The UK has historically been a global leader in life sciences innovation, but
recent statistics paint a worrying picture for medicines access. The right
policy can start to reverse this.
We are living in a time where the intersection between breakthrough science,
technology and data insights has the potential to transform treatment options
for some of the toughest health conditions faced by patients in the UK.
The UK has long played a central role in driving innovation when it comes to
healthcare, and at Johnson & Johnson (J&J) we were pleased to see some positive
signs from the Government at the end of 2025, illustrating an intent to reverse
a decade of decline of investment in how the UK values innovative treatments.
It was a positive first step, but now the real work begins to enable us to
deliver the best possible outcomes for UK patients. To achieve this, our focus
must be on ensuring our health system is set up to match the pace and gain the
benefits of innovation that science provides. We need a supportive medicines
environment that fully fosters growth, because even the most pioneering drugs
and therapies are only valuable if they can be accessed by patients when they
need them most.
> even the most pioneering drugs and therapies are only valuable if they can be
> accessed by patients when they need them most.
At J&J, we are proud to have been part of the UK’s health innovation story for
more than a century. We believe that turning ambition into delivery requires a
clearer focus on the foundations that enable innovation to reach patients. We
have had a substantial and long-term economic presence, with our expertise
serving as the grounds for successful partnerships with patients, healthcare
providers, clinical researchers and the NHS.
Recent national developments are a step in the right direction
The UK Government’s recent announcements on the life sciences industry are an
important move to help address concerns around medicines access, innovation and
the UK’s international standing. This includes a welcome planned increase to the
baseline cost-effectiveness threshold (the first change to be made since its
introduction in the early 2000s).
While it is crucial to get this implemented properly, this seems like a step in
the right direction — providing a starting point towards meaningful policy
reform, industry partnership and progress for patients.
The true impact of stifling medicine innovation in the UK compared with our
peers
These positive developments come at a critical time, but they do not fix
everything.
Over the past decade, spending on branded medicines has fallen in real terms,
even as the NHS budget has grown by a third.[i] Years of cost-containment have
left the UK health system ill-prepared for the health challenges of today, with
short-term savings creating long-term consequences. Right now, access to
innovative medicines in the UK lags behind almost every major European
country[ii]; the UK ranks 16th and 18th among 19 comparable countries for
preventable and treatable causes of mortality.[iii]These are conditions for
which effective medicines already exist.
Even when new medicines are approved, access is often restricted. One year after
launch, usage of innovative treatments in England is just over half the average
of comparator countries such as France, Germany and Spain.[iv] The effect is
that people living with cancer, autoimmune conditions and rare diseases wait
longer to access therapies that are already transforming lives elsewhere in
Europe.
And even at its new level, the UK’s Voluntary Scheme for Branded Medicines
Pricing, Access and Growth (VPAG) clawback rate remains higher than in
comparable countries.[v] J&J is committed to working together to develop a new
pricing and access framework that is stable, predictable and internationally
competitive — enabling the UK to regain its position as a leading destination
for life sciences.
Seeing the value of health and medicines investment as a catalyst for prosperity
and growth
Timely access to the right treatment achieves two things; it keeps people
healthy and prevents disease worsening so they can participate in society and a
thriving economy. New research from the WifOR Institute, funded by J&J, shows
that countries that allocate more resources to health — especially when combined
with a skilled workforce and strong infrastructure — consistently achieve better
outcomes.[vi]
> Timely access to the right treatment achieves two things; it keeps people
> healthy and prevents disease worsening so they can participate in society and
> a thriving economy.
The UK Government’s recent recognition of the need for long-term change, setting
out plans to increase investment in new medicines from 0.3 percent of GDP to 0.6
percent over the next 10 years is positive. It signals a move towards seeing
health as one of our smartest long-term investments, underpinning the UK’s
international competitiveness by beginning to bring us nearer to the levels in
other major European countries.
This mindset shift is critical to getting medicines to patients, and the life
sciences ecosystem, including the pharmaceutical sector as a cornerstone, plays
a pivotal role. It operates as a virtuous cycle — driven by the generation,
production, investment in, access to and uptake of innovation. Exciting
scientific developments and evolving treatment pathways mean that we have an
opportunity to review the structures around medicines reimbursement to ensure
they remain sustainable, competitive and responsive. At J&J, we have the
knowledge and heritage to work hand-in-hand with the Government and all partners
to achieve this.
Together, we can realise the potential of medicine innovation in the UK
Patients have the right to expect that science and innovation will reach them
when they need it. Innovative treatments can be transformative for patients,
meaning an improved quality of life or more precious time with loved ones.
We fully support the Government’s ambitions for life sciences and the health of
the nation. Now is the moment to deliver meaningful change — the NHS, Government
and all system partners, including J&J, must look at what valuing innovation
actually means when it comes to modernising the frameworks and mechanisms that
support access and uptake. Practical ways to do this include:
* Establishing a new pricing and access framework that is stable, predictable
and internationally competitive.
* Evolving medicines appraisal methods and processes, to deliver on the
commitments of the UK-US Economic Prosperity Deal.
* Adapting thresholds and value frameworks to ensure they are fit for the
future — in the context of wider system pressures, including inflation, and
the evolution of medical innovation requiring new approaches to assessment
and access.
> the NHS, Government and all system partners, including J&J, must look at what
> valuing innovation actually means when it comes to modernising the frameworks
> and mechanisms that support access and uptake.
By truly recognising the value of health as an investment, rather than as a
cost, we can return the UK to a more competitive position. The direction of
travel is positive. At J&J, we stand ready to work in partnership to help ensure
the UK is once again the best place in the world to research, develop and access
medicines.
Follow Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine UK on LinkedIn for updates on our
business, our people and our community.
CP-562703 | January 2026
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[i] House of Commons Library (2026). ‘NHS Funding and Expenditure’ Research
Briefing. Available at:
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn00724/ (Accessed
January 2026).
[ii] IQVIA & EFPIA (2025). EFPIA Patients W.A.I.T Indicator 2024 Survey.
Available at:
https://efpia.eu/media/oeganukm/efpia-patients-wait-indicator-2024-final-110425.pdf.
(Accessed January 2026)
[iii] The Kings Fund (2022). ‘How does the NHS compare to the health care
systems of other countries?’ Available at:
https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/reports/nhs-compare-health-care-systems-other-countries
(Accessed January 2026)
[iv] Office for Life Sciences (2024). Life sciences competitiveness indicators
2024: summary. Available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/life-sciences-sector-data-2024/life-sciences-competitiveness-indicators-2024-summary
(Accessed January 2026).
[v] ABPI. VPAG payment rate for newer medicines will be 14.5% in 2026. December
2025. Available at:
https://www.abpi.org.uk/media/news/2025/december/vpag-payment-rate-for-newer-medicines-will-be-145-in-2026/.
(Accessed January 2026).
[vi] WifOR Institute (2025). Healthy Returns: A Catalyst for Economic Growth and
Resilience. Available at:
https://www.wifor.com/en/download/healthy-returns-a-catalyst-for-economic-growth-and-resilience/?wpdmdl=360794&refresh=6942abe7a7f511765977063.
(Accessed January 2026).
Tag - Competitiveness
BRUSSELS — EU countries shouldn’t be afraid of integrating at different speeds
if that’s what it takes to gain crucial leverage on the world stage, Mario
Draghi said Monday.
“We must take the steps that are currently possible, with the partners who are
actually willing, in the domains where progress can currently be made,” said the
former European Central Bank president and ex-prime minister of Italy during a
ceremony at the University of Leuven in Belgium, where he was awarded an
honorary doctorate.
“Power requires Europe to move from confederation to federation,” said Draghi,
stressing that only in domains where EU countries have pooled their competences
has the bloc gained clout on the global stage.
“Where Europe has federated, [such as] on trade, on competition, on the single
market, on monetary policy, we are respected as a power and negotiate as one,”
he said, citing trade agreements recently negotiated with India and Latin
America.
Draghi’s call comes as Europe struggles to keep pace with the U.S. and China,
and is facing Russian aggression in Ukraine plus a transatlantic ally that no
longer acknowledges the benefits of its historic European ties.
“This is a future in which Europe risks becoming subordinated, divided and
de-industrialized at once, and a Europe that cannot defend its interests will
not preserve its values for longer,” Draghi warned.
In the face of those challenges, areas of weakness are those where EU capitals
continue to maintain a grip, such as defense, industrial policy or foreign
affairs, Draghi said. In these, he added, “we are treated as a loose assembly of
middle-sized states to be divided and dealt with accordingly.”
The former top official praised the bloc’s recent stance on Greenland, where it
decided to resist rather than accommodate threats coming from the U.S. “By
standing together in the face of direct threat, Europeans discovered the
solidarity that had previously seemed out of reach,” he said.
Draghi will take part in an informal gathering of European leaders next week
aimed at discussing the direction for the bloc’s competitiveness, together with
another former Italian prime minister, Enrico Letta.
Both have laid out their economic visions in reports that form the building
blocks of President Ursula von der Leyen’s second term atop the European
Commission.
The center-right European People’s Party is eyeing “better implementation” of
the Lisbon Treaty to better prepare the EU for what it sees as historic shifts
in the global balance of power involving the U.S., China and Russia, EPP leader
Manfred Weber said on Saturday.
Speaking at a press conference on the second day of an EPP Leaders Retreat in
Zagreb, Weber highlighted the possibility of broadening the use of qualified
majority voting in EU decision-making and developing a practical plan for
military response if a member state is attacked.
Currently EU leaders can use qualified majority voting on most legislative
proposals, from energy and climate issues to research and innovation. But common
foreign and security policy, EU finances and membership issues, among other
areas, need a unified majority.
This means that on issues such as sanctions against Russia, one country can
block agreement, as happened last summer when Slovakian Prime Minister Robert
Fico vetoed a package of EU measures against Moscow — a veto that was eventually
lifted. Such power in one country’s hands is something that the EPP would like
to change.
As for military solidarity, Article 42.7 of the Lisbon Treaty obliges countries
to provide “aid and assistance by all the means in their power” if an EU country
is attacked. For Weber, the formulation under European law is stronger than
NATO’s Article 5 collective defense commitment.
However, he stressed that the EU still lacks a clear operational plan for how
the clause would work in practice. Article 42.7 was previously used when France
requested that other EU countries make additional contributions to the fight
against terrorism, following the Paris terrorist attacks in November 2015.
Such ideas were presented as the party with a biggest grouping in the European
Parliament — and therefore the power to shape EU political priorities —
presented its strategic focus for 2026, with competitiveness as its main
priority.
Keeping the pulse on what matters in 2026
The EPP wants to unleash the bloc’s competitiveness through further cutting red
tape, “completing” the EU single market, diversifying supply chains, protecting
economic independence and security and promoting innovation including in AI,
chips and biotech, among other actions, according to its list 2026 priorities
unveiled on Saturday.
On defense, the EPP is pushing for a “360-degree” security approach to safeguard
Europe against growing geopolitical threats, “addressing state and non-state
threats from all directions,” according to the document.
The EPP is calling for enhanced European defense capabilities, including a
stronger defense market, joint procurement of military equipment, and new
strategic initiatives to boost readiness. The party also stressed the need for
better protection against cyberattacks and hybrid threats, and robust measures
to counter disinformation campaigns targeting EU institutions and societies.
On migration and border security, the EPP backs tougher asylum admissibility
rules, faster returns, and strengthened external borders, including reinforced
Frontex operations and improved digital systems like the Entry/Exit System.
The party also urged a Demographic Strategy for Europe amid the continent’s
shrinking and aging population. The text, initiated by Croatian Democratic Union
(HDZ), member of the EPP, wants to see demographic considerations integrated
into EU economic governance, cohesion funds, and policymaking, while boosting
family support, intergenerational solidarity, labor participation, skills
development, mobility and managed immigration.
Demographic change is “the most important issue, which is not really intensively
discussed in the public discourse,” Weber said. “That’s why we want to highlight
this, we want to underline the importance.”
ZAGREB — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on Friday poured cold water on a
suggestion by Manfred Weber, leader of the center-right European People’s Party,
that a joint European army could play a role in postwar peacekeeping in Ukraine.
Weber has made a number of striking proposals in recent weeks to project greater
EU power on the international stage. In addition to soldiers operating under a
“European flag” in Ukraine, he has called for one overall European leader —
merging the jobs of European Council president and European Commission
president.
Speaking at an informal EPP summit in Zagreb, Croatia, Merz welcomed Weber’s
attempts to revamp the EU but said these ideas did not represent immediate
solutions to Europe’s problems.
“We must focus on the tasks at hand right now,” Merz replied, when asked about
Weber’s initiatives.
The chancellor added he had no problem with “us repeatedly asking institutional
questions” on making Europe more powerful and united, and stressed that “these
are questions that need to be discussed again and again.”
However, Merz showed little appetite for getting bogged down in the sweeping
European reforms that Weber’s proposals could require. “Achieving treaty changes
in this European Union of 27 is a rather difficult task,’ the chancellor said.
“I advocate that we first and foremost concentrate on the tasks that are now on
the table.”
He said those were improving defense capabilities and the continent’s flagging
industrial competitiveness.
While Merz was cool on Weber’s proposals about a European army, his government
has still to decide on its commitment to German peacekeepers in Ukraine. While
Berlin is not as forward as Britain and France in raising the possibility of
providing peacekeepers, Merz has insisted: “We are not ruling anything out in
principle.“
Germany also stresses it is already acting as a regional security guarantor on
the Russian border, with nearly 5,000 troops posted to Lithuania, and through
air policing missions across Eastern Europe.
When asked about Merz’s skepticism about his proposals, Weber said: “We are in
dialogue. We are in discussion.”
German industrial giant Bosch on Friday confirmed plans to cut 20,000 jobs after
profits nearly halved last year, underlining the mounting strain on Germany’s
once-dominant manufacturing sector and increasing the pressure on politicians in
Berlin to find a solution.
Official data released Friday also showed Germany’s unemployment rate,
unadjusted for seasonal factors, rising to 6.6 percent — the highest level in
twelve years. The number of unemployed people surpassed three million in
January.
“Economic reality is also reflected in our results,” Bosch CEO Stefan Hartung
said, describing 2025 as “a difficult and, in some cases, painful year” for the
company, which is a leading supplier of parts for cars.
The move lands amid a deepening slump in the country’s automotive industry, long
the backbone of German manufacturing. The sector has been shedding jobs rapidly:
A 2025 study by EY found that more than 50,000 automotive positions were cut in
Germany last year alone.
Germany’s automotive downturn has become a wider political test for the
government in Berlin and Europe more widely. Once the economy’s crown jewel, the
industry is now being challenged by current policy on electric vehicles, energy
costs and aggressive competition from Chinese manufacturers.
As suppliers weaken, the risk is shifting from lower profits to a lasting loss
of competitiveness. With layoffs rising and investment decisions being delayed,
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s government is coming under growing pressure from
workers, unions and industry leaders to rethink Germany’s industrial strategy —
as doubts spread domestically and across Europe about the country’s ability to
remain an economic powerhouse.
BERLIN — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz warned that Europe will not withstand
a new era of rising great-power imperialism unless it embraces the logic of hard
power.
“We will only be able to implement our ideas in the world, at least in part, if
we ourselves learn to speak the language of power politics, if we ourselves
become a European power,” Merz said Thursday during a speech in Germany’s
federal parliament.
Merz’s comments build on a speech the chancellor gave last week at the World
Economic Forum in Davos in which he warned of a “radically changing” U.S. and “a
new world of great powers being built on power, on strength, and when it comes
to it, on force.” Merz said Thursday that Europe must embrace the logic of hard
military and economic power in order to preserve Europe as a force for democracy
in the world.
“We are, in fact, a normative alternative to imperialism and autocracy in the
world,” Merz said. “We have something to offer our partners around the world,
both economically and, above all, in terms of our ideals.”
Merz also joined other European leaders in condemning U.S. President Donald
Trump’s comment last week that NATO allies had stayed “a little off the front
lines” during the war in Afghanistan, a statement that sparked outrage in
Europe’s capitals. During the nearly 20-year mission in Afghanistan, launched in
response to the September 11 attacks on the U.S., 59 German soldiers lost their
lives.
“We will not allow this mission, which we also carried out in the interests of
our ally, the United States of America, to be disparaged and belittled today,”
Merz said to sustained applause. “I would like to say once again to our soldiers
on duty and at their bases today that your service was and is valuable.”
Given Germany’s ongoing dependence on U.S. military power for its own defense,
Merz has been reluctant to openly criticize Trump even as he warns that Europe
must prepare to go it alone as the U.S.-led global order crumbles.
On Thursday, he urged the German public and European allies to seek to preserve
the alliance with the U.S. to the degree possible.
“We should not recklessly jeopardize established alliances,” Merz said. “The
transatlantic alliance and transatlantic trust are still valuable in their own
right today. For us in Germany, this is particularly true.”
At the same time, Merz is pushing to make Germany more militarily independent of
the U.S. Shortly after becoming chancellor last May, Merz vowed to take more
responsibility for Europe’s defense by building the strongest conventional army
in Europe.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission’s vice president Henna Virkkunen sounded the
alarm about Europe’s dependence on foreign technology on Tuesday, saying “it’s
very clear that Europe is having our independence moment.”
“During the last year, everybody has really realized how important it is that we
are not dependent on one country or one company when it comes to some very
critical technologies,” she said at an event organized by POLITICO.
“In these times … dependencies, they can be weaponized against us,” Virkkunen
said.
The intervention at the event — titled Europe’s race for digital leadership —
comes at a particularly sensitive time in transatlantic relations, after U.S.
President Donald Trump’s recent threats to take over Greenland forced European
politicians to consider retaliation.
Virkkunen declined to single out the United States as one of the partners that
the EU must de-risk from. She pointed to the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine as incidents that point to Europe’s “vulnerabilities.”
She said the U.S. is a key partner, but also noted that “it’s very important for
our competitiveness and for our security, that we have also our own capacity,
that we are not dependent.”
The Commission’s executive vice president for tech sovereignty swung behind the
idea of using public contracts as a way to support the development of European
technology companies and products.
“We should use public procurement, of course, much more actively also to boost
our own growing technologies in the European Union,” she said when asked about
her stance on plans to “Buy European.”
Those plans, being pushed by the French EU commissioner Stéphane Séjourné, in
charge of European industy, to ensure that billions in procurement contracts
flow to EU businesses, are due to be outlined in an upcoming Industrial
Accelerator Act that has been delayed multiple times.
“Public services, governments, municipalities, regions, also the European
Commission, we are very big customers for ICT services,” Virkkunen said. “And we
can also boost very much European innovations [and startups] when we are buying
services.”
Virkkunen is overseeing a package of legislation aimed at promoting tech
sovereignty that is expected to come out this spring, including action on cloud
and artificial intelligence, and microchips — industries in which Europe is
behind global competitors.
When asked where she saw the biggest need for Europe to break away from foreign
reliance, the commissioner said that while it was difficult to pick only one
area, “chips are very much a pre-condition for any other technologies.”
“We are not able to design and manufacture very advanced chips. It’s very
problematic for our technology customer. So I see that semiconductor chips, they
are very much key for any other technologies,” she said.
Europe isn’t doomed to inexorable decline — and in fact is doing better than
most people realize, said the IMF’s Kristalina Georgieva.
Much of the European Union’s policymaking bubble has been gripped with despair
since the bloc’s weakness was exposed during a recent confrontation with the
U.S. over Greenland.
While U.S. President Donald Trump eventually backed down, the European military
response — sending a symbolic handful of soldiers to the North Atlantic island —
underlined that had the White House really wanted to seize Greenland, Europeans
would have had no choice but to accede.
But in an interview with POLITICO, Georgieva, managing director of the
International Monetary Fund, said the pessimism was misplaced.
In an end-of-year shortlist of top-performing economies put together by the
Economist, she noted, the top 10 included seven EU countries, with Portugal in
the top spot. The Iberian economy has recorded steady growth while comfortably
paying down its debt in the past few years.
That’s a fact, she said, that should be celebrated.
“Europeans — we are modest people. We don’t brag,” the IMF head stated.
She recalled how a U.S. colleague had recently done “something marginal.”
“He said ‘oh, let’s look at this. I’m great. I’m fantastic,’” Georgieva
recounted. “In Europe you do something great and you say ‘not too bad.’ In this
world we are in now, you have to brag a little, exude confidence.”
Even before the Greenland standoff, a sense of despair had settled over the top
echelons of European economic decision-making. Mario Draghi, former head of the
European Central Bank, warned that the bloc faced “slow agony” if it didn’t
reform.
Georgieva acknowledged the increasingly sharp-elbowed way in which countries now
operate — one that leaves little room for multilateral organizations like her
own IMF. In a speech earlier on Monday she acknowledged that the world had
become “multipolar” — code for a new era of jostling geopolitical blocs that has
replaced unilateral American dominance.
Speaking to POLITICO, Georgieva said that “geopolitical factors play an
increasingly bigger role in defining the world economy.” On Greenland, she said
the fact that “allies find it more difficult to retain their sense of common
purpose” was a “significant change.”
But she insisted that the “destiny of Europe is in the hands of Europeans.” The
IMF’s list of advice to reform the EU’s economy echoes Draghi’s own, contained
in his competitiveness report from 2024: They include strengthening the single
market, cutting regulations on businesses, and integrating the continent’s
fragmented energy and financial systems.
Mario Draghi, former head of the European Central Bank, warned that the bloc
faced “slow agony” if it didn’t reform. | Olivier Matthys/EPA
Georgieva said it was “paramount” for the EU to press ahead with reform. “Get
your own house in order,” she said.
Three of the Economist shortlist’s best-performing countries — Ireland, Portugal
and Greece — were put under IMF supervision at the height of the eurozone
crisis. There, they had to agree to painful adjustments known as structural
reform programs, which included tax hikes and brutal cuts to public services. In
the case of Greece in particular, those structural reforms resulted in a sharp
increase in unemployment and poverty levels; gross domestic product per capita
is still not at its pre-crisis level.
But, said Georgieva, their current success is proof that countries, and the EU
as a whole, can change their economic trajectories.
Asked whether Europe should consider retaliating against U.S. aggression by
selling off assets like government bonds, a suggestion included in a recent
analyst report from Deutsche Bank, the senior official urged caution.
“I would say that the smooth functioning of the international monetary system is
of value to all countries,” she said. “Disturbing that smooth functioning of the
international monetary system with the same token can bring negative impact.”
The Bulgarian boss of the Washington, D.C.-based fund did, however, back a
deeper pool of joint EU debt — an idea favored by Draghi but regarded with
suspicion by frugal countries like Germany and the Netherlands.
As for the disbursement of $8.1 billion in IMF funds to Ukraine to help the
country meet its financing needs, Georgieva said she was aiming to hold an IMF
board meeting in the second half of `February at which the board could approve
the program and start paying out funds. Though the amount is relatively small —
less than a tenth of the €90 billion that the EU has agreed to lend to Ukraine —
IMF approval is a signal of confidence for financial markets.
The IMF chief also said that a meeting “is scheduled” with U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the situation in Venezuela, and that it would
happen in the “nearest future.”
The IMF stopped working with Venezuela in 2019. The fund estimates that the
South American country’s economy, battered by U.S. sanctions and plagued by
mismanagement, has shrunk to a third of its previous largest size. Since the
U.S. captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro at the start of the year, it
has floated the possibility of allowing Venezuela to access IMF financing again.
BRUSSELS — Pressure is mounting on the European Commission to exempt fertilizers
from its new carbon tariff scheme, as national capitals side with farmers over
industry to unpick one of the EU’s newest climate policies.
During a discussion requested by Austria on Monday, 12 countries called for a
temporary exclusion of fertilizers from the European Union’s carbon border
adjustment mechanism (CBAM), a levy on the greenhouse gas emissions of certain
goods imported into the bloc.
They argued that CBAM, which only became fully operational on Jan. 1, is sending
already-rising fertilizer even higher, adding to economic difficulties for crop
farmers.
“European arable farmers are currently facing not just low producer prices, but
also rising production costs. The main cost drivers are fertilizer prices, which
have increased markedly since 2020,” Johannes Frankhauser, a senior official in
Austria’s agriculture ministry, told ministers gathered in Brussels. Eleven
countries backed Vienna in Monday’s meeting.
Yet critics — which include fertilizer producers, environment-focused MEPs and
several governments — warn that such an exemption would not only penalize the
EU’s domestic producers but threaten the integrity of the carbon tariff scheme.
“High prices of production inputs, including fertilizers, have a direct impact
on the economic situation of farms… However, we want an optimal solution in
order to maintain food security on one hand and on the other [avoid] possible
negative impacts on the competitiveness of EU fertilizer producers,” said Polish
Agriculture Minister Stefan Krajewski, whose country is a major fertilizer
producer.
Germany, Belgium, Finland, Sweden and the Netherlands expressed similar
sentiments.
CBAM was phased in over several years and is supposed to protect European
producers of heavily polluting goods — cement, iron, steel, aluminum,
fertilizers, electricity and hydrogen — from cheap and dirty foreign
competition. EU manufacturers of these products currently pay a carbon price on
their planet-warming emissions, while importers didn’t before the CBAM came into
force.
By introducing a levy on imports from countries without carbon pricing, the EU
wants to even out the playing field and encourage its trading partners to switch
to cleaner manufacturing practices. (Those partners aren’t too happy.) The CBAM
price is paid by the importers, which are free to pass on the cost to buyers
— in the case of fertilizers, farmers.
Fertilizers make up a substantial share of farms’ operating costs, and EU-based
companies do not produce enough to match demand.
CBAM is therefore expected to push up fertilizer costs, though estimates on by
how much vary greatly. A group of nine EU countries led by France mentioned a 25
percent increase in a recent missive, while Austria reckons it’s 10-15 percent.
The main cost drivers are fertilizer prices, which have increased markedly since
2020,” Johannes Frankhauser, a senior official in Austria’s agriculture
ministry, told ministers gathered in Brussels. | Olivier Hoslet/EPA
Carbon pricing analyst firm Sandbag, however, says it’s far lower for the next
two years — less than 1 percent, or a couple of euros per ton of ammonia, a
fertilizer component that costs several hundred euros per ton without the levy.
Responding to governments on Monday, Agriculture Commissioner Christophe Hansen
noted that the EU executive already tweaked the policy to provide relief to
farmers in December, and followed up in January with a promise to suspend some
regular tariffs on fertilizer components to offset the additional CBAM cost.
SUSPENSION SUSPENSE
The Commission in December set in motion legislative changes that could allow it
to enact such a suspension in the event of “serious and unforeseen
circumstances” harming the bloc’s internal market — in effect, an emergency
brake for CBAM. The suspension can apply retroactively, the EU executive said
earlier this month.
Yet EU governments and the European Parliament each have to approve this clause
before the Commission could make such a move, a process expected to take the
better part of this year. Environment ministers can vote on the changes in March
or June, and MEPs haven’t even chosen their lead lawmakers to work on the
Parliament’s position yet.
That’s why Austria on Monday called on the Commission to “immediately” suspend
CBAM until “the regular possibility to temporarily suspend CBAM on fertilisers
is ensured.” The legal basis for such a move is unclear, as the legislation in
force does not feature an exemption clause.
Vienna’s request for a debate came after a group of nine countries — Bulgaria,
Croatia, France, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Luxembourg, Portugal and Romania —
wrote to the Commission requesting a suspension earlier this month. During
Monday’s discussion, Croatia and Estonia also expressed support for such a
move.
Ireland welcomed the Commission’s proposal of a suspension clause but asked for
additional details.
Spain was ambivalent: “We need to strengthen our industrial capacity to
contribute to the strategic autonomy of the European Union. But clearly, the
decarbonisation of this sector mustn’t jeopardize farmers’ livelihoods,” said
Spanish Agriculture Minister Luis Planas.
Italy, which previously signaled its support for a suspension, did not
explicitly endorse such a move — merely backing the Commission’s
already-announced tweaks to normal fertilizer tariffs in its intervention on
Monday.
Not all countries took to the floor. Czechia, for example — whose new government
is opposed to large parts of EU climate legislation, but whose prime minister
owns Europe’s second-largest nitrogen fertilizer producer — remained silent. The
Czech agriculture ministry did not respond to a request for comment.
INDUSTRY ALARMED
While exempting fertilizers may win governments kudos from farmers, European
fertilizer manufacturers would be irate. The producers’ association Fertilisers
Europe warned that such a move would be “totally unacceptable” and “undermine
the competitiveness” of EU companies.
Yara, a major Norwegian fertilizer producer, said that “CBAM was designed to
ensure a level playing field. Weakening it through tariff reductions or
retroactive suspension sends the wrong signal to companies investing in Europe’s
green transition.”
Mohammed Chahim, the vice president of the center-left Socialists and Democrats
in the European Parliament, said that EU companies “need regulatory stability.”
“European fertilizer producers have spent precious time and significant
resources, often with support from taxpayer money, to decarbonize,” said the
Dutch MEP, who drafted the Parliament’s position on the original CBAM law. “Any
exemptions for CBAM send a terrible signal — not just to our own industry, but
to the world.”
It’s not only makers of fertilizer that are up in arms. Companies in the heavy
industry sector — whose competitiveness CBAM is supposed to protect — are
warning that granting an exemption once could produce a domino effect,
encouraging buyers of all CBAM goods to lobby for relief.
German MEP Peter Liese, environment coordinator of the center-right European
People’s Party, said earlier this month that a retroactive exemption would be
“theoretically possible” but that he was “very much against it because I believe
that if we start doing that, we will end up in a cascade. | Ronald Wittek/EPA
“Once one sector gets an exemption, other sectors will want this too,” warned
the Business for CBAM coalition, a lobby group of companies and industry groups.
“We therefore call on the European Parliament and [ministers] to remove” the
exemption clause, it added.
Similarly, German MEP Peter Liese, environment coordinator of the center-right
European People’s Party, said earlier this month that a retroactive exemption
would be “theoretically possible” but that he was “very much against it because
I believe that if we start doing that, we will end up in a cascade. If we
suspend it for fertilizers, there are immediately arguments to suspend it in
other sectors as well.”
It seems impossible to have a conversation today without artificial intelligence
(AI) playing some role, demonstrating the massive power of the technology. It
has the potential to impact every part of business, and European policymakers
are on board.
In February 2025, Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president, said,
“We want Europe to be one of the leading AI continents … AI can help us boost
our competitiveness, protect our security, shore up public health, and make
access to knowledge and information more democratic.”
Research from Nokia suggests that businesses share this enthusiasm and ambition:
84 percent of more than 1,000 respondents said AI features in the growth
strategy of their organization, while 62 percent are directing at least 20
percent of ICT capex budgets toward the technology.
However, the equation is not yet balanced.
Three-quarters of survey respondents state that current telecom infrastructure
limits the ability to deliver on those ambitions. Meanwhile, 45 percent suggest
these limitations would delay, constrain or entirely limit investments.
There is clearly a disconnect between the ambition and the ability to deliver.
At present, Europe lags the United States and parts of Asia in areas such as
network deployment, related investment levels and scale.
> If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
> economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a
> limit and consumers will not see the benefits.
What we must remember primarily is that AI does not happen without advanced,
trusted and future-proofed networks. Infrastructure is not a ‘nice to have’ it
is a fundamental part. Simply put, today’s networks in Europe require more
investments to power the AI dream we all have.
If AI does not reach its full potential, EU competitiveness will suffer,
economic growth will have a ceiling, the creation of new jobs will have a limit
and consumers will not see the benefits.
When we asked businesses about the challenge of meeting AI demands during our
research, the lack of adequate connectivity infrastructure was the fourth common
answer out of 15 potential options.
Our telecom connectivity regulatory approach must be more closely aligned with
the goal of fostering AI. That means progressing toward a genuine telecom single
market, adopting a novel approach to competition policy to allow market
consolidation to lead to more investments, and ensuring connectivity is always
secure and trusted.
Supporting more investments in next-generation networks through consolidation
AI places heavy demands on networks. It requires low latency, high bandwidth and
reliability, and efficient traffic management. To deliver this, Europe needs to
accelerate investment in 5G standalone, fiber to enterprises, edge data centers
and IP-optical backbone networks optimized for AI.
> As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
> must themselves make greater use of automation and AI.
Consolidation (i.e. reducing the number of telecom operators within the national
telecom markets of EU member states) is part of the solution. Consolidation will
allow operators to achieve economies of scale and improve operating efficiency,
therefore encouraging investment and catalyzing innovation.
As industry voices such as Nokia have emphasized, the networks that power AI
must themselves make greater use of automation and AI. Policy support should
therefore extend to both network innovation and deployment.
Trust: A precondition for AI adoption
Intellectual property (IP) theft is a threat to Europe’s industrial future and
only trusted technology should be used in core functions, systems and sectors
(such as energy, transport and defense). In this context, the underlying
connectivity should always be secure and trusted. The 5G Security Toolbox,
restricting untrusted technology, should therefore be extended to all telecom
technologies (including fiber, optics and IP) and made compulsory in all EU
member states. European governments must make protecting their industries and
citizens a high priority.
Completing the digital single market
Although the single market is one of Europe’s defining projects, the reality in
telecoms — a key part of the digital single market — is still fragmented. As an
example, different spectrum policies create barriers across borders and can
limit network roll outs.
Levers on top of advanced connectivity
To enable the AI ecosystem in Europe, there are several different enabling
levers European policymakers should advance on top of fostering advanced and
trusted connectivity:
* The availability of compute infrastructure. The AI Continent Action Plan, as
well as the IPCEI Compute Infrastructure Continuum, and the European
High-Performance Computing Joint Undertaking should facilitate building AI
data centers in Europe.
* Leadership in edge computing. There should also be clear support for securing
Europe’s access to and leadership in edge solutions and building out edge
capacity. Edge solutions increase processing speeds and are important for
enabling AI adoption, while also creating a catalyst for economic growth.
With the right data center capacity and edge compute capabilities available,
European businesses can meet the new requirements of AI use cases.
* Harmonization of rules. There are currently implications for AI in several
policy areas, including the AI Act, GDPR, Data Act, cybersecurity laws and
sector-specific regulations. This creates confusion, whereas AI requires
clarity. Simplification and harmonization of these regulations should be
pursued.
* AI Act implementation and simplification. There are concerns about the
implementation of the AI Act. The standards for high-risk AI may not
be available before the obligations of the AI act enter into force, hampering
business ambitions due to legal uncertainty. The application date of the AI
Act’s provisions on high-risk AI should be postponed by two years to align
with the development of standards. There needs to be greater clarity on
definitions and simplification measures should be pursued across the entire
ecosystem. Policies must be simple enough to follow, otherwise adoption may
falter. Policy needs to act as an enabler, not a barrier to innovation.
* Upskilling and new skills. AI will require new skills of employees and users,
as well as creating entirely new career paths. Europe needs to prepare for
this new world.
If Europe can deliver on these priorities, the benefits will be tangible:
improved services, stronger industries, increased competitiveness and higher
economic growth. AI will deliver to those who best prepare themselves.
We must act now with the urgency and consistency that the moment demands.
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Author biography: Marc Vancoppenolle is leading the geopolitical and government
relations EU and Europe function at Nokia. He and his team are working with
institutions and stakeholders in Europe to create a favorable political and
regulatory environment fostering broadband investments and cross sectoral
digitalization at large.
Vancoppenolle has over 30 years of experience in the telecommunication industry.
He joined Alcatel in 1991, and then Alcatel-Lucent, where he took various
international and worldwide technical, commercial, marketing, communication and
government affairs leadership roles.
Vancoppenolle is a Belgian and French national. He holds a Master of Science,
with a specialization in telecommunication, from the University of Leuven
complemented with marketing studies from the University of Antwerp. He is a
member of the DIGITALEUROPE Executive Board, Associate to Nokia’s CEO at the ERT
(European Round Table for Industry), and advisor to FITCE Belgium (Forum for ICT
& Media professionals). He has been vice-chair of the BUSINESSEUROPE Digital
Economy Taskforce as well as a member of the board of IICB (Innovation &
Incubation Center Brussels).