ATHENS — The country that almost got kicked out of the eurozone is now running
the powerful EU body that rescued it from bankruptcy.
Greece’s finance minister, Kyriakos Pierrakakis, on Thursday beat Belgian Deputy
Prime Minister Vincent Van Peteghem in a two-horse race for the Eurogroup
presidency. Although an informal forum for eurozone finance ministers, the post
has proved pivotal in overcoming crises — notably the sovereign debt crisis,
which resulted in three bailouts of the Greek government.
That was 10 years ago, when Pierrakakis’ predecessor described the Eurogroup as
a place fit only for psychopaths. Today, Athens presents itself as a poster
child of fiscal prudence after dramatically reducing its debt pile to around 147
percent of its economic output — albeit still the highest tally in the eurozone.
“My generation was shaped by an existential crisis that revealed the power of
resilience, the cost of complacency, the necessity of reform, and the strategic
importance of European solidarity,” Pierrakakis wrote in his motivational letter
for the job. “Our story is not only national; it is deeply European.”
Few diplomats initially expected the 42-year-old computer scientist and
political economist to win the race to lead the Eurogroup after incumbent
Paschal Donohoe’s shock resignation last month. Belgium’s Van Peteghem could
boast more experience and held a great deal of respect within the eurozone,
setting him up as the early favorite to win.
But Belgium’s continued reluctance to back the European Commission’s bid to use
the cash value of frozen Russian assets to finance a €165 billion reparations
loan to Ukraine ultimately contributed to Van Peteghem’s defeat.
NOT TYPICAL
Pierrakakis isn’t a typical member of the center-right ruling New Democracy
party, which belongs to the European People’s Party. His political background is
a socialist one, having served as an advisor to the centre-left PASOK party from
2009, when Greece plunged into financial crisis. He was even one of the Greek
technocrats negotiating with the country’s creditors.
The Harvard and MIT graduate joined New Democracy to support Prime Minister
Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ bid for the party leadership in 2015, because he felt that
they shared a political vision.
Pierrakakis got his big political break when New Democracy won the national
election in 2019, after four years of serving as a director of the research and
policy institute diaNEOsis. He was named minister of digital governance,
overseeing Greece’s efforts to modernize the country’s creaking bureaucracy,
adopting digital solutions for everything from Cabinet meetings to medical
prescriptions.
Those efforts made him one of the most popular ministers in the Greek cabinet
— so much so that Pierrakakis is often touted as Mitsotakis’ likely successor
for the party leadership in the Greek press.
Few diplomats initially expected the 42-year-old computer scientist and
political economist to win the race to lead the Eurogroup after incumbent
Paschal Donohoe’s shock resignation last month. | Nicolas Economou/Getty Images
After the re-election of New Democracy in 2023, Pierrakakis took over the
Education Ministry, where he backed controversial legislation that paved the way
for the establishment of private universities in Greece.
A Cabinet reshuffle in March placed him within the finance ministry, where he
has sped up plans to pay down Greece’s debt to creditors and pledged to bring
the country’s debt below 120 percent of GDP before 2030.
Tag - Banking union
Mario Draghi has a message to the EU’s leaders: I did my bit, now you do yours.
Member countries had praised his proposals for fixing the bloc’s sagging economy
when he delivered them. One year on, they’re still dragging their feet on
actually following the advice — and Draghi is taking on the role of agitator.
Europe has introduced few of the recommendations from his European
Commission-backed plan to boost competitiveness, which includes
continental-scale investments in infrastructure, a revamped energy grid
providing affordable power to industry, coordinated military procurement to wean
the bloc off of U.S. arms, and a unified financial sector that can pour capital
into EU tech startups.
Only last month, Draghi warned that governments must make “the massive
investments needed in the future,” and “must do it not when circumstances have
become unsustainable, but now, when we still have the power to shape our
future.”
DRAGGING IT OUT
It’s not the first time that the ex-European Central Bank chief has issued dire
warnings on Europe’s dimming prospects. When he first presented his report in
Brussels, Draghi spoke of the “slow agony” of decline.
At the time, EU leaders across the political spectrum heaped praise on the
MIT-trained economist’s reforming vision.
French President Emmanuel Macron said that Europe needed to “rush” to deliver
the Draghi agenda. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez threw his weight behind
the reforms to avoid what he called the risk of falling behind in the most
“cutting-edge technological sectors.”
Even Germany’s Friedrich Merz, who disagrees with Draghi on the key issue of
joint EU debt, parroted the economist when he said that Germany would “do
whatever it takes” to shore up its defense sector — a reference to Draghi’s
now-famous dictum on the eurozone crisis.
But while leaders say they agree on the need for a more cohesive EU, behind the
scenes the reform agenda is stalling.
“The Draghi report has become the economic doctrine of the EU, and everything
we’ve proposed since has been aligned with it,” Stéphane Séjourné, the
Commission executive vice president charged with industrial strategy, told
POLITICO. Still, he admitted that the “’Draghi effect’ too often fades when
legislative texts are discussed by member states.”
A report by the European Policy Innovation Council think tank found that only 11
percent of the Draghi report had been acted on. In the field of energy, no
actions have been completed at all.
“It’s national interests, it’s national policies, sometimes it’s party
political,” said MEP Anna Stürgkh, who recently authored a European Parliament
study on the electricity grid. Speaking at an event about the Draghi report one
year on, the Austrian Renew Europe lawmaker explained that it often came down to
individual countries not wanting to share cheap energy with their neighbors.
In the field of energy, no actions have been completed at all. | Hannibal
Hanschke/EPA
“If they interconnect with countries that have higher energy prices, their
prices will go up,” she said. “That is a fact.”
“It’s not the Commission which is not doing the banking union,” Spanish
economist and former MEP Luis Garicano said at the same event, referencing the
push to break down the thicket of national rules and vested interests that keeps
the banking sector fragmented and country-specific. “It’s the governments that
don’t actually want to allow the capital to flow from one country to the next.”
That same parochialism comes up again and again, from common debt — vetoed by
so-called frugal countries like Germany and the Netherlands — to defense or to
financial sector integration. It doesn’t help that countries are tightening
their belts after the Covid-era spending splurge, leaving little money to pursue
strategic aims.
THE BULLY PULPIT
Draghi is a man used to wielding power directly, having injected hundreds of
billions of euros into the eurozone economy during his tenure as ECB president.
Earlier this decade he served over a year and a half as the prime minister of
Italy.
In his latest incarnation as Europe’s Jiminy Cricket — the unheeded moral
advisor — Draghi only has persuasion at his disposal.
If on the one hand the frantic pace of events has drawn attention and
bureaucratic resources away from the reform program, it’s also served as a
powerful validation of his thesis. Draghi has long been a proponent of pooled
sovereignty — which is to say that the EU’s member countries are more powerful
when they act as a bloc, even if they lose some freedom at the national
level. The problem is that it’s up to governments to decide to act.
By February, Draghi was already chiding governments for putting the brakes on
meaningful change during an appearance in front of the European Parliament.
“You say no to public debt, you say no to the single market, you say no to
create the capital market union. You can’t say no to everybody [and]
everything,” he said.
Now, as an intransigent U.S. embarrasses Europe on the world stage, Draghi has
warned the window for change may be closing.
The way that President Donald Trump got the better of EU negotiators, who were
under pressure from capitals to come to a deal, was a case in point.
This was a “very brutal wake-up call,” Draghi warned at a meeting in the Italian
seaside town of Rimini last month.
“We had to resign ourselves to tariffs imposed by our largest trading partner
and long-standing ally, the United States,” he said. “We have been pushed by the
same ally to increase military spending, a decision we might have had to make
anyway — but in ways that probably do not reflect Europe’s interests.”
The Secretariat-General, which reports to President Ursula von der Leyen, has
set up a special unit to work on it. | Jessica Lee/EPA
EYES ON BRUSSELS
If Draghi is the brain that dreamed up the EU’s economic reform program, then
the Commission’s bureaucrats are the hands charged with implementing it.
The Secretariat-General, which reports to President Ursula von der Leyen, has
set up a special unit to work on it. It’s headed by Heinz Jansen, a German
official previously in the Economic Affairs Directorate, and eight staff in
total.
Critics argue this is a paltry number of staff to be attached to the task force,
and that the EU executive could have set up a dedicated directorate. “The
president attaches great importance to the implementation of the Competitiveness
Compass,” a Commission spokesperson told POLITICO, referring to the EU
executive’s plans to implement Draghi’s recommendations.
According to officials who spoke with POLITICO, the task force mainly works on
delivering wins on the ground, pooling funds and channeling them into a handful
of core projects that might give Europe a shot at competing with the U.S. and
China technologically. The Commission merged several programs into a new €410
billion fund to finance common industrial aims in its budget proposal, and is
issuing a recommendation to governments to coordinate their investments this
fall.
But here, too, that will inevitably trigger tensions.
“Can you really imagine a big EU country funding an industrial plant in Slovenia
with its own taxpayers’ money?” asked one EU official. “There is a lack of
ambition … the EU executive is taken hostage by some big countries.”
“For years, the European Union believed that its economic size, with 450 million
consumers, brought with it geopolitical power and influence in international
trade relations,” Draghi said. “This year will be remembered as the year in
which this illusion evaporated.”
Jacopo Barigazzi and Nicholas Vinocur contributed reporting to the article.
Mujtaba Rahman is the head of Eurasia Group’s Europe practice. He tweets at
@Mij_Europe.
In January, the European Commission unveiled a sweeping new strategy to help the
EU remain competitive. It was a move that underscored growing worries over the
widening innovation and productivity gaps between Europe and its global rivals,
and was in direct response to intensifying global competition, stagnant growth,
weak demographics and new headwinds from high energy costs, security risks and
trade policies.
But while political progress to date suggests the EU is still falling far short
in closing its competitiveness gap with the U.S. and China, it’s also wrong to
conclude that the entire “Draghi” agenda is blocked.
Indeed, there are bright spots to be found, including the EU’s efforts to cut
red tape, the improving outlook for European defense funding and the
consolidation of the bloc’s defense-industrial base. In other areas of the
agenda, however — such as deepening banking and capital markets integration or
improving the continent’s tech ecosystem — progress remains lackluster.
So, let’s take a closer look.
First, the biggest advances made so far are in the area of defense. Brussels has
now relaxed its fiscal rules to allow countries to spend 6 percent of GDP over 4
years on defense, and for this not to count against their deficits. EU leaders
have also agreed to a €150 billion loan facility that will enable member
countries with less fiscal space to benefit from cheaper Commission borrowing
from capital markets, which will then be passed onto them as loans.
The EU has taken formal steps to encourage joint procurement of defense
equipment and to prioritize local suppliers as well. And there was, of course, a
big fiscal move from Germany, which ditched its debt brake, allowing for
unlimited borrowing outside the regular budget beyond 1 percent of GDP, as well
as the €500 billion special vehicle meant for infrastructure.
The problem, however, is that a very large number of member countries don’t have
the fiscal room to ramp up defense spending — certainly not to reach the 5
percent target — unless the EU agrees to more common financing, as it did with
Covid-19 and the NextGenerationEU facility. And this depends on Germany
leveraging its economy to the benefit of Europe.
If Europe really is going to deliver Pan-European defense public goods — such as
integrated air defense; a European satellite, intelligence and drone program;
and other so-called “European strategic enablers” — it’s going to need common
borrowing to do it.
Meanwhile, another key priority in Brussels has been reducing administrative
barriers for businesses, and EU governments are likely to make significant gains
in this area. The Commission has already presented two draft “omnibus” packages
to cut red tape, focusing on sustainability, corporate due diligence and
investment. The aim? Reducing the regulatory burden without altering the overall
direction of sustainability policies.
More such bills are now expected on defense, digital, mid-caps and sustainable
finance. And the Commission has also adopted a “one in, one out” principle for
new administrative requirements, aiming to help further reduce the regulatory
burden.
This imperative is as political as it is economic, as this agenda is essential
to keeping center-right parties on board in both the European Parliament and the
European Council.
The EU has taken formal steps to encourage joint procurement of defense
equipment and to prioritize local suppliers as well. | Oliver Hoslet/EPA
Unfortunately, however, this is where much of the good news ends.
When it comes to efforts on integrating capital markets, for example — which is
a big agenda item — the political obstacles remain formidable. Even though the
Commission has presented its latest strategy for greater integration of the EU’s
banking sector and capital markets, member countries continue to resist the
harmonization of corporate and foreclosure laws, tax regimes, pension systems,
and market supervision and infrastructure.
And when it comes to the EU’s tech and digital ecosystem — another big ticket
item — the bloc still continues to face structural barriers in closing the gap
with Silicon Valley, which retains its advantage with European startups hungry
for funding and talent. This situation is unlikely to be addressed without the
closer integration of EU capital markets. And while the Commission unveiled an
ambitious “AI continent” strategy in April, substantive legislative initiatives
will take time.
Overall, tech is essential to the wider strategy’s success, yet it still
accounts for most of Europe’s productivity gap with the U.S., and progress has
been too slow.
There are other things EU leaders can do in the meantime, however. For example,
with the U.S. and the EU now striking a deal on tariffs, Washington’s haphazard
approach should revitalize the bloc’s wider trade agenda.
The EU-Canada trade deal is a great start in this direction. But the agreement
is still in what’s known as “provisional implementation,” which 10 EU member
countries have to ratify. And without full ratification, the investment parts of
the deal can’t take effect.
If successful, the EU-Latin America trade deal, Mercosur, would be an even
bigger prize here. Currently, France remains the deal’s biggest antagonist since
the country has concerns over agricultural “dumping.” However, Brussels is now
trying to negotiate safeguards to satisfy the political concern in Paris that a
deal done over French President Emmanuel Macron’s head would invite the far
right to power in 2027.
Finally, another test on trade will be Brussels’s ability to finalize deals with
countries in the Gulf and Asia-Pacific — including India and Australia. The hope
with these deals isn’t just to unlock greater market access but also to secure
supply chains, while looking to revamp Europe’s industries.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s return to the White House has created the
potential for a real economic revival in the EU — and the answers are all in
Draghi’s report. But even though some progress is being made, EU leaders still
need to do more to grasp the nettle and really bolster the continent’s growth
prospects.
BRUSSELS — The EU’s top banking cop says he’s “frustrated” by a domestic mindset
that’s preventing cross-border banking mergers and undermining dreams of a
united European financial sector.
José Manuel Campa, chair of the Paris-based European Banking Authority, said he
“would like to see more transactions that have a cross-border nature in their
economic logic,” but that “we don’t see enough” now.
“I feel frustrated because I continue to see domestic mergers with a domestic
logic, not single-market mergers,” Campa told POLITICO in an interview.
The creation of big pan-European banks is seen as key to creating a unified EU
financial system that is open and deep enough to compete with the likes of the
United States. But national capitals have repeatedly undermined this push.
EU bodies have squared off against governments in recent months over politically
motivated moves to block banking tie-ups.
The European Commission is investigating Spain and Italy’s interference in big
domestic banking mergers as it grows impatient with what it sees as unjustified
attempts to block deals already approved by antitrust regulators.
Meanwhile, Germany is trying to block Italian lender UniCredit’s takeover bid
for the German Commerzbank, in a move the Commission’s outgoing competition
chief described as “difficult to accept.”
Governments may block banking marriages that they see as a threat to local
interests, or to stave off another country’s influence over a national banking
champion.
But the EU executive, and Campa, want bigger, more efficient banks to help
restore Europe’s competitiveness and foster a true single market for banking in
the bloc.
“The crucial issue is the single market — having a developed single market in
the EU,” Campa said. “Being better means taking advantage of the single market.”
KEEP IT SIMPLE
The EU banking industry has been pushing for simpler rules and lighter capital
requirements in recent months, particularly as the U.S. and U.K. pause or
lighten their own standards for the sector.
Campa said the EBA is “not in favor of deregulation” as “the existing rules have
served us well,” with a resilient and profitable banking industry seeing high
returns on equity.
Germany is trying to block Italian lender UniCredit’s takeover bid for the
German Commerzbank, in a move the Commission’s outgoing competition chief
described as “difficult to accept.” | Ronald Wittek/EPA
But the EU “can build better rules under the logic of the single market,”
including completing the bloc’s banking union, he said.
One source of complexity that is slowing progress toward a single market for
banking in the bloc is the persistence of “home-host issues” — the question of
whether banks should be overseen or hold regulatory capital at the level of
their group’s headquarters, or throughout all of their subsidiaries.
With 21 countries in the EU’s banking union, it’s a fraught issue, with
countries with big domestic banking players preferring a lighter approach, while
smaller countries that host subsidiaries of big foreign banks would rather
lenders hold more capital in their jurisdictions.
Fostering a more effective single market for banking would necessitate breaking
down those barriers, Campa said. “There are things that we can do … but that
requires a significant political consensus because those rules are there for a
reason; home-host issues are there for a reason.”
The EU’s latest update to bank capital rules, known as Basel 3, applies
requirements at the level of individual entities and the consolidated group, as
it was politically untenable to find a more simple way of implementing the
reforms — a decision Campa said “leads to excess requirements.”
The most recent piece of banking legislation negotiated in Brussels, a joint
crisis management plan for mid-sized banks, ended up as “an effort in
complexity” rather than “an effort in simplification” because political
wrangling resulted in a very complex text, Campa said.
In those negotiations, countries resisted a move to ease access to EU crisis
funds for failing mid-sized banks, meaning that the political deal on the rules
imposed myriad conditions for lenders to be able to tap the funds in a crisis.
As for banks’ regulatory capital buffers — the cash they’re mandated to hold
against risk to avoid future taxpayer bailouts if they fail — Campa said they
are “complex in Europe because we have many authorities making decisions,” and
that it would be “good to try to clarify” how buffers are set.
“The EU system is very complex. It’s not about whether the level of requirements
is high or low. It’s just that there are so many different buffers … and they’re
set by different institutions. That just leads to complexity and to lack of
clarity,” Campa said.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission has issued a legal warning to Spain saying it
violated European Union banking and single market rules by intervening in
banking giant BBVA’s hostile takeover of local Spanish rival Banco Sabadell
earlier this year.
The infringement notice, made public on Thursday, reflects Brussels’ growing
frustration with what it sees as vested interests of national governments
getting in the way of European banking consolidation. This month it also
intervened in the Italian government’s imposition of conditions on UniCredit’s
bid for Milanese banking rival BPM.
The moves suggests the EU executive is taking a more muscular approach to
mergers that are blocked for reasons other than financial stability and fair
competition.
“Consolidations in the banking sector benefit the EU economy as a whole and are
essential for the achievement of the Banking Union,” the EU executive said in a
statement announcing the action.
Last month the Spanish government imposed stringent conditions on the tie-up
between the two banks, which had previously been approved by the European
Central Bank and the national competition authority.
The Commission’s complaint is that the Spanish government does not have the
authority to block the merger, as only the ECB’s supervisory arm has the power
to do this for banks of BBVA and Sabadell’s size under the EU’s Single
Supervisory Mechanism Regulation.
It also complains that Spain is creating a barrier to the single market by
stopping the tie-up, and that discretionary powers given to the country’s
economy minister to block banking deals under the country’s rollout of the EU’s
Capital Requirements Directive were misused.
The Commission’s competition department is not involved in the action. Formally,
a procedure under the EU’s Merger Regulation, which sits within DG COMP’s
powers, would not have been possible as the two banks aren’t large enough in the
market.
But the new move, coming proactively from the Commission’s financial services
department in response to an anonymous complaint, could create a rift within the
Berlaymont if financial services commissioner Maria Luís Albuquerque is seen to
be encroaching on competition commissioner Teresa Ribera’s turf.
BRUSSELS VS NATIONAL CAPITALS
The Commission has been in talks with Spain over the case since last year. After
the complaint, the Spanish government will have two months to respond. After
that, the Commission can challenge the Spanish government at the EU’s top court,
in a procedure which could last years and result in major fines.
There are other fact-finding Commission conversations taking place, on EU bank
mergers, but these conversations are not public. The preliminary talks, known as
“pilot procedures,” represent the step before a formal infringement procedure.
A similar “pilot procedure” is ongoing with Italy — which used national security
provisions to intervene in a domestic banking merger, UniCredit-BPM. The
Commission is currently examining Italy’s response to its questions within the
EU Pilot, a spokesperson said in an emailed statement. Earlier this week the
Commission sent a letter of concerns to Italy warning that it may have violated
the bloc’s merger rules with its UniCredit-BPM decision.
If the Commission chooses to challenge national blocks of bank mergers more
frequently, it would be a direct challenge to governments, who keep their
national champions on a tight leash. The German government intervened
extensively to prevent a merger between its lender Commerzbank and Italian bank
Unicredit, although it did not formally block it.
The Spanish economy ministry said it has received the letter and will “continue
to cooperate constructively” with the Commission — although it noted that the
laws in question, which include the discretionary powers for the economy
minister, “have been in force for quite some years.”
MILAN — On a Friday morning under the boiling Lombard sun, the old men of
Italian banking descended on the country’s financial capital to bask in their
industry’s astonishing recent run of success.
But the avuncular embraces over sugared breakfast treats gave way to nervous
gossiping when the time came to discuss — sotto voce — the latest twists and
turns in a high-stakes game of ‘Risk’ that continues to convulse this tight-knit
family of financial elites — and now threatens a protracted conflict between
Brussels and Rome.
Over the past six months, the Italian banking sector has been consumed by a
convoluted series of bids and counter-bids involving almost every major player
in the country. Recently, the drama has veered toward a climactic denouement as
a seemingly heavy-handed response from Rome toward one takeover bid in
particular set off a conflagration between the Italian government and the
European Commission, exposing their contradictory visions for Europe’s financial
future.
It began last year, when Milanese banking giant UniCredit angered Prime Minister
Giorgia Meloni’s government by attempting to take over crosstown rival BPM,
which Meloni had hoped to merge with the partially bailed-out Tuscan lender
Monte dei Paschi di Siena. In response, Rome deployed screening tools known as
the ‘golden power’ — whose purpose is to prevent malicious foreign investment —
to impose tough conditions on the bid, which UniCredit claims has effectively
blocked it, prompting a court battle that unfolded earlier this week.
But more broadly, Rome’s strong-arming has also come into conflict with the
grand industrial vision of the Commission, which has placed consolidating
Europe’s still-fragmented banking market at the center of Europe’s new — and
what it describes as an increasingly urgent — competitiveness drive. Commission
officials are readying a warning to the Italian government on its misuse of
golden power to hamper UniCredit’s bid for BPM.
At the annual assembly of the Association of Italian Banks (ABI) on Thursday,
those tensions played out in real-time between financial officials and their
industry counterparts — albeit in muted form.
On the surface, it was more like an infrequent gathering of a fractious family
that wants to keep up appearances over festivities, and there was no explicit
mention of the drama in public comments.
But on the industry and regulatory side, the speeches contained barely concealed
paeans to free-market capitalism and the virtue of unmolested free markets. ABI
Chairman Antonio Patuelli, a spry veteran of the scene, emphasized the
importance of advancing the European banking union, calling for “common rules
for corporate governance, markets, savings and investment.”
In a conspicuous swipe at the Italian government — and its controversial
alignment with construction billionaire Francesco Gaetano Caltagirone — he added
that “competition must always be developed and safeguarded,” and that banks and
“non-traditional financial actors … must be subject to the same rules.”
But Italian officials painted a different picture, arguing that the EU and those
sympathetic to its supranational vision of European industry misunderstand what
Italy is doing. The government has already signaled in a recent court hearing
that it will fight its doubters to the last, even through the European Court of
Justice.
Speaking to POLITICO, one Treasury official said Rome’s interventions into
UniCredit’s adventures were a genuine matter of national security, as important
as boosting defense spending.
But as Italian Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti told the ABI attendees, the
banks’ pronounced growth has come at the expense of much of their regional
character. | Riccardo Antimiani/EPA
To him, it’s the EU being heavy-handed, not Rome.
“The Italian people elected a sovereigntist government, why are people surprised
when we do sovereigntist things?” the person said.
Much of the concern over UniCredit’s move stems from broader discontent in Italy
over the way its banks have failed to translate whopping gains into tangible
benefits for average Italians. After teetering on the edge of cataclysm during
the global financial crisis, Italian banks pulled off a dramatic turnaround,
bolstering their capital and reducing their holdings of bad debt.
But as Italian Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti told the ABI attendees, the
banks’ pronounced growth has come at the expense of much of their regional
character.
“The organizational, income and capital strengthening of Italian banks over the
last 15 years has not always translated into more favorable credit conditions
but rather into a reduction in lending to businesses,” he said.
He highlighted that the “exceptional returns” to shareholders — with UniCredit
hitting record profits in the first quarter of 2025 thanks to a major boost from
high interest rates — “were made possible thanks to public guarantees… So it is
legitimate to ask whether we’re witnessing an excess of ‘financialization.'”
There are good reasons for the government to be concerned. Italy, which after
Greece has the highest debt in the EU as a proportion of GDP, is sensitive to
large moves involving holders of its sovereign debt. Meanwhile, the country’s
countless small and medium-sized enterprises, which make up a major part of the
government’s electoral base, are reliant on the kind of easy credit access that
BPM — a bank with strong ties to Northern Italy — might be less inclined to give
if subsumed into the more international UniCredit.
To others, Europe’s ambition to rival the United States on the financial stage
might run counter to the more narrow interests of Rome and — more importantly —
the Italian people.
“The European Union doesn’t understand,” said one Italian regulatory official,
speaking on condition of anonymity. “We’re dwarves, and we’ll never seriously
compete with the U.S.”
Giorgetti himself said much the same, calling on the nation’s banks to “focus as
much as possible on doing their part: going back to being banks.”
Francesca Micheletti contributed to this report.
BRUSSELS ― Carlos Cuerpo wants eurozone members to wake up and lead Europe to
financial union.
The 44-year-old Spanish economy minister — who on Friday entered the race to
head up the powerful group of eurozone countries known as the Eurogroup — is
calling for a major shake-up of a body he says has become all talk and no
action.
“Going forward, the Eurogroup should be more about decisions,” Cuerpo, a
socialist, said in an interview with POLITICO, where he outlined his proposal
for sweeping changes to the body.
Cuerpo argued that groups of countries ― as opposed to all the EU’s 27 states
― should lead the way to integrate Europe’s financial markets, a long-held
ambition in Brussels that has repeatedly struggled to get off the ground.
“If you cannot go in terms of reducing fragmentation from 27 to one, you might
have to go in different steps and reduce the fragmentation by putting groups of
countries together.”
This is a major rupture from the incumbent Eurogroup President Paschal Donohoe,
whom critics accuse of prioritizing broad consensus over actual decisions in his
two terms in office.
To everyone’s surprise, in October, Cuerpo launched a “coalition of the willing”
― known as the European Competitiveness Lab ― to finally make progress on a
decades-old project to create U.S.-style financial markets in Europe.
The EU’s biggest countries ― Germany, France, Italy, Poland, Luxembourg, the
Netherlands and Spain ― have signed up to the initiative, boosting Cuerpo’s
leadership credentials. He said he will empower this scheme if he’s elected as
Eurogroup president.
“I expect that all 27 member states would be members of the competitiveness lab
at some point.”
The Spaniard, however, faces an uphill battle to defeat Donohoe in next Monday’s
secret vote by the eurozone’s 20 finance ministers.
While many officials praised Cuerpo’s soft skills and “encyclopedic knowledge”
of the European economy, others feel alienated by his more radical ideas, such
as doubling the size of the EU budget or issuing common debt for defense.
Donohoe is the odds-on favorite to secure a third term as he hails from the
powerful center-right European People’s Party and appeals to small countries who
will tip the balance of the election.
Lithuanian socialist Finance Minister Rimantas Šadžius, is unlikely to make it
past the first round of voting, according to several officials. | Oliver
Hoslet/EPA
The third candidate, Lithuanian socialist Finance Minister Rimantas Šadžius, is
unlikely to make it past the first round of voting, according to several
officials with knowledge of the voting procedures.
A simple majority — 11 votes — is necessary to be elected as president.
THE EUROGROUP’S MIDLIFE CRISIS
The Eurogroup is a club of 20 eurozone ministers who meet every month to
coordinate economic policy.
During its heyday, it steered the eurozone through the rumble-tumble of the
sovereign debt crisis, but lost influence as the euro area stabilized and a more
inclusive EU-wide group of 27 finance ministers gained power.
The Eurogroup has become a “bland working group” or a “think tank,” according to
two EU diplomats, who, like others in the story, were granted anonymity to speak
freely. A group of countries — including Spain — have questioned the usefulness
of holding monthly meetings in Brussels in an informal report that was seen as
mildly critical toward Donohoe’s presidency.
Faced with this criticism, Cuerpo said he wants to breathe new life into stalled
Eurogroup projects such as creating an EU-wide financial and banking union and
strengthening the role of the euro.
“We need to be very efficient in coming up with deliverables, otherwise we might
be late to the party,” compared to other foreign countries.
“Eurogroup needs to have a voice for these new times that actually requires us
to face new challenges and call for a revamped Eurogroup.”
THE ITALIAN VETO
One of the thorniest issues is Italy’s veto over a plan to use money from the
European Stability Mechanism — a bailout fund for countries introduced during
the eurozone crisis — to rescue failing banks.
Populist parties in Italy oppose ratifying the reform over the ESM’s lingering
association with strict bailout conditions during the eurozone meltdown. Rome,
however, is open to using these funds to provide cheap loans for defense —
something that Cuerpo has endorsed in the past.
In a sign of détente, Cuerpo said that “we have to help Italy help us on this
[ratifying the ESM],” although he shied away from questions on using these funds
for defense.
“[We need] to provide the right narrative, which is sometimes also an important
element around how the ESM can help us going forward in these new challenges as
well.”
This story has been updated to reflect Carlos Cuerpo’s formal job title as
minister of economy, trade and business.
BRUSSELS — Politicians might talk big about breaking down the national barriers
that stop Europe competing with the U.S. and China, but everywhere you look
they’re doing their best to keep the ones they think matter.
Take the EU’s Banking Union project, which first saw the light 15 years ago when
the eurozone debt crisis nearly took the financial system down along with the
single currency. Regulators have been pleading for years to let a fragmented
banking market consolidate and create the kind of continent-wide institutions
that can mobilize the vast sums needed to revive a stagnant economy.
But national capitals continue to hobble any deal they see as a threat to local
interests — so much so that the European Commission is now investigating Spain
and Italy’s interference with big domestic banking mergers. It’s increasingly
impatient with what it sees as unjustified attempts to block deals that
antitrust regulators have already blessed.
In Spain, the government of Socialist Pedro Sánchez has imposed new conditions
on Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria’s €12 billion hostile takeover bid for
Catalonia’s Banco Sabadell, an extra layer of scrutiny that is only used in
exceptional cases. BBVA swallowed hard and said on Monday that it will proceed
with the deal, even though the government won’t let it absorb Sabadell fully for
at least three years.
That deal had already been approved by Spain’s national competition authority,
while the Bank of Spain recommended the deal to the European Central Bank, which
is the direct supervisor of both banks.
“There is no basis to stop an operation based on a discretionary decision by a
member state government” when the takeover has been cleared by the competent
authorities, Commission spokesperson Olof Gill said.
For six months, the Commission has been having a back-and-forth with Madrid over
the deal under a procedure called the EU Pilot — an informal dialogue between
the EU and countries that can lead to formal infringement procedures. That
process is ongoing.
“Spanish rules allow for government intervention on general interest grounds, on
mergers that have already been reviewed by the competition authority, but this
is extremely rare,” Pedro Callol, a Spanish antitrust lawyer, told POLITICO. The
only time it has used the power, he said, was in a deal between broadcasters
Antena 3 and La Sexta in 2012.
ROMAN INTRIGUES
There were echoes of Madrid’s behavior in a similar case in Italy, where a
bewilderingly complex and politicized struggle for control of the banking system
is playing out. The government of Giorgia Meloni has saddled UniCredit’s bid for
rival Banco BPM with so many conditions that UniCredit now says it makes no
sense to proceed.
Rome did so by invoking its “golden power,” which was originally designed to
stop foreign takeovers from threatening national security. That move did not go
unnoticed in Brussels, where officials opened two distinct probes into the
matter, led respectively by the financial services and the competition
directorates. It has also triggered an exchange under the EU Pilot, and the
Commission “is now assessing the reply of Italian authorities.”
Competition officials in Brussels cleared the deal with conditions on June 19,
rejecting Rome’s request to hand the deal back to the national antitrust
authority.
Competition officials also sent Rome a set of questions on its “golden power,” a
Commission spokesperson told POLITICO, explaining that only in “exceptional”
circumstances can a government interfere with a Brussels merger decision.
National interventions in mergers aiming to protect a “legitimate interest,”
they said, should be “appropriate, proportionate and non-discriminatory.”
The government of Giorgia Meloni has saddled UniCredit’s bid for rival Banco BPM
with so many conditions that UniCredit now says it makes no sense to proceed. |
Michael Nguyen/Getty Images
There are broader concerns over Rome’s entanglements in the banking sector.
Government officials have spoken privately of the need to build up a third force
in Italian banking that would act as a counterweight to the dominant duo of
UniCredit and Intesa Sanpaolo, which they hope would bolster credit access for
the small firms and households that make up a sizable bulk of the ruling
coalition’s electoral base.
According to Rome insiders, the government wants to build this “third pole”
around Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), which has been under effective
government control since the last in a series of expensive bailouts in 2017. The
Commission only approved that bailout on the condition that Rome reduce its
influence over the bank as quickly as practicable. With the conditions having
been fulfilled, MPS is now on the hunt for acquisitions — with the backing of
the government, which is still its largest shareholder, owning an 11.7 percent
stake.
At first, Meloni’s government aimed to merge MPS with BPM, which bought a large
stake in the Tuscan lender last year. When that was derailed by UniCredit, the
government changed tack, supporting a surprise €12.5 billion bid by MPS for
Milan-based investment bank Mediobanca. The target rejected the offer outright
as having “no industrial rationale” and as being structured so as to create
significant conflicts of interest at the shareholder level — an implicit
complaint about the offer’s political dimensions.
Both the EU executive and Milan prosecutors are now reportedly probing Rome’s
handling of its sale of the MPS stake last November amid suggestions that it
favored investors close to the government.
VESTED INTERESTS AND COMPETITIVENESS CONCERNS
The Commission’s frustration is due in part to the notion that banking
consolidation, and the broader completion of a single market for financial
services, is urgently needed to boost the bloc’s overall competitiveness. EU
financial services chief Maria Luís Albuquerque is taking every chance to
emphasize that Europe needs bigger banks to compete with U.S. and Chinese
rivals. Currently, JPMorgan alone is worth as much as the eurozone’s eight
biggest banks put together. Any move to stop such consolidation must be
“proportionate and based on legitimate public interests,” spokesperson Gill
said.
Rome’s three-party coalition may be keeping its cards close to its chest
regarding its broader plans, but Spanish politicians haven’t even been trying to
mask their motives. Jordi Turull, secretary-general of the Junts per Catalunya
party that props up Pedro Sánchez’ minority government in Madrid, complained to
TV3 that the Spanish National Commission of Markets and Competition and European
authorities had only presented “technical reasons” for allowing BBVA to take
over Sabadell.
“Now is the time for politics,” he said, arguing that “there are enough reasons”
for the government to get involved.
Sánchez’ fragile minority government cannot pass legislation — nor a national
budget — without the support of Catalan political parties that consider
Sabadell’s independence a matter of regional pride. BBVA’s bid to take over the
bank, which was founded in Barcelona over 100 years ago, has consistently faced
broad political opposition in Catalonia. Separatist and unionist politicians
have rallied around the bank, arguing the deal would reduce Sabadell’s presence
in the region, particularly in already underserved rural area (they appear to
have forgiven Sabadell’s rapid relocation of its domicile to the legal safety of
Valencia when Catalonia pushed for independence back in 2017).
GERMAN ROADBLOCKS
Next in line for Commission scrutiny could be Germany, which is anything but
keen for UniCredit to swallow Commerzbank, the country’s second-largest private
sector bank. UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel’s team received permission from the ECB
in March to raise its stake to 29.9 percent. It currently holds 9.5 percent
directly, and another 18.5 percent indirectly through derivatives, and has
warned that converting those rights into physical shares still requires several
other approvals, including from the German Federal Cartel Office.
But the new government in Berlin hasn’t signaled any greater willingness to
allow a takeover than the previous one under Olaf Scholz. Berlin is still
Commerzbank’s biggest shareholder, with a stake of 12 percent, and Chancellor
Friedrich Merz told reporters in Rome last month that he didn’t see any need to
discuss the deal with his Italian counterparts as it was not in the works for
now.
Such roadblocks are giving Commerzbank the time to mount a vigorous defense. New
CEO Bettina Orlopp announced a radical package of measures in February to
improve profitability and get the bank’s market value up to a level where
UniCredit would struggle to mount a full takeover. That package included some
3,300 job cuts in Germany — precisely the kind of thing that Commerzbank’s
unions had been hoping to avoid when they lobbied the previous government to
stop a takeover.
UniCredit is still holding on to the option of launching a full takeover, but in
March accepted that any such process is likely to last well beyond the end of
this year.
Aitor Hernández-Morales contributed to this report.