ATHENS — The country that almost got kicked out of the eurozone is now running
the powerful EU body that rescued it from bankruptcy.
Greece’s finance minister, Kyriakos Pierrakakis, on Thursday beat Belgian Deputy
Prime Minister Vincent Van Peteghem in a two-horse race for the Eurogroup
presidency. Although an informal forum for eurozone finance ministers, the post
has proved pivotal in overcoming crises — notably the sovereign debt crisis,
which resulted in three bailouts of the Greek government.
That was 10 years ago, when Pierrakakis’ predecessor described the Eurogroup as
a place fit only for psychopaths. Today, Athens presents itself as a poster
child of fiscal prudence after dramatically reducing its debt pile to around 147
percent of its economic output — albeit still the highest tally in the eurozone.
“My generation was shaped by an existential crisis that revealed the power of
resilience, the cost of complacency, the necessity of reform, and the strategic
importance of European solidarity,” Pierrakakis wrote in his motivational letter
for the job. “Our story is not only national; it is deeply European.”
Few diplomats initially expected the 42-year-old computer scientist and
political economist to win the race to lead the Eurogroup after incumbent
Paschal Donohoe’s shock resignation last month. Belgium’s Van Peteghem could
boast more experience and held a great deal of respect within the eurozone,
setting him up as the early favorite to win.
But Belgium’s continued reluctance to back the European Commission’s bid to use
the cash value of frozen Russian assets to finance a €165 billion reparations
loan to Ukraine ultimately contributed to Van Peteghem’s defeat.
NOT TYPICAL
Pierrakakis isn’t a typical member of the center-right ruling New Democracy
party, which belongs to the European People’s Party. His political background is
a socialist one, having served as an advisor to the centre-left PASOK party from
2009, when Greece plunged into financial crisis. He was even one of the Greek
technocrats negotiating with the country’s creditors.
The Harvard and MIT graduate joined New Democracy to support Prime Minister
Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ bid for the party leadership in 2015, because he felt that
they shared a political vision.
Pierrakakis got his big political break when New Democracy won the national
election in 2019, after four years of serving as a director of the research and
policy institute diaNEOsis. He was named minister of digital governance,
overseeing Greece’s efforts to modernize the country’s creaking bureaucracy,
adopting digital solutions for everything from Cabinet meetings to medical
prescriptions.
Those efforts made him one of the most popular ministers in the Greek cabinet
— so much so that Pierrakakis is often touted as Mitsotakis’ likely successor
for the party leadership in the Greek press.
Few diplomats initially expected the 42-year-old computer scientist and
political economist to win the race to lead the Eurogroup after incumbent
Paschal Donohoe’s shock resignation last month. | Nicolas Economou/Getty Images
After the re-election of New Democracy in 2023, Pierrakakis took over the
Education Ministry, where he backed controversial legislation that paved the way
for the establishment of private universities in Greece.
A Cabinet reshuffle in March placed him within the finance ministry, where he
has sped up plans to pay down Greece’s debt to creditors and pledged to bring
the country’s debt below 120 percent of GDP before 2030.
Tag - Eurozone
BRUSSELS — Belgium is demanding that the EU provide an extra cash buffer to
ensure against Kremlin threats over a €210 billion loan to Ukraine using Russian
assets, according to documents obtained by POLITICO.
The cash buffer is part of a series of changes that the Belgian government wants
to make to the European Commission’s proposal, which would be financed by
leveraging €185 billion of frozen Russian state assets held by the
Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear. The remaining €25 billion would
come from other frozen Russian assets, lying in private bank accounts across the
bloc — predominantly in France.
Belgium’s fresh demand is designed to give Euroclear more financial firepower to
withstand Russian retaliation.
This cash buffer would come on top of financial guarantees that EU countries
would provide against the €210 billion loan to protect Belgium from paying back
the full amount if the Kremlin claws back the money.
In its list of amendments to the Commission, Belgium even suggested increasing
the guarantees to cover potential legal disputes and settlements — an idea that
is opposed by many governments.
Belgium’s demands come as EU leaders prepare to descend on Brussels on Dec. 18
to try and secure Ukraine’s ability to finance its defences against Russia. As
things stand, Kyiv’s war chest will run bare in April. Failure to use the
Russian assets to finance the loan would force EU capitals to reach into their
own pockets to keep Ukraine afloat. But frugal countries are politically opposed
to shifting the burden to EU taxpayers.
Belgium is the main holdout over financing Ukraine using the Russian assets,
amid fears that it will be on the hook to repay the full amount if Moscow
manages to claw its money back.
The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a
€45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer
to cover legal risks. | Artur Widak/Getty Images
In its list of suggested changes, Belgium asked the EU to set aside an
unspecified amount of money to protect Euroclear from the risk of Russian
retaliation. It said that the safety net will account for “increased costs which
Euroclear might suffer (e.g. legal costs to defend against retaliation)” and
compensate for lost revenue.
According to the document, the extra cash buffer should be financed by the
windfall profits that Euroclear collects in interest from a deposit account at
the European Central Bank, where the Kremlin-sanctioned money is currently
sitting. The proceeds amounted to €4 billion last year.
The bulk of this revenue is currently being funneled to Ukraine to pay down a
€45 billion loan from G7 countries, with Euroclear retaining a 10 percent buffer
to cover legal risks. In order to better protect Euroclear, Belgium wants to
raise this threshold over the coming years.
BRUSSELS — France and Italy can breathe a sigh of relief after the EU’s
statistics office signaled that the financial guarantees needed to back a €210
billion financing package to Ukraine won’t increase their heavy debt burdens.
Eurostat on Tuesday evening sent a letter, obtained by POLITICO, informing the
bloc’s treasuries that the financial guarantees underpinning the loan, backed by
frozen Russian state assets on Belgian soil, would be considered “contingent
liabilities.” In other words, the guarantees would only impact countries’ debt
piles if triggered.
Paris and Rome wanted Eurostat to clarify how the guarantees would be treated
under EU rules for public spending, as both countries carry a debt burden above
100 percent of their respective economic output.
Eurostat’s letter is expected to allay fears that signing up to the loan would
undermine investor confidence in highly indebted countries and potentially raise
their borrowing costs. That’s key for the Italians and French, as EU leaders
prepare to discuss the initiative at a summit next week. Failure to secure a
deal could leave Ukraine without enough funds to keep Russian forces at bay next
year.
The Commission has suggested all EU countries share the risk by providing
financial guarantees against the loan in case the Kremlin manages to claw back
its sanctioned cash, which is held in the Brussels-based financial depository
Euroclear.
“None of the conditions” that would lead to EU liability being transferred to
member states “would be met,” Eurostat wrote in a letter, adding that the
chances of EU countries ever paying those guarantees are weak. The Commission
instead will be held liable for those guarantees, the agency added.
Germany is set to bear the brunt of the loan, guaranteeing some €52 billion
under the Commission’s draft rules. This figure will likely rise as Hungary has
already refused to take part in the funding drive for Ukraine. The letter is
unlikely to change Belgium’s stance, as it wants much higher guarantees and
greater legal safeguards against Russian retaliation at home and abroad.
The biggest risk facing the Commission’s proposal is the prospect of the assets
being unfrozen if pro-Russia countries refuse to keep existing sanctions in
place.
Under current rules, the EU must unanimously reauthorize the sanctions every six
months. That means Kremlin-friendly countries, such as Hungary and Slovakia, can
force the EU to release the sanctioned money with a simple no vote.
To make this scenario more unlikely, the Commission suggested a controversial
legal fix that will be discussed today by EU ambassadors. Eurostat described the
possibility of EU countries paying out for the loan as “a complex event with no
obvious probability assessment at the time of inception.”
The European Parliament could have an early say in the race for the European
Central Bank vice presidency, a win for lawmakers after years of pushing for
more influence over the EU’s top appointments.
Eurozone finance ministers will begin the process of selecting a successor to
Luis de Guindos on Thursday, according to a draft timeline seen by POLITICO and
an EU diplomat who separately confirmed the document’s content. The deadline for
submitting candidates will be in early January, although an exact date is still
to be agreed.
According to the document, members of the Economic and Monetary Affairs
Committee will have the right to hold in-camera hearings with all the candidates
in January before the Eurogroup formally proposes a name to the European Council
for appointment.
This would mark a break with the past, when MEPs only got involved in the
process after ministers had already had their say. Involving the Parliament at
an earlier stage could influence the selection process, for example by giving it
the chance to press for adequate gender balance in the list of candidates. This
had been one of the Parliament’s demands in its latest annual report on the
ECB’s activities.
“The Parliament will play a stronger role this time,” the diplomat told
POLITICO.
So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president
slot: Christina Papaconstantinou, who is currently deputy governor at the C.
Finland, Latvia, Croatia and Portugal are all set to propose male candidates.
The candidate picked by ministers will return to lawmakers for an official
hearing, which should take place between March and April, according to the
document. MEPs have limited power over the final appointment, but they will
issue a nonbinding opinion, which is then adopted through a plenary vote. The
new vice president will be formally appointed by the European Council in May,
before taking office on June 1.
So far, only Greece is considering proposing a woman for the vice president
slot. | Aris Messinis/Getty Images
The vice president’s position is the first of four to come up for rotation at
the ECB’s Executive Board over the next two years. It wasn’t immediately clear
if the other three appointments — including the one for a new president — will
give the lawmakers the same degree of influence.
CORRECTION: This article was updated on Dec. 9 to correct the spelling of the
surname of the deputy governor of the Bank of Greece.
EU countries will need to individually commit billions of euros to guarantee as
much as €210 billion in urgently needed loans to Ukraine, with Germany set to
backstop up to €52 billion, according to documents obtained by POLITICO.
The European Commission presented the eye-watering totals to diplomats last week
after unveiling a €165 billion reparations loan to Ukraine using the cash value
of frozen Russian assets.
The backstops, which would be divided up proportionally among countries across
the bloc, are needed to secure a go-ahead on the loan from Prime Minister Bart
De Wever. The Belgian leader has opposed the use of sovereign Russian assets
over concerns that his country alone may eventually be required to pay the money
back to Moscow. Some €185 billion in frozen Russian assets are under the
stewardship of the Brussels-based financial depository, Euroclear, while another
€25 billion is scattered across the bloc in private bank accounts.
The per-country totals may go up, however, if Kremlin-friendly countries such as
Hungary refuse to join the initiative — though non-EU countries may help, if
they choose, by covering some of the overall guarantee. Norway had been mooted
as a possible candidate until its finance minister, Jens Stoltenberg, distanced
Oslo from the idea.
Ukraine faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and will have to
start cutting public spending from April unless fresh money arrives. Hungary on
Friday vetoed issuing new EU debt to plug Kyiv’s budget gap, putting the onus on
leaders to convince De Wever to support using Russian assets when EU leaders
meet on Dec. 18, rather than dipping into their own national coffers.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz was in Brussels on Friday evening to reassure
De Wever that Germany would provide 25 percent of the backstop, the largest
share of any country.
“We had a very constructive exchange on this issue,” Merz said after dining with
the Belgian leader. “Belgium’s particular concern about the question of how to
make use of frozen Russian assets is undeniable and must be addressed in any
conceivable solution in such a way that all European states bear the same risk.”
CHECKS AND BALANCES
The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense
industry over five years, while €50 billion would cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs.
The remaining €45 billion from the overall package would repay a G7 loan to
Ukraine, issued last year.
The funds would be disbursed in six payments over the year, according to the
Commission’s slideshows.
Certain checks and balances would be in place to prevent crooks from pocketing
the money. In terms of defense spending, for example, this would include
ensuring that the contracts and the spending plans are acceptable to the
Commission.
The Commission would also detail Ukraine’s financing needs and outline where the
government receives military and financial aid, allowing EU capitals to track
the money streaming to Kyiv.
BRUSSELS — Hungary formally ruled out issuing eurobonds to support Ukraine on
Friday, a move that robs the EU of a potential Plan B should it fail to find a
way to use frozen Russian state assets to finance a €165 billion loan to Kyiv.
The European Commission wants the 27 EU member countries to agree at a summit
later this month to support Kyiv’s faltering economy with a loan based on
immobilized Russian central bank reserves. Belgium is pushing back hard as it
holds the lion’s share of that frozen cash and fears it would be on the hook if
the Kremlin sues.
Eurobonds would have provided an alternative funding stream to Ukraine, but
Budapest rejected the idea of issuing joint debt backed by the EU’s seven-year
budget, two diplomats at a meeting of ambassadors told POLITICO.
Hungary’s rejection came hours before a dinner between German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz and Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever in Brussels to discuss
the loan.
Merz said he was planning to use the event to bring De Wever on board.
“I take the concerns and objections of the Belgian prime minister very
seriously,” Merz told reporters on Thursday night. “I don’t want to persuade
him, I want to convince him that the path we are proposing here is the right
one.”
Germany is offering a backstop on 25 percent of the funds to convince Belgium to
send the frozen billions to Ukraine, but De Wever wants a broader guarantee from
the whole EU that Belgium will be insured for the full amount, or more.
The Commission proposed eurobonds on Wednesday as one of two options, along with
the Russian asset-backed loan, to ensure that Ukraine’s war chest doesn’t run
bare as soon as next April.
Raising debt through the EU budget to prop up Ukraine requires a unanimous vote,
however. Hungary’s rejection now raises the stakes for what are expected to be
intense negotiations on the loan before EU leaders gather in Brussels on Dec.
18.
Officials did not expect an immediate breakthrough given De Wever’s strong
opposition.
The Commission has repeatedly downplayed the financial and legal risks
associated with the reparation loan and insists its proposal addresses most of
Belgium’s concerns.
The proposed reparations loan earmarks €115 billion to finance Ukraine’s defense
industry over five years, while €50 billion would go to cover Kyiv’s budgetary
needs.
James Angelos contributed reporting from Berlin.
European Central Bank officials are growing increasingly jittery as Kevin
Hassett — a close ally of President Donald Trump with very little central bank
experience — emerges as the frontrunner to lead the U.S. Federal Reserve.
A report last week by Bloomberg described Hassett, whom Trump picked at the
start of the year to head the White House National Economic Council, as the
“emerging front-runner” to replace current Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Hassett’s rise has set off alarm bells in Frankfurt. European officials fear
Hassett, under pressure from his boss in the White House, could push the Fed
into cutting interest rates far more aggressively than Powell — even though that
might risk unleashing another wave of inflation that could ripple out across the
world.
“If markets obtain a firm belief that the new [Fed chair] is subject to fiscal
or any other dominance at the expense of the inflation target, there will be
capital flight from the U.S. and an erosion of the value of the dollar with
serious consequences worldwide — including higher inflation,” one ECB official
said.
Like others interviewed for this story, the official spoke on condition of
anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.
“There is a possibility that the U.S. will have some inflationary bias … because
of the political involvement,” a second ECB official warned.
The Bloomberg report came just before Thanksgiving, after Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent had whittled down a long roster of candidates into a shorter list.
Later during the holiday weekend, aboard Air Force One, Trump told
reporters that “I know who I’m gonna pick,” but he told a cabinet meeting on
Tuesday that he wouldn’t announce his decision until early in the new year.
Prediction markets such as Polymarket have made Hassett the odds-on favorite
since then.
“For Trump, Hassett would be the best choice,” a third ECB official agreed,
noting the candidate’s political proximity to the White House.
PRESSURE CAMPAIGN
Trump has repeatedly attacked the Fed since returning to office in January,
blasting Powell — whom he appointed as Chair during his first term — as a
“numbskull” and a “major loser” for not cutting interest rates more quickly.
The Fed withstood the pressure until September, when signs of a slowdown in the
labor market emerged. It cut rates again in October, but Powell upset those
expecting more easing soon by warning that another cut in December is by no
means “a done deal.” Since then, several of his colleagues on the Federal Open
Markets Committee have expressed reluctance to cut any further in December,
pointing to an inflation rate stuck above the 2 percent target.
More recently, as Jerome Powell has come under fire from the White House,
European colleagues have rushed to defend him.
Usually, when the labor market weakens, so does inflation, but that hasn’t
happened this time. At both of his last two press conferences, Powell noted that
the Fed’s dual mandate of keeping prices stable while pursuing full employment
were currently “in tension” with each other.
Hassett has presented a very different view, telling CNBC in November that
“inflation has come way down” from the 5 percent that it averaged during Joe
Biden’s presidency andthat “the trajectory is really, really, really good if you
look at it.” That’s despite U.S. headline inflation actually rising in four of
the last five months.
MY GOOD FRIEND BEN
That is why many in Frankfurt see alternative candidates — including the dovish
but experienced Fed Governor Christopher Waller — as far safer choices. Also
still in the running, according to various sources, are former Fed Governor
Kevin Warsh, BlackRock fixed-income chief Rick Rieder, and sitting Governor
Michelle Bowman.
For decades, relations between the Fed and the ECB have been collegial and
cooperative. Members of the small, globally connected circle of central bankers
have long seen themselves as a kind of fraternity. During the height of the 2008
financial crisis, then-ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet liked to emphasize that
closeness by repeatedly referring to Fed Chair Ben Bernanke as “my good friend
Ben.”
More recently, as Powell has come under fire from the White House, European
colleagues have rushed to defend him.
Lagarde told a Washington Post event in April that “I have … enormous respect
for Chair Powell, and I know that he’s doing exactly what’s expected of him to
serve the American people.”
Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel echoed such comments more recently.
Outside the eurozone, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey — another central
banker anxious about the risk of financial volatility — called Powell “a man of
the utmost integrity.”
With Powell’s departure looming, ECB officials increasingly fear that this
long-standing, trust-based relationship may be nearing its end, a fourth
official told POLITICO. These concerns have already begun to influence the ECB’s
strategic considerations in other areas, including liquidity policies and its
own leadership succession.
The ECB declined to comment.
(Additional reporting by Ben Munster)
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz will arrive Friday in Brussels in a bid to
convince Belgium’s leadership to back a €165 billion reparations loan to Ukraine
using the cash value of frozen Russian state assets held on Belgian soil.
“Chancellor Friedrich Merz will travel to Belgium tomorrow evening for a dinner
meeting to speak privately with Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever and
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen,” a German government
spokesperson told POLITICO.
Merz scrapped his travel plans to Oslo to make the trip to the EU capital after
the Commission proposed a financial package to fund Ukraine’s defense against
Russian forces. Time is of the essence, as Kyiv’s war chest is expected to run
bare in April.
De Wever continues to oppose the initiative, as the lion’s share of the assets
is under the stewardship of Brussels-based financial depository, Euroclear. He
fears that Russia will retaliate against Belgium at home and abroad, and is
demanding ironclad financial guarantees from EU capitals before he even
considers backing the Commission’s proposal.
EU leaders are scheduled to discuss the initiative in Brussels on Dec. 18.
Failure to reach a deal could force EU governments to use taxpayers’ money to
ensure Ukraine’s survival.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission is adamant it has done what’s needed to
address Belgium’s concerns about a financial package worth up to €210 billion to
fund Ukraine’s defense against Moscow.
The EU executive unveiled the package on Wednesday, first reported by POLITICO,
which leverages the cash value of frozen Russian state assets across the bloc —
with the lion’s share sitting in Belgium. The Belgian government fears the move
would provoke Russian retaliation but, without support, Ukraine’s war chest is
expected to run bare in April.
Diplomats are now in a race against time to scrutinize the proposal before EU
leaders gather in Brussels on Dec. 18 to decide on whether to proceed with the
initiative or meet Ukraine’s financing needs with their own taxpayers’ money.
The main stumbling block remains the Belgian government’s opposition to the
loan.
“I’m not impressed yet, let me put it that way,” Belgian Prime Minister Bart De
Wever said in televised remarks before the proposal was unveiled on Wednesday
afternoon. “We are not going to put risks involving hundreds of billions … on
Belgian shoulders. Not today, not tomorrow, never.”
Belgium fears Russian retaliation against the state and the financial depository
holding the frozen assets, Euroclear. The government is demanding that other EU
capitals pay up the full amount if Moscow successfully recovers the money.
Responding to De Wever’s concerns, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
told reporters that “we have put in place mechanisms that protect all our member
states and this, of course, includes specifically also Belgium.”
She added that the legal proposal addresses Belgium’s main conditions for
supporting the loan, which include more risk-sharing and tapping into assets
held by other EU countries beyond Belgium.
Here are the five top questions that De Wever will ask to determine whether the
proposal stays within his red lines.
WHAT DOES THE LOAN TO UKRAINE LOOK LIKE?
Under the proposal, the EU will lend €165 billion to Ukraine, which it will only
have to repay once Russia ends the war and pays reparations. The loan includes
€25 billion of immobilized Russian state assets held in private bank accounts in
France, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, and Cyprus, in addition to €140 billion held
in the Brussels-based Euroclear bank.
As part of the financial package, the Commission will set aside €45 billion to
repay a G7 loan to Ukraine, which was agreed in 2024. This brings the total
value of the package to €210 billion.
If all else fails, the EU executive said that it can issue joint debt to Ukraine
through its multi-year budget. The main drawback is that pursuing this option
requires unanimity, an unlikely scenario given Hungary’s repeated threats to
block further financing to Kyiv.
Within the reparations loan, €115 billion has been earmarked to finance
Ukraine’s defense industry, while €50 billion will cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs.
| Roman Pilipey/Getty Images
HOW WILL THE MONEY BE SPENT?
Within the reparations loan, €115 billion has been earmarked to finance
Ukraine’s defense industry, while €50 billion will cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs.
The loan reserved for military spending will be disbursed over five years in
cash envelopes, known as tranches, under certain conditions to avoid corruption.
The bulk of the money, €90 billion, would be available over the next two years.
Money reserved for the country’s budgetary needs could last until the end of
2055.
The proposal gives preference to military gear made in Europe or Ukraine, but
also allows for buying equipment from foreign allies, such as the U.S., under
certain conditions.
WHAT SAFEGUARDS DOES BELGIUM HAVE?
EU governments will provide bilateral financial guarantees of up to €105 billion
until 2028 to ensure that Belgium is not alone in handling the risks associated
with the initiative. The underlying principle is that EU capitals collectively
stump up the full amount of the loan should the Kremlin successfully claw its
money back, which the Commission sees as unlikely.
Belgium is demanding that the guarantees exceed the total value of the EU loan
and extend beyond the expiry of the Russian sanctions package — and will
continue to push for this during the technical negotiations in Council. In
further reassurance to Belgium, the Commission will set up a “liquidity
mechanism” that can lend money to governments to ensure that the guarantees can
be paid out at a moment’s notice.
The EU’s next seven-year budget will take over from national guarantees from
2028, and shoulder the burden through its “headroom,” a financial cushion that
ensures Brussels can meet its obligations.
HOW WILL THE EU KEEP THE RUSSIAN ASSETS FROZEN?
The biggest legal hurdle facing the proposal is the prospect of the assets being
unfrozen if pro-Russia countries refuse to keep existing sanctions in place.
Under current rules, the EU must unanimously reauthorize the sanctions every six
months. That means Kremlin-friendly countries, such as Hungary and Slovakia, can
force the EU to release the sanctioned money with a simple no-vote.
The Commission suggested a legal fix that would make this scenario less likely.
It aims to trigger a clause in Article 122 of the EU treaty that could make it
illegal to return the assets to the Kremlin. The clause is legally uncertain and
hinges on the argument that reversing the sanctions would wreak havoc on
Europe’s economy. The Commission is confident that it can trigger this legal
clause by a qualified majority.
The Belgian government fears the move would provoke Russian retaliation
but, without support, Ukraine’s war chest is expected to run bare in April. |
Nicolas Tucat/Getty Images
DOES THIS AFFECT THE PEACE DEAL WITH RUSSIA?
De Wever claimed last week that the Commission’s proposal would derail a peace
deal in Ukraine by removing leverage that might encourage Russian President
Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table. But von der Leyen played down the
argument, saying that the reparations loan will instead ramp up the pressure on
Russia.
“It is a very clear message … to Russia that the prolongation of the war on
their side comes with a high cost for them,” she said, adding that the proposal
“will contribute positively to the peace negotiations.”
For Ukraine, meanwhile, the scheme would strengthen its negotiating position,
ensuring it was not entering peace talks while facing a cash crunch. “It is a
leverage that makes it very clear that we are in for the long haul with
Ukraine,” she said.
Hanne Cokelaere contributed reporting from Brussels.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission is proposing a reparations loan of €165
billion for Ukraine using the cash value of frozen Russian state assets held in
Belgium, according to documents obtained by POLITICO.
The reparations loan is part of a wider financial package, worth up to €210
billion, to keep Kyiv’s finances afloat for the coming years.
The €165 billion reparations loan includes €25 billion of immobilized Russian
state assets held in private bank accounts across the bloc, in addition to €140
billion held in the Euroclear bank in Belgium. Ukraine’s war chest is set to run
bare in April.
The legal proposal will serve as a basis for immediate technical negotiations
before EU leaders meet in mid-December to decide on the most sensitive parts of
the initiative. Ukraine would only have to repay the loan if Russia ends the
conflict and pays war reparations, which is seen as an unlikely scenario.
Within the reparations loan, €115 billion has been earmarked to finance
Ukraine’s defense industry, while €50 billion will cover Kyiv’s budgetary needs.
The remaining €45 billion of the package will be used to repay a G7 loan to
Ukraine from 2024.
The main stumbling block remains the Belgian government’s opposition to the
loan.
“The text the Commission will table today does not address our concerns in a
satisfactory manner,” Belgian Foreign Minister Maxime Prévot told reporters on
Wednesday morning on the margins of a NATO meeting.”We have the frustrating
feeling of not having been heard.”
Belgium fears Russian retaliation against the state and the financial depository
holding the frozen assets, Euroclear. The government is demanding financial
guarantees from EU capitals if Moscow successfully recovers the money.
The Commission has signaled its readiness to provide emergency bridge financing
to Ukraine to cover its needs for the first months of the year, likely through
EU debt.