BRUSSELS — Cash-strapped Europeans are struggling to keep their homes cool as
the continent’s summers get hotter, a major new survey has found.
More than 38 percent of the 27,000 respondents to a continent-wide poll
published Wednesday said they couldn’t afford to keep their house cool enough in
the summer.
The problem was unevenly split down income lines: Only 9 percent of affluent
Europeans said they struggled with overheating homes, while 66 percent of people
experiencing financial difficulties reported being unable to afford adequate
cooling.
The survey, conducted by the European Environment Agency and the European
Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions, comes as the
European Commission drafts a plan for boosting the bloc’s resilience to climate
impacts such as heat and extreme weather. The proposal is expected toward the
end of the year.
Reacting to the findings, German Green MEP Jutta Paulus called for a “binding EU
law on adaptation to natural disasters” that “could set clear rules, assess
risks, and make strategies binding.” She added: “Only in this way can we ensure
safe living conditions, a stable economy, and a natural environment that
protects us.”
The report underscores how global warming disproportionately affects those who
have fewer resources to prepare.
Around half of respondents said they had installed shading or insulation in
their homes, and nearly a third said they had invested in air-conditioning or
ventilation. But while nearly 40 percent of well-off households invested in AC
or fans, just over 20 percent of cash-strapped Europeans did the same.
Accordingly, a larger share of low-income Europeans reported feeling too hot in
their home at least once over the last five years.
The divide is particularly stark between renters, which make up around a third
of the EU’s population, and homeowners: Nearly half of renters said they were
unable to afford to keep their home cool, compared to 29 percent of homeowners.
As a result, some 60 percent of tenants said they had felt too hot at home at
least once over the past five years, versus just over 40 percent of owners.
Beyond heat, the survey looked at flooding, wildfires, water scarcity, wind
damage and increasing insect bites. In total, 80 percent of respondents said
they had been affected by at least one of these impacts over the past five
years.
But heat waves, which are made more frequent, longer and hotter by climate
change, emerged as the top concern, with nearly half of respondents saying they
had felt too hot in their home and 60 percent saying they had felt too hot
outside.
Income and property ownership aren’t the only dividing lines, however.
Europeans in poor health — many of whom may be homebound — are also more likely
to be at risk from extreme heat, the polling found. More than half of people
describing themselves as being in poor health reported being unable to afford to
keep their homes cool, compared to just over a quarter of those who declared
themselves to be in good health.
Plus, Southern Europeans are far more vulnerable than those in northern Europe.
While just 8 percent of respondents across Europe said they had been affected by
wildfires, for example, that figure rose to 41 percent in Greece.
Anxiety over climate impacts is also far higher in southern countries: There,
twice as many respondents worry about worsening heat, fires and floods compared
to Northern Europeans.
Respondents in Central and Eastern Europe also reported high exposure to climate
impacts. The highest share of households unable to keep their homes cool in the
summer — 46 percent, compared to 37 percent in southern and western Europe and
30 percent in northern countries — was found in this region.
In general, the survey found Europeans to remain under-equipped to deal with
extreme weather emergencies. Just 13.5 percent of respondents said they have an
emergency kit at home, for example, and less than half have home insurance
covering extreme weather.
Tag - Energy and Climate UK
SHANGHAI — As Keir Starmer arrived for the first visit by a British prime
minister to China for eight years, he stood next to a TV game show-style wheel
of fortune.
The arrow pointed at “rise high,” next to “get rich immediately” and “everything
will go smoothly.” Not one option on the wheel was negative.
Sadly for the U.K. prime minister, reality does not match the wheel — but he
gave it a good go.
After an almost decade-long British chill toward China, Starmer reveled in three
hours of talks and lunch with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday, where he
called for a “more sophisticated” relationship and won effusive praise in
return. Britain boasted it had secured visa-free travel for British citizens to
China for up to 30 days and a cut in Chinese tariffs on Scotch whisky. Xi even
said the warming would help “world peace.”
His wins so far (many details of which remain vague) are only a tiny sliver of
the range of opportunities he claimed Chinese engagement could bring — and do
not even touch on the controversies, given Beijing’s record on aggressive trade
practices, human rights, espionage, cyber sabotage and transnational repression.
But the vibes on the ground are clear — Starmer is loving it, and wants to go
much further.
POLITICO picks out five takeaways from following the entourage.
1) THERE’S NO TURNING BACK NOW
Britain is now rolling inevitably toward greater engagement in a way that will
be hard to reverse.
Labour’s warming to China has been in train since the party was in opposition,
inspired by the U.S. Democrats and Australian Labor, and the lead-up to this
meeting took more than a year.
No. 10 has bought into China’s reliance on protocol and iterative engagement. Xi
is said to have been significantly warmer toward Starmer this week (their second
meeting) than the first time they met at the G20 in Rome. Officials say it takes
a long time to warm him up.
There is no doubt China’s readout of the meeting was deliberately friendlier to
Labour than the Conservatives. One person on the last leader-level visit to
China, by Conservative PM Theresa May in 2018, recalled that the meetings were
“intellectually grueling” because Xi used consecutive translation, speaking for
long periods before May could reply. This time officials say he used
simultaneous translation.
It will not end here — because Starmer can’t afford for it to. Many of the dozen
or so deals announced this week are only commitments to investigate options for
future cooperation, so Britain will need to now push them into reality, with an
array of dialogues planned in the future along with a visit by Foreign Secretary
Yvette Cooper.
As Business Secretary Peter Kyle told a Thursday night reception at the British
Embassy: “This trip is just the start.”
2) BRITAIN’S STILL ON THE EASY WINS
Deals on whisky tariffs and visa-free travel were top of the No. 10 list but —
as standalone wins without national security implications — they were the
lowest-hanging fruit.
The two sides agreed to explore whether to enter negotiations towards a
bilateral services agreement, which would make it easier for lawyers and
accountants to use their professional qualifications across the two countries.
In return, investment decisions in China were announced by firms including
AstraZeneca and Octopus Energy.
But many of the other deals are only the start of a dialogue. One U.K. official
called them “jam tomorrow deals.”
And Luke de Pulford, of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China campaign
group, argued that despite Britain having a slight trade surplus in services
“it’s tiny compared to the whole.” He added: “This trip to China seems to be
based upon the notion that China is part of the solution to our economic woes.
It’s not rooted in any evidence. China hasn’t done foreign direct investment in
any serious way since 2017. It’s dropped off a cliff.”
Then there are areas — particularly wind farms — where officials are more edgy
and which weren’t discussed by Starmer and Xi. One industry figure dismissed
concerns that China could install “kill switches” in key infrastructure —
shutting down a wind turbine would be the equivalent of a windless day — but
concerns are real.
A second U.K. official said Britain had effectively categorized areas of the
economy into three buckets — “slam dunks” to engage with China, “slam dunks” to
block China, and everything in between. “We’ve been really clear [with China]
about which sectors are accessible,” they said, which had helped smooth the
path.
Then there are the litany of non-trade areas where China will be reluctant to
engage: being challenged on Xi’s relationship with Russian President Vladimir
Putin, the treatment of the Uyghur people and democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai.
Britain is still awaiting approval of a major revamp of its embassy in Beijing,
which will be expensive with U.K. contractors, materials and tech, all
security-cleared, being brought in.
3) STARMER AND HIS TEAM WERE GENUINELY LOVING IT
After such a build-up and so much controversy, Starmer has … been having a great
time. The prime minister has struggled to peel the smile off his face and told
business delegates they were “making history.”
Privately, several people around him enthused about the novelty of it all (many
have never visited China and Starmer has not done so since before he went into
politics). One said they were looking forward to seeing how Xi operates: “He’s
very enigmatic.”
Briefing journalists in a small ante-room in the Forbidden City, Starmer
enthused about Xi’s love of football and Shakespeare. And talking to business
leaders, he repeated the president’s line about blind men finding an elephant:
“One touches the leg and thinks it’s a pillow, another feels the belly and
thinks it’s a wall. Too often this reflects how China is seen.”
So into the spirit was Starmer that he even ticked off Kyle for not bowing
deeply enough. At the signing ceremony for a string of business deals, Kyle had
seen his counterpart bend halfway to the floor — and responded with a polite nod
of the head.
The vibes were energetic. Britain’s new ambassador to Beijing, Peter Wilson,
flitted around ceaselessly and sat along from Starmer in seat 1E. The PM’s No.
10 business adviser, Varun Chandra, jumped from CEO to CEO at the British
embassy.
The whole delegation was on burner phones and laptops (even leaving Apple
Watches at home) but the security fears soon faded to the background for U.K.
officials. CEOs on the trip queued up to tell journalists that Starmer was
making the right choice. “We risk a technological gulf if we don’t engage,” said
one.
There is one problem. Carry on like this, and Starmer will struggle to maintain
his line that he is not re-entering a “golden era” — like the one
controversially pushed by the Tories under David Cameron in the early 2010s —
after all.
4) BUSINESS WAS EVERYTHING
The trip was a tale of two groups of CEOs. The creatives and arts bosses gave
the stardust and human connection that such a controversial visit needed — but
business investment was the meat.
In his opening speech Starmer name-checked three people: Business Secretary
Peter Kyle, City Minister Lucy Rigby and No. 10 business adviser Varun Chandra.
It even came through in the seating plan on the chartered British Airways plane,
with financial services CEOs in the pricey seats while creatives were in economy
— although this was because they were all paying their own way.
Everyone knew the bargain. One arts CEO confessed that, while their industry
made money too, they knew they were not the uppermost priority.
Starmer’s aides insist they are delighted with what they managed to bag from Xi
on Thursday, and believe it is at the top end of the expectations they had on
the way out.
But that will mean the focus back home on the final “big number” of investment
that No. 10 produces — and the questions about whether it is worth all the
political energy — are even more acute.
5) STARMER’S STILL WALKING A TIGHTROPE
British CEOs were taken to see a collection of priceless Ming vases. It was a
good metaphor.
Starmer and the No. 10 operation were more reticent even than usual on Thursday,
refusing to give on-the-record comment about several basic details of what he
raised in his meeting with Xi. Journalists were told that he raised the case of
democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai, but not whether he called directly for his
release. The readout of the meeting from Communist China was more extensive (and
poetic) than that from No. 10.
Likewise, journalists were given no advance heads-up of deals on tariffs and
visas, even in the few hours between the bilateral and the announcements, while
the details and protocol were nailed down.
There was good reason for the reticence. Not only was Starmer cautious not to
offend his hosts; he also did not want to enrage U.S. President Donald Trump,
who threatened Canada with new tariffs after PM Mark Carney’s visit to Beijing
this month.
Even with No. 10 briefing the U.S. on the trip’s objectives beforehand, and
Starmer giving a pre-flight interview saying he wouldn’t choose between Xi and
Trump, the president called Britain’s engagement “very dangerous” on Friday.
And then there’s the EU. The longer Trump’s provocations go on, the more some of
Starmer’s more Europhile allies will want him to side not with the U.S. or
China, but Brussels.
“There’s this huge blind spot in the middle of Europe,” complained one European
diplomat. “The U.K. had the advantage of being the Trump whisperer, but that’s
gone now.”
Starmer leaves China hoping he can whisper to Trump, Xi and Ursula von der Leyen
all at the same time.
LONDON — It’s a far cry from the ice age of U.K.-China relations that
characterized Rishi Sunak’s leadership — and it’s not exactly David Cameron’s
“golden era,” either.
As U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer embarks on his Chinese charm offensive
against a turbulent economic backdrop, he has opted for a softly-softly approach
in a bid to warm up one of Britain’s most important trading partners — a marked
departure from his Tory predecessors.
With the specter of U.S. President Donald Trump looming over the visit — not to
mention national security concerns back home — Starmer’s cautious optimism is
hardly surprising.
Despite reservations from China skeptics, Starmer’s trip — the first such visit
by a British prime minister since 2018 — was peppered with warm words and a
smattering of deals, some more consequential than others.
Britain’s haul from the trip may be modest, but it’s just the beginning,
Business and Trade Secretary Peter Kyle — who joined Starmer on the trip — told
a traveling pack of reporters in Beijing.
“This visit is a springboard,” the minister said. “This is not the last moment,
it is a springboard into a future with far more action to come.”
STEP-BY-STEP
On the ground in Beijing, British officials gave the impression that the prime
minister was focused on getting as many uncontroversial wins over the line as
possible, in a bid to thaw relations with China.
That’s not to say Starmer and his team don’t have a few tangible wins to write
home about. Headline announcements include a commitment from China to allow
visa-free travel for British tourists and business travelers, enabling visits of
up to 30 days without the need for documents.
The provisions are similar to those extended to 50 other countries including
France, Germany, Italy, Australia and Japan. The timings of the visa change have
not yet been set out publicly, but one official — who, like others cited in this
piece, was granted anonymity to speak freely — said they were aiming to get it
nailed down in coming months.
“From a business standpoint, it will reduce a lot of friction,” said a British
business representative, adding it will make it easier for U.K. firms to explore
opportunities and form partnerships. “China is very complicated. You have to be
on the ground to really assess opportunities,” they said, adding visa-free
travel “will make things a lot easier.”
The commitment to visa-free travel forms part of a wider services package aimed
at driving collaboration for businesses in healthcare, financial and
professional services, legal services, education and skills — areas where
British firms often face regulatory or administrative hurdles.
The countries have also agreed to conduct a “feasibility study” to explore
whether to enter negotiations towards a bilateral services agreement. If it goes
ahead, this would establish clear and legally binding rules for U.K. firms doing
business in China. Once again, the timeframe is vague.
David Taylor, head of policy at the Asia House think tank in London, said “Xi’s
language has been warmer and more expansive, signaling interest in stabilizing
the relationship, but the substance on offer so far remains tightly defined.”
“Beyond the immediate announcements, progress — particularly on services and
professional access — will be harder and slower if it happens at all,” he added.
WHISKY TARIFF RELIEF
Another victory talked up by the British government is a plan for China to slash
Scotch whisky tariffs by half, from 10 percent to 5 percent.
However, some may question the scale of the commitment, which effectively
restores the rate that was in place one year ago, ahead of a doubling of the
rate for whisky and brandy in February 2025.
The two sides have not yet set out a timeframe for the reduction of tariffs.
Speaking to POLITICO ahead of Starmer’s trip, a senior business representative
said the whisky and brandy issue had become “China leverage” in talks leading up
to the visit. However, they argued that even a removal of the tariff was “not
going to solve the main issue for British whisky companies in China and
everywhere, which is that people aren’t buying and drinking whisky.”
CHINA INVESTMENT WIN
Meanwhile, China can boast a significant win in the form of a $15 billion
investment in medicines manufacturing and research and development from British
pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca.
ING Bank’s global healthcare lead Stephen Farelly said that increasing
investment into China “makes good business sense,” given the country is “now
becoming a force in biopharma.” However, it “does shine a light on the isolation
of Europe and the U.K. more generally, where there is a structural decline in
investment and R&D.”
AstraZeneca recently paused a £200 million investment at a Cambridge research
site in September last year, which was due to create 1,000 jobs.
Britain recently increased the amount the NHS pays for branded, pharmaceutical
drugs, following heavy industry lobbying and following trade negotiations with
the Trump administration — all in the hopes of attracting new investment into
the struggling sector.
Shadow Trade Secretary Andrew Griffith was blunt in his assessment.
“AstraZeneca’s a great British company but under this government it’s investing
everywhere in the world other than its U.K. home. When we are losing investment
to communist China, alarm bells should be ringing in No 10 Downing Street.”
Conspicuously absent from Starmer’s haul was any mention of net zero
infrastructure imports, like solar panels, a reflection of rising concerns about
China’s grip on Britain’s critical infrastructure.
XI RETURNS
So what next? As Starmer prepares to fly back home, attention has already turned
to his next encounter with the Chinese leader.
On Thursday, Britain opened the door to an inward visit by Xi Jinping, with
Downing Street repeatedly declining to rule out the prospect of welcoming him in
future.
Asked about the prospect of an inward visit — which would be the first for 11
years — Starmer’s official spokesperson told reporters: “I think the prime
minister has been clear that a reset relationship with China, that it’s no
longer in an ice age, is beneficial to British people and British business.”
As Starmer’s trip draws to a close, one thing is certain: there is more to come.
“This isn’t a question of a one-and-done summit with China,” Starmer’s
spokesperson added. “It is a resetting of a relationship that has been on ice
for eight years.”
BEIJING — Britain on Thursday opened the door to an inward visit by Xi Jinping
after the Chinese president hailed a thawing of relations between the two
nations.
Downing Street repeatedly declined to rule out the prospect of welcoming Xi in
future after saying that Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s current visit to China
would not be a “one-and-done summit.”
Asked about the prospect of an inward visit — which would be the first for 11
years — Starmer’s official spokesperson told reporters: “I think the prime
minister has been clear that a reset relationship with China, that it’s no
longer in an ice age, is beneficial to British people and British business.
“I’m not going to get ahead of future engagements. We’ll set those out in the
normal way.”
Xi paid a full state visit to the U.K. in 2015 and visited a traditional pub
with then-Prime Minister David Cameron, during what is now seen as a “golden
era” of British-Chinese relations. Critics of China’s stance on human rights and
espionage see the trip as one of the worst foreign policy misjudgments of the
Cameron era.
Kemi Badenoch, leader of the opposition Conservative Party, said: “We should not
roll out the red carpet for a state that conducts daily espionage in our
country, flouts international trading rules and aids Putin in his senseless war
on Ukraine. We need a dialogue with China, we do not need to kowtow to them.”
Any state visit invitation would be in the name of King Charles III and be
issued by Buckingham Palace. There is no suggestion that a full state visit is
being considered at present.
Xi did not leave mainland China for more than two years during the Covid-19
pandemic.
Starmer and Xi met Thursday in Beijing’s Great Hall of the People and the two
nations agreed to look at the “feasibility” of a partnership in the services
sector.
Britain said it had signed an agreement for China to waive visa rules for
British citizens visiting for less than 30 days for business or tourism,
bringing the U.K. into line with nations including France, Germany, Italy,
Australia and Japan.
The two nations also promised to co-operate on conformity assessments, exports,
sports, tackling organized crime, vocational training and food safety, though
further details were not immediately available. Starmer also hailed “really good
progress” on lowering Chinese whisky tariffs.
One official familiar with the talks stressed that Starmer had also raised more
difficult issues including the ongoing detention of British-Hong Kong democracy
campaigner Jimmy Lai, and China’s position on the war in Ukraine — but declined
to be drawn on the specifics of the pair’s conversation.
The talks steered clear of more difficult topics such as wind farm technology,
where critics fear co-operation would leave Britain vulnerable to Chinese
influence.
Asked if Starmer had come back empty handed, his spokesperson said: “I don’t
accept that at all. I think this is a historic trip where you’ve seen for the
first time in eight years a PM set foot on Chinese soil, have a meeting at the
highest level with the president of the second largest economy in the world.
“You should also note that this isn’t a question of a one-and-done summit with
China. It is a resetting of a relationship that has been on ice for eight
years.”
The U.K. and China have announced a new services partnership to support British
businesses operating in China, including through visa-free travel for short
stays.
The partnership will see Beijing relax its visa rules for British citizens,
adding the U.K. to its visa-free list of countries. This will enable visits of
up to 30 days for business and tourism without the need for a visa. The timings
of the visa change have not yet been set out.
The partnership focuses on better collaboration for businesses in healthcare,
financial and professional services, legal services, education and skills —
areas where British firms often face regulatory or administrative hurdles.
Britain and China have also agreed to conduct a “feasibility study” to explore
whether to enter negotiations towards a bilateral services agreement. If it
proceeds, this would establish clear and legally binding rules for U.K. firms
doing business in China.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer said: “As one of the world’s economic powerhouses,
businesses have been crying out for ways to grow their footprints in China.
“We’ll make it easier for them to do so – including via relaxed visa rules for
short-term travel — supporting them to expand abroad, all while boosting growth
and jobs at home.”
The U.K. and China have also signed pacts covering co-operation on conformity
assessments for exports from the U.K. to China, food safety, animal, and plant
quarantine health and the work the UK-China Joint Economic and Trade Commission.
The two sides aren’t planning to publish the full texts of the pacts.
BEIJING — U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has hailed “really good progress” on
Chinese whisky tariffs and visa-free travel after a lengthy meeting with Chinese
President Xi Jinping.
Starmer dubbed the one hour and 20 minute sit-down with Xi as “a very good
productive session with real, concrete outcomes, [which was] a real
strengthening of the relationship.”
Speaking to reporters after the meeting, he said: “We made some really good
progress on tariffs for whisky, on visa free travel to China and on information
exchange.”
The news will be welcomed by Scotch whisky exporters, who have been squeezed by
U.S. President Donald Trump’s 10 percent baseline tariffs on imported U.K.
goods.
Currently, Scotch whisky exports face 10 percent duties in China, after the
country doubled its import tariffs on brandy and whisky in February 2025,
removing its provisional 5 percent rate.
Exports to China fell by 31 percent last year, sliding from China’s
fifth-largest export market to its tenth.
“We’ve agreed that on tariffs for whisky, we’re looking at how they’re to be
reduced, what the timeframe is,” said Starmer.
The two sides also made progress on visa-free travel to China for short stays —
which would allow British citizens to visit for tourism, business conferences,
family visits, and short exchange activities without requiring a visa.
Britain is currently not among the European countries granted visa-free access
to China, a list that includes France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland.
Starmer said the two sides are now looking at “how far, how much, and when that
can start.”
China issued its own readout via state news agency Xinhua, where it discussed
expanded cooperation in “education, healthcare, finance, and services, and
conduct joint research and industrial transformation in fields such as
artificial intelligence, bioscience, new energy, and low-carbon technologies to
achieve common development and prosperity.”
The Chinese statement said both sides should “strengthen people-to-people
exchanges and further facilitate personnel exchanges,” adding that China “is
willing to actively consider implementing unilateral visa-free entry for the
U.K.”
Starmer and Chinese Premier Li Qiang are due to sign memorandums of
understanding covering cooperation in a number of areas at a signing ceremony on
Thursday morning U.K. time.
Starmer and Li will also sign a border security pact to enlist Beijing’s help in
choking off the supply of small boat engines and equipment used by criminal
gangs to facilitate Channel crossings
POLITICO first reported earlier this month that the U.K. was pushing to secure
visa-free travel and lower whisky tariffs.
This developing story is being updated.
LONDON — U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer is braced for a meeting with Chinese
leader Xi Jinping — and there’ll be more than a few elephants in the room.
Though Britain has improved its relationship with China following the more
combative approach of previous Conservative administrations, a litany of
concerns over national security and human rights continues to dog Labour’s
attempted refresh.
Starmer, who will meet the Chinese president in Beijing Thursday morning, told
reporters engaging with China means he can discuss “issues where we disagree.”
“You know that in the past, on all the trips I’ve done, I’ve always raised
issues that need to be raised,” he said during a huddle with journalists on the
British Airways flight to China on Tuesday evening.
In a sign of how hard it can be to engage on more tricky subjects, Chinese
officials bundled the British press out of the room when Starmer tried to bring
up undesirable topics the last time the pair met.
From hacking and spying to China’s foreign policy aims, POLITICO has a handy
guide to all the ways Starmer could rile up the Chinese president.
1) STATE-SPONSORED HACKING
China is one of the biggest offenders in cyberspace and is regarded by the
U.K.’s National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) — part of Britain’s GCHQ
intelligence agency — as a “highly sophisticated threat actor.” The Electoral
Commission said it has taken three years to recover from a Chinese hack of its
systems.
The Chinese state, and private companies linked directly or obliquely to its
cyber and espionage agencies, have been directly accused by the British
government, its intelligence agencies and allies. As recently as last month, the
U.K. government sanctioned two Chinese companies — both named by the U.S. as
linked to Chinese intelligence — for hacking Britain and its allies.
2) ACTIONS AGAINST BRITISH PARLIAMENTARIANS
Politicians in Britain who have spoken out against Chinese human rights abuses
and hostile activity have been censured by Beijing in recent years. This
includes the sanctioning of 5 British MPs in 2021, including the former security
minister Tom Tugendhat, who has been banned from entering the country.
Last year, Liberal Democrat MP Wera Hobhouse was refused entry to Hong Kong
while attempting to visit her grandson, and was turned back by officials. The
government said that the case was raised with Chinese authorities during a visit
to China by Douglas Alexander, who was trade minister at the time.
3) JIMMY LAI
In 2020, the British-Hong Kong businessman and democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai
was arrested under national security laws imposed by Beijing and accused of
colluding with a foreign state. Lai — who is in his late 70s — has remained in
prison ever since.
Last month, a Hong Kong court convicted Lai of three offenses following what his
supporters decried as a 156-day show trial. He is currently awaiting the final
decisions relating to sentencing — with bodies including the EU parliament
warning that a life imprisonment could have severe consequences for Europe’s
relationship with China if he is not released. Lai’s son last year called for
the U.K. government to make his father’s release a precondition of closer
relations with Beijing.
4) REPRESSION OF DISSIDENTS
China, like Iran, is involved in the active monitoring and intimidation of those
it considers dissidents on foreign soil — known as trans-national repression.
China and Hong Kong law enforcement agencies have repeatedly issued arrest
warrants for nationals living in Britain and other Western countries.
British police in 2022 were forced to investigate an assault on a protester
outside the Chinese consulate in Manchester. The man was beaten by several men
after being dragged inside the grounds of the diplomatic building during a
demonstration against Xi Jinping. China removed six officials from Britain
before they could be questioned.
5) CHINESE SPY SCANDALS
Westminster was last year rocked by a major Chinese spying scandal involving two
British men accused of monitoring British parliamentarians and passing
information back to Beijing. Though the case against the two men collapsed, the
MI5 intelligence agency still issued an alert to MPs, peers and their staff,
warning Chinese intelligence officers were “attempting to recruit people with
access to sensitive information about the British state.”
It is not the only China spy allegation to embroil the upper echelons of British
society. Yang Tengbo, who in 2024 outed himself as an alleged spy banned from
entering the U.K., was a business associate of Andrew Windsor , the` disgraced
brother of King Charles. Christine Lee, a lawyer who donated hundreds of
thousands of pounds to a Labour MP, was the subject of a security alert from
British intelligence.
In October, Ken McCallum, the head of MI5, said that his officers had
“intervened operationally” against China that month.
6) EMBASSY DING DONG
This month — after a protracted political and planning battle — the government
approved the construction of a Chinese “super-embassy” in London. This came
after a litany of security concerns were raised by MPs and in the media,
including the building’s proximity to sensitive cables, which it is alleged
could be used to aid Chinese spying.
Britain has its own embassy headache in China. Attempts to upgrade the U.K.
mission in Beijing were reportedly blocked while China’s own London embassy plan
was in limbo.
7) SANCTIONS EVASION
China has long been accused of helping facilitate sanctions evasion for
countries such as Russia and Iran. Opaque customs and trade arrangements have
allegedly allowed prohibited shipments of oil and dual-use technology to flow
into countries that are sanctioned by Britain and its allies.
Britain has already sanctioned some Chinese companies accused of aiding Russia’s
war in Ukraine. China has called for Britain to stop making “groundless
accusations” about its involvement in Russia’s war efforts.
8) HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES AND GREEN ENERGY
U.K. ministers are under pressure from MPs and human rights organizations to get
tougher on China over reported human rights abuses in the country’s Xinjiang
region — where many of the world’s solar components are sourced.
In a meeting with China’s Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang last March, Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband raised the issue of forced labor in supply chains,
according to a government readout of the meeting. But he also stressed the need
for deeper collaboration with China as the U.K.’s lofty clean power goal looms.
British academic Laura Murphy — who was researching the risk of forced labor in
supply chains — had her work halted by Sheffield Hallam University amid claims
of pressure from China. “I know that there are other researchers who don’t feel
safe speaking out in public, who are experiencing similar things, although often
more subtly,” Murphy said last year.
9) THE FUTURE OF TAIWAN
China continues to assert that “Taiwan is a province of China” amid reports it
is stepping up preparations for military intervention in the region.
In October, the Telegraph newspaper published an op-ed from the Chinese
ambassador to Britain, which said: “Taiwan has never been a country. There is
but one China, and both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one and the same
China.”
In a sign of just how sensitive the matter is, Beijing officials reportedly
threatened to cancel high-level trade talks between China and the U.K. after
Alexander, then a trade minister, travelled to Taipei last June.
10) CHINA POOTLING AROUND THE ARCTIC
Britain is pushing for greater European and NATO involvement in the Arctic amid
concern that both China and Russia are becoming more active in the strategically
important area. There is even more pressure to act, with U.S. President Donald
Trump making clear his Greenland aspirations.
In October, a Chinese container ship completed a pioneering journey through the
Arctic to a U.K. port — halving the usual time it takes to transport electric
cars and solar panels destined for Europe.
ABOARD THE PRIME MINISTER’S PLANE TO BEIJING — Keir Starmer rejected his
Canadian counterpart’s call for mid-sized countries to band together in the face
of unpredictable global powers — and insisted his “common sense” British
approach will do just fine.
The British prime minister arrives in China Wednesday for a trip aimed at
rebooting the U.K.’s relationship with the Asian superpower. He’s the latest
Western leader to make the visit — which will include a meeting with Chinese
President Xi Jinping — after trips by Carney and France’s Emmanuel Macron.
Carney used a searing speech at the World Economic Forum last week to warn of
the “rupture” caused by “great powers” acting in their own self-interest. While
he did not namecheck Donald Trump’s administration, the speech riled the U.S.
president, who insisted: “Canada lives because of the United States.”
The Canadian PM had called for middle powers to work together to “build
something bigger, better, stronger, more just.”
Starmer was pressed on those remarks on board his flight to China Tuesday. Asked
whether he agreed that the old global order is dead — and whether smaller powers
need to team up to push back at the U.S. and China, Starmer defended his own
policy of trying to build bridges with Trump, Xi and the European Union all at
once.
“I’m a pragmatist, a British pragmatist applying common sense, and therefore I’m
pleased that we have a good relationship with the U.S. on defense, security,
intelligence and on trade and prosperity,” he says. “It’s very important that we
maintain that good relationship.”
He added: “Equally, we are moving forward with a better relationship with the
EU. We had a very good summit last year with 10 strands of agreement.
“We’ll have another summit this year with the EU, which I hope will be
iterative, as well as following through on what we’ve already agreed.
“And I’ve consistently said I’m not choosing between the U.S. and Europe. I’m
really glad that the UK has got good relations with both.”
Starmer’s government — which faces pressure from opposition parties back home as
it re-engages with China — has stressed that it wants to cooperate, compete with
and challenge Beijing when necessary, as it bids to build economic ties to aid
the sputtering U.K. economy.
“Obviously, China is the second biggest economy in the world, one of our biggest
trading partners,” the British PM — who is flying with an entourage of British
CEOs and business reps — said Tuesday. “And under the last government, we veered
from the golden age to the ice age. And what I want to do is follow through on
the approach I’ve set out a number of times now … which is a comprehensive and
consistent approach to China.
“I do think there are opportunities, but obviously we will never compromise
national security in taking those opportunities.”
LONDON — Keir Starmer is off to China to try to lock in some economic wins he
can shout about back home. But some of the trickiest trade issues are already
being placed firmly in the “too difficult” box.
The U.K.’s trade ministry quietly dispatched several delegations to Beijing over
the fall to hash out deals with the Chinese commerce ministry and lay the
groundwork for the British prime minister’s visit, which gets going in earnest
Wednesday.
But the visit comes as Britain faces growing pressure from its Western allies to
combat Chinese industrial overproduction — and just weeks after Starmer handed
his trade chief new powers to move faster in imposing tariffs on cheap,
subsidized imports from countries like China.
For now, then, the aim is to secure progress in areas that are seen as less
sensitive.
Starmer’s delegation of CEOs and chairs will split their time between Beijing
and Shanghai, with executives representing City giants and high-profile British
brands including HSBC, Standard Chartered, Schroders, and the London Stock
Exchange Group, alongside AstraZeneca, Jaguar Land Rover, Octopus Energy, and
Brompton filling out the cast list. Starmer will be flanked on his visit by
Trade Secretary Peter Kyle and City Minister Lucy Rigby.
Despite the weighty delegation, ministers insist the approach is deliberately
narrow.
“We have a very clear-eyed approach when it comes to China,” Security Minister
Dan Jarvis said Monday. “Where it is in our national interest to cooperate and
work closely with [China], then we will do so. But when it’s our national
security interest to safeguard against the threats that [they] pose, we will
absolutely do that.”
Starmer’s wishlist will be carefully calibrated not to rock the boat. Drumming
up Chinese cash for heavy energy infrastructure, including sensitive wind
turbine technology, is off the table.
Instead, the U.K. has been pushing for lower whisky tariffs, improved market
access for services firms, recognition of professional qualifications, banking
and insurance licences for British companies operating in China, easier
cross-border investment, and visa-free travel for short stays.
With China fiercely protective of its domestic market, some of those asks will
be easier said than done. Here’s POLITICO’s pro guide to where it could get
bumpy.
CHAMPIONING THE CITY OF LONDON
Britain’s share of China’s services market was a modest 2.7 percent in 2024 —
and U.K. firms are itching for more work in the country.
British officials have been pushing for recognition of professional
qualifications for accountants, designers and architects — which would allow
professionals to practice in China without re-licensing locally — and visa-free
travel for short stays.
Vocational accreditation is a “long-standing issue” in the bilateral
relationship, with “little movement” so far on persuading Beijing to recognize
U.K. professional credentials as equivalent to its own, according to a senior
industry representative familiar with the talks, who, like others in this
report, was granted anonymity to speak freely.
But while the U.K.’s allies in the European Union and the U.S. have imposed
tariffs on Chinese EVs, the U.K. has resisted pressure to do so. | Jessica
Lee/EPA
Britain is one of the few developed countries still missing from China’s
visa-free list, which now includes France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the
Netherlands, Switzerland, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia
and Sweden.
Starmer is hoping to mirror a deal struck by Canadian PM Mark Carney, whose own
China visit unlocked visa-free travel for Canadians.
The hope is that easier business travel will reduce friction and make it easier
for people to travel and explore opportunities on the ground — it would allow
visa-free travel for British citizens, giving them the ability to travel for
tourism, attend business conferences, visit friends and family, and participate
in short exchange activities.
SMOOTHING FINANCIAL FLOWS
The Financial Conduct Authority’s Chair Ashley Alder is also flying out to
Beijing, hoping to secure closer alignment between the two countries’ capital
markets. He’ll represent Britain’s financial watchdog at the inaugural U.K-China
Financial Working Group in Beijing — and bang the drum for better market
connectivity between the U.K. and China.
Expect emphasis on the cross-border investments mechanism known as the
Shanghai-London and Shenzhen-London Stock Connect, plus data sovereignty issues
associated with Chinese companies jointly listing on the London Stock Exchange,
two figures familiar with the planning said.
The Stock Connect opened up both markets to investors in 2019 which, according
to FCA Chair Ashley Alder, led to listings worth almost $6 billion.
“Technical obstacles have so far prevented us from realizing Stock Connect’s
full potential,” Alder said in a speech last year. Alder pointed to a memorandum
of understanding being drawn up between the FCA and China’s National Financial
Regulatory Administration, which he said is “critical” to allow information to
be shared quickly and for firms to be supervised across borders. But that raises
its own concerns about Chinese use of data.
“The goods wins are easier,” said a senior British business representative
briefed on the talks. “Some of the service ones are more difficult.”
TAPPING INTO CHINA’S BIOTECH BOOM
Pharma executives, including AstraZeneca’s CEO Pascal Soriot, are among those
heading to China, as Britain tries to burnish its credentials as a global life
sciences hub — and attract foreign direct investment.
China, once known mainly for generics — cheaper versions of branded medicine
that deliver the same treatment — has rapidly emerged as a pharma powerhouse.
According to ING Bank’s global healthcare lead, Stephen Farrelly, the country
has “effectively replaced Europe” as a center of innovation.
ING data shows China’s share of global innovative drug approvals jumped from
just 4 percent in 2014 to 27 percent in 2024.
Pharma executives, including AstraZeneca’s CEO Pascal Soriot, are among those
heading to China, as Britain tries to burnish its credentials as a global life
sciences hub — and attract foreign direct investment. | John G. Mabanglo/EPA
Several blockbuster drug patents are set to expire in the coming years, opening
the door for cheaper generic competitors. To refill thinning pipelines,
drugmakers are increasingly turning to biotech companies. British pharma giant
GSK signed a licensing deal with Chinese biotech firm Hengrui Pharma last July.
“Because of the increasing relevance of China, the big pharma industry and the
U.K. by definition is now looking to China as a source of those new innovative
therapies,” Farrelly said.
There are already signs of progress. Science Minister Patrick Vallance said late
last year that the U.K. and China are ready to work together in
“uncontroversial” areas, including health, after talks with his Chinese
counterpart. AstraZeneca, the University of Cambridge and Beijing municipal
parties have already signed a partnership to share expertise.
And earlier this year, the U.K. announced plans to become a “global first choice
for clinical trials.”
“The U.K. can really help China with the trust gap” when it comes to getting
drugs onto the market, said Quin Wills, CEO of Ochre, a biotech company
operating in New York, Oxford and Taiwan. “The U.K. could become a global gold
stamp for China. We could be like a regulatory bridgehead where [healthcare
regulator] MHRA, now separate from the EU since Brexit, can do its own thing and
can maybe offer a 150-day streamlined clinical approval process for China as
part of a broader agreement.”
SLASHING WHISKY TARIFFS
The U.K. has also been pushing for lowered tariffs on whisky alongside wider
agri-food market access, according to two of the industry figures familiar with
the planning cited earlier.
Talks at the end of 2024 between then-Trade Secretary Jonathan Reynolds and his
Chinese counterpart ended Covid-era restrictions on exports, reopening pork
market access.
But in February 2025 China doubled its import tariffs on brandy and whisky,
removing its provisional 5 percent tariff and applying the 10 percent
most-favored-nation rate.
“The whisky and brandy issue became China leverage,” said the senior British
business representative briefed on the talks. “I think that they’re probably
going to get rid of the tariff.”
It’s not yet clear how China would lower whisky tariffs without breaching World
Trade Organization rules, which say it would have to lower its tariffs to all
other countries too.
INDUSTRIAL TENSIONS
The trip comes as the U.K. faces growing international pressure to take a
tougher line on Chinese industrial overproduction, particularly of steel and
electric cars.
But in February 2025 China doubled its import tariffs on brandy and whisky,
removing its provisional 5 percent tariff and applying the 10 percent
most-favored-nation rate. | Yonhap/EPA
But while the U.K.’s allies in the European Union and the U.S. have imposed
tariffs on Chinese EVs, the U.K. has resisted pressure to do so.
There’s a deal “in the works” between Chinese EV maker and Jaguar Land Rover,
said the senior British business representative briefed on the talks quoted
higher, where the two are “looking for a big investment announcement. But
nothing has been agreed.” The deal would see the Chinese EV maker use JLR’s
factory in the U.K. to build cars in Britain, the FT reported last week.
“Chinese companies are increasingly focused on localising their operations,”
said another business representative familiar with the talks, noting Chinese EV
makers are “realising that just flaunting their products overseas won’t be a
sustainable long term model.”
It’s unlikely Starmer will land a deal on heavy energy infrastructure, including
wind turbine technology, that could leave Britain vulnerable to China. The U.K.
has still not decided whether to let Ming Yang, a Chinese firm, invest £1.5
billion in a wind farm off the coast of Scotland.
LONDON — Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney left Beijing and promptly declared
the U.S.-led “world order” broken. Don’t expect his British counterpart to do
the same.
Keir Starmer will land in the Chinese capital Wednesday for the first visit by a
U.K. prime minister since 2018. By meeting President Xi Jinping, he will end
what he has called an “ice age” under the previous Conservative administration,
and try to win deals that he can sell to voters as a boost to Britain’s
sputtering economy.
Starmer is one of a queue of leaders flocking to the world’s second-largest
economy, including France’s Emmanuel Macron in December and Germany’s Friedrich
Merz next month. Like Carney did in Davos last week, the British PM has warned
the world is the most unstable it has been for a generation.
Yet unlike Carney, Starmer is desperate not to paint this as a rupture from the
U.S. — and to avoid the criticism Trump unleashed on Carney in recent days over
his dealings with China. The U.K. PM is trying to ride three horses at once,
staying friendly — or at least engaging — with Washington D.C., Brussels and
Beijing.
It is his “three-body problem,” joked a senior Westminster figure who has long
worked on British-China relations.
POLITICO spoke to 22 current and former officials, MPs, diplomats, industry
figures and China experts, most of whom were granted anonymity to speak frankly.
They painted a picture of a leader walking the same tightrope he always has
surrounded by grim choices — from tricky post-Brexit negotiations with the EU,
to Donald Trump taking potshots at British policies and freezing talks on a
U.K.-U.S. tech deal.
Starmer wants his (long-planned) visit to China to secure growth, but be
cautious enough not to compromise national security or enrage Trump. He appears
neither to have ramped up engagement with Beijing in response to Trump, nor
reduced it amid criticism of China’s espionage and human rights record.
In short, he doesn’t want any drama.
“Starmer is more managerial. He wants to keep the U.K.’s relationships with big
powers steady,” said one person familiar with planning for the trip. “You can’t
really imagine him doing a Carney or a Macron and using the trip to set out a
big geopolitical vision.”
An official in 10 Downing Street added: “He’s clear that it is in the U.K.’s
interests to have a relationship with the world’s second biggest economy. While
the U.S. is our closest ally, he rejects the suggestion that means you can’t
have pragmatic dealings with China.”
He will be hoping Trump — whose own China visit is planned for April — sees it
that way too.
BRING OUT THE CAVALRY
Starmer has one word in his mind for this trip — growth, which was just 0.1
percent in the three months to September.
The prime minister will be flanked by executives from City giants HSBC, Standard
Chartered, Schroders and the London Stock Exchange Group; pharmaceutical company
AstraZeneca; car manufacturer Jaguar Land Rover; energy provider Octopus; and
Brompton, the folding bicycle manufacturer.
The priority in Downing Street will be bringing back “a sellable headline,” said
the person familiar with trip planning quoted above. The economy is the
overwhelming focus. While officials discussed trying to secure a political win,
such as China lifting sanctions it imposed on British parliamentarians in 2021,
one U.K. official said they now believe this to be unlikely.
Between them, five people familiar with the trip’s planning predicted a large
number of deals, dialogues and memorandums of understanding — but largely in
areas with the fewest national security concerns.
These are likely to include joint work on medical, health and life sciences,
cooperation on climate science, and work to highlight Mandarin language schemes,
the people said.
Officials are also working on the mutual recognition of professional
qualifications and visa-free travel for short stays, while firms have been
pushing for more expansive banking and insurance licences for British companies
operating in China. The U.K. is meanwhile likely to try to persuade Beijing to
lower import tariffs on Scotch whisky, which doubled in February 2025.
A former U.K. official who was involved in Britain’s last prime ministerial
visit to China, by Theresa May in 2018, predicted all deals will already be
“either 100 or 99 percent agreed, in the system, and No. 10 will already have a
firm number in its head that it can announce.”
THREADING THE NEEDLE
Yet all five people agreed there is unlikely to be a deal on heavy energy
infrastructure, including wind turbine technology, that could leave Britain
vulnerable to China. The U.K. has still not decided whether to let Ming Yang, a
Chinese firm, invest £1.5 billion in a wind farm off the coast of Scotland.
And while Carney agreed to ease tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs),
three of the five people familiar with the trip’s planning said that any deep
co-operation on EV technology is likely to be off the table. One of them
predicted: “This won’t be another Canada moment. I don’t see us opening the
floodgates on EVs.”
Britain is trying to stick to “amber and green areas” for any deals, said the
first person familiar with the planning. The second of the five people said: “I
think they‘re going for the soft, slightly lovey stuff.”
Britain has good reason to be reluctant, as Chinese-affiliated groups have long
been accused of hacking and espionage, including against MPs and Britain’s
Electoral Commission. Westminster was gripped by headlines in December about a
collapsed case against two men who had been accused of spying for China. Chinese
firm Huawei was banned from helping build the U.K.’s 5G phone network in 2020
after pressure from Trump.
Even now, Britain’s security agencies are working on mitigations to
telecommunications cables near the Tower of London. They pass close to the
boundary of China’s proposed embassy, which won planning approval last week.
Andrew Small, director of the Asia Programme at the European Council on Foreign
Relations, a think tank working on foreign and security policy, said: “The
current debate about how to ‘safely’ increase China’s role in U.K. green energy
supplies — especially through wind power — has serious echoes of 5G all over
again, and is a bigger concern on the U.S. side than the embassy decision.”
Starmer and his team also “don’t want to antagonize the Americans” ahead of
Trump’s own visit in April, said the third of the five people familiar with trip
planning. “They’re on eggshells … if they announce a new dialogue on United
Nations policy or whatever bullshit they can come up with, any of those could be
interpreted as a broadside to the Trump administration.”
All these factors mean Starmer’s path to a “win” is narrow. Tahlia Peterson, a
fellow working on China at Chatham House, the international affairs think tank,
said: “Starmer isn’t going to ‘reset’ the relationship in one visit or unlock
large-scale Chinese investment into Britain’s core infrastructure.”
Small said foreign firms are being squeezed out of the Chinese market and Xi is
“weaponizing” the dependency on Chinese supply chains. He added: “Beijing will
likely offer extremely minor concessions in areas such as financial services,
[amounting to] no more than a rounding error in economic scale.”
Chancellor Rachel Reeves knows the pain of this. Britain’s top finance minister
was mocked when she returned with just £600 million of agreements from her visit
to China a year ago. One former Tory minister said the figure was a “deliberate
insult” by China.
Even once the big win is in the bag, there is the danger of it falling apart on
arrival. Carney announced Canada and China would expand visa-free travel, only
for Beijing’s ambassador to Ottawa to say that the move was not yet official.
Despite this, businesses have been keen on Starmer’s re-engagement.
Rain Newton-Smith, director-general of the Confederation of British Industry,
said firms are concerned about the dependence on Chinese rare earths but added:
“If you map supply chains from anywhere, the idea that you can decouple from
China is impossible. It’s about how that trade can be facilitated in the best
way.”
EMBASSY ROW
Even if Starmer gets his wins, this visit will bring controversies that (critics
say) show the asymmetry in Britain’s relationship with China. A tale of two
embassies serves as a good metaphor.
Britain finally approved plans last week for China’s new outpost in London,
despite a long row over national security. China held off formally confirming
Starmer’s visit until the London embassy decision was finalized, the first
person familiar with planning for the trip said. (Others point out Starmer would
not want to go until the issue was resolved.)
The result was a scramble in which executives were only formally invited a week
before take-off.
And Britain has not yet received approval to renovate its own embassy in
Beijing. Officials privately refer to the building as “falling down,” while one
person who has visited said construction materials were piled up against walls.
It is “crumbling,” added another U.K. official: “The walls have got cracks on
them, the wallpaper’s peeling off, it’s got damp patches.”
British officials refused to give any impression of a “quid pro quo” for the two
projects under the U.K.’s semi-judicial planning system. But that means much of
Whitehall still does not know if Britain’s embassy revamp in Beijing will be
approved, or held back until China’s project in London undergoes a further
review in the courts. U.K. officials are privately pressing their Chinese
counterparts to give the green light.
One of the people keenest on a breakthrough will be Britain’s new ambassador to
Beijing Peter Wilson, a career diplomat described by people who have met him as
“outstanding,” “super smart” and “very friendly.”
For Wilson, hosting Starmer will be one of his trickiest jobs yet.
The everyday precautions when doing business in China have made preparations for
this trip more intense. Government officials and corporate executives are
bringing secure devices and will have been briefed on the risk of eavesdropping
and honeytraps.
One member of Theresa May’s 2018 delegation to China recalled opening the door
of what they thought was their vehicle, only to see several people with headsets
on, listening carefully and typing. They compared it to a scene in a spy film.
Activists and MPs will put Starmer under pressure to raise human rights issues —
including what campaigners say is a genocide against the Uyghur people in
Xinjiang province — on a trip governed by strict protocol where one stray word
can derail a deal.
Pro-democracy publisher Jimmy Lai, who has British nationality, is facing
sentencing in Hong Kong imminently for national security offenses. During the
PM’s last meeting with Xi in 2024, Chinese officials bundled British journalists
out of the room when he raised the case. Campaigners had thought Lai’s
sentencing could take place this week.
All these factors mean tension in the British state — which has faced a tussle
between “securocrats” and departments pushing for growth — has been high ahead
of the trip. Government comments on China are workshopped carefully before
publication.
Earlier this month, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told POLITICO her work on
Beijing involves looking at “transnational repression” and “espionage threats.”
But when Chancellor Rachel Reeves met China’s Finance Minister He Lifeng in
Davos last week to tee up Starmer’s visit, the U.K. Treasury did not publicize
the meeting — beyond a little-noticed photo on its Flickr account.
SLOW BOAT TO CHINA
Whatever the controversies, Labour’s China stance has been steadily taking shape
since before Starmer took office in 2024.
Labour drew inspiration from its sister party in Australia and the U.S.
Democrats, both of which had regular meetings with Beijing. Party aides argued
that after a brief “golden era” under Conservative PM David Cameron, Britain
engaged less with China than with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. The
result of Labour’s thinking was the policy of “three Cs” — “challenge, compete,
and cooperate.”
A procession of visits to Beijing followed, most notably Reeves last year,
culminating in Starmer’s trip. His National Security Adviser Jonathan Powell was
involved in planning across much of 2025, even travelling to meet China’s top
diplomat, Wang Yi, in November.
Starmer teed up this week’s visit with a December speech arguing the “binary”
view of China had persisted for too long. He promised to engage with Beijing
carefully while taking a “more transactional approach to pretty well
everything.”
The result was that this visit has long been locked in; just as Labour aides
argue the London embassy decision was set in train in 2018, when the Tory
government gave diplomatic consent for the site.
Labour ministers “just want to normalize” the fact of dealing with China, said
the senior Westminster figure quoted above. Newton-Smith added: “I think the
view is that the government’s engagement with eyes wide open is the right
strategy. And under the previous government, we did lose out.”
But for each person who praises the re-engagement, there are others who say it
has left Britain vulnerable while begging for scraps at China’s table. Hawks
argue the hard details behind the “three Cs” were long nebulous, while Labour’s
long-awaited “audit” of U.K.-China relations was delayed before being folded
briefly into a wider security document.
“Every single bad decision now can be traced back to the first six months,”
argued the third person familiar with planning quoted above. “They were
absolutely ill-prepared and made a series of decisions that have boxed them into
a corner.” They added: “The government lacks the killer instinct to deal with
China. It’s not in their DNA.”
Luke de Pulford, a human rights campaigner and director of the
Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, argued the Tories had engaged with China
— Foreign Secretary James Cleverly visited in 2023 — and Labour was simply going
much further.
“China is pursuing an enterprise to reshape the global order in its own image,
and to that end, to change our institutions and way of life to the extent that
they’re an obstacle to it,” he said. “That’s what they’re up to — and we keep
falling for it.”
END OF THE OLD ORDER?
His language may be less dramatic, but Starmer’s visit to China does have some
parallels with Canada. Carney’s trip was the first by a Canadian PM since 2017,
and he and Xi agreed a “new strategic partnership.”
Later at Davos, the Canadian PM talked of “the end of a pleasant fiction” and
warned multilateral institutions such as the United Nations are under threat.
One British industry figure who attended Davos said of Carney’s speech: “It was
great. Everyone was talking about it. Someone said to me that was the best and
most poignant speech they’d ever seen at the World Economic Forum. That may be a
little overblown, but I guess most of the speeches at the WEF are quite dull.”
The language used by Starmer, a former human rights lawyer devoted to
multilateralism, has not been totally dissimilar. Britain could no longer “look
only to international institutions to uphold our values and interests,” he said
in December. “We must do it ourselves through deals and alliances.”
But while some in the U.K. government privately agree with Carney’s point, the
real difference is the two men’s approach to Trump.
Starmer will temper his messaging carefully to avoid upsetting either his
Chinese hosts or the U.S., even as Trump throws semi-regular rocks at Britain.
To Peterson, this is unavoidable. “China, the U.S. and the EU are likely to
continue to dominate global economic growth for the foreseeable future,” she
said. “Starmer’s choice is not whether to engage, but how.”
Esther Webber contributed reporting.