BEIJING — Keir Starmer wants to take the U.K. deeper into the European Union
single market — if Brussels will let him.
Speaking to reporters during a visit to China, the British prime minister said
he wanted to “go further” in aligning with the European market where it is “in
our national interest.”
In May last year Starmer effectively agreed to take the U.K. back into Brussels’
orbit in two sectors: agriculture and electricity.
Those agreements, which are currently being finalized, will see the U.K. follow
relevant EU regulations — in exchange for more seamless market access.
Seemingly buoyed by a positive reception and a smaller than anticipated
Brexiteer backlash, Starmer is now doubling down.
“I think the relationship with the EU and every summit should be iterative. We
should be seeking to go further,” the prime minister told reporters.
“And I think there are other areas in the single market where we should look to
see whether we can’t make more progress. That will depend on our discussions and
what we think is in our national interest.
“But what I’m indicating here is — I do think we can go further.”
The comments are a significant rhetorical shift for the Labour leader, whose
2024 election manifesto promised that “there will be no return to the single
market” — as well as the customs union or free movement.
While the Labour government has softened on the single market in office, it has
arguably hardened on the customs union.
Starmer told reporters that “the place to look is the single market, rather than
the customs union,” arguing that joining the latter would require unpicking
trade deals struck under Britain’s newly independent trade policy.
GOING SWISS?
While EU officials say they are always open to concrete U.K. proposals,
rejoining the single market sector-by-sector might not be entirely
straightforward.
Brussels agreed to British access for agriculture and electricity in part
because of pressure from European industry, which will arguably benefit from the
new arrangements as much as the British side.
But the dynamic is different in other sectors, where some European firms have
been able to thrive at the expense of their locked-out British competitors.
There will also be debates in Brussels about where the bloc should draw the line
in granting single market access to a country that does not accept the free
movement of people — a requirement other states like Norway and Switzerland must
respect.
Officials are also wary that the EU-U.K. relationship may come to resemble the
worst aspects of the Swiss one, a complicated mess of agreements which is
subject to endless renegotiation and widely disliked in Brussels.
CHEMICAL ATTRACTION
The prime minister would not elaborate on which sectors the U.K. should seek
agreements with the EU on, stating only that “we’re negotiating with the EU as
we go into the next summit.”
British officials say that for now they are focused on negotiating the
agreements promised at last May’s meeting.
One senior business representative in Brussels, granted anonymity because their
role does not authorize them to speak publicly, said alignment in sectors
including chemicals, cosmetics, and medical devices could be advantageous to
businesses on both sides of the English Channel.
As well as the agreements on electricity and agriculture, the U.K. and EU last
May agreed a security agreement to cooperate more closely on defense, and to
link their emissions trading systems to exempt each other from their respective
carbon border taxes.
They also agreed to establish a youth mobility scheme, which will see young
people get visas to live abroad for a limited period.
Starmer reiterated the U.K.’s position that “there has got to be a cap” on the
number of people who can take advantage of the scheme and “there has got to be a
duration agreed.”
“And it will be a visa-led scheme. All of our schemes are similar to that. We
are negotiating,” he added.
Dan Bloom reported from Beijing. Jon Stone reported from Brussels.
Tag - Electricity
KYIV — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said late Thursday he couldn’t
say whether U.S. President Donald Trump’s proposal of a weeklong truce would
work, but cast the initiative as an “opportunity.”
Trump’s ceasefire initiative is an attempt to spare the residents of Ukrainian
cities from an onslaught of Russian attacks that have plunged civilians into
sub-zero conditions by devastating their power grids and central heating
systems.
The U.S. president had said Thursday that he secured an assurance from Russian
President Vladimir Putin that Moscow’s forces would not fire on Ukrainian cities
during a period of bitter cold.
“This is an initiative of the American side and personally of the president of
the United States. We can regard it as an opportunity rather than an agreement.
Whether it will work or not, and what exactly will work, I cannot say at this
point. There is no ceasefire. There is no official agreement on a ceasefire, as
is typically reached during negotiations,” Zelenskyy told reporters Thursday
evening.
Zelenskyy said the prospect of such a truce reopened a long-running discussion
to de-escalate the war via an agreement that the Kremlin would stop destroying
Ukrainian energy infrastructure, and Kyiv would halt attacks on Russian oil
depots and refining facilities.
Zelenskyy said the Russians had not accepted such a deal last year and he
sounded skeptical about their sincerity this time.
“At that time, Russia’s responses to such de-escalation steps were negative. We
will see how it unfolds now,” he told the reporters.
DAMAGE ALREADY DONE
A truce would come very late, given the scale of damage already wrought by the
Russians.
In Kyiv, Russian forces have destroyed an entire power plant in the biggest
residential district, depriving almost 500,000 residents of heating and
electricity.
The situation is so dire that the European Commission had to send 447 emergency
generators worth €3.7 million, with individual countries, such as Germany and
Poland, also sending other energy equipment worth millions of euros to prevent a
humanitarian catastrophe in Kyiv and other cities.
The Ukrainians have hit back by striking Russian oil refineries and power plants
in Belgorod, and some other Russian cities within the range of strike
capabilities.
“The Americans said they want to raise the issue of de-escalation, with both
sides demonstrating certain steps toward refraining from the use of long-range
capabilities to create more space for diplomacy,” Zelenskyy said.
He added that Kyiv has agreed with the U.S. initiative, as it always agrees to
“all American rational ideas.”
“If Russia does not strike our energy infrastructure — generation facilities or
any other energy assets — we will not strike theirs. I believe this is the
answer the mediator of the negotiations, namely the United States of America,
was expecting,” Zelenskyy said.
Whether Russia is really serious about a ceasefire was another question,
Zelenskyy cautioned.
NEW BOMBARDMENT
Indeed, there was little sign of goodwill from the Russian side on Friday.
The Russian armed forces shelled Ukraine with more than 112 drones and various
missiles, the Ukrainian Air Force reported Friday.
Although Kyiv has not been attacked on Friday, and no strikes on energy
facilities were reported, the eastern region of Kharkiv was heavily shelled. Two
people there were wounded, and one person was killed, the governor, Oleh
Synegubov, said in a Telegram statement. Civilian infrastructure was hit and
power cables were damaged by the attacks. The air force also reported Russian
drones in Sumy, Dnipro and Chernihiv regions, as the attacks continued.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov also sounded skeptical about a ceasefire
on Thursday.
“We have spoken many times. President Vladimir Putin has often reminded us that
a truce, which is again being sought by Volodymyr Zelenskyy, at least for 60
days, and preferably longer, is unacceptable for us,” he told Turkish media.
Lavrov claimed all the previous periods in which Russia has slowed its
offensives were used by the West “to pump Ukraine with weapons, and restore the
strength of its army.”
Ed Miliband is the U.K. energy secretary and Dan Jørgensen is the EU
commissioner for energy.
The world has entered an era of greater uncertainty and instability than at any
other point in either of our lifetimes, and energy is now central to this
volatile age we find ourselves in.
In recent years, both Britain and Europe have paid a heavy price for our
exposure to the roller coaster of international fossil fuel markets. Russia’s
illegal invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sent global gas prices soaring — driving up
bills for families and businesses across the continent and leading to the worst
cost-of-living crisis our countries have faced in a generation.
Even as Europe rapidly cut its dependence on Russian gas and is now swiftly
moving toward a complete phaseout, exposure to fossil fuels remains the
Achilles’ heel of our energy systems. The reality is that relying so heavily on
fossil fuels — whether from Russia or elsewhere — can’t give us the energy
security and prosperity we need. It leaves us incredibly vulnerable to
international market volatility and pressure from external actors.
Like European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said: “As our energy
dependency on fossil fuels goes down, our energy security goes up.” This is why
Britain and the EU are committed to building Europe’s resources of homegrown
clean power, looking to increase our energy security, create well-paid jobs,
bring down bills and boost our industrial competitiveness, all while tackling
the climate crisis to protect future generations.
Today, nine European countries, alongside representatives from NATO and the
European Commission, are meeting in Hamburg for the third North Sea Summit to
act on this shared understanding.
Together, we can seize the North Sea’s vast potential as a clean energy
powerhouse — harness its natural resources, skilled workforce and highly
developed energy industries to lead the world in offshore wind, hydrogen and
carbon capture technologies.
Three years ago in Ostend, our countries united behind a pioneering goal to
deliver 300 gigawatts of offshore wind in the North Sea by 2050. Today in
Hamburg, we will double down on those commitments and pledge to jointly deliver
shared offshore wind projects.
With around $360 billion invested in clean energy in the EU just last year, and
wind and solar overtaking fossil-fuel-generated power for the first time, this
is an historic pact that builds on the clean power momentum we’re seeing all
across Europe. And this unprecedented fleet of projects will harness the
abundant energy waiting right on our doorstep, so that we can deliver cheap and
secure power to homes and businesses, cut infrastructure costs and meet rising
electricity demand.
Everything we’re seeing points to a clean energy economy that is booming.
Indeed, earlier this month Britain held the most successful offshore wind
auction in European history, delivering enough clean energy to power 12 million
homes — a significant vote of confidence in Britain and Europe’s drive to regain
control of our energy supplies.
We believe there is huge value in working together, with our neighbors and
allies, to build this future — a future that delivers on shared energy
infrastructure, builds strong and resilient supply chains, and includes talks on
the U.K.’s participation in the European electricity market. Strengthening such
partnerships can help unlock investment, reduce our collective exposure to
fossil fuels and bring down energy costs for our citizens.
This speaks to a wider truth: An uncertain age makes cooperating on the basis of
our shared interests and values more important — not less.
By accelerating our drive to clean energy, today’s summit will be fundamental in
delivering the energy security and prosperity Europe desperately needs.
KYIV — Without electricity for 12 hours a day, the fridge is no longer any use.
But it’s a stable minus 10 degrees Celsius on the balcony, so I store my food
there. Outside today you’ll find chicken soup, my favorite vegetable salad and
even my birthday cake — all staying fresh in the biting chill.
This is the latest terror the Russians have inflicted on our capital — during
the cruelest winter since their all-out invasion began in February 2022. They
have smashed our energy grids and central heating networks with relentless drone
attacks; the frost then does the rest, caking power cables and heating pipes in
thick ice that prevents repairs.
At times the temperature drops to minus 20 C and the frost permeates my
apartment, its crystals covering the windows and invading the walls. Russia’s
latest attack disrupted heating for 5,600 residential buildings in Kyiv,
including mine.
My daily routine now includes interspersing work with a lot of walking up and
down from the 14th floor of my apartment block, carrying liters of water, most
importantly to my grandmother.
Granny turned 80 last year. Her apartment at least has a gas stove, meaning we
can pour boiling water into rubber hot water bottles and tie them to her body.
“Why can’t anyone do anything to make Putin stop?” she cries, complaining that
the cold gnaws into every bone of her body.
The Kremlin’s attempt to freeze us to death has been declared a national
emergency, and millions of Ukrainians have certainly had it harder than I. Many
have been forced to move out and stay in other cities, while others practically
live in malls or emergency tents where they can work and charge their phones and
laptops.
FEELING FORGOTTEN
Kyiv is crying out for help, but our plight rarely makes the headlines these
days. All the attention now seems focused on a potential U.S. invasion of
Greenland. Our president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, complains he now has to fight
tooth-and-nail to secure deliveries of air-defense missiles from allies in
Europe and America.
“In these times when so many lives are being lost … you still have to fight for
all these missiles for various air defenses. You beg for them, squeeze them out
by force,” he said.
His outrage that Ukraine’s allies are losing interest has struck a bitter chord
this winter. The West’s reluctance to give us security guarantees makes us feel
the Kremlin’s crimes are being normalized. Watching Greenland only makes us more
afraid. Many Ukrainians no longer believe international law can do anything to
rein in the world’s superpowers. Might is right, once again.
We are living through what happens when an unchecked superpower is allowed to
kill at will. Russia’s goal is to break our defiance, mentally and physically.
Weapons designed to sink warships are being turned against our power plants,
government buildings and apartments.
KEEP GOING
When you’re forced to shiver in the dark for so long, deprived of sleep by
nightly missile barrages, you can quickly slide into despair.
“What can I do to cheer you up, Mom?” I asked via a late-night WhatsApp message.
“Do something with Putin,” she replied sarcastically, adding she can handle
everything else. That means getting up and working every day, no matter how cold
or miserable she feels.
Veronika Melkozerova/POLITICO
Whenever workers manage to restore the grid after yet another attack, the light
brings with it a brief moment of elation, then a huge to-do list. We charge our
gadgets, fill bottles and buckets with water, cook our food — and then put it
out on our balconies.
What’s inspiring is the genuine sense that people will carry on and keep the
country running — even though there’s no end in sight to this sub-zero terror.
Just do your job, pay your rent, pay your taxes, keep the country afloat. That’s
the mission.
So much of the city functions regardless. I can get my granny an emergency
dental surgery appointment the same day. Recently, when I went for my evening
Pilates — ’cause what else you gonna do in the dark and cold — I saw a woman
defiantly getting a manicure in her coat and hat, from a manicurist who wore a
flashlight strapped to her head.
Bundled-up couriers still deliver food, but the deal is they won’t climb beyond
the fifth floor, so those of us up on the 14th have to go down to meet them.
Personally, I have access to any kind of food — from our iconic borscht to
sushi. I can charge my gadgets and find warmth and shelter at a mall down the
street. The eternally humming generators, many of them gifts from Ukrainian
businesses and European allies, rekindle memories of a European unity that now
seems faded.
Critically, everything comes back to the resilience of the people. Amid all the
despair, you see your fellow Ukrainians — people labeled as weak, or bad
managers — pressing on with their duties and chores at temperatures where
hypothermia and frostbite are a real danger.
That’s not to say cracks aren’t showing. The central and local governments have
been passing the buck over who failed to prepare Kyiv for this apocalypse. Some
streets are covered with ice, with municipal services having to fight frost and
the consequences of Russian bombing at the same time.
But there’s a real solidarity, a sense that all of us have to dig in — just like
our army, our air defenses, our energy workers and rescue services. I find it
impossible not to love our nation as it endures endless murderous onslaughts
from a superpower. No matter how hard the Russians try to make our lives
unbearable, we’re going to make it.
LONDON — Prime Minister Keir Starmer usually goes out of his way not to annoy
Donald Trump. So he better hope the windmill-hating U.S. president doesn’t
notice what the U.K. just did.
In a fillip for the global offshore wind industry, Starmer’s government on
Wednesday announced its biggest-ever down payment on the technology.
It agreed to price guarantees, funded by billpayers to the tune of up to £1.8
billion (€2.08 billion) a year, for eight major projects in England, Scotland
and Wales.
The schemes have the capacity to generate 8.4 gigawatts of electricity, the U.K.
energy department said — enough to power 12 million homes. It represented the
biggest “wind auction in Europe to date,” said industry group WindEurope.
It’s also an energy strategy that could have been tailor-made to rankle Trump.
The U.S. president has repeatedly expressed a profound loathing for wind
turbines and has tried to use his powers to halt construction on projects
already underway in the U.S. — sending shockwaves across the global industry.
Even when appearing alongside Starmer at press conferences, Trump has been
unable to hide his disgust at the very sight of windmills.
“You are paying in Scotland and in the U.K. … to have these ugly monsters all
over the place,” he said, sitting next to Starmer during a visit to his
Turnberry golf course last year.
The spinning blades, Trump complained, would “kill all your birds.”
At the time, the prime minister explained meekly that the U.K. was seeking a
“mix” of energy sources. But this week’s investments speak far louder about his
government’s priorities.
The U.K.’s strategy — part of a plan to run the British power grid on 95 percent
clean electricity by 2030 — is a clear signal that for all Starmer’s attempts to
appease Trump, the U.K. will not heed Washington’s assertions that fossil fuels
are the only way to deliver affordable bills and secure supply.
“With these results, Britain is taking back control of our energy sovereignty,”
said Starmer’s Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, a former leader of the Labour
party.
“With these results, Britain is taking back control of our energy sovereignty,”
said Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. | Pool photo by Justin Tallis via Getty
Images
While not mentioning Trump or the U.S., he said the U.K. wanted to “stand on our
two feet” and not depend on “markets controlled by petrostates and dictators.”
WIND VS. GAS
The goal of the U.K.’s offshore wind drive is to reduce reliance on gas for
electricity generation.
One of the most gas-dependent countries in Europe, the U.K. was hit hard in 2022
by the regional gas price spike that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The
government ended up spending tens of billions of pounds to pay a portion of
every household energy bill in the country to fend off widespread hardship.
It’s a scenario that Miliband and Starmer want to avoid in future by focusing on
producing electricity from domestic sources like offshore wind that are not
subject to the ups and downs of global fossil fuel markets.
Trump, by contrast, wants to keep Europe hooked on gas — specifically, American
gas.
The U.S. National Security Strategy, updated late last year, states Trump’s
desire to use American fossil fuel exports to “project power.” Trump has already
strong-armed the European Union into committing to buy $750 billion worth of
American liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a quid pro quo for tariff relief.
No one in Starmer’s government explicitly named Trump or the U.S. on Wednesday.
But Chris Stark, a senior official in Miliband’s energy department tasked with
delivering the 2030 goal, noted that “every megawatt of offshore wind that we’re
bringing on is a few more metric tons of LNG that we don’t need to import.”
The U.K.’s investment in offshore wind also provides welcome relief to a global
industry that has been seriously shaken both by soaring inflation and interest
rates — and more recently by a Trump-inspired backlash against net zero and
clean energy.
“It’s a relief for the offshore sector … It’s a relief generally, that the U.K.
government is able to lean into very large positive investment stories in U.K.
infrastructure,” said Tom Glover, U.K. country chair of the German energy firm
RWE, which was the biggest winner in the latest offshore wind investment,
securing contracts for 6.9 gigawatts of capacity.
A second energy industry figure, granted anonymity because they were not
authorized to speak on the record, said the U.K.’s plans were a “great signal
for the global offshore wind sector” after a difficult few years — “not least
the stuff in the U.S.”
The other big winner was British firm SSE, which has plans to build one of the
world’s largest-ever offshore wind projects, Berwick Bank — off the coast of
Donald Trump’s beloved Scotland.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Kyiv is moving to step up
pressure on Moscow with new operations targeting Russia, following a week of
Russian attacks that knocked out power to Ukrainian cities as freezing
temperatures set in.
“Some of the operations have already been felt by the Russians. Some are still
underway,” Zelenskyy said in his nightly address Saturday. “ I also approved new
ones.”
Zelenskyy said Ukraine’s actions include deep strikes and special measures aimed
at weakening Russia’s capacity to continue the war. “We are actively defending
ourselves, and every Russian loss brings the end of the war closer,” he said.
He declined to provide details, saying it was “too early” to speak publicly
about certain operations, but stressed that Ukraine’s security services and
special forces are operating effectively.
As part of Kyiv’s efforts to reduce Russia’s offensive capabilities, Ukrainian
forces attacked the Zhutovskaya oil depot in Russia’s Volgograd region overnight
Saturday, the General Staff said in a post on social media.
Zelenskyy’s comments come after a week of escalating Russian strikes on
Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, which left the regions of Zaporizhzhia and
Dnipropetrovsk without electricity and heating as temperatures plunged well
below zero.
In the capital, renewed attacks killed at least four people and injured 25
others. The city’s mayor urged residents who could leave to do so, as roughly
half of Kyiv’s apartment buildings were left without power or heat.
Russia also launched a nuclear-capable Oreshnik ballistic missile at Ukraine’s
Lviv region on Thursday, striking near the EU and NATO border as part of a
massive barrage.
LONDON — Choosing your Brexit camp was once the preserve of Britain’s Tories.
Now Labour is joining in the fun.
Six years after Britain left the EU, a host of loose — and mostly overlapping —
groupings in the U.K.’s ruling party are thinking about precisely how close to
try to get to the bloc.
They range from customs union enthusiasts to outright skeptics — with plenty of
shades of grey in between.
There’s a political urgency to all of this too: with Prime Minister Keir Starmer
tanking in the polls, the Europhile streak among many Labour MPs and members
means Brexit could become a key issue for anyone who would seek to replace him.
“The more the screws and pressure have been on Keir around leadership, the more
we’ve seen that play to the base,” said one Labour MP, granted anonymity like
others quoted in this piece to speak frankly. Indeed, Starmer started the new
year explicitly talking up closer alignment with the European Union’s single
market.
At face value, nothing has changed: Starmer’s comments reflect his existing
policy of a “reset” with Brussels. His manifesto red lines on not rejoining
the customs union or single market remain. Most of his MPs care more about
aligning than how to get there. In short, this is not like the Tory wars of the
late 2010s.
Well, not yet. POLITICO sketches out Labour’s nascent Brexit tribes.
THE CUSTOMS UNIONISTS
It all started with a Christmas walk. Health Secretary Wes Streeting told an
interviewer he desires a “deeper trading relationship” with the EU — widely
interpreted as hinting at joining a customs union.
This had been a whispered topic in Labour circles for a while, discussed
privately by figures including Starmer’s economic adviser Minouche Shafik.
Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy said last month that rejoining a customs union
is not “currently” government policy — which some took as a hint that the
position could shift.
But Streeting’s leadership ambitions (he denies plotting for the top job) and
his willingness to describe Brexit as a problem gave his comments an elevated
status among Labour Europhiles.
“This has really come from Wes’s leadership camp,” said one person who talks
regularly to No. 10 Downing Street. Naomi Smith, CEO of the pro-EU pressure
group Best for Britain, added any Labour leadership contest will be dominated by
the Brexit question. MPs and members who would vote in a race “are even further
ahead than the public average on all of those issues relating to Europe,” she
argued.
Joining a customs union would in theory allow smoother trade without returning
to free movement of people. But Labour critics of a customs union policy —
including Starmer himself — argue it is a non-starter because it would mean
tearing up post-Brexit agreements with other countries such as India and the
U.S. “It’s just absolutely nonsense,” said a second Labour MP.
Keir Starmer has argued that the customs union route would mean hard
conversations with workers in the car industry after Britain secured a U.K.-U.S.
tariff deal last summer. | Colin McPherson/Getty Images
And since Streeting denies plotting and did not even mention a customs union by
name, the identities of the players pushing for one are understandably murky
beyond the 13 Labour MPs who backed a Liberal Democrat bill last month requiring
the government to begin negotiations on joining a bespoke customs union with the
EU.
One senior Labour official said “hardly any” MPs back it, while a minister said
there was no organized group, only a vague idea. “There are people who don’t
really know what it is, but realize Brexit has been painful and the economy
needs a stimulus,” they said. “And there are people who do know what this means
and they effectively want to rejoin. For people who know about trade, this is an
absolute non-starter.”
Anand Menon, director of the UK in a Changing Europe think tank, said a full
rejoining of the EU customs union would mean negotiating round a suite of
“add-ons” — and no nations have secured this without also being in the EU single
market. (Turkey has a customs union with the EU, but does not benefit from the
EU’s wider trade agreements.) “I’m not convinced the customs union works without
the single market,” Menon added.
Starmer has argued that the customs union route would mean hard conversations
with workers in the car industry after Britain secured a U.K.-U.S. tariff deal
last summer, a person with knowledge of his thinking said.
“When you read anything from any economically literate commentator, the customs
union is not their go-to,” added the senior Labour official quoted above. “Keir
is really strong on it. He fully believes it isn’t a viable route in the
national interest or economic interest.”
THE SINGLE MARKETEERS (A.K.A. THE GOVERNMENT)
Starmer and his allies, then, want to park the customs union and get closer to
the single market.
Paymaster General Nick Thomas-Symonds has long led negotiations along these
lines through Labour’s existing EU “reset.” He and Starmer recently discussed
post-Brexit policy on a walk through the grounds of the PM’s country retreat,
Chequers.
Working on the detail with Thomas-Symonds is Michael Ellam, the former director
of communications for ex-PM Gordon Brown, now a senior civil servant in the
Cabinet Office. Ellam is “a really highly regarded, serious guy” and attends
regular meetings with Brussels officials, said a second person who speaks
regularly to No. 10.
A bill is due to be introduced to the U.K. parliament by summer which will allow
“dynamic” alignment with new EU laws in areas of agreement. Two people with
knowledge of his role said the bill will be steered through parliament by
Cabinet Office Minister Chris Ward, Starmer’s former aide and close ally, who
was by his side when Starmer was shadow Brexit secretary during the “Brexit
wars” of the late 2010s.
Starmer himself talked up this approach in a rare long-form interview this week
with BBC host Laura Kuenssberg, saying: “We are better looking to the single
market rather than the customs union for our further alignment.” While the PM’s
allies insist he simply answered a question, some of his MPs spy a need to seize
back the pro-EU narrative.
The second person who talks regularly to No. 10 argued a “relatively small …
factional leadership challenge group around Wes” is pushing ideas around a
customs union, while Starmer wants to “not match that but bypass it, and say
actually, we’re doing something more practical and potentially bigger.”
A third Labour MP was blunter about No. 10’s messaging: “They’re terrified and
they’re worrying about an internal leadership challenge.”
Starmer’s allies argue that their approach is pragmatic and recognizes what the
EU will actually be willing to accept.
Christabel Cooper, director of research at the pro-Labour think tank Labour
Together — which plans polling and focus groups in the coming months to test
public opinion on the issue — said: “We’ve talked to a few trade experts and
economists, and actually the customs union is not all that helpful. To get a
bigger bang for your buck, you do need to go down more of a single market
alignment route.”
Stella Creasy argued that promising a Swiss-style deal in Labour’s next election
manifesto (likely in 2029) would benefit the economy — far more than the “reset”
currently on the table. | Nicola Tree/Getty Images
Nick Harvey, CEO of the pro-EU pressure group European Movement UK, concurred:
“The fact that they’re now talking about a fuller alignment towards the single
market is very good news, and shows that to make progress economically and to
make progress politically, they simply have to do this.”
But critics point out there are still big questions about what alignment will
look like — or more importantly, what the EU will go for.
The bill will include areas such as food standards, animal welfare, pesticide
use, the EU’s electricity market and carbon emissions trading, but talks on all
of these remain ongoing. Negotiations to join the EU’s defense framework, SAFE,
stalled over the costs to Britain.
Menon said: “I just don’t see what [Starmer] is spelling out being practically
possible. Even at the highest levels there has been, under the Labour Party,
quite a degree of ignorance, I think, about how the EU works and what the EU
wants.
“I’ve heard Labour MPs say, well, they’ve got a veterinary deal with New
Zealand, so how hard can it be? And you want to say, I don’t know if you’ve
noticed, but New Zealand doesn’t have a land border with the EU.”
THE SWISS BANKERS
Then there are Europhile MPs, peers and campaigners who back aligning with the
single market — but going much further than Starmer.
For some this takes the form of a “Swiss-style” deal, which would allow single
market access for some sectors without rejoining the customs union.
This would plough through Starmer’s red lines by reintroducing EU freedom of
movement, along with substantial payments to Brussels.
But Stella Creasy, chair of the Labour Movement for Europe (LME), argued that
promising a Swiss-style deal in Labour’s next election manifesto (likely in
2029) would benefit the economy — far more than the “reset” currently on the
table. She said: “If you could get a Swiss-style deal and put it in the
manifesto … that would be enough for businesses to invest.”
Creasy said LME has around 150 MPs as members and holds regular briefings for
them. While few Labour MPs back a Swiss deal — and various colleagues see Creasy
as an outlier — she said MPs and peers, including herself, plan to put forward
amendments to the dynamic alignment bill when it goes through parliament.
Tom Baldwin, Starmer’s biographer and the former communications director of the
People’s Vote campaign (which called for a second referendum on Brexit), also
suggests Labour could go further in 2029. “Keir Starmer’s comments at the
weekend about aligning with — and gaining access to — the single market open up
a whole range of possibilities,” he said. “At the low end, this is a pragmatic
choice by a PM who doesn’t want to be forced to choose between Europe and
America.
“At the upper end, it suggests Labour may seek a second term mandate at the next
election by which the U.K. would get very close to rejoining the single market.
That would be worth a lot more in terms of economic growth and national
prosperity than the customs union deal favoured by the Lib Dems.”
A third person who speaks regularly to No. 10 called it a “boil the frog
strategy.” They added: “You get closer and closer and then maybe … you go into
the election saying ‘we’ll try to negotiate something more single markety or
customs uniony.’”
THE REJOINERS?
Labour’s political enemies (and some of its supporters) argue this could all
lead even further — to rejoining the EU one day.
“Genuinely, I am not advocating rejoin now in any sense because it’s a 10-year
process,” said Creasy, who is about as Europhile as they come in Labour. “Our
European counterparts would say ‘hang on a minute, could you actually win a
referendum, given [Reform UK Leader and Brexiteer Nigel] Farage is doing so
well?’”
With Prime Minister Keir Starmer tanking in the polls, the Europhile streak
among many Labour MPs and members means Brexit could become a key issue for
anyone who would seek to replace him. | Tom Nicholson/Getty Images
Simon Opher, an MP and member of the Mainstream Labour group closely aligned
with Burnham, said rejoining was “probably for a future generation” as “the
difficulty is, would they want us back?”
But look into the soul of many Labour politicians, and they would love to still
be in the bloc — even if they insist rejoining is not on the table now.
Andy Burnham — the Greater Manchester mayor who has flirted with the leadership
— remarked last year that he would like to rejoin the EU in his lifetime (he’s
56). London Mayor Sadiq Khan said “in the medium to long term, yes, of course, I
would like to see us rejoining.” In the meantime Khan backs membership of the
single market and customs union, which would still go far beyond No. 10’s red
lines.
THE ISSUES-LED MPS
Then there are the disparate — yet overlapping — groups of MPs whose views on
Europe are guided by their politics, their constituencies or their professional
interests.
To Starmer’s left, backbench rebels including Richard Burgon and Dawn Butler
backed the push toward a customs union by the opposition Lib Dems. The members
of the left-wing Socialist Campaign Group frame their argument around fears
Labour will lose voters to other progressive parties, namely the Lib Dems,
Greens and SNP, if they fail to show adequate bonds with Europe. Some other,
more centrist MPs fear similar.
Labour MPs with a military background or in military-heavy seats also want the
U.K. and EU to cooperate further. London MP Calvin Bailey, who spent more than
two decades in the Royal Air Force, endorsed closer security relations between
Britain and France through greater intelligence sharing and possibly permanent
infrastructure. Alex Baker, whose Aldershot constituency is known as the home of
the British Army, backed British involvement in a global Defense, Security and
Resilience Bank, arguing it could be key to a U.K.-EU Defence and Security Pact.
The government opted against joining such a scheme.
Parliamentarians keen for young people to bag more traveling rights were buoyed
by a breakthrough on Erasmus+ membership for British students at the end of last
year. More than 60 Labour MPs earlier signed a letter calling for a youth
mobility scheme allowing 18 to 30-year-olds expanded travel opportunities on
time limited visas. It was organized by Andrew Lewin, the Welywn Hatfield MP,
and signatories included future Home Office Minister Mike Tapp (then a
backbencher).
Labour also has an influential group of rural MPs, most elected in 2024, who are
keen to boost cooperation and cut red tape for farmers. Rural MP Steve
Witherden, on the party’s left, said: “Three quarters of Welsh food and drink
exports go straight to the EU … regulatory alignment is a top priority for rural
Labour MPs. Success here could point the way towards closer ties with Europe in
other sectors.”
THE NOT-SO-SECRET EUROPHILES (A.K.A. ALL OF THE ABOVE)
Many Labour figures argue that all of the above are actually just one mega-group
— Labour MPs who want to be closer to Brussels, regardless of the mechanism.
Menon agreed Labour camps are not formalized because most Labour MPs agree on
working closely with Brussels. “I think it’s a mishmash,” he said. But he added:
“I think these tribes will emerge or develop because there’s an intra-party
fight looming, and Brexit is one of the issues people use to signal where they
stand.”
A fourth Labour MP agreed: “I didn’t think there was much of a distinction
between the camps of people who want to get closer to the EU. The first I heard
of that was over the weekend.”
The senior Labour official quoted above added: “I don’t think it cuts across
tribes in such a clear way … a broader group of people just want us to move
faster in terms of closeness into the EU, in terms of a whole load of things. I
don’t think it fits neatly.”
For years MPs were bound by a strategy of talking little about Brexit because it
was so divisive with Labour’s voter base. That shifted over 2025. Labour
advisers were buoyed by polls showing a rise in “Bregret” among some who voted
for Brexit in 2016, as well as changing demographics (bluntly, young voters come
of age while older voters die).
No. 10 aides also noted last summer that Farage, the leader of the right-wing
populist party Reform UK, was making Brexit less central to his campaigning.
Some aides (though others dispute this) credit individual advisers such as Tim
Allan, No. 10’s director of communications, as helping a more openly EU-friendly
media strategy into being.
For all the talk of tribes and camps, Labour doesn’t have warring Brexit
factions in the same way that the Tories did at the height of the EU divorce in
the 2010s. | Jakub Porzycki/Getty Images
THE BLUE LABOUR HOLDOUTS
Not everyone in Labour wants to hug Brussels tight.
A small but significant rump of Labour MPs, largely from the socially
conservative Blue Labour tribe, is anxious that pursuing closer ties could be
seen as a rejection of the Brexit referendum — and a betrayal of voters in
Leave-backing seats who are looking to Reform.
One of them, Liverpool MP Dan Carden, said the failure of both London and
Brussels to strike a recent deal on defense funding, even amid threats from
Russia, showed Brussels is not serious.
“Any Labour MP who thinks that the U.K. can get closer to the single market or
the customs union without giving up freedoms and taking instruction from an EU
that we’re not a part of is living in cloud cuckoo land,” he said.
A similar skepticism of the EU’s authority is echoed by the Tony Blair Institute
(TBI), led by one of the most pro-European prime ministers in Britain’s history.
The TBI has been meeting politicians in Brussels and published a paper
translated into French, German and Italian in a bid to shape the EU’s future
from within.
Ryan Wain, the TBI’s senior director for policy and politics, argued: “We live
in a G2 world where there are two superpowers, China and the U.S. By the middle
of this century there will likely be three, with India. To me, it’s just abysmal
that Europe isn’t mentioned in that at all. It has massive potential to adapt
and reclaim its influence, but that opportunity needs to be unlocked.”
Such holdouts enjoy a strange alliance with left-wing Euroskeptics
(“Lexiteers”), who believe the EU does not have the interests of workers at its
heart. But few of these were ever in Labour and few remain; former Leader Jeremy
Corbyn has long since been cast out.
At the same time many Labour MPs in Leave-voting areas, who opposed efforts to
stop Brexit in the late 2010s, now support closer alignment with Brussels to
help their local car and chemical industries.
As such, there are now 20 or fewer MPs holding their noses on closer alignment.
Just three Labour MPs, including fellow Blue Labour supporter Jonathan Brash,
voted against a bill supporting a customs union proposed by the centrist,
pro-Europe Lib Dems last month.
WHERE WILL IT ALL END?
For all the talk of tribes and camps, Labour doesn’t have warring Brexit
factions in the same way that the Tories did at the height of the EU divorce in
the 2010s. Most MPs agree on closer alignment with the EU; the question is how
they get there.
Even so, Menon has a warning from the last Brexit wars. Back in the late 2010s,
Conservative MPs would jostle to set out their positions — workable or
otherwise. The crowded field just made negotiations with Brussels harder. “We
end up with absolutely batshit stupid positions when viewed from the EU,” said
Menon, “because they’re being derived as a function of the need to position
yourself in a British political party.”
But few of these were ever in Labour and few remain; former Leader Jeremy Corbyn
has long since been cast out. | Seiya Tanase/Getty Images
The saving grace could be that most Labour MPs are united by a deeper gut
feeling about the EU — one that, Baldwin argues, is reflected in Starmer
himself.
The PM’s biographer said: “At heart, Keir Starmer is an outward-looking
internationalist whose pro-European beliefs are derived from what he calls the
‘blood-bond’ of 1945 and shared values, rather than the more transactional trade
benefits of 1973,” when Britain joined the European Economic Community.
All that remains is to turn a “blood-bond” into hard policy. Simple, right?
KYIV — The Russian army attacked Ukraine with more than 90 killer drones in the
early hours of Thursday morning, causing complete blackouts in the key
industrial regions of Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv’s energy ministry reported.
“While energy workers managed to restore power in the Zaporizhzhia region in the
morning, some 800,000 households in the nearby Dnipro region were still without
electricity and heating on Thursday morning,” Artem Nekrasov, acting energy
minister of Ukraine, said during a morning briefing.
In Dnipro, eight coal mines stopped working because of a power outage. All the
miners were safely evacuated to the surface, Nekrasov added. Power outages were
also reported in Chernihiv, Kyiv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Poltava and other regions.
Freezing weather is coming to Ukraine over the next three days, with
temperatures forecast to drop to minus 20° C during the night, when Russia often
launches massive missile and drone attacks.
Precipitation and cold could cause additional electricity supply disruptions due
to snow accumulating on power lines, Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko
said Wednesday evening.
“Ukraine’s energy system is under enemy attack every day, and energy workers
work in extremely difficult conditions to provide people with light and heat.
Deteriorating weather conditions create additional stress on critical
infrastructure. We are working to minimize the consequences of bad weather,”
Svyrydenko added.
Local governors in the eastern regions of Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro reported that
hospitals and other critical infrastructure had to turn to emergency power
supplies because of the latest Russian attack.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked Ukrainian energy workers for the speedy
power restoration in Zaporizhzhia, and used the opportunity to remind Kyiv’s
partners around the world they need to respond “to this deliberate torment of
the Ukrainian people by Russia.”
“There is absolutely no military rationale in such strikes on the energy sector
and infrastructure that leave people without electricity and heating in
wintertime. This is Russia’s war specifically against our people, against life
in Ukraine — an attempt to break Ukraine,” Zelenskyy added.
LONDON — The government is preparing a bill that will give overarching powers to
allow the U.K. to align with the EU over a wide suite of areas to give legal
shape to their “reset” deal with the bloc.
One U.K. official said a bill is due to be introduced to parliament this spring
or summer, establishing a legal framework for U.K.-EU alignment.
These potential areas include food standards, animal welfare, pesticide use, the
EU’s electricity market and carbon emissions trading, according to the official,
who was granted anonymity to speak freely about the plans.
The bill would create a new framework for the U.K. government and devolved
administrations to adopt new EU laws when they are passed in Brussels.
It raises the prospect that new EU laws in agreed areas will effectively
transfer to the U.K. statute book automatically, with Britain retaining the
power to veto them in specific cases. U.K. officials stress that the exact form
the powers will take has not yet been decided.
The U.K. is currently negotiating a Brexit “reset” agreement with the bloc,
including an agrifood deal, plans to link its emissions trading system with the
EU’s and reintegrating electricity markets.
Britain is still seeking carve-outs as part of these deals, the official said,
making it too early to say exactly where alignment will happen and what it will
look like.
News of the scope of the bill comes after EU Relations Minister Nick
Thomas-Symonds said in August last year that parliament would “rightly have a
say” on alignment with new EU rules in a speech delivered to The Spectator.
He has insisted that the U.K. will still “have decision-shaping rights when new
EU policies are made.”
The U.K. government has been approached for comment.
BERLIN — An extreme left-wing group has claimed responsibility for an arson
attack that caused a blackout affecting about 45,000 households and more than
2,000 businesses in Berlin over the weekend.
“This isn’t just arson or sabotage. It’s terrorism,” Berlin’s Mayor Kai Wegner
said Sunday of the attack, which burned through a cable connected to one of the
city’s largest gas-fired power plants.
Members of the so-called Vulkan Group, known for similar attacks on critical
infrastructure in the past, claimed responsibility for the sabotage in a letter
titled: “Cutting off power to those in power,” which was published online.
“In the greed for energy, the earth is being depleted, sucked dry, burned,
ravaged, burned down, raped, destroyed,” the group, which is listed by Berlin’s
intelligence services as a left-wing extremist organization, said in the letter.
“The aim of the action is to cause significant damage to the gas industry and
the greed for energy,” its authors wrote. The group has used similar means to
communicate in the past, and Berlin police believed the letter to be genuine.
With temperatures below freezing in the German capital, schools and
kindergartens in the southern districts affected by the power outage remained
closed on Monday morning. Around 30,000 households and approximately 1,700
businesses were still without power on the third day of the power outage. Full
restoration of supply is expected to take until Thursday.
The city’s energy senator, Franziska Giffey told POLITICO’s Berlin Playbook
Podcast on Monday that Berlin’s critical infrastructure needed better
protection.
“There is a great deal of public information about our critical infrastructure
that we need to publish and make transparent. In the future, we will have to
consider how we can handle this differently and how we can protect ourselves
even better against these issues,” she said.
In a separate interview with Berlin’s public broadcaster rbb, Giffey said
prosecutors at the national level would need to assist with the investigation.
“The question is, are these just left-wing activist groups acting on behalf of
ideology, or is there more to it than that? That absolutely must be
investigated,” said the politician from the center-left Social Democratic Party
that governs Berlin in a coalition with Wegner’s conservatives.
“This is not just an attack on our infrastructure, but also an attack on our
free society.”
Josh Groeneveld and Rixa Fürsen contributed to this report.