DUBLIN — Neutral and poorly armed Ireland — long viewed as “Europe’s blind spot”
— announced Thursday it will spend €1.7 billion on improved military equipment,
capabilities and facilities to deter drones and potential Russian sabotage of
undersea cables.
The five-year plan, published as Defense Minister Helen McEntee visited the
Curragh army base near Dublin, aims in part to reassure European allies that
their leaders will be safe from attack when Ireland — a non-NATO member largely
dependent on neighboring Britain for its security — hosts key EU summits in the
second half of next year.
McEntee said Ireland intends to buy and deploy €19 million in counter-drone
technology “as soon as possible, not least because of the upcoming European
presidency.”
Ireland’s higher military spending — representing a 55 percent increase from
previous commitments — comes barely a week after a visit by Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskyy exposed Ireland’s inability to secure its own seas and
skies.
Five unmarked drones buzzed an Irish naval vessel supposed to be guarding the
flight path of Zelenskyy’s plane shortly after the Ukrainian leader touched down
at Dublin Airport. The Irish ship didn’t fire at the drones, which eventually
disappeared. Irish authorities have been unable to identify their source, but
suspect that they were operated from an unidentified ship later spotted in
European Space Agency satellite footage. The Russian embassy in Dublin denied
any involvement.
Ireland’s navy has just eight ships, but sufficient crews to operate only two at
a time, even though the country has vast territorial waters containing critical
undersea infrastructure and pipelines that supply three-fourths of Ireland’s
natural gas. The country has no fighter jets and no military-grade radar and
sonar.
Some but not all of those critical gaps will be plugged by 2028, McEntee
pledged.
She said Ireland would roll out military-grade radar starting next year, buy
sonar systems for the navy, and acquire up to a dozen helicopters, including
four already ordered from Airbus. The army would upgrade its Swiss-made fleet of
80 Piranha III armored vehicles and develop drone and anti-drone units. The air
force’s fixed-wing aircraft will be replaced by 2030 — probably by what would be
Ireland’s first wing of combat fighters.
Thursday’s announcement coincided with publication of an independent assessment
of Ireland’s rising security vulnerabilities on land, sea and air.
The report, coauthored by the Dublin-based think tank IIEA and analysts at
Deloitte, found that U.S. multinationals operating in Ireland were at risk of
cyberattacks and espionage by Russian, Chinese and Indian intelligence agents
operating in the country.
Tag - Radar
BERLIN — Germany’s Bundestag budget committee is planning to sign off on over
€2.6 billion in new military programs, according to a confidential list seen by
POLITICO.
The approvals, set for next week, mark another broad procurement round as Berlin
ramps up defense spending and reenergizes its arms industry.
The 11-item package includes almost every capability area: drones, long-range
missiles, soldier systems, logistics vehicles and critical radar upgrades.
For Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s government, it’s another step toward making the
Bundeswehr a war-ready force while giving German manufacturers a steadier
pipeline of long-term orders.
Some of the biggest checks are being written for drones.
MPs will clear about €68 million for Uranos KI, an AI-enabled reconnaissance
network built in competing versions by Airbus Defence and Space and German
defense-AI company Helsing. Another €86 million will keep the German Heron TP,
operated by Airbus DS Airborne Solutions and based on Israel’s Heron TP, flying
into the 2030s. Roughly €16 million will go to Aladin, a short-range
reconnaissance drone developed by Munich-based start-up Quantum Systems.
Air power also gets a significant boost.
MPs are set to approve around €445 million for a new batch of Joint Strike
Missiles, produced by Norway’s Kongsberg Defence & Aerospace and integrated for
Germany’s incoming Lockheed Martin F-35A fleet. Separate contracts worth €37
million will replace obsolete radar components on Eurofighter jets.
NH90 naval helicopters, built by NHIndustries — a consortium of Airbus
Helicopters, Leonardo and Fokker — will receive a parallel radar upgrade, as the
model returned to headlines after Norway settled a long-running availability
dispute with the manufacturer.
At the soldier level, the Bundeswehr will move forward with close to €760
million for new G95 assault rifles from Heckler & Koch, nearly €490 million for
laser-light modules supplied by Rheinmetall Soldier Electronics, and about €140
million for headset-based communications systems produced by Rheinmetall
Electronics with major subcontractors 3M and CeoTronics.
And in a sign of Berlin’s effort to rebuild military logistics at scale, MPs
will approve roughly €380 million for off-road military trucks from
Mercedes-Benz and around €175 million for heavy tank-transport trailers built by
DOLL. These contracts directly feed Germany’s defense-industrial base as Berlin
pushes industry to deliver at wartime speed.
Poland and Romania both scrambled jets overnight in their airspaces in response
to a Russian bombardment in western Ukraine, close to the borders
of both NATO countries.
Moscow unleashed a wave of drones and missiles on Ukraine overnight, targeting
the western cities of Lviv and Ternopil. Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy said the strikes, which damaged residential apartment buildings far
from the country’s eastern front line, killed nine people and injured dozens,
with others possibly trapped under rubble.
Warsaw’s operational command said in a post on X it had deployed “quick-reaction
fighter pairs and an early warning aircraft” as a precaution, adding
“ground-based air defence and radar surveillance systems” were at “the highest
state of readiness.”
Polish authorities also shut two airports, Rzeszow and Lublin, in the southeast
of the country amid Russia’s aerial assault.
Romania’s Defense Ministry, meanwhile, announced it had scrambled four
jets — two German Eurofighter Typhoon fighter aircraft and two Romanian Air
Force F-16s — shortly after midnight in response to a drone incursion about 5
miles into Romanian airspace.
Corneliu Pavel, the ministry’s spokesperson, told Romanian outlet Digi24 the
jets had the green light to shoot down the drone but decided not to when its
signal vanished.
Both countries’ operations involved NATO allies, with the Polish operational
command thanking the alliance and fellow members Norway, Spain,
the Netherlands and Germany for their assistance in monitoring Poland’s
airspace.
Russia’s war in Ukraine has spilled over in recent days, with a Romanian village
evacuated Monday when a gas tanker across the river in a Ukrainian port was set
ablaze by a Russian strike.
A section of the train route between Warsaw and Lublin, which connects to
Ukraine, was also blown up by saboteurs over the weekend, according to Polish
Prime Minister Donald Tusk.
Russia’s overnight assault on Ukraine also targeted Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Cherkasy,
Chernihiv and Dnipro, Zelenskyy said, and he called on additional air support
for Ukraine and more punishing sanctions on Moscow.
“Every brazen attack against ordinary life proves that the pressure on Russia is
still insufficient,” he warned.
For decades, the European Union ran on an unspoken understanding: Germany
handled the money, France handled the military. Now, the tables are turning.
As Germany aims to become Europe’s predominant military power, the political
balance is shifting. In France, there’s a scramble to stay relevant, while in
Poland, Germany’s rearmament is stirring old ghosts and creating a sense that a
Berlin-Warsaw alliance might be the most effective way to keep Russia at bay.
“Everywhere I go in the world, from the Baltics to Asia, people are asking
Germany to take on more responsibility,” said Christoph Schmid, a German Social
Democratic lawmaker on the Bundestag’s defense committee. “The expectation is
that Germany will finally step up and match its economic weight with defense
power.”
A Germany with Europe’s largest army, equipped with cutting edge tanks, missiles
and jets, is a far cry from the shambolic Bundeswehr derided for its low morale
and outdated equipment. That military power is tied to political and economic
heft — and Europe will have to adapt to a dominant Germany.
By 2029, Germany is expected to spend €153 billion a year on defense. That’s
about 3.5 percent of GDP, the country’s most ambitious military expansion since
reunification. France, by comparison, plans to reach about €80 billion by 2030.
Poland aims to spend 186 billion złoty (€44 billion) on defense this year, equal
to 4.7 percent of GDP — the highest level in NATO — and plans to have one of
Europe’s largest and best-equipped militaries.
The fiscal realities are changing, too. With Paris struggling with debt above
110 percent of GDP and a deficit north of 5 percent, Berlin’s borrowing power
gives it freedom that its neighbors can only envy. Poland is also fighting to
keep public spending under control, exacerbated by the explosion in defense
spending.
One EU official called the shift in Germany’s military potential “telluric,” or
Earth-moving. Another diplomat put it more directly: “It’s the most important
thing happening right now at EU level.”
For Europe’s diplomats, that surge raises more than budgetary questions. It
challenges the story the bloc has long told itself about who guards its
security. And that question is making the rounds in Brussels, where officials
are wondering how “European” Germany’s buildup will really be.
BERLIN BUILDS BIG AND LOCAL
One sign of the answer lies in procurement. Berlin remains deeply protective of
its national prerogatives in defense.
It has resisted giving the European Commission a stronger hand in buying weapons
and plans to rely heavily on national frameworks, including a new procurement
law that will make systematic use of Article 346 of the EU treaty. This clause
allows countries to bypass EU competition rules to favor domestic contracts.
That Germany first approach is already taking shape.
Internal procurement papers seen by POLITICO show Berlin preparing to push €83
billion in defense contracts through the Bundestag by the end of 2026. | Hesham
Elsherif/Getty Images
Internal procurement papers seen by POLITICO show Berlin preparing to push €83
billion in defense contracts through the Bundestag by the end of 2026. That’s an
unprecedented surge touching every area of the armed forces, from tanks and
frigates to drones, satellites and radar systems.
And that’s only the opening phase. Behind it sits a much larger €377 billion
Bundeswehr “wish list,” a long-term blueprint covering more than 320 new weapons
programs across all military domains.
Even more striking is where the billions will flow. According to the procurement
plans, less than 10 percent of new contracts are going to U.S. suppliers — a
reversal after years in which Berlin was one of Washington’s top defense
customers. Nearly all the rest will stay in Europe, and much of it with
Germany’s own defense industry.
For Europe, that means the EU’s economic engine is becoming its
defense-industrial one too, with Berlin channeling hundreds of billions into
domestic production lines while France and southern countries remain fiscally
constrained.
FRANCE FEELS UNEASY
That shift is being felt in Paris, where Germany’s rearmament is viewed with a
mix of skepticism and concern.
“In France, the defense apparatus is at the core of the system,” said one EU
official. “The difference between Paris and Berlin is that in France any
official is, at the end, a defense official.”
Despite French President Emmanuel Macron’s push since 2017 to improve the
Franco-German relationship, mistrust toward Berlin remains deeply rooted in
French defense circles.
“It’s halfway between vigilance and threat,” one French defense official told
POLITICO. “It will be difficult to work with them because they will be extremely
dominant,” the official said, adding that the main caveat is whether German
Chancellor Friedrich Merz will manage to fill the Bundeswehr’s personnel gaps.
However, Germany’s industrial and economic might is as much of a concern as the
country’s rearmament, the official continued. “They won’t need to invade Alsace
and Moselle,” they joked, referring to the French regions that Germany
successfully invaded during its conquest of France in 1940. “They can just buy
it.”
Beyond the historical unease, French and European officials wonder what kind of
geopolitical role Berlin under Merz’s leadership intends to play.
“It’s unclear yet what Merz wants to do,” said one Paris-based European
diplomat. “Germany will have to take on a broader role internationally, but it’s
unclear how.”
The latest friction over Europe’s next-generation fighter jet project — the
Future Combat Air System, or FCAS — has only deepened the unease.
The €100 billion program was meant to be the crown jewel of
Franco-German-Spanish defense cooperation. But delays and squabbling over which
country gets a larger share of the work are testing that partnership to the
breaking point.
In recent weeks, German defense officials have floated fallback options,
exploring potential cooperation with Sweden or the U.K., or pressing ahead with
Spain alone.
That prospect is alarming Paris.
For France, FCAS is more of a political project than just another procurement
project. It’s tied directly to its nuclear deterrent, a fundamental aspect of
its claim to European military leadership. Éric Trappier, the CEO of Dassault
Aviation, which is to play a leading role in FCAS, was blunt with French
lawmakers: “I’m not against the project, but when Germany says it’s going to
exclude France, doesn’t that bother you?”
If Berlin spends big while teaming up mainly with Nordic and eastern allies,
Paris risks losing the central role it has long enjoyed in Europe’s defense
architecture.
POLAND’S WARY APPROVAL
However, not everyone sees Germany’s rearmament as a threat. In Warsaw, it’s
viewed as both necessary and overdue.
“Poland has become a shining beacon among NATO allies in terms of military
spending,” said Marek Magierowski, a former Polish ambassador to Israel and the
United States. “Consequently, we insist that other partners follow suit. But if
we seriously care about collective defense, we cannot keep saying: ‘Please,
everybody spend more on defense. But not you, Germany.’”
A group of Polish officials who spoke with POLITICO expressed similar
pragmatism. “They’re rowing in the right direction,” one said. “From our point
of view, it could have been done earlier, but it’s good that it’s happening.”
But the often bloody past casts a long shadow.
“Looking at history, a situation where Germany would link its economic power
with military might has always raised fears,” said Paweł Zalewski, Poland’s
deputy defense minister. “Today, Poland has the largest land army in Europe and
will be a very strong player in the future, so the modernization plans of the
Bundeswehr have to be taken in context. All European countries are rearming.”
Zalewski pointed out that Germany’s buildup comes as Washington signals a
drawdown of its European presence. “An increase in Germany’s military strength
is a natural response,” he said. “The main countries defending the eastern flank
will be Poland and Germany.”
However, old memories die hard in Warsaw, both from the war and from the policy
of economic co-dependence with Russia pursued by former Chancellor Angela
Merkel.
“We also remember Merkel’s pro-Russia stance,” Zalewski said. “We are calling on
Germany to show how strongly it will defend the international order against
Russia. There is a need for constant verification. We aren’t forgetting
anything.”
Magierowski reflected that concern. “I am more worried about trade ties between
Germany and Russia, still quite vivacious, and the growing pressure in Berlin to
return to business as usual after the war in Ukraine.”
That softer line on Russia is most visible inside the far-right Alternative for
Germany (AfD), now the country’s second-largest party.
“When we think about the AfD and whether they could gain power or co-power in
future German governments, this is a concern,” one Polish official said. “The
AfD is pro-Putin and has a program that talks about regaining some Polish
territory. We cannot open that discussion in Europe. The Second World War
started because Germany was unhappy about the results of the First.”
A SHIFTING CENTER OF GRAVITY
Taken together, Germany’s rapid buildup and its partners’ mixed reactions
highlight how Europe’s center of gravity is moving eastward. The continent’s
economic powerhouse is now transforming into its military-industrial one, while
France clings to its nuclear card and Poland grows into a conventional
heavyweight on NATO’s eastern flank.
In Brussels, that realignment poses a test: Can the EU channel this momentum
into common structures, or will it deepen the bloc’s defense fragmentation?
For now, Berlin’s buildup is seen as a return to responsibility rather than a
bid for dominance. But even supporters admit the scale of the change is hard to
grasp.
“It could be frightening, no doubt,” said one EU diplomat. “But Germany has
coalitions. It’s in the EU and NATO — and many things could happen in the
meantime.”
The Romanian government vowed new measures against Moscow after fragments from a
Russian drone strike on Ukraine landed on its territory overnight, the latest in
a string of cross-border incidents.
In a post on X, Romanian Foreign Minister Oana Toiu said the debris fell in an
inhabited area following Russian strikes on Ukrainian commercial ports, calling
the assault “another reckless attack on Ukraine with consequences on Romanian
territory.”
“These actions are part of a clear pattern in Russia’s war of aggression,” Toiu
wrote. “We will not hesitate to increase the price Russia pays for such reckless
and illegal actions.”
According to a statement from Romania’s defense ministry, radar systems detected
groups of drones near the country’s airspace during the night of November 10–11,
prompting the preventive activation of air defense systems.
Around one in the morning, authorities reported that a drone had crashed near
the Romanian village of Grindu, about five kilometers south of the frontier with
Ukraine.
Due to poor weather conditions in the southeast, fighter jets on standby were
unable to take off.
Toiu added that Romania, the EU and the U.S. have already imposed sanctions with
“important impact” on Russia and are now preparing additional measures to raise
the cost of aggression.
Poland said it rapidly mobilized military aircraft early Sunday to secure its
airspace after Russia launched airstrikes on Ukraine’s Lviv region near the
Polish border.
“Polish and allied aircraft are intensively operating in our airspace, while
ground-based air defense and radar reconnaissance systems have reached the
highest state of readiness,” said the Operational Command of the Polish Armed
Forces.
Ukrainian officials said the Russian strikes killed and at least four people in
the Lyiv region and one person in the southeastern city of Zaporizhzhia.
The mayor of Lviv said public transport routes were not operating due to a
“massive enemy attack,” which had also caused a partial electricity outage in
the region.
“Russia targeted residential areas with drones and aerial bombs. Across all
affected areas, residential buildings and critical infrastructure were damaged,”
Ukraine’s Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko said on X.
It was just the latest instance of Poland scrambling fighter planes to protect
its airspace amid Moscow’s attacks on Ukraine. In early September, Poland shot
down Russian drones that forced the closure of the Warsaw airport as Russian
President Vladimir Putin appeared to be testing NATO’s defense capabilities.
Since then, eastern-flank members of NATO have been on high alert. Denmark had
to close its airspace last week after drone activity was detected around
Skrydstrup Air Base.
The French and Swedish militaries will help fortify Copenhagen against aerial
threats as European leaders converge on the city for two crunch summits this
week.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced Monday his government had
deployed “the Swedish Armed Forces to support Denmark with military anti-drone
capabilities in connection with this week’s summits in Copenhagen,” including a
specialized unit that will embed with the Danish military.
Stockholm would also “lend a handful of powerful radar systems to Denmark for a
period of time,” he added.
Denmark was rattled by a wave of drone sightings at major airports and military
air bases last week, disrupting air traffic and stranding thousands of
passengers. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said the airspace breaches amounted
to “hybrid war” and hinted Russia was responsible.
The incidents, which occurred ahead of Wednesday’s European Council meeting in
Copenhagen to discuss defense and Ukraine, led the Danish authorities to take
the dramatic step of closing the country’s airspace to civilian drones.
France said Monday it had also sent its armed forces to shore up Copenhagen’s
defenses.
Paris deployed “35 personnel, a FENNEC helicopter, and active counter-drone
assets” to Denmark “in response to the recent upsurge in unidentified drone
flights in Danish airspace,” the French defense ministry said in a statement,
adding the drones were a “serious threat.”
In addition, a German frigate — the FSG Hamburg — arrived in Copenhagen over the
weekend to assist with airspace surveillance.
Along with Wednesday’s summit, Copenhagen will host the European Political
Community on Thursday, bringing together leaders from across the continent.
Poland scrambled fighter jets and temporarily closed its airspace on Sunday
after a Russian attack on Ukraine that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
said lasted for more than 12 hours.
Polish radar reconnaissance systems were put on the highest level of alert,
Poland’s military posted on X, and NATO F-35 jets patrolled the skies until the
attack ended. There were no airspace violations, the military said.
The scrambling of jets and airspace closures are becoming more frequent as
multiple NATO countries report drone sightings and other incursions.
Three Russian drones were shot down in Poland’s airspace earlier this month. And
Denmark reported fresh drone sightings above defense sites on Friday and
Saturday, after a wave of drone activity earlier in the week temporarily shut
down major Danish airports.
The Russian attack early Sunday included nearly 500 attack drones and more than
40 missiles, including the Iranian-Russian Shahed drones, Zelenskyy said. Dozens
were wounded in the strikes and among the dead was a 12-year-old girl, he said.
“The massive Russian attack on Ukraine lasted for more than 12 hours,” Zelenskky
said. “Brutal strikes, deliberate and targeted terror against ordinary cities,”
he said.
More than 15 locations in the capital were damaged, including multi-story
resident buildings, “in particular in the Solomenskyi district,” Timur
Tkachenko, the head of Kyiv’s military administration, said in a post on
Telegram.
The attacks came just hours after Zelenskyy warned Europe that the recent
increased drone activity and airspace incursions are a sign that Russian
President Vladimir Putin would not stop with Ukraine.
“Putin will not wait to finish his war in Ukraine. He will open up some other
direction. Nobody knows where,” Zelenskyy said.
At the United Nations General Assembly in New York on Saturday, Russia’s Foreign
Minister Sergei Lavrov said his country has no intention of attacking EU or NATO
countries. But Moscow will respond with a “decisive response” to any aggression
directed toward Russia, he said.
NEW YORK — The U.S. Pentagon should retain key military equipment in Europe to
deter Russia even as Washington prepares to draw down the number of troops it
keeps stationed on the continent, Finland’s president told POLITICO on Thursday.
Speaking at the Finnish residence in New York, Alexander Stubb said he was “not
too worried” about the outcome of the ongoing review of U.S. strategic assets
around the world, the results of which are expected to be unveiled in coming
weeks.
“I think there’ll be a bit of a shift to the Indo-Pacific and that’s
understandable,” Stubb said, referring to discussions about potentially moving
U.S. troops and military equipment from Europe to the Indo-Pacific region. “When
it comes to the number of troops there will probably be some discussion on that
but at this stage I’m not too worried. It’s in the strategic interest of the
United States, and very cost effective” to keep U.S. forces in Europe.
He added: “I’m sure there will be some reduction, but by how much we don’t
know.”
While some American policymakers have called for reducing U.S. troop numbers,
the Pentagon has yet to reveal its plans. Officials in countries that neighbor
Russia — which has repeatedly violated European airspace in recent days — are
bracing for imminent drawdowns, with Estonian President Alar Karis telling
POLITICO earlier this month that front-line nations needed to prepare for this
possibility.
The main concern for European NATO allies, per Stubb, was that the U.S.
continues to keep “essential equipment,” such as “air carriers” and radar, based
on the continent. The U.S. currently has between 70,000 and 90,000 troops
stationed in Europe — a number that increased under former President Joe Biden
after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
‘INTERPRETING ZELENSKYY’
In Finland — whose border with Russia is more than 1,300 kilometers long — the
president is in charge of foreign policy as well as being commander-in-chief of
the armed forces. As such, Stubb has been credited with playing an important
role in speaking to U.S. President Donald Trump about the war in Ukraine,
including during a round of golf in March.
The outing was credited with helping to change Trump’s perspective on Ukraine,
as it was shortly afterward that he started to speak and post more critically
about Vladimir Putin and Russia’s role in the world — though Stubb was adamant
about not claiming too much credit for influencing the American president.
“Under no circumstance do I want to inflame my own role,” he said. “I think
Europe and the United States are playing well together under Trump — much better
than they did in 2016. There is deep cooperation, especially with the big boys:
France, U.K., Germany and Italy. And then I want to stress that President Trump
has close relations with Secretary-General [of NATO] Mark Rutte and [European]
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.”
He added: “Our dialogue with the president is open and frank. We are able to
interpret Zelenskyy to Trump and Trump to Zelenskyy. I would argue the two of
them are in a good place.”
A recent Truth Social post by Trump, in which he wrote that Ukraine could
reconquer all the territory it has lost to Russia in three years of war, had
been a “gamechanger” in terms of showing where the president now stood on the
war, Stubb said.
And while some EU leaders have voiced skepticism about the depth of the
president’s apparent shift on Ukraine — with Polish President Donald Tusk saying
it’s a way of shifting full responsibility for the war to Europe — Stubb
rejected that idea.
“I’ve heard this theory that this was an off-ramp” in terms of U.S. support for
Ukraine, he said. “I disagree with this theory. All the indications we get show
that President Trump is very serious … I think President Trump is justifiably
disappointed in President Putin … that leaves no space for interpretation.”
After Europe passed its 19th round of sanctions against Russia, Stubb said the
combined effect was taking a major toll on Russia’s economy. “They’ve run out of
reserves. Their inflation and interest rates are both over 20 percent. Their
growth rate is zero or negative. And they are going to have to raise taxes. So
Russia is seeing the economic price of the war,” he said.
However, in order to convince Russia to agree to a ceasefire, “we’re going to
have to change Putin’s strategic game” by making him understand that we stand
“united, firm, behind Ukraine.”
Putin was currently testing NATO’s resolve via “hybrid warfare” including
repeated airspace violations by drones and combat aircraft. “As a Finn it’s
important to stay calm in these situations,” Stubb said. “Show resolve.”
A threat from President Donald Trump to impose “substantial” tariffs on
countries that regulate U.S. tech companies is riling up Europe. But the
continent’s digital regulations were not Trump’s primary target.
Trump’s Aug. 25 post threatening to penalize “all countries with Digital Taxes,
Legislation, Rules, or Regulations,” did not specify any territory by name.
However, four people familiar with the White House’s conversations on digital
trade policy say it was largely a response to several pieces of tech-focused
legislation under consideration in South Korea’s parliament. The people were
granted anonymity to discuss ongoing negotiations.
Trump’s threat is poised to complicate the talks between Seoul and Washington to
nail down the details of the preliminary trade agreement their governments
reached in July. At the same time, it has alarmed leaders in the European Union
and United Kingdom, who worry Trump’s new demand could upend tentative trade
agreements they have reached.
“Trump’s post was a warning shot to South Korea and other countries weighing new
rules on digital trade not to follow the European Union’s approach,” according
to a person who spoke with Trump the day of his Truth Social post.
Trump’s missive came shortly after he met with new South Korean President Lee
Jae Myung at the White House, and after Lee’s government refused to sign onto a
joint statement on the preliminary trade agreement that included a pledge to
block legislation to regulate large tech companies operating in the country.
While the South Korean government did not officially respond to the post, it
drew an immediate response from EU officials, who declared it their “sovereign
right” to oversee economic activities on their soil. Several EU
leaders vigorously refuted the Trump administration’s claim that European
restrictions unfairly target American tech companies. And EU Commission
spokesperson Thomas Regnier said its regulation “does not look at the color of a
company, at the jurisdiction of a company, nor the owner of a company.”
But while Europe’s digital regulations are despised by U.S. tech giants, the
White House is more focused on countries like South Korea, India, Turkey and
Brazil, which are currently considering draft rules loosely modeled on Europe’s
laws.
Senior White House officials see South Korea’s response as a litmus test on
whether they will be able to pressure other trading partners to abort pushes for
new digital restrictions, three of the people said.
“Part of it was the frustration that Europe hasn’t budged,” said another person
close to the White House on Trump’s post. “But there was more a recognition …
that South Korea was probably among three or four other jurisdictions
potentially looking to be first followers of the EU — to mirror or mimic that
approach. So he was like, ‘Okay, South Korea is here, their new president has
said this is a priority, and we’ve got to nip this in the bud.’”
A White House official told POLITICO that Trump has “consistently opposed”
digital regulations from countries that target American tech companies. Those
discussions are “part of almost every trade negotiation we’re having,” the
official added.
South Korean lawmakers in recent years have floated a series of proposals that
could classify major U.S. tech companies as monopolies or gate-keepers, and open
them up to steep fines, including the Platform Competition Promotion
Act proposed in 2023. Those and similar proposals are drawing growing criticism
from Trump allies in the U.S., including lawmakers like Sen. Bill
Hagerty (R-Tenn.), who co-led a letter sent in late July warning that Seoul’s
proposed rules could give Chinese tech companies an edge there.
Leading MAGA voices have also taken note: conservative activist and podcaster
Charlie Kirk shared a post on X on Aug. 24 complaining that South Korea’s
government “still targets U.S. industry with regulations while giving Chinese
companies a free pass.”
“Only Trump can fix this, no more free passes for China while we get punished,”
Kirk wrote.
U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has brought up the legislation in trade
talks with his South Korean counterparts, but digital trade wasn’t addressed in
the limited trade agreement the two countries announced late July. The
announcement — which Trump posted on social media — was scant on details, saying
only that South Korea had agreed to a 15 percent tariff on its exports in
exchange for a pledge of more than $350 billion in investment and an additional
$100 billion in energy purchases.
Ahead of the president’s meeting with Lee, however, senior Trump administration
officials pressed the South Korean government to sign a joint statement on the
deal that included language pledging to abandon proposals for digital trade
restrictions, according to three people familiar with the discussions. South
Korea rejected that draft language.
Seoul insists it will press ahead with some form of digital regulation, though
it has adjusted its approach to address expectations from the Trump
administration. As a result of trade talks with Washington, South Korea’s
liberal party will give up on at least one proposal, known as the Online
Platform Regulation Act, according to a senior official quoted in local reports,
and will instead consider pared back digital rules.
Some South Korean officials say they would be willing to ease digital
proposals that the Trump administration claims discriminate against American
companies, and the Trump administration believes they are making progress toward
convincing Lee’s administration to reject any digital legislation that hits
American companies.
“A lot is on the table and a lot of those demands are far tougher for South
Korea than the digital issues,” said a person close to the White House.
While South Korea’s legislation has long been on Big Tech’s radar, it only
recently came to Trump’s attention, following days of briefings that highlighted
Lee’s pledges to tighten digital regulations during the country’s presidential
campaign earlier this year. High-profile Trump supporters have also recently
taken note of the tech debate taking place in South Korea.
Kirk’s X post was also shared with the president during a briefing ahead of the
summit, as was an op-ed from former Trump national security adviser Robert
O’Brien warning South Korea’s digital legislation, if passed, would be a “gift”
to the Chinese government.
Trump echoed that language in his Truth Social post, suggesting that other
countries’ digital regulations “outrageously, give a complete pass to China’s
largest Tech Companies.”
“If Trump wants to go after Amazon, Google, or other U.S. tech firms here at
home, that’s his prerogative, but other countries shouldn’t be messing with
American tech firms. That’s clearly how folks like Charlie Kirk feel, and I
think that’s how the president feels too,” said a former Republican official,
who frequently meets with the president and senior White House officials.
White House aides also presented Trump with letters from Republican lawmakers
asking the administration to address the digital dispute as part of trade
negotiations with South Korea, the people said.
Ahead of Lee’s visit, House Ways and Means Republicans Adrian Smith (Neb.)
and Carol Miller (W.Va.) released public statements calling on the
administration to address the country’s digital proposals, and led a letter from
more than 40 House Republicans warning that South Korea’s measures would
disproportionately target U.S. tech firms.
Said Miller: “President Trump is a known dealmaker, and I am confident that he
will help secure fair market access for our digital companies operating abroad.”