Denmark’s top military commander in the Arctic pushed back against claims that
Greenland is facing an imminent security threat from Russia or China,
undercutting a narrative repeatedly advanced by U.S. President Donald Trump.
“No. We don’t see a threat from China or Russia today,” Major General Søren
Andersen, commander of Denmark’s Joint Arctic Command in Greenland, said in an
interview with the Axel Springer Global Reporters Network, of which POLITICO is
a part. “But we look into a potential threat, and that is what we are training
for.”
Andersen, who has headed the Joint Arctic Command since 2023, stressed that the
stepped-up Danish and allied military activity around Greenland is not a
response to an immediate danger, but preparation for future contingencies.
Once the war in Ukraine ends, he said, Moscow could redirect military resources
to other regions. “I actually expect that we will see Russian resources that are
being taken from the theater around Ukraine into other theaters,” Andersen said,
pointing to the Baltic Sea and the Arctic region.
That assessment has driven Denmark’s decision to expand exercises and invite
European allies to operate in and around Greenland under harsh winter
conditions, part of what Copenhagen has framed as strengthening NATO’s northern
flank. Troops from several European countries have already deployed under
Denmark’s Operation Arctic Endurance exercise, which includes air, maritime and
land components.
The remarks stand in contrast to Trump’s repeated claims that Greenland is under
active pressure from Russia and China and his insistence that the island is
vital to U.S. national security.
“In the meantime, you have Russian destroyers and submarines, and China
destroyers and submarines all over the place,” Trump told reporters on Sunday
about his pursuit to make Greenland part of the United States. “We’re not going
to let that happen.”
Trump has argued Washington cannot rule out the use of force to secure its
interests, comments that have alarmed Danish and Greenlandic leaders.
Andersen declined to engage directly with those statements, instead emphasizing
NATO unity and longstanding cooperation with U.S. forces already stationed at
Pituffik Space Base. He also rejected hypothetical scenarios involving conflict
between allies, saying he could not envision one NATO country attacking another.
Despite rising political tensions with Washington, Andersen said the United
States was formally invited to participate in the exercise. “I hope that also
that we will have U.S. troops together with German, France or Canadian, or
whatever force that will train, because I think we have to do this together.”
Tag - Submarines
CAMP VIKING, Norway — In the deep snow of the Arctic mountains, Britain’s Royal
Marines are readying for war with Russia.
The elite troops are introduced to the wilderness by camping in the snow in
temperatures below minus 20C. They finish by jumping through ice holes and
shouting their name, rank and number before they can be pulled out of the water.
Then they roll in the snow, drink a tot of rum, and toast King Charles III.
Britain’s extreme weather training in this area dates to the Cold War, but Camp
Viking — its facility in Skjold, northern Norway — is new and growing. It opened
in 2023 after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and is due to reach a peak
of 1,500 personnel this spring, followed by 2,000 next year. Britain is
“effectively doubling” the number of its Royal Marines in Norway over three
years, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told POLITICO in an interview.
Exercises mirror missions the troops would conduct if NATO’s Article 5 on
collective defense was triggered — reflecting the reality that “we are no longer
at peace,” Brigadier Jaimie Norman, commander of the U.K. Commando Forces, told
Cooper and her Norwegian counterpart Espen Barth Eide on a visit to the site
Thursday. “We see ourselves on a continuum that has war on one end to peace on
the other, and we are somewhere on that continuum.”
Yet this is only one hemisphere of the Arctic. On the other, U.S. President
Donald Trump is stoking a very different crisis by pushing for ownership of
Greenland.
The risks that link the two regions — which have shipping lanes busier than ever
with Russian and Chinese vessels as the polar ice caps melt — are similar,
albeit less immediate for Greenland than Norway. Yet Greenland is consuming huge
global bandwidth.
It is little wonder that Eide, greeting Cooper after he spent two days in
Ukraine, lamented that they could not focus more on Ukraine and “less on other
things.”
Trump has left them with no other choice.
FIRE UP THE ‘ARCTIC SENTRY’
Cooper and Eide’s response is to publicly back the idea of an “Arctic Sentry”
NATO mission, a military co-operation that would aim to counter Russian threats
— while reassuring Trump of Europe’s commitment to the region.
Details of the mission — including the number of troops it would involve and
whether it would comprise land, sea or air deployments — remain hazy.
It could mean that exercises like those in northern Norway are deployed in
Greenland too, as well as the shipping lanes around them. Lanes in northern
Europe have seen a rise in shadow fleets carrying sanctioned oil and alleged
sabotage of communications cables.
Yvette Cooper’s message to Trump, and everyone else, was to insist there is no
real division between the eastern and western Arctic. | Stefan Rousseau/Getty
Images
But as with so many issues, they have yet to discover whether Trump will take
heed. Cooper’s intervention came one day after U.S. Vice President JD Vance met
Danish and Greenlandic representatives at the White House amid growing tensions
over Trump’s repeatedly stated intention to take control of Greenland.
Cooper’s message to Trump, and everyone else, was to insist there is no real
division between the eastern and western Arctic. “The security of the Arctic is
all linked,” she said — citing Russia’s northern fleet, shadow fleet, oil
tankers, non-military assets, spy ships and threats to undersea cables.
“Look at the map of the Arctic and where you have the sea channels,” she added.
“You can’t look at any one bit of Arctic security on its own, because the whole
point of the Arctic security is it has an impact on our transatlantic security
as a whole.
“Some of the Russian threat is through its Northern Fleet and into the Atlantic.
That is a transatlantic threat. That is something where clearly you can’t simply
revert to Europe’s defense on its own.”
Yet in parts of Britain and Europe, there are plenty of people who fear Trump is
asking Europe to do exactly that. European allies have long pushed the U.S.
president to nail down commitments to Ukraine.
A mere hint of this frustration is visible in Eide. He was keen to point out
that the risk to his end of the Arctic is more immediate.
“Just to the east of our eastern border, you come to the Kola Peninsula and
Murmansk,” he said, standing on a snowy outcrop. “That region has the largest
conglomeration of nuclear weapons in the world — and particularly, the second
strike capability of Russia is there. They need access to the open oceans, and
in a wartime situation, we don’t want them to have that access.”
He added: “If there is a crisis, this area will immediately be a center of
gravity because of the importance of the nuclear capabilities of Russia, the
submarine base and so on. It will go from low tension to being in the midst of
it in a very short time. That’s why we need to plan for rapid reinforcement, for
rapid stepping up, and also to have a constant military pressure presence in
this area.”
Managing this Trump reassurance is a tricky balance. Rachel Ellehus, director
general of the non-partisan foreign affairs think tank RUSI and a former U.S.
representative at NATO, said: “You want to signal solidarity and presence and
engagement, and send a message that Europe is stepping up for this alleged
Russian and Chinese threat in and around Greenland.
“But you don’t want to kind of stick your finger in the eye of the United States
or signal that you’re looking for some sort of confrontation.”
Perhaps for this reason, Ellehus suggested NATO itself is holding back. “The one
voice that has been quite silent is that of NATO,” she said. “It’s quite odd
that Mark Rutte has not issued a secretary general statement expressing
solidarity with Denmark and underscoring that any security concerns that the
United States might have could legitimately be addressed through the NATO
alliance, because both Denmark and Greenland are members of their territories
covered by the Article Five guarantee.
“I think it does have consequences in terms of the credibility of the alliance,
and I think we could see an intensification of the practice whereby allies are
turning to bilateral or regional relationships, score and meet their security to
meet their security needs, rather than relying on multinational alliances like
NATO.”
A NEW ERA
A reminder of how fast multilateralism is changing hangs on the library wall in
the quaint, pink and white British embassy in Helsinki.
The photo, dated July 1975, shows British Prime Minister Harold Wilson in the
embassy garden with U.S. President Gerald Ford, Henry Kissinger and others on
the cusp of signing the Helsinki Accords. The agreement, emphasizing the rights
of sovereignty and territorial integrity, was part of a drumbeat toward the end
of the Cold War.
Britain’s extreme weather training in this area dates to the Cold War, but Camp
Viking — its facility in Skjold, northern Norway — is new and growing. | Ben
Dance / FCDO
Across the street in Helsinki is the fortress-like embassy of the U.S. — where
Trump is one of those calling the shots on territorial integrity these days. As
well as his designs on Greenland, the president recently said NATO “would not be
an effective force or deterrent” without American military power and said he did
not need international law.
Britain and many of its allies are loath to accept any suggestion of any cracks
in the alliance. Asked by POLITICO if NATO was in crisis, Finland’s Foreign
Minister Elisa Valtonen insisted: “NATO is stronger than it’s ever been.”
Cooper, too, said NATO is “extremely strong” — and argued that those who
describe his administration as a destabilising force are being too simplistic.
She pointed to the presence of Marco Rubio, a more traditional Republican than
Trump who Europeans have found easier to work with than the president, along
with work on security guarantees for Ukraine, collaboration on “Five Eyes”
intelligence and the plan for Gaza, much of which was led by the U.S.
“Of course, everyone can see this administration operates in a different way,”
she said, but “in every discussion I’ve had with … Rubio, there has always been
a really strong commitment to NATO.” The Gaza plan, she added pointedly, “was
actually drawing on international law, the UN framework.”
But one U.K. official, not authorized to speak publicly, said there were three
schools of thought about Trump’s comments on Greenland. The first is the
president’s stated aim that he is concerned about security threats to the
Arctic; the second is that he is seeking business opportunities there.
And then “there is one school of thought that ultimately, he just wants to take
it … he just wants to make America bigger,” they said.
Nordic governments are rejecting U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertions that
Russian and Chinese vessels are operating near Greenland, warning that the
claims are not supported by intelligence and are fueling destabilizing rhetoric,
the Financial Times reported on Sunday.
Two senior Nordic diplomats with access to NATO intelligence briefings told the
FT there is no evidence of Russian or Chinese ships or submarines operating
around Greenland in recent years, directly contradicting Trump’s justification
for U.S. control of the Arctic territory.
“I have seen the intelligence. There are no ships, no submarines,” one diplomat
told the paper.
Trump has claimed that Greenland is “covered with Russian and Chinese ships” and
argued that the U.S. must take control of the island for national security
reasons — rhetoric that has intensified in recent weeks.
Norway’s Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide also told Norwegian broadcaster NRK
that there was “very little” Russian or Chinese activity near Greenland, despite
ongoing Russian submarine movements closer to Norway itself.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, meanwhile, said at an annual security
conference in northern Sweden that Stockholm was “highly critical” of what the
Trump administration was doing and had done in Venezuela, in regards to
international law.
“We are probably even more critical of the rhetoric that is being expressed
against Greenland and Denmark,” Kristersson added, explaining that the
rules-based international order is under greater strain than it has been in
decades.
Kristersson said the U.S. should recognize Denmark’s long-standing role as a
loyal ally, instead of agitating about Greenland. “On the contrary, the United
States should thank Denmark,” he said.
Leaders of all five parties in Greenland’s parliament reiterated that stance
late Friday, saying in a joint statement: “We do not want to be Americans, we do
not want to be Danes, we want to be Greenlanders.”
LONDON — The Ministry of Defence plans to develop autonomous vessels that
operate AI technology alongside warships and aircraft to better protect
Britain’s undersea cables and pipelines from Moscow.
Under the Atlantic Bastion program, surface and underwater vessels, ships,
submarines, and aircraft would be connected through AI-powered acoustic
detection technology and integrated into a “digital targeting web,” a network of
weapons systems, allowing faster decisions to be made.
The government explained that the program was in response to a resurgence of
Russian submarine and underwater activity in British waters. British
intelligence says Russian President Vladimir Putin was modernizing his fleet to
target critical undersea cables and pipelines.
Last month, the Russian spy ship Yantar directed lasers at British forces
deployed to monitor the vessel for the first time after it entered U.K. waters.
Yantar was previously in U.K. territorial seas in January.
Defence Secretary John Healey said Yantar was “designed for gathering
intelligence and mapping our undersea cables.”
The Ministry of Defence says Atlantic Bastion will create a hybrid naval force
that can find, track, and, if required, act against adversaries.
A combined £14 million has been invested by the Ministry of Defence and
industry, with 26 U.K. and European firms submitting proposals to develop
anti-submarine sensor technology. Any capabilities would be deployed underwater
from 2026.
“People should be in no doubt of the new threats facing the U.K., and our allies
under the sea, where adversaries are targeting infrastructure that is so
critical to our way of life,” said Defence Secretary John Healey.
“Our pioneering Atlantic Bastion program is a blueprint for the future of the
Royal Navy. It combines the latest autonomous and AI technologies with
world-class warships and aircraft to create a highly advanced hybrid fighting
force to detect, deter and defeat those who threaten us.”
Britain’s Chief of the Naval Staff, Gwyn Jenkins, was expected to say at the
International Sea Power Conference on Monday: “We are a Navy that thrives when
it is allowed to adapt. To evolve. We have never stood still — because the
threats never do.”
The first sea lord general added: A revolutionary underwater network is taking
shape — from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge to the Norwegian Sea. More autonomous, more
resilient, more lethal — and British built.”
PARIS — The French navy opened fire at drones that were detected over a
highly-sensitive military site harboring French nuclear submarines, according to
newswire Agence France-Presse.
Five drones were detected Thursday night over the submarine base of Île Longue,
in Brittany, western France, a strategic military site home to ballistic missile
submarines, the AFP reported, citing the the French gendarmerie, which is part
of the military. The submarines harbored at the base carry nuclear weapons and
are a key part of France’s nuclear deterrent.
French navy troops in charge of protecting the base opened fire, the report
said. It was unclear whether the drones were shot down.
Drones had already been spotted in the area last month, albeit not directly
above the base, per reports in French media. The site had been buzzed by drones
long before the invasion of Ukraine.
The incident follows a string of recent drone incursions in NATO airspace, with
unmanned aircrafts seen buzzing around sensitive military sites and civil
infrastructures in recent months across Europe, including in Belgium, Germany,
Denmark and Norway.
In Poland, fighter jets were scrambled in September to shoot down drones of
Russian origin, an incident widely seen as an escalation of Russian President
Vladimir Putin’s hybrid war on Europe.
French authorities haven’t yet commented on the suspected origin of the drone
incident Thursday at the well-known military site.
LONDON — In the corridors of Whitehall, armies of officials are working out how
best to spend billions of pounds earmarked for defense equipment.
However, they have yet to inform the people it concerns the most: Britain’s arms
industry.
Many in the sector now fear that they’ve wasted their own money developing
cutting-edge gear, as the government drags its feet on awarding contracts.
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour Party has made a lot of noise on
defense since entering government last year, plundering the aid budget to get
defense spending to reach 2.6 percent of GDP by 2027 and a promise of 3.5
percent by 2035.
Alongside the funding boost, Starmer asked George Robertson, a Labour Party
politician who is a former NATO secretary-general, to lead a major inquiry into
how the U.K. would meet geopolitical threats, known as the Strategic Defence
Review (SDR).
The SDR was well received across the defense industry and viewed as a statement
of intent from the government to devote effort and resources to building up the
sector, with an emphasis on resilience and innovation.
Those good intentions were supposed to be followed by a series of complementary
announcements — including a defense industrial strategy, the appointment of a
new national armaments director, and a defense investment plan.
The industrial strategy and armaments director both arrived late, while the
defense investment plan is still missing in action. It is now expected after
this week’s fall budget.
Six months since the SDR, many in the industry complain that they haven’t
received the certainty they need about where the British government — in many
cases, their sole buyer —plans to invest.
Business owners say this is limiting their ability to make long-term plans and
risks skilled workers departing for other jobs.
One representative of a mid-sized arms manufacturer — granted anonymity like
others in this piece in order not to damage commercial prospects — said the
problem was that the “big, bold” prescription of the SDR has given way to
“repeated deferral, which always happens with delivery plans of this
complexity.”
INNOVATING IN THE DARK
The war in Ukraine has radically reshaped other countries’ understanding of
what’s needed on the battlefield, and the SDR set out a clear expectation that
innovation would be rewarded.
At September’s DSEI — an industry jamboree held in London — it was plain to see
that private companies had stepped up to deliver prototypes for novel weaponry
and other equipment, from modular robots that can deliver materiel to a
battlefield and can also serve as stretchers, to AI that can read and predict
threats on the ground in real time.
Defence Minister Luke Pollard said: “We need to move to war-fighting readiness,
and the SDR gave industry a very clear direction of how an increasing defense
budget will be spent on new technologies and looking after our people better.” |
John Keeble/Getty Images
Much of that research and development was done by companies drawing on their own
budgets or taking out loans as they wait for news of any specific government
contracts.
For small suppliers in particular, the lag could prove existential.
One small manufacturer based in England said: “We are ready to go; we have built
factories that could start making equipment tomorrow. But we can’t until an
order is placed.”
Armored vehicle maker Supacat has said that while its business is stable,
suppliers will suffer without a predictable path ahead.
“This is about the wider industry and our partners in the supply chain that have
been contributing,” Toby Cox, the company’s head of sales, told POLITICO. “Our
assumption is we don’t get more [orders], some of these companies will have a
downturn in their orders.”
KEEPING PRODUCTION LINES WARM
Andrew Kinniburgh, defense director general of manufacturers association Make
UK, echoed those concerns.
While the industry “warmly welcomed” the Defence Ministry’s commitment to boost
SME spending, he said, “the MOD must give companies certainty of long-term
demand signals and purchase orders, allowing businesses to make the private
investments needed in people, capital, and infrastructure.”
Mike Armstrong, U.K. managing director of German defense firm Stark, which has
recently opened a plant in Britain, added: “Giving the industry a clear view of
future requirements is the fastest way to ensure the U.K. and its allies stay
ahead.”
Even some bigger companies that deal with the government on components for
aircraft and submarines have privately complained about putting money into
research and development without knowing what the end result will be.
An engineer working at one of Britain’s largest defense firms said: “We have
multi-use items that could be for both military and civilian purposes, but
cannot invest until we know what government strategy is. If it’s bad for us, it
must be so hard for SMEs.”
Mike Armstrong, U.K. managing director of German defense firm Stark,
added: “Giving the industry a clear view of future requirements is the fastest
way to ensure the U.K. and its allies stay ahead.” | Andrew Matthews/Getty
Images
The issue is not only one of investment, but also of skills. Supacat’s Cox said
that keeping production lines warm matters because the workforce behind complex
fabrications is fragile.
“The U.K. has a skill shortage, particularly around engineering fabrication. If
we’ve got an employee in that sector, we absolutely don’t want to lose them in
another sector,” he said.
NOT LONG TO GO
The Ministry of Defence said it appreciates the need for clarity.
Defence Minister Luke Pollard, speaking to POLITICO at DSEI, said: “We need to
move to war-fighting readiness, and the SDR gave industry a very clear direction
of how an increasing defense budget will be spent on new technologies and
looking after our people better.”
He argued there was “a neat synergy” between the “duty of government to keep the
country safe and the first mission of this Labour government to grow the
economy.”
An MOD spokesperson said the defense investment plan would “offer clear,
long-term capability requirements that enable industry to plan and unlocking
private investment.”
They pointed out that £250 million had already been allocated for “defense
growth deals” alongside a £182 million skills package, and that the MOD had
placed £31.7 billion in orders with U.K. industry in the last financial year.
A government official rejected claims that ministers were moving too slowly,
pointing to Defence Secretary John Healey’s recent announcement on new munitions
factories as exactly the kind of demand signal that industry is looking for.
The director of a large U.K. defense producer said the signs from the government
were “encouraging,” specifying that Chancellor Rachel Reeves, having agreed to
more money for defense, “wants to see a return on investment.”
While most of the country will be braced for Reeves’s big moment on Wednesday
when she announces the national budget, one sector will have to hold its breath
a little longer.
Luke McGee contributed to this report.
LONDON — Criminal networks are “weaponizing children” to commit torture and
murder by recruiting them through multiplayer video games and smartphones — and
parents often have no idea what’s happening, the boss of Europe’s law
enforcement agency warns.
These groups now pose the greatest single criminal threat to the European Union
because they destabilize society by targeting children and destroying families,
said Catherine De Bolle, executive director of Europol.
“The weaponization of children for organized crime groups is what is going on at
the moment on European soil,” she said in a joint interview with POLITICO and
Welt. “They weaponize the children to torture or to kill. It’s not about petty
theft anymore. It’s about big crimes.”
The “worst case” Europol has seen was of a young boy who was ordered “to kill
his younger sister, which happened,” she said. “It’s cruel, we have never seen
this before.”
She even suggested that children and young people are being used by hostile
states and hybrid threat perpetrators as unwitting spies to eavesdrop on
government buildings.
The Europol chief is in a unique position to describe the criminal landscape
threatening European security, as head of the EU agency responsible for
intelligence coordination and supporting national police.
In a wide-ranging discussion, De Bolle also cautioned that the growth of
artificial intelligence is having a dramatic impact, multiplying online crime,
described how drug smugglers are now using submarines to ship cocaine from South
America to Europe, and described an increasing threat to European society from
Russia’s hybrid war.
De Bolle’s comments come amid an ongoing debate about how to police the internet
and social media to prevent young and vulnerable people from coming to harm. The
greatest threat facing the EU from organized crime right now comes from groups
that have “industrialized” the recruitment of children, she said: “Because [they
are] the future of the European Union. If you lose them, you lose everything.”
FROM GAMING TO GROOMING
Criminals often begin the process of grooming children by joining their
multiplayer video games, which have a chat function, and gaining their trust by
discussing seemingly harmless topics like pets and family life.
Then, they will switch to a closed chat where they will move on to discussing
more sinister matters, and persuade the child to share personal details like
their address. At that point, the criminals can bribe or blackmail the child
into committing violence, including torture, self-harm, murder and even
suicide.
Europol is aware of 105 instances in which minors were involved in violent
crimes “performed as a service” — including 10 contract killings. Many attempted
murders fail because children are inexperienced, the agency said.
“We also have children who do not execute the order and then, for instance, [the
criminals] kill the pet of the child, so that the child knows very well, ‘We
know where you live, we know who you are, you will obey, and if you don’t, we
will go even further to kill your mother or your father,’” De Bolle warned.
Criminals will also offer children money to commit a crime — as much as $20,000
for a killing, sometimes they pay and sometimes they don’t. While these networks
often target children who are vulnerable because they have psychological
problems or are bullied at school, healthy and happy children are also at risk,
De Bolle said. “It’s also about others, youngsters who are not vulnerable but
just want new shoes — shoes that are very expensive.”
Sometimes young people are even recruited for hybrid war by state actors, she
said. “You also have it with hybrid threat actors that are looking for the crime
as a service model — the young perpetrators to listen to the foreign state, to
listen to the communication around buildings.”
Once police catch a child, the criminals abandon them and move to groom a new
child to turn into a remote-operated weapon.
“Parents blame themselves in a lot of cases. They do not understand how it is
possible,” she said. “The problem is you don’t have access to everything your
child does and you respect also the privacy of your children. But as a parent,
you need to talk about the dangers of the internet.”
DRUGS AND AI ARE ALSO A PROBLEM
Among the new criminal methods crossing Europol’s desks, two stand out: The use
of so-called narco-submarines to smuggle drugs like cocaine from South America
into the EU and the growth in AI technology fueling an explosion in online fraud
that enforcement agencies are virtually powerless to stop.
Instead of shipping cocaine into the ports of Hamburg, Rotterdam and Antwerp
through containers, criminals have diversified their methods, De Bolle said. One
key route is to sail semi-submersible vessels from South America to Europe’s
North Atlantic coast, where speedboats meet them and offload the illegal cargo
via Portugal, according to Europol’s information.
While Europe now is “overflooded with drugs,” criminal organizations may make
more money, more easily through online fraud, she said. “Artificial intelligence
is a multiplier for crime,” she said. “Everything is done a thousand times more
and faster. The abuse of artificial intelligence lies in phishing emails — you
do not recognize it very easily with phishing emails anymore because the
language is correct.”
She said “romance fraud” is also “booming,” as “people look for love, also
online.”
“With deepfakes and with voice automation systems, it’s very difficult for a law
enforcement authority to recognise that from a genuine picture. The technology
is not there yet to [tell] the difference,” De Bolle added.
De Bolle said Europol needed to be able to access encrypted phone messages with
a judge’s authorization to disrupt these criminal networks. “When a judge
decides that we need to have access to data, the online providers should be
forced to give us access to this encrypted communication,” she said.
Otherwise, “we will be blind and then we cannot do our job.”
President Donald Trump on Monday insisted the U.S. is going “full steam ahead”
on a major nuclear-powered submarine pact, ending months of uncertainty over
whether his administration would keep the alliance with Australia and the U.K.
The Pentagon announced this summer that it was reviewing the deal, known as
AUKUS, fueling angst in Canberra and London that the Trump administration might
walk away from a rare agreement to expand production of nuclear submarines and
partner on tech to ward off China. But Trump gave his support Monday at a White
House meeting with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, where leaders
sought to reset the tone of the relationship after weeks of speculation about
the pact’s future.
“We’re just going now full steam ahead,” Trump said when asked about the deal.
“They’re building magnificent holding pads for the submarines. It’s going to be
expensive. You wouldn’t believe the level of complexity and how expensive it
is.”
Canberra has committed billions to develop submarine and naval shipbuilding
facilities in western Australia, designed to host and maintain U.S. and U.K.
nuclear-powered submarines while revving up construction of new ones. The new
infrastructure would turn Australia into a hub for allies and their submarines
in the region, all aimed as a bulwark against China.
Navy Secretary John Phelan, at the meeting, said the plan is to “take the
original AUKUS framework and improve it for all three parties, and make it
better, clarify some of what was in the prior agreement.”
Trump, who is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the coming
weeks, said he views AUKUS as a deterrent against Beijing but not a step toward
a confrontation. And he dismissed the idea of a conflict over Taiwan. “We’ll be
just fine with China,” he said. “First of all, the United States is the
strongest military power in the world by far.”
Trump and Albanese also signed a deal for critical minerals and rare-earth
elements, formalizing joint investments between the two countries to strengthen
non-Chinese supply chains for materials crucial for defense and high-tech
manufacturing. Officials negotiated it over the last few months, Trump said.
Albanese described it as an AUD $8.5 billion pipeline, with joint contributions
over the next six months.
“Australia has had a view for some time — it’s similar to putting America
first,” he said. “Our plan is called ‘A Future Made in Australia,’ which is
about not just digging things up and exporting them, but making sure we have
supply chains where our friends can benefit.”
The mineral push comes amid increasing trade tensions between the U.S. and
Beijing, which has tightened export controls on rare-earth elements and
permanent magnets. Both are vital for defense and high-tech products.
Trump reiterated his threat to levy hefty tariffs on China if it does not relent
on the new trade restrictions. “They threatened us with rare earths, and I
threatened them with tariffs,” he said. “We could stop the airplane parts, too.
We build their airplanes.”
BERLIN — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Canadian Prime Minister Mark
Carney said Tuesday that their countries would enhance collaboration on defense
and critical minerals.
“We are deepening our bilateral cooperation, and we are doing so with great
gratitude and deep conviction,” Merz said during a joint press conference with
Carney in Berlin. “Canada and Germany have a great deal in common.”
The further cooperation comes as U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs hit both
countries hard, while they also aim to shift their industries away from reliance
on Russia and China.
The countries’ economy ministers, looking toward that purpose, were set to sign
an agreement on critical minerals, which was seen by POLITICO.
The accord will focus on the development of lithium, rare earth elements, copper
tungsten, gallium, germanium and nickel to counter China’s monopolistic control
of materials needed to power everything from military equipment and electric
vehicles to quantum computing.
“One of the big vulnerabilities that’s been exposed by the Ukraine war, it was
exposed by Covid, it’s been exposed by the changing global trade dynamics, [is]
our vulnerabilities in supply chains including in critical metals and minerals,”
said Carney. “Canada can play a role in accelerating that diversification for
Germany and for Europe.”
Just like Brussels, Berlin is keen to slash its dependence on China for the
so-called critical minerals needed to power the bloc’s green, digital and
defense ambitions. Ottawa is an attractive partner to achieve that — Canada has
some 200 mines extracting a variety of minerals and metals, many of which are
classified as critical raw materials.
A number of Canadian Cabinet members, including Defense Minister David McGuinty,
Industry Minister Mélanie Joly and Energy Minister Tim Hodgson traveled
alongside Carney to Berlin.
Carney announced he would visit Thyssenkrupp Marine Systems in the northern
German city of Kiel later Tuesday, alongside Joly and McGuinty, while Hodgson
was set to deliver a major speech to CEOs from the energy, manufacturing and
defense industries.
“We’re in the process of renewing our submarine fleet,” Carney said, adding that
Thyssenkrupp Marine Systems was one of the two finalists to take on the project.
Carney and Merz also said they discussed security guarantees for Ukraine, but
did not provide concrete details.
Camille Gijs contributed to this report from Brussels.
Finland filed criminal charges Monday against the captain and crew of the
suspected shadow fleet ship Eagle S, which is accused of attacking and damaging
five telecom cables in the Gulf of Finland.
The charges, brought against the captain and two mates of the oil tanker — which
Finnish authorities believe is part of Russia’s so-called shadow fleet — include
aggravated criminal mischief and interference with communications, plus other
indictments. The trio have been barred from leaving Finland since the
investigation began.
Finnish prosecutors said that the defendants deny the charges, claiming Helsinki
lacks jurisdiction because the damaged cables lie outside its territorial
waters.
The charges are the latest development in Finland’s investigation, which also
led to the seizure of the Eagle S, prime suspect in the December 2024 incident
that damaged four submarine cables and disrupted another in the Gulf of Finland.
The sabotage triggered calls for more robust action against Moscow’s shadow
fleet, an armada of aging, often uninsured tankers that sanctioned nations like
Russia rely on to bypass international penalties.
NATO has also mobilized forces to protect the seabed and critical communications
infrastructure amid a pattern of similar incidents in the Baltic Sea, including
the severing of an internet cable between Finland and Germany in November 2024,
and another between Finland and Sweden in December 2024.
POLITICO has contacted the prosecutor’s office for comment.