After months of tight-lipped talks, the Netherlands’ new minority government
unveiled a blueprint for the country’s future on Friday, promising to move
beyond political squabbling and return to the long-standing Dutch tradition of
consensus politics.
The 67-page coalition agreement laid out a series of ambitious goals to be
spearheaded by Rob Jetten and his liberal D66 party alongside his coalition
partners — the center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) and the liberal
People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD).
“Today we’re embarking on a new course,” Jetten, told journalists in The Hague
on Friday, promising “real breakthroughs.” Jetten, at age 38, is set to become
the youngest Dutch prime minister.
Those hoping for a dramatic shift after years of right-wing politics, however,
could be disappointed.
“Ultimately, we see relatively little of D66’s progressive agenda reflected in
the agreement,” said Sarah de Lange, a professor of Dutch politics at Leiden
University, pointing to the program’s emphasis on higher defense budgets and
deregulation at the expense of social spending.
Here are five things you need to know about what Jetten’s government has in
store:
1. IT WANTS US TO BELIEVE IN POLITICS AGAIN
The new government is keen to signal it is making a clean break from years of
political paralysis, rolling out its new Cabinet slogan: “Let’s get to work!”
The not-so-subtle message here is that the three coalition members want to show
they are serious about delivering on tackling the country’s main challenges,
ushering in the end of an era of polarization and political clashes and
returning full-force to the Netherlands’ long-standing tradition of compromise
politics.
After the conflict-ridden and gloomy-toned Schoof government, expect a
“yes-we-can” vibe from The Hague.
2. IT’S SPLURGING ON …
— Defense, allocating an extra €19 billion to meet the new NATO spending target
of 5 percent of gross domestic product — 3.5 percent on core military
expenditure and 1.5 percent on defense-related areas — and to facilitate the
country’s transition from being a “peace dividend to combat power.”
“The Netherlands is at the forefront of building a European pillar within NATO,”
the coalition document reads.
— Solving the Netherlands’ housing crisis and phasing out nitrogen emissions
through buyouts will also require large investments. Planned cuts to education
and international aid will be put in the freezer — a win for the D66, for whose
electorate those are core concerns.
… AT THE EXPENSE OF …
— Social spending will take a big hit, with Dutch citizens expected to shoulder
more of the burden for health costs.
“We’re preventing a huge explosion of the health care budget, which creates room
to invest in defense and national security,” Jetten explained on Friday.
— The coalition document also stipulates a “freedom contribution,” a tax of
about €184 per citizen per year which is meant to raise some €3.4 billion toward
defense.
3. IT WILL STAY FIRM ON MIGRATION
The previous government fell over migration, which remained a major campaign
issue in the run-up to the election. Jetten positioned himself as the antithesis
to far-right firebrand Geert Wilders, whose Party for Freedom has long claimed
the topic.
In the coalition text, the new government walks the tightrope of promising a
strict immigration policy while trying not to echo Wilders too closely and
alienate more progressive voters.
The plan singles out the EU’s migration reforms, including its plans to bolster
deportations, as a “first big step toward gaining more control over who comes to
the Netherlands.” The Dutch government will take a leading role in pushing for
changes to international refugee law, including by hosting an asylum summit,
according to the program.
But the text also states that the Netherlands will take a stance in EU talks
about return and transit hubs to make sure that migrants are never sent to
countries where they risk persecution, and put on hold a controversial deal with
Uganda to use the African country as a transit point for rejected asylum
seekers.
4. IT’S RETURNING TO BRUSSELS’ EMBRACE
After a Euroskeptic tilt under the last Dutch government, Jetten is bringing the
Netherlands back on a Brussels course, arguing for closer cooperation.
That applies to defense, with the agreement setting a goal of 40 percent of
procurement to be carried out “jointly with European partners,” as well as to
migration.
Still, the new government remains loyal to the Netherlands’ reputation as one of
the frugals, rejecting eurobonds. “Member states are primarily responsible for
their own budgets,” the document reads.
The country will also continue to support Ukraine militarily and financially and
push to use Russian frozen assets, according to the agreement.
When it comes to the United States, the program struck a stricter tone, pledging
to “speak out when their actions undermine our values and interests, always with
an eye to maintaining the relationship and preserving critical security
interests.”
5. NONE OF THIS IS EVEN REMOTELY A DONE DEAL
Perhaps the most important thing to know is that all of the above should be
taken with a massive grain of salt.
Over the past weeks, the three coalition parties have made a show of presenting
a united front. But internal cohesion is by no means a guarantee of success.
In Dutch parliament, the three parties combined only have 66 out of 150 seats.
In the Netherlands’ upper chamber they hold 22 out of 75 seats.
That means that the coalition will need to seek external support for every
separate issue. Considering that the two largest opposition parties — the
leftist GreenLeft-Labor alliance (GL-PvdA) and far-right Party for Freedom (PVV)
— hold diametrically opposed views, that is a recipe for political acrobatics.
In Jetten’s words: “This will be a cooperation government.”
In practice, Leiden University’s de Lange said, the framework laid out in the
coalition agreement already hints the government will have to swerve even
further to the right.
“When you look at the plans that are on the table right now as a whole, it looks
more likely that the decisive support will come from the far right,” de Lange
said. “GL-PvdA has said from the beginning that they would not agree with
funding defense by cutting social spending.”
WHAT’S NEXT?
The Dutch parliament is expected to discuss the coalition agreement on Tuesday.
That will be a first bellwether of the mood within various opposition parties
and their willingness to help Jetten make good on his promise of getting things
done.
The divvying up of ministries and Cabinet posts is the next big step. If all
goes well, the final team will line up on the steps of the Dutch king’s palace
for the traditional photo by late February.
And then the work can begin.
Tag - Dutch politics
The three parties that have formed the new Dutch minority government have
pitched raising the European minimum age for social media to 15, according to
coalition plans unveiled on Friday.
With the move, the Netherlands is the latest country to push for a de facto
social media ban at 15, following France’s example. The three Dutch parties —
the centrist D66, the Christian Democrat CDA and the liberal VVD — will still
need to seek support for their proposals, as they hold only 66 of 150 seats in
the Dutch parliament.
The parties want an “enforceable European minimum age of 15 for social media,
with privacy-friendly age verification for young people, as long as social media
are not sufficiently safe,” they write in the plans. The current EU minimum age
stands at 13.
The coalition program also envisions a crackdown on screen time through
prevention and health guidance, and stricter smartphone rules in schools, which
will require devices to remain at home or in a locker.
In June of last year, the previous Dutch government issued guidance to parents
to wait until age 15 before allowing their children to use social media.
Earlier this week, a bill to ban social media for users under 15 passed the
French parliament’s lower chamber and could take effect in September.
Australia paved the way by banning children from a range of platforms in
December.
The new Dutch government also is launching a push to become more digitally
sovereign and to reduce “strategic dependencies” in areas such as cloud services
and data.
Eliza Gkritsi contributed to this report.
The Netherlands’ incoming government wants to push Europe toward a tighter
intelligence-sharing club — including what it calls a potential “European
equivalent” of the Five Eyes alliance — as part of a broader overhaul of its
security services.
The new coalition argues, in its governing plans published Friday, that rising
threats require faster and more proactive intelligence agencies while preserving
the country’s tradition of operating under strict rule-of-law safeguards.
The proposals include boosting funding and digital infrastructure for the
civilian intelligence agency (AIVD) and military intelligence service (MIVD),
and strengthening the role of the national counterterrorism coordinator.
At the European level, The Hague says it wants to intensify cooperation with a
core group of like-minded countries, explicitly floating a continent-wide
version of the “Five Eyes” intelligence partnership (which is made up of
Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the U.K., and the U.S.).
In October, the heads of the two Dutch agencies announced they would stop
sharing certain information with their U.S. counterparts, citing political
interference and human rights concerns. Instead they would look at increasing
cooperation with other European services, like the U.K., Poland, France, Germany
and the Nordic countries.
Domestically, the government plans to fast-track a revamped Intelligence and
Security Services Act, rewriting the law to focus on threats rather than
specific investigative tools and making it “technology-neutral” so agencies are
not outpaced by innovation. Supervisory bodies would be merged to provide
streamlined, but legally robust, oversight.
The agenda also calls for expanding the operational research capacity of Dutch
intelligence services to help build Europe’s “strategic autonomy,” while
deepening ties with tech firms and recruiting top technical talent.
The leaders of three Dutch political parties said Tuesday they had agreed in
principle to form a minority coalition government after months of
negotiations.
The centrist D66 party, which took first place in last October’s election, the
center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) and the liberal People’s Party
for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) will join forces in a coalition that will only
hold 66 seats in the Netherlands’ lower house of parliament, 10 seats short of a
majority. Minority governments are rare in the Netherlands.
D66’s leader, 38-year-old Rob Jetten, will be the youngest Dutch prime minister
in history. He appeared alongside CDA and VVD’s leaders Tuesday night and said
the three “still have a few final details” to iron out before their coalition
agreement is formally presented Friday, but sounded an optimistic note.
“We’re really looking forward to getting started,” said Jetten. He added the new
government’s priorities would be affordable housing, controlling migration and
investing in defense. The Cabinet could be sworn in by the Dutch king by the end
of February.
VVD’s leader, Dilan Yeşilgöz, who has previously served as a justice
minister, said she hadn’t decided whether she will take a post in the new
government.
October’s election saw D66 surge to victory, narrowly overtaking Geert Wilders’
far-right Party for Freedom (PVV), which previously was the largest party in a
coalition government marked by infighting.
That coalition eventually collapsed after a dispute over asylum policy saw
Wilders withdraw his party’s support.
The Netherlands may soon have a minority government after the leaders of three
political parties announced on Friday that they would continue coalition talks.
At a joint press conference, the leaders of the centrist D66 party — the big
winner of last October’s national election — along with the center-right
Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) and the liberal VVD, said they would press
ahead without other partners.
That configuration sidelines JA21, a hard-right party that the VVD had expressed
a desire to include, but whose views on climate, immigration and Europe were a
tough sell for D66.
If an agreement is reached, the three parties would together control just 66
seats in the Dutch parliament, 10 seats short of a majority, forcing the
prospective coalition to seek outside support for individual proposals and
legislation.
Minority governments are unusual in the Netherlands and are seen as more
vulnerable to collapse.
Speaking on Friday, D66 leader Rob Jetten acknowledged that “it is going to be
hard work,” but said he was confident the coalition could succeed.
The Chinese government has agreed to resume exports of key chips for the
European auto sector, according to Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof.
“We were informed by China that they will enable the resumption of supplies from
Chinese factories from Nexperia,” Schoof told Bloomberg Friday on the sidelines
of the COP30 climate summit in Brazil.
The crisis was sparked in October when the Netherlands seized control of the
Dutch-based chipmaker, a subsidiary of Chinese chip giant Wingtech, prompting
Beijing to impose retaliatory export restrictions.
Schoof told the newswire that the resolution was the result of cooperation
between the Netherlands, Germany and the European Commission, as well as recent
Dutch-Chinese diplomatic talks, alongside a trade detente between the U.S. and
China.
German auto firm Aumovio disclosed on an earnings call on Friday that it had
been informed that it had received the necessary permissions to begin importing
Nexperia’s chips.
The Dutch GreenLeft-Labor alliance has elected Jesse Klaver as its new leader to
succeed Frans Timmermans after slumping to defeat in last week’s election.
Timmermans resigned on election night immediately after exit polls put his party
in fourth place with a loss of five seats — a major setback for a party that had
been an election favorite ahead of the vote.
“Sometimes, leadership means taking a step back,” Klaver, in a nod to his
predecessor’s decision, said following his appointment Monday.
“But sometimes you also have to take a step forward when the situation calls for
it. That’s what I did today,” Klaver added, according to a local media report.
Timmermans, a former European commissioner, quit Brussels politics in 2023 to
return to the Dutch political scene and take the reins of the newly formed
alliance between the GreenLeft and Labor parties.
Klaver, who is 39, previously led the GreenLeft party and was Timmermans’
second-in-command over the past two years.
The centrist liberal D66 party is in pole position to form a new Dutch coalition
after its narrow victory in the election.
One possible coalition would include GreenLeft-Labor, as well as the
center-right Christian Democratic Appeal and the conservative liberal People’s
Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD).
That’s far from a done deal, however, as VVD leader Dilan Yeşilgöz had
repeatedly ruled out governing with GreenLeft-Labor.
Catherine de Vries is Generali chair in European policies and professor at
Bocconi University in Milan.
Last week, Dutch voters rewarded the political center.
The centrist-liberal D66 and center-right Christian Democratic Appeal benefited
from a gowing appetite for stability, while the race for the largest party ended
in a photo finish between D66 and Geert Wilders’s far-right Freedom Party. With
no group receiving more than a fifth of the vote, upcoming coalition talks
promise to be complicated, and a majority government before the holidays looks
unlikely.
As with so many recent elections across the continent, the EU was again the
elephant in the room. Bloc-wide issues barely featured in the campaign ahead of
the vote, yet the result could have far-reaching consequences for the
Netherlands’ role in Brussels.
What is already clear is that the Dutch electorate voted far more pro-European
than it did in 2023. Indeed, it seems the Euroskepticism that once dominated the
political mood has given way to a quiet mandate for cooperation and reform — an
unmistakably pro-EU signal to The Hague.
And if D66 leader Rob Jetten can succeed in becoming the party’s first prime
minister, it would mark a decisive shift in the country’s policy toward the
bloc.
D66 has long been the most outspokenly pro-EU party across the Dutch political
spectrum. Speaking to POLITICO after the election, Jetten argued that the
Netherlands should use its veto power far less often and instead “say yes to
cooperation more often.”
“Europe risks stagnation if we fail to deepen integration. The Netherlands
helped found the Union, now we should help shape its future,” he said.
These words signal a clear break from the previous government of technocrat Dick
Schoof, which had been largely invisible in Brussels. As Dutch broadcaster NOS
recently reported, the country’s influence in the EU has “withered.” Or, as one
senior EU diplomat bluntly put it: “No one listens to the Dutch anymore.”
Schoof’s administration had begun with high expectations — exemptions on asylum,
nitrogen and nature rules, and a lower contribution to the EU budget — but the
reality in Brussels proved unforgiving. The Netherlands often found itself
isolated, and its attempts to secure “opt-outs” were quietly abandoned.
A Jetten premiership could reverse this pattern. Though similarly pragmatic,
even Schoof’s predecessor Mark Rutte was ultimately cautious, wary of treaty
reform and collective borrowing. But Jetten signals a readiness to go further,
as D66 sees the Netherlands as a natural bridge-builder and a key player in
European integration.
Moreover, part of the Schoof government’s weakness was its lack of European
experience. A technocrat without party backing, he struggled to build political
capital in Brussels. Jetten, by contrast, is well-connected. Like Rutte, he
belongs to Renew Europe group, the liberal alliance associated with French
President Emmanuel Macron — a link that once amplified Dutch influence beyond
its size.
And if D66 leader Rob Jetten can succeed in becoming the party’s first prime
minister, it would mark a decisive shift in the country’s policy toward the
bloc. | Pierre Crom/Getty Images
Of course, today even this network has become fragile. Macron’s domestic
troubles have diminished his clout in Brussels, and with it, the gravitational
pull of the liberal camp.
Meanwhile, Brussels itself is more fragmented than ever. European politics has
become a patchwork of competing national priorities, with southern members
demanding more collective investment, northern countries — including the
Netherlands — still preaching fiscal discipline, eastern members prioritizing
defense and security, and western governments focused on industrial policy and
competitiveness.
Then, there are the external pressures to consider: The U.S. expects Europe to
shoulder more of its own defense, while China is forcing the bloc to rethink its
economic dependencies.
In such a fragmented landscape, speaking with one European voice is hard enough
— acting in unison is harder still.
Ultimately, though, how the next Dutch government positions itself in this
European maze, and Jetten’s ability to deliver, will largely depend on domestic
politics and the coalition he can forge.
The irony here is that if the center-left Green–Labor alliance or the Christian
Democrats had emerged as the largest party, alignment with Europe’s dominant
political currents might have been easier, finding natural allies in Spain’s
Pedro Sánchez or German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. But with D66 securing less
than 20 percent of the vote, Jetten will have to govern in a broad coalition
that includes parties far less enthusiastic about Europe.
Still, even a Jetten-led coalition could boost Dutch influence precisely because
it would span multiple European party families at once. In Brussels, where
informal networks often matter just as much as votes, that could give the
Netherlands renewed diplomatic weight.
Facing the strategic dilemma of reconciling domestic compromise with European
ambition, Jetten’s political style — pragmatic, conciliatory and
consensus-driven — may also prove to be an asset here. During election-night
coverage, one journalist even called him “the new Rutte” due to their shared
instinct for timing and coalition-building. But Jetten couples this with a much
clearer European vision.
In his post-election remarks to POLITICO, the D66 leader left little room for
doubt: “Europe must evolve into a serious democratic world power, with the means
and authority to do what citizens expect — protect our borders from Putin, grow
our economy and safeguard the climate,” he said.
For years now, Dutch politics have been oscillating between pragmatic
euro-realism and latent Euroskepticism. But this election may finally signal the
pendulum’s slow return toward a more pro-Europe center, rooted in the quiet
understanding that the Netherlands and the EU rise and fall together.
The centrist liberal D66 party has won the Dutch election, according to the
national press agency ANP.
Rob Jetten’s D66 and Geert Wilders’ far-right Party for Freedom (PVV) emerged as
the equal largest in Wednesday’s election with 26 parliament seats each, but
with almost all votes counted, ANP said Friday that D66 could not be caught for
first place. It’s a narrow victory, with the party just 15,155 votes ahead of
the PVV, with 99.7 percent counted.
The result means Jetten is in pole position to piece together a coalition
government — a right typically reserved for the largest party — and to become
the Netherlands’ prime minister if he succeeds.
D66 and the PVV finished ahead of the center-right liberals of the People’s
Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), which won 22 seats in Wednesday’s vote;
the left-wing GreenLeft-Labor alliance, which secured 20 seats; and the
center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), which collected 18. Conservative
JA21 is the largest of the smaller parties, with nine seats.
Jetten has already made clear he sees the need for a broad coalition, as D66 is
a “small large party” by Dutch standards, though caretaker Prime Minister Dick
Schoof said Friday that the process won’t be quick.
Forging a coalition could become tricky if it involves convincing the
center-right VVD and the left-wing GreenLeft-Labor alliance to join the same
government, after bitterly campaigning against one another.
“Twenty-six seats after all, just like D66. Nobody beats the PVV. Absolutely
nobody!” Wilders posted defiantly on X on Thursday. On Friday, he added that,
“Whatever the outcome will be nationally, the PVV is once again the largest
party in many provinces, including Limburg” — Wilders’ own province.
His PVV was the largest party in the Netherlands’ previous coalition government.
It was a Cabinet marked by infighting, which collapsed when Wilders withdrew his
party over a dispute over asylum policy. The far-right firebrand has next to no
chance of entering the next government as parties have ruled out joining forces
with him.
With the exception of the VVD, Wilders’ former coalition partners took a beating
in Wednesday’s election: The populist Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB) lost three
of its seven seats; while the centrist New Social Contract was decimated, going
from 20 seats in 2023 to zero now.
This story has been updated.
Don’t expect a new Dutch government in time for the festive season, caretaker
Prime Minister Dick Schoof said Friday.
“I think I’ll still be prime minister by Christmas,” Schoof noted on his way
into a Cabinet meeting. He said it will be “quite complicated” to form a new
coalition, and that he’d be “surprised” if it were done before decorations go
up.
Centrist liberal Rob Jetten’s D66 party and Geert Wilders’ far-right Party for
Freedom (PVV) are still vying for first place as the final votes are counted
following the national election on Wednesday.
Both won 26 seats in the Netherlands’ 150-strong parliament, according to nearly
complete results; while the conservative-liberal People’s Party for Freedom and
Democracy (VVD) won 22, the left-wing GreenLeft-Labor (GL-PvdA) alliance got 20
and the center-right Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) snagged 18.
The largest party typically gets the right to try to assemble a governing
coalition first. Jetten’s D66 is slightly ahead of Wilders’ PVV with a margin of
just 15,000 votes, with 99.7 percent counted nationally. Still, the results of
the last municipality are due Friday, and the tally of an estimated 90,000 mail
votes is expected Monday.
Regardless of the outcome, Wilders has next to no chance of joining the next
government, let alone leading it, as several parties have ruled out
collaborating with his party. That means Jetten is the favorite to become the
new prime minister.
But VVD leader Dilan Yeşilgöz also repeatedly ruled out governing with
GreenLeft-Labor in the run-up to the election, potentially complicating D66-led
negotiations. With 26 seats, D66 would be an exceptionally small largest party
in the government, and without GreenLeft-Labor, a future coalition would require
five parties to reach a majority.
That doesn’t have to be a problem, however, Schoof said, looking across the
border for inspiration.
“That’s what they have in Belgium, so it’s possible,” he said. The number of
parties doesn’t matter, as long as you “agree on what you want to do, and then
stick together and support each other,” he added.
This week’s vote came just two years after the Netherlands’ previous election.
Schoof’s government, a coalition of PVV with the VVD, the centrist New Social
Contract (NSC), and the populist Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB), was marked by
infighting and collapsed within a year when Wilders withdrew his party over a
dispute about asylum policy.
NSC, with 20 seats, was one of the biggest winners in the 2023 election, but
secured none in this week’s vote. Former party leader and founder Pieter Omtzigt
left politics earlier this year. Other parties in the former government also
lost seats, including Wilders’ PVV, which dropped 11 seats.
Schoof acknowledged the parties in his government had been punished, while NSC
“evaporated.”
“I think people are unhappy with what’s been delivered, and about the fact that
the Cabinet hasn’t managed to see things through,” he said.