BRUSSELS — The European Union is pressing ahead with talks to grant United
States border authorities unprecedented access to Europeans’ data, despite
growing concerns about American surveillance.
The European Commission is brokering a deal to exchange
information about travelers, including fingerprints and law enforcement
records, so the U.S. can determine if they “pose a risk to public security or
public order,” according to official documents.
Commission officials flew to Washington last week for the first round of
negotiations, according to two people familiar with the matter.
The Trump administration’s request for deeper access comes after the U.S. border
agency in December proposed reviewing five years of social media history. Talks
are happening as the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) service is
under heavy scrutiny for its use of surveillance technology against protesters
in cities such as Minneapolis.
The negotiations should be “put on hold” until the security and privacy of
citizens in the EU and U.S. can be guaranteed, liberal European Parliament
member Raquel García Hermida-van der Walle said in an interview.
Romain Lanneau, a legal researcher with surveillance watchdog Statewatch, said
police databases in Europe could contain information on anyone from protesters
to journalists who might be considered a “threat,” and that — under the deal
being discussed — this information would be at the fingertips of U.S. border
authorities who could refuse those people entry to the United States or even
detain them.
European regulators are “very cautiously looking at what’s happening in the
United States,” Wojciech Wiewiórowski, the EU’s in-house data protection
supervisor, told POLITICO. Europe “has to be careful” about how it allows the
data of Europeans to flow to the U.S., he said.
Hermida-van der Walle in January co-signed a letter by six prominent lawmakers
calling on the Commission to stand down given the “current geopolitical
context,” despite Washington’s admonition that failure to reach a deal will mean
Europeans lose access to its visa waiver program.
UNPRECEDENTED ACCESS
The U.S. is seeking access to information including biometric data such as
fingerprints that is stored on national databases in European countries,
according to an explanatory note sent to national experts. The data would be
used to “address irregular migration and to prevent, detect, and combat serious
crime and terrorist offences,” the note said.
In an earlier opinion on the deal, the European Data Protection Supervisor
(EDPS) — a watchdog that advises the Commission on privacy policies — noted the
deal would be the first of its kind to enable “large-scale sharing of personal
data … for the purpose of border and immigration control” with a non-EU country.
The Commission would negotiate a framework deal that would serve as a template
for bilateral agreements called Enhanced Border Security Partnerships (EBSPs),
which national governments agree with Washington. EU countries in December
signed off on the Commission’s request to start talks with the U.S.
Washington is pressuring its EU counterparts by imposing a deadline for the
bilateral deals to be agreed by the end of 2026. If countries fail to reach a
deal with the U.S. they risk being cut from the latter’s visa waiver program.
The U.S has made it mandatory for all countries that are part of the visa waiver
program to have an EBSP in place.
“The pressure which the United States is extorting on our member states, the
threats that if you don’t agree with this we will cancel your access to the visa
waiver program, that is an element of blackmail that we cannot let go,”
Hermida-van der Walle said.
The EDPS watchdog has cautioned that the scope of data sharing should be as
narrow as possible, with clear justifications for every query; transparency
around how the data is used; and judicial redress available in the U.S. for any
person.
Commission spokesperson Markus Lammert emphasised at a recent press briefing
that the framework being negotiated will involve “clear and robust safeguards on
data protection,” and will ensure “a non-systematic nature of the information
exchange and that the exchange is limited to what is strictly necessary to
achieve the objectives of this cooperation.”
US PRIVACY UNDER PRESSURE
Access to the data is the latest issue putting pressure on a troubled
relationship between the U.S. and the EU on data privacy.
Since whistleblower Edward Snowden in 2013 revealed U.S. mass surveillance
practices affecting Europeans, the EU has tightened controls on how Washington
handles Europeans’ data.
Since the return of Donald Trump as president last year, officials and rights
groups have deplored a move by the U.S. administration to gut a key privacy
watchdog tasked with overseeing privacy safeguards in place to protect
Europeans.
The Trump administration has also been ramping up mass
surveillance of citizens by federal agencies like ICE, including through
contracts with Israeli spyware company Paragon, surveillance giant Palantir and
other firms.
Capgemini, a prominent French IT firm, on Sunday said it was selling off its
American activities after it faced political backlash from the French government
that its software was being used by ICE authorities.
Civil rights groups, lawmakers and other watchdogs fear the new EU-U.S. data
sharing deals would add to backsliding on privacy rights.
“The current initiatives are being presented as toward counter-terrorism, but a
lot of them are actually adopted for the chilling effect [on political
activism],” Statewatch’s Lanneau said.
Hermida-van der Walle, the liberal lawmaker, warned: “If people have to go to
the United States, if it’s not a choice but something that they have do, there
is a risk of self-censoring.”
“This comes from an administration who claims to be the biggest defender of free
speech. What they’re doing with their actions is curtailing the possibility of
people to express themselves freely, because otherwise they might not get
access into the country,” she said.
Tag - Surveillance
MARSEILLE, France — Violence at a drug trafficking hotspot in the social housing
complex next to Orange’s headquarters in Marseille forced the telecoms giant to
lock its forest-green gates and order its thousands of employees to work from
home.
The disruption to such a recognizable company — one that gives its name to the
city’s iconic football venue — became a fresh symbol of how drug trafficking and
insecurity are reshaping politics ahead of municipal elections.
In a recent poll, security ranked among voters’ top concerns, forcing candidates
across the spectrum to pitch competing responses to the drug trade.
“The number one theme is security,” center-right candidate Martine Vassal told
POLITICO. “In the field, what I hear most often are people who tell me that they
no longer travel in the heart of the city for that reason.”
French political parties are watching the contest closely for clues about the
broader battles building toward the 2027 presidential race.
In many ways, Marseille is a microcosm of France as a whole, reflecting the
country’s wider demographics and its biggest political battles.
The city is diverse. Multicultural and low-income neighborhoods that tend to
support the hard left abut conservative suburbs that have swung to the far right
in recent years. As in much of France, support for the political center in
Marseille is wobbling.
The left-wing incumbent Benoît Payan remains a slight favorite in the March
contest, but Franck Allisio, the candidate for the far-right National Rally, is
just behind, with both men polling at around 30 percent.
The issues at play strike at the heart of Marseille’s identity: its notorious
drug trade, entrenched poverty and failure to seize on the competitive
advantages of a young, sun-drenched city strategically perched on the
Mediterranean.
Whichever candidate can articulate a platform that speaks to Marseille’s local
realities while addressing anxieties shared across France will be well
positioned to take city hall — and to provide their party with a potential
blueprint for the 2027 presidential campaign.
SECOND CITY
Marseille has always had something of a little-brother complex with Paris, a
resentment that goes beyond the football rivalry of Paris Saint-Germain and
Olympique de Marseille.
Many in the city regard the French capital as a distant power center that tries
to impose its own solutions on Marseille without sufficiently consulting local
experts.
People in Marseilles pay tribute to murdered Mehdi Kessaci. 20, whose brother is
a prominent anti drug trafficking campaigner, and protest against trafficking,
Nov. 22, 2025. | Clement Mahoudeau/AFP via Getty Images
“Paris treats Marseille almost like a colony,” said Allisio. “A place you visit,
make promises to — without any guarantee the money will ever be spent.”
When it comes to drug trafficking and security, leaders across the political
spectrum agree that Paris is prescribing medicine that treats the symptoms of
the crisis, not the cause.
Violence associated with the drug trade was thrust back in the spotlight in
November with the killing of 20-year-old Mehdi Kessaci. Authorities are
investigating the crime as an act of intimidation. Mehdi’s brother Amine Kessaci
is one of the city’s most prominent anti-trafficking campaigners, rising to
prominence after their half-brother — who was involved in the trade — was killed
several years earlier.
President Emmanuel Macron, Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez and Justice Minister
Gérald Darmanin all visited Marseille in the wake of Kessaci’s killing,
outlining a tough-on-crime agenda to stop the violence and flow of drugs.
Locals stress that law-and-order investments must be matched with funding for
public services. Unless authorities improve the sluggish economy that has
encouraged jobless youths to turn to the drug trade, the problem will continue.
“Repression alone is not efficient,” said Kaouther Ben Mohamed, a former social
worker turned activist. “If that was the case, the drug trade wouldn’t have
flourished like it did.”
Housing is another issue, with many impoverished residents living in dangerous,
dilapidated buildings.
“We live in a shit city,” said Mahboubi Tir, a tall, broad-shouldered young man
with a rugby player’s physique. “We’re not safe here.”
Tir spent a month in a coma and several more in a hospital last April after he
was assaulted during a parking dispute. His face was still swollen and distorted
when he spoke to POLITICO in December about how the incident reshaped his
relationship with the city he grew up in.
“I almost died, and I was angry at the city,” said Tir, who suffers from memory
loss and has only a vague recollection of what led to the assault, as he sipped
coffee in the backroom office of a tiny, left-leaning grassroots political party
where he volunteers, Citizen Ambition.
SECURITY PROBLEM
To what extent Marseille’s activist groups can bring about change in a city
whose struggles have lasted for decades remains to be seen, but the four leading
candidates for mayor share a similar diagnosis.
They all believe the lurid crime stories making national headlines are a
byproduct of a lack of jobs and neglected public services — and that the French
state’s responses miss the mark. Rather than relying on harsher punishments as a
deterrent, they argue the state should prioritize local policing and public
investment.
When Payan announced his candidacy for reelection, he pledged free meals for
15,000 students to get them back in school and to double the number of local
cops as part of a push for more community policing.
Allisio’s platform puts the emphasis on security-related spending: increased
video surveillance, more vehicles for local police and the creation of
“specialized units to combat burglary and public disorder.”
Vassal — the center-right backed by the conservative Les Républicains and
parties aligned with Macron — has similarly put forward a proposal to arm fare
enforcers in public transport.
Both Allisio and Vassal are calling for unspecified spending cuts while
preserving basic services provided at the local level like schools, public
transportation and parks and recreation.
Vassal, who is polling third, said she would make public transportation free for
residents younger 26 to travel across the spread-out city. She accuses the
current administration of having delivered an insufficient number of building
permits, slowing the development of new housing and office buildings and thus
the revitalization of Marseille’s most embattled areas — a trend she pledged to
reverse.
Both Vassal and Allisio are advocating for less local taxes on property to boost
small businesses and create new jobs. Allisio has also put forward a proposal to
make parking for less 30 minutes free to facilitate deliveries and quick stops
to buy products.
The outlier — at least when it comes to public safety — is Sébastien Delogu, a
disciple of three-time hard-left presidential candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
Though Delogu is polling fourth at 14 percent, he can’t be counted out, given
that Mélenchon won Marseille in the first round of the last two presidential
elections.
Though Delogu acknowledges that crime is a problem, he doesn’t want to spend
more money on policing. He instead proposes putting money that other candidates
want to spend on security toward poverty reduction, housing supply and the local
public health sector.
Whoever wins, however, will have to grapple with an uncomfortable truth. Aside
from local police responsible for public tranquility and health, policing and
criminal justice matters are largely managed at the national level.
The solution to Marseille’s problems will depend, to no small extent, on the
outcome of what happens next year in Paris.
Want to get a sense of how the next French presidential vote will play out? Then
pay attention to the upcoming local elections.
They start in 50 days, and voters in more than 35,000 communes will head to the
polls to elect city councils and mayors.
Those races will give an important insight into French politics running into the
all-important 2027 presidential contest that threatens to reshape both France
and the European Union.
The elections, which will take place over two rounds on March 15 and March 22,
will confirm whether the far-right National Rally can cement its status as the
country’s predominant political force. They will also offer signs of whether the
left is able to overcome its internal divisions to be a serious challenger. The
center has to prove it’s not in a death spiral.
POLITICO traveled to four cities for an on-the-ground look at key races that
will be fought on policy issues that resonate nationally such as public safety,
housing, climate change and social services. These are topics that could very
well determine the fortunes of the leading parties next year.
FRANCE IN MINIATURE
Benoit Payan, Franck Allisio, Martine Vassal and Sébastien Delogu | Source
photos via EPA and Getty Images
MARSEILLE — France’s second city is a microcosm of the nationwide electoral
picture.
Marseille’s sprawl is comprised of poorer, multicultural areas,
middle-to-upper-class residential zones and bustling, student-filled districts.
All make up the city’s unique fabric.
Though Marseille has long struggled with crime, a surge in violence tied to drug
trafficking in the city and nationwide has seen security rocket up voters’
priority list. In Marseille, as elsewhere, the far right has tied the uptick in
violence and crime to immigration.
The strategy appears to be working. Recent polling shows National Rally
candidate Franck Allisio neck-and-neck with incumbent Benoît Payan, who enjoys
the support of most center-left and left-wing parties.
Trailing them are the center-right hopeful Martine Vassal — who is backed by
French President Emmanuel Macron’s party Renaissance — and the hard-left France
Unbowed candidate Sébastien Delogu, a close ally of three-time presidential
candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
Those four candidates are all polling well enough to make the second round. That
could set up an unprecedented and unpredictable four-way runoff to lead the
Mediterranean port city of more than 850,000 people.
A National Rally win here would rank among the biggest victories in the history
of the French far right. Party leader Marine Le Pen traveled to Marseille
herself on Jan. 17 to stump for Allisio, describing the city as a “a symbol of
France’s divisions” and slamming Payan for “denying that there is a connection
between immigration and insecurity.”
Party leader Marine Le Pen traveled to Marseille herself on Jan. 17 to stump for
Allisio. | Miguel Medina/AFP via Getty Images
The center-right candidate Vassal told POLITICO said she would increase security
by recruiting more local police and installing video surveillance.
But she also regretted that Marseille was so often represented by its struggles.
“We’re always making headlines on problems like drug trafficking … It puts all
the city’s assets and qualities to the side and erases everything else which
goes on,” Vassal said.
Payan, whose administration took over in 2020 after decades of conservative
rule, has tried to tread a line that is uncompromising on policing while also
acknowledging the roots of the city’s problems require holistic solutions. He’s
offered to double the number of local cops as part of a push for more community
policing and pledged free meals for 15,000 students to get them back in school.
Marseille’s sprawl is comprised of poorer, multicultural areas,
middle-to-upper-class residential zones and bustling, student-filled districts.
All make up the city’s unique fabric. | Miguel Medina/AFP via Getty Images
Delogu is the only major candidate not offering typical law-and-order
investments. Though he acknowledges the city’s crime problems, he proposes any
new spending should be on poverty reduction, housing supply and the local public
health sector rather than of more security forces and equipment.
Crime is sure to dominate the debate in Marseille. This election will test which
of these competing approaches resonates most in a country where security is
increasingly a top concern.
LATEST POLLING: Payan 30 percent – Allisio 30 percent- Vassal 23 percent –
Delogu 14 percent
CAN A UNITED LEFT BLOCK A FAR-RIGHT TAKEOVER?
Julien Sanchez, Franck Proust and Julien Plantier | Source photos via Getty
Images
NÎMES — Nîmes’ stunningly well-preserved second-century Roman amphitheater
attracts global superstars for blockbuster concerts. But even the glamour of
Taylor Swift or Dua Lipa can’t hide the recent scares in this city of more than
150,000 people.
Nîmes has in recent years suffered from violence tied to drug trafficking long
associated with Marseille, located just a short train ride away.
Pissevin, a high-rise neighborhood just a 15-minute streetcar ride from the
landmark amphitheater, seized national headlines in 2024 when 10-year-old was
killed by a stray bullet in a case that remains under investigation but which
prosecutors believe was linked to drug trafficking.
“Ten to 15 years ago, a lot of crime came from petty theft and burglaries. But
some of the population in underprivileged areas, looking for economic
opportunities, turned to the drug trade, which offered a lot more money and the
same amount of prison time if they were caught,” said Salim El Jihad, a Nîmes
resident who leads the local nongovernmental organization Suburban.
The Nimes amphitheatre and Pissevin / Source photos via Getty Images
The National Rally is betting on Nîmes as a symbolic pickup. The race is shaping
up to be a close three-way contest between Communist Vincent Bouget, the
National Rally’s Julien Sanchez and conservative Franck Proust, Nîmes’ deputy
mayor from 2016 to 2020.
Bouget — who is backed by most other left-wing parties, including moderate
forces like the Socialist Party — told POLITICO that while security is shaping
up to be a big theme in the contest, it raises “a broader question around social
structures.”
“What citizens are asking for is more human presence, including public services
and social workers,” Bouget said.
Whoever wins will take the reins from Jean-Paul Fournier, the 80-year-old
conservative mayor who has kept Nîmes on the right without pause for the past
quarter century.
But Fournier’s decision not to seek another term and infighting within his own
party, Les Républicains, have sharply diminished Proust’s chances of victory.
Proust may very well end splitting votes with Julien Plantier, another
right-leaning former deputy mayor, who has the support of Macron’s Renaissance.
Sanchez, meanwhile, is appealing to former Fournier voters with pledges to
bolster local police units and with red scare tactics.
“Jean-Paul Fournier managed to keep this city on the right for 25 years,”
Sanchez said in his candidacy announcement clip. “Because of the stupidity of
his heirs, there’s a strong chance the communists and the far left could win.”
LATEST POLLING: Bouget 28 percent – Sanchez 27 percent- Proust 22 percent
THE LAST GREEN HOPE
That was also a clear swipe at Pierre Hurmic’s main opponent — pro-Macron
centrist Thomas Cazenave — who spent a year as budget minister from 2023 to
2024. | Source photos via Getty Images
BORDEAUX — Everyone loves a Bordeaux red. So can a Green really last in French
wine country?
Pierre Hurmic rode the green wave to Bordeaux city hall during France’s last
nationwide municipal elections in 2020. That year the Greens, which had seldom
held power other than as a junior coalition partner, won the race for mayor in
three of France’s 10 most populous cities — Strasbourg, Lyon and Bordeaux —
along with smaller but noteworthy municipalities including Poitiers and
Besançon.
Six years later, the most recent polling suggests the Greens are on track to
lose all of them.
Except Bordeaux.
Green mayors have faced intense scrutiny over efforts to make cities less
car-centric and more eco-friendly, largely from right-wing opponents who depict
those policies as out of touch with working-class citizens who are priced out of
expensive city centers and must rely on cars to get to their jobs.
The view from Paris is that Hurmic has escaped some of that backlash by being
less ideological and, crucially, adopting a tougher stance on crime than some of
his peers.
Notably, Hurmic decided to arm part of the city’s local police units — departing
from some of his party’s base, which argues that firearms should be reserved for
national forces rather than less-experienced municipal units.
In an interview with POLITICO, Hurmic refused to compare himself to other Green
mayors. He defended his decision to double the number of local police, alongside
those he armed, saying it had led to a tangible drop in crime.
“Everyone does politics based on their own temperament and local circumstances,”
he said.
Hurmic insists that being tough on crime doesn’t mean going soft on climate
change. He argues the Greens’ weak polling wasn’t a backlash against local
ecological policies, pointing to recent polling showing 63 percent of voters
would be “reluctant to vote for a candidate who questions the ecological
transition measures already underway in their municipality.”
Pursuing a city’s transition on issues like mobility and energy is all the more
necessary because at the national level, “the state is completely lacking,”
Hurmic said, pointing to what he described as insufficient investment in recent
budgets.
That was also a clear swipe at his main opponent — pro-Macron centrist Thomas
Cazenave — who spent a year as budget minister from 2023 to 2024.
Cazenave has joined forces with other center-right and conservative figures in a
bid to reclaim a city that spent 73 years under right-leaning mayors, two of
whom served as prime minister — Alain Juppé and Jacques Chaban-Delmas.
But according Ludovic Renard, a political scientist at the Bordeaux Institute of
Political Science, Hurmic’s ascent speaks to how the city has changed.
“The sociology of the city is no longer the same, and Hurmic’s politics are more
in tune with its population,” said Renard.
LATEST POLLING: Hurmic 32 percent – Cazenave 26 percent – Nordine Raymond
(France Unbowed) 15 percent – Julie Rechagneux (National Rally) 13 percent –
Philippe Dessertine (independent) 12 percent
GENTRIFICATION AND THE FUTURE OF THE LEFT
Mayor Karim Bouamrane, a Socialist, has said the arrival of new, wealthier
residents and the ensuing gentrification could be a net positive for the city,
as long as “excellence is shared.” | Bertrand Guay/AFP via Getty Images
SAINT-OUEN-SUR-SEINE — The future of the French left could be decided on the
grounds of the former Olympic village.
The Parisian suburb of Saint-Ouen-sur-Seine, which borders the French capital,
is a case study in the waves of gentrification that have transformed the
outskirts of major European cities. Think New York’s Williamsburg, London’s
Hackney or Berlin’s Neukölln.
Saint-Ouen, as it’s usually called, has long been known for its massive flea
market, which draws millions of visitors each year. But the city, particularly
its areas closest to Paris, was long seen as unsafe and struggled with
entrenched poverty.
The future of the French left could be decided on the grounds of the former
Olympic village. | Mustafa Yalcin/Anadolu via Getty Images
That changed over time, as more affluent Parisians began moving into the
well-connected suburb in search of cheaper rents or property.
A 2023 report from the local court of auditors underlined that “the population
of this rapidly growing municipality … has both a high poverty rate (28 percent)
and a phenomenon of ‘gentrification’ linked to the rapid increase in the
proportion of executives and higher intellectual professions.”
Mayor Karim Bouamrane, a Socialist, has said the arrival of new, wealthier
residents and the ensuing gentrification could be a net positive for the city,
as long as “excellence is shared.”
Bouamrane has also said he would continue pushing for the inclusion of social
housing when issuing building permits, and for existing residents not to be
displaced when urban renewal programs are put in place.
His main challenger, France Unbowed’s Manon Monmirel, hopes to build enough
social housing to make it 40 percent of the city’s total housing stock. She’s
also pledged to crack down on real estate speculation.
The race between the two could shed light on whether the future of the French
left lies in the center or at the extremes.
In Boumrane, the Socialists have a charismatic leader. He is 52 years old, with
a beat-the-odds story that lends itself well to a national campaign. His journey
from child of Moroccan immigrants growing up in a rough part of Saint-Ouen to
city leader certainly caught attention of the foreign press in the run-up to the
Olympics.
Bouamrane’s moderate politics include a push for his party to stop fighting
Macron’s decision to raise the retirement age in 2023 and he supports more
cross-partisan work with the current center-right government.
That approach stands in sharp contrast to the ideologically rigid France
Unbowed. The party’s firebrand leader Mélenchon scored 51.82 percent of the vote
in Saint-Ouen during his last presidential run in 2022, and France Unbowed
landed over 35 percent — more than three times its national average — there in
the European election two years later, a race in which it usually struggles.
Mélenchon and France Unbowed’s campaign tactics are laser-focused on specific
segments that support him en masse despite his divisive nature: a mix of
educated, green-minded young voters and working-class urban populations, often
of immigrant descent.
In other words: the yuppies moving to Saint-Ouen and the people who were their
before gentrification.
France Unbowed needs their continued support to become a durable force, or it
may crumble like the grassroots movements born in the early 2010s, including
Spain’s Podemos or Greece’s Syriza.
But if the Socialists can’t win a left-leaning suburb with a popular incumbent
on the ballot, where can they win?
President Donald Trump’s quest to control Greenland is driving the news — and
this time, it’s not a punchline.
Trump has backed off threats of using force to take the island in favor of what
he calls a framework that will give the U.S. access to the island. And on
Friday, Denmark’s Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said the situation is still
“serious” adding that the Scandinavian nation has “a path that we are in the
process of trying with the Americans. We have always said that we are of course
willing to make an agreement.”
But whether the deal will work remains vague.
Meanwhile, all of this has resulted in a flood of questions in Washington and
abroad about whether Trump’s threats have been strategy, bluster, or something
in between — and the long-term consequences for America’s standing with allies.
We attempt to answer some of the most asked questions about the issue.
What’s Trump’s interest in Greenland all about?
Trump’s obsession with obtaining Greenland — which for decades has been
controlled by U.S. ally Denmark — is ostensibly about keeping Americans safe.
The president and his advisers increasingly describe Greenland as essential to
ensuring American – and even European – security against encroaching threats
from China and Russia.
Why? Greenland sits astride key Arctic sea lanes that are becoming increasingly
navigable as ice melts. It also hosts Pituffik Space Base, a critical U.S.
military installation for missile warning, space surveillance and Arctic
operations. To Trump, Greenland represents leverage: strategic location,
military value and untapped natural resources.
His interest in the island isn’t new. In 2019, Trump publicly floated buying
Greenland, later describing it as “a large real estate deal.”
At the time, it was mostly dismissed as a pipe dream from a mercurial president.
But six years later, the once frivolous threat has alienated European allies and
become one of the administration’s most important goals.
Ian Bremmer, the president of Eurasia Group, a global risk assessment firm in
New York, said that Trump having captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro by
force has made his assertive “Donroe Doctrine” a “brand” — and emboldened him to
take a more hostile posture toward Greenland and European allies.
“He’s all in on having the brand,” said Bremmer, who is in Davos speaking with
European allies. “Now he needs to populate it and have more ornaments on the
tree. There has to be a next thing for the Donroe Doctrine. And Greenland was
that thing.”
Was Trump serious about invading Greenland?
No.
There is no legal or political pathway for the U.S. to seize Greenland without
violating the sovereignty of NATO allies. Doing so would essentially end the
alliance — not to mention violate international law.
Trump and his aides were never seriously contemplating an invasion but refusing
to rule it out publicly was an effort to increase Trump’s negotiating leverage.
In the process, he incensed European leaders, who responded more forcefully than
they ever had to his pressure, sending troops to Greenland for military
exercises and weighing whether to deploy the European Union’s anti-economic
coercion “bazooka” in response to increased Trump’s threat to impose U.S.
tariffs.
“For his first year, Europe has bit its tongue but worked with Trump to keep him
on side,” said Charles Kupchan, a Europe specialist at the Council on Foreign
Relations. “When the president of the United States is threatening to invade a
NATO ally, it’s time for a different approach.”
The stronger response worked. With global markets starting to plummet over fears
of an escalating crisis, Trump finally made clear in his speech to Davos on
Wednesday that he would not look to acquire Greenland with military force.
But Trump’s new assurances have not fully allayed European anger or ongoing
anxieties about a leader known for changing his mind and who has repeatedly
treated force, coercion and brinkmanship as negotiating tools rather than a last
resort.
Trump’s governing style thrives on maximalist threats followed by selective
walk-backs, leaving allies and adversaries alike unsure which statements are
bluster, which are trial balloons and which could harden into policy.
And so with this president, even ideas he claims are off the table, never fully
are.
What does Greenland — and Europe — think about all of this?
They’re pissed.
Greenland is a semi-autonomous, self-governing territory within Denmark, and its
leaders have repeatedly said the island is not for sale. Local officials have
also bristled at rhetoric that treats Greenland as an object rather than a
society of 56,000 people with their own political aspirations, including
long-term independence.
“We are not in the situation where we are thinking that a takeover of the
country might happen overnight,” Greenland’s prime minister, Jens-Frederik
Nielsen, said at a press conference earlier this month. “You cannot compare
Greenland to Venezuela. We are a democratic country.”
At the same time, Greenland’s government welcomes U.S. investment, security
cooperation, and diplomatic engagement — so long as it comes with respect for
Greenlandic autonomy. The Trumpian approach has strained that balance, fueling
local skepticism even as U.S. military and economic ties deepen.
Though Trump has backed off his invasion threats, “the damage was done,” Bremmer
said. “They feel completely disrespected. They feel like Trump treats them with
contempt.”
How’s this playing in America?
The reaction at home has been equally searing. “If there was any sort of action
that looked like the goal was actually landing in Greenland and doing an illegal
taking … there’d be sufficient numbers here to pass a war powers resolution and
withstand a veto,” Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who recently traveled to
Copenhagen, said last week.
Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) called Trump’s Greenland quest “the dumbest thing I’ve
ever heard.”
According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, only 17 percent of Americans support
the effort to acquire Greenland, while 47 percent disapprove and 35 percent
remain unsure.
Is the “framework” deal going to put an end to the effort to take Greenland?
Trump announced in a vague post this week that he and NATO Secretary General
Mark Rutte had agreed to a “framework of a future Arctic deal” on Greenland,
which he described as giving the U.S. significant access to the island.
But Denmark and Greenland have both strongly rejected any notion that
sovereignty is negotiable or that a concrete transfer of control is underway.
Though details are sparse, Trump said the U.S. got “everything we wanted,”
adding that the deal is “infinite” and will last “forever.” He told reporters
he’ll give more clarity on whether Denmark is on board in two weeks.
How does it affect our European alliances?
It reinforces a core anxiety many European allies already have about Trump: U.S.
security commitments can blur into coercion when they collide with his personal
priorities.
“The European leaders believe it is primarily about ego,” Bremmer said. “When
Trump is acting as an individual and not acting on behalf of the country, you
can see how this is going to create conflict. It’s set up to create mistrust and
conflict and undermine the relationship.”
Even as Trump and his advisers insist his hunger for Greenland aligns with NATO
interests, European leaders have warned that questioning a country’s sovereignty
— even rhetorically — crosses a red line.
In joint statements and public remarks, officials in NATO countries have
stressed that Arctic security cooperation does not confer consent over
territory, pushing back on what they see as a dangerous conflation of alliance
coordination and unilateral pressure.
“The American leadership of the transatlantic community was based on mutual
trust, common values and interests, not on domination and coercion,” Polish
Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Friday. “That is why it was accepted by all of
us. Let’s not lose it, dear friends,” adding that is what he conveyed to other
EU leaders on Thursday.
Trump’s Greenland push has only intensified a clear undercurrent of
administration-wide disdain for Europe, articulated over his first year in
office via speeches, social media posts and an official national security
strategy. In the weeks following his renewed Greenland push, Trump has only
further alienated our European allies, claiming NATO has not been in America’s
corner in the past.
“We’ve never needed them,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News on Friday.
“We have never really asked anything of them. You know, they’ll say they sent
some troops to Afghanistan or this or that. And they did. They stayed a little
back, a little off the front lines.”
More than 40 countries following the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks deployed
troops to Afghanistan when the U.S. invoked NATO Article 5 for the first time
ever. At peak years, allied forces made up roughly half of all non-Afghan troops
in the country.
More than 1,100 non-U.S. coalition troops were killed in Afghanistan, alongside
many thousands wounded. Canada alone lost 158 soldiers and the U.K. lost 457.
U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer slammed Trump’s remarks Friday morning.
“I consider President Trump’s remarks to be insulting and frankly appalling,”
Starmer said. “I am not surprised they have caused such hurt to the loved ones
of those who were killed or injured and, in fact, across the country.”
TikTok has closed a $14 billion deal establishing a U.S. subsidiary of the
platform to avoid a ban, the company said Thursday.
The new owners will include the U.S. private equity firm Silver Lake, Abu
Dhabi-based artificial intelligence company MGX and Oracle, a tech giant
co-founded by Larry Ellison, an ally of President Donald Trump. They will each
hold a 15 percent stake in the U.S. joint venture. The deal allows TikTok’s
Beijing-based parent company, ByteDance, to maintain a nearly 20 percent stake.
The Dell Family Office, investment firm of Chair and CEO of Dell Technologies
Michael Dell, is also an investor.
Congress passed a law in April 2024 requiring the sale of TikTok to a U.S. buyer
before Jan. 19, 2025, or banning it, citing national security concerns about the
app’s ties to China. But Trump delayed the ban from taking effect five times
last year while a deal was negotiated to divest the app to American owners.
Trump signed an executive order in September approving the deal and giving the
parties until Friday to formalize the terms.
The deal matches an internal memo distributed by TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew last
month, who said the agreement would be finalized by Thursday.
The U.S. version will operate as an independent entity, governed by a
seven-member board including TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew, Oracle Executive Vice
President Kenneth Glueck, Timothy Dattels, senior adviser of TPG Global; Mark
Dooley, managing director at Susquehanna International Group; Silver Lake Co-CEO
Egon Durban, DXC Technology CEO Raul Fernandez; and David Scott, chief strategy
and safety officer at MGX.
Adam Presser, head of operations and trust and safety at TikTok, will now serve
as CEO of the joint venture.
Trump praised the deal in a Truth Social post Thursday evening.
“I am so happy to have helped in saving TikTok! It will now be owned by a group
of Great American Patriots and Investors, the Biggest in the World, and will be
an important Voice,” Trump wrote.
Trump said in September that Chinese President Xi Jinping had agreed to the
deal, but Chinese officials provided an ambiguous narrative, signaling that any
deal would be a drawn out process. China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said the
country “respects the wishes of enterprises” and welcomes them to reach
“solutions that comply with Chinese laws and regulations and balance interests.”
The president thanked Xi in his Truth Social post “for working with us and,
ultimately, approving the Deal.”
“He could have gone the other way, but didn’t, and is appreciated for his
decision,” Trump wrote.
Trump previously described the deal as a “qualified divestiture,” meaning the
sale would fully sever ByteDance’s control over the platform and therefore make
TikTok legal under the U.S. law.
China hawks on Capitol Hill have championed this issue over national security
concerns and fears that the Chinese-controlled app subjects users to government
surveillance and content manipulation. While they’ve vowed to scrutinize the
potential deal to ensure it adheres to the law, they seemed prepared to accept
Trump’s claim the deal would resolve concerns over national security and
control.
Vice President JD Vance confirmed that the U.S. owners would have control over
the app’s algorithm, which is at the heart of the platform’s success.
“The U.S. company will have control over how the algorithm pushes content to
users and that was a very important part of it,” Vance said during the September
executive order signing in the Oval Office. “We thought it was necessary for the
national security level element of the law.”
According to the company release, the U.S. version will retrain and update the
platform’s algorithm based on U.S. user data. Oracle will control the algorithm
within its U.S. cloud environment.
“President Trump got played by Xi Jinping. He got terrible advice from his staff
on these negotiations. This isn’t the Art of the Deal, it’s the art of the
steal. Xi Jinping can’t believe his luck,” Michael Sobolik, senior fellow at the
right-leaning Hudson Institute and an expert on U.S.-China policy, told
POLITICO.
Elisabeth Braw is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, the author of the
award-winning book “Goodbye Globalization” and a regular columnist for POLITICO.
You may have heard that some unsavory ships have been navigating our waters,
smuggling drugs and other goods, damaging underwater infrastructure and
sometimes just lurking, perhaps conducting surveillance.
Many of these ships turn up in Irish waters, which are home to multiple undersea
cables. But while Ireland has a tiny navy to deal with these unwanted visitors,
it does have another formidable resource that helps keep its waters safe: its
fishermen. And for the sake of national security, let’s hope this shrinking
tribe manages to renew its ranks.
In January 2022, Ireland was facing a terrible dilemma: The Russian Navy had
just announced it was going to hold an exercise in Irish waters. Conducting
wargames in the exclusive economic zones of other countries is legal, but guests
ordinarily ask for permission — and Russia definitely wasn’t a welcome visitor.
Like the rest of Europe, Ireland was gripped with fear that Russia was about to
invade Ukraine and perhaps other countries. Dublin politely asked the Russian
Navy to refrain from holding its exercises, but to no avail. The wargames were
going to take place.
But then the Irish government received assistance from an unexpected source. The
country’s fishermen declared they wouldn’t allow the exercise to happen: “This
is the livelihoods of fishermen and fishing families all around the coastline
here,” announced Patrick Murphy, chief executive of the Irish South and West
Fish Producers Organisation, on RTE radio. “It’s our waters. Can you imagine if
the Russians were applying to go onto the mainland of Ireland to go launching
rockets, how far would they get with that?”
The fishermen, Murphy explained, would take turns fishing around the clock. The
maneuver made it impossible for the Russians to perform their exercises, and
Moscow ended up cancelling the wargames.
The creativity of these gutsy fishermen made global news, but away from the
headlines, they and their colleagues in other countries have long been aiding
national security. In the early hours of Oct. 28, 1981, two Swedish fishermen on
their daily round off the coast of Karlskrona noticed something unusual. They
decided to alert the authorities, and the navy dispatched a vessel. What the
fishermen had spotted turned out to be the U137 — a Soviet nuclear submarine
that had run aground.
The incident demonstrated several things: First, fishermen know their countries’
waters like almost no one else and notice when something is out of the ordinary.
Second, the navy — or the coast guard — can’t be everywhere all the time. And
third, fishermen can perform a vital service to national security by alerting
authorities when something doesn’t look right. The grounded U137 wasn’t a
one-off. In fact, fishermen keep a vigilant eye on their surroundings on behalf
of their compatriots all the time.
Stefano Guidi/Getty Image
Ireland’s large number of undersea cables is the result of the country’s
strategic location at the westernmost end of the north Atlantic and its need for
top-notch connectivity to service its high-tech economy. Indeed, the republic
has marketed its connectivity — and low corporate taxes — so successfully that a
host of U.S. tech firms and other corporate giants have set up European hubs
there.
But its waters cover a vast 880,00 square kilometers. That’s a challenge for the
Irish Naval Service, which has a small fleet of eight patrol vessels, and such a
shortage of sailors that it can’t even crew those few vessels. Despite placing a
few orders for maritime equipment recently, it’s in no position to detect all
the suspicious activity taking place in Ireland’s waters.
That’s where the fishermen come in.
Because they spend so much time at sea — some 200 days in the average year —
they are adept at spotting drug boats or, say, potential saboteurs. When the
authorities detect something unusual, perhaps via radar, they often ask
fishermen what they’ve seen. “People ring us up and say: ‘Did you notice ABC?’,”
Murphy told me. “Then we send them pictures. A lot of fellas send in pictures
and tracking. WhatsApp is very good for this.”
This monitoring, Murphy said, isn’t just a phenomenal alert system. “It’s a
deterrent.”
We’ll never know how many unwelcome visitors that vigilance has deterred. But in
keeping their eyes open, fishermen perform an indispensable service to Irish
security — and it costs the government nothing. As unwanted visitors keep
turning up in our waters, such contributions to national security are becoming
increasingly essential all around Europe.
There’s just one problem: The fishing profession is losing manpower.
In Ireland, the fishing fleet has shrunk from some 400 vessels to just over 100
in the past two decades due to economics, foreign competition, fishing quotas
and maritime regulations. From a security perspective, this continued decline of
Irish — and European — fishermen is dangerous. They’re the best soldiers we
never knew we had.
France will boost its military presence in Greenland in the coming days,
President Emmanuel Macron said Thursday, as U.S. President Donald Trump
continues to ramp up pressure in his bid to annex the Danish territory.
“An initial team of French soldiers is already on site and will be reinforced in
the coming days by land, air and sea assets,” Macron told an audience of top
military brass during his new year address to the armed forces.
“France and Europeans must continue, wherever their interests are threatened, to
be present without escalation, but uncompromising on respect for territorial
sovereignty,” he added, speaking in Istres, an airbase in the south of France
that hosts nuclear-capable warplanes.
On Wednesday, several European nations including France, Germany, Sweden and
Norway said they would send troops to Greenland to participate in a Danish
military exercise, amid repeated threats by Trump that the U.S. could use force
to seize the island.
After a White House meeting on Wednesday, Denmark and Greenland “still have a
fundamental disagreement” with the U.S., Denmark said.
In an obvious jab at Trump, who he didn’t mention by name, Macron criticized “a
new colonialism that is at work among some.” Europeans have the means to be less
dependent on the U.S., he added, revealing that two-thirds of Ukraine’s
intelligence capabilities are now provided by France.
In an address to his Cabinet on Wednesday, Macron warned that if the United
States seized Greenland from Denmark, it would trigger a wave of “unprecedented”
consequences, a government spokesperson said.
The French president convened a defense council meeting Thursday morning to
discuss both the Iranian uprising and the situation in Greenland,
POLITICO reported.
MORE MONEY FOR DEFENSE
Macron started increasing defense spending again as soon as he was elected in
2017, even before Russia’s full-scale attack on Ukraine and NATO’s commitment to
boost budgets.
The French president confirmed that France would seek to increase defense
spending by €36 billion between 2026 and 2030, adding he wants the updated
military planning law to be voted by parliament by July 14. “This decade of
French rearmament is bearing fruit … and rearmament efforts will continue,” he
told the audience.
However, the military planning law has been delayed by France’s spiralling
political crisis. It was initially scheduled for last fall and has already been
put off several times. As well, the €6.7 billion boost for 2026 still hasn’t
been approved by lawmakers, and it’s unclear whether (and when) the government
will manage to convince MPs to pass this year’s budget.
In another jab at Trump, Macron said Paris wasn’t increasing military
expenditures to “please this or that ally, but based on our analysis of the
threat.” That’s a reference to last year’s NATO decision to set a new defense
spending target of 5 percent of GDP — following significant pressure from the
U.S. president.
The three main priorities for France’s spending boost are: to increase munition
stocks; to develop sovereign capabilities in air defense, early warning systems,
space and deep strikes; and to improve the ability of the armed forces to engage
swiftly.
“This year will be a test of credibility in many ways, and we are ready,” Macron
said.
SLAMMING THE DEFENSE INDUSTRY
The French president, who has a history of shaking up the defense industry, also
criticized the country’s military contractors — arguing some of them risked
being “forced out of the market” for slow innovation and deliveries.
“I want to ask even more of you. We need to produce faster, produce in volume,
and further increase mass production with lighter systems and innovative
methods,” Macron said. “I need an industry that does not consider the French
armed forces as a captive customer. We may seek European solutions if they are
faster or more efficient. We too must be more European in our own purchasing and
in our industrial strategies.”
The French state usually buys mostly French military equipment, but Paris is
increasingly opening its wallet to other Europeans, most recently by signing a
deal with Sweden’s Saab to purchase GlobalEye surveillance and control aircraft.
France is also “late” when it comes to drones because French companies didn’t
set up enough partnerships with Ukrainians and are now being overtaken by
rivals, he said.
Although he bashed France’s military industrial complex, Macron did pat Paris on
the back for its long-standing skepticism of relying too much on the U.S. and
its calls for strategic autonomy and a European pillar within NATO.
“What was initially a French conviction in the face of the evolving threat has
become obvious for Europeans,” Macron told the audience. “We were right to
start, even on our own.”
President Donald Trump has linked his desire to own Greenland with the
development of his nascent missile defense shield, Golden Dome.
Except that he doesn’t need to seize the Danish territory to accomplish his
goal.
Golden Dome, Trump’s pricey vision to protect the U.S., is a multi-layered
defense shield intended to block projectiles heading toward the country.
The president announced a $175 billion, three-year plan last year, although gave
few details about how the administration would fund it.
“The United States needs Greenland for the purpose of National Security,” Trump
said Wednesday in a Truth Social post. “It is vital for the Golden Dome we are
building.”
But the country already has the access it needs in Greenland to host
interceptors that could knock down enemy missiles. And the U.S. has other
locations it could place similar defense systems — think New York or Canada — if
many of the interceptors are even based on land, instead of space as envisioned.
“The right way for the U.S. to engage with an ally to improve our homeland
defense — whether through additional radars, communication antennas or even
interceptor sites — is to engage collaboratively with that ally,” said a former
defense official. “If strengthening homeland defense is the actual goal, this
administration is off to a truly terrible start.”
Here are three reasons why Golden Dome has little to do with Trump’s desire to
take Greenland:
HE COULD HAVE JUST ASKED DENMARK
The U.S. military’s presence in Greenland centers on Pituffik Space Base, which
operates under a 1951 defense agreement with Denmark that grants the U.S.
regular access to the island. The base is a key outpost for detecting threats
from the Arctic, although it doesn’t host any interceptor systems.
If the Pentagon wanted to station interceptors or more sensors on the island,
the U.S. could simply work with Denmark to do so, according to the former
official and a defense expert.
Greenland has been part of the U.S. homeland missile defense and space
surveillance network for decades and it would continue that role under Golden
Dome, said Todd Harrison, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
“We already have unfettered access to what we need for Golden Dome in Greenland,
but the president talks as if he’s not aware of that,” Harrison said. “His
statements about Greenland are detached from reality.”
The White House, when asked for comment, pointed to Trump’s post.
HE COULD CHOOSE SOMEWHERE ELSE — THAT THE U.S. OWNS
Greenland could prove a good location for ground-based interceptors that block
missiles launching from Russia and the Middle East towards the U.S. But the U.S.
has other options for interceptor locations, and none would necessitate taking
another country (a seizure that could threaten to destroy the NATO alliance).
The Pentagon has examined potential locations for interceptor sites and Fort
Drum, an Army base in upstate New York, has routinely survived deep dive
analysis by the Missile Defense Agency, said the former defense official, who,
like others interviewed, was granted anonymity to speak about internal
discussions.
“Compared to Fort Drum, Greenland does not appear to be a better location for
such interceptors,” the person said.
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Ala.) has also said his state could play a “critical role”
in housing interceptors.
MUCH OF THE DEFENSE SHIELD IS SUPPOSED TO BE BASED IN SPACE
Trump’s assertion about needing Greenland for Golden Dome also raises questions
about what the multibillion-dollar architecture will actually look like. The
Pentagon has largely avoided discussing the price tag publicly.
And officials originally envisioned most of it located above the Earth. A key
part of Golden Dome is space-based interceptors — weapons orbiting the planet
that can shoot down incoming missiles.
But moving missile defense systems to space would require fewer ground-based
systems, negating the importance of acquiring more land for the effort.
“If Golden Dome’s sensor network and defenses are primarily space-based — as per
the current plan — Greenland might still be of value,” said a former defense
official. “But less so than it would be for terrestrial architecture.”
PARIS — Europe and the U.S. presented a united front for Ukraine in Paris on
Tuesday, hailing security guarantees with American backing and laying out a
detailed plan for bolstering Kyiv long-term.
In a notable show of support, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Donald Trump’s
son-in-law Jared Kushner praised European work to hash out a plan that would
provide a security guarantee to ongoing peace talks with Russia.
“We have largely finished the security protocols,” said Witkoff, standing
alongside the leaders of France, Germany, the U.K. and Ukraine at the Elysée
Palace. “This is important so that when this war ends, it ends forever,” he
added, after praising Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and his
“outstanding team.”
Europeans, Americans and Ukrainians had agreed on “robust” security guarantees
for Ukraine, French President Emmanuel Macron said.
Those guarantees include the U.S.-led monitoring of a ceasefire and the
deployment of a multinational force in Ukraine in case of a peace deal with
Russia, according to the joint statement put out by the so-called coalition of
the willing — a loose group of Ukraine allies that doesn’t include Washington.
Security guarantees are “the key to ensuring that a peace agreement can never
mean a Ukrainian surrender and that a peace agreement can never mean a new
threat to Ukraine,” Macron said.
But the upbeat declarations in Paris will not allay the doubts swirling over the
U.S. commitment to supporting Ukraine and the European continent. While it was
initially hoped that Washington would commit to a joint statement on the
security guarantees, the final declaration was ultimately only signed by the
coalition of the willing.
Details of American participation in the multinational force for Ukraine were
removed from an earlier draft, seen by POLITICO. That version had stipulated the
U.S. would commit to “support the force if it is attacked” and assist with
intelligence and logistics.
Leaders also did not want to be drawn on the credibility of U.S. commitments in
the wake of the capture by U.S. forces of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro
and President Donald Trump’s threat to seize Greenland.
Europeans, Americans and Ukrainians had agreed on “robust” security guarantees
for Ukraine, French President Emmanuel Macron said. | Ludovic Marin/Getty Images
Witkoff refused to comment on Greenland, instead turning his focus to Kyiv and
insisting that Trump “strongly stands behind security protocols.”
“The president does not back down from his commitments … we will be there for
Ukraine,” he said.
Responding to a question on Washington’s credibility, Zelenskyy said the
security guarantees must be backed by the U.S. Congress. “We are counting a lot
on that, the documents are ready,” he said.
A PLAN FOR UKRAINE
The statement from Kyiv’s European allies says they stand ready to commit to
“legally binding” security guarantees to support Ukraine in the event of a peace
deal with Russia.
Crucially, the monitoring and verification of a future ceasefire would be led by
the U.S., with contributions from countries including the U.K. and Germany.
The plan also sets out security guarantees that would include long-term support
for the Ukrainian armed forces, the deployment of a European-led multinational
force in Ukraine in case of a peace settlement, and “binding” commitments to
support Ukraine should there be a future Russian attack.
“The coalition of the willing declaration for a solid and lasting peace … for
the first time recognizes an operational convergence between the 35 countries,
Ukraine and the U.S. to build robust security guarantees,” Macron told
reporters. Washington will participate in those guarantees, including with the
“backstop” that Europeans wanted, he added.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said that after a ceasefire, the U.K. and
France will set up military hubs across Ukraine and “build protected facilities
for weapons and military equipment to support Ukraine’s defense needs.”
France, the U.K. and Ukraine signed a separate declaration on Tuesday laying out
these commitments.
The European-led multinational force will cover land, air and sea and will be
stationed in Western Ukraine, far from the contact line, Macron said. France and
the U.K. have previously said they would be willing to put boots on the ground —
but most other coalition members, including Germany, have so far shied away from
joining that commitment.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Berlin was open to deploying its troops in
a neighboring NATO country that would act in case of Russian aggression. | Tom
Nicholson/Getty Images
Other nations have suggested deploying aircraft based in neighboring NATO
countries to monitor Ukrainian skies, and Turkey has agreed to lead the
coalition’s maritime segment to secure the Black Sea.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Berlin was open to deploying its troops in
a neighboring NATO country that would act in case of Russian aggression, telling
reporters “we are not ruling anything out.” But he stressed that the final
decision would be up to Germany’s parliament.
“I will only make proposals to the Bundestag once there is a ceasefire and the
coalition of the willing has agreed on the procedure to be followed,” he told
reporters. “The prerequisite is a ceasefire.”
Some European countries, however, remain reluctant to deploy military assets in
a post-war Ukraine. Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis repeated that
Greece will not participate in a European military force in Ukraine. However,
Greek government officials said Mitsotakis has not ruled out other forms of
assistance, such as in maritime surveillance.
Nektaria Stamouli contributed reporting.
The Netherlands has pulled out of U.S.-led counter-drug missions in the
Caribbean, a reaction to the rising death toll from American military attacks on
vessels suspected of being used to smuggle narcotics.
Speaking Monday evening in Aruba, Defense Minister Ruben Brekelmans said Dutch
forces would continue drug interdiction within Dutch territorial waters, but
would not take part in U.S. operations on the high seas linked to Operation
Southern Spear.
The operation, launched in September, has killed more than 100 people in over 20
attacks on boats that the U.S. says were ferrying drugs.
“We have worked together with the Americans on counter-narcotics for many years,
but in a different way,” Brekelmans said. “When we see drug smuggling, we try to
arrest and prosecute those responsible. Not by shooting ships.”
The move was first reported by the Dutch daily Trouw.
The decision marks a break with past practice.
For years, the Netherlands, which controls six islands in the Caribbean,
cooperated closely with the United States and other partners in the region,
including through the Joint Interagency Task Force South. Dutch defense forces
and the coast guard worked with U.S. counterparts on surveillance, interdiction,
arrests and extraditions.
What has changed, Brekelmans said, is the method adopted by the Donald Trump
administration.
“Outside our territorial waters, we see that the Americans have now chosen a
national route again,” he said. “The method and the operation the United States
is carrying out now, they are really doing that themselves. We are not
participating in that.”
The move comes amid heightened tensions after the United States used military
force to detain Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro and escalate pressure on
Caracas, prompting international criticism over violations of sovereignty and
international law.
Brekelmans said Dutch defense planners were closely watching developments
between Washington and Caracas, but stressed there is currently no military
threat from Venezuela toward the Dutch Caribbean islands.
“We must always be prepared for different scenarios,” he said, noting that
rising tensions can affect airspace and regional stability. “But you also have
to look realistically at what the actual threats are.”
Brekelmans made clear the Netherlands would not provide facilities, helicopters
or other support if requested for Southern Spear. “If it is part of that
operation, then that is not something we agree to,” he said. “For this
operation, we are not making our facilities available.”
CNN reported in November that London had suspended some intelligence sharing
with the United States after Washington began launching lethal strikes on boats
in the Caribbean.