U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday threatened to send federal immigration
agents to airports across the country on Monday if Democrats don’t agree to end
the Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now approaching five weeks.
“If the Radical Left Democrats don’t immediately sign an agreement to let our
Country, in particular, our Airports, be FREE and SAFE again, I will move our
brilliant and patriotic ICE Agents to the Airports where they will do Security
like no one has ever seen before, including the immediate arrest of all Illegal
Immigrants who have come into our Country,” he wrote.
“Illegal Immigrants who have come into our Country, with heavy emphasis on those
from Somalia” would be targeted with an especially firm hand, the president
wrote on Truth Social.
Shortly thereafter, Trump followed up to say he plans to send ICE to airports in
just days.
“I look forward to moving ICE in on Monday, and have already told them to, ‘GET
READY.’ NO MORE WAITING, NO MORE GAMES!” he wrote in a separate Truth Social
post on Saturday.
It’s his latest bid to push Democrats, who have refused to greenlight DHS
funding without changes to how it carries out immigration enforcement, pointing
to deadly incidents as Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents descended en
masse on major American cities. Increased callouts among TSA agents and airport
staffers are expected to roil airports in the coming weeks, with major
interruptions to airport procedure likely to follow.
Both sides have seemingly made progress in recent days toward ending the
shutdown. The White House made several concessions on immigration enforcement
policies in a proposal shared with Senate Democrats on Friday. But the ICE agent
masking ban Democrats are seeking in exchange for their support on a funding
package remains a bridge too far, Republicans argue.
Trump’s latest threat isn’t likely to make the prospects of a truce any more
viable, especially given his focus on Minnesota, where tensions flared after
federal immigration agents killed two protesters during a major surge of
personnel in January.
In a post on X following Trump’s threat, Rep. Lauren Boebert said, “The airport
in Minnesota is about to be a ghost town.”
The president’s threat Saturday lands squarely in the middle of a confirmation
fight over his pick to run DHS, Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.), a process that
has quickly become a proxy battle over the future of ICE itself.
At his hearing this week, Mullin tried to strike a more measured tone than in
some of his past remarks, pledging to rein in some enforcement tactics and lower
the agency’s public profile. But he repeatedly defended ICE agents amid mounting
scrutiny, including backing officers involved in high-profile civilian deaths
and arguing Democrats are tying the agency’s hands.
Republicans — including Mullin — have instead pushed to expand ICE’s resources
and authority, framing the standoff as a fight over public safety.
The backdrop is the messy ouster of Kristi Noem, whose tenure was defined by
aggressive deportation policies, costly PR campaigns and a series of
controversies that ultimately led Trump to push her out after a bruising round
of congressional hearings.
The enforcement-heavy approach Trump threatened Saturday sets up a preview for
what Mullin will perhaps be asked to defend — and potentially formalize — as the
next head of DHS.
ICE and the Transportation Security Administration did not immediately respond
to requests for comment from POLITICO.
Tag - Enforcement
LONDON — The U.K.’s media regulator Ofcom fined 4chan £450,000 on Thursday for
failing to comply with age check requirements under the Online Safety Act.
The regulator also levied two additional fines of £50,000 and £20,000 on the
company for not assessing the risk of users encountering illegal material and
failing to specify in its terms of service how they are to be protected from
such content, respectively.
Ofcom previously fined 4chan £20,000 for failing to respond to to requests for
information from the regulator.
4chan has until 2 April to implement age assurance, carry out a “suitable and
sufficient” illegal harms risk assessment, and rewrite its terms of service or
face a daily penalty of £200.
“Companies – wherever they’re based – are not allowed to sell unsafe toys to
children in the U.K. And society has long protected youngsters from things like
alcohol, smoking and gambling. The digital world should be no different,”
Suzanne Cater, Ofcom’s director of enforcement, said in a statement.
4chan did not immediately respond when contacted for comment.
A top Pentagon official told lawmakers Tuesday that existing military operations
targeting Latin American drug cartels are “just the beginning” — and left open
the possibility of deploying ground forces even as lethal boat strikes against
alleged smugglers continue indefinitely.
The comments from Joseph Humire, acting assistant secretary of defense for
homeland defense, during a House Armed Services Committee hearing raised
immediate concerns from congressional Democrats who said the efforts appear to
be another “forever war” without clear goals or a stated end date.
It’s the latest example of the administration doubling down on aggressive
foreign policy interventions without clarifying what victory might look like,
despite President Donald Trump’s past campaign pledges to avoid embroiling
America in more overseas conflicts. And it raises the prospect that the nation’s
armed forces could be further strained amid a massive air war over Iran.
Democrats on Tuesday also questioned military leaders’ assertions that the
six-month effort to sink smuggling vessels in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific
has made a meaningful impact on illegal drugs entering American borders, and
whether it follows proper rules of engagement for enemy combatants or amounts to
war crimes.
“We could shoot suspected criminals dead on the street here in America, and it
may be a deterrent to crime, but that doesn’t make it legal,” said Rep. Gil
Cisneros (D-Calif.).
But Humire insisted the open-ended missions — dubbed Operation Southern Spear —
are “saving American lives” and compliment President Donald Trump’s other border
security mandates.
“Interdiction is necessary, but insufficient,” he said. “Deterrence has a
signaling effect on narco-terrorists, and raises the risks with their
movements.”
At least 157 people have been killed in 45 strikes on alleged drug smuggling
boats in the seas around South America since early September, according to
Defense Department statistics. More than 15,000 service members have been
deployed to the region for counter-drug missions, training efforts and blockade
enforcement over the last six months, though some of those numbers have been
drawn down since the start of the conflict in Iran.
Humire said officials have seen a 20 percent reduction in suspected drug vessels
traveling the Caribbean and a 25 percent reduction in the Eastern Pacific
traffic since the start of the military operations.
But committee ranking member Adam Smith (D-Wash.) questioned whether those
numbers actually translate into fewer drugs on American streets, or simply
evidence that smugglers are being forced into other shipping lanes or land
routes.
Humire said officials are looking to expand to land strikes against known cartel
routes and hideouts, but are working with partner country militaries on that
work. The U.S. Defense Department launched operations with Ecuadorian forces
against narco-terrorist groups in that country earlier this month.
He would not, however, rule out potential unilateral strikes in South American
countries later on. Smith called that hedge concerning.
Republicans on the committee largely praised the military’s anti-drug
operations, dismissing the Democratic criticism.
“Defending the homeland does not stop at our border,” said committee Chair Mike
Rogers (R-Ala.). “It also requires confronting threats at their source. The
president has made it clear that narco-terrorists and hostile foreign powers
will find no sanctuary or foothold anywhere in our hemisphere.”
The Trump administration quietly shifted its immigration messaging in the weeks
after its violent operation in Minneapolis that included the fatal shooting of
two Americans, largely dropping mentions of “mass deportations” as public
sentiment shifted against the aggressive tactics.
A POLITICO review of social media posts from major official administration
accounts shows only one mention of the term in the past month, compared to more
than a dozen in the four weeks prior.
The analysis examined the social media accounts of top Trump officials and White
House-run pages the administration has leveraged to push support for its
immigration agenda.
The findings suggest an administration recalibrating its message in the wake of
wavering poll numbers on what had been one of President Donald Trump’s signature
issues. It comes as Republicans have grown worried about the 2026 midterms, with
calls for large-scale deportations — a hallmark of Trump’s campaign — now seen
by some in the party as a vulnerability, particularly with Hispanic voters who
had shifted toward the president just two years ago.
“Deportations have a different look after Minneapolis, and we need to reclaim
immigration as an issue,” said Michigan-based GOP strategist Jason Roe.
“Deporting criminals remains popular, and the fact that the Democrats
reflexively take the opposite side of Trump puts them, once again, on the side
of criminals.”
For months, calls for “mass deportation” were a frequent feature of the Trump
administration’s aggressive social media strategy. On X, the White House’s
prolific Rapid Response account spent days in mid-January linking “mass
deportations” to lower crime, more jobs and lower housing costs.
But that account hasn’t used the phrase “mass deportation” since Feb. 12, when
it shared clips from a press conference during which border czar Tom Homan, who
was dispatched to Minneapolis to deescalate tensions, said mass deportations
were still on but emphasized more targeted enforcement.
“The message focus is a reflection on where the administration’s strongest
arguments have always been, which is an emphasis on border security policies
that draw a contrast with the Biden-Harris administration, and a more
prioritized and precise focus on illegal immigrants with criminal offenses,”
said Kevin Madden, a Republican strategist who has worked for House GOP
leadership and on presidential campaigns.
Last week, Trump picked Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.) to be the next Homeland
Security secretary, moving current DHS chief Kristi Noem to a special envoy
role in the face of growing frustrations with her tenure.
The official White House account, along with social media accounts tied to other
top Trump officials, including deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and press
secretary Karoline Leavitt, have also eschewed the phrase after highlighting
mass deportations in the past — even as they continue to post when immigrants
accused of violent crimes are arrested.
A White House official, granted anonymity to discuss internal strategy, said the
rapid response page is not indicative of any policy changes. The account
amplifies and engages with major news stories, the official said, noting that
there has been less news coverage about immigration since early February. The
official said the same applies to other officials’ X accounts.
The Department of Homeland Security’s public ad campaign has also started to
take a different tact: An ad that began running in February, weeks after the
Minnesota shootings, sought to highlight “victims of illegal immigration,” in
contrast with ads the agency had previously run that featured footage of
arrests.
A DHS spokesperson said the agency “remains committed to arresting and deporting
the worst of the worst illegal aliens to keep the American people safe, just as
President Trump promised.” The spokesperson also shared several DHS press
releases from this week highlighting arrests of immigrants who had committed
crimes.
White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson said the administration’s immigration
enforcement isn’t changing, and that the president’s “highest priority has
always been the deportation of illegal alien criminals who endanger American
communities.” She also said that 70 percent of deportations to date have been
unauthorized immigrants with criminal records, and said the administration has
had the “most secure border in U.S. history for nine straight months.”
This week, White House deputy chief of staff James Blair privately urged House
Republicans at their annual policy retreat in Doral, Florida, to focus their
immigration message on removing violent criminals instead of “mass
deportations.” Blair’s message was first reported by Axios.
A senior White House official said Blair’s comments were taken “out of context.”
The official said the administration can highlight deportations but that the
White House also has to tout the president’s success at the border.
“Like the border numbers are astronomical — zero, right?” the senior official
said. “Zero people coming in. That’s a great message to push.”
A person close to the White House, granted anonymity to speak candidly about the
strategy, said among crucial voting blocs, including Latino voters, moderate
Republicans, Independents, and young voters, “mass deportations” is associated
with sweeping round-ups in community gathering places. If candidates instead
focus on criminal arrests, public safety, and the president’s success in
securing the southern border, the person argued, they can turn the issue against
Democrats.
“Just have to message it a little bit better,” the person said. “If you can go
on a campaign, and you can contrast and say, ‘OK, this person wants open
borders, this person wants amnesty for criminal illegal aliens — it’s madness.’
It’s just not where the majority of the American people are.”
The president, during the State of the Union address, sought to draw that
contrast when he asked members of Congress to stand if they agreed that “the
first duty of the American government is to protect American citizens, not
illegal aliens” — a standout moment Vice President JD Vance amplified again
during a speech in North Carolina on Friday. In the February address, the
president only said “deporting” once to emphasize his focus on deporting
“criminal illegal aliens.” It was part of a section in which Trump introduced
the mother of Lizbeth Medina, a teenager killed by an unauthorized immigrant.
It was a departure from Trump’s 2025 address when the president reiterated his
vow to conduct the “largest deportation operation in U.S. history.” Promises of
“mass deportations” were also a recurring feature of his 2024 campaign — a vow
he and his top officials repeatedly amplified during his first year back in the
White House.
“People know where President Trump stands on immigration, on deportation,” the
senior official said, when asked about the president’s SOTU address. “It was a
hallmark of his campaign. … We don’t need to explain our immigration position.”
The White House’s shift in messaging is infuriating some Trump allies who have
launched a lobbying effort to reverse that reversal. Those concerns underscore
the GOP divide on how aggressive to be on immigration enforcement.
Immigration hardliners want Trump to ramp up deportations but many Republicans
worry that would risk a further loss of public support.
Recent immigration polling, including a January POLITICO poll conducted before
37-year-old Alex Pretti was killed, has shown growing unease with the
president’s deportation campaign. Even among his base, the poll found that more
than 1 in 3 Trump voters said that while they supported the goal of his policy,
they disapproved of its implementation.
Eli Stokols and Alex Gangitano contributed to this report.
Anton, a 44-year-old Russian soldier who heads a workshop responsible for
repairing and supplying drones, was at his kitchen table when he learned last
month that Elon Musk’s SpaceX had cut off access to Starlink terminals used by
Russian forces. He scrambled for alternatives, but none offered unlimited
internet, data plans were restrictive, and coverage did not extend to the areas
of Ukraine where his unit operated.
It’s not only American tech executives who are narrowing communications options
for Russians. Days later, Russian authorities began slowing down access
nationwide to the messaging app Telegram, the service that frontline troops use
to coordinate directly with one another and bypass slower chains of command.
“All military work goes through Telegram — all communication,” Anton, whose name
has been changed because he fears government reprisal, told POLITICO in voice
messages sent via the app. “That would be like shooting the entire Russian army
in the head.”
Telegram would be joining a home screen’s worth of apps that have become useless
to Russians. Kremlin policymakers have already blocked or limited access to
WhatsApp, along with parent company Meta’s Facebook and Instagram, Microsoft’s
LinkedIn, Google’s YouTube, Apple’s FaceTime, Snapchat and X, which like SpaceX
is owned by Musk. Encrypted messaging apps Signal and Discord, as well as
Japanese-owned Viber, have been inaccessible since 2024. Last month, President
Vladimir Putin signed a law requiring telecom operators to block cellular and
fixed internet access at the request of the Federal Security Service. Shortly
after it took effect on March 3, Moscow residents reported widespread problems
with mobile internet, calls and text messages across all major operators for
several days, with outages affecting mobile service and Wi-Fi even inside the
State Duma.
Those decisions have left Russians increasingly cut off from both the outside
world and one another, complicating battlefield coordination and disrupting
online communities that organize volunteer aid, fundraising and discussion of
the war effort. Deepening digital isolation could turn Russia into something
akin to “a large, nuclear-armed North Korea and a junior partner to China,”
according to Alexander Gabuev, the Berlin-based director of the Carnegie Russia
Eurasia Center.
In April, the Kremlin is expected to escalate its campaign against Telegram —
already one of Russia’s most popular messaging platforms, but now in the absence
of other social-media options, a central hub for news, business and
entertainment. It may block the platform altogether. That is likely to fuel an
escalating struggle between state censorship and the tools people use to evade
it, with Russia’s place in the world hanging in the balance.
“It’s turned into a war,” said Mikhail Klimarev, executive director of the
internet Protection Society, a digital rights group that monitors Russia’s
censorship infrastructure. “A guerrilla war. They hunt down the VPNs they can
see, they block them — and the ‘partisans’ run, build new bunkers, and come
back.”
THE APP THAT RUNS THE WAR
On Feb. 4, SpaceX tightened the authentication system that Starlink terminals
use to connect to its satellite network, introducing stricter verification for
registered devices. The change effectively blocked many terminals operated by
Russian units relying on unauthorized connections, cutting Starlink traffic
inside Ukraine by roughly 75 percent, according to internet traffic analysis
by Doug Madory, an analyst at the U.S. network monitoring firm Kentik.
The move threw Russian operations into disarray, allowing Ukraine to make
battlefield gains. Russia has turned to a workaround widely used before
satellite internet was an option: laying fiber-optic lines, from rear areas
toward frontline battlefield positions.
Until then, Starlink terminals had allowed drone operators to stream live video
through platforms such as Discord, which is officially blocked in Russia but
still sometimes used by the Russian military via VPNs, to commanders at multiple
levels. A battalion commander could watch an assault unfold in real time and
issue corrections — “enemy ahead” or “turn left” — via radio or Telegram. What
once required layers of approval could now happen in minutes.
Satellite-connected messaging apps became the fastest way to transmit
coordinates, imagery and targeting data.
But on Feb. 10, Roskomnadzor, the Russian communications regulator, began
slowing down Telegram for users across Russia, citing alleged violations of
Russian law. Russian news outlet RBC reported, citing two sources, that
authorities plan to shut down Telegram in early April — though not on the front
line.
In mid-February, Digital Development Minister Maksut Shadayev said the
government did not yet intend to restrict Telegram at the front but hoped
servicemen would gradually transition to other platforms. Kremlin spokesperson
Dmitry Peskov said this week the company could avoid a full ban by complying
with Russian legislation and maintaining what he described as “flexible contact”
with authorities.
Roskomnadzor has accused Telegram of failing to protect personal data, combat
fraud and prevent its use by terrorists and criminals. Similar accusations have
been directed at other foreign tech platforms. In 2022, a Russian court
designated Meta an “extremist organization” after the company said it would
temporarily allow posts calling for violence against Russian soldiers in the
context of the Ukraine war — a decision authorities used to justify blocking
Facebook and Instagram in Russia and increasing pressure on the company’s other
services, including WhatsApp.
Telegram founder Pavel Durov, a Russian-born entrepreneur now based in the
United Arab Emirates, says the throttiling is being used as a pretext to push
Russians toward a government-controlled messaging app designed for surveillance
and political censorship.
That app is MAX, which was launched in March 2025 and has been compared to
China’s WeChat in its ambition to anchor a domestic digital ecosystem.
Authorities are increasingly steering Russians toward MAX through employers,
neighborhood chats and the government services portal Gosuslugi — where citizens
retrieve documents, pay fines and book appointments — as well as through banks
and retailers. The app’s developer, VK, reports rapid user growth, though those
figures are difficult to independently verify.
“They didn’t just leave people to fend for themselves — you could say they led
them by the hand through that adaptation by offering alternatives,” said Levada
Center pollster Denis Volkov, who has studied Russian attitudes toward
technology use. The strategy, he said, has been to provide a Russian or
state-backed alternative for the majority, while stopping short of fully
criminalizing workarounds for more technologically savvy users who do not want
to switch.
Elena, a 38-year-old Yekaterinburg resident whose surname has been withheld
because she fears government reprisal, said her daughter’s primary school moved
official communication from WhatsApp to MAX without consulting parents. She
keeps MAX installed on a separate tablet that remains mostly in a drawer — a
version of what some Russians call a “MAXophone,” gadgets solely for that app,
without any other data being left on those phones for the (very real) fear the
government could access it.
“It works badly. Messages are delayed. Notifications don’t come,” she said. “I
don’t trust it … And this whole situation just makes people angry.”
THE VPN ARMS RACE
Unlike China’s centralized “Great Firewall,” which filters traffic at the
country’s digital borders, Russia’s system operates internally. Internet
providers are required to route traffic through state-installed deep packet
inspection equipment capable of controlling and analyzing data flows in real
time.
“It’s not one wall,” Klimarev said. “It’s thousands of fences. You climb one,
then there’s another.”
The architecture allows authorities to slow services without formally banning
them — a tactic used against YouTube before its web address was removed from
government-run domain-name servers last month. Russian law explicitly provides
government authority for blocking websites on grounds such as extremism,
terrorism, illegal content or violations of data regulations, but it does not
clearly define throttling — slowing traffic rather than blocking it outright —
as a formal enforcement mechanism. “The slowdown isn’t described anywhere in
legislation,” Klimarev said. “It’s pressure without procedure.”
In September, Russia banned advertising for virtual private network services
that citizens use to bypass government-imposed restrictions on certain apps or
sites. By Klimarev’s estimate, roughly half of Russian internet users now know
what a VPN is, and millions pay for one. Polling last year by the Levada Center,
Russia’s only major independent pollster, suggests regular use is lower, finding
about one-quarter of Russians said they have used VPN services.
Russian courts can treat the use of anonymization tools as an aggravating factor
in certain crimes — steps that signal growing pressure on circumvention
technologies without formally outlawing them. In February, the Federal
Antimonopoly Service opened what appears to be the first case against a media
outlet for promoting a VPN after the regional publication Serditaya Chuvashiya
advertised such a service on its Telegram channel.
Surveys in recent years have shown that many Russians, particularly older
citizens, support tighter internet regulation, often citing fraud, extremism and
online safety. That sentiment gives authorities political space to tighten
controls even when the restrictions are unpopular among more technologically
savvy users.
Even so, the slowdown of Telegram drew criticism from unlikely quarters,
including Sergei Mironov, a longtime Kremlin ally and leader of the Just Russia
party. In a statement posted on his Telegram channel on Feb. 11, he blasted the
regulators behind the move as “idiots,” accusing them of undermining soldiers at
the front. He said troops rely on the app to communicate with relatives and
organize fundraising for the war effort, warning that restricting it could cost
lives. While praising the state-backed messaging app MAX, he argued that
Russians should be free to choose which platforms they use.
Pro-war Telegram channels frame the government’s blocking techniques as sabotage
of the war effort. Ivan Philippov, who tracks Russia’s influential military
bloggers, said the reaction inside that ecosystem to news about Telegram has
been visceral “rage.”
Unlike Starlink, whose cutoff could be blamed on a foreign company, restrictions
on Telegram are viewed as self-inflicted. Bloggers accuse regulators of
undermining the war effort. Telegram is used not only for battlefield
coordination but also for volunteer fundraising networks that provide basic
logistics the state does not reliably cover — from transport vehicles and fuel
to body armor, trench materials and even evacuation equipment. Telegram serves
as the primary hub for donations and reporting back to supporters.
“If you break Telegram inside Russia, you break fundraising,” Philippov said.
“And without fundraising, a lot of units simply don’t function.”
Few in that community trust MAX, citing technical flaws and privacy concerns.
Because MAX operates under Russian data-retention laws and is integrated with
state services, many assume their communications would be accessible to
authorities.
Philippov said the app’s prominent defenders are largely figures tied to state
media or the presidential administration. “Among independent military bloggers,
I haven’t seen a single person who supports it,” he said.
Small groups of activists attempted to organize rallies in at least 11 Russian
cities, including Moscow, Irkutsk and Novosibirsk, in defense of Telegram.
Authorities rejected or obstructed most of the proposed demonstrations — in some
cases citing pandemic-era restrictions, weather conditions or vague security
concerns — and in several cases revoked previously issued permits. In
Novosibirsk, police detained around 15 people ahead of a planned rally. Although
a small number of protests were formally approved, no large-scale demonstrations
ultimately took place.
THE POWER TO PULL THE PLUG
The new law signed last month allows Russia’s Federal Security Service to order
telecom operators to block cellular and fixed internet access. Peskov, the
Kremlin spokesman, said subsequent shutdowns of service in Moscow were linked to
security measures aimed at protecting critical infrastructure and countering
drone threats, adding that such limitations would remain in place “for as long
as necessary.”
In practice, the disruptions rarely amount to a total communications blackout.
Most target mobile internet rather than all services, while voice calls and SMS
often continue to function. Some domestic websites and apps — including
government portals or banking services — may remain accessible through
“whitelists,” meaning authorities allow certain services to keep operating even
while broader internet access is restricted. The restrictions are typically
localized and temporary, affecting specific regions or parts of cities rather
than the entire country.
Internet disruptions have increasingly become a tool of control beyond
individual platforms. Research by the independent outlet Meduza and the
monitoring project Na Svyazi has documented dozens of regional internet
shutdowns and mobile network restrictions across Russia, with disruptions
occurring regularly since May 2025.
The communications shutdown, and uncertainty around where it will go next, is
affecting life for citizens of all kinds, from the elderly struggling to contact
family members abroad to tech-savvy users who juggle SIM cards and secondary
phones to stay connected. Demand has risen for dated communication devices —
including walkie-talkies, pagers and landline phones — along with paper maps as
mobile networks become less reliable, according to retailers interviewed by RBC.
“It feels like we’re isolating ourselves,” said Dmitry, 35, who splits his time
between Moscow and Dubai and whose surname has been withheld to protect his
identity under fear of governmental reprisal. “Like building a sovereign grave.”
Those who track Russian public opinion say the pattern is consistent: irritation
followed by adaptation. When Instagram and YouTube were blocked or slowed in
recent years, their audiences shrank rapidly as users migrated to alternative
services rather than mobilizing against the restrictions.
For now, Russia’s digital tightening resembles managed escalation rather than
total isolation. Officials deny plans for a full shutdown, and even critics say
a complete severing would cripple banking, logistics and foreign trade.
“It’s possible,” Klimarev said. “But if they do that, the internet won’t be the
main problem anymore.”
LONDON — A U.K. minister hit out Tuesday at a planned march associated with the
Iranian regime due to take place in London this weekend.
The annual Al Quds Day rally, which has taken place since 1979, is scheduled for
Sunday.
Courts Minister Sarah Sackman told Times Radio: “I’m clear that hate on marches
like the Al Quds march has no place in British society. The authorities and the
police should take the enforcement action needed against these marches.”
Sackman said a decision about whether the march could happen would be made by
Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood and the police.
“I don’t want to see marches and the views expressed in this go ahead,” Sackman
said. “The decision’s not for me, but I’ve made my views very clear.”
Sackman later told LBC that marchers “shouldn’t be on the streets of London
calling for hate and hostility against this country. That’s thoroughly
anti-British.”
Organized by the Islamic Human Rights Commission (IHRC), the march is named
after the Arabic word for Jerusalem and part of a wider international event
expressing support for a Palestinian state and opposition to Israel.
A cross-party group of 90 politicians has called for Mahmood to ban the march,
claiming it would legitimize Tehran’s agenda and send an “unmistakably troubling
message” given the targeting of dissidents.
In a letter to Met Police Commissioner Mark Rowley dated Sunday IHRC Chair
Massoud Shadjareh hit back at what he described as “exaggerated and patently
false claims” that the march supports terrorism and antisemitism. The
demonstration has “always been good‑natured and peaceful,” Shadjareh added.
When U.S., Mexican and Canadian soccer officials fanned out across the globe
nearly a decade ago to sell the 2026 World Cup, they traveled in threes — one
representative from each country — to underscore a simple message: North
America’s three largest countries were in lockstep.
“It was so embedded into everything we did that this was a united bid. Our
success was tied to the joint nature of the bid. That was the anchor regarding
the premise of what we were trying to do,” said John Kristick, former executive
director of the 2026 United Bid Committee.
The pitch worked. In 2018, FIFA members awarded the tournament to North America,
marking the first time three countries would co-host a men’s World Cup. Bid
strategists were delighted when The Washington Post editorial page approvingly
called it ”the NAFTA World Cup.”
The North American Free Trade Agreement is no more, a victim of President Donald
Trump’s decision to withdraw during his first term, and the successor
U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is now teetering. At almost exactly the midway
point of the 39-day tournament, trade ties that link the three countries’
economies will expire.
The trilateral relationship is more frayed than it has ever been, tensions
reflected in this year’s World Cup itself. Instead of one continental showcase,
the 2026 World Cup increasingly resembles three distinct tournaments, with
different immigration regimes, security plans and funding models, all a function
of different policy choices in each host country. Soccer governing body FIFA “is
the only glue that’s holding it together,” said one person intimately involved
in the bid who was granted anonymity to speak candidly about the sensitive
political dynamics.
The “United” in the United Bid, once the anchor of the entire project, now
competes with three national agendas, each running on its own track. POLITICO
spoke to eight people involved in developing a World Cup whose path from
conception to execution reflects the crooked arc of North American integration.
“When these events are awarded, they’re concepts. They’re ideas. They feel
good,” said Lee Igel, a professor of global sport at NYU who has advised the
U.S. Conference of Mayors on sports policy. “But between the award and the event
itself, the world changes. Politics change. Leaders change.”
THE TRUMP TOURNAMENT
At the start of the extravagant December event that formally set the World Cup
schedule, Trump stood next to Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and Canadian
Prime Minister Mark Carney to ceremonially draw the first lottery ball. FIFA
officials touted the moment at the Kennedy Center as a milestone: the first time
the three leaders had appeared together in person, united by soccer.
The trio also met for 90 minutes off stage in a meeting — facilitated by FIFA as
part of World Cup planning.
That novelty was notable. While each national government has named a “sherpa” to
serve as its lead, those officials — including Canadian Secretary of State for
Sport Adam van Koeverden and Mexican coordinator Gabriela Cuevas — have met only
a handful of times in formal trilateral settings. At a January security summit
in Colorado Springs, White House FIFA Task Force director Andrew Giuliani did
not mention Canada or Mexico during his remarks. Only when FIFA security officer
GB Jones took the stage was the international nature of the tournament
acknowledged.
“We have been and continue to work very closely with officials from all three
host countries on topics including safety, security, logistics, transportation
and other topics related to hosting a successful FIFA World Cup,” a FIFA
spokesperson wrote via email. “This is one World Cup presented across all three
host countries and 16 host cities, while showcasing the uniqueness of each
individual location and culture.”
The soccer federations behind the United Bid have been largely sidelined, with
FIFA — rather than national governments — serving as the link between them. It
has brought personnel of local host-city organizing committees for quarterly
workshops and other meetings, and situated nearly 1,000 of its own employees
across all three countries, according to a FIFA spokesperson who says they are
“working seamlessly in a united effort.” (The number will swell to more than
4,000 when the tournament is underway.)
But those FIFA staff are forced to navigate wildly varied fiscal conditions
depending on where they land. Mexico, which will have matches in three cities,
has imposed a tax exemption to stimulate investment in the World Cup and related
tourist infrastructure in its three host cities. The Canadian government has
dedicated well over $300 million to tournament costs, with more than two-thirds
going directly to host-city governments.
“The federal government are contributing significantly to both Vancouver and
Toronto in terms of funding,” said Sharon Bollenbach, the executive director of
the FIFA World Cup Toronto Secretariat, which unlike American host committees is
run directly out of city hall.
American cities, however, have been left to secure their own funding, largely
through the pursuit of commercial sponsorships and donations to local organizing
committees. Congress has allocated $625 million for the federal government to
reimburse host cities in security costs via a grant program. But the partial
government shutdown and an attendant decision by Homeland Security Secretary
Kristi Noem to stop approving FEMA grants is exacerbating a logjam for U.S.
states and municipalities — including not only those with World Cup matches but
hosting team training camps — that rely on federal funds to coordinate
counterterrorism and security efforts.
That has left American host cities in very different financial situations just
months before the tournament starts. Houston and Dallas-area governments can
count on receiving a share of state revenue from Texas’ Major Events
Reimbursement Program. The small Boston suburb of Foxborough, Massachusetts,
however, is refusing to approve an entertainment license for matches at Gillette
Stadium because of an unresolved $7.8 million security bill.
Because of the budget squeeze, American cities have cut back on “fan festival”
gatherings that will run extend during the tournament’s full length in Canadian
and Mexican cities. Jersey City has canceled the fan fest planned at Liberty
State Park in favor of smaller community events, and Seattle’s fan fest will
be scaled down into a “distributed model” spread cross four locations.
The tournament has become tightly intertwined with Trump, as FIFA places an
outsized emphasis on courting the man who loves to be seen as the consummate
host. Public messaging from the White House has focused almost exclusively on
the United States’ role, and Trump rarely mentions Canada or Mexico from the
Oval Office or on Truth Social.
Since returning to office, Trump has had eight in-person meetings with FIFA
President Gianni Infantino — besides the lottery draw at the Kennedy Center —
whereas Sheinbaum and Carney have only had one each. While taking questions from
the media during a November session with Infantino in the Oval office, Trump did
not rule out the use of U.S. military force, including potential land actions,
within Mexico to combat drug cartels.
Guadalajara, which is set to host four World Cup matches, this weekend erupted
in violence after Mexican security forces killed the head of a cartel that Trump
last year labeled a “foreign terrorist organization.” A White House spokesperson
wrote in a social-media post that the United States provided “intelligence
support” to the mission.
It is part of a more significant set of conflicts than Trump had with the United
States’ neighbors during his first term. In January, Trump claimed that
Sheinbaum is “not running Mexico,” while Carney rose to office promising
Canadians he would “stand up to President Trump.” Since then, Trump has
regularly proposed annexing Canada as the 51st state, as his government offers
support to an Alberta separatist movement that could split the country through
an independence vote on the province’s October ballot.
The July 1 renewal deadline for the five-year-old USMCA has injected urgency
into relations among the three leaders. Without an extension, the largely
tariff-free trade that underpins North America’s economy would come into
question, and governments and businesses would begin planning for a rupture.
Trump, who recently called the pact “irrelevant,” has signaled he would be
content to let it lapse.
Suspense around the free trade zone’s future will engulf preparations for the
World Cup, potentially granting Trump related in unrelated negotiations.
“In the lead-up to mega-events, geopolitical tensions tend to hover in the
background,” Igel said. “Once the matches begin, the show can overwhelm
everything else, unless something dramatic like a boycott intervenes. But in the
months before? That’s when you see the friction.”
THE ORIGINS OF THE UNITED BID
It was not supposed to be this way. When North American soccer officials first
decided, in 2016, to fuse three national campaigns to host the World Cup into
one, they saw unity as the strategic advantage that would distinguish their bid
from any competitors.
Each country had considered pursuing the World Cup on its own. Canada, looking
to build on its success as host of the 2015 Women’s World Cup, wanted to host
the larger men’s competition. Mexico, the first country to host it twice, wanted
another shot. The United States dusted off an earlier bid for the 2022
tournament, which was awarded to Qatar.
Sunil Gulati, a Columbia University economist serving as the U.S. Soccer
Federation’s president, envisioned an unprecedented compromise: Instead of
competing with one another they would work together — with the United States
using its economic primacy and geographical centrality to ensure it remained the
tournament’s focal point.
The three countries’ economies had been deeply intertwined for nearly a
quarter-century. Their leaders signed NAFTA in 1992, lowering trade barriers and
snaking supply chains across borders that had previous isolated economic
activity. But the trade pact triggered a broad backlash in the United States
that allied labor unions on the left and isolationists on the right. That
political disquiet exploded with the candidacy of Donald Trump, who called NAFTA
“the worst trade deal” and immediately moved to renegotiate it upon taking
office.
Gulati, meanwhile, was pitching Emilio Azcárraga Jean, CEO and chair of Mexican
broadcaster Grupo Televisa, and Canada Soccer President Victor Montagliani, on
his own plan for regional integration. They agreed to sketch out a tournament
that would have 75 percent of the games held in the U.S. with the remainder
split between Canada and Mexico.
“I’d rather have a 90 percent chance of winning 75 percent of the World Cup than
a 75 percent chance of, you know, winning all of it,” Gulati told the U.S.
Soccer board, according to two people who heard him say it.
Montagliani and Mexico Football Federation President Decio de María joined
Gulati to formally announce the so-called United Bid in New York in April 2017.
The three federation presidents knew that the thrust of their pitch had to be
more emotional and inclusive than “we are big, rich and have tons of ready-built
stadiums,” as one of the bid organizers put it. Kristick laced a theme of
“community” through the 1,500-page prospectus known to insiders as a bid book.
“In 2026, we can create a bold new legacy for players, for fans and for football
by hosting a FIFA World Cup that is more inclusive, more universal than ever,”
declared a campaign video that the United Bid showed to the organization’s
voting members. “Not because of who we are as nations, but because of what we
believe in as neighbors. To bid together, countries come together.”
It was a sentiment increasingly out of sync with the times. The same month that
Gulati had stood with his counterparts in New York announcing the joint bid,
Trump was busy demanding that Congress include funding for a wall along the
border with Mexico. He told then-Mexico President Enrique Peña Nieto and
then-Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau that he wanted to renegotiate NAFTA,
using aluminum and steel tariffs as a cudgel.
Carlos Cordeiro, who displaced Gulati as U.S. Soccer president during the bid
process in 2018, became the driving force of the lobbying effort to sell the
idea to 211 national federations that would vote on it. In Cordeiro’s view,
according to two Americans intimately involved in the bid at the time, the bid’s
biggest challenge was assuring voters that the tournament would be more than a
U.S. event dressed up with the flags of its neighbors.
Teams fanned out across each of soccer’s six regional confederations to make
their pitch, each presentation designed to paint a picture of tri-national
cooperation, and returned to a temporary base in London to debrief.
“It was very pragmatic. It was like Carlos, or another U.S. representative,
would say this and talk about this. The Canada representative will then talk
about this. The Mexico representative will talk about this. And it was very much
trying to be even across the three in terms of who was speaking,” one person on
the traveling team said.
When the United Bid finally prevailed in June 2018, defeating a rival bid from
Morocco, Trump celebrated it as an equal triumph for the three countries.
“The U.S., together with Mexico and Canada, just got the World Cup,” he wrote on
Twitter, now known as X. “Congratulations — a great deal of hard work!”
THREE DIFFERENT TOURNAMENTS
What began with a united bid is turning into parallel tournaments: with
different fan bases, security procedures and off-field programs, all a function
of different policy choices in each host country.
Fans from Iran and Haiti are barred from entering the United States under travel
restrictions imposed by Trump, while other World Cup countries are subject to
elevated scrutiny that could block travel plans. (Official team delegations are
exempt.) Canada and Mexico do not impose the same restrictions, creating uneven
access across the tournament: fans traveling from Ivory Coast will likely find
it much easier to reach Toronto for a June 20 match against Germany than one in
Philadelphia five days later against Curaçao.
“FIFA recognizes that immigration policy falls within the jurisdiction of
sovereign governments,” read a statement provided by the FIFA spokesperson.
“Engagement therefore focuses on dialogue and cooperation with host authorities
to support inclusive tournament delivery, while respecting national law.”
A fan who does cross borders will encounte a patchwork of security régimes
depending on which government is in charge. Mexican authorities draw from deep
experience policing soccer matches, with a mix of traditional crowd-control
tactics and advanced technology like four-legged robots. The United States
is emphasizing novel drone defenses and asked other countries for lists of its
most problematic fans.
Ongoing immigration enforcement actions in the U.S. have also prompted concern
among the international soccer community and calls for a boycott of the
tournament. The White House this month issued clarifying talking points to host
cities to buttress the “shared commitment to safety, hospitality, and a
successful tournament experience for all.” The document confirms that U.S.
Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement “may have
a presence” at the tournament to assist with non-immigration-related functions
like aviation security and anti-human trafficking efforts.
No where is the fragmentation more glaring among countries than on human rights.
After previous World Cups were accused of “sportswashing” autocratic regimes in
Qatar and Russia, the United Bid made “human rights and labor standards” a
centerpiece of its proposal to FIFA. The bid stipulated that each host city by
August 2025 must submit concrete plans for how the city would protect individual
rights, including respect for “indigenous peoples, migrant workers and their
families, national, ethnic and religious minorities, people with disabilities,
women, race, LGBTQI+, journalists, and human rights defenders.”
“Human rights were embedded in the bid from the beginning,” said Human Rights
Watch director of global initiatives Minky Worden, who worked closely with Mary
Harvey, a former U.S. goalkeeper and soccer executive who now leads the Centre
for Sport and Human Rights, on the language. Harvey consulted with 70
civil-society groups across the three countries while developing the strategy.
That deadline passed without a single U.S. city submitting their plan on time.
Now just months before the kickoff, host cities have finally started to release
their reports, creating a patchwork of approaches. While Vancouver’s report
makes multiple references to respecting LGBTQ+ populations, Houston’s has no
mention of sexual orientation and identity at all.
The FIFA spokesperson says the organization has embedded inclusion and human
rights commitments directly into agreements signed by host countries, cities and
stadium operators, and that dedicated FIFA Human Rights, Safeguarding and
Anti-Discrimination teams will monitor implementation and hold local organizers
to account for violations.
“All of these standards were supposed to be uniform across these three
countries,” said Worden. “It wasn’t supposed to be the lowest common denominator
with the U.S. being really low.”
Scattered among the candy shelves and freezer cabinets in Russian supermarkets
across Germany are advertisements promoting a business with a service the
government has tried to outlaw: a logistics company specialized in moving
packages from the heart of Germany to Russia, in defiance of European Union
sanctions.
Trade restrictions have been in place since 2014 and were tightened just after
the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, when Western nations began to impose far-reaching
financial and trade sanctions on Russia. But an investigation by the Axel
Springer Global Reporters Network, which includes POLITICO, has identified a
clandestine Berlin-based postal system that exploits the special status of
postal parcels to transport all kinds of European goods — including banned
electronics components — into President Vladimir Putin’s empire.
We know every stop and turn in the route because we sent five packages and used
digital tracking devices to follow them — through an illicit 1,100-mile journey
that undermines the sanctions regime European policymakers consider their
strongest tool to generate political pressure on Russian leaders by weakening
their country’s economy.
LS Logistics said its internal controls make violations of EU sanctions
“virtually impossible” but that it was not immune from customers making
fraudulent declarations about the goods they ship.
“Sanctions enforcement is whack-a-mole,” said David Goldwyn, who worked on
sanctions policy as U.S. State Department coordinator for international energy
affairs and now chairs the Atlantic Council Global Energy Center’s energy
advisory group. “It’s a hard process, and you have to constantly be adapting to
how the evaders are adapting.”
THE UZBEK LABEL
In late December, we packed five square brown parcels with electronic components
specifically banned under EU sanctions and addressed the parcels to locations in
Moscow and St. Petersburg.
When we brought our parcels to the counters of Russian supermarkets in Berlin,
we told salespeople the packages included books, scarves and hats. But they
never checked inside the packages, which in fact held banned electronic
components we rendered unusable before packing. Salespeople charged us 13 euros
per kilogram, about $7 per pound, refusing to provide receipts.
What makes these cardboard packages even more special is their disguise: The
employee does not affix Russian postal stickers to the boxes, but rather those
of UzPost, the national postal service of Uzbekistan. The former Soviet republic
is not subject to EU sanctions.
UzPost maintains close ties to the Russian postal service, according to a person
familiar with the entities’ history of cooperation granted anonymity to discuss
confidential business practices. Tatyana Kim, the CEO of Russian ecommerce
marketplace Wildberries and reputedly her country’s richest woman, recently
acquired a large stake in UzPost, according to media reports.
“We work with partners, including private postal service providers,” the Uzbek
postal service stated in response to our inquiry. “They can use our solutions
for deliveries.”
In Germany, registered logistics companies are permitted to provide postal
services — including pick-up, sorting and delivery — for international postal
operators. However, the Federal Network Agency, which is responsible for postal
oversight, says the Uzbek postal service is not authorized to perform any of
these functions in Germany. (The Federal Network Agency said in a response to
our inquiry that it is “currently reviewing” the case and that it would pursue
penalties for LS if it is found to be using Uzbek documents without
authorization.)
After our packages spent one to two days at the supermarkets, we saw them begin
to move. Inside each package we had placed a small black GPS device, naming them
“Alpha,” “Beta,” “Gamma,” “Delta” and “Epsi.” We could track their movements in
real time in an app, watching them closely as they wound through Berlin’s roads
to Schönefeld, site of the capital’s international airport. There they stopped,
unloaded into a modern warehouse that has been repurposed into a Russian shadow
postal service.
COLOGNE, TECHNICALLY
In 2014, a retired professional gymnast was tasked with launching a subsidiary
of Russia’s national postal service, the RusPost GmbH, which would operate with
official authorization to collect, process and deliver postal items in Germany,
according to a former employee granted anonymity to speak openly about the
business. For 18 years, the St. Petersburg-raised Alexey Grigoryev had competed
and coached at Germany’s highest levels, winning three national championship
titles with the KTV Straubenhardt team and working with an Olympic gold medalist
on the high bar. But he had no evident experience in the postal business.
RusPost’s German business model collapsed upon the imposition of an expanded
sanctions package in the weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February
2022. Much like American sanctions on Russia, the European Union
blocks sensitive technical materials that could boost the Russian defense
sector, while allowing the export of personal effects and quotidian consumer
items.
“The sanctions are accompanied by far-reaching export bans, particularly on
goods relevant to the war, in order to put pressure on the Russian war economy,”
according to a statement the Federal Ministry of Economics provided us.
In March 2022, while conducting random checks of postal traffic to Moscow,
customs officials discovered sanctioned goods (including cash, jewelry and
electrical appliances) in numerous RusPost packages. The Berlin public
prosecutor’s office launched an investigation of the company, concluding that a
former RusPost managing director had deliberately failed to set up effective
control mechanisms, in breach of his duties. He was charged with 62 counts of
attempting to violate the Foreign Trade and Payments Act over an eight-month
period; criminal proceedings are ongoing.
The Russian postal network did not quite disappear, however. A new company
called LS Logistics Solution GmbH was formed in December 2022, according to
corporate filings. LS filled its top jobs, including customs manager and head of
customer service, with former RusPost employees, according to their LinkedIn
profiles.
The new company listed as its business address an inconspicuous semi-detached
house in a residential area of Cologne, across from a church. When we visited,
we found an old white mailbox whose plated sign lists LS Logistics alongside
dozens of other companies supposed to be housed there. But none of them seemed
to be active. The building was empty during business hours, its mailbox
overflowing with discolored brochures and old newspapers.
The operational heart of LS is the warehouse complex in Berlin-Schönefeld, just
a few minutes from the capital’s airport. The building itself is functional and
anonymous: a long, gray industrial structure with several metal rolling doors,
some fitted with narrow window slits. Through them, towering stacks of parcels
are visible, packed tightly, sorted roughly, stretching deep into the hall.
Trucks arrive and depart regularly, from loading bays lit by harsh white
floodlights that cut through the otherwise quiet industrial area. Behind the
warehouse lies a wide concrete parking lot where a black BMW SUV with a license
plate bearing the initials AG is often parked. We saw a man resembling Grigoryev
enter the car. The former head of RusPost officially withdrew from the postal
business after authorities froze the company’s operations. Unofficially,
however, the 50-year-old’s continued presence in Schönefeld suggests otherwise.
According to one former RusPost employee, the warehouse near the airport serves
as a collection point for parcels from all over Europe. Other logistics
companies with Russian management have listed the warehouse as their business
address, some of their logos decorating the façade. LS Logistics Solution GmbH
has the largest sign of them all.
THE A2 GETAWAY
According to tracking devices, our packages spent several days in the warehouse
before being loaded onto 40-ton trucks covered with grey tarps, among several
that leave every day loaded with mail.
They were then driven toward the Polish border, through the German city of
Frankfurt (Oder). Without any long stops, the 40-ton trucks traversed Poland on
the A2 motorway, past Warsaw. Two days after leaving Berlin, they were
approaching the eastern edge of the European Union.
They arrived at a border checkpoint in Brest, the Belarusian city where more
than a hundred years ago Russia signed a peace pact with Germany to withdraw
from World War I. Now it marked the last place for European officials to
identify contraband leaving for countries they consider adversaries.
In 2022, the European Union applied a separate set of sanctions on
Belarus because its leader, Alexander Lukashenko, a close ally of Putin, has
supported Russia’s presence in Ukraine. Yet despite provisions that should have
stopped our packages from leaving Poland, they moved onward into Belarus, their
tracking devices apparently undetected.
What makes this possible is the special legal status that accompanies
international mail. While a formal export declaration is required for the export
of regular goods, such as those moving via container ship or rail freight,
simplified paperwork helps speed up the departure process for postal items. At
Europe’s borders, this distinction becomes crucial, as postal packages are
examined largely on risk-based checks rather than comprehensive inspections.
“International postal items are subject to the regular provisions of customs
supervision both on import and on export and transit and are checked on a
risk-oriented basis in accordance with applicable EU and national legislation,
including with regard to compliance with sanctions regulations,” the German
General Customs Directorate stated in response to our inquiry.
Two of our tracking devices briefly lost their signal in Belarus — likely part
of a widespread pattern of satellite navigation systems being disrupted across
Eastern Europe — but after a journey of around 1,100 miles, they all showed the
same destination. Our packages had reached Russia’s largest cities.
Ukrainian authorities told us they were not surprised by our investigation. The
country’s presidential envoy for sanctions policy, Vladyslav Vlasiuk, said at
the Ukrainian embassy in Berlin that his government regularly collects
intelligence on such schemes and shares it with international partners.
“Nobody is doing enough, if you look at the number of cases,” Vlasiuk said.
ONE STEP BEHIND
After the arrival of the packages, we confronted all parties involved, including
LS Logistics Solution GmbH, the mysterious shipper that helped transport the
goods from Europe to Russia. We called Grigoryev several times, but he never
answered; efforts to reach him through the company failed as well. An LS
executive would not answer our questions about his role.
“Our internal control mechanisms are designed in such a way that violations of
EU sanctions are virtually impossible,” LS managing director Anjelika Crone
wrote to us. “Shipments that do not meet the legal requirements are not
processed further. We are not immune to fraudulent misdeclarations, such as
those that obviously underlie the ‘test shipments’ you refer to.” Crone said she
could not answer further questions due to data protection and contractual
confidentiality concerns.
This month, Germany took steps to strengthen enforcement of its sanctions
regime, expanding the range of violations subject to criminal penalties. The
law, passed by the Bundestag in January, amends the country’s Foreign Trade and
Payments Act to integrate a European Union directive harmonizing criminal
sanctions law across its 27 member states and ensure efficient, uniform
enforcement. Germany was one of the 18 countries put on notice by EU officials
last May for having failed to follow the 2024 directive.
The Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs, which is responsible for implementing
the new policy, argued in a statement to the Axel Springer Global Reporters
Network that the very ingenuity of the logistics network we unmasked operating
within Germany was a testament to the strength of the country’s sanctions
regime.
“The state-organized Russian procurement systems operate at enormous financial
expense to create ever new and more complex diversion routes,” said ministry
spokesperson Tim-Niklas Wentzel. “This confirms that the considerable compliance
efforts of many companies and the work of the sanctions enforcement authorities
in combating circumvention are also having a practical effect. Procurement is
becoming increasingly difficult, time-consuming, and expensive for Russia.”
According to those who have tried to administer sanctions laws, that argument
rings true — but only partly.
“It’s probably more fair to say that sanctions had a material impact and
increased the cost of bad actors to achieve their goals. But to say that they’re
working well is probably overstating the truth of the matter,” said Max
Meizlish, formerly an official with the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets
Control and now a research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
“When there’s evasion, it requires enforcement,” Meizlish went on. “And when you
need more enforcement I think it’s hard to make a compelling case that the tool
is working as intended.”
The Axel Springer Global Reporters Network is a multi-publication initiative
publishing scoops, investigations, interviews, op-eds and analysis that
reverberate across the world. It connects journalists from Axel Springer
brands—including POLITICO, Business Insider, WELT, BILD, and Onet— on major
stories for an international audience. Their ambitious reporting stretches
across Axel Springer platforms: online, print, TV, and audio. Together, these
outlets reach hundreds of millions of people worldwide.
LONDON — Western governments are being urged to clamp down on cryptocurrency as
new research suggests $350 billion has been laundered by criminals and hostile
states using the technology in the past two decades.
A new report for the Henry Jackson Society think tank, shared with POLITICO,
finds that worldwide money laundering has shifted dramatically towards
cryptocurrency in recent years — with the United States, Russia and Britain
seeing the highest number of confirmed cases.
The report draws on a database of 164 publicly identified and documented money
laundering cases between 2005 and 2025. It was compiled by Alexander Browder,
son of American-British financier and anti-corruption campaigner Bill Browder.
Alexander Browder said that the true figure could even be “many multiples”
higher than the hundreds of billions that have been identified.
The study also sheds light on lax enforcement of money laundering powered by
crypto. It finds that 79 percent of cases have resulted in no convictions, while
only 29 percent of funds have been recovered by authorities.
The researchers, based in the U.K., call on the British government to set up a
new Cryptocurrency Asset Recovery Office. This would hold recovered funds to
transfer back to their rightful owners.
Chris Coghlan, a member of the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee told
POLITICO: “The sophistication and speed of crypto currency money launderers is
much higher and faster than our government’s ability to react.
“As a result, our sanctions and law enforcement are in an increasingly weak
position to stop it. This report highlights the need for a robust policy
response to this pressing issue.”
POLITICAL ISSUE
Cryptocurrency is increasingly becoming a regulatory battleground in both the
U.K. and the U.S.
In America, President Donald Trump has come under fire for his ties to the
industry. In April last year the U.S. disbanded a Department for Justice unit
tasked with investigating crypto-related fraud.
In Britain, Nigel Farage’s right-wing Reform UK became the first major British
political party to accept crypto donations. The British government is
considering a ban on political donations through crypto. But cryptocurrency
exchanges will not be regulated by the country’s Financial Conduct Authority
until 2027.
Much of Britain’s concern about crypto comes from Russia’s recent embrace of the
currency as an alternate means of financing its war economy following the
invasion of Ukraine. Browder said Russia is now successfully evading sanctions
using cryptocurrency — and that it is becoming a global epicenter for its
illicit use.
“Half of the illicit exchanges identified in the database have been based in
Russia. Four out of five major ransomware groups in the database have been based
in Russia.
“It is the home to crypto darknet marketplaces such as Hydra — one of the
largest in the world, which had processed over $5 billion in illicit funds
through the sale of harmful drugs and other illegal services,” he warned.
Browder added that British, American and EU policymakers have so far been unable
to tackle the problem: “Criminals and rogue regimes are basically running
circles around U.K., U.S. and EU prosecutors.”
“Criminals are able to escape without legal consequences, and victims are left
without redress and adequate compensation.”
The U.K. government must move to protect the financial services industry from
the potential costs of an unpredictable Trump administration, the City of
London’s newly appointed artificial intelligence czar told POLITICO.
City firms which are “heavily reliant on U.S. technology” face the “risk” of
changes beyond their control due to the climate of uncertainty stemming from
U.S. President Donald Trump’s government, said Harriet Rees, who is one of two
appointments by the U.K. Treasury to champion artificial intelligence adoption
in financial services.
“I definitely see a geopolitical risk right now when it comes to our
relationship with U.S. technology, our reliance on it,” said Rees, who serves as
the chief information officer at Starling Bank.
She added: “Within my role as AI champion, I will be looking for some more
confidence for the industry as to what the government is doing to protect firms,
or what mitigations the industry needs to be put in place, so that we’ve got the
confidence that we won’t be out of pocket for the things that we don’t have any
input over.”
Her warnings come as multiple sectors are eyeing ways to diversify away from the
U.S., particularly in the EU, in the wake of Trump’s ongoing tariff war and
threat to use force to take Greenland. In financial services, the focus is on
creating a new payments system to replace U.S. card heavyweights Visa and
Mastercard.
Aurore Lalucq, a left-leaning member of the European Parliament, said last
month: “The urgency is our payment system. Trump can cut us off from
everything.”
In Britain, banks will meet in mid-March to discuss account-to-account payments,
a system which would also bypass Visa and Mastercard by allowing payments
directly between bank accounts. But regulators in the U.K. insist plans are
about “resilience” rather than an intention to cut out the U.S.
Industry plans should take into account this eventuality, Rees argued.
“We see that the U.S. is prepared to make changes, be it tariffs, be it the way
trade operates between countries and so where we are reliant … on exports from
the U.S. we need to make sure that we understand the risks,” she said, adding
that it’s key to “have plans in place as an industry to be able to cope with
that, should that eventuality happen, that we have the government really
lobbying on our side to make sure that that is an unlikely risk to crystallize.”
British firms’ reliance on American cloud service providers poses a particular
risk, Rees said, with U.S. tech giants Amazon, Microsoft and Google dominating
in the cloud computing space. She called on regulators to ensure the providers
are adhering to legislation.
Any outage of these cloud providers could cause “significant disruption” for the
financial services industry, Rees said, and Britain should “ensure that we hold
those technologies to the same standards as we would any other critical
infrastructure here in the U.K.”
A bug in automation software took down Amazon Web Services, the largest cloud
provider in the world, in October last year, causing outages for thousands of
sites and applications.
Last month, MPs criticized the government for not acting decisively enough on
cloud service providers.
New rules for “critical third parties” — firms, such as cloud providers, whose
disruption could impact Britain’s financial stability — came into effect in Jan.
2025. They give the U.K.’s City regulators new powers of investigation and
enforcement over providers designated as critical.
Despite the regime being in place for a year, no providers have been handed the
designation. MPs on the Treasury Committee queried why the government “has been
so slow to use the new powers at its disposal.”