scale. Member states agreed to
mutualized debt to stabilize the single market and avoid fragmentation.
But extraordinary measures risk becoming precedents.
To repay common debt, the European Commission has proposed expanding EU-level
revenue streams — carbon border adjustment mechanisms, digital levies, emissions
trading revenues and other instruments framed as technical necessities. From the
European Commission’s perspective, these are pragmatic tools to sustain shared
projects without increasing national contributions.
Yet the constitutional implications are far from technical.
Once the union acquires permanent fiscal instruments independent of national
treasuries, the nature of the EU changes. A supranational entity financed
directly at EU level no longer depends solely on member-state transfers. It
gains structural autonomy. Over time, fiscal capacity drives political capacity.
The question is not whether these specific levies are justified. The question is
whether Europeans have collectively decided to transform the union into
something closer to a federal fiscal authority.
That debate has not truly taken place.
Under President Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission has demonstrated
ambition and managerial resolve. The Green Deal, industrial policy initiatives,
capital markets integration, digital regulation and geopolitical positioning
have given Brussels a new assertiveness. In moments of crisis, this decisiveness
has reassured markets and partners alike.
But strength without clearly defined limits generates anxiety.
To critics, the cumulative effect of regulatory expansion, centralized borrowing
and proposals for permanent ‘own resources’ signals a steady rebalancing of
power toward the center. The European Union was never intended to become the
United States of Europe through incremental fiscal evolution. It was constructed
as a union of member states cooperating within defined competences.
Taxation is not merely a revenue mechanism. It is the foundation of democratic
accountability. National parliaments debate budgets, justify expenditures and
face voters. When fiscal authority migrates upward, accountability chains grow
longer and more opaque.
Supporters of EU-level taxation argue that shared challenges require shared
resources. Climate transition, defense coordination, industrial competitiveness
and geopolitical resilience demand investment beyond the scale of individual
member states. Fragmentation, they warn, would weaken Europe in a world of
continental powers.
There is merit in acknowledging those pressures. Yet, integration must follow
consent, not precede it.
The current trajectory risks creating fiscal facts before a political mandate is
secured. Joint debt was justified as temporary. ‘Own resources’ were presented
as targeted. Yet the logic of institutional development suggests permanence.
Once established, revenue streams rarely disappear.
This is where the David and Goliath metaphor resonates.
The giant is not a person. It is a system — a structure that grows by
incremental extension of competences. The David is not anti-European protest. It
is the taxpayer who expects clarity about who taxes, who spends and who is
accountable.
European integration has historically advanced through treaty change, ratified
by national parliaments. If the Union is to evolve into a fiscal entity with
autonomous revenue capacity, that evolution deserves explicit political
authorization. It should not occur through regulatory layering and budgetary
creativity.
President von der Leyen herself is no despot. She has navigated war, pandemic
recovery and economic disruption with discipline. But leadership in times of
crisis must also include restraint in times of normalization. The credibility of
the European project depends not only on effectiveness, but also on
constitutional integrity.
There is a broader economic dimension as well. Europe faces stagnating
productivity, deindustrialization pressures and rising budget deficits at
national level. Households are experiencing the lingering effects of inflation
and high energy costs. In such an environment, proposals for new EU-level
revenue instruments — however rationalized — risk deepening the perception of
distance between institutions and citizens.
Political legitimacy is not measured solely in treaty articles. It is measured
in trust.
If taxpayers conclude that Brussels acquires fiscal powers without transparent
consent, trust erodes. And when trust erodes, integration becomes fragile.
The StopEUTaxes campaign is therefore less about any single levy than about
drawing a constitutional line. It argues that the union should recommit to
subsidiarity — not as rhetoric, but as operational principle. Shared challenges
should be addressed through coordination, not quiet centralization. Fiscal
sovereignty should remain anchored in member states unless explicitly
transferred through democratic mandate.
Europe does not need confrontation between capitals and Brussels. It needs
clarity.
The union’s founding promise was cooperation among sovereign democracies, not
the gradual absorption of their core competences. If a federal fiscal Europe is
the destination, that case should be made openly to voters across all member
states.
Until then, prudence is not obstructionism. It is constitutional responsibility.
David’s victory was not about dismantling order. It was about restoring balance.
In today’s Europe, the call from taxpayers is similar: pause, reflect and ensure
that the architecture of integration remains anchored in democratic consent
rather than institutional momentum.
The future of Europe depends not only on ambition, but on proportionality. And
proportionality begins with recognizing that power — especially the power to tax
— must always be matched by clear and direct accountability.
That is not resistance to Europe. It is defense of the Europe that was promised.
Via Taxpayers Europe
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
POLITICAL ADVERTISEMENT
* The sponsor is Taxpayers Europe
* This political advertisement advocates for limiting the European Union’s
fiscal autonomy, opposing the expansion of EU “own resources,” and
reinforcing national control over taxation; by addressing joint borrowing
under NextGenerationEU, EU revenue instruments such as carbon border
mechanisms and digital levies, and the broader constitutional balance between
Brussels and member states, it seeks to influence policymakers and public
debate on EU fiscal governance and sovereignty, bringing it within the scope
of the TTPA.
More information here.