Tag - Central Banker

French Senate sets up pre-Christmas budget showdown
PARIS — The French Senate laid the groundwork for a dramatic, consequential week of fiscal planning for 2026 on Monday by passing its own version of next year’s state budget rife with spending cuts.   The Senate and France’s more powerful lower house, the National Assembly, must now find a compromise in a process akin to a U.S.-style conference committee set to take place Friday. If that process fails it will considerably diminish the chances of France getting a new budget wrapped by the end of the year. One National Assembly official told POLITICO the meeting will be “make or break.” Political paralysis also prevented France from getting its 2025 state budget passed before the end of last year; Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu warned in November that a repeat failure was a “danger that weighs on the French economy.” The country is highly unlikely to face a government shutdown similar to what happened in the United States earlier this year, however, as lawmakers can approve a measure carrying the 2025 budget over into next year. But such a stopgap would exacerbate the worrying financial outlook in the European Union’s second-largest economy.   Lecornu managed to secure a consensus on next year’s social security budget, but the state budget is proving more difficult. The National Assembly’s first attempt ended with all but one MP voting against a bill saddled with untenable and sometimes conflicting amendments. The opposition Socialist Party, which backed the social security bill and is in somewhat of a kingmaker position, is leaning toward voting against this version of the state budget because its members feel France’s wealthiest households won’t be subject to sufficient tax hikes, party leader Olivier Faure said last week. 
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Trump’s man in Brussels: The EU must stop being ‘the world’s regulator’
U.S. President Donald Trump’s top envoy to the EU told POLITICO that overregulation is causing “real problems” economically and forcing European startups to flee to America. Andrew Puzder said businesses in the bloc “that become successful here go to the United States because the regulatory environment is killing them.” “Wouldn’t it be great if this part of the world, instead of deciding it was going to be the world’s regulator, decided once again to be the world’s innovators?” he added in an interview at this year’s POLITICO 28 event. “You’ll be stronger in the world and you’ll be a much better trade partner and ally to the United States.” Puzder’s remarks come as the Trump administration launched a series of blistering attacks on Europe in recent days. Washington’s National Security Strategy warned of the continent’s “civilizational erasure” and Trump himself blasted European leaders as “weak” and misguided on migration policy in an interview with POLITICO. Those broadsides have sparked concerns in Europe that Trump could seek to jettison the transatlantic relationship. But Puzder downplayed the strategy’s criticism and struck a more conciliatory note, saying the document was “more ‘make Europe great again’ than it was ‘let’s desert Europe’” and highlighted Europe’s potential as a partner.
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Belgium demands extra cash buffer for Russian assets loan
BRUSSELS — Belgium is demanding that the EU provide an extra cash buffer to ensure against Kremlin threats over a €210 billion loan to Ukraine using Russian assets, according to documents obtained by POLITICO. The cash buffer is part of a series of changes that the Belgian government wants to make to the European Commission’s proposal, which would be financed by leveraging €185 billion of frozen Russian state assets held by the Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear. The remaining €25 billion would come from other frozen Russian assets, lying in private bank accounts across the bloc — predominantly in France. Belgium’s fresh demand is designed to give Euroclear more financial firepower to withstand Russian retaliation. This cash buffer would come on top of financial guarantees that EU countries would provide against the €210 billion loan to protect Belgium from paying back the full amount if the Kremlin claws back the money. In its list of amendments to the Commission, Belgium even suggested increasing the guarantees to cover potential legal disputes and settlements — an idea that is opposed by many governments. Belgium’s demands come as EU leaders prepare to descend on Brussels on Dec. 18 to try and secure Ukraine’s ability to finance its defences against Russia. As things stand, Kyiv’s war chest will run bare in April. Failure to use the Russian assets to finance the loan would force EU capitals to reach into their own pockets to keep Ukraine afloat. But frugal countries are politically opposed to shifting the burden to EU taxpayers. Belgium is the main holdout over financing Ukraine using the Russian assets, amid fears that it will be on the hook to repay the full amount if Moscow manages to claw its money back. The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a €45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer to cover legal risks. | Artur Widak/Getty Images In its list of suggested changes, Belgium asked the EU to set aside an unspecified amount of money to protect Euroclear from the risk of Russian retaliation. It said that the safety net will account for “increased costs which Euroclear might suffer (e.g. legal costs to defend against retaliation)” and compensate for lost revenue. According to the document, the extra cash buffer should be financed by the windfall profits that Euroclear collects in interest from a deposit account at the European Central Bank, where the Kremlin-sanctioned money is currently sitting. The proceeds amounted to €4 billion last year. The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a €45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer to cover legal risks. In order to better protect Euroclear, Belgium wants to raise this threshold over the coming years.
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France, Italy told they won’t be hurt by EU’s €210B megaloan to Ukraine
BRUSSELS — France and Italy can breathe a sigh of relief after the EU’s statistics office signaled that the financial guarantees needed to back a €210 billion financing package to Ukraine won’t increase their heavy debt burdens. Eurostat on Tuesday evening sent a letter, obtained by POLITICO, informing the bloc’s treasuries that the financial guarantees underpinning the loan, backed by frozen Russian state assets on Belgian soil, would be considered “contingent liabilities.” In other words, the guarantees would only impact countries’ debt piles if triggered. Paris and Rome wanted Eurostat to clarify how the guarantees would be treated under EU rules for public spending, as both countries carry a debt burden above 100 percent of their respective economic output. Eurostat’s letter is expected to allay fears that signing up to the loan would undermine investor confidence in highly indebted countries and potentially raise their borrowing costs. That’s key for the Italians and French, as EU leaders prepare to discuss the initiative at a summit next week. Failure to secure a deal could leave Ukraine without enough funds to keep Russian forces at bay next year. The Commission has suggested all EU countries share the risk by providing financial guarantees against the loan in case the Kremlin manages to claw back its sanctioned cash, which is held in the Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear. “None of the conditions” that would lead to EU liability being transferred to member states “would be met,” Eurostat wrote in a letter, adding that the chances of EU countries ever paying those guarantees are weak. The Commission instead will be held liable for those guarantees, the agency added. Germany is set to bear the brunt of the loan, guaranteeing some €52 billion under the Commission’s draft rules. This figure will likely rise as Hungary has already refused to take part in the funding drive for Ukraine. The letter is unlikely to change Belgium’s stance, as it wants much higher guarantees and greater legal safeguards against Russian retaliation at home and abroad. The biggest risk facing the Commission’s proposal is the prospect of the assets being unfrozen if pro-Russia countries refuse to keep existing sanctions in place. Under current rules, the EU must unanimously reauthorize the sanctions every six months. That means Kremlin-friendly countries, such as Hungary and Slovakia, can force the EU to release the sanctioned money with a simple no vote. To make this scenario more unlikely, the Commission suggested a controversial legal fix that will be discussed today by EU ambassadors. Eurostat described the possibility of EU countries paying out for the loan as “a complex event with no obvious probability assessment at the time of inception.”
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French PM scores big win as social security budget clears major hurdle
French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu scored a key political victory Tuesday after lawmakers approved next year’s social security budget by just 13 votes. The bill must still be approved by the French Senate, but its passage in the more powerful National Assembly is a positive sign for the future of Lecornu’s minority government and to financial markets worried about France’s ability to rein in its spiraling budget deficit. Lecornu will have little time to celebrate, however, as there still remains the matter of the state budget, a separate piece of legislation where compromise has proved arguably more contentious.  Just one lawmaker in the 577-strong National Assembly backed the budget during an earlier vote on part of the state budget. This developing story will be updated
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European Parliament wins chance of bigger say in ECB vice president race
The European Parliament could have an early say in the race for the European Central Bank vice presidency, a win for lawmakers after years of pushing for more influence over the EU’s top appointments. Eurozone finance ministers will begin the process of selecting a successor to Luis de Guindos on Thursday, according to a draft timeline seen by POLITICO and an EU diplomat who separately confirmed the document’s content. The deadline for submitting candidates will be in early January, although an exact date is still to be agreed.  According to the document, members of the Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee will have the right to hold in-camera hearings with all the candidates in January before the Eurogroup formally proposes a name to the European Council for appointment. This would mark a break with the past, when MEPs only got involved in the process after ministers had already had their say. Involving the Parliament at an earlier stage could influence the selection process, for example by giving it the chance to press for adequate gender balance in the list of candidates. This had been one of the Parliament’s demands in its latest annual report on the ECB’s activities. “The Parliament will play a stronger role this time,” the diplomat told POLITICO. So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president slot: Christina Papaconstantinou, who is currently deputy governor at the C. Finland, Latvia, Croatia and Portugal are all set to propose male candidates. The candidate picked by ministers will return to lawmakers for an official hearing, which should take place between March and April, according to the document. MEPs have limited power over the final appointment, but they will issue a nonbinding opinion, which is then adopted through a plenary vote. The new vice president will be formally appointed by the European Council in May, before taking office on June 1. So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president slot. | Aris Messinis/Getty Images The vice president’s position is the first of four to come up for rotation at the ECB’s Executive Board over the next two years. It wasn’t immediately clear if the other three appointments — including the one for a new president — will give the lawmakers the same degree of influence. CORRECTION: This article was updated on Dec. 9 to correct the spelling of the surname of the deputy governor of the Bank of Greece.
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Trump thrashes European leaders: ‘I think they’re weak’
This article is also available in French and German. President Donald Trump denounced Europe as a “decaying” group of nations led by “weak” people in an interview with POLITICO, belittling the traditional U.S. allies for failing to control migration and end the Russia-Ukraine war, and signaling that he would endorse European political candidates aligned with his own vision for the continent. The broadside attack against European political leadership represents the president’s most virulent denunciation to date of these Western democracies, threatening a decisive rupture with countries like France and Germany that already have deeply strained relations with the Trump administration. “I think they’re weak,” Trump said of Europe’s political leaders. “But I also think that they want to be so politically correct.” “I think they don’t know what to do,” he added. “Europe doesn’t know what to do.” Trump matched that blunt, even abrasive, candor on European affairs with a sequence of stark pronouncements on matters closer to home: He said he would make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in his choice of a new Federal Reserve chair. He said he could extend anti-drug military operations to Mexico and Colombia. And Trump urged conservative Supreme Court Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas, both in their 70s, to stay on the bench. Trump’s comments about Europe come at an especially precarious moment in the negotiations to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, as European leaders express intensifying alarm that Trump may abandon Ukraine and its continental allies to Russian aggression. In the interview, Trump offered no reassurance to Europeans on that score and declared that Russia was obviously in a stronger position than Ukraine. Trump spoke on Monday at the White House with POLITICO’s Dasha Burns for a special episode of The Conversation. POLITICO on Tuesday named Trump the most influential figure shaping European politics in the year ahead, a recognition previously conferred on leaders including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Trump’s confident commentary on Europe presented a sharp contrast with some of his remarks on domestic matters in the interview. The president and his party have faced a series of electoral setbacks and spiraling dysfunction in Congress this fall as voters rebel against the high cost of living. Trump has struggled to deliver a message to meet that new reality: In the interview, he graded the economy’s performance as an “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus,” insisted that prices were falling across the board and declined to outline a specific remedy for imminent spikes in health care premiums. Even amid growing turbulence at home, however, Trump remains a singular figure in international politics. In recent days, European capitals have shuddered with dismay at the release of Trump’s new National Security Strategy document, a highly provocative manifesto that cast the Trump administration in opposition to the mainstream European political establishment and vowed to “cultivate resistance” to the European status quo on immigration and other politically volatile issues. In the interview, Trump amplified that worldview, describing cities like London and Paris as creaking under the burden of migration from the Middle East and Africa. Without a change in border policy, Trump said, some European states “will not be viable countries any longer.” Using highly incendiary language, Trump singled out London’s left-wing mayor, Sadiq Khan, the son of Pakistani immigrants and the city’s first Muslim mayor, as a “disaster” and blamed his election on immigration: “He gets elected because so many people have come in. They vote for him now.” The president of the European Council, António Costa, on Monday rebuked the Trump administration for the national security document and urged the White House to respect Europe’s sovereignty and right to self-government. “Allies do not threaten to interfere in the democratic life or the domestic political choices of these allies,” Costa said. “They respect them.” Speaking with POLITICO, Trump flouted those boundaries and said he would continue to back favorite candidates in European elections, even at the risk of offending local sensitivities. “I’d endorse,” Trump said. “I’ve endorsed people, but I’ve endorsed people that a lot of Europeans don’t like. I’ve endorsed Viktor Orbán,” the hard-right Hungarian prime minister Trump said he admired for his border-control policies. It was the Russia-Ukraine war, rather than electoral politics, that Trump appeared most immediately focused on. He claimed on Monday that he had offered a new draft of a peace plan that some Ukrainian officials liked, but that Zelenskyy himself had not reviewed yet. “It would be nice if he would read it,” Trump said. Zelenskyy met with leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Monday and continued to voice opposition to ceding Ukrainian territory to Russia as part of a peace deal. The president said he put little stock in the role of European leaders in seeking to end the war: “They talk, but they don’t produce, and the war just keeps going on and on.” In a fresh challenge to Zelenskyy, who appears politically weakened in Ukraine due to a corruption scandal, Trump renewed his call for Ukraine to hold new elections. “They haven’t had an election in a long time,” Trump said. “You know, they talk about a democracy, but it gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.” Latin America Even as he said he is pursuing a peace agenda overseas, Trump said he might further broaden the military actions his administration has taken in Latin America against targets it claims are linked to the drug trade. Trump has deployed a massive military force to the Caribbean to strike alleged drug runners and pressure the authoritarian regime in Venezuela. In the interview, Trump repeatedly declined to rule out putting American troops into Venezuela as part of an effort to bring down the strongman ruler Nicolás Maduro, whom Trump blames for exporting drugs and dangerous people to the United States. Some leaders on the American right have warned Trump that a ground invasion of Venezuela would be a red line for conservatives who voted for him in part to end foreign wars. “I don’t want to rule in or out. I don’t talk about it,” Trump said of deploying ground troops, adding: “I don’t want to talk to you about military strategy.” But the president said he would consider using force against targets in other countries where the drug trade is highly active, including Mexico and Colombia. “Sure, I would,” he said. Trump scarcely defended some of his most controversial actions in Latin America, including his recent pardon of the former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, who was serving a decades-long sentence in an American prison after being convicted in a massive drug-trafficking conspiracy. Trump said he knew “very little” about Hernández except that he’d been told by “very good people” that the former Honduran president had been targeted unfairly by political opponents. “They asked me to do it and I said, I’ll do it,” Trump acknowledged, without naming the people who sought the pardon for Hernández. HEALTH CARE AND THE ECONOMY Asked to grade the economy under his watch, Trump rated it an overwhelming success: “A-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus.” To the extent voters are frustrated about prices, Trump said the Biden administration was at fault: “I inherited a mess. I inherited a total mess.” The president is facing a forbidding political environment because of voters’ struggles with affordability, with about half of voters overall and nearly 4 in 10 people who voted for Trump in 2024 saying in a recent POLITICO Poll that the cost of living was as bad as it had ever been in their lives. Trump said he could make additional changes to tariff policy to help lower the price of some goods, as he has already done, but he insisted overall that the trend on costs was in the right direction. “Prices are all coming down,” Trump said, adding: “Everything is coming down.” Prices rose 3 percent over the 12 months ending in September, according to the most recent Consumer Price Index. Trump’s political struggles are shadowing his upcoming decision on a nominee to chair the Federal Reserve, a post that will shape the economic environment for the balance of Trump’s term. Asked if he was making support for slashing interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick “yes.” The most immediate threat to the cost of living for many Americans is the expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies for Obamacare exchange plans that were enacted by Democrats under former President Joe Biden and are set to expire at the end of this year. Health insurance premiums are expected to spike in 2026, and medical charities are already experiencing a marked rise in requests for aid even before subsidies expire. Trump has been largely absent from health policy negotiations in Washington, while Democrats and some Republicans supportive of a compromise on subsidies have run into a wall of opposition on the right. Reaching a deal — and marshaling support from enough Republicans to pass it — would likely require direct intervention from the president. Yet asked if he would support a temporary extension of Obamacare subsidies while he works out a large-scale plan with lawmakers, Trump was noncommittal. “I don’t know. I’m gonna have to see,” he said, pivoting to an attack on Democrats for being too generous with insurance companies in the Affordable Care Act. A cloud of uncertainty surrounds the administration’s intentions on health care policy. In late November, the White House planned to unveil a proposal to temporarily extend Obamacare subsidies only to postpone the announcement. Trump has promised on and off for years to unveil a comprehensive plan for replacing Obamacare but has never done so. That did not change in the interview. “I want to give the people better health insurance for less money,” Trump said. “The people will get the money, and they’re going to buy the health insurance that they want.” Reminded that Americans are currently buying holiday gifts and drawing up household budgets for 2026 amid uncertainty around premiums, Trump shot back: “Don’t be dramatic. Don’t be dramatic.” SUPREME COURT Large swaths of Trump’s domestic agenda currently sit before the Supreme Court, with a generally sympathetic 6-3 conservative majority that has nevertheless thrown up some obstacles to the most brazen versions of executive power Trump has attempted to wield. Trump spoke with POLITICO several days after the high court agreed to hear arguments concerning the constitutionality of birthright citizenship, the automatic conferral of citizenship on people born in the United States. Trump is attempting to roll back that right and said it would be “devastating” if the court blocked him from doing so. If the court rules in his favor, Trump said, he had not yet considered whether he would try to strip citizenship from people who were born as citizens under current law. Trump broke with some members of his party who have been hoping that the court’s two oldest conservatives, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, might consider retiring before the midterm elections so that Trump can nominate another conservative while Republicans are guaranteed to control the Senate. The president said he’d rather Alito, 75, and Thomas, 77, the court’s most reliable conservative jurists, remain in place: “I hope they stay,” he said, “’cause I think they’re fantastic.”
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Japan rebuffs EU plea to join Russian assets plan
BRUSSELS — Japan has rebuffed the EU’s offer to join its plan to use frozen Russian state assets to fund Ukraine — dashing the bloc’s hopes of securing global support for the initiative. During a meeting of G7 finance ministers on Monday, Tokyo poured cold water on a request by Brussels to copy its plans to send Ukraine the cash value of Russian sovereign assets held in Belgian bank Euroclear. Japan signaled it is unable to use around $30 billion worth of Russian frozen assets held on its soil to issue a loan to Ukraine, two EU diplomats briefed on the discussions told POLITICO. The European Commission wants EU capitals to strike a deal on using up to €210 billion in sanctioned cash before a leaders’ summit on Dec. 18. Belgium, however, is resisting over fears it will be on the hook to repay the full amount if Russia claws back the money. One of its demands is that other G7 countries beyond the EU issue a loan to Ukraine using the Russian frozen assets that they hold domestically. Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever has insisted that greater participation by G7 allies will reduce the risk of Russia retaliating solely against Belgium.   However, the U.S. and Japan have refused to join Brussels’ scheme — leaving the EU to bear the brunt of Ukraine’s future financing needs alone. During the meeting, the U.S. said it will cut support to Ukraine after disbursing the last installments of a G7-wide loan that was negotiated by the Biden administration in 2024, an EU diplomat said. The war-battered country faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and will have to start cutting public spending from April unless fresh money arrives.  “We will continue to work together to develop a wide range of financing options to support Ukraine, including potentially using the full value of the Russian Sovereign Assets, immobilized in our jurisdictions until reparations are paid for by Russia,” finance ministers from G7 countries wrote in their joint statement after the meeting. But in a note of caution they added that “our action will remain consistent with our respective legal frameworks.” Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama has ruled out using the Russian assets due to legal concerns, said an EU diplomat who was briefed on the meeting. However, several officials said Japan’s stance was linked to U.S. opposition to using the Russian assets for Ukraine, arguing Tokyo doesn’t want to flout its crucial ally. Like the EU diplomats, they were allowed to remain anonymous to discuss sensitive matters. U.S. President Donald Trump has signaled he intends to use the Russian assets to bring President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table. Instead of sending the money to Kyiv, Washington has suggested handing part of the assets back to Russia and using the remainder to finance U.S. investments in Ukraine. But European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen continued to support the idea of using the Russian assets to help Ukraine during a meeting on Monday with the country’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy. “Our Reparations Loan proposal is complex but at its core, it increases the cost of war for Russia,” von der Leyen wrote in a statement after the meeting, in which she was joined by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. “So the longer Putin wages his war, spills blood, takes lives, and destroys Ukrainian infrastructure — the higher the costs for Russia will be.” In a boost for von der Leyen, the U.K. and Canada have signaled openness to handing over the Russian state assets held on their soil to Ukraine — provided the EU’s plan comes to fruition. This issue is expected to take center stage during a meeting on Friday between Starmer and De Wever.
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Here’s how EU capitals would divvy up Ukraine loan backstop under €210B frozen assets plan
EU countries will need to individually commit billions of euros to guarantee as much as €210 billion in urgently needed loans to Ukraine, with Germany set to backstop up to €52 billion, according to documents obtained by POLITICO. The European Commission presented the eye-watering totals to diplomats last week after unveiling a €165 billion reparations loan to Ukraine using the cash value of frozen Russian assets. The backstops, which would be divided up proportionally among countries across the bloc, are needed to secure a go-ahead on the loan from Prime Minister Bart De Wever. The Belgian leader has opposed the use of sovereign Russian assets over concerns that his country alone may eventually be required to pay the money back to Moscow. Some €185 billion in frozen Russian assets are under the stewardship of the Brussels-based financial depository, Euroclear, while another €25 billion is scattered across the bloc in private bank accounts. The per-country totals may go up, however, if Kremlin-friendly countries such as Hungary refuse to join the initiative — though non-EU countries may help, if they choose, by covering some of the overall guarantee. Norway had been mooted as a possible candidate until its finance minister, Jens Stoltenberg, distanced Oslo from the idea. Ukraine faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and will have to start cutting public spending from April unless fresh money arrives. Hungary on Friday vetoed issuing new EU debt to plug Kyiv’s budget gap, putting the onus on leaders to convince De Wever to support using Russian assets when EU leaders meet on Dec. 18, rather than dipping into their own national coffers. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz was in Brussels on Friday evening to reassure De Wever that Germany would provide 25 percent of the backstop, the largest share of any country. “We had a very constructive exchange on this issue,” Merz said after dining with the Belgian leader. “Belgium’s particular concern about the question of how to make use of frozen Russian assets is undeniable and must be addressed in any conceivable solution in such a way that all European states bear the same risk.” CHECKS AND BALANCES The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense industry over five years, while €50 billion would cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs. The remaining €45 billion from the overall package would repay a G7 loan to Ukraine, issued last year. The funds would be disbursed in six payments over the year, according to the Commission’s slideshows. Certain checks and balances would be in place to prevent crooks from pocketing the money. In terms of defense spending, for example, this would include ensuring that the contracts and the spending plans are acceptable to the Commission. The Commission would also detail Ukraine’s financing needs and outline where the government receives military and financial aid, allowing EU capitals to track the money streaming to Kyiv.
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Hungary shoots down eurobonds as alternative to EU’s Russian asset plan
BRUSSELS — Hungary formally ruled out issuing eurobonds to support Ukraine on Friday, a move that robs the EU of a potential Plan B should it fail to find a way to use frozen Russian state assets to finance a €165 billion loan to Kyiv. The European Commission wants the 27 EU member countries to agree at a summit later this month to support Kyiv’s faltering economy with a loan based on immobilized Russian central bank reserves. Belgium is pushing back hard as it holds the lion’s share of that frozen cash and fears it would be on the hook if the Kremlin sues. Eurobonds would have provided an alternative funding stream to Ukraine, but Budapest rejected the idea of issuing joint debt backed by the EU’s seven-year budget, two diplomats at a meeting of ambassadors told POLITICO. Hungary’s rejection came hours before a dinner between German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever in Brussels to discuss the loan. Merz said he was planning to use the event to bring De Wever on board. “I take the concerns and objections of the Belgian prime minister very seriously,” Merz told reporters on Thursday night. “I don’t want to persuade him, I want to convince him that the path we  are proposing here is the right one.” Germany is offering a backstop on 25 percent of the funds to convince Belgium to send the frozen billions to Ukraine, but De Wever wants a broader guarantee from the whole EU that Belgium will be insured for the full amount, or more. The Commission proposed eurobonds on Wednesday as one of two options, along with the Russian asset-backed loan, to ensure that Ukraine’s war chest doesn’t run bare as soon as next April. Raising debt through the EU budget to prop up Ukraine requires a unanimous vote, however. Hungary’s rejection now raises the stakes for what are expected to be intense negotiations on the loan before EU leaders gather in Brussels on Dec. 18. Officials did not expect an immediate breakthrough given De Wever’s strong opposition. The Commission has repeatedly downplayed the financial and legal risks associated with the reparation loan and insists its proposal addresses most of Belgium’s concerns. The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense industry over five years, while €50 billion would go to cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs. James Angelos contributed reporting from Berlin.
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