LONDON — Victory is finally in sight for the Bank of England. But rate cuts
aren’t.
It’s taken Britain’s central bank longer to bring inflation under control than
any of its peers on the global stage, but on Thursday economists expect
forecasts to show that inflation in the U.K. will return to the government’s 2
percent target within the next two years, having overshot it for almost all of
the last four.
The pound surged to its highest level against the dollar in five years last
month, as global confidence in the anchor of the world’s financial system
appeared to fray due to the news flow out of the U.S.
But there will be little else to set the pulse racing: Financial market
participants are almost unanimous in expecting no change in the Bank rate from
its current 3.75 percent.
Even the extraordinary events of January, which saw the U.S. seize Venezuelan
leader Nicolas Maduro and U.S. President Donald Trump threaten military force
against his NATO allies over Greenland, seem unlikely to induce a shift in the
Bank’s communication about the U.K.’s economic outlook.
Extrapolating how these seismic events will translate into the U.K. economy has
been hard. One of the more hawkish members of the Bank’s Monetary Policy
Committee, Megan Greene, argued in a speech last month that while a stronger
pound should help keep the cost of imports down, it could easily be offset by
other factors, especially if the U.S. Federal Reserve were to be pressured by
the White House into cutting U.S. interest rates more aggressively.
Greene argued the MPC should focus on what is in its power to control. Here, the
Bank is facing a familiar conundrum: growth is sluggish and unemployment is
trending higher, but inflation is coming down — even if painfully slowly — and
most business surveys suggest wage growth will continue to outstrip what is
justified by productivity.
Headline inflation ticked up again in December to 3.4 percent, still far above
the 2 percent target. The latest data suggest that the economy is still more or
less ticking along, growing at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the three months
through November.
STILL ‘GRADUAL AND CAUTIOUS’
The narrow vote by the MPC to cut the Bank rate to 3.75 percent from 4 percent
at its last meeting in December — and the unwavering message from the Bank that
it will take a “gradual and cautious” approach to easing policy — means the
committee will stay put on Thursday, according to Deutsche Bank economist Sanjay
Raja.
UBS economist Anna Titareva, meanwhile, reckons the vote will be split, with
both Governor Andrew Bailey and Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden capable of voting
again for a cut alongside Alan Taylor and Swati Dhingra, the two external
members most concerned about the risks of a slowdown and an accompanying rise in
joblessness. But that scenario would still leave Bailey in the minority against
the remaining five of nine members in the committee.
Most analysts still expect the Bank to cut interest rates twice this year.
Inflation is set to fall from April as Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ decision to
strip green levies off energy bills causes a drop in final prices for
electricity.
Deutsche’s Raja expects cuts in March and again in June, but says rates are
unlikely to fall any further after that.
Tag - Unemployment
German industrial giant Bosch on Friday confirmed plans to cut 20,000 jobs after
profits nearly halved last year, underlining the mounting strain on Germany’s
once-dominant manufacturing sector and increasing the pressure on politicians in
Berlin to find a solution.
Official data released Friday also showed Germany’s unemployment rate,
unadjusted for seasonal factors, rising to 6.6 percent — the highest level in
twelve years. The number of unemployed people surpassed three million in
January.
“Economic reality is also reflected in our results,” Bosch CEO Stefan Hartung
said, describing 2025 as “a difficult and, in some cases, painful year” for the
company, which is a leading supplier of parts for cars.
The move lands amid a deepening slump in the country’s automotive industry, long
the backbone of German manufacturing. The sector has been shedding jobs rapidly:
A 2025 study by EY found that more than 50,000 automotive positions were cut in
Germany last year alone.
Germany’s automotive downturn has become a wider political test for the
government in Berlin and Europe more widely. Once the economy’s crown jewel, the
industry is now being challenged by current policy on electric vehicles, energy
costs and aggressive competition from Chinese manufacturers.
As suppliers weaken, the risk is shifting from lower profits to a lasting loss
of competitiveness. With layoffs rising and investment decisions being delayed,
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s government is coming under growing pressure from
workers, unions and industry leaders to rethink Germany’s industrial strategy —
as doubts spread domestically and across Europe about the country’s ability to
remain an economic powerhouse.
Europe isn’t doomed to inexorable decline — and in fact is doing better than
most people realize, said the IMF’s Kristalina Georgieva.
Much of the European Union’s policymaking bubble has been gripped with despair
since the bloc’s weakness was exposed during a recent confrontation with the
U.S. over Greenland.
While U.S. President Donald Trump eventually backed down, the European military
response — sending a symbolic handful of soldiers to the North Atlantic island —
underlined that had the White House really wanted to seize Greenland, Europeans
would have had no choice but to accede.
But in an interview with POLITICO, Georgieva, managing director of the
International Monetary Fund, said the pessimism was misplaced.
In an end-of-year shortlist of top-performing economies put together by the
Economist, she noted, the top 10 included seven EU countries, with Portugal in
the top spot. The Iberian economy has recorded steady growth while comfortably
paying down its debt in the past few years.
That’s a fact, she said, that should be celebrated.
“Europeans — we are modest people. We don’t brag,” the IMF head stated.
She recalled how a U.S. colleague had recently done “something marginal.”
“He said ‘oh, let’s look at this. I’m great. I’m fantastic,’” Georgieva
recounted. “In Europe you do something great and you say ‘not too bad.’ In this
world we are in now, you have to brag a little, exude confidence.”
Even before the Greenland standoff, a sense of despair had settled over the top
echelons of European economic decision-making. Mario Draghi, former head of the
European Central Bank, warned that the bloc faced “slow agony” if it didn’t
reform.
Georgieva acknowledged the increasingly sharp-elbowed way in which countries now
operate — one that leaves little room for multilateral organizations like her
own IMF. In a speech earlier on Monday she acknowledged that the world had
become “multipolar” — code for a new era of jostling geopolitical blocs that has
replaced unilateral American dominance.
Speaking to POLITICO, Georgieva said that “geopolitical factors play an
increasingly bigger role in defining the world economy.” On Greenland, she said
the fact that “allies find it more difficult to retain their sense of common
purpose” was a “significant change.”
But she insisted that the “destiny of Europe is in the hands of Europeans.” The
IMF’s list of advice to reform the EU’s economy echoes Draghi’s own, contained
in his competitiveness report from 2024: They include strengthening the single
market, cutting regulations on businesses, and integrating the continent’s
fragmented energy and financial systems.
Mario Draghi, former head of the European Central Bank, warned that the bloc
faced “slow agony” if it didn’t reform. | Olivier Matthys/EPA
Georgieva said it was “paramount” for the EU to press ahead with reform. “Get
your own house in order,” she said.
Three of the Economist shortlist’s best-performing countries — Ireland, Portugal
and Greece — were put under IMF supervision at the height of the eurozone
crisis. There, they had to agree to painful adjustments known as structural
reform programs, which included tax hikes and brutal cuts to public services. In
the case of Greece in particular, those structural reforms resulted in a sharp
increase in unemployment and poverty levels; gross domestic product per capita
is still not at its pre-crisis level.
But, said Georgieva, their current success is proof that countries, and the EU
as a whole, can change their economic trajectories.
Asked whether Europe should consider retaliating against U.S. aggression by
selling off assets like government bonds, a suggestion included in a recent
analyst report from Deutsche Bank, the senior official urged caution.
“I would say that the smooth functioning of the international monetary system is
of value to all countries,” she said. “Disturbing that smooth functioning of the
international monetary system with the same token can bring negative impact.”
The Bulgarian boss of the Washington, D.C.-based fund did, however, back a
deeper pool of joint EU debt — an idea favored by Draghi but regarded with
suspicion by frugal countries like Germany and the Netherlands.
As for the disbursement of $8.1 billion in IMF funds to Ukraine to help the
country meet its financing needs, Georgieva said she was aiming to hold an IMF
board meeting in the second half of `February at which the board could approve
the program and start paying out funds. Though the amount is relatively small —
less than a tenth of the €90 billion that the EU has agreed to lend to Ukraine —
IMF approval is a signal of confidence for financial markets.
The IMF chief also said that a meeting “is scheduled” with U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the situation in Venezuela, and that it would
happen in the “nearest future.”
The IMF stopped working with Venezuela in 2019. The fund estimates that the
South American country’s economy, battered by U.S. sanctions and plagued by
mismanagement, has shrunk to a third of its previous largest size. Since the
U.S. captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro at the start of the year, it
has floated the possibility of allowing Venezuela to access IMF financing again.
Prime minister’s questions: a shouty, jeery, very occasionally useful advert for
British politics. Here’s what you need to know from the latest session in
POLITICO’s weekly run-through.
What they sparred about: The year that was. Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Tory
Leader Kemi Badenoch’s last hurrah of 2025 saw everyone’s favorite duo row about
the turkey Labour’s record over the last 12 months — and who caused the
nightmare before Christmas.
Pull the other one: Badenoch wished everyone a festive break in the season of
goodwill — but then the gloves came off. She raised the PM’s own frustration at
pulling levers but struggling to get change (Labour’s favorite word). “Does he
blame himself or the levers?” Cutting. Starmer used the free airtime to rattle
through his achievements, stressing “I’ve got a whole list … I could go on for a
very long time.” Comparisons to Santa write themselves.
Jobbing off: “The Prime Minister promised economic growth, but the only thing
that’s grown is his list of broken promises,” Badenoch hit back. This list
analogy was really gaining momentum. She lambasted rising unemployment under
Labour, yet the PM was able to point to lower inactivity under his watch and, of
course, mentioned the boost of falling inflation this morning.
Backhanded compliment: Starmer, no doubt desperate for a rest, used the imminent
break to “congratulate” Badenoch for breaking a record on the number of Tories
defecting to Reform UK. “The question is who’s next,” he mused, enjoying the
chance to focus on the Conservatives’ threat to their right, rather than
Labour’s troubles to its left.
Clucking their tongues: Outraged at her Shadow Cabinet getting called
non-entities, Badenoch kept the seasonal attacks going by labeling the Cabinet a
“bunch of turkeys.” She said Starmer was no longer a caretaker PM but the
“undertaker prime minister.” Bruising stuff.
Last orders: Amid all the metaphorical tinsel and bells of holly, Starmer
adopted a lawyerly tone on Labour’s support for pubs (even though many greasy
spoons have banned Labour MPs) and condemned ongoing industrial action by
resident doctors. But the Tory leader went out on (possibly) a new low by
arguing Starmer “doesn’t have the baubles” to ban medical staff from striking
and said all Labour MPs want “is a new leader.”
Grab the mince pies: The prime minister’s speechwriters clearly did their
homework with Starmer, not a natural on the humor front, comparing the Tories to
“The Muppets Christmas Carol” and joking that all the defections meant Badenoch
would be “left Home Alone.”
Penalty shootout: Hold the homepage — PMQs actually delivered a news line. The
PM confirmed the government issued a licence to transfer to Ukraine £2.5 billion
of Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich’s cash from his sale of Chelsea football
club. Starmer told Abramovich to “pay up now,” or he’d be taken to court.
Teal bauble: The end-of-year vibes allowed Starmer to deploy a festive jibe of
advice to Reform UK: “If mysterious men from the East appear bearing gifts, this
time, report it to the police!” Labour just won’t let ex-Reform UK Leader in
Wales Nathan Gill’s conviction for pro-Russian bribery go. Even Nigel Farage,
sat up above in the VIP public gallery, had a chuckle, admitting “that’s quite
funny” to nearby hacks.
Helpful backbench intervention of the week: Tipton and Wednesbury MP Antonia
Bance commended the government’s efforts to support the West Midlands by
striking the U.S. trade deal, ripping into Reform. The PM just couldn’t resist
another attack line against his party’s main opponent.
Totally unscientific scores on the doors: Starmer 8/10. Badenoch 5/10. The final
PMQs exchange was never going to be a serious exchange, given the opportunity to
make Christmas gags. The Tory leader followed a scattergun approach,
highlighting the various broken promises, but none landed a blow. The PM,
doubtless relieved to bag a few weeks away from the interrogation, brushed them
off and used his pre-scripted lines to deliver a solid concluding performance.
The Bank of England is set to cut interest rates on Thursday, after
lower-than-expected inflation figures and signs of a weakening jobs market.
Headline inflation slowed to 3.2 percent in November, from 3.6 in October, the
Office for National Statistics said on Wednesday. That was the lowest since
March and a much clearer drop than predicted by analysts, who had forecast a
rate of 3.5 percent.
“A cut tomorrow should be a no-brainer, with another to follow in February,”
Peel Hunt chief economist Kallum Pickering said via social media, pointing to
“No growth since summer, a labor market that is rapidly cooling, and a big
downside surprise to inflation across the board in November.”
The news comes only a day after labor market data from the ONS showed the
unemployment rate rising to its highest level in over four years in October.
The economy has struggled for growth in the second half of this year, after a
sugar rush in the first quarter in which exporters rushed to get their goods to
the U.S. before President Donald Trump could impose trade tariffs. The hangover
from that — and the lingering uncertainty over the global economic outlook
caused by Trump’s trade policy — has been severe.
But at the same time, an unwelcome rise in inflation has stopped the Bank of
England from cutting interest rates more quickly to support the economy. A raft
of hikes in government- controlled prices such as energy bills and rail fares
meant that inflation was rising for much of the year, leading it to peak at 3.8
percent in September. That was also partly due to companies passing on increases
in labor costs due to a 6.7 percent hike in the National Living Wage and an
increase in employers’ National Insurance contributions.
Panmure Liberum chief economist Simon French said the wide range of goods and
services now showing softening price trends showed that demand is now so weak
that companies are having to absorb those price increases themselves instead.
The government will be particularly relieved to have seen politically sensitive
food prices, which have been a constant bugbear for the last couple of years,
making the biggest contribution to the slowdown in inflation in November. Prices
for clothing and footwear and for discretionary services such as restaurants and
hotels also fell slightly.
“As Christmas gifts go, this is a most welcome one,” said Danni Hewson, head of
financial analysis at AJ Bell. “It’s the time of year when people put a few more
things in their supermarket trolley, so news that food and alcohol inflation has
fallen will be a boon for cash-strapped families.”
The Bank has consistently said that inflation would fall once those factors
passed out of the annual calculations, given that the underlying weakness of the
economy. However, with the worst bout of inflation in half a century still fresh
in everyone’s minds, it has been forced to keep the pace of policy easing
“gradual and cautious”.
Peel Hunt’s Pickering said that the scale of the slowdown could be enough to
have some members of the Monetary Policy Committee voting for a half-point cut
in the Bank Rate to 3.5 percent on Thursday. However, the consensus remains for
a quarter-point cut to 3.75 percent.
The pound still fell over half a cent against the dollar in response to the
numbers, as traders penciled in more scope for easing next year, while the
government’s borrowing costs in the bond market also fell.
BERLIN — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz urged Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy to curb the flow of young Ukrainian men to Germany and ensure they
stay to defend their country.
“In a lengthy telephone conversation today, I asked the Ukrainian president to
ensure that young men in particular from Ukraine do not come to Germany in large
numbers — in increasing numbers — but that they serve their country,” Merz said
Thursday. “They are needed there.”
His comments come amid growing concerns in Germany — particularly within Merz’s
conservative ranks — that public support for the Ukrainian cause could wane if
young male Ukrainians are seen to be avoiding military service by coming to
Germany.
Following the relaxation of Ukrainian exit rules over the summer, the number of
young Ukrainian men aged 18 to 22 entering Germany rose from 19 per week in
mid-August to between 1,400 and 1,800 per week in October, according to German
media reports citing the German interior ministry.
Markus Söder, Bavaria’s conservative premier and an ally of Merz, proposed
restrictions on the EU’s so-called Temporary Protection Directive if Kyiv
doesn’t voluntarily reduce arrivals. The rules provide Ukrainians with an
automatic protected status.
Germany is one of Ukraine’s staunchest allies within the EU. The country has
hosted over 1.2 million Ukrainian refugees since Russia’s full-scale invasion in
2022 and is its biggest donor in military aid after the U.S. in absolute
numbers.
Members of Merz’s ruling coalition fear that the growing presence of young
Ukrainian men in Germany will be turned into a political flash point by members
of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, who criticize the
government’s ongoing support for Kyiv.
The ascending AfD, now polling first, has long demanded a stop to welfare
payments to Ukrainians. Around 490,000 Ukrainian citizens of working age receive
long-term unemployment benefits in Germany, according to data from the country’s
employment agency.
Merz’s coalition — which is under increasing fiscal pressure and generally wants
to reduce welfare spending — is working on a draft law that would cut the right
to such benefits for Ukrainians and encourage work.
“In Germany, the transfer payments for these refugees will be such that the
incentives to work are greater than the incentives in the transfer system,” Merz
said Thursday.
In the same phone conversation, Merz also urged Zelenskyy to sort out the
country’s corruption problems as Kyiv faces the fallout of a massive scandal
involving kickbacks — another development that German officials fear could
undermine public support for the embattled country.
PARIS — Emmanuel Macron was on a plane to Egypt when France faced the most
serious crisis of his time in office.
So why did the French president leave the country early Monday morning while
there was such uncertainty at home?
The answer, according to several current and former French officials, was to
ensure his legacy.
With fewer than 20 months left in the Elysée Palace, Macron is laser-focused on
cementing his place in the history books — and believes he’s earned that
distinction for his work in the Middle East, they said.
The French president wasn’t going to miss his chance to be there for Monday’s
peace summit in the Egyptian resort of Sharm el-Sheik, even with his house on
fire and irrespective of it forcing his twice hand-picked prime minister,
Sébastien Lecornu, to push back presenting his draft budget by a day, nearly
missing the deadline.
French officials in recent days have been working hard to craft a narrative that
the Gaza peace plan pushed by U.S. President Donald Trump was triggered by
Macron’s own proposal and his lead role in pushing for recognition of
Palestinian statehood at the United Nations General Assembly last month.
That’s why Macron really wanted to make it to the summit in Egypt, said a
government adviser who, like others quoted in this piece, was granted anonymity
to speak candidly. An ally of Lecornu said the president was “very, very
focused” on Gaza.
The French political system is designed so that the president can represent the
country on the world stage while the prime minister looks after matters at home.
But these are exceptional circumstances in France, with Lecornu resigning after
just 14 hours before being reappointed and some politicians even speculating
that Macron might not even see out his time in office.
At first sight, Macron appears to be following in the footsteps of former
presidents, such as François Mitterrand and Jacques Chirac, who pivoted to the
international stage in the later years of their terms after losing their
parliamentary majorities.
But Macron hasn’t let go of domestic policy. Unlike his predecessors, he isn’t
adopting a “hands-off attitude,” said an early Macron backer.
“Macron has become very attentive to his European and international visibility,”
said a former French official. “It’s what he’s got left to give himself the
impression that he still has influence.”
At first sight, Macron appears to be following in the footsteps of former
presidents. | Joel Saget/AFP via Getty Images
CHARM IN SHARM
The Elysée last week went into lobbying mode, ramping up briefings with
academics and journalists to drive home that Macron had been key to the success
of Trump’s peace plan.
“The Elysée’s priority was to spread the idea that their plan was very useful,”
said a former diplomat, referencing the Franco-Saudi roadmap to end the war in
Gaza.
At the U.N. General Assembly last month, Macron risked drawing U.S. and Israeli
ire with his push for Palestinian statehood, which was followed by close to a
dozen Western states doing the same. His speech on the U.N. stage drew
comparisons in Paris with other occasions when France stood up to Washington, in
particular former Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin’s landmark 2003 address
rejecting Washington’s march to war in Iraq.
While in Egypt, Macron played carefully with the optics of power, of which he is
an astute reader, to avoid being seen as playing second fiddle to Trump. He
chose not to stand on the podium behind the U.S. president, instead sitting with
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Middle Eastern leaders, a move that
was noted by Trump.
Talking to reporters on the sidelines of the summit, Macron spoke about the
efforts needed to keep the ceasefire in Gaza alive and the contribution France
could make.
Asked about national politics, he presented himself as “the guarantor of French
institutions,” but could not help but lash out at opposition parties for trying
to destabilize his prime minister.
WINNING THE BATTLE, LOSING THE WAR
Many officials say the French president is trying to remain above the fray. But
there are several explanations as to why he’s doing so that go beyond the legacy
argument.
Some attribute it to the Jupiterian strategy of shrouding his office in
mystique, communicating in grand gestures, and refusing to sully himself with
the mudslinging of domestic politics.
One government official said Macron is “probably letting tensions dial down” and
he is remaining silent to protect the institutional checks and balances of the
French state.
Macron has cycled through centrist and center-right prime ministers in the past
year. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
Others say the silence is strategic, even magnanimous. They say the president
recognizes just how unpopular he is — a recent poll put his approval rating at
14 percent — and is trying to prevent his allies from being tarnished by his
political toxicity.
But Macron never really lets go of anything.
In his meeting with opposition parties last week, Macron made it very clear who
calls the shots when, according to a presidential aide, he offered to partially
delay his flagship pension law, which pushed back the age of retirement to 64
from 62 for most workers.
Macron has cycled through centrist and center-right prime ministers in the past
year to fend off challenges to that law and other achievements such as his tax
cuts.
Many saw his decision to reappoint the loyal Lecornu, just days after he
resigned in the aftermath of his 14-hour government, as the sharpest example of
his dogged refusal to hand over power despite his camp losing last summer’s snap
election.
Macron ended up being forced to sell off the crown jewel he had jealously been
guarding, the pensions reform, at least for now. Lecornu announced Tuesday that
he would freeze the law raising the retirement age until 2027, in order to
secure support from the Socialist Party and survive a no-confidence vote on
Thursday.
Macron might yet save his pensions reform as there are doubts swirling that the
suspension might not pass through parliament.
But fighting tooth and nail to ensure his legacy might also destroy it if Macron
can’t secure the future of his centrist movement and his potential successors,
such as former prime ministers and likely presidential candidates Edouard
Philippe and Gabriel Attal.
Macron’s handling of the current crisis will almost certainly affect the
campaign of any centrist trying to stop Marine Le Pen, or someone else from the
far-right National Rally, from winning the presidency.
“What image are we projecting? We’re in favor of pension reform, and then we
give up. It’s not clear,” said the Lecornu ally quoted above.
“The only one who appears to know what she represents is Marine Le Pen,” they
said. “She has a populist message, but it’s simple and consistent: This circus
must stop.”
Pauline de Saint Remy and Giorgio Leali contributed reporting.
Factory workers, cashiers and hotel staff in Greece could soon be working longer
shifts, with the country set to become the first EU member to officially
introduce a 13-hour workday for the private sector.
Parliament is set to vote on the controversial legislation on Wednesday, amid
planned nationwide protest rallies. Despite growing pushback from unions and
opposition parties, the bill is expected to pass comfortably with the votes of
the ruling New Democracy party.
Since taking power in 2019, the center-left government has transformed the
country’s labor market into what it hails as one of the most “flexible” in
Europe. Starting in July 2024, employees in industry, retail, agriculture and
some service sectors can be asked to work a new six-day schedule, with an extra
40 percent paid on top of their regular wage for the sixth working day. The
move, a shift against a trend toward shorter working weeks in some European
countries, was deemed necessary due to Greece’s aging and shrinking population
and a major shortage of skilled workers.
Greece was gripped by a general strike on Tuesday, the second this month, as
unions demanded the withdrawal of the new legislation. Most public transport and
public services were brought to a standstill amid mass protests.
“Flexible working hours” in practice means “the abolition of the eight-hour
workday, the destruction of every concept of family and social life and the
legalization of overexploitation,” the public sector union, ADEDY, said in a
statement.
The new legislation stipulates that employees can work up to 13 hours per day on
no more than 37.5 days per year, with a maximum limit of 48 hours per week,
based on a four-month average and maximum overtime of 150 hours. But the 40-hour
workweek continues to be the rule, and overtime in general is to be better
compensated, with a 40 percent bonus.
The 13-hour workday should be voluntary with no employee obliged to work
overtime, the Labor Ministry has said. But unions have argued that employers
have the upper hand in this negotiation, particularly in a country with almost
no tradition of workplace inspections.
The legislation would also introduce an option for annual leave to be fragmented
into more than two parts throughout the year, flexible weekly schedules, two-day
contracts and fast-track hiring via an app, all in order to fulfill “urgent
company needs,” the draft legislation says.
Greece’s economy has rebounded since its decade-long financial crisis, which
started with the 2009 debt crisis and was followed by three bailout programs
that lasted until 2018. The unemployment rate, which during the crisis reached a
staggering 28 percent, was at 8.1 percent in August, the latest month for which
figures available. The EU average stood at 5.9 percent.
However, there has been no convergence with the EU on the rest of the data:
Salaries remain among the lowest in the bloc, which means many Greeks are forced
to work two jobs to cover the soaring cost of living, in particular high housing
costs. The country is second to last in the EU when it comes to purchasing
power, with nearly half of households unable to afford basic necessities,
according to a 2024 report by the European Committee of Social Rights.
One in five Greeks works more than 45 hours a week, the highest rate in the
European Union, according to Eurostat data published earlier this month.
According to OECD data, Greece ranked fifth worldwide in terms of annual working
hours in 2023, behind only Colombia, Mexico, Costa Rica and Chile.
NEW LABOR RULES WILL GIVE ‘BOOST TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR’
Labor Minister Niki Kerameus of the New Democracy Party strongly supports the
new legislation, arguing that it “gives a boost to the private sector” and
“strengthens the employees.”
“The expression ’13-hour workday’ implies that we will all work 13 hours every
day, all year round. Is this true? Can it happen every day? No, is the answer.
It can happen up to 37 days a year, or three days a month. Secondly, it requires
the employee’s agreement,” she told Skai TV in an interview on Tuesday.
Kerameus has repeatedly stressed that an employee cannot be laid off for
refusing to accept the new rules, added that with unemployment levels at a
“17-year low […], you can understand how much this strengthens the position of
the employee.”
But opponents of the new law, including Dimitrios Mantzos, a lawmaker with the
main opposition socialist Pasok party, called out the government in parliament
on Tuesday for deregulating labor relations, heightening job insecurity and
disrupting work-life balance.
“The mere fact that we are here discussing such a bill is unacceptable, it is
shameful, it is backward,” said Efi Achtsioglou, an MP with the New Left party.
“It is unthinkable that in 2025 we are still debating whether to legislate a
13-hour work day.”
Labor market experts have said the move would legalize labor rights violations
that have been committed by employers in terms of overtime work and will lead to
burnout and increased accidents. The legislation has been repeatedly condemned
by employee representatives.
“These regulations exacerbate job insecurity and reinforce the model of flexible
and unprotected work,” Greece’s main private sector union, the Greek General
Confederation of Labour, said in a letter to Kerameus in late September.
BERLIN — Germany’s coalition government agreed on measures to revamp the
country’s ailing economy after hours-long negotiations that lasted into early
Thursday.
Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservative alliance and the center-left Social
Democratic Party (SPD) have been under pressure to come up with a plan to
deliver on the sweeping reforms and a rapid turnaround in the country’s economic
mood that they promised since taking office in May.
Following two straight years of economic contraction, the government expects
growth of 0.2 percent in the current year and an acceleration to 1.3 percent
next year.
“The economy is under pressure, and everything we decided yesterday reflects
this pressure,” Bärbel Bas, the SPD’s labor minister, told reporters in Berlin
Thursday morning. “We now need solutions as a matter of urgency, and for our
part, I would like to say that we have agreed that we stand by the employees and
want to secure jobs in this country.”
The total number of unemployed people reached 3.02 million in August — the
highest figure in a decade. Manufacturing companies that once drove the postwar
economic boom are shedding jobs. These include national champions such as
engineering group Robert Bosch —which announced last month that it would cut a
further 13,000 jobs by 2030 — automaker Volkswagen, and Germany’s second-largest
bank, Commerzbank.
Measures designed to stabilize the economy and secure jobs include financial
incentives for retirees to continue working and stricter rules for beneficiaries
of the long-term unemployment benefit system.
Merz spoke of a “really great working atmosphere” between the negotiators and
promised a quick implementation of the measures. The incentives for pensioners
would be adopted in Cabinet next week, he said, while the the legislative
process on the reform of the long-term unemployment system is “to be opened
immediately.”
The latter topic is especially sensitive for Merz’s coalition partner, the SPD,
who are known to be staunch supporters of Germany’s strong welfare state and
workers’ right.
Under the agreement, long-term unemployment benefits will be reduced by 30
percent if a beneficiary misses two consecutive appointments at the employment
office, ultimately losing all benefits if the person fails to show up for the
third appointment.
“If 100,000 more people are encouraged to leave the long-term unemployment
system by incentives that make work more worthwhile than unemployment, the rule
of thumb is that we will save around €1 billion. That is our goal,” said Bas,
who is also the co-chair of the SPD.
“Our common goal is to get people into work. Then we will make real savings,”
she added.
The White House is continuing to pressure Portland, surging federal law
enforcement and floating plans to go after the city’s pocketbook on Friday as
protests continue over President Donald Trump’s deployment of the National
Guard.
The administration will review cutting federal funding to Portland, press
secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters at a press briefing, citing what she
said was elected officials’ refusal to work with the White House to crack down
on street crime and immigration enforcement.
“We will not fund states that allow anarchy,” said Leavitt.
The president surprised city officials — and many in the Pentagon — by writing
last Saturday on Truth Social that he was directing Defense Secretary Pete
Hegseth to send troops “to protect War ravaged Portland, and any of our ICE
Facilities under siege from attack by Antifa, and other domestic terrorists.” He
said he authorized “the use of full force” for “all necessary troops” in doing
so, an extraordinary declaration for an American city.
The next day, both Portland and Oregon sued to block Trump from federalizing the
state’s National Guard, calling the measures “provocative and arbitrary” and
arguing that they threatened to incite public backlash. A hearing for that case
was scheduled for Friday.
The city’s mayor, Keith Wilson, and Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek have both argued that
Portland does not need federal assistance to fight crime and that Trump’s
actions are based on outdated assessments of its public safety and an abuse of
presidential power.
“We think it’s despicable that these local elected officials who swear an oath
to protect their people are preventing law enforcement from doing their jobs on
the ground,” said Leavitt. “So that’s why the president has directed his team
here at the White House, and they are already on it, to look at how we can cut
funds.”
In a statement, Wilson said the city “is not a military target.”
“We will use every legal and constitutional tool at our disposal to protect our
residents, uphold our values, and defend the rights of every Portlander,” he
said.
The White House Office of Management and Budget did not immediately respond to a
request for comment on what specific cuts are on the table for Portland.
City Council President Elana Pirtle-Guiney told POLITICO in a statement that
Trump’s threats “only stand to cause harm.”
“There is no uncontrolled situation unfolding in our city that warrants the
president’s threats to withhold the federal funding that keeps Portland alive
and healthy,” she said. “If our president is serious about keeping our city
‘under control,’ then we absolutely cannot take actions that would contribute to
unemployment in Portland. Right now, this city is on track, and our leaders are
united in their commitment to protect and serve our community.”
Also on Friday, Department of Homeland Security spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin
announced the agency would surge Customs and Border Patrol and Immigration and
Customs Enforcement resources into the city, after conservative media influencer
Nick Sortor was arrested by Portland police officers during a Thursday night
protest.
“This violence will end under @POTUS Trump,” she wrote alongside a video of
Sortor’s arrest.
At the direction of Attorney General Pam Bondi, federal officials are also
investigating the arrest, senior Department of Justice official Harmeet Dhillon
wrote on X Friday.
Kotek’s office and the Portland Police Bureau both declined to comment. Wilson’s
office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Natalie Fertig contributed to this report.