The first American pope is on a collision course with U.S. President Donald
Trump.
The latest fault line between the Vatican and the White House emerged on Sunday.
Shortly after Trump suggested his administration could “run” Venezuela, the
Chicago-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of the “country’s
sovereignty.”
For MAGA-aligned conservatives, this is now part of an unwelcome pattern. While
Leo is less combative in tone toward Trump than his predecessor Francis, his
priorities are rekindling familiar battles in the culture war with the U.S.
administration on topics such as immigration and deportations, LGBTQ+ rights and
climate change.
As the leader of a global community of 1.4 billion Catholics, Leo has a rare
position of influence to challenge Trump’s policies, and the U.S. president has
to tread with uncustomary caution in confronting him. Trump traditionally
relishes blasting his critics with invective but has been unusually restrained
in response to Leo’s criticism, in part because he counts a large number of
Catholics among his core electorate.
“[Leo] is not looking for a fight like Francis, who sometimes enjoyed a fight,”
said Chris White, author of “Pope Leo XIV: Inside the Conclave and the Dawn of a
New Papacy.”
“But while different in style, he is clearly a continuation of Francis in
substance. Initially there was a wait-and-see approach, but for many MAGA
Catholics, Leo challenges core beliefs.”
In recent months, migration has become the main combat zone between the liberal
pope and U.S. conservatives. Leo called on his senior clergy to speak out on the
need to protect vulnerable migrants, and U.S. bishops denounced the
“dehumanizing rhetoric and violence” leveled at people targeted by Trump’s
deportation policies. Leo later went public with an appeal that migrants in the
U.S. be treated “humanely” and “with dignity.”
Leo’s support emboldened Florida bishops to call for a Christmas reprieve from
Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids. “Don’t be the Grinch that stole
Christmas,” said Archbishop Thomas Wenski of Miami.
As if evidence were needed of America’s polarization on this topic, however, the
Department of Homeland Security described their arrests as a “Christmas gift to
Americans.”
Leo also conspicuously removed Cardinal Timothy Dolan, Trump’s preferred
candidate for pope and a favorite on the conservative Fox News channel, from a
key post as archbishop of New York, replacing him with a bishop known for
pro-migrant views.
This cuts to the heart of the moral dilemma for a divided U.S. Catholic
community. For Trump, Catholics are hardly a sideshow as they constitute 22
percent of his electorate, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center. While
the pope appeals to liberal causes, however, many MAGA Catholics take a far
stricter line on topics such as migration, sexuality and climate change.
To his critics from the conservative Catholic MAGA camp, such as Trump’s former
strategist Steve Bannon, the pope is anathema.
U.S.-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of Venezuela’s
“sovereignty.” | Stefano Costantino/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
Last year the pope blessed a chunk of ice from Greenland and criticized
political leaders who ignore climate change. He said supporters of the death
penalty could not credibly claim to be pro-life, and argued that Christians and
Muslims could be friends. He has also signaled a more tolerant posture toward
LGBTQ+ Catholics, permitting an LGBTQ+ pilgrimage to St Peter’s Basilica.
Small wonder, then, that Trump confidante and conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer
branded Leo the “woke Marxist pope.” Trump-aligned Catholic conservatives have
denounced him as “secularist,” “globalist” and even “apostate.” Far-right pundit
Jack Posobiec has called him “anti-Trump.”
“Some popes are a blessing. Some popes are a penance,” Posobiec wrote on X.
PONTIFF FROM CHICAGO
There were early hopes that Leo might build bridges with U.S. hardliners. He’s
an American, after all: He wears an Apple watch and follows baseball, and
American Catholics can hardly dismiss him as as foreign. The Argentine Francis,
by contrast, was often portrayed by critics as anti-American and shaped by the
politics of poorer nations.
Leo can’t be waved away so easily.
Early in his papacy, Leo also showed signs he was keen to steady the church
after years of internal conflict, and threw some bones to conservatives such as
allowing a Latin Mass in St. Peter’s Basilica and wearing more ornate papal
vestments.
But the traditionalists were not reassured.
Benjamin Harnwell, the Vatican correspondent for the MAGA-aligned War Room
podcast, said conservatives were immediately skeptical of Leo. “From day one, we
have been telling our base to be wary: Do not be deceived,” he said. Leo,
Harnwell added, is “fully signed up to Francis’ agenda … but [is] more strategic
and intelligent.”
After the conclave that appointed Leo, former Trump strategist Bannon told
POLITICO that Leo’s election was “the worst choice for MAGA Catholics” and “an
anti-Trump vote by the globalists of the Curia.”
Trump had a long-running feud with Francis, who condemned the U.S. president’s
border wall and criticized his migration policies.
Francis appeared to enjoy that sparring, but Leo is a very different character.
More retiring by nature, he shies away from confrontation. But his resolve in
defending what he sees as non-negotiable moral principles, particularly the
protection of the weak, is increasingly colliding with the core assumptions of
Trumpism.
Trump loomed large during the conclave, with an AI-generated video depicting
himself as pope. The gesture was seen by some Vatican insiders as a
“mafia-style” warning to elect someone who would not criticize him,
Vatican-watcher Elisabetta Piqué wrote in a new book “The Election of Pope Leo
XIV: The Last Surprise of Pope Francis.”
NOT PERSONAL
Leo was not chosen expressly as an anti-Trump figure, according to a Vatican
official. Rather, his nationality was likely seen by some cardinals as
“reassuring,” suggesting he would be accountable and transparent in governance
and finances.
But while Leo does not seem to be actively seeking a confrontation with Trump,
the world views of the two men seem incompatible.
“He will avoid personalizing,” said the same Vatican official. “He will state
church teaching, not in reaction to Trump, but as things he would say anyway.”
Despite the attacks on Leo from his allies, Trump himself has also appeared wary
of a direct showdown. When asked about the pope in a POLITICO interview, Trump
was more keen to discuss meeting the pontiff’s brother in Florida, whom he
described as “serious MAGA.”
When pressed on whether he would meet the pope himself, he finally replied:
“Sure, I will. Why not?”
The potential for conflict will come into sharper focus as Leo hosts a summit
called an extraordinary consistory this week, the first of its kind since 2014,
which is expected to provide a blueprint for the future direction of the church.
His first publication on social issues, such as inequality and migration, is
also expected in the next few months.
“He will use [the summit] to talk about what he sees as the future,” said a
diplomat posted to the Vatican. “It will give his collaborators a sense of where
he is going. He could use it as a sounding board, or ask them to suggest
solutions.”
It’s safe to assume Leo won’t be unveiling a MAGA-aligned agenda.
The ultimate balance of power may also favor the pope.
Trump must contend with elections and political clocks; Leo, elected for life,
does not. At 70, and as a tennis player in good health, Leo appears positioned
to shape Catholic politics well after Trump’s moment has passed.
“He is not in a hurry,” the Vatican official said. “Time is on his side.”
Tag - Transition/implementation period
Britain’s biggest trade union body has called on the Labour government to
consider rejoining an EU customs union, reopening a core Brexit fault line as
the party grapples with weak growth and rising pressure from its traditional
base.
In an interview with the Guardian, Trades Union Congress (TUC) General Secretary
Paul Nowak said Labour should seek the closest possible economic relationship
with the EU to ease trade friction and support household incomes.
“The government needs to do whatever it can to build the closest possible
positive working relationship with Europe economically and politically … up to
and including the customs union,” Nowak said.
The U.K. left the EU customs union after the 2016 Brexit referendum, formally
exiting the bloc in January 2020 under then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Britain remained aligned with EU trade rules during a transition period before
fully leaving the customs union on Jan. 1, 2021, when the EU-U.K. Trade and
Cooperation Agreement took effect.
The move restored Britain’s ability to strike independent trade deals but
introduced customs checks, rules-of-origin requirements and new barriers for
exporters.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer has so far ruled out rejoining the customs union,
framing it as a red line while promising a broader “reset” with Brussels.
“We are getting a closer relationship with the EU on a number of fronts,
including on trade and the economy,” Starmer told MPs earlier this month,
adding: “We have clear red lines in relation to the single market and the
customs union.”
HOW DO BULGARIANS FEEL ABOUT JOINING THE EURO?
The Balkan nation is sharply divided about bidding farewell to the lev.
Text by BORYANA DZHAMBAZOVA
Photos by DOBRIN KASHAVELOV
in Pernik, Bulgaria
Bulgaria is set to adopt the EU’s single currency on Jan. 1, but polling shows
the Balkan nation is sharply divided on whether it’s a good thing.
POLITICO spoke to some Bulgarians about their fears and hopes, as they say
goodbye to their national currency, the lev. Their comments have been edited for
length.
ANTON TEOFILOV, 73
Vendor at the open-air market in Pernik, a small city 100 kilometers from Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
We are a different generation, but we support the euro. We’ll benefit hugely
from joining the eurozone. It will make paying anywhere in the EU easy and
hassle-free. It would be great for both the economy and the nation. You can
travel, do business, do whatever you want using a single currency — no more
hassle or currency exchanges. You can go to Greece and buy a bottle of ouzo with
the same currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I don’t expect any turbulence — from January on we would just pay in euros. No
one is complaining about the price tags in euros, and in lev at the moment.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
The lev is a wonderful thing, but its time has passed; that’s just how life
works. It will be much better for the economy to adopt the euro. It will be so
much easier to share a common currency with the other EU countries.
Now, if you go to Greece, as many Bulgarians do, you need to exchange money.
After January – wherever you need to make a payment – either going to the store,
or to buy produce for our business, it would be one and the same.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to explain things more clearly to those who are confused. We are
a people who often need a lot of convincing, and on top of that, we’re a divided
nation.
If you ask me, we need to get rid of half the MPs in Parliament – they receive
hefty salaries and are a burden to taxpayers, like parasites, without doing any
meaningful work.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
There are 27 member states, and we will become one with them. There will be no
difference between Germany and us—we’ll be much closer to Europe.
I remember the 1990s, when you needed to fill out endless paperwork just to
travel, let alone to work abroad. I spent a year working in construction in
Germany, and getting all the permits and visas was a major headache. Now things
are completely different, and joining the eurozone is another step toward that
openness.
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PETYA SPASOVA, 55
Orthopedic doctor in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
It worries me a lot. I don’t think this is the right moment for Bulgaria to join
the eurozone. First, the country is politically very unstable, and the eurozone
itself faces serious problems. As the poorest EU member state, we won’t be
immune to those issues. On the contrary, they will only deepen the crisis here.
The war in Ukraine, the growing debt in Germany and France … now we’d be sharing
the debts of the whole of Europe. We are adopting the euro at a time when
economies are strained, and that will lead to serious disruptions and a higher
cost of living.
I don’t understand why the state insists so strongly on joining the eurozone. I
don’t think we’re ready.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Even now, when you go to the store and look at the price of bread or other basic
foods, we see prices climbing. I’m afraid many people will end up living in
extreme poverty. We barely produce anything; we’re a country built on services.
When people get poorer, they naturally start consuming less.
I’m not worried about myself or my family. We live in Sofia, where there are
more job opportunities and higher salaries. I’m worried about people in general.
Every day I see patients who can’t even afford the travel costs to come to Sofia
for medical check-ups.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m extremely worried. I don’t want to relive the economic crisis of the 90s,
when the country was on the verge of bankruptcy.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
No one cares what people think. Many countries held referendums and decided not
to join the eurozone. I don’t believe our politicians can do anything at this
point. I’m not even sure they know what needs to be done.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I feel offended when I hear this question. We’ve been part of Europe for a very
long time, long before many others. We can exchange best practices in culture,
science, education, and more, but that has nothing to do with the eurozone.
Joining can only bring trouble.
I remember years ago when I actually hoped Bulgaria would enter the eurozone.
But that was a different Europe. Now things are deteriorating; the spirit of a
united Europe is gone. I don’t want to be part of this Europe.
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SVETOSLAV BONINSKI, 53
Truck driver from Gabrovo, a small city in central Bulgaria
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I’m against Bulgaria joining the eurozone. We saw how Croatia and Greece sank
into debt once they adopted the euro. I don’t want Bulgaria to go down the same
path. Greece had to take a huge loan to bail out its economy. When they still
had the drachma, their economy was strong and stable. After entering the
eurozone, many big companies were forced to shut down and inflation went through
the roof. Even the German economy is experiencing a downturn..
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I worry that there will be speculation and rising inflation. Five years ago, I
used to buy cigarettes in Slovakia at prices similar to Bulgaria. Now I can’t
find anything cheaper than €5 per pack. They saw their prices rise after the
introduction of the euro. We’ll repeat the Slovakia scenario.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
We can already feel that things won’t end well — prices have gone up
significantly, just like in Croatia. I’m afraid that even in the first year
wages won’t be able to compensate for the rise in prices, and people will become
even more impoverished. I expect the financial situation to worsen. Our
government isn’t taking any responsibility for that.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
I hope they will make an effort. We are completely ill-equipped to adopt the
euro—all the stats and figures the government presents are lies. We must wait
until the country is ready to manage the euro as a currency. We’re doing fine
with the lev. We should wait for the economy to grow and for wages to catch up
with the rest of Europe.
The only thing the state could do to ease the process is to step down. The
current government is interested in entering the eurozone only to receive large
amounts of funding, most of which they will probably pocket themselves. The
Bulgarian lev is very stable, unlike the euro, which is quite an unstable
currency. All the eurozone countries are burdened with trillions in debt, while
those outside it are doing quite well.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
I don’t think so. We’ve been part of Europe for a long time. The only difference
now will be that Brussels will tell us what to do and will control our budget
and spending. Brussels will be in charge from now on. No good awaits us. Elderly
people won’t receive decent pensions and will work until we drop dead.
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NATALI ILIEVA, 20
Political science student from Pernik
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
I see it as a step forward for us. It’s a positive development for both society
and the country. I expect that joining the eurozone will help the economy grow
and position Bulgaria more firmly within Europe. For ordinary people, it will
make things easier, especially when traveling, since we’ll be using the same
currency.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
The transition period might be difficult at first. I don’t think the change of
currency will dramatically affect people’s daily lives – after all, under the
currency board, the lev has been pegged to the euro for years. Some people are
worried that prices might rise, and this is where the state must step in to
monitor the situation, prevent abuse, and make the transition as smooth as
possible.
As part of my job at the youth center, I travel a lot in Europe. Being part of
the eurozone would make travel much more convenient. My life would be so much
easier! I wouldn’t have to worry about carrying euros in cash or paying
additional fees when withdrawing money abroad, or wondering: Did I take the
right debit card in euros?
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m more concerned that the issue will be politicized by certain parties to
further polarize society. Joining the eurozone is a logical next step – we
agreed to it by default when we joined the bloc in 2007. There is so much
disinformation circulating on social media that it’s hard for some people to see
the real facts and distinguish what’s true from what’s not.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
The state needs to launch an information campaign to make the transition as
smooth as possible. Authorities should explain what the change of currency means
for people in a clear and accessible way. You don’t need elaborate language to
communicate what’s coming, especially when some radical parties are aggressively
spreading anti-euro and anti-EU rhetoric.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Yes, I think it will help the country become better integrated into Europe. In
the end, I believe people will realize that joining the eurozone will be worth
it.
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YANA TANKOVSKA, 47
Jewelry artist based in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
If you ask me, the eurozone is on the verge of collapse, and now we have decided
to join? I don’t think it’s a good idea. In theory, just like communism, the
idea of a common currency union might sound good, but in practice it doesn’t
really work out. I have friends working and living abroad [in eurozone
countries], and things are not looking up for regular people, even in Germany.
We all thought we would live happily as members of the bloc, but that’s not the
reality.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
I expect the first half of next year to be turbulent. But we are used to
surviving, so we will adapt yet again. Personally, we might have to trim some
expenses, go out less, and make sure the family budget holds. I make jewelry, so
I’m afraid I’ll have fewer clients, since they will also have to cut back.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
I’m terribly worried. The state promises there won’t be a jump in prices and
that joining the eurozone won’t negatively affect the economy. But over the past
two years the cost of living has risen significantly, and I don’t see that trend
reversing. For example, in the last three years real estate prices have doubled.
There isn’t a single person who isn’t complaining about rising costs.
What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
There is nothing they can do at this point. Politicians do not really protect
Bulgaria’s interests on this matter. The issue is not only about joining the
eurozone but about protecting our national interests. I just want them to have
people’s well-being at heart. Maybe we need to hit rock bottom to finally see
meaningful change.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Not really. That’s up to us, not to Europe. I just want Bulgarian politicians to
finally start creating policies for the sake of society, not just enriching
themselves, to act in a way that would improve life for everyone.
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KATARINA NIKOLIC, 49, AND METODI METODIEV, 53
Business partners at a ‘gelateria’ in Sofia
What do you think about Bulgaria joining the eurozone?
Metodi: For a small business like ours, I don’t think it will make much
difference, as long as the transition to the new currency is managed smoothly. I
can only see a positive impact on the economy if things are done right. I’m a
bit saddened to say farewell to the Bulgarian lev — it’s an old currency with
its own history — but times are changing, and this is a natural step for an EU
member.
Katarina: I have lived in Italy which adopted the euro a long time ago. Based on
my experience there, I don’t expect any worrying developments related to price
increases or inflation. On the contrary, joining the eurozone in January can
only be interpreted as a sign of trust from the European Commission and could
bring more economic stability to Bulgaria. I also think it will increase
transparency, improve financial supervision, and provide access to cheaper
loans.
What do you think will change in your everyday life once the euro replaces the
lev?
Metodi: I don’t think there will be any difference for our business whether
we’re paying in euros or in leva. We’ve been an EU member state for a while now
and we’re used to working with both local and international suppliers. It will
just take some getting used to switching to one currency for another. But we are
already veterans — Bulgarian businesses are very adaptive — from dealing with
renominations and all sorts of economic reforms.
I’m just concerned that it might be challenging for some elderly people to adapt
to the new currency and they might need some support and more information.
Katarina: For many people, it will take time to get used to seeing a new
currency, but they will adapt. For me, it’s nothing new. Since I lived in Italy,
where the euro is used, I automatically convert to euros whenever Metodi and I
discuss business.
Are you more hopeful or worried about the economic impact of switching to the
euro? Why?
Metodi: The decision has already been taken, so let’s make the best of it and
ensure a smooth transition. I haven’t exchanged money when traveling in at least
10 years. I just use my bank card to pay or withdraw cash if I need any.
Katarina: I remember that some people in Italy also predicted disaster when the
euro was introduced, and many were nostalgic about the lira. But years later,
Italy is still a stable economy. I think our international partners will look at
us differently once we are part of the eurozone.
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What would you like politicians and institutions to do to make the transition
easier for ordinary people?
Metodi: I think the authorities are already taking measures to make sure prices
don’t rise and that businesses don’t round conversions upward unfairly. For
example, we may have to slightly increase the price of our ice cream in January.
I feel a bit awkward about it because I don’t want people to say, “Look, they’re
taking advantage of the euro adoption to raise prices.” But honestly, we haven’t
adjusted our prices since we opened three years ago.
I’m actually very impressed by how quickly and smoothly small businesses and
market sellers have adopted double pricing [marking prices in lev and euros]. I
know how much work that requires, especially if you’re a small business owner.
Katarina: It’s crucial that the state doesn’t choke small businesses with
excessive demands but instead supports them. I believe that helping small
businesses grow should be a key focus of the government, not just supervising
the currency swap. My hope is that the euro will help the Bulgarian economy
thrive. I love Bulgaria and want to see it flourish. I’m a bit more optimistic
than Metodi, I think the best is yet to come.
Do you think joining the eurozone will bring Bulgaria closer to Europe
culturally or politically?
Metodi: I think so. Despite some criticism, good things are happening in the
country, no matter who is in power. We need this closeness to truly feel part of
Europe.
Katarina: The euro is a financial and economic instrument. Adopting it won’t
change national cultural identity, Bulgarians will keep their culture. I’m a
true believer in Europe, and I think it’s more important than ever to have a
united continent. As an Italian and Serbian citizen, I really appreciate that
borders are open and that our children can choose where to study and work. In
fact, our gelateria is a great example of international collaboration: we have
people from several different countries in the team.
BRUSSELS — European leaders like Romania’s Nicușor Dan spent most of 2025 trying
to work out how to live with Donald Trump. Or — even worse — without him.
Since the great disruptor of international norms returned to the White House in
January, he has made clear just how little he really cares for Europe — some of
his key lieutenants are plainly hostile.
The U.S. president slashed financial and military aid to Ukraine, hit the
European Union with tariffs, and attacked its leaders as “weak.” His
administration is now on a mission to intervene in Europe’s democracy to back
“patriotic” parties and shift politics toward MAGA’s anti-migrant goals.
For leaders such as Romania’s moderate president, the dilemma is always how far
to accept Trump’s priorities — because Europe still needs America — and how
strongly to resist his hostility to centrist European values. Does a true
alliance even still exist across the Atlantic?
“The world [has] changed,” Dan said in an interview from his top-floor Brussels
hotel suite. “We shifted from a — in some sense — moral way of doing things to a
very pragmatic and economical way of doing things.”
EU leaders understand this, he said, and now focus their attention on developing
practical strategies for handling the new reality of Trump’s world. Centrists
will need to factor in a concerted drive from Americans to back their populist
opponents on the right as the United States seeks to change Europe’s direction.
Administration officials such as Vice President JD Vance condemned last year’s
canceled election in Romania and the new White House National Security Strategy
suggests the U.S. will seek to bend European politics to its anti-migrant MAGA
agenda.
For Dan, it is “OK” for U.S. politicians to express their opinions. But it would
be a “problem” if the U.S. tried to “influence” politics “undemocratically” —
for example, by paying media inside European countries “like the Russians are
doing.”
WEAK EUROPEANS
Relations with America are critical for a country like Romania, which,
unusually, remained open to the West during four decades of communist rule. On
the EU’s eastern edge, bordering Ukraine, Romania is home to a major NATO base —
soon to be Europe’s biggest — as well as an American ballistic missile defense
site. But the Trump administration has announced the withdrawal of 800 American
troops from Romania, triggering concern in Bucharest.
As winter sun streamed in through the window, Dan argued that Europe and the
U.S. are natural allies because they share more values than other regions of the
world. He thought “a proper partnership” will be possible — “in the medium
[term] future.” But for now, “we are in some sense of a transition period in
which we have to understand better each other.”
Dan’s frank assessment reveals the extent of the damage that has been done to
the transatlantic alliance this year. Trump has injected jeopardy into all
aspects of the Western alliance — even restoring relations with Russian ruler
Vladimir Putin.
At times, Europeans have been at a loss over how to respond.
Does Dan believe Trump had a point when he told POLITICO this month that
European leaders were “weak”?
“Yes,” Dan said, there is “some” truth in Trump’s assessment. Europe can be too
slow to make decisions. For example, it took months of argument and a fraught
summit in Brussels last week that ended at 3 a.m. to agree on a way to fund
Ukraine. But — crucially — even a fractious EU did eventually take “the
important decision,” he said.
That decision to borrow €90 billion in joint EU debt for a loan for
cash-strapped Kyiv will keep Ukraine in the fight against Putin for the next two
years.
WAITING FOR PEACE
According to EU leaders who support the plan (Hungary, Slovakia and Czechia
won’t take part), it makes a peace deal more likely because it sends a signal to
Putin that Ukraine won’t just collapse if he waits long enough.
But Dan believes the end of the war remains some way off, despite Trump’s push
for a ceasefire.
“I am more pessimistic than optimistic on short term,” he said. Putin’s side
does not appear to want peace: “They think a peace in two, three months from now
will be better for them than peace now. So they will fight more — because they
have some small progress on the field.”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at last week’s European Council
summit that he wanted Trump to put more pressure on Putin to agree to a
ceasefire. Does Dan agree? “Of course. We are supporting Ukraine.”
But Trump’s “extremely powerful” recent sanctions on Russian oil firms Rosneft
and Lukoil are already helping, Dan said. He also welcomed Trump’s commitment to
peace, and America’s new openness to providing security guarantees to bolster a
final deal.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said at last week’s European Council
summit that he wanted Trump to put more pressure on Putin to agree to a
ceasefire. Does Dan agree? “Of course. We are supporting Ukraine.” | Olivier
Hoslet/EPA
It is clear that Dan hopes Putin doesn’t get the whole of Donbas in eastern
Ukraine, but he doesn’t want to tie Zelenskyy’s hands. “Any kind of peace in
which the aggressor is rewarded in some sense is not good for Europe and for the
future security of the world,” Dan said. “But the decision for the peace is just
on the Ukrainian shoulders. They suffer so much, so we cannot blame them for any
decision they will do.”
Romania plays a critical role as an operational hub for transferring supplies to
neighboring Ukraine. With its Black Sea port of Constanța, the country will be
vital to future peacekeeping operations. Ukrainian soldiers are training in
Romania and it is already working with Bulgaria and Turkey to demine the Black
Sea, Dan said.
Meanwhile, Russian drones have breached Romanian airspace more than a dozen
times since the start of the full-scale war, and a village on the border with
Ukraine had to be evacuated recently when drones set fire to a tanker ship
containing gas. Dan played down the threat.
“We had some drones. We are sure they have not intentionally [been] sent on our
territory,” he said. “We try to say to our people that they are not at all in
danger.” Still, Romania is boosting its military spending to deter Russia all
the same.
CORRUPTION AND A CRISIS OF FAITH
Dan, 56, won the presidency in May this year at a tense moment for the country
of 19 million people.
The moderate former mayor of Bucharest defeated his populist, Ukraine-skeptic
opponent against the odds. The vote was a rerun, after the first attempt to hold
a presidential election was canceled last December over allegations of massive
Russian interference and unlawful activity in support of the far-right
front-runner Călin Georgescu. Legal cases are underway, including charges
against Georgescu and others over an alleged coup plot.
But for many Romanians, the cancelation of the 2024 election merely reinforced
their cynicism toward the entire democratic system in their country. They wanted
change and almost half the electorate backed the far right to deliver it.
Corruption today remains a major problem in Romania and Dan made it his mission
to restore voters’ faith. In his first six months, however, he prioritized
painful and unpopular public-sector spending cuts to bring the budget deficit —
which was the EU’s biggest — under control. “On the big problems of society,
starting with corruption, we didn’t do much,” Dan confessed.
That, he said, will change. A recent TV documentary about alleged corruption in
the judiciary provoked street demonstrations and a protest letter signed by
hundreds of judges.
Dan is due to meet them this week and will then work on legislative reforms
focused on making sure the best magistrates are promoted on merit rather than
because of who they know. “People at the top are working for small networks of
interests, instead of the public good,” Dan said.
But for many Romanians, the cancellation of the 2024 election merely reinforced
their cynicism toward the entire democratic system in their country. | Robert
Ghement/EPA
He was also clear that the state has not yet done enough to explain to voters
why the election last year was canceled. More detail will come in a report
expected in the next two months, he said.
RUSSIAN MEDDLING
One thing that is now obvious is that Russia’s attack on Romanian democracy,
including through a vast TikTok influence campaign, was not isolated. Dan said
his country has been a target for Moscow for a decade, and other European
leaders tell him they now suffer the same disinformation campaigns, as well as
sabotage. Nobody has an answer to the torrent of fake news online, he said.
“I just have talks with leaders for countries that are more advanced than us and
I think nobody has a complete answer,” he said. “If you have that kind of
information and that information arrived to half a million people, even if
you’re coming the next day saying that it was false, you have lost already.”
The far-right populist Alliance for the Union of Romanians party is ahead in the
polls on about 40 percent, mirroring the pattern elsewhere in Europe. Dan, who
beat AUR leader George Simion in May, believes his own team must get closer to
the people to defeat populism. And he wishes that national politicians around
Europe would stop blaming all their unpopular policies on Brussels because that
merely fuels populist causes.
Dan said he has learned that EU politics is in fact a democratic process, in
which different member countries bring their own ideas forward. “With my six
months’ experience, I can say that it’s quite a debate,” he said. “There is not
a bureaucratic master that’s arranging things. It’s a democracy. It’s a pity
that the people do not feel that directly.”
But what about those marathon EU summits that keep everyone working well beyond
midnight? “The topics are well chosen,” Dan said. “But I think the debates are a
little bit too long.”
THE ALTAR BOYS WHO GREW UP TOGETHER — AND TRIED TO KEEP EUROPE’S CENTER FROM
CRUMBING
The lives of Daniel Caspary and René Repasi often overlapped as they grew up. In
the European Parliament, they became political rivals — but were also united in
common cause.
By MAX GRIERA and NETTE NÖSTLINGER
in Stutensee, Germany
Photo-illustrations by Klawe Rzeczy for POLITICO
Sometimes it’s the least extraordinary places that throw up the most startling
of coincidences.
In this case, a tiny German town — nothing special: a stone’s throw from the
Rhine river, a small 18th century castle, the kind of suburban sleepiness where
boys like Daniel Caspary and René Repasi while away their teenage years cycling
to the city to party or the nearest lake to cool off — has produced rival
leading European politicians who have been key to assuring EU political
stability in a time of unprecedented fragmentation.
The way their lives have intertwined is astonishing. Caspary, now 49, and
Repasi, three years his junior, went to the same school. There, they both
organized a cabaret of political satire. They honed their skills on the student
newspaper. They were both altar boys in the same church. And they both scored
their first political victories on their town’s council. Almost since birth,
their lives have taken staggeringly parallel paths. Now, they’re on different
sides in the European Parliament.
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Caspary is leader in the Parliament of the center-right Christian Democratic
Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), the
largest faction in the European People’s Party. Repasi is the equivalent for the
center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD), the third-largest national delegation
in the Socialists and Democrats group. The EPP and the S&D are the two biggest
Parliament groups and for decades have between them held a grip on EU power.
Despite the rivalry between their umbrella political families, with antagonism
only worsening since the 2024 EU elections, the two men have cemented their
reputation as the backchannels between the two sides, attempting to safeguard
what in EU circles is known as the “grand coalition” between center right and
center left.
That’s significant because the Parliament is fractured like never before. Aping
a trend seen across western democracies, the middle ground is crumbling.
Politicians like Caspary and Repasi represent the old ways of doing things ―
political opponents, yes, but ready to put aside their differences so their two
sides can work together to face down the extremes. Increasingly, that’s no
longer a given in the European Parliament. That was evident when the EPP,
earlier this month, abandoned its traditional centrist allies and pressed ahead
with the support of far-right groups to approve cuts to green rules.
Daniel Caspary, the charismatic old-school conservative deeply rooted in his
community, in his class photo from the year he graduated. | Stutensee’s Thomas
Mann-Gymnasium 1993-1994 annuary
René Repasi, the cosmopolitan and slick social democrat with an impressive track
record in academia, in his class photo from the year before he graduated. |
Stutensee’s Thomas Mann-Gymnasium 1993-1994 annuary
A good relationship between the pair has been particularly useful because the
leaders of the two pan-European groups rarely conceal their mutual dislike and
are increasingly finding it tough to reach compromise positions on new laws,
such as on green rules for business or on controlling migration.
“Of course we have many differences politically, but it’s good if you can talk,”
Caspary told POLITICO. “We’ve known each other for ages … We know that we can
trust each other.”
“He was always a sort of leading figure,” Repasi said, remembering their shared
childhoods in Stutensee. I “looked up to him.”
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While their paths overlapped, they could barely be more different personally and
politically. Caspary is the charismatic old-school conservative deeply rooted in
his community, pressing the flesh at local events and using the language of the
person in the street. He still lives in the area. Repasi, by contrast, is the
cosmopolitan ― the slick social democrat with an impressive track record in
academia, a man of scholarly rhetoric who moved away from Germany completely.
“What Repasi lacks,” said Mathias Zurawski, a journalist who attended the same
school, “Caspary offers. And vice versa.”
ALTAR BOYS
Stutensee’s discreet Catholic St. Josef Church is in the town’s backstreets. The
garden surrounding it boasts abundant fruit trees. Posters advertise meetings of
the scout group. It’s humble in comparison to the more spectacular Protestant
church on the main street. It’s here where the Caspary and Repasi families
worshipped. And it’s where the two boys built trust in each other.
“We met for the first time in the youth groups of the Catholic church,” Caspary
said. “We talked about this. I think this stands for some values. We always try
to be honest.”
Those early religious experiences play a big role in Caspary’s life today, said
Ansgar Mayr, a regional CDU politician who has known him since he made his first
steps in politics.
Stutensee’s St Josef Catholic Church, where Caspary and Repasi used to serve as
altar boys. | Max Griera/POLITICO
“He was greatly influenced by his time in the Catholic Church and also his time
with the Scouts, who are Catholic Scouts,” Mayr said. “His circle of friends,
outside the political bubble, comes very much from the Catholic Church and
parish youth groups.”
The pair served as altar boys, assisting the priest at Mass and kneeling as part
of the liturgy. On Christmas, they sang carols around town.
The Social Democrat Repasi’s Catholicism has lapsed somewhat, but despite being
“one of those guys who go to church only at Christmas,” he said Christian values
serve as guidance for his daily life and political career.
CHAOS AND REVOLUTION
The pair’s paths crossed again as teenagers in high school. The Thomas-Mann
Gymnasium is just a stone’s throw from the church. It’s seen better days and is
due to be renovated next year. For now, it still looks as it did in the 1990s.
It’s easy to imagine Caspary and Repasi here. The lockers they’d have used line
the corridors and the classrooms are plain, aside from the vintage orange
cubical washbasins.
In those years, they both dived into extracurricular activities. Caspary founded
an annual political cabaret show. At 18, he handed the organizing baton to
Repasi, who suddenly found himself facing the daunting task, he said, of raising
money to cover costs.
“If the whole thing was a success, [that] was due to the fact that he [Caspary]
handed it over, and we did the transition period together,” said Repasi.
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The boys’ school yearbooks portray two kids destined for greater things.
Alongside a photo of Caspary humorously dressed as a medic, his classmates
described him as “source of the most creative interjections (‘yes, but…’) that
elicit a wide range of reactions from teachers, ranging from amusement to
annoyance.” It’s “hard to believe,” the entry said, “that this chaotic person
will one day take on a leading role as a conservative politician.”
Repasi’s friends saw him as a revolutionary. His portrait shows him wearing a
Soviet hat. “Discussions with him often turn into fights,” his schoolmates said.
“But no one else is as good at arguing objectively.”
The boys also bumped into each other on the school’s newspaper, Pepperoni.
Caspary was already acting as a sporadic school reporter, when Repasi — a couple
of years later — became editor in chief. The boys weren’t scared of hitting the
establishment where it hurt. Pepperoni signified “something that stings” so was
“a means to express criticism,” said former teacher Sabine Graf, who taught
French and German at the school at the time.
Yearbook of Daniel Caspary, featuring a photo of Thomas Mann blended with Albert
Einstein’s famous tongue picture, symbolizing science. | 50 years anniversary
book, Thomas Mann Gymnasium 1974-2024
Covers of the Pepperoni school magazine, which both Caspary and Repasi
contributed to. | 50 years anniversary book, Thomas Mann Gymnasium 1974-2024
Yearbook of René Repasi, featuring a pig with a black flag, symbolizing social
class revolution and anarchism. | 50 years anniversary book, Thomas Mann
Gymnasium 1974-2024
Those shared experiences form the basis of the two men’s relationship in the
Parliament today.
“You can always say you can trust me,” Repasi said. “But actually you can only
do so if you have experienced it. And I experienced it in my past that I can
trust him and that I can rely on him.”
VOTERS’ CRITICISM
These days, Stutensee isn’t immune to the political winds that blow across the
whole of Europe. With populism, of right and left, on the rise, centrist
politicians who broadly prefer to focus on points of agreement rather than
division aren’t in vogue.
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) came in second in Germany’s national election
earlier this year ― the best showing for a far-right party since the Nazi rise
to power. The AfD isn’t represented on the city council here, but locals
acknowledge there’s a desire to kick the establishment. An establishment
symbolized by men like Caspary and Repasi.
Despite their deep roots in the town, many reject the idea they’re local heroes.
“They show up at some celebratory events around town with their family a couple
of times a year, but you don’t hear from them afterwards,” said a 37-year-old
bartender at the smoke-filled bar in town, who gives his name only as Dominik. A
handful of people at the bar hear his remarks and nod.
Dominik also went to Thomas-Mann Gymnasium. He knew Caspary’s brother. But he
insisted neither politician can be trusted. They’re not “looking out for the
interests of the people,” he said.
But early on in their careers, the two politicians made some tangible changes
for locals. When they were both on their school’s student council, Caspary
campaigned for a night bus line between Stutensee and the city of Karlsruhe,
10km away. In some ways, he succeeded, advancing a cause that led to the
construction of a durable tram connection built years later.
“During this campaign, I realized that if you start engaging with the town
representatives, like the mayor, like the city council members, then you can
change things,” Caspary said.
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Repasi’s political awakening came when the regional government tried to cut by a
year the time that students attended high school to align practices with other
European countries. The school’s leadership wanted to participate in the pilot,
despite most students being opposed.
“I found it total nonsense,” Repasi said. “I was mobilizing the school kids to
come to this meeting of the municipal council, and I think for the first time
ever it was totally full.”
The students cheered loudly when their arguments, compiled by Repasi, were
presented to the mayor. The council ultimately rejected the plan. If the bus
line was Caspary’s first political victory, this was Repasi’s.
MR. STUTENSEE VS. MR. EUROPE
Eventually, they drifted apart.
These days, Caspary’s image is one of a politician still deeply rooted to his
home, who found his way to Brussels by chance. People close to him describe him
as a family man, raising his five children just a few kilometers from where he
grew up.
Repasi, in contrast, is seen as a professor-turned-politician, someone with a
strong passion for European affairs who deliberately chose to build his life
abroad.
Classroom of Thomas Mann Gymnasium, intact since Caspary and Repasi studied in
it. | Max Griera/POLITICO
For Repasi, who was raised by a German mother and Hungarian father,
“cosmopolitanism runs through his life,” said Graf, the schoolteacher. She and
another former teacher both recalled his in-depth study on the Yugoslav Wars. He
became a professor of European law in Geneva and Rotterdam, where he raised two
sons with his Polish wife.
Caspary was elected to the European Parliament almost by accident in 2004, at
28, because of the CDU’s exceptionally strong showing.
“My plan was to become the chairperson of the group in my city council,” he
said.
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For Repasi, on the other hand, ending up working in an EU institution was his
dream, according to colleagues. He even dabbled with joining Caspary in the CDU.
But in his village, the party didn’t feel very welcoming, he said. “I’m
Western-looking enough not to have any discrimination experiences like Turkish
people, but my strange family name was strange enough in my village,” he said.
Repasi’s road to the Parliament was bumpier than Caspary’s. He ran in three
elections but never made it, ultimately joining when another SPD member gave up
her mandate in 2022.
TOGETHER IN BRUSSELS ― AND THEN APART AGAIN
Reuniting in the European Parliament was almost like a homecoming for Repasi.
Caspary presented him with a basket of delicacies from the region around
Stutensee.
Repasi’s rise since then has been rapid. He became the head of the SPD faction
in the S&D only two years after his arrival. And in that time, they’ve put their
friendship to good use.
Cordial catchups soon turned into high-level political negotiations. They were
suddenly in charge of leading the biggest German parties in the Parliament and
had to overcome the increasing estrangement between their group leaders, Manfred
Weber, the head of the EPP group, and Iratxe García, the S&D chair.
Caspary was elected to the European Parliament almost by accident in 2004
because of the CDU’s exceptionally strong showing. | Michael Kappeler/picture
alliance via Getty Images
For Repasi, ending up working in an EU institution was his dream. | Marijan
Murat/picture alliance via Getty Images
That’s why they have been in constant dialogue, “to bring together political
lines,” Caspary said.
“We do speak about conflicts that are arising,” Repasi said. “Whether we can
totally solve them is a different question.”
Other MEPs say the good relationship between the German conservatives and
Socialists has proved critical.
“The stability of the mandate” ― European Commission President Ursula von der
Leyen’s loose coalition of centrist parties ― “is at stake, and what can help
cement a stronger cooperation is the link between the CDU and SPD,” said Javi
López, a Spanish S&D lawmaker and Parliament vice-president.
But nothing lasts forever and the double act is about to split once more. In
October, the German government nominated Caspary to be its representative at the
European Court of Auditors, in Luxembourg.
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On Thursday he is expected to be confirmed by the Parliament. That will leave a
gap, according to his colleagues.
“Over the years, he has been a steady and unifying presence, bringing together a
team of highly diverse personalities,” said Niclas Herbst, chair of the
Parliament budgetary control committee, and one of the names floated to succeed
Caspary. “He is, in the best sense, a true generalist — someone who can swiftly
and thoroughly grasp complex political issues … I know there is great
anticipation in Luxembourg for his arrival.”
When Caspary departs, Repasi will have to find himself another opposite number
to build up a trusting relationship. But it remains to be seen whether the
fraying ties between center right and center left can retain at least one strong
thread.
While that won’t be impossible, it certainly won’t come as easy as a
relationship forged in little Stutensee. Out of experiences in church, student
politics and the school newspaper, the foundations held up well.
LONDON — Keir Starmer will welcome German Chancellor Friedrich Merz to London
Thursday to sign the biggest U.K.-German treaty since 1945 — and this time, they
do want to mention the war.
Despite sitting on different sides of the political spectrum, the two men have
more in common than initially meets the eye. Crucially, center-left Prime
Minister Starmer and conservative Merz have a shared ambition to provide
leadership on Europe’s defense.
The two leaders will use the visit to finalize a wide-ranging pact that goes big
on security cooperation. It will include promises to develop a new long-range
missile system and a mutual assistance pledge, spelling out that a threat to one
country would likely be seen as a threat to the other, as first reported by
POLITICO. Merz’s trip has gained fresh impetus after U.S. President Donald
Trump’s announcement this week that he is ready to turbo-charge the supply of
weapons to Ukraine.
London and Berlin are expected to confirm collaboration on quantum technology,
artificial intelligence and other longer-term projects too, including offshore
energy links in the North Sea and a rail connection between Germany and the U.K.
Yet warm words will likely gloss over some of the more fundamental challenges
both leaders face.
Starmer will be eager to shout about measures to crack down on illegal migration
— but it’s unclear how far any steps announced Thursday will take either side
towards easing the huge domestic pressure they face on the issue.
BROTHERS IN ARMS
A lawyer in his 60s who ascended to Germany’s top job with relatively little
political experience, Merz has a fair few things in common with his British
counterpart.
The pair have both faced sharp demands to cut immigration since they entered
office, from which they’ve sought some respite on the global stage. Both have
produced unexpected gambits to massively boost defense spending as the U.S.
pivots away from Europe.
While Starmer has endeavored to match the previous U.K. government’s strong
backing for Ukraine, Merz is seen as more hawkish than his predecessor Olaf
Scholz, bringing the UK and Germany into closer alignment.
A German government official, granted anonymity to speak candidly like others in
this piece, described the relationship between them as “excellent.”
They added that Merz was impressed by Starmer’s ability to “express himself very
precisely,” particularly when dealing with Trump.
Starmer’s administration has courted Berlin assiduously, pledging to strike a
defense agreement with Germany before taking office last year and seeking to
rebuild relations with the EU.
Nick Hopkinson, a former director of Wilton Park, the Foreign Office’s agency
for fostering German-British relations, said: “The key thing for Germany is that
now that U.K.-EU relations have been reset, that opens up avenues for closer
cooperation.”
The two men have met multiple times in recent weeks, at international summits
and on a train to Kyiv with France’s Emmanuel Macron in May. A Chancellory
insider said Merz was particularly keen for Starmer to be involved in that trip.
TRIPLE THREAT
The German leader’s visit to London cements the third side of a European
“triangle alliance” after Macron’s State Visit last week, as the three powers
try to shore up support for Vlodomyr Zelenskyy.
A British minister said the three-way coalition was of increasing importance,
and that Germany’s forced step back during the transition period between Scholz
and Merz had “definitely been felt” in London.
On that trip to Kyiv with Macron, Starmer and Merz sat at opposite ends of the
train. As Starmer walked through the train, he declared: “If you want to get to
Germany, you have to get past France.”
The comment appeared to be a reference to France’s somewhat more guarded stance
on U.K. participation in EU matters since Brexit.
Nicolai von Ondarza of the German Institute for International and Security
Affairs (SWP) think tank said: “Merz has put special emphasis on integrating the
U.K. into European security initiatives, and there is a real ambition to
coordinate on defense.”
Building on the Trinity House Agreement signed last year, the leaders are set to
announce joint export campaigns for jointly produced equipment, while working
together on a new missile system with a range of over 2,000 km to be delivered
in the next decade.
Merz’s arrival in London also provides a chance to discuss Trump’s new drive to
send American weapons to Ukraine. A British diplomat said they were extremely
pleased with the outcome following intensive discussions with France, Germany
and NATO that predated last month’s summit at The Hague.
They said “anything that gets more U.S. weaponry into Ukraine faster is good
news,” confirming the U.K.’s support for the plan, in common with Germany, but
in contrast to France, which was not on an early list of backers.
Merz and Starmer will be able to pore over the nitty-gritty, such as who pays
for what and in which framework, along with more specific details like whether
Europeans will buy U.S. weapons to be delivered to the battlefield, or whether
they will give Ukraine weapons from existing stockpiles and buy replacements
from the U.S.
LIMITED MOVEMENT
While the two countries are keen to trumpet their shared goals on defense, other
parts of the relationship will be trickier to navigate.
Starmer is keen to discuss efforts to tackle illegal migration whenever he meets
foreign leaders — as he did when Emmanuel Macron was in town last week — but
joint endeavors in this area could prove limited.
The U.K. wants Germany to ramp up prosecution of smuggling gangs on its turf,
although the substance of that plan was already agreed between the two interior
ministries last year. Downing Street stressed the necessary changes to German
law would now be made by the end of the year.
Von Ondorza said that while Merz was more open than Scholz to making migration
“a central pillar” of their interactions, it was “less clear” what Britain and
Germany could do to help each other on this front compared with France.
Then there is the vexed topic of movement between the two countries. Starmer and
Merz are expected to confirm changes which will make it easier for German
schoolchildren to visit the U.K.
A second German official said it was “a tangible result” from bilateral
discussions on mobility, while the bigger prize of an EU-wide agreement on
students coming to Britain — something Berlin is pushing hard for — is still
distant.
Meanwhile, German officials have warned it will still be “some time” before all
British passengers are allowed to use e-gates when entering the country —
something Starmer hailed as a win from the recent EU-U.K. “reset” agreement.
Frequent travelers to Germany are set to gain access to e-gates as an interim
step, however.
For now, visits between Berlin and London remain a little easier for Merz and
Starmer than for the citizens of the countries they lead.
Sam Blewett and Jon Stone contributed reporting.