PARIS — The French Senate laid the groundwork for a dramatic, consequential week
of fiscal planning for 2026 on Monday by passing its own version of next
year’s state budget rife with spending cuts.
The Senate and France’s more powerful lower house, the National Assembly, must
now find a compromise in a process akin to a U.S.-style conference committee set
to take place Friday. If that process fails it will considerably diminish the
chances of France getting a new budget wrapped by the end of the year. One
National Assembly official told POLITICO the meeting will be “make or break.”
Political paralysis also prevented France from getting its 2025 state budget
passed before the end of last year; Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu warned in
November that a repeat failure was a “danger that weighs on the French economy.”
The country is highly unlikely to face a government shutdown similar to what
happened in the United States earlier this year, however, as lawmakers can
approve a measure carrying the 2025 budget over into next year. But such a
stopgap would exacerbate the worrying financial outlook in the European Union’s
second-largest economy.
Lecornu managed to secure a consensus on next year’s social security budget, but
the state budget is proving more difficult. The National Assembly’s first
attempt ended with all but one MP voting against a bill saddled with untenable
and sometimes conflicting amendments.
The opposition Socialist Party, which backed the social security bill and is in
somewhat of a kingmaker position, is leaning toward voting against this version
of the state budget because its members feel France’s wealthiest households
won’t be subject to sufficient tax hikes, party leader Olivier Faure said last
week.
Tag - Central Banker
U.S. President Donald Trump’s top envoy to the EU told POLITICO that
overregulation is causing “real problems” economically and forcing European
startups to flee to America.
Andrew Puzder said businesses in the bloc “that become successful here go to the
United States because the regulatory environment is killing them.”
“Wouldn’t it be great if this part of the world, instead of deciding it was
going to be the world’s regulator, decided once again to be the world’s
innovators?” he added in an interview at this year’s POLITICO 28 event. “You’ll
be stronger in the world and you’ll be a much better trade partner and ally to
the United States.”
Puzder’s remarks come as the Trump administration launched a series of
blistering attacks on Europe in recent days.
Washington’s National Security Strategy warned of the continent’s
“civilizational erasure” and Trump himself blasted European leaders as “weak”
and misguided on migration policy in an interview with POLITICO.
Those broadsides have sparked concerns in Europe that Trump could seek to
jettison the transatlantic relationship. But Puzder downplayed the strategy’s
criticism and struck a more conciliatory note, saying the document was “more
‘make Europe great again’ than it was ‘let’s desert Europe’” and highlighted
Europe’s potential as a partner.
BRUSSELS — Belgium is demanding that the EU provide an extra cash buffer to
ensure against Kremlin threats over a €210 billion loan to Ukraine using Russian
assets, according to documents obtained by POLITICO.
The cash buffer is part of a series of changes that the Belgian government wants
to make to the European Commission’s proposal, which would be financed by
leveraging €185 billion of frozen Russian state assets held by the
Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear. The remaining €25 billion would
come from other frozen Russian assets, lying in private bank accounts across the
bloc — predominantly in France.
Belgium’s fresh demand is designed to give Euroclear more financial firepower to
withstand Russian retaliation.
This cash buffer would come on top of financial guarantees that EU countries
would provide against the €210 billion loan to protect Belgium from paying back
the full amount if the Kremlin claws back the money.
In its list of amendments to the Commission, Belgium even suggested increasing
the guarantees to cover potential legal disputes and settlements — an idea that
is opposed by many governments.
Belgium’s demands come as EU leaders prepare to descend on Brussels on Dec. 18
to try and secure Ukraine’s ability to finance its defences against Russia. As
things stand, Kyiv’s war chest will run bare in April. Failure to use the
Russian assets to finance the loan would force EU capitals to reach into their
own pockets to keep Ukraine afloat. But frugal countries are politically opposed
to shifting the burden to EU taxpayers.
Belgium is the main holdout over financing Ukraine using the Russian assets,
amid fears that it will be on the hook to repay the full amount if Moscow
manages to claw its money back.
The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a
€45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer
to cover legal risks. | Artur Widak/Getty Images
In its list of suggested changes, Belgium asked the EU to set aside an
unspecified amount of money to protect Euroclear from the risk of Russian
retaliation. It said that the safety net will account for “increased costs which
Euroclear might suffer (e.g. legal costs to defend against retaliation)” and
compensate for lost revenue.
According to the document, the extra cash buffer should be financed by the
windfall profits that Euroclear collects in interest from a deposit account at
the European Central Bank, where the Kremlin-sanctioned money is currently
sitting. The proceeds amounted to €4 billion last year.
The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a
€45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer
to cover legal risks. In order to better protect Euroclear, Belgium wants to
raise this threshold over the coming years.
BRUSSELS — France and Italy can breathe a sigh of relief after the EU’s
statistics office signaled that the financial guarantees needed to back a €210
billion financing package to Ukraine won’t increase their heavy debt burdens.
Eurostat on Tuesday evening sent a letter, obtained by POLITICO, informing the
bloc’s treasuries that the financial guarantees underpinning the loan, backed by
frozen Russian state assets on Belgian soil, would be considered “contingent
liabilities.” In other words, the guarantees would only impact countries’ debt
piles if triggered.
Paris and Rome wanted Eurostat to clarify how the guarantees would be treated
under EU rules for public spending, as both countries carry a debt burden above
100 percent of their respective economic output.
Eurostat’s letter is expected to allay fears that signing up to the loan would
undermine investor confidence in highly indebted countries and potentially raise
their borrowing costs. That’s key for the Italians and French, as EU leaders
prepare to discuss the initiative at a summit next week. Failure to secure a
deal could leave Ukraine without enough funds to keep Russian forces at bay next
year.
The Commission has suggested all EU countries share the risk by providing
financial guarantees against the loan in case the Kremlin manages to claw back
its sanctioned cash, which is held in the Brussels-based financial depository
Euroclear.
“None of the conditions” that would lead to EU liability being transferred to
member states “would be met,” Eurostat wrote in a letter, adding that the
chances of EU countries ever paying those guarantees are weak. The Commission
instead will be held liable for those guarantees, the agency added.
Germany is set to bear the brunt of the loan, guaranteeing some €52 billion
under the Commission’s draft rules. This figure will likely rise as Hungary has
already refused to take part in the funding drive for Ukraine. The letter is
unlikely to change Belgium’s stance, as it wants much higher guarantees and
greater legal safeguards against Russian retaliation at home and abroad.
The biggest risk facing the Commission’s proposal is the prospect of the assets
being unfrozen if pro-Russia countries refuse to keep existing sanctions in
place.
Under current rules, the EU must unanimously reauthorize the sanctions every six
months. That means Kremlin-friendly countries, such as Hungary and Slovakia, can
force the EU to release the sanctioned money with a simple no vote.
To make this scenario more unlikely, the Commission suggested a controversial
legal fix that will be discussed today by EU ambassadors. Eurostat described the
possibility of EU countries paying out for the loan as “a complex event with no
obvious probability assessment at the time of inception.”
French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu scored a key political victory
Tuesday after lawmakers approved next year’s social security budget by just 13
votes.
The bill must still be approved by the French Senate, but its passage in the
more powerful National Assembly is a positive sign for the future of Lecornu’s
minority government and to financial markets worried about France’s ability to
rein in its spiraling budget deficit.
Lecornu will have little time to celebrate, however, as there still remains the
matter of the state budget, a separate piece of legislation where compromise has
proved arguably more contentious.
Just one lawmaker in the 577-strong National Assembly backed the budget during
an earlier vote on part of the state budget.
This developing story will be updated
The European Parliament could have an early say in the race for the European
Central Bank vice presidency, a win for lawmakers after years of pushing for
more influence over the EU’s top appointments.
Eurozone finance ministers will begin the process of selecting a successor to
Luis de Guindos on Thursday, according to a draft timeline seen by POLITICO and
an EU diplomat who separately confirmed the document’s content. The deadline for
submitting candidates will be in early January, although an exact date is still
to be agreed.
According to the document, members of the Economic and Monetary Affairs
Committee will have the right to hold in-camera hearings with all the candidates
in January before the Eurogroup formally proposes a name to the European Council
for appointment.
This would mark a break with the past, when MEPs only got involved in the
process after ministers had already had their say. Involving the Parliament at
an earlier stage could influence the selection process, for example by giving it
the chance to press for adequate gender balance in the list of candidates. This
had been one of the Parliament’s demands in its latest annual report on the
ECB’s activities.
“The Parliament will play a stronger role this time,” the diplomat told
POLITICO.
So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president
slot: Christina Papaconstantinou, who is currently deputy governor at the C.
Finland, Latvia, Croatia and Portugal are all set to propose male candidates.
The candidate picked by ministers will return to lawmakers for an official
hearing, which should take place between March and April, according to the
document. MEPs have limited power over the final appointment, but they will
issue a nonbinding opinion, which is then adopted through a plenary vote. The
new vice president will be formally appointed by the European Council in May,
before taking office on June 1.
So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president
slot. | Aris Messinis/Getty Images
The vice president’s position is the first of four to come up for rotation at
the ECB’s Executive Board over the next two years. It wasn’t immediately clear
if the other three appointments — including the one for a new president — will
give the lawmakers the same degree of influence.
CORRECTION: This article was updated on Dec. 9 to correct the spelling of the
surname of the deputy governor of the Bank of Greece.
This article is also available in French and German.
President Donald Trump denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by
“weak” people in an interview with POLITICO, belittling the traditional U.S.
allies for failing to control migration and end the Russia-Ukraine war, and
signaling that he would endorse European political candidates aligned with his
own vision for the continent.
The broadside attack against European political leadership represents the
president’s most virulent denunciation to date of these Western democracies,
threatening a decisive rupture with countries like France and Germany that
already have deeply strained relations with the Trump administration.
“I think they’re weak,” Trump said of Europe’s political leaders. “But I also
think that they want to be so politically correct.”
“I think they don’t know what to do,” he added. “Europe doesn’t know what to
do.”
Trump matched that blunt, even abrasive, candor on European affairs with a
sequence of stark pronouncements on matters closer to home: He said he would
make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in his choice
of a new Federal Reserve chair. He said he could extend anti-drug military
operations to Mexico and Colombia. And Trump urged conservative Supreme Court
Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, both in their 70s, to stay on the
bench.
Trump’s comments about Europe come at an especially precarious moment in the
negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, as European leaders express
intensifying alarm that Trump may abandon Ukraine and its continental allies to
Russian aggression. In the interview, Trump offered no reassurance to Europeans
on that score and declared that Russia was obviously in a stronger position than
Ukraine.
Trump spoke on Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a
special episode of The Conversation. POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most
influential figure shaping European politics in the year ahead, a recognition
previously conferred on leaders including Ukrainian President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orbán.
Trump’s confident commentary on Europe presented a sharp contrast with some of
his remarks on domestic matters in the interview. The president and his party
have faced a series of electoral setbacks and spiraling dysfunction in Congress
this fall as voters rebel against the high cost of living. Trump has struggled
to deliver a message to meet that new reality: In the interview, he graded the
economy’s performance as an “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus,” insisted that prices
were falling across the board and declined to outline a specific remedy for
imminent spikes in health care premiums.
Even amid growing turbulence at home, however, Trump remains a singular figure
in international politics.
In recent days, European capitals have shuddered with dismay at the release of
Trump’s new National Security Strategy document, a highly provocative manifesto
that cast the Trump administration in opposition to the mainstream European
political establishment and vowed to “cultivate resistance” to the European
status quo on immigration and other politically volatile issues.
In the interview, Trump amplified that worldview, describing cities like London
and Paris as creaking under the burden of migration from the Middle East and
Africa. Without a change in border policy, Trump said, some European states
“will not be viable countries any longer.”
Using highly incendiary language, Trump singled out London’s left-wing mayor,
Sadiq Khan, the son of Pakistani immigrants and the city’s first Muslim mayor,
as a “disaster” and blamed his election on immigration: “He gets elected because
so many people have come in. They vote for him now.”
The president of the European Council, António Costa, on Monday rebuked the
Trump administration for the national security document and urged the White
House to respect Europe’s sovereignty and right to self-government.
“Allies do not threaten to interfere in the democratic life or the domestic
political choices of these allies,” Costa said. “They respect them.”
Speaking with POLITICO, Trump flouted those boundaries and said he would
continue to back favorite candidates in European elections, even at the risk of
offending local sensitivities.
“I’d endorse,” Trump said. “I’ve endorsed people, but I’ve endorsed people that
a lot of Europeans don’t like. I’ve endorsed Viktor Orbán,” the hard-right
Hungarian prime minister Trump said he admired for his border-control policies.
It was the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than electoral politics, that Trump
appeared most immediately focused on. He claimed on Monday that he had offered a
new draft of a peace plan that some Ukrainian officials liked, but that
Zelenskyy himself had not reviewed yet. “It would be nice if he would read it,”
Trump said.
Zelenskyy met with leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Monday
and continued to voice opposition to ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia as
part of a peace deal.
The president said he put little stock in the role of European leaders in
seeking to end the war: “They talk, but they don’t produce, and the war just
keeps going on and on.”
In a fresh challenge to Zelenskyy, who appears politically weakened in Ukraine
due to a corruption scandal, Trump renewed his call for Ukraine to hold new
elections.
“They haven’t had an election in a long time,” Trump said. “You know, they talk
about a democracy, but it gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.”
Latin America
Even as he said he is pursuing a peace agenda overseas, Trump said he might
further broaden the military actions his administration has taken in Latin
America against targets it claims are linked to the drug trade. Trump has
deployed a massive military force to the Caribbean to strike alleged drug
runners and pressure the authoritarian regime in Venezuela.
In the interview, Trump repeatedly declined to rule out putting American troops
into Venezuela as part of an effort to bring down the strongman ruler Nicolás
Maduro, whom Trump blames for exporting drugs and dangerous people to the United
States. Some leaders on the American right have warned Trump that a ground
invasion of Venezuela would be a red line for conservatives who voted for him in
part to end foreign wars.
“I don’t want to rule in or out. I don’t talk about it,” Trump said of deploying
ground troops, adding: “I don’t want to talk to you about military strategy.”
But the president said he would consider using force against targets in other
countries where the drug trade is highly active, including Mexico and Colombia.
“Sure, I would,” he said.
Trump scarcely defended some of his most controversial actions in Latin America,
including his recent pardon of the former Honduran President Juan Orlando
Hernández, who was serving a decades-long sentence in an American prison after
being convicted in a massive drug-trafficking conspiracy. Trump said he knew
“very little” about Hernández except that he’d been told by “very good people”
that the former Honduran president had been targeted unfairly by political
opponents.
“They asked me to do it and I said, I’ll do it,” Trump acknowledged, without
naming the people who sought the pardon for Hernández.
HEALTH CARE AND THE ECONOMY
Asked to grade the economy under his watch, Trump rated it an overwhelming
success: “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus.” To the extent voters are frustrated about
prices, Trump said the Biden administration was at fault: “I inherited a mess. I
inherited a total mess.”
The president is facing a forbidding political environment because of voters’
struggles with affordability, with about half of voters overall and nearly 4 in
10 people who voted for Trump in 2024 saying in a recent POLITICO Poll that
the cost of living was as bad as it had ever been in their lives.
Trump said he could make additional changes to tariff policy to help lower the
price of some goods, as he has already done, but he insisted overall that the
trend on costs was in the right direction.
“Prices are all coming down,” Trump said, adding: “Everything is coming down.”
Prices rose 3 percent over the 12 months ending in September, according to the
most recent Consumer Price Index.
Trump’s political struggles are shadowing his upcoming decision on a nominee to
chair the Federal Reserve, a post that will shape the economic environment for
the balance of Trump’s term. Asked if he was making support for slashing
interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick
“yes.”
The most immediate threat to the cost of living for many Americans is the
expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies for Obamacare exchange plans
that were enacted by Democrats under former President Joe Biden and are set to
expire at the end of this year. Health insurance premiums are expected to spike
in 2026, and medical charities are already experiencing a marked rise in
requests for aid even before subsidies expire.
Trump has been largely absent from health policy negotiations in Washington,
while Democrats and some Republicans supportive of a compromise on subsidies
have run into a wall of opposition on the right. Reaching a deal — and
marshaling support from enough Republicans to pass it — would likely require
direct intervention from the president.
Yet asked if he would support a temporary extension of Obamacare subsidies while
he works out a large-scale plan with lawmakers, Trump was noncommittal.
“I don’t know. I’m gonna have to see,” he said, pivoting to an attack on
Democrats for being too generous with insurance companies in the Affordable Care
Act.
A cloud of uncertainty surrounds the administration’s intentions on health care
policy. In late November, the White House planned to unveil a proposal to
temporarily extend Obamacare subsidies only to postpone the announcement. Trump
has promised on and off for years to unveil a comprehensive plan for replacing
Obamacare but has never done so. That did not change in the interview.
“I want to give the people better health insurance for less money,” Trump said.
“The people will get the money, and they’re going to buy the health insurance
that they want.”
Reminded that Americans are currently buying holiday gifts and drawing up
household budgets for 2026 amid uncertainty around premiums, Trump shot back:
“Don’t be dramatic. Don’t be dramatic.”
SUPREME COURT
Large swaths of Trump’s domestic agenda currently sit before the Supreme Court,
with a generally sympathetic 6-3 conservative majority that has nevertheless
thrown up some obstacles to the most brazen versions of executive power Trump
has attempted to wield.
Trump spoke with POLITICO several days after the high court agreed to hear
arguments concerning the constitutionality of birthright citizenship, the
automatic conferral of citizenship on people born in the United States. Trump is
attempting to roll back that right and said it would be “devastating” if the
court blocked him from doing so.
If the court rules in his favor, Trump said, he had not yet considered whether
he would try to strip citizenship from people who were born as citizens under
current law.
Trump broke with some members of his party who have been hoping that the court’s
two oldest conservatives, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, might consider
retiring before the midterm elections so that Trump can nominate another
conservative while Republicans are guaranteed to control the Senate.
The president said he’d rather Alito, 75, and Thomas, 77, the court’s most
reliable conservative jurists, remain in place: “I hope they stay,” he said,
“’cause I think they’re fantastic.”
BRUSSELS — Japan has rebuffed the EU’s offer to join its plan to use frozen
Russian state assets to fund Ukraine — dashing the bloc’s hopes of securing
global support for the initiative.
During a meeting of G7 finance ministers on Monday, Tokyo poured cold water on a
request by Brussels to copy its plans to send Ukraine the cash value of Russian
sovereign assets held in Belgian bank Euroclear.
Japan signaled it is unable to use around $30 billion worth of Russian frozen
assets held on its soil to issue a loan to Ukraine, two EU diplomats briefed on
the discussions told POLITICO.
The European Commission wants EU capitals to strike a deal on using up to €210
billion in sanctioned cash before a leaders’ summit on Dec. 18. Belgium,
however, is resisting over fears it will be on the hook to repay the full amount
if Russia claws back the money.
One of its demands is that other G7 countries beyond the EU issue a loan to
Ukraine using the Russian frozen assets that they hold domestically.
Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever has insisted that greater participation by
G7 allies will reduce the risk of Russia retaliating solely against Belgium.
However, the U.S. and Japan have refused to join Brussels’ scheme — leaving the
EU to bear the brunt of Ukraine’s future financing needs alone.
During the meeting, the U.S. said it will cut support to Ukraine after
disbursing the last installments of a G7-wide loan that was negotiated by the
Biden administration in 2024, an EU diplomat said.
The war-battered country faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and
will have to start cutting public spending from April unless fresh money
arrives.
“We will continue to work together to develop a wide range of financing options
to support Ukraine, including potentially using the full value of the Russian
Sovereign Assets, immobilized in our jurisdictions until reparations are paid
for by Russia,” finance ministers from G7 countries wrote in their joint
statement after the meeting.
But in a note of caution they added that “our action will remain consistent with
our respective legal frameworks.”
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama has ruled out using the Russian
assets due to legal concerns, said an EU diplomat who was briefed on the
meeting.
However, several officials said Japan’s stance was linked to U.S. opposition to
using the Russian assets for Ukraine, arguing Tokyo doesn’t want to flout its
crucial ally. Like the EU diplomats, they were allowed to remain anonymous to
discuss sensitive matters.
U.S. President Donald Trump has signaled he intends to use the Russian assets to
bring President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table.
Instead of sending the money to Kyiv, Washington has suggested handing part of
the assets back to Russia and using the remainder to finance U.S. investments in
Ukraine.
But European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen continued to support the
idea of using the Russian assets to help Ukraine during a meeting on Monday with
the country’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
“Our Reparations Loan proposal is complex but at its core, it increases the cost
of war for Russia,” von der Leyen wrote in a statement after the meeting, in
which she was joined by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President
Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.
“So the longer Putin wages his war, spills blood, takes lives, and destroys
Ukrainian infrastructure — the higher the costs for Russia will be.”
In a boost for von der Leyen, the U.K. and Canada have signaled openness to
handing over the Russian state assets held on their soil to Ukraine — provided
the EU’s plan comes to fruition.
This issue is expected to take center stage during a meeting on Friday between
Starmer and De Wever.
EU countries will need to individually commit billions of euros to guarantee as
much as €210 billion in urgently needed loans to Ukraine, with Germany set to
backstop up to €52 billion, according to documents obtained by POLITICO.
The European Commission presented the eye-watering totals to diplomats last week
after unveiling a €165 billion reparations loan to Ukraine using the cash value
of frozen Russian assets.
The backstops, which would be divided up proportionally among countries across
the bloc, are needed to secure a go-ahead on the loan from Prime Minister Bart
De Wever. The Belgian leader has opposed the use of sovereign Russian assets
over concerns that his country alone may eventually be required to pay the money
back to Moscow. Some €185 billion in frozen Russian assets are under the
stewardship of the Brussels-based financial depository, Euroclear, while another
€25 billion is scattered across the bloc in private bank accounts.
The per-country totals may go up, however, if Kremlin-friendly countries such as
Hungary refuse to join the initiative — though non-EU countries may help, if
they choose, by covering some of the overall guarantee. Norway had been mooted
as a possible candidate until its finance minister, Jens Stoltenberg, distanced
Oslo from the idea.
Ukraine faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and will have to
start cutting public spending from April unless fresh money arrives. Hungary on
Friday vetoed issuing new EU debt to plug Kyiv’s budget gap, putting the onus on
leaders to convince De Wever to support using Russian assets when EU leaders
meet on Dec. 18, rather than dipping into their own national coffers.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz was in Brussels on Friday evening to reassure
De Wever that Germany would provide 25 percent of the backstop, the largest
share of any country.
“We had a very constructive exchange on this issue,” Merz said after dining with
the Belgian leader. “Belgium’s particular concern about the question of how to
make use of frozen Russian assets is undeniable and must be addressed in any
conceivable solution in such a way that all European states bear the same risk.”
CHECKS AND BALANCES
The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense
industry over five years, while €50 billion would cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs.
The remaining €45 billion from the overall package would repay a G7 loan to
Ukraine, issued last year.
The funds would be disbursed in six payments over the year, according to the
Commission’s slideshows.
Certain checks and balances would be in place to prevent crooks from pocketing
the money. In terms of defense spending, for example, this would include
ensuring that the contracts and the spending plans are acceptable to the
Commission.
The Commission would also detail Ukraine’s financing needs and outline where the
government receives military and financial aid, allowing EU capitals to track
the money streaming to Kyiv.
BRUSSELS — Hungary formally ruled out issuing eurobonds to support Ukraine on
Friday, a move that robs the EU of a potential Plan B should it fail to find a
way to use frozen Russian state assets to finance a €165 billion loan to Kyiv.
The European Commission wants the 27 EU member countries to agree at a summit
later this month to support Kyiv’s faltering economy with a loan based on
immobilized Russian central bank reserves. Belgium is pushing back hard as it
holds the lion’s share of that frozen cash and fears it would be on the hook if
the Kremlin sues.
Eurobonds would have provided an alternative funding stream to Ukraine, but
Budapest rejected the idea of issuing joint debt backed by the EU’s seven-year
budget, two diplomats at a meeting of ambassadors told POLITICO.
Hungary’s rejection came hours before a dinner between German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz and Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever in Brussels to discuss
the loan.
Merz said he was planning to use the event to bring De Wever on board.
“I take the concerns and objections of the Belgian prime minister very
seriously,” Merz told reporters on Thursday night. “I don’t want to persuade
him, I want to convince him that the path we are proposing here is the right
one.”
Germany is offering a backstop on 25 percent of the funds to convince Belgium to
send the frozen billions to Ukraine, but De Wever wants a broader guarantee from
the whole EU that Belgium will be insured for the full amount, or more.
The Commission proposed eurobonds on Wednesday as one of two options, along with
the Russian asset-backed loan, to ensure that Ukraine’s war chest doesn’t run
bare as soon as next April.
Raising debt through the EU budget to prop up Ukraine requires a unanimous vote,
however. Hungary’s rejection now raises the stakes for what are expected to be
intense negotiations on the loan before EU leaders gather in Brussels on Dec.
18.
Officials did not expect an immediate breakthrough given De Wever’s strong
opposition.
The Commission has repeatedly downplayed the financial and legal risks
associated with the reparation loan and insists its proposal addresses most of
Belgium’s concerns.
The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense
industry over five years, while €50 billion would go to cover Kyiv’s budgetary
needs.
James Angelos contributed reporting from Berlin.