BRUSSELS — The European Parliament’s three largest political groups are
discussing new safeguards against the unpredictability of President Donald Trump
in a bid to break a deadlock over approving the EU–U.S. trade deal, according to
two lawmakers and three officials familiar with the talks.
Center-left and liberal lawmakers are asking for a clause to be included in
enabling legislation that is now before the house, under which the deal would be
voided if Trump restarts his threats against the territorial sovereignty of
Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark.
“We will need to have safeguards in place with a clear reference to territorial
sovereignty directed at Trump’s unpredictability,” said an official of the
Socialists & Democrats familiar with the discussions, granted anonymity to speak
about confidential deliberations.
There are already suspension clauses in the text, but lawmakers want to include
definitions — including threats to territorial sovereignty — to strengthen them.
Apart from the sovereignty clause, the definitions should specify that new
tariff threats would trigger an automatic suspension of the agreement, said an
official from the liberal Renew Europe group.
That could pave the way for a vote on the Parliament’s position to be scheduled
for the next meeting of its International Trade Committee on Feb. 23-24. For the
EU to implement its side of the bargain, the Parliament and Council of the EU,
representing the bloc’s 27 members, would still need to reach a final
compromise.
“This could be perhaps a date to vote,” Bernd Lange, the chair of the committee,
told POLITICO, referring to the Feb. 23-24 meeting. Lange added that outstanding
issues — including whether to schedule a vote on the deal at all — will be
discussed at a meeting of lead negotiators scheduled for Wednesday next week.
“The question of safeguard[s] is an important one and will be solved in the
proper way,” he added.
The Parliament froze ratification of the agreement, reached by Trump and
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen last July, after the U.S.
president threatened tariffs on European allies backing Greenland, a
self-governing Danish protectorate.
The center-right European People’s Party has pushed to sign off on the deal
following calls from EU countries to unblock the implementation after Trump
walked back threats to seize Greenland. But S&D, Renew and the Greens have so
far balked, arguing further details are needed on the “framework” deal agreed by
Trump with NATO chief Mark Rutte.
An EPP official with knowledge of the discussions said the center-right group
was open to stricter suspension safeguards in case Trump turns hostile again.
“If he threatens [again] then the deal is off, but not the rest of our economic
cooperation,” the official said.
One of the S&D’s demands had been to officially ask the Commission to launch an
investigation into whether Washington is coercing Europe to give up Greenland,
which could lead to the launch of the EU’s Anti-Coercion Instrument. This trade
“bazooka” is the bloc’s most powerful trade retaliatory weapon — but the EPP
strongly opposes deploying it.
“Anti-coercion is a serious and nuclear weapon that should be last discussed
with strategic allies,” the EPP’s top trade lawmaker Željana Zovko told
POLITICO, adding that the tool is “not serious diplomacy, only for drama
queens.”
Lawmakers are also discussing adding a sunset clause that would require the
Commission to review the agreement after a set period, as well as excluding its
steel provisions from ratification until the U.S. withdraws its 50 percent
tariffs on European goods containing steel. MEPs say this violates the 15
percent all-inclusive rate agreed last summer.
Tag - Anti-coercion instrument
BRUSSELS — The European Parliament has postponed its decision to unfreeze the
EU-U.S. trade deal — but signaled it would do so at a later date.
After two and a half hours of closed-door talks on Monday, the Parliament’s top
trade lawmakers failed to agree whether to put the transatlantic deal to a vote.
This despite calls from EU countries last week to unblock the implementation
because U.S. President Donald Trump had walked back his threats to seize
Greenland.
“Of course we want the deal,” said Social Democrat lawmaker Kathleen van Brempt
after the meeting. But “we need clarity” on the agreement Trump said he struck
with NATO that ultimately convinced him to back down.
The Parliament froze ratification of the agreement, signed by Trump and European
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in July, after the U.S. president
threatened tariffs on European allies backing Greenland.
Lead negotiators will meet Feb. 4 to decide next steps, the Parliament’s
International Trade Committee Chair Bernd Lange said.
At the meeting, lawmakers broadly agreed that the deal should go ahead now Trump
has backtracked. But political groups are divided on whether they should first
play hardball with the U.S. and demand more details on the NATO-Trump agreement,
according to four people familiar with the talks.
The center-right European People’s Party wants to “move forward” as soon as
possible as it is “best for businesses … to create some more stability,” said
the EPP’s top trade lawmaker, Jörgen Warborn. The right-wing ECR group and the
far-right Patriots also pushed for work on the deal to continue.
But the Socialists, the liberals of Renew and the Greens want to play it
tougher, and want to see more details of the Greenland deal first, pointing to
Trump’s unpredictability.
“The guy threatened with tariffs, then he did not,” S&D’s van Brempt said,
adding that the Socialists want to know where the European Commission stands on
using the Anti-Coercion Instrument — it’s most powerful trade weapon — that it
moved closer to readying before Trump walked back his tariff threats.
“Improved U.S.-EU trade relations are of the highest importance, but must be
built on mutual respect,” top liberal trade lawmaker Karin Karlsbro told
POLITICO. “The door is open, but there is no need to rush the timetable.”
A senior Commission trade official told the meeting the executive wants to
accelerate the deal after Trump’s turnaround.
“The Commission is falling back to their old position now,” said an MEP who was
in the room, granted anonymity to speak about the confidential meeting, adding
the Parliament needs to push for the Commission to “keep the pressure high” on
Washington.
Lawmakers also discussed whether to formally ask the Commission to launch the
first, investigative stage of the Anti-Coercion Instrument, but there was not a
majority to do so, the chair of the U.S. delegation Brando Benifei said.
BRUSSELS ― There’s no turning back now.
That was the message from European leaders who gathered in Brussels on Thursday.
And even though this emergency summit, called in response to Donald Trump’s
threats to seize Greenland, turned into something far less dramatic because the
U.S. president backed down 24 hours earlier, the quiet realization that Europe’s
post-1945 rubicon had been crossed was, if anything, all the more striking for
it.
French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, the EU’s
two most powerful leaders, who haven’t seen eye-to-eye of late, were united in
warning that the transatlantic crisis had catapulted the bloc into a harsh new
reality — one in which it must embrace independence.
“We know we have to work as an independent Europe,” European Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen told reporters at the end of the five-hour
gathering.
And while, in contrast to recent EU summits, there was no tub-thumping or
quarrels or even any decisions to be made, the gathering quietly signaled a
tacit understanding, according to four EU diplomats and one official with
knowledge of the leaders’ discussion, that there’s a fateful break between the
old order and the new, the way the West has functioned since World War II and
whatever lies ahead.
While the mental shift toward independence has been gestating for years ― ever
since Trump first moved into the White House in 2017 ― his unprecedented threats
to Greenland acted as a sudden warning, forcing them to take steps that would
have been unthinkable even just a few months ago, they said.
All the officials interviewed for this article were granted anonymity to enable
them to speak freely about the summit, which was held in private.
“This is the Rubicon moment,” said an EU diplomat from an eastern flank country,
with knowledge of the leaders’ discussions. “It’s shock therapy. Europe cannot
go back to the way it was before. They [the leaders] have been saying this for
days.” What that new way would look like is — as usual — a conversation for
another day.
But there have been hints at it this week. The initial response from EU leaders
to the Greenland crisis — suspending an EU-U.S. trade agreement, sending troops
to Greenland, threatening to deploy sweeping trade retaliation against the U.S.
— served as a taste of what might come.
EVERYTHING, ALL AT ONCE
Between them, and then in public, leaders underscored that the speedy, unified
response this month couldn’t be a one-off. Instead, it would need to define the
bloc’s approach to just about everything
“It cannot be energy security or defense, it cannot be economic strength or
trade dependence, it has to be everything, all at once,” one of the diplomats
said.
France’s President Emmanuel Macron arrives for the summit. France is no longer
an outlier in advocating for “strategic autonomy” for Europe. | Olivier Matthys/
EPA
A key feature of Europe’s newfound quest for independence is a degree of unity
that has long eluded the bloc.
For countries on the bloc’s eastern flank, their location in the path of an
expansionist Russia has long underpinned a quasi-religious belief in NATO ― in
which a reliable U.S. had the biggest military and guaranteed the defense of all
other members ― and its ability to deter Moscow. A sense of existential reliance
on the U.S. has kept these countries firmly in Washington’s camp, leading to
disagreements with countries further west, like France, that advocate “strategic
autonomy” for Europe.
Now, France isn’t the outlier. Even countries directly exposed to Russia’s
expansionism are showing willingness to get on board with the independence push.
Estonia is a case in point. The tiny Baltic country said last week it would
consider deploying troops to Greenland as part of a “scoping mission” organized
by NATO. Tallinn didn’t end up sending any soldiers — but the mere fact that it
raised the possibility was remarkable.
“When Europe is not divided, when we stand together, and when we are clear and
strong, also in our willingness to stand up for ourselves, then results will
show,” Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said. “I think we have learned
something in the last days and weeks.”
Poland, one of the staunchest U.S. backers, also stepped out of its traditional
comfort zone. In discussions about how to respond, Prime Minister Donald Tusk
has signaled openness to deploying the EU’s Anti-Coercion Instrument — a
powerful trade retaliation tool that allows for limiting investments from
threatening nations, according to the diplomats.
Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk speaks to the media as he arrives for the
summit. Even Poland, one of the staunchers backers of the U.S., has stepped out
of its comfort zone. | Olivier Matthys/EPA
“We always respected and accepted American leadership,” Tusk said. “But what we
need today in our politics is trust and respect among our partners here, not
domination and not coercion. It doesn’t work.”
LEARNING THE LESSON
A similar realization is taking hold in Europe’s free-trading northern
countries.
While nations like Denmark, Sweden and the Netherlands have historically opposed
any move that risks imperiling their trading relationship with the U.S., those
countries also signaled openness to retaliation against Trump.
“This is a new era where we’re not going to rely on them anymore,” said a fourth
EU diplomat. “At least not for three years,” while Trump is still in office.
“This [Greenland crisis] was a test. We’ve learned the lesson.”
Even Germany, whose political culture has been defined for decades by faith in
the transatlantic relationship, is questioning old assumptions. Merz has hinted
that Germany could be onboard with a tough trade response against the U.S.
While EU diplomats and officials credited those moves with helping to change
Trump’s mind on his tariff threats, they warned that further tough choices were
now in order.
“We need to own our agenda,” added the fourth diplomat. “Ukraine, productivity,
competitiveness, security, strategic autonomy. The lesson is not to say no to
everything.”
Tim Ross, Zoya Sheftalovich, Seb Starcevic, Victor Jack, Nette Nöstlinger,
Ferdinand Knapp, Jacopo Barigazzi, Carlo Martuscelli, Ben Munster, Camille Gijs,
Gerardo Fortuna, Jakob Weizman, Bartosz Brzeziński, Gabriel Gavin and Giedre
Peseckyte contributed reporting.
BRUSSELS ― EU leaders reckon Donald Trump’s about-turn on Greenland happened
because they stuck together.
And while they’re not claiming victory just yet, they believe there are clear
lessons to be learned after several years where splits and rivalry have
dominated the bloc.
“When Europe is not divided, when we stand together and when we are clear and
strong, also in our willingness to stand up for ourselves, then the results will
show,” Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen told reporters as she arrived for
Thursday’s summit in Brussels. “We have learned something during the last couple
of days and weeks.”
Brussels exhaled on Wednesday after Trump announced he was backing away from
threats of imposing tariffs on countries that sent troops to Greenland, touting
a “framework” agreement struck with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte for
resolving the crisis.
While the fine print of that deal — including whether it respects Denmark’s
demand to retain full sovereignty of the island — isn’t yet clear, the situation
showed the EU can be effective when it advances in lockstep, shows its ability
to strike back and is willing to take clear steps like sending troops to
reinforce Arctic security in the Danish-held territory, according to two EU
diplomats and two senior EU officials. They spoke to POLITICO having been
granted anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the discussions.
“The fact that after those threats were made the EU coordinated very quickly,
and reacted very quickly, reacted in a firm and calm way, with principled
positions that were clear — this is certainly something that must be taken into
account in terms of the reaction that followed,” said a senior EU official.
“”We have learned something during the last couple of days and weeks,” said
Denmark’s Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen. | Ludovic Marin/AFP via Getty Images
The EU is drawing on months of experience of dealing with the Trump
administration, most notably last summer when it came to deciding whether to
sign a U.S.-EU trade deal, a senior diplomat said.
Before the signing, EU leaders publicly diverged for weeks over how they should
respond to Trump’s threat of sky-high tariffs.
While the leaders weren’t completely in agreement over Trump’s Greenland
threats, the fact that France and Germany quickly agreed on preparing the use of
the so-called Anti-Coercion Instrument against the U.S., a powerful trade
retaliation tool, showed the bloc was now more decisive in its response.
“The debate we had in June-July helped us prepare. There is now a maturity in
how the EU prepares and executes,” said the senior diplomat.
The decision by eight European countries to send troops to Greenland, on a
NATO-led “scoping mission” to bolster Arctic security, also helped to solidify
the EU’s position, said former French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal.
“My understanding is that when we speak the language of strength, we manage to
push back against certain ambitions,” Attal told France Info radio on Thursday.
“This only validates the idea that in a world that is all about power, we need
to show that we can bite.”
THE NEW PLAYBOOK
In the hours after Trump’s huddle with Rutte in Davos, European diplomats were
eager to underscore that a confluence of factors likely influenced Trump to take
the military option for Greenland off the table, and that it remained to be seen
what exactly motivated his thinking
Even European diplomats acknowledge it wasn’t all the EU’s doing. Nor do they
claim to know Trump’s thinking. They pointed to U.S. public opinion being
skeptical about a Greenland takeover, pressure from U.S. lawmakers unwilling to
approve such a move and volatility in markets as all possible factors.
But they underscored that, from the European side, there is now a clearer
process for protecting EU interests. A key element is reaching out to U.S.
lawmakers and business executives to convince that a transatlantic blow-up — or
even, as Frederiksen suggested, the death of NATO — would not be in their
interest.
“Europe has every reason to act with confidence,” Austrian Chancellor Christian
Stocker said during his way into Thursday’s summit.
Another factor is the EU’s willingness to signal the readiness to retaliate.
Diplomats pointed to European Parliament leaders pushing to delay approval of
the EU-U.S. trade deal as evidence of institutions that are working together
more quickly.
Rhetoric counts too, they said, pointing to French President Emmanuel Macron’s
support for the Anti-Coercion Instrument and a speech from European Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen vowing an “unflinching” response.
“The conclusion we can draw is that when Europe responds in a united way, using
the tools at its disposal … it can command respect,” Macron said on his way into
the summit. “And that is a good thing.”
BRUSSELS — EU leaders gathering in Brussels Thursday evening will attempt to
brush off a week of tumultuous relations with the U.S. and call for the bloc’s
transatlantic trade deal to be finalized.
In a sign that government heads are hoping to draw a line in the sand after
Donald Trump walked back his threats to impose tariffs on European countries and
seize Greenland, they’ll use the emergency summit to show they want to return
swiftly to business as usual.
“There is an agreement between the U.S. and the EU on trade,” said an EU
official directly involved in the discussions, granted anonymity because the
talks are confidential. “We are reliable partners, so those agreements should be
abided [by], unless there are structural changes … Hopefully that is not the
case and things can move forward.“
The summit was initially called to discuss economic retaliation against the U.S.
Leaders of the main parties in the European Parliament — including Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen’s own European People’s Party — which must ratify
the trade deal, said on Sunday that this would be impossible given Trump’s
threats.
But the U.S. president’s abrupt climbdown on Wednesday, saying he had negotiated
a framework for expanded military access to the Danish overseas territory,
should mean the pact can move ahead as planned, according to four diplomats and
officials.
“It is in the interest of Europeans to have an effective relationship,” said a
senior European diplomat.
At a meeting of ambassadors earlier Thursday to prepare the summit, no countries
objected to the agreement taking effect, even after the rancorous week,
according to two diplomats. It had been signed in July by Trump and von der
Leyen.
“The action is for the Parliament,” said a second EU official, adding that
leaders were likely to bring up the issue with Parliament President Roberta
Metsola, who is addressing them during the summit on Thursday.
The EPP’s lead negotiator on the file, Željana Zovko, said the Parliament will
“hopefully” decide to proceed with the deal on Monday.
The U.S. ambassador to the EU, Andrew Puzder, is piling on the pressure for the
speedy approval of the deal, blasting those in Brussels who claim Trump risks
undermining the transatlantic relationship with his efforts to take over the
territory of allies.
“The real instability comes from the EU’s own failure to act on the historic
trade agreement that Presidents Trump and von der Leyen negotiated last summer,”
he wrote online. “It was meant to restore predictability and growth, not be held
hostage to political posturing.”
DAVOS, Switzerland — In fashion, accessories make the dress. In politics, they
make the moment.
French President Emmanuel Macron’s sunglasses and his Top Gun look at the World
Economic Forum were the talk of the Swiss town this week and beyond, so much so
that it seemed to make people forget the geopolitical hits he took from the
likes of Donald Trump as Paris tried to push back against the U.S. president’s
now-withdrawn tariff threats against those opposing his designs on Greenland.
Even Trump complimented the French leader’s pair of blue aviator sunglasses.
“Beautiful. But what the hell happened?” he said during his keynote speech on
Wednesday.
What happened was Macron appeared to have burst a blood vessel in his eye. The
French president first appeared in public with a bloodshot eye on Jan. 15 for a
speech to the French military, which he began by apologizing for its “unsightly
appearance” but also noting it was “completely harmless.”
The next day he showed up at a meeting at the Elysée sporting the now-famous
shades, widely reported to be from the French brand Henry Jullien (€650 a pair),
which he again apologized for and said he was required to wear for several days.
The glasses were ridiculed in some corners. The running joke in Davos was that
he and Brigitte got into another scrape. But resorting to an eyepatch, like Olaf
Scholz did while running in 2023, wasn’t an option, not least because of the
pirate-themed ridicule the then-German chancellor suffered. That accessory in
France has long been associated with Jean-Marie Le Pen, the founding father of
the French far right.
Resorting to an eyepatch, like Olaf Scholz did while running in 2023, wasn’t an
option, not least because of the pirate-themed ridicule the then-German
chancellor suffered. That accessory in France has long been associated with
Jean-Marie Le Pen, the founding father of the French far right/AFP via Getty
Images
Fortunately for Macron, when the internet noticed, the verdict was largely
favorable. The shades were a sensation.
Online memes portrayed a cool Macron as a Godfather-like figure, a heavyweight
wrestler or a fighter pilot.
> The young padawans of the french psyops division are learning quite quickly
> how to meme
>
> It deserves to be encouraged
>
> Nice start#macron #meme pic.twitter.com/yKHRZuc6u6
>
> — Marouene Chaibi (@Marouenechaibi) January 21, 2026
And like many things that spread like wildfire on social media, the memes are
both petty and deeply meaningful.
Europeans have forever been on the back foot when it comes to dealing with
Trump, projecting indecisiveness, weakness and division. With European momentum
growing in favor of confronting Trump, are Macron and his blue-tinted shades the
symbol of European coolness and sophistication they need to combat the brash
MAGA world?
The French president himself has enthusiastically leaned into the underdog
motif. Speaking to a gathering of French CEOs on Tuesday evening, he echoed a
refrain from his speech to the French military, to channel their inner “Eye of
the Tiger” mojo.
“That’s why I’m wearing these glasses,” he said.
“Don’t give up, don’t give up, don’t give up” in the face of uncertainties and
challenges, he hammered.
“We’re going back to bootcamp. It’s Rocky III,” he said. The CEOs cheered.
Standing up to superpowers is a quintessentially French role, reaching back to
Charles de Gaulle and beyond. France is a country where school children are
brought up reading about Asterix and Obelix, the story of embattled Gauls
fighting against the Roman Empire.
Macron and his country this week embraced that role by calling on the European
Union to use the Anti-Coercion Instrument against the U.S. in response to
Trump’s tariff threats over Greenland; then declining an invitation to join
Trump’s Gaza Board of Peace, citing concerns over its extensive powers, to which
Trump responded by threatening 200 percent tariffs on French wine and Champagne;
and finally, hours before Trump touched down in Switzerland, calling for NATO to
organize a military drill in Greenland.
On stage in Davos Tuesday, Macron wasn’t afraid to poke at Trump, telling the
audience that he preferred “respect to bullies.”
There’s something slightly reckless in Macron’s recent moves. But he is a man
with little to lose. A tired lame-duck centrist, he faces the possibility of a
painfully slow end to his reign before the next presidential election in 2027.
Macron can, at least for now, project power in memes. But turning that into
political muscle is a whole different dogfight.
Kathryn Carlson contributed to this report.
BRUSSELS — The European factions who hold different views on dealing with Donald
Trump each have a figurehead. Let’s meet them.
Their roles are crucial as EU leaders meet in Brussels Thursday evening, hours
after the U.S. president said he had formed “the framework of a future deal” on
Greenland with NATO chief Mark Rutte.
The announcement throws the emergency European Council into uncertainty and will
see those around the table trying to get a handle on what has actually been
agreed, and how they respond to it.
Trump’s declaration that tariffs won’t be imposed on EU countries as part of the
spat means it’s unlikely leaders will sign off on a range of planned retaliatory
trade measures that had been on the table.
However, three officials and diplomats — granted anonymity to speak freely
— told POLITICO that the working dinner remains vital for discussing a range of
issues affecting relations with the U.S., including Washington’s new push for
talks between Russia and Ukraine, as well as its creation of a Gaza Peace Board.
European Council President António Costa, who is chairing the meeting, will have
to contend with different camps when it comes to how to deal with Trump. Here’s
who to watch at the summit (and you can keep up with all the news and analysis
on our live blog).
THE FIREBRAND: FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON
Macron has emerged at the helm of a small but growing band of countries that
want to take Trump on. In Davos on Tuesday, the French centrist branded the
Greenland push as “imperialism or new colonialism” and bemoaned Trump’s “useless
aggressivity.”
France has consistently pushed for Europe to be less dependent on the U.S., and
its arms industry stands to benefit from its call on allies to buy more weaponry
made on the continent.
Behind the scenes, French diplomats were pushing for the deployment of the ACI,
making it clear in no uncertain terms that the bloc will stand up to economic
blackmail. But texts published by Trump show that Macron — who once had a warmer
relationship with the American president — has tried to continue his charm
offensive out of view of the cameras.
Macron is backed up by leaders such as Belgium’s Bart De Wever, who has said
publicly that “there’s no point in being soft anymore” and he would be prepared
for a “trade war” if needed. Spain’s Pedro Sánchez, one of the few socialist
leaders in the Council, has also been vocal in his condemnation of Trump.
That group will be emboldened by the fact that the White House seemingly backed
down in the face of diplomatic and economic pressure over Greenland. The fact
European leaders are taking this so seriously and holding emergency talks “was
clearly part of changing [Trump’s] mind,” said a senior European diplomat about
Thursday’s meeting.
THE RELUCTANT SUPPORTER: GERMAN CHANCELLOR FRIEDRICH MERZ
Despite Berlin’s fragile governing coalition initially sending mixed messages
about its intentions, Merz appears to be coming around to Macron’s strategy.
With his focus firmly on economics, Merz effectively speaks for the countries
that would rather not be dragged into fresh rows with Trump but are starting to
feel there may be no other option. He has publicly said “we want to avoid any
escalation in this dispute, if at all possible,” but vowed “we will of course
protect our European interests, as well as our German national interests.”
Like many others, Merz has tried charm — sitting awkwardly through an Oval
Office meeting with Trump last year as the president brought up Germany’s Nazi
past. Now, the chancellor seems resigned to the prospect that more will need to
be done.
In private, German diplomats have joined forces with their French counterparts
in a rare show of unity to signal they would be ready to support beginning the
ACI process. “There is indeed a convergence in the positions between France and
Germany, which was previously unthinkable,” said the EU diplomat.
THE LITMUS TEST: ITALIAN PRIME MINISTER GIORGIA MELONI
All eyes are on Meloni, who has simultaneously carved out a special relationship
with Trump while also playing a key role in the development of the EU’s foreign
affairs policy as part of an elite group of big economies. When she joins forces
with those who want to be more assertive, it’s a significant sign that Trump has
probably gone too far.
Meloni spoke to the president over the weekend by telephone. “Our goal is not to
fight with the Americans,” her foreign minister, Antonio Tajani, told POLITICO
after the call, arguing a “win-win” solution could be found.
While Meloni is often reluctant to sacrifice her communications channel with the
White House, there’s an expectation she will ultimately side with her fellow
Europeans. “Meloni understands. She is serious,” a second senior diplomat said,
arguing that if her line to Trump fails to produce results, there’s little point
continuing to protect it.
Another notably cautious figure around the Council table will be Dick Schoof,
the prime minister of the Netherlands, who has been reluctant to openly
criticize Trump despite his country being one of the targets of the new tariff
threats. The Dutch government has emphasized the need to try to work through the
Greenland issue without escalation.
THE UNDECIDED: POLISH PRIME MINISTER DONALD TUSK
A long-standing pro-EU politician, Tusk nevertheless faces a tough moment —
navigating public opinion and a Trump-friendly president in Warsaw.
Along with the Baltic nations, Poland borders Russia and is dependent on
Washington to continue its military role in the region.
Three diplomats told POLITICO that this group of countries, while supportive of
standing up for European sovereignty, is more hesitant to do anything they think
could be seen as an escalation. They will be breathing a sigh of relief that
they don’t have to make any major decisions — yet.
THE SYMPATHIZER: CZECH PRIME MINISTER ANDREJ BABIŠ
The summit is the second Brussels sit-down for billionaire businessman Babiš
since he returned to office. He could be key to demonstrating unity. So far, he
has joked that he has bought a globe “to see where Greenland is,” and said
Trump’s fears about Russia and China are legitimate, but called for a peaceful
agreement to preserve NATO.
Another leader to keep an eye on is Slovakia’s Robert Fico. He has frequently
criticized the EU and dug in his heels over efforts to diversify away from
Russia, but ultimately tends to fall in line on major decisions. He met Trump in
Mar-a-Lago over the weekend and agreed on joint nuclear power projects, saying
he had a special relationship with the president because he is “not a Brussels
parrot.”
One politician whom those in the room can depend on to oppose almost anything
the others might agree on is Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán — a longtime
fan of Trump. Diplomats say Budapest is worried by an increasingly unpredictable
Washington but, according to one envoy, Orbán “doesn’t want to rock the boat”
given he has a critical election test of his own in April.
Victor Jack contributed to this report.
PARIS — European populist champions are turning away from a U.S. president they
once openly admired.
As Donald Trump escalates his attacks on the continent, his scorched-earth
approach to transatlantic relations is becoming a political liability — even for
leaders who previously benefited from their association with him.
For the right-wing and far-right movements in Europe, Donald Trump’s “Make
America Great Again” movement offered validation from the other side of the
Atlantic for similar populist movements back home — until its leader started
threatening the invasion of a European territory.
While on Wednesday Trump backtracked on his administration’s threats, saying he
will not take Greenland by force and would suspend his tariff threats, powerful
right-wing figures in the continent’s capitals and core EU institutions have
already shifted their narrative to adapt to the transatlantic hostility,
mimicking the centrist leaders they loathe and dialing up the rhetoric against
American imperialism.
“I think we should be honest,” said Nicola Procaccini, the leader of the
right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists group in the European
Parliament, who is also Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s right-hand man
in the chamber. “When Trump is wrong, we should say he’s wrong, when he’s right,
we should say he is right.”
Jordan Bardella, president of France’s far-right National Rally, and Nigel
Farage, the populist leader of Reform UK, condemned Trump’s escalating threats
over Greenland and his use of tariffs as coercive leverage against the very
countries they hope to govern. Both are wary of appearing too close to a figure
increasingly viewed by public opinion, including their voters, as a hostile
force.
Trump’s aggressive push on Greenland “goes way beyond a diplomatic
disagreement,” Bardella said in the European Parliament on Tuesday, describing
the U.S. president’s tariff threats as “blackmail” and accusing him of
attempting the “vassalization” of Europe.
In the same address he called on the EU to activate its so-called trade bazooka,
also known as the anti-coercion instrument, aligning with the position of his
rival, President Emmanuel Macron. That puts Bardella at odds with a leader to
whom he has long felt an affinity: Meloni, whose government is still advocating
a let’s-keep-calm-and-negotiate approach.
Even the far-right Alternative for Germany, which once openly embraced support
from the Trump administration, is scrambling to recalibrate.
WANNABES VS. INCUMBENTS
Populist leaders in office are proceeding cautiously, well aware of the risk of
alienating a powerful but unpredictable ally.
Italy’s Meloni, whose status as a Trump whisperer has raised her international
profile, has so far refrained from directly criticizing the U.S. president’s
offensive on Europe’s sovereignty.
As Trump announced he would slap punitive tariffs on NATO allies that have
opposed his move on Greenland, he noticeably spared Italy, which has criticized
European troop deployments to the Arctic territory.
Poland’s President Karol Nawrocki, a Trump stalwart, said the U.S. remained his
country’s “very important ally.” | Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images
Similarly, speaking from Davos, Poland’s President Karol Nawrocki, a Trump
stalwart, said the U.S. remained his country’s “very important ally.” But even
he balked at one of the U.S. president’s recent initiatives, with one of his
aides expressing concerns about the inclusion of Russian President Vladimir
Putin in the U.S.-led “Board of Peace.”
In the European Parliament, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s troops
continue to seek close ties with Trump and are downplaying the annexation
threats, arguing that Greenland is an issue solely between Denmark and the
United States.
“With President Donald Trump comes peace,” Orbán said three days ago on X.
By contrast, far-right figures who still are aiming for higher office have
adjusted their rhetoric.
In France, the National Rally has always been cautious in its approach to Trump,
trying to maintain a healthy distance. But Bardella himself had flattering words
for the U.S. president as recently as last month, when he said in a BBC
interview that Trump was an example of the “wind of freedom, of national pride
blowing all over Western democracies.”
In the same interview, Bardella gave a hat tip to Trump’s successes at home and
“welcomed with a certain goodwill” the moral support offered to nationalist
European parties in Trump’s National Security Strategy, a bombshell policy paper
widely received as another nail in the coffin of the traditional world order.
END OF A BROMANCE
In the U.K., Farage can claim to be a longtime friend of Trump, having
campaigned for him during his 2016 presidential run and later being welcomed to
Trump Tower as his personal guest.
But this week the populist leader opened up clear blue water between himself and
the U.S. president by saying Trump’s Greenland threats represent the “biggest
fracture” in the transatlantic relationship since the Suez crisis of 1956.
The Reform leader, who is scenting real power ahead of the next general
election, is well known for being attuned to public opinion — which remains
pretty hostile toward the U.S. president.
Trump was unpopular in Europe even before the Greenland offensive, including
among the supporters of right-wing populist parties he sees as allies, according
to a POLITICO Poll in partnership with Public First conducted in November.
Farage supporters were the exception, but even so, only 50 percent of
Reform-aligned respondents had favorable views of Trump.
PUBLIC DISTANCE VS. PRIVATE EMBRACE
France’s Marine Le Pen has long warned her troops against embracing Trump too
loudly.
France’s Marine Le Pen has long warned her troops against embracing Trump too
loudly. | Tom Nicholson/Getty Images
While the American president is ideologically close to her National Rally on
some subjects, first among them migration, Trump’s interference in domestic
politics has ruffled the far-right veteran’s feathers.
After U.S. Vice President JD Vance’s fiery speech at the Munich Security
Conference last year, where he criticized longstanding policies by centrist
parties against collaboration with the far right, she warned her troops against
cheering the apparent win for their camp.
Still, the party’s leading figures have also looked at Trump for inspiration and
sought to emulate some of his movement’s successes.
Last September, her former partner and National Rally Vice President Louis
Aliot, who traveled to the U.S. for Trump’s inauguration, gave a passionate
speech on democracy and freedom of speech at the party’s back-to-school meeting
in Bordeaux, paying tribute to slain U.S. conservative influencer Charlie Kirk —
a name virtually no one in France’s heartland had heard of before his
assassination. He elicited roars from the crowd.
Now, far-right politicians may legitimately fear that invoking Trump will earn
them boos instead of claps.
Esther Webber contributed reporting from London. Ketrin Jochecová contributed
reporting from Brussels.
BRUSSELS — European governments have reached a difficult conclusion: The
Americans are the baddies now.
As leaders of the EU’s 27 countries assemble in Brussels for an emergency summit
Thursday, that assessment is predominant across almost all capitals in Europe,
according to nine EU diplomats. These officials come from countries which have
varying degrees of historic fondness of the U.S., and they made clear that this
way of thinking is particularly stark in places that have previously had the
strongest ties to Washington.
The sense of dread and skepticism remains, and the summit will still go ahead,
despite Donald Trump declaring late Wednesday that he’s struck a deal on
Greenland and won’t impose tariffs on European countries after all —
underscoring how the gathering has become more than just about the latest
blowup.
The U.S. president’s designs on Greenland, which he set out earlier in the day
in Davos, Switzerland, demanding “immediate negotiations” to obtain the island,
have come as a last straw for many leaders. Throughout the first year of his
second term, they had clung to the hope that their worst fears about the country
that has underpinned European security since 1945 wouldn’t be realized.
But the moment for making nice “has ended” and “the time has come to stand up
against Trump,” Anders Fogh Rasmussen, former NATO secretary-general and
ex-Danish prime minister, told BBC radio.
Several of the envoys that POLITICO spoke to for this article, all of whom were
granted anonymity because of the sensitive nature of their work, said they felt
personally betrayed, some having studied and worked in the U.S. or having
advocated for closer transatlantic ties.
“Our American Dream is dead,” said an EU diplomat from a country that has been
among the bloc’s transatlantic champions. “Donald Trump murdered it.”
Europe’s collective realization is likely to be in evidence at the summit ― not
merely in potential decisions to prepare for retaliatory trade measures against
the U.S., should Trump reverse course again and push ahead with his claims on
Greenland.
It will also be apparent in the statements leaders are likely to make to each
other in private and then publicly. French President Emmanuel Macron
foreshadowed that in his own speech in Davos, saying Europe had “very strong
tools” and “we have to use them when we are not respected, and when the rules of
the game are not respected.”
LIMITED RELIEF
Trump’s speech at Davos, during which he called Denmark’s self-governing island
“our territory,” did nothing to dial down the temperature 24 hours before the
leaders’ hastily arranged gathering in the Belgian capital to discuss their next
response to the disintegrating postwar order.
While Trump ruled out the use of military force to seize Greenland, EU
governments didn’t regard this as a climbdown because of the harshness of his
language about Europe in general and clear confirmation of his intentions,
according to two EU diplomats.
Trump did eventually walk back his threat of issuing tariffs on the eight
European countries which he considered to be standing in his way on Greenland,
but by that point, things were already too far gone.
“Our American Dream is dead,” said an EU diplomat from a country that has been
among the bloc’s transatlantic champions. “Donald Trump murdered it.” | Mandel
Ngan/Getty Images
“After the back and forth of the last few days, we should now wait and see what
substantive agreements are reached between [NATO Secretary-General] Mr. Rutte
and Mr. Trump,” Germany’s Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil told German broadcaster
ZDF. “No matter what solution is now found for Greenland, everyone must
understand that we cannot sit back, relax, and be satisfied.”
The moment the U.S. president threatened those tariffs on Saturday was when the
schism “became real,” said an EU diplomat.
“Maybe this push gets us a few months, maybe it’s a more permanent thing,” said
another, referring to Trump’s about-face. “I think [Trump’s] speech earlier
today will give food for thought in most if not all capitals, tariffs or not.”
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen summed up the mood during her
Davos speech Tuesday.
“The world has changed permanently,” she said. “We need to change with it.”
At their summit, EU leaders will discuss the state of the transatlantic
relationship. Prior to Trump’s tariff climbdown, they were preparing to ask the
Commission to ready its most powerful trade weapon against the U.S., the
Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), as POLITICO reported on Tuesday.
The EU created its “trade bazooka” in 2023 to deal with the threat posed by what
it perceived as hostile countries, most notably China, which it feared were
using their markets and their economies to blackmail the EU into doing their
bidding. The idea that Brussels would deploy it against the U.S. had previously
been unthinkable.
“We are experiencing a great rupture of the world order,” said a senior envoy
from a country that was seen in the EU as a key American ally. Leaders will
discuss “de-risking” from the U.S., the diplomat said — a term that has
previously been reserved for the EU’s relationship with Beijing. “Trust is
lost,” they said.
THE THERAPY SUMMIT
The summit will be akin to “therapy,” said one EU official familiar with the
preparation for the European Council. It will provide an opportunity for the
leaders to issue a concrete response to Trump’s Davos speech and subsequent
claim of a deal.
The assessment that the U.S. is no longer a reliable ally has come gradually.
The scales first fell from Europe’s leaders’ eyes when the Trump administration
published its National Security Strategy in early December, in which it vowed to
boost “patriotic European parties” to the detriment of the EU. (Which may go
some way to explaining why some EU leaders, like Hungary’s Viktor Orbán, are
still clinging to Trump.)
Then, Trump renewed his rhetoric about taking Greenland, the U.S. ambassador to
Iceland called himself the governor of the 52nd U.S. state, and Trump sent a
letter to Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, in which he said that his
failure to be awarded the Nobel Peace meant he would “no longer feel an
obligation to think purely of Peace.”
One senior EU envoy said they were convinced the letter was a fake. Its
authenticity was then confirmed.
Two senior diplomats POLITICO spoke with separately compared the current state
of the U.S. with the time leading up to World War II.
“I think we are past Munich now,” said one, referring to a 1938 meeting where
Britain, France and Italy appeased Adolf Hitler by allowing him to annex
Czechoslovakia. “We realize that appeasement is not the right policy anymore.”
The abrupt decline of U.S. standing has been particularly painful for Denmark,
which Trump called “ungrateful” in Davos.
Copenhagen has been shocked by his behavior, having for decades been among
America’s most friendly allies. Denmark deployed forces in support of the U.S.
to some of the most dangerous combat zones in the Middle East, including Helmand
Province in Afghanistan. The country suffered among the worst per-capita losses
of life.
“So many of us have studied in the U.S., we all wanted to work there,” said one
Danish official. “This is simply betrayal.”
Gabriel Gavin, Nicholas Vinocur, Tim Ross and Nette Nöstlinger contributed
reporting.
BRUSSELS — European officials have cautioned that major challenges remain after
Donald Trump abruptly U-turned on his threat to impose tariffs on countries
supporting Greenland.
The U.S. president said Wednesday evening on social media that after forming
“the framework of a future deal” on the Arctic territory with NATO
Secretary-General Mark Rutte the punitive measures would not come into effect on
Feb. 1 as he had previously advised.
But it’s too early to conclude that the looming spat between the U.S. and the EU
is over, Germany’s Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil said.
“After the back and forth of the last few days, we should now wait and see what
substantive agreements are reached between Mr. Rutte and Mr. Trump,” Klingbeil
told German broadcaster ZDF. “No matter what solution is now found for
Greenland, everyone must understand that we cannot sit back, relax, and be
satisfied.”
An EU official directly involved in the negotiations in recent days said “I
would be skeptical about calling this fantastic news. We cannot live our lives
or govern our countries based on social media posts.”
EU leaders are set to meet Thursday evening to discuss Europe’s response to the
U.S. president’s escalation over Greenland. That summit is still going ahead.
“A lot has happened since the start of the year, it’s a good idea for these
leaders to sit together and discuss the [volatile] world we live in,” the EU
official said.
Regardless of the reversal on trade threats and apparent Greenland deal, Trump’s
speech in Davos “will give food for thought in most if not all capitals, tariffs
or not,” another EU official said.
The purpose of the summit remains to discuss transatlantic relations, a third EU
official said. “The question of tariffs is off the table but Greenland is still
on the table, transatlantic relationship is still an issue.”
But it’s too early to conclude that the looming spat between the U.S. and the EU
is over, Germany’s Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil said. | John MacDougal/Getty
Images
Trump had vowed to hit countries supporting Denmark in its defense of Greenland
with a 10 percent tariff from Feb. 1, with the levy on European exports set to
rise from June 1. The countries affected included Germany, France, the
Netherlands, Sweden and Finland, the U.K and Denmark.
A NATO diplomat, meanwhile, laid the praise for the apparent U-turn at the door
of the secretary-general, who has struck up a close personal relationship with
Trump: “Mark Rutte is doing his job: being listened to by the president of the
United States.”
Seb Starcevic, Nette Nöstlinger and Gerardo Fortuna contributed reporting.