The Trump administration wants to work with traditional allies to secure new
supplies of critical minerals. But months of aggression toward allies,
culminating with since-aborted threats to seize Greenland, have left many cool
to the overtures.
While the State Department has drawn a lengthy list of participating countries
for its first Critical Minerals Ministerial scheduled for Wednesday, a number of
those attending are hesitant to commit to partnering with the U.S. in creating a
supply chain that bypasses China’s current chokehold on those materials,
according to five Washington-based diplomats of countries invited to or
attending the event.
State Department cables obtained by POLITICO also show wariness among some
countries about signing onto a framework agreement pledging joint cooperation in
sourcing and processing critical minerals.
Representatives from more than 50 countries are expected to attend the meeting,
according to the State Department — all gathered to discuss the creation of tech
supply chains that can rival Beijing’s.
But the meeting comes just two weeks since President Donald Trump took to the
stage at Davos to call on fellow NATO member Denmark to allow a U.S. takeover of
Greenland, and that isn’t sitting well.
“We all need access to critical minerals, but the furor over Greenland is going
to be the elephant in the room,” said a European diplomat. In the immediate
run-up to the event there’s “not a great deal of interest from the European
side,” the person added.
The individual and others were granted anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomatic
relationships.
Their concerns underscore how international dismay at the Trump administration’s
foreign policy and trade actions may kneecap its other global priorities. The
Trump administration had had some success over the past two months rallying
countries to support U.S. efforts to create secure supply chains for critical
minerals, including a major multilateral agreement called the Pax Silica
Declaration. Now those gains could be at risk.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio wants foreign countries to partner with the U.S.
in creating a supply chain for the 60 minerals (including rare earths) that the
U.S. Geological Survey deems “vital to the U.S. economy and national security
that face potential risks from disrupted supply chains.” They include antimony,
used to produce munitions; samarium, which goes into aircraft engines; and
germanium, which is essential to fiber-optics. The administration also launched
a $12 billion joint public-private sector “strategic critical minerals
stockpile” for U.S. manufacturers, a White House official said Monday.
Trump has backed away from his threats of possibly deploying the U.S. military
to seize Greenland from Denmark. But at Davos he demanded “immediate
negotiations” with Copenhagen to transfer Greenland’s sovereignty to the U.S.
That makes some EU officials leery of administration initiatives that require
cooperation and trust.
“We are all very wary,” said a second European diplomat. Rubio’s critical
minerals framework “will not be an easy sell until there is final clarity on
Greenland.”
Trump compounded the damage to relations with NATO countries on Jan. 22 when he
accused member country troops that deployed to support U.S. forces in
Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021 of having shirked combat duty.
“The White House really messed up with Greenland and Davos,” a third European
diplomat said. “They may have underestimated how much that would have an
impact.”
The Trump administration needs the critical minerals deals to go through. The
U.S. has been scrambling to find alternative supply lines for a group of
minerals called rare earths since Beijing temporarily cut the U.S. off from its
supply last year. China — which has a near-monopoly on rare earths — relented in
the trade truce that Trump brokered with China’s leader Xi Jinping in South
Korea in October.
The administration is betting that foreign government officials that attend
Wednesday’s event also want alternative sources to those materials.
“The United States and the countries attending recognize that reliable supply
chains are indispensable to our mutual economic and national security and that
we must work together to address these issues in this vital sector,” the State
Department statement said in a statement.
The administration has been expressing confidence that it will secure critical
minerals partnerships with the countries attending the ministerial, despite
their concerns over Trump’s bellicose policy.
“There is a commonality here around countering China,” Ruth Perry, the State
Department’s acting principal deputy assistant secretary for ocean, fisheries
and polar affairs, said at an industry event on offshore critical minerals in
Washington last week. “Many of these countries understand the urgency.”
Speaking at a White House event Monday, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum indicated
that 11 nations would sign on to a critical minerals framework with the United
States this week and another 20 are considering doing so.
Greenland has rich deposits of rare earths and other minerals. But Denmark isn’t
sending any representatives to the ministerial, according to the person familiar
with the event’s planning. Trump said last month that a framework agreement he
struck with NATO over Greenland’s future included U.S. access to the island’s
minerals. Greenland’s harsh climate and lack of infrastructure in its interior
makes the extraction of those materials highly challenging.
Concern about the longer term economic and geostrategic risks of turning away
from Washington in favor of closer ties with Beijing — despite the Trump
administration’s unpredictability — may work in Rubio’s favor on Wednesday.
“We still want to work on issues where our viewpoints align,” an Asian diplomat
said. “Critical minerals, energy and defense are some areas where there is hope
for positive movement.”
State Department cables obtained by POLITICO show the administration is leaning
on ministerial participants to sign on to a nonbinding framework agreement to
ensure U.S. access to critical minerals.
The framework establishes standards for government and private investment in
areas including mining, processing and recycling, along with price guarantees to
protect producers from competitors’ unfair trade policies. The basic template of
the agreement being shared with other countries mirrors language in frameworks
sealed with Australia and Japan and memorandums of understanding inked with
Thailand and Malaysia last year.
Enthusiasm for the framework varies. The Philippine and Polish governments have
both agreed to the framework text, according to cables from Manila on Jan. 22
and Warsaw on Jan. 26. Romania is interested but “proposed edits to the draft
MOU framework,” a cable dated Jan. 16 said. As of Jan. 22 India was
noncommittal, telling U.S. diplomats that New Delhi “could be interested in
exploring a memorandum of understanding in the future.”
European Union members Finland and Germany both expressed reluctance to sign on
without clarity on how the framework aligns with wider EU trade policies. A
cable dated Jan. 15 said Finland “prefers to observe progress in the EU-U.S.
discussions before engaging in substantive bilateral critical mineral framework
negotiations.” Berlin also has concerns that the initiative may reap “potential
retaliation from China,” according to a cable dated Jan. 16.
Trump’s threats over the past two weeks to impose 100 percent tariffs on Canada
for cutting a trade deal with China and 25 percent tariffs on South Korea for
allegedly slow-walking legislative approval of its U.S. trade agreement are also
denting enthusiasm for the U.S. critical minerals initiative.
Those levies “have introduced some uncertainty, which naturally leads countries
to proceed pragmatically and keep their options open,” a second Asian diplomat
said.
There are also doubts whether Trump will give the initiative the long-term
backing it will require for success.
“There’s a sense that this could end up being a TACO too,” a Latin American
diplomat said, using shorthand for Trump’s tendency to make big threats or
announcements that ultimately fizzle.
Analysts, too, argue it’s unlikely the administration will be able to secure any
deals amid the fallout from Davos and Trump’s tariff barrages.
“We’re very skeptical on the interest and aptitude and trust in trade
counterparties right now,” said John Miller, an energy analyst at TD Cowen who
tracks critical minerals. “A lot of trading partners are very much in a
wait-and-see perspective at this point saying, ‘Where’s Trump really going to go
with this?’”
And more unpredictability or hostility by the Trump administration toward
longtime allies could push them to pursue critical mineral sourcing arrangements
that exclude Washington.
“The alternative is that these other countries will go the Mark Carney route of
the middle powers, cooperating among themselves quietly, not necessarily going
out there and saying, ‘Hey, we’re cutting out the U.S.,’ but that these things
just start to crop up,” said Jonathan Czin, a former China analyst at the CIA
now at the Brookings Institution. “Which will make it more challenging and allow
Beijing to play divide and conquer over the long term.”
Felicia Schwartz contributed to this report.
Tag - Infrastructure
The UK has historically been a global leader in life sciences innovation, but
recent statistics paint a worrying picture for medicines access. The right
policy can start to reverse this.
We are living in a time where the intersection between breakthrough science,
technology and data insights has the potential to transform treatment options
for some of the toughest health conditions faced by patients in the UK.
The UK has long played a central role in driving innovation when it comes to
healthcare, and at Johnson & Johnson (J&J) we were pleased to see some positive
signs from the Government at the end of 2025, illustrating an intent to reverse
a decade of decline of investment in how the UK values innovative treatments.
It was a positive first step, but now the real work begins to enable us to
deliver the best possible outcomes for UK patients. To achieve this, our focus
must be on ensuring our health system is set up to match the pace and gain the
benefits of innovation that science provides. We need a supportive medicines
environment that fully fosters growth, because even the most pioneering drugs
and therapies are only valuable if they can be accessed by patients when they
need them most.
> even the most pioneering drugs and therapies are only valuable if they can be
> accessed by patients when they need them most.
At J&J, we are proud to have been part of the UK’s health innovation story for
more than a century. We believe that turning ambition into delivery requires a
clearer focus on the foundations that enable innovation to reach patients. We
have had a substantial and long-term economic presence, with our expertise
serving as the grounds for successful partnerships with patients, healthcare
providers, clinical researchers and the NHS.
Recent national developments are a step in the right direction
The UK Government’s recent announcements on the life sciences industry are an
important move to help address concerns around medicines access, innovation and
the UK’s international standing. This includes a welcome planned increase to the
baseline cost-effectiveness threshold (the first change to be made since its
introduction in the early 2000s).
While it is crucial to get this implemented properly, this seems like a step in
the right direction — providing a starting point towards meaningful policy
reform, industry partnership and progress for patients.
The true impact of stifling medicine innovation in the UK compared with our
peers
These positive developments come at a critical time, but they do not fix
everything.
Over the past decade, spending on branded medicines has fallen in real terms,
even as the NHS budget has grown by a third.[i] Years of cost-containment have
left the UK health system ill-prepared for the health challenges of today, with
short-term savings creating long-term consequences. Right now, access to
innovative medicines in the UK lags behind almost every major European
country[ii]; the UK ranks 16th and 18th among 19 comparable countries for
preventable and treatable causes of mortality.[iii]These are conditions for
which effective medicines already exist.
Even when new medicines are approved, access is often restricted. One year after
launch, usage of innovative treatments in England is just over half the average
of comparator countries such as France, Germany and Spain.[iv] The effect is
that people living with cancer, autoimmune conditions and rare diseases wait
longer to access therapies that are already transforming lives elsewhere in
Europe.
And even at its new level, the UK’s Voluntary Scheme for Branded Medicines
Pricing, Access and Growth (VPAG) clawback rate remains higher than in
comparable countries.[v] J&J is committed to working together to develop a new
pricing and access framework that is stable, predictable and internationally
competitive — enabling the UK to regain its position as a leading destination
for life sciences.
Seeing the value of health and medicines investment as a catalyst for prosperity
and growth
Timely access to the right treatment achieves two things; it keeps people
healthy and prevents disease worsening so they can participate in society and a
thriving economy. New research from the WifOR Institute, funded by J&J, shows
that countries that allocate more resources to health — especially when combined
with a skilled workforce and strong infrastructure — consistently achieve better
outcomes.[vi]
> Timely access to the right treatment achieves two things; it keeps people
> healthy and prevents disease worsening so they can participate in society and
> a thriving economy.
The UK Government’s recent recognition of the need for long-term change, setting
out plans to increase investment in new medicines from 0.3 percent of GDP to 0.6
percent over the next 10 years is positive. It signals a move towards seeing
health as one of our smartest long-term investments, underpinning the UK’s
international competitiveness by beginning to bring us nearer to the levels in
other major European countries.
This mindset shift is critical to getting medicines to patients, and the life
sciences ecosystem, including the pharmaceutical sector as a cornerstone, plays
a pivotal role. It operates as a virtuous cycle — driven by the generation,
production, investment in, access to and uptake of innovation. Exciting
scientific developments and evolving treatment pathways mean that we have an
opportunity to review the structures around medicines reimbursement to ensure
they remain sustainable, competitive and responsive. At J&J, we have the
knowledge and heritage to work hand-in-hand with the Government and all partners
to achieve this.
Together, we can realise the potential of medicine innovation in the UK
Patients have the right to expect that science and innovation will reach them
when they need it. Innovative treatments can be transformative for patients,
meaning an improved quality of life or more precious time with loved ones.
We fully support the Government’s ambitions for life sciences and the health of
the nation. Now is the moment to deliver meaningful change — the NHS, Government
and all system partners, including J&J, must look at what valuing innovation
actually means when it comes to modernising the frameworks and mechanisms that
support access and uptake. Practical ways to do this include:
* Establishing a new pricing and access framework that is stable, predictable
and internationally competitive.
* Evolving medicines appraisal methods and processes, to deliver on the
commitments of the UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal.
* Adapting thresholds and value frameworks to ensure they are fit for the
future — in the context of wider system pressures, including inflation, and
the evolution of medical innovation requiring new approaches to assessment
and access.
> the NHS, Government and all system partners, including J&J, must look at what
> valuing innovation actually means when it comes to modernising the frameworks
> and mechanisms that support access and uptake.
By truly recognising the value of health as an investment, rather than as a
cost, we can return the UK to a more competitive position. The direction of
travel is positive. At J&J, we stand ready to work in partnership to help ensure
the UK is once again the best place in the world to research, develop and access
medicines.
Follow Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine UK on LinkedIn for updates on our
business, our people and our community.
CP-562703 | January 2026
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[i] House of Commons Library (2026). ‘NHS Funding and Expenditure’ Research
Briefing. Available at:
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn00724/ (Accessed
January 2026).
[ii] IQVIA & EFPIA (2025). EFPIA Patients W.A.I.T Indicator 2024 Survey.
Available at:
https://efpia.eu/media/oeganukm/efpia-patients-wait-indicator-2024-final-110425.pdf.
(Accessed January 2026)
[iii] The Kings Fund (2022). ‘How does the NHS compare to the health care
systems of other countries?’ Available at:
https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/reports/nhs-compare-health-care-systems-other-countries
(Accessed January 2026)
[iv] Office for Life Sciences (2024). Life sciences competitiveness indicators
2024: summary. Available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/life-sciences-sector-data-2024/life-sciences-competitiveness-indicators-2024-summary
(Accessed January 2026).
[v] ABPI. VPAG payment rate for newer medicines will be 14.5% in 2026. December
2025. Available at:
https://www.abpi.org.uk/media/news/2025/december/vpag-payment-rate-for-newer-medicines-will-be-145-in-2026/.
(Accessed January 2026).
[vi] WifOR Institute (2025). Healthy Returns: A Catalyst for Economic Growth and
Resilience. Available at:
https://www.wifor.com/en/download/healthy-returns-a-catalyst-for-economic-growth-and-resilience/?wpdmdl=360794&refresh=6942abe7a7f511765977063.
(Accessed January 2026).
Donald Trump’s political war chest grew dramatically in the second half of 2025,
according to new campaign finance disclosures submitted late Saturday, giving
him an unprecedented amount of money for a term-limited president to influence
the midterms and beyond.
Trump raised $26 million through his joint fundraising committee in the back
half of last year, and another $8 million directly into his leadership PAC. And
a super PAC linked to him has more than $300 million in the bank.
All together, a web of campaign accounts, some of which he controls directly and
others under the care of close allies, within the president’s orbit have $375
million in their coffers.
The funds far outstrip those of any other political figure — Republican or
Democrat — entering 2026, and have no real historical precedent. And Trump could
put them to use this year for the midterms, or to shape future elections, even
as he cannot run for president again.
Trump continues to outpace any other Republican in raising money, both from
large and small-dollar donors. His joint fundraising committee — Trump National
Committee, which pools fundraising for a variety of Trump-aligned groups —
accounted for 1 in 8 dollars raised on WinRed, the primary Republican online
fundraising platform, during the second half of 2025, according to a POLITICO
analysis.
And no super PAC raised even half as much in 2025 as the $289 million from MAGA
Inc., the Trump-aligned super PAC that both the president and Vice President
J.D. Vance appeared at fundraisers for last year.
Trump has given few clues as to how he might put the funds to use. Trump
National Committee primarily sends funds to the president’s leadership PAC,
Never Surrender, with a bit of money also going to the Republican National
Committee and Vance’s leadership PAC, Working For Ohio.
Candidates cannot use leadership PAC money for their own election efforts. But
the accounts — which are common across Washington and have long been derided by
anti-money in politics groups as “slush funds” — allow politicians to dole out
money to allies or fund political travel.
Never Surrender spent $6.7 million from July through December, with more than
half of that total going toward advertising, digital consulting and direct mail
— expenses typically linked to fundraising.
So far, Trump’s groups have held their powder in Republican primaries. While
Trump has endorsed against a handful of Republican incumbents now locked in
competitive primaries — including Sen. Bill Cassidy of Louisiana and Rep. Thomas
Massie of Kentucky — and threatened others, he hasn’t used money. A super PAC
targeting Massie, MAGA KY, is run by Trump allies but has largely been funded by
GOP megadonor Paul Singer.
MAGA Inc.’s only election-related spending last year was to boost now-Rep. Matt
Van Epps in the special election in Tennessee’s 7th District.
Trump’s massive war chest makes him a political force, independent of the
traditional party infrastructure. The RNC — which derives a significant portion
of its fundraising from Trump — had $95 million in the bank at the end of the
year, roughly a quarter of what the Trump-linked groups have.
And their rivals at the Democratic National Committee are far worse off — at
just over $14 million, while owing more than $17 million in debt.
SHANGHAI — As Keir Starmer arrived for the first visit by a British prime
minister to China for eight years, he stood next to a TV game show-style wheel
of fortune.
The arrow pointed at “rise high,” next to “get rich immediately” and “everything
will go smoothly.” Not one option on the wheel was negative.
Sadly for the U.K. prime minister, reality does not match the wheel — but he
gave it a good go.
After an almost decade-long British chill toward China, Starmer reveled in three
hours of talks and lunch with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday, where he
called for a “more sophisticated” relationship and won effusive praise in
return. Britain boasted it had secured visa-free travel for British citizens to
China for up to 30 days and a cut in Chinese tariffs on Scotch whisky. Xi even
said the warming would help “world peace.”
His wins so far (many details of which remain vague) are only a tiny sliver of
the range of opportunities he claimed Chinese engagement could bring — and do
not even touch on the controversies, given Beijing’s record on aggressive trade
practices, human rights, espionage, cyber sabotage and transnational repression.
But the vibes on the ground are clear — Starmer is loving it, and wants to go
much further.
POLITICO picks out five takeaways from following the entourage.
1) THERE’S NO TURNING BACK NOW
Britain is now rolling inevitably toward greater engagement in a way that will
be hard to reverse.
Labour’s warming to China has been in train since the party was in opposition,
inspired by the U.S. Democrats and Australian Labor, and the lead-up to this
meeting took more than a year.
No. 10 has bought into China’s reliance on protocol and iterative engagement. Xi
is said to have been significantly warmer toward Starmer this week (their second
meeting) than the first time they met at the G20 in Rome. Officials say it takes
a long time to warm him up.
There is no doubt China’s readout of the meeting was deliberately friendlier to
Labour than the Conservatives. One person on the last leader-level visit to
China, by Conservative PM Theresa May in 2018, recalled that the meetings were
“intellectually grueling” because Xi used consecutive translation, speaking for
long periods before May could reply. This time officials say he used
simultaneous translation.
It will not end here — because Starmer can’t afford for it to. Many of the dozen
or so deals announced this week are only commitments to investigate options for
future cooperation, so Britain will need to now push them into reality, with an
array of dialogues planned in the future along with a visit by Foreign Secretary
Yvette Cooper.
As Business Secretary Peter Kyle told a Thursday night reception at the British
Embassy: “This trip is just the start.”
2) BRITAIN’S STILL ON THE EASY WINS
Deals on whisky tariffs and visa-free travel were top of the No. 10 list but —
as standalone wins without national security implications — they were the
lowest-hanging fruit.
The two sides agreed to explore whether to enter negotiations towards a
bilateral services agreement, which would make it easier for lawyers and
accountants to use their professional qualifications across the two countries.
In return, investment decisions in China were announced by firms including
AstraZeneca and Octopus Energy.
But many of the other deals are only the start of a dialogue. One U.K. official
called them “jam tomorrow deals.”
And Luke de Pulford, of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China campaign
group, argued that despite Britain having a slight trade surplus in services
“it’s tiny compared to the whole.” He added: “This trip to China seems to be
based upon the notion that China is part of the solution to our economic woes.
It’s not rooted in any evidence. China hasn’t done foreign direct investment in
any serious way since 2017. It’s dropped off a cliff.”
Then there are areas — particularly wind farms — where officials are more edgy
and which weren’t discussed by Starmer and Xi. One industry figure dismissed
concerns that China could install “kill switches” in key infrastructure —
shutting down a wind turbine would be the equivalent of a windless day — but
concerns are real.
A second U.K. official said Britain had effectively categorized areas of the
economy into three buckets — “slam dunks” to engage with China, “slam dunks” to
block China, and everything in between. “We’ve been really clear [with China]
about which sectors are accessible,” they said, which had helped smooth the
path.
Then there are the litany of non-trade areas where China will be reluctant to
engage: being challenged on Xi’s relationship with Russian President Vladimir
Putin, the treatment of the Uyghur people and democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai.
Britain is still awaiting approval of a major revamp of its embassy in Beijing,
which will be expensive with U.K. contractors, materials and tech, all
security-cleared, being brought in.
3) STARMER AND HIS TEAM WERE GENUINELY LOVING IT
After such a build-up and so much controversy, Starmer has … been having a great
time. The prime minister has struggled to peel the smile off his face and told
business delegates they were “making history.”
Privately, several people around him enthused about the novelty of it all (many
have never visited China and Starmer has not done so since before he went into
politics). One said they were looking forward to seeing how Xi operates: “He’s
very enigmatic.”
Briefing journalists in a small ante-room in the Forbidden City, Starmer
enthused about Xi’s love of football and Shakespeare. And talking to business
leaders, he repeated the president’s line about blind men finding an elephant:
“One touches the leg and thinks it’s a pillow, another feels the belly and
thinks it’s a wall. Too often this reflects how China is seen.”
So into the spirit was Starmer that he even ticked off Kyle for not bowing
deeply enough. At the signing ceremony for a string of business deals, Kyle had
seen his counterpart bend halfway to the floor — and responded with a polite nod
of the head.
The vibes were energetic. Britain’s new ambassador to Beijing, Peter Wilson,
flitted around ceaselessly and sat along from Starmer in seat 1E. The PM’s No.
10 business adviser, Varun Chandra, jumped from CEO to CEO at the British
embassy.
The whole delegation was on burner phones and laptops (even leaving Apple
Watches at home) but the security fears soon faded to the background for U.K.
officials. CEOs on the trip queued up to tell journalists that Starmer was
making the right choice. “We risk a technological gulf if we don’t engage,” said
one.
There is one problem. Carry on like this, and Starmer will struggle to maintain
his line that he is not re-entering a “golden era” — like the one
controversially pushed by the Tories under David Cameron in the early 2010s —
after all.
4) BUSINESS WAS EVERYTHING
The trip was a tale of two groups of CEOs. The creatives and arts bosses gave
the stardust and human connection that such a controversial visit needed — but
business investment was the meat.
In his opening speech Starmer name-checked three people: Business Secretary
Peter Kyle, City Minister Lucy Rigby and No. 10 business adviser Varun Chandra.
It even came through in the seating plan on the chartered British Airways plane,
with financial services CEOs in the pricey seats while creatives were in economy
— although this was because they were all paying their own way.
Everyone knew the bargain. One arts CEO confessed that, while their industry
made money too, they knew they were not the uppermost priority.
Starmer’s aides insist they are delighted with what they managed to bag from Xi
on Thursday, and believe it is at the top end of the expectations they had on
the way out.
But that will mean the focus back home on the final “big number” of investment
that No. 10 produces — and the questions about whether it is worth all the
political energy — are even more acute.
5) STARMER’S STILL WALKING A TIGHTROPE
British CEOs were taken to see a collection of priceless Ming vases. It was a
good metaphor.
Starmer and the No. 10 operation were more reticent even than usual on Thursday,
refusing to give on-the-record comment about several basic details of what he
raised in his meeting with Xi. Journalists were told that he raised the case of
democracy campaigner Jimmy Lai, but not whether he called directly for his
release. The readout of the meeting from Communist China was more extensive (and
poetic) than that from No. 10.
Likewise, journalists were given no advance heads-up of deals on tariffs and
visas, even in the few hours between the bilateral and the announcements, while
the details and protocol were nailed down.
There was good reason for the reticence. Not only was Starmer cautious not to
offend his hosts; he also did not want to enrage U.S. President Donald Trump,
who threatened Canada with new tariffs after PM Mark Carney’s visit to Beijing
this month.
Even with No. 10 briefing the U.S. on the trip’s objectives beforehand, and
Starmer giving a pre-flight interview saying he wouldn’t choose between Xi and
Trump, the president called Britain’s engagement “very dangerous” on Friday.
And then there’s the EU. The longer Trump’s provocations go on, the more some of
Starmer’s more Europhile allies will want him to side not with the U.S. or
China, but Brussels.
“There’s this huge blind spot in the middle of Europe,” complained one European
diplomat. “The U.K. had the advantage of being the Trump whisperer, but that’s
gone now.”
Starmer leaves China hoping he can whisper to Trump, Xi and Ursula von der Leyen
all at the same time.
LONDON — It’s a far cry from the ice age of U.K.-China relations that
characterized Rishi Sunak’s leadership — and it’s not exactly David Cameron’s
“golden era,” either.
As U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer embarks on his Chinese charm offensive
against a turbulent economic backdrop, he has opted for a softly-softly approach
in a bid to warm up one of Britain’s most important trading partners — a marked
departure from his Tory predecessors.
With the specter of U.S. President Donald Trump looming over the visit — not to
mention national security concerns back home — Starmer’s cautious optimism is
hardly surprising.
Despite reservations from China skeptics, Starmer’s trip — the first such visit
by a British prime minister since 2018 — was peppered with warm words and a
smattering of deals, some more consequential than others.
Britain’s haul from the trip may be modest, but it’s just the beginning,
Business and Trade Secretary Peter Kyle — who joined Starmer on the trip — told
a traveling pack of reporters in Beijing.
“This visit is a springboard,” the minister said. “This is not the last moment,
it is a springboard into a future with far more action to come.”
STEP-BY-STEP
On the ground in Beijing, British officials gave the impression that the prime
minister was focused on getting as many uncontroversial wins over the line as
possible, in a bid to thaw relations with China.
That’s not to say Starmer and his team don’t have a few tangible wins to write
home about. Headline announcements include a commitment from China to allow
visa-free travel for British tourists and business travelers, enabling visits of
up to 30 days without the need for documents.
The provisions are similar to those extended to 50 other countries including
France, Germany, Italy, Australia and Japan. The timings of the visa change have
not yet been set out publicly, but one official — who, like others cited in this
piece, was granted anonymity to speak freely — said they were aiming to get it
nailed down in coming months.
“From a business standpoint, it will reduce a lot of friction,” said a British
business representative, adding it will make it easier for U.K. firms to explore
opportunities and form partnerships. “China is very complicated. You have to be
on the ground to really assess opportunities,” they said, adding visa-free
travel “will make things a lot easier.”
The commitment to visa-free travel forms part of a wider services package aimed
at driving collaboration for businesses in healthcare, financial and
professional services, legal services, education and skills — areas where
British firms often face regulatory or administrative hurdles.
The countries have also agreed to conduct a “feasibility study” to explore
whether to enter negotiations towards a bilateral services agreement. If it goes
ahead, this would establish clear and legally binding rules for U.K. firms doing
business in China. Once again, the timeframe is vague.
David Taylor, head of policy at the Asia House think tank in London, said “Xi’s
language has been warmer and more expansive, signaling interest in stabilizing
the relationship, but the substance on offer so far remains tightly defined.”
“Beyond the immediate announcements, progress — particularly on services and
professional access — will be harder and slower if it happens at all,” he added.
WHISKY TARIFF RELIEF
Another victory talked up by the British government is a plan for China to slash
Scotch whisky tariffs by half, from 10 percent to 5 percent.
However, some may question the scale of the commitment, which effectively
restores the rate that was in place one year ago, ahead of a doubling of the
rate for whisky and brandy in February 2025.
The two sides have not yet set out a timeframe for the reduction of tariffs.
Speaking to POLITICO ahead of Starmer’s trip, a senior business representative
said the whisky and brandy issue had become “China leverage” in talks leading up
to the visit. However, they argued that even a removal of the tariff was “not
going to solve the main issue for British whisky companies in China and
everywhere, which is that people aren’t buying and drinking whisky.”
CHINA INVESTMENT WIN
Meanwhile, China can boast a significant win in the form of a $15 billion
investment in medicines manufacturing and research and development from British
pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca.
ING Bank’s global healthcare lead Stephen Farelly said that increasing
investment into China “makes good business sense,” given the country is “now
becoming a force in biopharma.” However, it “does shine a light on the isolation
of Europe and the U.K. more generally, where there is a structural decline in
investment and R&D.”
AstraZeneca recently paused a £200 million investment at a Cambridge research
site in September last year, which was due to create 1,000 jobs.
Britain recently increased the amount the NHS pays for branded, pharmaceutical
drugs, following heavy industry lobbying and following trade negotiations with
the Trump administration — all in the hopes of attracting new investment into
the struggling sector.
Shadow Trade Secretary Andrew Griffith was blunt in his assessment.
“AstraZeneca’s a great British company but under this government it’s investing
everywhere in the world other than its U.K. home. When we are losing investment
to communist China, alarm bells should be ringing in No 10 Downing Street.”
Conspicuously absent from Starmer’s haul was any mention of net zero
infrastructure imports, like solar panels, a reflection of rising concerns about
China’s grip on Britain’s critical infrastructure.
XI RETURNS
So what next? As Starmer prepares to fly back home, attention has already turned
to his next encounter with the Chinese leader.
On Thursday, Britain opened the door to an inward visit by Xi Jinping, with
Downing Street repeatedly declining to rule out the prospect of welcoming him in
future.
Asked about the prospect of an inward visit — which would be the first for 11
years — Starmer’s official spokesperson told reporters: “I think the prime
minister has been clear that a reset relationship with China, that it’s no
longer in an ice age, is beneficial to British people and British business.”
As Starmer’s trip draws to a close, one thing is certain: there is more to come.
“This isn’t a question of a one-and-done summit with China,” Starmer’s
spokesperson added. “It is a resetting of a relationship that has been on ice
for eight years.”
PARIS — France will ban public officials from using American platforms including
Google Meet, Zoom and Teams for videoconferencing, a spokesperson told POLITICO.
The decision, part of an effort to shift government activities onto a home-grown
technology platform, comes amid rising sensitivity in Europe about the deep
reliance on U.S. services.
The prime minister’s office has prepared a notice requiring state officials to
use Visio, a videoconferencing software designed by the country’s
Interministerial Digital Authority (Dinum). It runs on infrastructure provided
by the French company Outscale.
The notice will be published “in the next few days,” a spokesperson from Dinum
said.
That follows an announcement on Sunday by the Minister for State Reform David
Amiel that France would target the adoption of a home-grown videoconferencing
platform by 2027.
France last summer mandated that officials get off WhatsApp and Telegram and
instead use Tchap, an instant messaging service designed exclusively for civil
servants.
Visio is already used by 40,000 staff — including most ministries and some of
their subsidiaries, such as the French National Centre for Scientific Research.
Dinum is aiming for 250,000 users. The department will monitor compliance with
the transition and may, in the coming months, block flows from other video tools
through the state’s internet network, it said.
LONDON — Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney left Beijing and promptly declared
the U.S.-led “world order” broken. Don’t expect his British counterpart to do
the same.
Keir Starmer will land in the Chinese capital Wednesday for the first visit by a
U.K. prime minister since 2018. By meeting President Xi Jinping, he will end
what he has called an “ice age” under the previous Conservative administration,
and try to win deals that he can sell to voters as a boost to Britain’s
sputtering economy.
Starmer is one of a queue of leaders flocking to the world’s second-largest
economy, including France’s Emmanuel Macron in December and Germany’s Friedrich
Merz next month. Like Carney did in Davos last week, the British PM has warned
the world is the most unstable it has been for a generation.
Yet unlike Carney, Starmer is desperate not to paint this as a rupture from the
U.S. — and to avoid the criticism Trump unleashed on Carney in recent days over
his dealings with China. The U.K. PM is trying to ride three horses at once,
staying friendly — or at least engaging — with Washington D.C., Brussels and
Beijing.
It is his “three-body problem,” joked a senior Westminster figure who has long
worked on British-China relations.
POLITICO spoke to 22 current and former officials, MPs, diplomats, industry
figures and China experts, most of whom were granted anonymity to speak frankly.
They painted a picture of a leader walking the same tightrope he always has
surrounded by grim choices — from tricky post-Brexit negotiations with the EU,
to Donald Trump taking potshots at British policies and freezing talks on a
U.K.-U.S. tech deal.
Starmer wants his (long-planned) visit to China to secure growth, but be
cautious enough not to compromise national security or enrage Trump. He appears
neither to have ramped up engagement with Beijing in response to Trump, nor
reduced it amid criticism of China’s espionage and human rights record.
In short, he doesn’t want any drama.
“Starmer is more managerial. He wants to keep the U.K.’s relationships with big
powers steady,” said one person familiar with planning for the trip. “You can’t
really imagine him doing a Carney or a Macron and using the trip to set out a
big geopolitical vision.”
An official in 10 Downing Street added: “He’s clear that it is in the U.K.’s
interests to have a relationship with the world’s second biggest economy. While
the U.S. is our closest ally, he rejects the suggestion that means you can’t
have pragmatic dealings with China.”
He will be hoping Trump — whose own China visit is planned for April — sees it
that way too.
BRING OUT THE CAVALRY
Starmer has one word in his mind for this trip — growth, which was just 0.1
percent in the three months to September.
The prime minister will be flanked by executives from City giants HSBC, Standard
Chartered, Schroders and the London Stock Exchange Group; pharmaceutical company
AstraZeneca; car manufacturer Jaguar Land Rover; energy provider Octopus; and
Brompton, the folding bicycle manufacturer.
The priority in Downing Street will be bringing back “a sellable headline,” said
the person familiar with trip planning quoted above. The economy is the
overwhelming focus. While officials discussed trying to secure a political win,
such as China lifting sanctions it imposed on British parliamentarians in 2021,
one U.K. official said they now believe this to be unlikely.
Between them, five people familiar with the trip’s planning predicted a large
number of deals, dialogues and memorandums of understanding — but largely in
areas with the fewest national security concerns.
These are likely to include joint work on medical, health and life sciences,
cooperation on climate science, and work to highlight Mandarin language schemes,
the people said.
Officials are also working on the mutual recognition of professional
qualifications and visa-free travel for short stays, while firms have been
pushing for more expansive banking and insurance licences for British companies
operating in China. The U.K. is meanwhile likely to try to persuade Beijing to
lower import tariffs on Scotch whisky, which doubled in February 2025.
A former U.K. official who was involved in Britain’s last prime ministerial
visit to China, by Theresa May in 2018, predicted all deals will already be
“either 100 or 99 percent agreed, in the system, and No. 10 will already have a
firm number in its head that it can announce.”
THREADING THE NEEDLE
Yet all five people agreed there is unlikely to be a deal on heavy energy
infrastructure, including wind turbine technology, that could leave Britain
vulnerable to China. The U.K. has still not decided whether to let Ming Yang, a
Chinese firm, invest £1.5 billion in a wind farm off the coast of Scotland.
And while Carney agreed to ease tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs),
three of the five people familiar with the trip’s planning said that any deep
co-operation on EV technology is likely to be off the table. One of them
predicted: “This won’t be another Canada moment. I don’t see us opening the
floodgates on EVs.”
Britain is trying to stick to “amber and green areas” for any deals, said the
first person familiar with the planning. The second of the five people said: “I
think they‘re going for the soft, slightly lovey stuff.”
Britain has good reason to be reluctant, as Chinese-affiliated groups have long
been accused of hacking and espionage, including against MPs and Britain’s
Electoral Commission. Westminster was gripped by headlines in December about a
collapsed case against two men who had been accused of spying for China. Chinese
firm Huawei was banned from helping build the U.K.’s 5G phone network in 2020
after pressure from Trump.
Even now, Britain’s security agencies are working on mitigations to
telecommunications cables near the Tower of London. They pass close to the
boundary of China’s proposed embassy, which won planning approval last week.
Andrew Small, director of the Asia Programme at the European Council on Foreign
Relations, a think tank working on foreign and security policy, said: “The
current debate about how to ‘safely’ increase China’s role in U.K. green energy
supplies — especially through wind power — has serious echoes of 5G all over
again, and is a bigger concern on the U.S. side than the embassy decision.”
Starmer and his team also “don’t want to antagonize the Americans” ahead of
Trump’s own visit in April, said the third of the five people familiar with trip
planning. “They’re on eggshells … if they announce a new dialogue on United
Nations policy or whatever bullshit they can come up with, any of those could be
interpreted as a broadside to the Trump administration.”
All these factors mean Starmer’s path to a “win” is narrow. Tahlia Peterson, a
fellow working on China at Chatham House, the international affairs think tank,
said: “Starmer isn’t going to ‘reset’ the relationship in one visit or unlock
large-scale Chinese investment into Britain’s core infrastructure.”
Small said foreign firms are being squeezed out of the Chinese market and Xi is
“weaponizing” the dependency on Chinese supply chains. He added: “Beijing will
likely offer extremely minor concessions in areas such as financial services,
[amounting to] no more than a rounding error in economic scale.”
Chancellor Rachel Reeves knows the pain of this. Britain’s top finance minister
was mocked when she returned with just £600 million of agreements from her visit
to China a year ago. One former Tory minister said the figure was a “deliberate
insult” by China.
Even once the big win is in the bag, there is the danger of it falling apart on
arrival. Carney announced Canada and China would expand visa-free travel, only
for Beijing’s ambassador to Ottawa to say that the move was not yet official.
Despite this, businesses have been keen on Starmer’s re-engagement.
Rain Newton-Smith, director-general of the Confederation of British Industry,
said firms are concerned about the dependence on Chinese rare earths but added:
“If you map supply chains from anywhere, the idea that you can decouple from
China is impossible. It’s about how that trade can be facilitated in the best
way.”
EMBASSY ROW
Even if Starmer gets his wins, this visit will bring controversies that (critics
say) show the asymmetry in Britain’s relationship with China. A tale of two
embassies serves as a good metaphor.
Britain finally approved plans last week for China’s new outpost in London,
despite a long row over national security. China held off formally confirming
Starmer’s visit until the London embassy decision was finalized, the first
person familiar with planning for the trip said. (Others point out Starmer would
not want to go until the issue was resolved.)
The result was a scramble in which executives were only formally invited a week
before take-off.
And Britain has not yet received approval to renovate its own embassy in
Beijing. Officials privately refer to the building as “falling down,” while one
person who has visited said construction materials were piled up against walls.
It is “crumbling,” added another U.K. official: “The walls have got cracks on
them, the wallpaper’s peeling off, it’s got damp patches.”
British officials refused to give any impression of a “quid pro quo” for the two
projects under the U.K.’s semi-judicial planning system. But that means much of
Whitehall still does not know if Britain’s embassy revamp in Beijing will be
approved, or held back until China’s project in London undergoes a further
review in the courts. U.K. officials are privately pressing their Chinese
counterparts to give the green light.
One of the people keenest on a breakthrough will be Britain’s new ambassador to
Beijing Peter Wilson, a career diplomat described by people who have met him as
“outstanding,” “super smart” and “very friendly.”
For Wilson, hosting Starmer will be one of his trickiest jobs yet.
The everyday precautions when doing business in China have made preparations for
this trip more intense. Government officials and corporate executives are
bringing secure devices and will have been briefed on the risk of eavesdropping
and honeytraps.
One member of Theresa May’s 2018 delegation to China recalled opening the door
of what they thought was their vehicle, only to see several people with headsets
on, listening carefully and typing. They compared it to a scene in a spy film.
Activists and MPs will put Starmer under pressure to raise human rights issues —
including what campaigners say is a genocide against the Uyghur people in
Xinjiang province — on a trip governed by strict protocol where one stray word
can derail a deal.
Pro-democracy publisher Jimmy Lai, who has British nationality, is facing
sentencing in Hong Kong imminently for national security offenses. During the
PM’s last meeting with Xi in 2024, Chinese officials bundled British journalists
out of the room when he raised the case. Campaigners had thought Lai’s
sentencing could take place this week.
All these factors mean tension in the British state — which has faced a tussle
between “securocrats” and departments pushing for growth — has been high ahead
of the trip. Government comments on China are workshopped carefully before
publication.
Earlier this month, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told POLITICO her work on
Beijing involves looking at “transnational repression” and “espionage threats.”
But when Chancellor Rachel Reeves met China’s Finance Minister He Lifeng in
Davos last week to tee up Starmer’s visit, the U.K. Treasury did not publicize
the meeting — beyond a little-noticed photo on its Flickr account.
SLOW BOAT TO CHINA
Whatever the controversies, Labour’s China stance has been steadily taking shape
since before Starmer took office in 2024.
Labour drew inspiration from its sister party in Australia and the U.S.
Democrats, both of which had regular meetings with Beijing. Party aides argued
that after a brief “golden era” under Conservative PM David Cameron, Britain
engaged less with China than with the Soviet Union during the Cold War. The
result of Labour’s thinking was the policy of “three Cs” — “challenge, compete,
and cooperate.”
A procession of visits to Beijing followed, most notably Reeves last year,
culminating in Starmer’s trip. His National Security Adviser Jonathan Powell was
involved in planning across much of 2025, even travelling to meet China’s top
diplomat, Wang Yi, in November.
Starmer teed up this week’s visit with a December speech arguing the “binary”
view of China had persisted for too long. He promised to engage with Beijing
carefully while taking a “more transactional approach to pretty well
everything.”
The result was that this visit has long been locked in; just as Labour aides
argue the London embassy decision was set in train in 2018, when the Tory
government gave diplomatic consent for the site.
Labour ministers “just want to normalize” the fact of dealing with China, said
the senior Westminster figure quoted above. Newton-Smith added: “I think the
view is that the government’s engagement with eyes wide open is the right
strategy. And under the previous government, we did lose out.”
But for each person who praises the re-engagement, there are others who say it
has left Britain vulnerable while begging for scraps at China’s table. Hawks
argue the hard details behind the “three Cs” were long nebulous, while Labour’s
long-awaited “audit” of U.K.-China relations was delayed before being folded
briefly into a wider security document.
“Every single bad decision now can be traced back to the first six months,”
argued the third person familiar with planning quoted above. “They were
absolutely ill-prepared and made a series of decisions that have boxed them into
a corner.” They added: “The government lacks the killer instinct to deal with
China. It’s not in their DNA.”
Luke de Pulford, a human rights campaigner and director of the
Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, argued the Tories had engaged with China
— Foreign Secretary James Cleverly visited in 2023 — and Labour was simply going
much further.
“China is pursuing an enterprise to reshape the global order in its own image,
and to that end, to change our institutions and way of life to the extent that
they’re an obstacle to it,” he said. “That’s what they’re up to — and we keep
falling for it.”
END OF THE OLD ORDER?
His language may be less dramatic, but Starmer’s visit to China does have some
parallels with Canada. Carney’s trip was the first by a Canadian PM since 2017,
and he and Xi agreed a “new strategic partnership.”
Later at Davos, the Canadian PM talked of “the end of a pleasant fiction” and
warned multilateral institutions such as the United Nations are under threat.
One British industry figure who attended Davos said of Carney’s speech: “It was
great. Everyone was talking about it. Someone said to me that was the best and
most poignant speech they’d ever seen at the World Economic Forum. That may be a
little overblown, but I guess most of the speeches at the WEF are quite dull.”
The language used by Starmer, a former human rights lawyer devoted to
multilateralism, has not been totally dissimilar. Britain could no longer “look
only to international institutions to uphold our values and interests,” he said
in December. “We must do it ourselves through deals and alliances.”
But while some in the U.K. government privately agree with Carney’s point, the
real difference is the two men’s approach to Trump.
Starmer will temper his messaging carefully to avoid upsetting either his
Chinese hosts or the U.S., even as Trump throws semi-regular rocks at Britain.
To Peterson, this is unavoidable. “China, the U.S. and the EU are likely to
continue to dominate global economic growth for the foreseeable future,” she
said. “Starmer’s choice is not whether to engage, but how.”
Esther Webber contributed reporting.
It seems impossible to have a conversation today without artificial intelligence
(AI) playing some role, demonstrating the massive power of the technology. It
has the potential to impact every part of business, and European policymakers
are on board.
In February 2025, Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president, said,
“We want Europe to be one of the leading AI continents … AI can help us boost
our competitiveness, protect our security, shore up public health, and make
access to knowledge and information more democratic.”
Research from Nokia suggests that businesses share this enthusiasm and ambition:
84 percent of more than 1,000 respondents said AI features in the growth
strategy of their organization, while 62 percent are directing at least 20
percent of ICT capex budgets toward the technology.
However, the equation is not yet balanced.
Three-quarters of survey respondents state that current telecom infrastructure
limits the ability to deliver on those ambitions. Meanwhile, 45 percent suggest
these limitations would delay, constrain or entirely limit investments.
There is clearly a disconnect between the ambition and the ability to deliver.
At present, Europe lags the United States and parts of Asia in areas such as
network deployment, related investment levels and scale.
> If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
> economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a
> limit and consumers will not see the benefits.
What we must remember primarily is that AI does not happen without advanced,
trusted and future-proofed networks. Infrastructure is not a ‘nice to have’ it
is a fundamental part. Simply put, today’s networks in Europe require more
investments to power the AI dream we all have.
If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a limit
and consumers will not see the benefits.
When we asked businesses about the challenge of meeting AI demands during our
research, the lack of adequate connectivity infrastructure was the fourth common
answer out of 15 potential options.
Our telecom connectivity regulatory approach must be more closely aligned with
the goal of fostering AI. That means progressing toward a genuine telecom single
market, adopting a novel approach to competition policy to allow market
consolidation to lead to more investments, and ensuring connectivity is always
secure and trusted.
Supporting more investments in next-generation networks through consolidation
AI places heavy demands on networks. It requires low latency, high bandwidth and
reliability, and efficient traffic management. To deliver this, Europe needs to
accelerate investment in 5G standalone, fiber to enterprises, edge data centers
and IP-optical backbone networks optimized for AI.
> As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
> must themselves make greater use of automation and AI.
Consolidation (i.e. reducing the number of telecom operators within the national
telecom markets of EU member states) is part of the solution. Consolidation will
allow operators to achieve economies of scale and improve operating efficiency,
therefore encouraging investment and catalyzing innovation.
As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
must themselves make greater use of automation and AI. Policy support should
therefore extend to both network innovation and deployment.
Trust: A precondition for AI adoption
Intellectual property (IP) theft is a threat to Europe’s industrial future and
only trusted technology should be used in core functions, systems and sectors
(such as energy, transport and defense). In this context, the underlying
connectivity should always be secure and trusted. The 5G Security Toolbox,
restricting untrusted technology, should therefore be extended to all telecom
technologies (including fiber, optics and IP) and made compulsory in all EU
member states. European governments must make protecting their industries and
citizens a high priority.
Completing the digital single market
Although the single market is one of Europe’s defining projects, the reality in
telecoms — a key part of the digital single market — is still fragmented. As an
example, different spectrum policies create barriers across borders and can
limit network roll outs.
Levers on top of advanced connectivity
To enable the AI ecosystem in Europe, there are several different enabling
levers European policymakers should advance on top of fostering advanced and
trusted connectivity:
* The availability of compute infrastructure. The AI Continent Action Plan, as
well as the IPCEI Compute Infrastructure Continuum, and the European
High-Performance Computing Joint Undertaking should facilitate building AI
data centers in Europe.
* Leadership in edge computing. There should also be clear support for securing
Europe’s access to and leadership in edge solutions and building out edge
capacity. Edge solutions increase processing speeds and are important for
enabling AI adoption, while also creating a catalyst for economic growth.
With the right data center capacity and edge compute capabilities available,
European businesses can meet the new requirements of AI use cases.
* Harmonization of rules. There are currently implications for AI in several
policy areas, including the AI Act, GDPR, Data Act, cybersecurity laws and
sector-specific regulations. This creates confusion, whereas AI requires
clarity. Simplification and harmonization of these regulations should be
pursued.
* AI Act implementation and simplification. There are concerns about the
implementation of the AI Act. The standards for high-risk AI may not
be available before the obligations of the AI act enter into force, hampering
business ambitions due to legal uncertainty. The application date of the AI
Act’s provisions on high-risk AI should be postponed by two years to align
with the development of standards. There needs to be greater clarity on
definitions and simplification measures should be pursued across the entire
ecosystem. Policies must be simple enough to follow, otherwise adoption may
falter. Policy needs to act as an enabler, not a barrier to innovation.
* Upskilling and new skills. AI will require new skills of employees and users,
as well as creating entirely new career paths. Europe needs to prepare for
this new world.
If Europe can deliver on these priorities, the benefits will be tangible:
improved services, stronger industries, increased competitiveness and higher
economic growth. AI will deliver to those who best prepare themselves.
We must act now with the urgency and consistency that the moment demands.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Author biography: Marc Vancoppenolle is leading the geopolitical and government
relations EU and Europe function at Nokia. He and his team are working with
institutions and stakeholders in Europe to create a favorable political and
regulatory environment fostering broadband investments and cross sectoral
digitalization at large.
Vancoppenolle has over 30 years of experience in the telecommunication industry.
He joined Alcatel in 1991, and then Alcatel-Lucent, where he took various
international and worldwide technical, commercial, marketing, communication and
government affairs leadership roles.
Vancoppenolle is a Belgian and French national. He holds a Master of Science,
with a specialization in telecommunication, from the University of Leuven
complemented with marketing studies from the University of Antwerp. He is a
member of the DIGITALEUROPE Executive Board, Associate to Nokia’s CEO at the ERT
(European Round Table for Industry), and advisor to FITCE Belgium (Forum for ICT
& Media professionals). He has been vice-chair of the BUSINESSEUROPE Digital
Economy Taskforce as well as a member of the board of IICB (Innovation &
Incubation Center Brussels).
LONDON — British ministers have been laying the ground for Keir Starmer’s
handshake with Xi Jinping in Beijing this week ever since Labour came to power.
In a series of behind-closed-door speeches in China and London, obtained by
POLITICO, ministers have sought to persuade Chinese and British officials,
academics and businesses that rebuilding the trade and investment relationship
is essential — even as economic security threats loom.
After a “Golden Era” in relations trumpeted by Tory Prime Minister David
Cameron, Britain’s once-close ties to the Asian superpower began to unravel in
the late 2010s. By 2019, Boris Johnson had frozen trade and investment talks
after a Beijing-led crackdown on Hong Kong’s democracy movement. At Donald
Trump’s insistence, Britain stripped Chinese telecoms giant Huawei from its
telecoms infrastructure over security concerns.
Starmer — who is expected to meet Xi on a high-stakes trip to Beijing this week
— set out to revive an economic relationship that had hit the rocks. The extent
of the reset undertaken by the PM’s cabinet is revealed in the series of
speeches by ministers instrumental to his China policy over the past year,
including Chancellor Rachel Reeves, then-Foreign Secretary David Lammy, Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband, and former Indo-Pacific, investment, city and trade
ministers.
Months before security officials completed an audit of Britain’s exposure to
Chinese interference last June, ministers were pushing for closer collaboration
between the two nations on energy and financial systems, and the eight sectors
of Labour’s industrial strategy.
“Six of those eight sectors have national security implications,” said a senior
industry representative, granted anonymity to speak freely about their
interactions with government. “When you speak to [the trade department] they
frame China as an opportunity. When you speak to the Foreign, Commonwealth and
Development Office, it’s a national security risk.”
While Starmer’s reset with China isn’t misguided, “I think we’ve got to be much
more hard headed about where we permit Chinese investment into the economy in
the future,” said Labour MP Liam Byrne, chair of the House of Commons Business
and Trade Committee.
Lawmakers on his committee are “just not convinced that the investment strategy
that is unfolding between the U.K. and China is strong enough for the future and
increased coercion risks,” he said.
As Trump’s tariffs bite, Beijing’s trade surplus is booming and “we’ve got to be
realistic that China is likely to double down on its Made in China approach and
target its export surplus at the U.K.,” Byrne said. China is the U.K.’s
fifth-largest trade partner, and data to June of last year show U.K. exports to
China dropping 10.4 percent year-on-year while imports rose 4.3 percent.
“That’s got the real potential to flood our markets with goods that are full of
Chinese subsidies, but it’s also got the potential to imperil key sectors of our
economy, in particular the energy system,” Byrne warned.
A U.K. government spokesperson said: “Since the election, the Government has
been consistently transparent about our approach to China – which we are clear
will be grounded in strength, clarity and sober realism.
“We will cooperate where we can and challenge where we must, never compromising
on our national security. We reject the old ‘hot and cold’ diplomacy that failed
to protect our interests or support our growth.”
While Zheng Zeguang’s speech was released online, the Foreign Office refused to
provide Catherine West’s own address when requested at the time. | Jordan
Pettitt/PA Images via Getty Images
CATHERINE WEST, INDO-PACIFIC MINISTER, SEPTEMBER 2024
Starmer’s ministers began resetting relations in earnest on the evening of Sept.
25, 2024 at the luxury Peninsula Hotel in London’s Belgravia, where rooms go for
£800 a night. Some 400 guests, including a combination of businesses, British
government and Chinese embassy officials, gathered to celebrate the 75th
anniversary of the People’s Republic of China — a milestone for Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) rule.
“I am honored to be invited to join your celebration this evening,” then
Indo-Pacific Minister Catherine West told the room, kicking off her keynote
following a speech by China’s ambassador to the U.K., Zheng Zeguang.
“Over the last 75 years, China’s growth has been exponential; in fields like
infrastructure, technology and innovation which have reverberated across the
globe,” West said, according to a Foreign Office briefing containing the speech
obtained through freedom of information law. “Both our countries have seen the
benefits of deepening our trade and economic ties.”
While London and Beijing won’t always see eye-to-eye, “the U.K. will cooperate
with China where we can. We recognise we will also compete in other areas — and
challenge where we need to,” West told the room, including 10 journalists from
Chinese media, including Xinhua, CGTN and China Daily.
While Zheng’s speech was released online, the Foreign Office refused to provide
West’s own address when requested at the time. Freedom of information officers
later provided a redacted briefing “to protect information that would be likely
to prejudice relations.”
DAVID LAMMY, FOREIGN SECRETARY, OCTOBER 2024
As foreign secretary, David Lammy made his first official overseas visit in the
job with a two-day trip to Beijing and Shanghai. He met Chinese Foreign Minister
Wang Yi in Beijing on Oct. 18, a few weeks before U.S. President Donald Trump’s
re-election. Britain and China’s top diplomats discussed climate change, trade
and global foreign policy challenges.
“I met with Director Wang Yi yesterday and raised market access issues with him
directly,” Lammy told a roundtable of British businesses at Shanghai’s Regent On
The Bund hotel the following morning, noting that he hoped greater dialogue
between the two nations would break down trade barriers.
“At the same time, I remain committed to protecting the U.K.’s national
security,” Lammy said. “In most sectors of the economy, China brings
opportunities through trade and investment, and this is where continued
collaboration is of great importance to me,” he told firms. Freedom of
information officers redacted portions of Lammy’s speech so it wouldn’t
“prejudice relations” with China.
Later that evening, the then-foreign secretary gave a speech at the Jean
Nouvel-designed Pudong Museum of Art to 200 business, education, arts and
culture representatives.
China is “the world’s biggest emitter” of CO2, Lammy told them in his prepared
remarks obtained by freedom of information law. “But also the world’s biggest
producer of renewable energy. This is a prime example of why I was keen to visit
China this week. And why this government is committed to a long-term, strategic
approach to relations.”
Shanghai continues “to play a key role in trade and investment links with the
rest of the world as well,” he said, pointing to the “single biggest” ever
British investment in China: INEOS Group’s $800 million plastics plant in
Zhejiang.
“We welcome Chinese investment for clear mutual benefit the other way too,”
Lammy said. “This is particularly the case in clean energy, where we are both
already offshore wind powerhouses and the costs of rolling out more clean energy
are falling rapidly.”
“We welcome Chinese investment for clear mutual benefit the other way too,”
David Lammy said. | Adam Vaughan/EPA
POPPY GUSTAFSSON, INVESTMENT MINISTER, NOVEMBER 2024
Just days after Starmer and President Xi met for the first time at the G20 that
November, Poppy Gustafsson, then the British investment minister, told a
U.K.-China trade event at a luxury hotel on Mayfair’s Park Lane that “we want to
open the door to more investment in our banking and insurance industries.”
The event, co-hosted by the Bank of China UK and attended by Chinese Ambassador
Zheng Zeguang and 400 guests, including the U.K. heads of several major China
business and financial institutions, is considered the “main forum for
U.K.-China business discussion,” according to a briefing package prepared for
Gustafsson.
“We want to see more green initiatives like Red Rock Renewables who are
unlocking hundreds of megawatts in new capacity at wind farms off the coast of
Scotland — boosting this Government’s mission to become a clean energy
superpower by 2030,” Gustafsson told attendees, pointing to the project owned
by China’s State Development and Investment Group.
The number one objective for her speech, officials instructed the minister, was
to “affirm the importance of engaging with China on trade and investment and
cooperating on shared multilateral interests.”
And she was told to “welcome Chinese investment which supports U.K. growth and
the domestic industry through increased exports and wider investment across the
economy and in the Industrial Strategy priority sectors.” The Chinese
government published a readout of Gustafsson and Zheng’s remarks.
RACHEL REEVES, CHANCELLOR, JANUARY 2025
By Jan. 11 last year, Chancellor Rachel Reeves was in Beijing with British
financial and professional services giants like Abrdn, Standard Chartered, KPMG,
the London Stock Exchange, Barclays and Bank of England boss Andrew Bailey in
tow. She was there to meet with China’s Vice-Premier He Lifeng to reopen one of
the key financial and investment talks with Beijing Boris Johnson froze in 2019.
Before Reeves and He sat down for the China-U.K. Economic and Financial
Dialogue, Britain’s chancellor delivered an address alongside the vice-premier
to kick off a parallel summit for British and Chinese financial services firms,
according to an agenda for the summit shared with POLITICO. Reeves was also due
to attend a dinner the evening of the EFD and then joined a business delegation
travelling to Shanghai where she held a series of roundtables.
Releasing any of her remarks from these events through freedom of information
law “would be likely to prejudice” relations with China, the Treasury said. “It
is crucial that HM Treasury does not compromise the U.K.’s interests in China.”
Reeves’ visit to China paved the way for the revival of a long-dormant series of
high-level talks to line up trade and investment wins, including the China-U.K.
Energy Dialogue in March and U.K.-China Joint Economic and Trade Commission
(JETCO) last September.
EMMA REYNOLDS, CITY MINISTER, MARCH 2025
“Growth is the U.K. government’s number one mission. It is the foundation of
everything else we hope to achieve in the years ahead. We recognise that China
will play a very important part in this,” Starmer’s then-City Minister Emma
Reynolds told the closed-door U.K.-China Business Forum in central London early
last March.
Reeves’ restart of trade and investment talks “agreed a series of commitments
that will deliver £600 million for British businesses,” Reynolds told the
gathering, which included Chinese electric vehicle firm BYD, HSBC, Standard
Chartered, KPMG and others. This would be achieved by “enhancing links between
our financial markets,” she said.
“As the world’s most connected international financial center and home to
world-leading financial services firms, the City of London is the gateway of
choice for Chinese financial institutions looking to expand their global reach,”
Reynolds said.
Ed Miliband traveled to Beijing in mid-March for the first China-U.K. Energy
Dialogue since 2019. | Tolga Akmen/EPA
ED MILIBAND, ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE SECRETARY, MARCH 2025
With Starmer’s Chinese reset in full swing, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband
traveled to Beijing in mid-March for the first China-U.K. Energy Dialogue since
2019.
Britain’s energy chief wouldn’t gloss over reports of human rights violations in
China’s solar supply chain — on which the U.K. is deeply reliant for delivering
its lofty renewables goals — when he met with China’s Vice Premier Ding
Xuexiang, a British government official said at the time. “We maybe agree to
disagree on some things,” they said.
But the U.K. faces “a clean energy imperative,” Miliband told students and
professors during a lecture at Beijing’s elite Tsinghua University, which counts
Xi Jinping and former Chinese President Hu Jintao as alumni. “The demands of
energy security, affordability and sustainability now all point in the same
direction: investing in clean energy at speed and at scale,” Miliband said,
stressing the need for deeper U.K.-China collaboration as the U.K. government
reaches towards “delivering a clean power system by 2030.”
“In the eight months since our government came to office we have been speeding
ahead on offshore wind, onshore wind, solar, nuclear, hydrogen and [Carbon
Capture, Usage, and Storage],” Britain’s energy chief said. “Renewables are now
the cheapest form of power to build and operate — and of course, much of this
reflects technological developments driven by what is happening here in China.”
“The U.K. and China share a recognition of the urgency of acting on the climate
crisis in our own countries and accelerating this transition around the world —
and we must work together to do so,” Miliband said, in his remarks obtained
through freedom of information law.
DOUGLAS ALEXANDER, ECONOMIC SECURITY MINISTER, APRIL 2025
During a trip to China in April last year, then-Trade Minister Douglas Alexander
met his counterpart to prepare to relaunch key trade and investment talks. The
trip wasn’t publicized by the U.K. side.
According to a Chinese government readout, the China-UK Joint Economic and Trade
Commission would promote “cooperation in trade and investment, and industrial
and supply chains” between Britain’s trade secretary and his Chinese equivalent.
After meeting Vice Minister and Deputy China International Trade Representative
Ling Ji, Minister Alexander gave a speech at China’s largest consumer goods
expo near the country’s southernmost point on the island province of Hainan.
Alexander extended his “sincere thanks” to China’s Ministry of Commerce and the
Hainan Provincial Government “for inviting the U.K. to be the country of honour
at this year’s expo.”
“We must speak often and candidly about areas of cooperation and, yes, of
contention too, where there are issues on which we disagree,” the trade policy
and economic security minister said, according to a redacted copy of his speech
obtained under freedom of information law.
“We are seeing joint ventures and collaboration between Chinese and U.K. firms
on a whole host of different areas … in renewable energy, in consumer goods, and
in banking and finance,” Alexander later told some of the 27 globally renowned
British retailers, including Wedgwood, in another speech during the U.K.
pavilion opening ceremony.
“We are optimistic about the potential for deeper trade and investment
cooperation — about the benefits this will bring to the businesses showcasing
here, and those operating throughout China’s expansive market.”
Germany and Italy on Friday backed an organization dedicated to fighting hybrid
threats and disinformation, weeks after the United States exited it and called
it “wasteful.”
Since the start of the war in Ukraine, Russia has hammered Europe with hybrid
attacks ranging from cyberattacks, destruction of property and transport links,
disinformation, drone incursions and even attempted assassinations. Analysts
argue the aim of the hybrid campaign is to reduce European support for Ukraine.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz met
in Rome to adopt a “plan of action for strategic bilateral and EU cooperation.”
In the joint plan, the two countries committed to “strengthening” the European
Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats.
The center was one of dozens of organizations from which U.S. President Donald
Trump withdrew in early January on the grounds that they were “wasteful,
ineffective, and harmful.”
Meloni and Merz committed to “exchange on hybrid threats, information resilience
and strategic communications,” as well as prioritizing a wide range of
cybersecurity policies such as the protection of critical infrastructure, cyber
capacity building projects and tackling cybercrime. They also said they will
“prioritize disruptive and dual-use technologies” for cyber defense.
The two European leaders also pushed to boost the EU’s intelligence-sharing
capacities, in particular the “hybrid fusion cell” within the EU Intelligence
and Situation Centre (EU INTCEN).