Tag - French EU presidency

Zelenskyy to meet Macron in Paris on Monday
PARIS — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will visit Paris on Monday for talks with French President Emmanuel Macron, the Elysée Palace said. The two leaders will meet as Zelenskyy’s government is engulfed in a damaging corruption scandal over allegations that the president’s associates had plotted to skim around $100 million from Ukraine’s energy sector as the country’s citizens suffer from blackouts caused by Russian attacks against infrastructure. Macron and Zelenskyy will discuss issues relating to bilateral relations, energy, the economy and defense, according to the statement from the French presidency. The visit will also be an opportunity to “reaffirm France’s long-term commitment for Ukraine” and “maintain the drive for security guarantees” offered by the coalition of the willing led by the French and the British. The corruption scandal comes as Kyiv faces a budget crunch next year and is seeking to secure desperately needed funds from the European Union. Brussels wants to use Russian frozen assets as a “reparation loan” to Ukraine, but still needs to convince Belgium, where most of the assets are held. Presidential adviser Andriy Yermak said Zelenskyy was “not corrupt” and a”very principled person” in an interview with the Axel Springer Global Reporters Network, to which POLITICO belongs. EU allies, however, want reassurances that Kyiv is doing what it can to tackle corruption. On Thursday, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Berlin expects “Ukraine to press ahead with anti-corruption measures and reforms,” after a call with the Ukrainian president.
Defense
Energy
Foreign Affairs
Politics
Security
Solitary Macron walks banks of the Seine to plan crunch decision on France’s future
PARIS — A solitary President Emmanuel Macron was spotted walking and making calls beside the Seine River on Monday, as he weighed his crucial response to the chaos engulfing France after the shock resignation of his fifth government since reelection in 2022. Ever the political showman, Macron — pacing the flagstones of the quais in a dark navy overcoat — was also seen talking to passers-by, in images that contrast with the accusations that the former Rothschild banker is disconnected from ordinary people. The outing fits with his model of ostentatious displays at critical political moments. He took a stroll, then a boat trip on the Seine, when he resigned as economy minister in 2016 to launch his presidential bid. On the night of his election in 2017, he took a three-minute victory lap around the Louvre Museum, again in the dark overcoat preferred for moments of high-drama. After Lecornu’s resignation mere hours after his government was appointed, Macron has his back against the wall, as the crisis in the eurozone’s No. 2 economy is sapping confidence in both French markets and the euro. The appointment last month of a close ally as prime minister was seen as the last resort for the French president. If the ultimate Macron loyalist couldn’t secure a functioning government, make a deal with opposition parties on the budget, who could? Now the president faces an array of unappetizing options: appointing a new prime minister who will almost certainly fail, calling a snap election that will probably bring the far-right National Rally closer to power. Or something he said he would never do: resign. In a sign of the difficulties he faces, the French president seemed angry and appeared to snap at a close ally during a conversation Monday morning, according to this ally, who was granted anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter. The tension is at its peak. Lecornu walked out on Monday, when the newly reappointed interior minister (and head of the conservatives), Bruno Retailleau, said he wasn’t sure his party wanted to stay in government. The French president could now appoint a new prime minister, but anybody from the center-right, the left or even a technocrat would struggle to push a divided and hostile parliament to agree on a slimmed-down budget. Calling a parliamentary snap election could buy the president time, but polls show it would strengthen the far right. And less that two years before a presidential election, boosting the far right is hardly something the French president wants to add to his legacy. Elisa Bertholomey and Pauline de Saint Remy contributed reporting.
Politics
Budget
Far right
Parliament
Rights
Hungary’s Orbán has unlikely potential allies in bid to keep Ukraine out of the EU
Hungary’s Viktor Orbán may find support in unusual corners for his bid to stop Ukraine from joining the EU — including from French President Emmanuel Macron. Ahead of a gathering of EU leaders in Copenhagen Oct. 1, European Council President António Costa has been lobbying European leaders to find a way around Hungary’s opposition to Kyiv’s joining the bloc, among other stalled membership bids. As first reported by POLITICO on Monday, the Portuguese politician has offered to change EU rules to allow formal accession talks to begin following approval by a qualified majority of leaders, rather than by unanimous consent as is currently required. But Costa’s plan is proving controversial. While Orbán is the EU leader closest to President Vladimir Putin and most hostile to Ukraine, other leaders have very different motives to join his side — mainly to defend their veto power. The plan faces pushback from several EU countries, including France, the Netherlands and Greece, and is unlikely to get wide approval in Denmark, according to three EU diplomats and a French presidency official who spoke to POLITICO on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive deliberations.  The concern among these countries is that by changing the accession rules, they would also be limiting their own ability to block membership bids they see as problematic, the same people said. That opens up a host of rivalries that Orbán can play upon: It’s important to the Greeks, for example, to show they can hold up talks on Turkey’s membership, just as Bulgarians want to be able to draw the line on North Macedonia, and Croats to block Serbia. Costa’s suggestion would open a path forward not just for Ukraine — whose bid has been held up for months due to Orbán’s veto — but also for Moldova, as the two countries’ candidacies are linked. According to a senior EU official, Costa’s proposal will be on the table in Copenhagen on Wednesday, along with another proposal to use frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine. “No leader to this day replied with a total ‘no’ to this idea,” the senior official said, referring to Costa’s rule-change proposal. Finnish President Alexander Stubb told POLITICO that he backed any attempt to speed up the process. “Any decision-making mechanism which gives more flexibility and less possibility to block I personally welcome, and never more so than with Ukraine,” he said. But the camp opposing Costa and Stubb may prove too strong. And if the price of preserving the rules is that Ukraine and Moldova may have to wait months, if not years, to see their bids move forward, it’s one that these countries are willing to pay. “We’re not convinced at all by changing the rules of the game during the game, because that is what some are proposing,” said a senior EU diplomat, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomatic matters. “If you do qualified majority voting [to push the accession process forward], there is a very big risk of the process being extremely politicized,” they added. Paris has also historically opposed Turkey’s accession to the bloc, with Emmanuel Macron telling Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan as recently as 2018 there was no chance of Ankara’s bid advancing. | Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images An even greater challenge is that in order to change the rules, all 27 member countries including Hungary would have to be in agreement — a non-starter for these diplomats. “If we had to change or evolve on the decision-making process, that would also have to be decided via unanimity, which does not seem to be possible today,” said a French presidency official. PULLING FOR UKRAINE The push to streamline EU accession comes as top EU officials throw their weight behind the Ukrainian and Moldovan membership bids. Von der Leyen has repeatedly stated that Ukraine “belongs in the EU,” arguing that Kyiv could achieve full membership in the 27-member grouping by 2030 if it carries on with judicial and economic reforms. Kyiv has carried out judicial reforms and has had extensive talks with counterparts in Brussels, but legally speaking, negotiations have yet to begin. That’s because under the current rules, Hungary can block formal talks. Moldova is in the same boat. Chișinău’s bid to join the 27-member bloc — which President Maia Sandu placed at the heart of the campaign ahead of legislative elections this past Sunday — is tied to that of Ukraine, meaning it cannot advance as long as Kyiv’s candidacy remains blocked. The stalled process carries a price for both Sandu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, as both tout future EU membership as an alternative to Russia’s sphere of influence. Costa’s initiative won backing this week from the European Commission, where officials privately say that the current process — which requires a unanimous vote at more than 100 stages — is too cumbersome. Costa’s idea is to introduce qualified majority voting at those interim stages so that progress can be made, even if a small number of countries are opposed. Final accession to the EU would still be impossible without unanimous approval. ORBÁN’S UNLIKELY ALLIES But that push is now running into opposition from leaders who see their membership veto as deeply tied up with national sovereignty. Take Greece, which has long opposed Turkey’s membership bid as a security threat. Athens relies on its veto as a way of guaranteeing that Ankara will never join the EU — even if Turkey’s bid is legally on hold. “On this proposal we are very cautious,” said a Greek official, referring to Costa’s rule-tweak proposal. Paris has also historically opposed Turkey’s accession to the bloc, with Macron telling Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan as recently as 2018 there was no chance of Ankara’s bid advancing. The same goes for Bulgaria, which wants to be able to block North Macedonia’s entry into the bloc, or Croatia, which has historically opposed Serbia’s accession.  “Obviously the Hungarians are blocking the Ukrainians,” said the first EU diplomat. “But that’s not all. The Bulgarians want to be able to block the Macedonians, the Croats want to be able to control the Serbs, Greece and Cyprus don’t want Turkey to come any closer to the EU, and Greece also would want to keep an eye on Albania,” the diplomat added. In public, EU leaders may oppose Hungary’s blocking of Ukraine. But behind closed doors, many find it a convenient cover for their own demands. Tim Ross, Gregorio Sorgi and Gabriel Gavin contributed reporting.
Politics
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Negotiations
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Lobbying
France warns of ‘extremely worrying’ Russian activity underwater and in space
PARIS — Russia likely wants to militarize space, while its undersea activity is also “extremely worrying,” a top French general said during a rare press conference Friday. Describing the Kremlin as “a lasting threat,” Chief of the Defense Staff Thierry Burkhard said Russian submarines “regularly enter the North Atlantic and then sometimes descend into the Mediterranean” in order to “monitor areas which are important [to France].” Burkhard also said Moscow’s satellites are being used to spy on or interfere with French equipment. He also pointed to “signs of a desire to militarize space” with specialized satellites “which would likely not be legal under the laws relating to the non-militarization of space.” During the first press conference held by the French chief of the defense staff since 2021, Burkhard aimed to outline the threats currently facing France ahead of a speech Sunday on defense by President Emmanuel Macron, which is expected to include major announcements. Beyond Russia, Burkhard also highlighted how tensions in other parts of the world — including the Middle East — are adding to an already demanding situation for French troops. He stressed that “unbridled use of force” and “getting used to violence” had become defining elements of the global landscape. While avoiding a direct call for increased military spending, Burkhard said that finding the best way to confront these challenges “probably comes at a cost.” France is looking to increase its military budget to €67.4 billion by 2030, from €50.5 billion for this year.
Defense
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Military
Budget
Mobility