Italian MEP Roberto Vannacci on Tuesday formally broke with Deputy Prime
Minister Matteo Salvini’s far-right League party, capping weeks of internal
turmoil and exposing a widening rift on Italy’s right.
“I’m chasing a dream, and I’m going far. National Future,” Vannacci, who was
Salvini’s deputy, wrote on X.
He confirmed plans to move ahead with a new political project to the right of
the League, called National Future. The split followed a League federal council
meeting and a late-night face-to-face between Salvini and Vannacci on Monday
that failed to heal the divide between League moderates, led by Salvini, and
Vannacci’s extremists.
Vannacci led a faction of the party that had openly challenged policies of the
governing coalition led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, including its support
for Ukraine.
In his announcement, Vannacci drew a sharp ideological line, rejecting what he
called a diluted right. “My right is not an à la carte menu … and above all it’s
not moderate,” he wrote, describing it instead as “true, coherent, nationalist,
strong, proud, convinced, enthusiastic, pure and contagious.”
In response, Salvini wrote on X : “Angry? No, disappointed and bitter.”
The message was also circulated in the party’s internal WhatsApp channels to
confirm the break. The League leader stressed that the party had embraced
Vannacci when others shunned him, offering him broad electoral opportunities and
senior roles.
“Being part of a party, a community, a family means not only receiving but work,
sacrifice and above all loyalty,” Salvini wrote, adding that recent months had
been marked by “rows, problems, tension” and signs of potential splinter
movements.
The split raises fresh questions about Vannacci’s political future, after the
Patriots for Europe group in the European Parliament removed him from its ranks.
In a statement shared with POLITICO by League officials, the group said his
departure from the League party made his continued presence incompatible with
the group’s political structure, while stressing that cooperation with Salvini’s
League remains unchanged at European level.
It is also unclear how many lawmakers will follow Vannacci. All eyes are now on
several Italian MPs close to him — including Domenico Furgiuele, Rossano Sasso
and Edoardo Ziello.
Tag - Bridges
LONDON — Donald Trump’s appointment of his former boss on “The Apprentice” as
his special envoy to Britain made for a headline-grabbing pick during his
presidential transition. But Mark Burnett has made a quiet exit from the
diplomatic world.
The British-born Falklands veteran turned Hollywood producer left the role
liaising between D.C. and London “around August,” his publicist in the
entertainment world, Lina Catalfamo Plath, confirmed to POLITICO, noting it was
the end of his term.
But Burnett’s departure from the diplomatic service hadn’t been publicized and
he was still listed as special envoy on Buckingham Palace’s attendance list at
the state banquet for the Trumps in Windsor on Sept. 17.
Billionaire investment banker and Republican donor Warren Stephens arrived in
London as U.S. ambassador in May, and has been actively involved in pushing
Trump’s policy objectives.
“I don’t think there was room for both him and the ambassador,” one person who
worked with Burnett in the diplomatic arena and granted anonymity to discuss the
issue said this week.
The White House and the U.S. embassy in London are yet to respond to requests
for comment.
There had long been concerns there would be “conflict and confusion” in having
the two separate but hard to distinguish roles, as covered in a POLITICO profile
of Burnett published in March.
“He speaks to the president a lot — they’re personal friends,” said one U.S.
government official at the time, who was granted anonymity to discuss the nature
of the special envoy’s role. “He will tell you that Trump used to work for him
for 15 years,” the official added with a laugh.
As a producer in the largely MAGA-antithetical television industry, Burnett’s
public relationship with Trump wasn’t always easy. Burnett faced heat over the
existence of tapes of the Republican saying a deeply offensive racial epithet.
The producer even distanced himself from the then-presidential candidate in 2016
after the infamous “Access Hollywood” tape leaked.
While special envoy, Burnett was credited with helping present the British case
to Trump over the Chagos deal with Mauritius, which has again come under
pressure after Trump recently turned against it.
But his most showbiz moment in the role was when during a Downing Street meeting
with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer not long after Trump’s inauguration he
was able to get the president on the phone for an impromptu chat. Two weeks
later, the PM got his White House meeting with Trump, and Burnett was there too.
In a continent of SPAs and GmbHs, what’s the value of an Inc.?
A “freedom fries”-style linguistic argument has broken out over the naming of a
corporate law proposal for startups, highlighting anti-American sentiment in
Europe amid Donald Trump’s threats against Greenland.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, during a speech in Davos,
suggested using the name “EU Inc.” instead of the somewhat dry “28th regime.”
Her suggestion has drawn disdain from the lead lawmaker on the proposal.
An American abbreviation like “Inc.” — short for the U.S.-specific
“incorporated” legal entity — is “maybe not the right way to call this one” in
the current geopolitical context, said René Repasi, a German Social Democrat.
The row reflects deeper resistance to the Americanization of language and
culture in Europe. In a continent of French Sociétés Anonymes and German GmbHs,
Brussels’ embrace of U.S. corporate terminology may be a bridge too far.
Some lawmakers have been rankled by the rise of “Acts” — from the Digital
Markets Act to the AI Act — which mirror the punchy legislative branding of
Capitol Hill, abandoning traditional European “directives” and “regulations”
when used in the EU executive’s primary communication method, English.
Von der Leyen has also come under fire for rolling back her green agenda during
her current, second mandate. Critics have said her drive to cut red tape is a
poorly disguised attempt to appease President Donald Trump, who has criticized
EU regulation for discriminating against U.S. business.
This latest geopolitically flavored semantic squabble summons memories of 2003,
when an American lawmaker — upset with France’s refusal to join the invasion of
Iraq — renamed “French fries” as “freedom fries” in three congressional
cafeterias.
Repasi’s proposal for the 28th regime rebrand? Societas Europaea Unificata
(S.EU), a Latin-derived term that translates to “unified European company.”
Parliament voted in favor of his choice of name, which echoes past proposals
like the 2008 Societas Privata Europaea.
“We go back to the roots of our continent’s languages,” said Repasi, explaining
Parliament’s choice of a Latin-derived term rather than an American
abbreviation.
“I cannot be the only one who struggles to pronounce the proposed name of the
new corporate form,” Kim van Sparrentak said in Monday’s debate on the proposal.
(The Dutch Greens MEP still voted for the proposal with the Latin-rooted name.)
COVERING THE BASIS
Beyond the naming spat, there are more profound ideological splits over the
regime to create a single EU window for registering companies, which
Commissioner Michael McGrath is expected to unveil in late March. The idea is to
create a flourishing startup landscape, and stem a flight of talent and ideas
across the Atlantic.
Repasi warned that the regime must not become a vehicle for “charlatans” to
escape labor standards, echoing a complaint from Lukas Mandl, of the European
People’s Party, that the proposal should not give rise to a “gold digger
mentality” that could destabilize the European social partnership model.
“If there is no credible solution how employee participation … can be secured, I
see difficulties that the progressive side of the House can support such a 28th
regime,” he said, citing the failure of previous attempts like the SPE and SUP
due to the same issue.
Another substantive issue may prove to be its legal basis, on which lawmakers
haven’t yet agreed. It’s on this issue that the creators of the “EU Inc.” naming
proposal — who were delighted to see von der Leyen endorse it — are really
hoping to make an impact.
The “EU Inc.” movement, led by founders who have taken their roadshow to
capitals across the bloc, is pushing for a regulation to ensure a single,
directly applicable rulebook that prevents member states from “gold-plating” the
law with national quirks.
If von der Leyen “chooses a title that’s very dear to pressure groups, that
guarantees applause,” said Repasi, worrying that the Commission may put forward
a proposal that would impinge on national labor rules.
The new name in particular “sends a wrong signal,” said Repasi.
The Parliament’s report steers towards what Repasi describes as a more pragmatic
directive, a choice rooted in what he says is Council arithmetic.
A regulation on corporate law would require the unanimous consent of all 27
member countries, a high bar that Repasi fears would create a “Frankenstein’s
monster” as each capital demands its own specific national carve-outs .
By opting for a directive, the EU can move forward via qualified majority
voting, bypassing the “unanimity trap” that famously saw previous attempts at
corporate law harmonization languish for decades.
“If we want to have a regulation which ends up in unanimity … we can wait for
Godot,” said Repasi.
Britain’s chief foreign minister plans to make a standalone visit to China, a
move designed to further boost economic and diplomatic engagement with Beijing
in the wake of an imminent trip by Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
Yvette Cooper said she “certainly will” travel to the country after Starmer
moved her to the role of foreign secretary in September. She declined to comment
on a possible date or whether it would be this year.
Cooper’s aim will be unsurprising to many, given Cabinet ministers including
Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Cooper’s predecessor David Lammy and the former
Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds all visited China last year in a drumbeat
that will culminate in Starmer’s visit, widely expected around the end of
January.
However, they indicate that Britain’s ruling Labour Party has no intention of
cooling a courtship that has generated significant opposition — including from
some of its own MPs — due to concerns over China’s human rights record and
espionage activity.
Cooper herself said Britain takes security issues around China “immensely
seriously,” adding: “That involves transnational repression, it involves the
espionage threats and challenges that we face.”
Speaking to POLITICO ahead of a visit Thursday to the Arctic, where China is
taking an increasing strategic interest, Cooper added: “There are also some
wider economic security issues around, for example, the control of critical
minerals around the world, and some of those issues.
“So we’re very conscious of the broad range of China threats that are posed
alongside what we also know is China’s role as being our third-largest trading
partner, and so the complexity of the relationship with China and the work that
needs to done.”
SECURITY TAKEN ‘VERY SERIOUSLY’
Labour officials have repeatedly emphasised their desire to engage directly with
the world’s second-largest economy, including frank dialogue on areas where they
disagree. Starmer said in December that he rejected a “binary choice” between
having a golden age or freezing China out.
However, the timing is acutely sensitive for the Labour government, which is
likely to approve plans for a new Chinese “mega-embassy” in London in the coming
days. The site near Tower Bridge is very close to telecommunications cables that
run to the capital’s financial district.
Cooper declined to answer directly whether she had assured U.S. counterparts
about the embassy plans, after a Trump administration official told the
Telegraph newspaper the White House was “deeply concerned” by them.
Keir Starmer said in December that he rejected a “binary choice” between having
a golden age or freezing China out. | Pool Photo by Ludovic Marin via EPA
The foreign secretary said: “The Home Office, the foreign office, also the
security agencies take all of those security issues very seriously, and we also
brief our allies on security issues as well.”
However, Cooper appeared to defend the prospect of approving the plans — which
have run parallel to Britain’s aim to rebuild its own embassy in Beijing. “All
countries have embassies,” she said. “We have embassies all around the world,
including in Beijing.”
She added: “Of course, security is an important part of the considerations
around all embassies. So we need to have those diplomatic relationships, those
communications. We also have to make sure that security is taken very seriously.
The U.K. and the U.S. have a particularly close security partnership. So we do
share a lot of information intelligence, and we have that deep-rooted
discussion.”
Asked if she plans to make her own visit to China, Cooper responded: “I
certainly will do so.”
LONDON — Reza Pahlavi was in the United States as a student in 1979 when his
father, the last shah of Iran, was toppled in a revolution. He has not set foot
inside Iran since, though his monarchist supporters have never stopped believing
that one day their “crown prince” will return.
As anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people, despite an internet blackout and an
increasingly brutal crackdown, that day may just be nearing.
Pahlavi’s name is on the lips of many protesters, who chant that they want the
“shah” back. Even his critics — and there are plenty who oppose a return of the
monarchy — now concede that Pahlavi may prove to be the only figure with the
profile required to oversee a transition.
The global implications of the end of the Islamic Republic and its replacement
with a pro-Western democratic government would be profound, touching everything
from the Gaza crisis to the wars in Ukraine and Yemen, to the oil market.
Over the course of three interviews in the past 12 months in London, Paris and
online, Pahlavi told POLITICO how Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
could be overthrown. He set out the steps needed to end half a century of
religious dictatorship and outlined his own proposal to lead a transition to
secular democracy.
Nothing is guaranteed, and even Pahlavi’s team cannot be sure that this current
wave of protests will take down the regime, never mind bring him to power. But
if it does, the following is an account of Pahlavi’s roadmap for revolution and
his blueprint for a democratic future.
POPULAR UPRISING
Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran, and in his
interview with POLITICO last February he made it clear he wanted foreign powers
to focus on supporting Iranians to move against their rulers rather than
intervening militarily from the outside.
“People are already on the streets with no help. The economic situation is to a
point where our currency devaluation, salaries can’t be paid, people can’t even
afford a kilo of potatoes, never mind meat,” he said. “We need more and more
sustained protests.”
Over the past two weeks, the spiraling cost of living and economic mismanagement
have indeed helped fuel the protest wave. The biggest rallies in years have
filled the streets, despite attempts by the authorities to intimidate opponents
through violence and by cutting off communications.
Pahlavi has sought to encourage foreign financial support for workers who will
disrupt the state by going on strike. He also called for more Starlink internet
terminals to be shipped into Iran, in defiance of a ban, to make it harder for
the regime to stop dissidents from communicating and coordinating their
opposition. Amid the latest internet shutdowns, Starlink has provided the
opposition movements with a vital lifeline.
As the protests gathered pace last week, Pahlavi stepped up his own stream of
social media posts and videos, which gain many millions of views, encouraging
people onto the streets. He started by calling for demonstrations to begin at 8
p.m. local time, then urged protesters to start earlier and occupy city centers
for longer. His supporters say these appeals are helping steer the protest
movement.
Reza Pahlavi argues that change needs to be driven from inside Iran. | Salvatore
Di Nolfi/EPA
The security forces have brutally crushed many of these gatherings. The
Norway-based Iranian Human Rights group puts the number of dead at 648, while
estimating that more than 10,000 people have been arrested.
It’s almost impossible to know how widely Pahlavi’s message is permeating
nationwide, but footage inside Iran suggests the exiled prince’s words are
gaining some traction with demonstrators, with increasing images of the
pre-revolutionary Lion and Sun flag appearing at protests, and crowds chanting
“javid shah” — the eternal shah.
DEFECTORS
Understandably, given his family history, Pahlavi has made a study of
revolutions and draws on the collapse of the Soviet Union to understand how the
Islamic Republic can be overthrown. In Romania and Czechoslovakia, he said, what
was required to end Communism was ultimately “maximum defections” among people
inside the ruling elites, military and security services who did not want to “go
down with the sinking ship.”
“I don’t think there will ever be a successful civil disobedience movement
without the tacit collaboration or non-intervention of the military,” he said
during an interview last February.
There are multiple layers to Iran’s machinery of repression, including the hated
Basij militia, but the most powerful and feared part of its security apparatus
is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Pahlavi argued that top IRGC
commanders who are “lining their pockets” — and would remain loyal to Khamenei —
did not represent the bulk of the organization’s operatives, many of whom “can’t
pay rent and have to take a second job at the end of their shift.”
“They’re ultimately at some point contemplating their children are in the
streets protesting … and resisting the regime. And it’s their children they’re
called on to shoot. How long is that tenable?”
Pahlavi’s offer to those defecting is that they will be granted an amnesty once
the regime has fallen. He argues that most of the people currently working in
the government and military will need to remain in their roles to provide
stability once Khamenei has been thrown out, in order to avoid hollowing out the
administration and creating a vacuum — as happened after the 2003 U.S.-led
invasion of Iraq.
Only the hardline officials at the top of the regime in Tehran should expect to
face punishment.
In June, Pahlavi announced he and his team were setting up a secure portal for
defectors to register their support for overthrowing the regime, offering an
amnesty to those who sign up and help support a popular uprising. By July, he
told POLITICO, 50,000 apparent regime defectors had used the system.
His team are now wary of making claims regarding the total number of defectors,
beyond saying “tens of thousands” have registered. These have to be verified,
and any regime trolls or spies rooted out. But Pahlavi’s allies say a large
number of new defectors made contact via the portal as the protests gathered
pace in recent days.
REGIME CHANGE
In his conversations with POLITICO last year, Pahlavi insisted he didn’t want
the United States or Israel to get involved directly and drive out the supreme
leader and his lieutenants. He always said the regime would be destroyed by a
combination of fracturing from within and pressure from popular unrest.
He’s also been critical of the reluctance of European governments to challenge
the regime and of their preference to continue diplomatic efforts, which he has
described as appeasement. European powers, especially France, Germany and the
U.K., have historically had a significant role in managing the West’s relations
with Iran, notably in designing the 2015 nuclear deal that sought to limit
Tehran’s uranium enrichment program.
But Pahlavi’s allies want more support and vocal condemnation from Europe.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. He ordered American military
strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities last year, as part of Israel’s 12-day war,
action that many analysts and Pahlavi’s team agree leaves the clerical elite and
its vast security apparatus weaker than ever.
U.S. President Donald Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal in his first term and
wasted little time on diplomacy in his second. | Pool photo by Bonnie Cash via
EPA
Pahlavi remains in close contact with members of the Trump administration, as
well as other governments including in Germany, France and the U.K.
He has met U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio several times and said he regards
him as “the most astute and understanding” holder of that office when it comes
to Iran since the 1979 revolution.
In recent days Trump has escalated his threats to intervene, including
potentially through more military action if Iran’s rulers continue their
crackdown and kill large numbers of protesters.
On the weekend Pahlavi urged Trump to follow through. “Mr President,” he posted
on X Sunday. “Your words of solidarity have given Iranians the strength to fight
for freedom,” he said. “Help them liberate themselves and Make Iran Great
Again!”
THE CARETAKER KING
In June Pahlavi announced he was ready to replace Khamenei’s administration to
lead the transition from authoritarianism to democracy.
“Once the regime collapses, we have to have a transitional government as quickly
as possible,” he told POLITICO last year. He proposed that a constitutional
conference should be held among Iranian representatives to devise a new
settlement, to be ratified by the people in a referendum.
The day after that referendum is held, he told POLITICO in February, “that’s the
end of my mission in life.”
Asked if he wanted to see a monarchy restored, he said in June: “Democratic
options should be on the table. I’m not going to be the one to decide that. My
role however is to make sure that no voice is left behind. That all opinions
should have the chance to argue their case — it doesn’t matter if they are
republicans or monarchists, it doesn’t matter if they’re on the left of center
or the right.”
One option he hasn’t apparently excluded might be to restore a permanent
monarchy, with a democratically elected government serving in his name.
Pahlavi says he has three clear principles for establishing a new democracy:
protecting Iran’s territorial integrity; a secular democratic system that
separates religion from the government; and “every principle of human rights
incorporated into our laws.”
He confirmed to POLITICO that this would include equality and protection against
discrimination for all citizens, regardless of their sexual or religious
orientation.
COME-BACK CAPITALISM
Over the past year, Pahlavi has been touring Western capitals meeting
politicians as well as senior business figures and investors from the world of
banking and finance. Iran is a major OPEC oil producer and has the second
biggest reserves of natural gas in the world, “which could supply Europe for a
long time to come,” he said.
“Iran is the most untapped reserve for foreign investment,” Pahlavi said in
February. “If Silicon Valley was to commit for a $100 billion investment, you
could imagine what sort of impact that could have. The sky is the limit.”
What he wants to bring about, he says, is a “democratic culture” — even more
than any specific laws that stipulate forms of democratic government. He pointed
to Iran’s past under the Pahlavi monarchy, saying his grandfather remains a
respected figure as a modernizer.
“If it becomes an issue of the family, my grandfather today is the most revered
political figure in the architect of modern Iran,” he said in February. “Every
chant of the streets of ‘god bless his soul.’ These are the actual slogans
people chant on the street as they enter or exit a soccer stadium. Why? Because
the intent was patriotic, helping Iran come out of the dark ages. There was no
aspect of secular modern institutions from a postal system to a modern army to
education which was in the hands of the clerics.”
Pahlavi’s father, the shah, brought in an era of industrialization and economic
improvement alongside greater freedom for women, he said. “This is where the Gen
Z of Iran is,” he said. “Regardless of whether I play a direct role or not,
Iranians are coming out of the tunnel.”
Conversely, many Iranians still associate his father’s regime with out-of-touch
elites and the notorious Savak secret police, whose brutality helped fuel the
1979 revolution.
NOT SO FAST
Nobody can be sure what happens next in Iran. It may still come down to Trump
and perhaps Israel.
Anti-regime demonstrations fill the streets of more than 100 towns and cities
across the country of 90 million people. | Neil Hall/EPA
Plenty of experts don’t believe the regime is finished, though it is clearly
weakened. Even if the protests do result in change, many say it seems more
likely that the regime will use a mixture of fear tactics and adaptation to
protect itself rather than collapse or be toppled completely.
While reports suggest young people have led the protests and appear to have
grown in confidence, recent days have seen a more ferocious regime response,
with accounts of hospitals being overwhelmed with shooting victims. The
demonstrations could still be snuffed out by a regime with a capacity for
violence.
The Iranian opposition remains hugely fragmented, with many leading activists in
prison. The substantial diaspora has struggled to find a unity of voice, though
Pahlavi tried last year to bring more people on board with his own movement.
Sanam Vakil, an Iran specialist at the Chatham House think tank in London, said
Iran should do better than reviving a “failed” monarchy. She added she was
unsure how wide Pahlavi’s support really was inside the country. Independent,
reliable polling is hard to find and memories of the darker side of the shah’s
era run deep.
But the exiled prince’s advantage now may be that there is no better option to
oversee the collapse of the clerics and map out what comes next.
“Pahlavi has name recognition and there is no other clear individual to turn
to,” Vakil said. “People are willing to listen to his comments calling on them
to go out in the streets.”
EU PARLIAMENT’S MOST TOXIC DUO BRINGS TROUBLE FOR VON DER LEYEN
Social Democrat chief Iratxe García and center-right boss Manfred Weber’s dire
relationship is Brussels’ worst-kept secret.
By MAX GRIERA
in Brussels
Illustration by Natália Delgado/ POLITICO
A confrontation six years ago poisoned a relationship at the heart of the EU
that remains toxic to this day.
Manfred Weber, the powerful German head of the center-right European People’s
Party, the largest political family in Europe, knew something was wrong when
Iratxe García walked into his office shortly after the 2019 EU election.
García, a Spanish MEP who leads the center-left Socialists and Democrats group
in the Parliament, was accompanied by Romanian former liberal chief Dacian
Cioloș. The pair told Weber that they wouldn’t support his bid to become
president of the European Commission, despite the Parliament’s longstanding
position that the head of the party receiving the most votes in the election
should get the job.
While Cioloș is long gone from the EU political scene, García and Weber remain
in post — and the animosity between them has only grown, especially now that the
EPP is aligning with the far right to pass legislation.
García’s move killed Weber’s Commission ambitions, souring relations between the
two and threatening Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen’s ability to deliver
her second-term agenda, as she needs the support of senior MEPs to pass
legislation.
The pair are like “two toxic exes who had a good relationship, but Weber cheated
on García with the far right, and this makes it hard for the Socialists,” said
Manon Aubry, co-chair of The Left group in the Parliament.
Today, the dire relationship between Weber and García is the talk of the town.
For decades, the EPP and S&D — the two largest political families in Europe
— have worked hand in hand to provide stable majorities in the Parliament,
including backing a second term for von der Leyen at a time of unprecedented
crises facing the bloc. Now that stability is in doubt.
POLITICO spoke to 12 officials and lawmakers who are or have been close to the
pair. Some say the problem is personal, while others blame politics and argue
that anyone in their position would have the same relationship issues.
“Weber and García have become a problem for von der Leyen,” said a senior
Commission official, granted anonymity to speak freely, as were others in this
piece.
That’s because disagreements between their two groups could lead to less
predictable voting in the Parliament, as happened in November with the
simplification bill on green reporting rules for businesses, when the EPP sided
with the far right rather than with the centrists.
Tensions have also spilled toward von der Leyen herself, with García accusing
her of “buying into Trump’s agenda” by pushing deregulation. Center-left MEPs
have urged the Commission president to rein in Weber over his cooperation with
the far right.
RELATIONSHIP TAKES A DOWNTURN
Verbal attacks in the Parliament’s hemicycle, tensions over Spanish politics,
opposing views on the EU’s green ambitions and migration policy, and the fact
that the EPP is voting for laws with the far right have eroded what started as a
promising relationship.
Weber “will never get over the big treason when Iratxe backstabbed him on the
Commission presidency,” said a senior EPP MEP.
“Everyone needs to stay calm and keep emotions out of it,” said a senior
Socialist MEP, noting that many lawmakers, including commissioners, often
express concern about the emotional undertones of the relationship.
Manfred Weber “will never get over the big treason when Iratxe backstabbed him
on the Commission presidency,” said a senior EPP MEP. | Filip Singer/EPA
Publicly, both insist relations are just fine. “I really appreciate the strong
leadership of Iratxe, she’s a tough representative,” Weber told POLITICO,
describing the relationship as in a “great state.”
“I can confirm that we have good and regular talks to each other, but we also
see our different political positioning,” he added.
García also played down the perceived friction, saying the pair have a “working
relationship” and “try to understand each other,” while stressing that despite
their differences, it is “much more normalized than you might think from the
outside.”
The reality, according to MEPs and staffers close to the pair, is that six years
of working side by side have eroded trust.
Weber sees García as incapable of delivering on her promises due to the S&D’s
internal divisions and weakness, as it has lost power and influence across
Europe; García views Weber as power-hungry and willing to empower the far right
at the expense of the center.
PERSONAL ATTACKS
In her September 2025 State of the Union address, von der Leyen tried to bridge
the widening rifts between the EPP and the Socialists by giving policy wins to
both sides and calling for unity.
But her efforts came to nothing as Weber and García exchanged personal attacks
on the hemicycle floor, each blaming the other for the instability of the
pro-European coalition.
Weber accused Garcia and the Socialists of “harming the European agenda.” During
her remarks, the S&D chief shot back: “You know who is responsible for the fact
that this pro-European alliance … does not work in this Parliament? It has a
name and surname. It is called Manfred Weber.”
The exchange reflected a relationship under strain, as the EPP pushed
deregulation, weaker green rules, and a crackdown on migration backed by
far-right votes after the 2024 election shifted the Parliament to the right.
Sidelined by that new math, the Socialists have increasingly felt alienated and
have hardened their attacks on von der Leyen for embracing a right-wing
deregulation agenda, and on Weber for empowering the far right in general.
“The only way for Iratxe to survive is to be more aggressive with EPP and with
Manfred,” said a former centrist lawmaker, who argued that García is leaning on
rhetoric to rally her base as concrete wins are in such short supply.
For his part, Weber is unapologetic about sidelining traditional centrist
allies, arguing that the end — tackling policy issues the far right has
weaponized against the EU, notably migration and overregulation — justifies the
means.
“He could not be Commission president so he has been pushing to be a power
broker from the Parliament, which means he needs to show he can push for
whatever EPP wants, which includes using the far right,” a second senior EPP MEP
said of Weber.
BETRAYAL
Weber and García started their collaboration after the election in 2019, when
the latter was chosen as the group leader of S&D after serving as an MEP since
2004 and chair of the committee on women’s rights between 2014 and 2019.
For the first two years they were united in their goals of delivering on the
Green Deal and addressing the Covid-19 pandemic, but the relationship began to
deteriorate in the second half of the term.
In a mid-term reshuffle of the Parliament’s top posts, Weber struck a backroom
deal with the liberals of Renew and The Left to keep the powerful position of
the Parliament’s secretary-general in the hands of the EPP. García had wanted
the job for S&D because the previous secretary-general was from the EPP, as is
Roberta Metsola, who was about to become the Parliament’s president.
Ursula von der Leyen tried to bridge the widening rifts between the EPP and the
Socialists by giving policy wins to both sides and calling for unity. | Ronald
Wittek/EPA
“This was a moment of tension because she really thought she would get it … she
took it very personally,” said the senior Socialist MEP. “Her position in the
group was also affected by that; she got a lot of criticism.”
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s reelection in 2023 further strained
relations. Weber has for years been betting on the fall of Sánchez, backing
Spain’s EPP-aligned opposition (the People’s Party, or PP) and giving them free
rein in the Parliament to attack the Spanish Socialist Party, knowing that the
EPP would be boosted with an EPP party in power in Madrid.
“He does everything the People’s Party wants,” said a liberal Parliament
official, who added that “every time Spain is on the agenda, it becomes a
nightmare, everyone screaming.”
The most recent example came in November, when the EPP sided with far-right
groups to cancel a parliamentary visit to Italy to monitor the rule of law in
the country, while approving one to Spain — sparking an outcry from García, whom
EPP MEPs frame as Sánchez’s lieutenant in Brussels.
“It generates a toxic dynamic,” echoed the first senior EPP MEP.
BREAKING POINT
The Spanish issue came to the fore during the 2024 hearings for commissioners,
when MEPs grill prospective office-holders to see if they are up to the task.
Under pressure from his Spanish peers, Weber and the EPP went in hard on
Sánchez’s deputy Teresa Ribera, blaming her for deadly floods in Valencia in
October 2024.
While the EPP wanted to take down Ribera, the Socialists hoped to make life
difficult for Italy’s Raffaele Fitto, who was put forward by Prime Minister
Giorgia Meloni. While Fitto is not from the EPP (he’s from the European
Conservatives and Reformists), his nomination was supported by Weber. In the
end, the S&D went easier on Fitto in order to save Ribera from further attacks.
After weeks of tensions — with both Weber and García visibly furious and
blasting each other in briefings to the press — both Ribera and Fitto were
confirmed as commissioners.
The struggle highlighted that the old alliance between the EPP and the S&D was
cracking, with Weber snubbing García and instead teaming up with the far right.
While they still meet to coordinate parliamentary business — often alongside
Renew leader Valérie Hayer and von der Leyen — the partnership is far less
effective than before.
“It’s very clear they’re no longer running Parliament the way they used to,”
said The Left’s Aubry.
The breakdown has injected instability into the Parliament, with the once
well-oiled duo no longer pre-cooking decisions, making outcomes more
unpredictable. Aubry said meetings of group leaders used to take place with a
deal already struck — “political theater,” as she put it.
“Now we walk in and don’t know where we’ll end up,” Aubry added.
“While they get along personally, the results of that cooperation are not that
good,” said the second EPP MEP, adding that the alliance between the EPP and the
S&D has “not really delivered.”
LOOKING AHEAD TO YET MORE BATTLES
The next reshuffle of top Parliament jobs is in 2027, and Weber and García are
already haggling over who will get to nominate the next Parliament president.
The EPP is expected to try to push for Metsola getting a third term, but the
Socialists claim it’s their turn per a power-sharing agreement after the 2024
election. Officials from the EPP deny such an agreement exists while officials
from Renew and the S&D say it does, although no one could show POLITICO any
documentation.
The EPP is expected to try to push for Roberta Metsola getting a third term, but
the Socialists claim it’s their turn per a power-sharing agreement after the
2024 election. | Ronald Wittek/EPA
That’s a major headache for García. The S&D’s Italian and German delegations are
itching to get leadership positions, and if the Parliament presidency is off the
table they could try to replace her as party chief.
With tensions simmering, one Parliament official close to the pair half-joked
that García and Weber should settle things over an after-work drink — but it
seems the détente will have to wait.
“I’d definitely go for a drink,” Weber said with a nervous laugh before noting
that both are “so busy” it probably won’t happen. García, also laughing, was
even less committal: “I’ve become a real homebody. I don’t go out for drinks
anymore.”
The first American pope is on a collision course with U.S. President Donald
Trump.
The latest fault line between the Vatican and the White House emerged on Sunday.
Shortly after Trump suggested his administration could “run” Venezuela, the
Chicago-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of the “country’s
sovereignty.”
For MAGA-aligned conservatives, this is now part of an unwelcome pattern. While
Leo is less combative in tone toward Trump than his predecessor Francis, his
priorities are rekindling familiar battles in the culture war with the U.S.
administration on topics such as immigration and deportations, LGBTQ+ rights and
climate change.
As the leader of a global community of 1.4 billion Catholics, Leo has a rare
position of influence to challenge Trump’s policies, and the U.S. president has
to tread with uncustomary caution in confronting him. Trump traditionally
relishes blasting his critics with invective but has been unusually restrained
in response to Leo’s criticism, in part because he counts a large number of
Catholics among his core electorate.
“[Leo] is not looking for a fight like Francis, who sometimes enjoyed a fight,”
said Chris White, author of “Pope Leo XIV: Inside the Conclave and the Dawn of a
New Papacy.”
“But while different in style, he is clearly a continuation of Francis in
substance. Initially there was a wait-and-see approach, but for many MAGA
Catholics, Leo challenges core beliefs.”
In recent months, migration has become the main combat zone between the liberal
pope and U.S. conservatives. Leo called on his senior clergy to speak out on the
need to protect vulnerable migrants, and U.S. bishops denounced the
“dehumanizing rhetoric and violence” leveled at people targeted by Trump’s
deportation policies. Leo later went public with an appeal that migrants in the
U.S. be treated “humanely” and “with dignity.”
Leo’s support emboldened Florida bishops to call for a Christmas reprieve from
Immigration and Customs Enforcement raids. “Don’t be the Grinch that stole
Christmas,” said Archbishop Thomas Wenski of Miami.
As if evidence were needed of America’s polarization on this topic, however, the
Department of Homeland Security described their arrests as a “Christmas gift to
Americans.”
Leo also conspicuously removed Cardinal Timothy Dolan, Trump’s preferred
candidate for pope and a favorite on the conservative Fox News channel, from a
key post as archbishop of New York, replacing him with a bishop known for
pro-migrant views.
This cuts to the heart of the moral dilemma for a divided U.S. Catholic
community. For Trump, Catholics are hardly a sideshow as they constitute 22
percent of his electorate, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center. While
the pope appeals to liberal causes, however, many MAGA Catholics take a far
stricter line on topics such as migration, sexuality and climate change.
To his critics from the conservative Catholic MAGA camp, such as Trump’s former
strategist Steve Bannon, the pope is anathema.
U.S.-born Pope Leo XIV appeared at the Angelus window overlooking St. Peter’s
Square to deliver an address calling for the safeguarding of Venezuela’s
“sovereignty.” | Stefano Costantino/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
Last year the pope blessed a chunk of ice from Greenland and criticized
political leaders who ignore climate change. He said supporters of the death
penalty could not credibly claim to be pro-life, and argued that Christians and
Muslims could be friends. He has also signaled a more tolerant posture toward
LGBTQ+ Catholics, permitting an LGBTQ+ pilgrimage to St Peter’s Basilica.
Small wonder, then, that Trump confidante and conspiracy theorist Laura Loomer
branded Leo the “woke Marxist pope.” Trump-aligned Catholic conservatives have
denounced him as “secularist,” “globalist” and even “apostate.” Far-right pundit
Jack Posobiec has called him “anti-Trump.”
“Some popes are a blessing. Some popes are a penance,” Posobiec wrote on X.
PONTIFF FROM CHICAGO
There were early hopes that Leo might build bridges with U.S. hardliners. He’s
an American, after all: He wears an Apple watch and follows baseball, and
American Catholics can hardly dismiss him as as foreign. The Argentine Francis,
by contrast, was often portrayed by critics as anti-American and shaped by the
politics of poorer nations.
Leo can’t be waved away so easily.
Early in his papacy, Leo also showed signs he was keen to steady the church
after years of internal conflict, and threw some bones to conservatives such as
allowing a Latin Mass in St. Peter’s Basilica and wearing more ornate papal
vestments.
But the traditionalists were not reassured.
Benjamin Harnwell, the Vatican correspondent for the MAGA-aligned War Room
podcast, said conservatives were immediately skeptical of Leo. “From day one, we
have been telling our base to be wary: Do not be deceived,” he said. Leo,
Harnwell added, is “fully signed up to Francis’ agenda … but [is] more strategic
and intelligent.”
After the conclave that appointed Leo, former Trump strategist Bannon told
POLITICO that Leo’s election was “the worst choice for MAGA Catholics” and “an
anti-Trump vote by the globalists of the Curia.”
Trump had a long-running feud with Francis, who condemned the U.S. president’s
border wall and criticized his migration policies.
Francis appeared to enjoy that sparring, but Leo is a very different character.
More retiring by nature, he shies away from confrontation. But his resolve in
defending what he sees as non-negotiable moral principles, particularly the
protection of the weak, is increasingly colliding with the core assumptions of
Trumpism.
Trump loomed large during the conclave, with an AI-generated video depicting
himself as pope. The gesture was seen by some Vatican insiders as a
“mafia-style” warning to elect someone who would not criticize him,
Vatican-watcher Elisabetta Piqué wrote in a new book “The Election of Pope Leo
XIV: The Last Surprise of Pope Francis.”
NOT PERSONAL
Leo was not chosen expressly as an anti-Trump figure, according to a Vatican
official. Rather, his nationality was likely seen by some cardinals as
“reassuring,” suggesting he would be accountable and transparent in governance
and finances.
But while Leo does not seem to be actively seeking a confrontation with Trump,
the world views of the two men seem incompatible.
“He will avoid personalizing,” said the same Vatican official. “He will state
church teaching, not in reaction to Trump, but as things he would say anyway.”
Despite the attacks on Leo from his allies, Trump himself has also appeared wary
of a direct showdown. When asked about the pope in a POLITICO interview, Trump
was more keen to discuss meeting the pontiff’s brother in Florida, whom he
described as “serious MAGA.”
When pressed on whether he would meet the pope himself, he finally replied:
“Sure, I will. Why not?”
The potential for conflict will come into sharper focus as Leo hosts a summit
called an extraordinary consistory this week, the first of its kind since 2014,
which is expected to provide a blueprint for the future direction of the church.
His first publication on social issues, such as inequality and migration, is
also expected in the next few months.
“He will use [the summit] to talk about what he sees as the future,” said a
diplomat posted to the Vatican. “It will give his collaborators a sense of where
he is going. He could use it as a sounding board, or ask them to suggest
solutions.”
It’s safe to assume Leo won’t be unveiling a MAGA-aligned agenda.
The ultimate balance of power may also favor the pope.
Trump must contend with elections and political clocks; Leo, elected for life,
does not. At 70, and as a tennis player in good health, Leo appears positioned
to shape Catholic politics well after Trump’s moment has passed.
“He is not in a hurry,” the Vatican official said. “Time is on his side.”
The message from Capitol Hill on both sides of the aisle is clear: Get ready for
U.S. relations with China to spiral all over again in the new year.
The one-year trade truce brokered in October between President Donald Trump and
Chinese leader Xi Jinping is already looking shaky. And lawmakers are preparing
to reup clashes over trade, Taiwan and cyber-intrusions when they return in
January.
“It’s like a heavyweight fight, and we’re in that short time period in-between
rounds, but both sides need to be preparing for what is next after the truce,”
Rep. Greg Stanton (D-Ariz.), a member of the House Select Committee on China,
said in an interview.
POLITICO talked to more than 25 lawmakers, including those on the House Select
Committee on China, the House Foreign Affairs Committee’s East Asia subcommittee
and the Congressional Executive Commission on China, for their views on the
durability of the trade treaty. Both Republicans and Democrats warned of
turbulence ahead.
More than 20 of the lawmakers said they doubt Xi will deliver on key pledges the
White House said he made in October, including reducing the flow of precursor
chemicals to Mexico that cartels process into fentanyl and buying agreed volumes
of U.S. agricultural goods.
“China can never be trusted. They’re always looking for an angle,” Sen. Thom
Tillis (R-N.C.) said.
That pessimism comes despite an easing in U.S.-China tensions since the Trump-Xi
meeting in South Korea. The bruising cycle of tit-for-tat tariffs that briefly
hit triple digits earlier this year is currently on pause. Both countries have
relaxed export restrictions on essential items (rare earths for the U.S., chip
design software for China), while Beijing has committed to “expanding
agricultural product trade” in an apparent reference to the suspension of
imports of U.S. agricultural products it imposed earlier this year.
This trend may continue, given that Trump is likely to want stability in the
U.S.-China relationship ahead of a summit with Xi planned for April in Beijing.
“We’re starting to see some movement now on some of their tariff issues and the
fentanyl precursor issue,” Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) said.
But a series of issues have been brushed aside in negotiations or left in limbo
— a status quo the Trump administration can only maintain for so long. The
U.S.-China trade deal on rare earths that Bessent said the two countries would
finalize by Thanksgiving remains unsettled. And the White House hasn’t
confirmed reporting from earlier this month that Beijing-based ByteDance has
finalized the sale of the TikTok social media app ahead of the Jan. 23 deadline
for that agreement.
“The idea that we’re in a period of stability with Beijing is simply not
accurate,” said Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.), ranking member of the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee.
Shaheen has been sounding the alarm on China’s national security threats since
she entered the Senate in 2009. But even some lawmakers who have been more open
to engagement with Beijing — such as California Democratic Reps. Ro
Khanna and Ami Bera — said that they don’t expect the armistice to last.
The White House is more upbeat about the prospects for U.S.-China trade ties.
“President Trump’s close relationship with President Xi is helping ensure that
both countries are able to continue building on progress and continue resolving
outstanding issues,” the White House said in a statement, adding that the
administration “continues to monitor China’s compliance with our trade
agreement.” It declined to comment on the TikTok deal.
Still, the lawmakers POLITICO spoke with described four issues that could derail
U.S.-China ties in the New Year:
A SOYBEAN SPOILER
U.S. soybean farmers’ reliance on the Chinese market gives Beijing a powerful
non-tariff trade weapon — and China doesn’t appear to be following through on
promises to renew purchases.
The standoff over soybeans started in May, when China halted those purchases,
raising the prospect of financial ruin across farming states including Illinois,
Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska and Indiana — key political constituencies for the GOP
in the congressional midterm elections next year.
The White House said last month that Xi committed to buying 12 million metric
tons of U.S. soybeans in November and December. But so far, Beijing has only
purchased a fraction of that agreed total, NBC reported this month.
“What agitates Trump and causes him to react quickly are things that are more
domestic and closer to home,” Rep. Jill Tokuda (D-Hawaii) said. China’s
foot-dragging on soybean purchases “is the most triggering because it’s hurting
American farmers and consumers, so that’s where we could see the most volatility
in the relationship,” she said.
That trigger could come on Feb. 28 — the new deadline for that 12 million metric
ton purchase, which Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced earlier this
month.
The Chinese embassy in Washington declined to comment on whether Beijing plans
to meet this deadline.
The White House said one of the aspects of the trade deal it is monitoring is
soybean purchases through this growing season.
THE TAIWAN TINDERBOX
Beijing’s threats to invade Taiwan are another near-term potential flashpoint,
even though the U.S. hasn’t prioritized the issue in its national security
strategy or talks between Xi and Trump.
China has increased its preparations for a Taiwan invasion this year. In
October, the Chinese military debuted a new military barge system that addresses
some of the challenges of landing on the island’s beaches by deploying a bridge
for cargo ships to unload tanks or trucks directly onto the shore.
“China is tightening the noose around the island,” said Rep. Ro Khanna
(D-Calif.), who joined a bipartisan congressional delegation to China in
September and returned calling for better communications between the U.S. and
Chinese militaries.
Some of the tension around Taiwan is playing out in the wider region, as Beijing
pushes to expand its military reach and its influence. Chinese fighter jets
locked radar — a prelude to opening fire — on Japanese aircraft earlier this
month in the East China Sea.
“There is a real chance that Xi overplays his hand on antagonizing our allies,
particularly Australia and Japan,” Rep. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.) said. “There is
still a line [China] cannot cross without making this truce impossible to
sustain.”
The U.S. has a decades-long policy of “strategic ambiguity” under which it
refuses to spell out how the U.S. would respond to Chinese aggression against
Taiwan. Trump has also adhered to that policy. “You’ll find out if it happens,”
Trump said in an interview with 60 Minutes in November.
MORE EXPORT RESTRICTIONS ON THE WAY
Beijing has eased its export restrictions on rare earths — metallic elements
essential to both civilian and military applications — but could reimpose those
blocks at any time.
Ten of the 25 lawmakers who spoke to POLITICO said they suspect Beijing will
reimpose those export curbs as a convenient pressure point in the coming months.
“At the center of the crack in the truce is China’s ability to levy export
restrictions, especially its chokehold on the global supply of rare earths and
other critical minerals,” Rep. André Carson (D-Ind.) said.
Others are worried China will choose to expand its export controls to another
product category for which it has market dominance — pharmaceuticals. Beijing
supplies 80 percent of the U.S. supply of active pharmaceutical ingredients —
the foundations of common drugs to treat everything from high blood pressure to
type 2 diabetes.
“Overnight, China could turn off the spigot and many basic pharmaceuticals,
including things like aspirin, go away from the supply chain in the United
States,” Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R-Texas) said.
China restarted exports of rare earths earlier this month, and its Commerce
Ministry pledged “timely approval” of such exports under a new licensing
system, state media reported. Beijing has not indicated its intent to restrict
the export of pharmaceuticals or their components as a trade weapon. But the
U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission urged the Food and Drug
Administration to reduce U.S. reliance on Chinese sources of pharmaceuticals in
its annual report last month.
The Chinese embassy in Washington didn’t respond to a request for comment.
GROWING CHINESE MILITARY MUSCLE
China’s drive to develop a world-class military that can challenge traditional
U.S. dominion of the Indo-Pacific could also derail relations between Washington
and Beijing in 2026.
China’s expanding navy — which, at more than 200 warships, is now the world’s
largest — is helping Beijing show off its power across the region.
The centerpiece of that effort in 2025 has been the addition of a third aircraft
carrier, the Fujian, which entered into service last month. The Fujian is
two-thirds the size of the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier. But like the Ford, it
boasts state-of-the-art electromagnetic catapults to launch J-35 and J-15T
fighter jets.
The Trump administration sees that as a threat.
The U.S. aims to insulate allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific from possible
Chinese “sustained successful military aggression” powered by Beijing’s
“historic military buildup,” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said earlier this
month at the Reagan National Defense Forum.
Five lawmakers said they see China’s increasingly aggressive regional military
footprint as incompatible with U.S. efforts to maintain a stable relationship
with Beijing in the months ahead.
“We know the long-term goal of China is really economic and diplomatic and
military domination around the world, and they see the United States as an
adversary,” Moran said.
Daniel Desrochers contributed to this report.
LONDON — British students will once again be able to take part in the EU’s
Erasmus+ exchange scheme from January 2027 — following a six-year hiatus due to
Brexit.
U.K. ministers say they have secured a 30 percent discount on payments to
re-enter the program that strikes “a fair balance between our contribution and
the benefits” it offers.
The move is one of the first tangible changes out of Keir Starmer’s EU “reset,”
which is designed to smooth the harder edges off Boris Johnson’s Brexit
settlement while staying outside the bloc’s orbit.
In an announcement on Wednesday Brussels and London also confirmed they were
formally beginning negotiations on U.K. re-entry into the EU’s internal market
for electricity.
Both sides hope the move, which was called for by industry in both sides of the
Channel, will cut energy bills while also making it easier to invest in North
Sea green energy projects — which have been plagued by Brexit complications.
They also pledged to finish ongoing talks on linking the U.K. and EU carbon
trading systems, as well as a new food and drink (SPS) deal, by the time they
meet for an EU-U.K. summit in 2026.
The planned meeting, which will take place in Brussels, does not yet have a date
but is expected around the same time as this year’s May gathering in London.
The announcements give more forward momentum to the “reset,” which faltered
earlier this month after failing to reach an agreement on British membership of
an EU defense industry financing program, SAFE. The two sides could not agree on
the appropriate level of U.K. financial contribution.
The pledge to finalize carbon trading (ETS) linkage next year is significant
because it will help British businesses avoid a new EU carbon border tax — CBAM
— which starts from Jan. 1 2026.
While the tax, which charges firms for the greenhouse gas emissions in their
products, begins on Jan. 1, payments are not due until 2027, by which time the
U.K. is expected to be exempt.
But it is not yet clear whether British firms will have to make back payments on
previous imports once the deal is secured, and there is no sign of any deal to
bridge the gap.
WIDENING HORIZONS
EU Relations Minister Nick Thomas-Symonds, who negotiated the agreement, said
the move was “a huge win for our young people” and would break down barriers and
widen horizons so that “everyone, from every background, has the opportunity to
study and train abroad.”
European Parliament President Roberta Metsola welcomes British Minister for the
Constitution and European Union Relations Nick Thomas-Symonds. | Ronald
Wittek/EPA
“This is about more than just travel: it’s about future skills, academic
success, and giving the next generation access to the best possible
opportunities,” he said.
“Today’s agreements prove that our new partnership with the EU is working. We
have focused on the public’s priorities and secured a deal that puts opportunity
first.”
The expected cost of the U.K.’s membership of the Erasmus+ program in 2027 will
be £570 million.
Skills Minister Jacqui Smith said Erasmus+ membership is “about breaking down
barriers to opportunity, giving learners the chance to build skills, confidence
and international experience that employers value.”
Liberal Democrat Universities Spokesperson Ian Sollom also welcomed U.K.
re-entry into the exchange scheme but said it should be a “first step” in a
closer relationship with the EU.
“This is a moment of real opportunity and a clear step towards repairing the
disastrous Conservative Brexit deal,” he said.
“However while this is a welcome breakthrough, it must be viewed as a crucial
first step on a clear roadmap to a closer relationship with Europe. Starting
with negotiating a bespoke UK-EU customs union, and committing to a youth
mobility scheme for benefit of the next generation.”
The U.S. is offering Ukraine security guarantees similar to those it would
receive as part of NATO, American officials said Monday.
The offer is the strongest and most explicit security pledge the Trump
administration has put forward for Ukraine, but it comes with an implicit
ultimatum: Take it now or the next iteration won’t be as generous.
The proposal of so-called Article 5-like guarantees comes amid marathon talks
among special envoy Steve Witkoff, President Donald Trump’s son-in-law and
adviser Jared Kushner and Ukrainian and European officials in Berlin as
Washington tries to pressure Kyiv into accepting terms that will end the war.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and many European leaders have been
reluctant to reach a deal without an explicit U.S. security guarantee, fearful
that Russia, after a period of time, would attack again.
This latest U.S. offer appears to be an effort to assuage those concerns but
also to push Zelenskyy to act quickly.
“The basis of that agreement is basically to have really, really strong
guarantees, Article 5-like,” a senior U.S. official said. “Those guarantees will
not be on the table forever. Those guarantees are on the table right now if
there’s a conclusion that’s reached in a good way.”
President Donald Trump said later Monday that he had spoken with Zelenskyy and
European leaders by phone. Trump also said he had spoken to Russian President
Vladimir Putin, but did not say when.
“I think we’re closer now than we have been ever, and we’ll see what we can do,”
Trump told reporters at the White House. Asked if the offer for security
guarantees had a time limit, he said “the time limit is whenever we can get it
done.”
The discussions over the weekend largely focused on detailing the security
guarantees that the U.S. and Europe would provide Ukraine, but they also
included territory and other matters. Witkoff and Kushner were joined by Gen.
Alexus Grynkewich, head of U.S. European Command as well as the top commander
for NATO.
The U.S. expects that Russia would accept such an arrangement in a final deal,
as well as permit Ukraine to join the European Union. That could prove to be an
overly optimistic assessment, given the Kremlin’s refusal to give ground in
peace talks so far. And Moscow has yet to weigh in on any of the new agreements
being worked out in Europe over the last few days.
“We believe the Russians, in a final deal, will accept all these things which
allow for a strong and free Ukraine. Russia, in a final deal, has indicated they
were open to Ukraine joining the EU,” a second U.S. official said. Both
officials were granted anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the
negotiations.
It was not clear when or how the Trump administration would bring the new
details to Moscow. Russia expects the U.S. side will update it on the talks,
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said. He added Putin “is open to peace, to a
serious peace and serious decisions. He is absolutely not open to any tricks
aimed at stalling for time.”
The Kremlin said Monday it expected to be updated on the Berlin talks by the
U.S. side.
Asked whether the negotiations could be over by Christmas, Peskov said trying to
predict a potential time frame for a peace deal was a “thankless task.”
The second U.S. official said the Ukrainian delegation was pleasantly
“surprised” by Trump’s willingness to agree to firmer security guarantees and to
have them ratified by Congress so that they will endure beyond his presidency.
The U.S. side also spoke highly of its European counterparts, who have been
worried for months that the Trump team would force Ukraine to agree to
unfavorable conditions. European officials also sounded upbeat.
“The legal and material security guarantees that the U.S. has put on the table
here in Berlin are remarkable,” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz told reporters
during a press conference after the talks Monday.
Merz, along with his counterparts from Denmark, Finland, France, Italy, the
Netherlands, Norway, Poland, U.K., Sweden and the EU put out a statement
welcoming “significant progress” in the U.S. effort and committing to helping
Ukraine to end the war and deter Russian aggression, including through a
European-led multinational force for Ukraine supported by the U.S.
Over the weekend Zelenskyy conceded that Ukraine would not seek NATO membership,
a condition that Russia has repeatedly sought.
Trump, who skipped this week’s meetings in Berlin but has been briefed twice by
Witkoff and Kushner, planned to call into a dinner Monday for attending heads of
state, foreign ministers and security officials, the U.S. officials said.
“He’s really pleased with where [things] are,” the first U.S. official said.
Witkoff and Kushner also sought to narrow disputes between Ukraine and Russia
over what territory Moscow would control in a final deal. Russia has so far
insisted on controlling Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region, even parts that Moscow
hasn’t captured.
One of the U.S. officials said the talks focused on many of the specific
territorial considerations, stating that there is a proposal in the works but
yet to be finalized for Russia and Ukraine to split control of the Zaporizhzhia
nuclear power plant with each country having access to half of the energy
produced by the plant.
But the American officials mostly avoided specifics on how they aimed to bridge
other gaps on territorial disputes. They said they left Zelenskyy with
“thought-provoking ideas” on how to do so.
After Zelenskyy responds to the proposals, Witkoff and Kushner will discuss the
matter with Russia.
“We feel really good about the progress that we’ve made, including on
territories,” the first official said.
Next the U.S. will convene working groups, likely in Miami this weekend, where
military officials will pore over maps to solve the remaining territorial
issues.
“We believe that we have probably solved for … 90 percent of the issues between
Ukraine and Russia, but there’s some more things that have to be worked out,”
the first U.S. official said.
Hans Joachim Von Der Burchard in Berlin contributed to this report.