LONDON — The U.K.’s Energy Secretary Ed Miliband hit back at Donald Trump’s
Davos jibe that offshore wind is for “losers,” telling a European energy summit
that wind turbines are “for winners.”
Speaking in Hamburg, Germany, at a meeting focused on boosting Europe’s offshore
wind capacity, Miliband said it was “important to be diplomatic,” when asked for
his response to Trump’s remarks.
But, he added: “For us in the U.K., offshore wind is absolutely critical for our
energy security. This is a hard-headed, not a soft-hearted, view that we have.
We think it’s the right thing for the climate crisis but we think it’s
absolutely the right thing for energy security.
“I think offshore wind is for winners.”
At the World Economic Forum in Davos last week, Trump reiterated his deep-seated
loathing for wind energy, saying: “There are windmills all over Europe. … They
are losers.”
Trump also claimed, falsely, that China, despite making most of the world’s wind
turbines, don’t use them and only “sell them to the stupid people that buy
them.” China has by far the world’s largest wind power generation capacity.
Energy ministers from the U.K., Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Iceland,
Luxembourg and the Netherlands signed a deal Monday at the third North Sea
Summit to deliver 100 gigawatts of joint offshore wind projects.
Miliband said that there was still “common ground” to be found with the Trump
administration on energy, including around the development of new nuclear
technology.
But he added: “Different countries will pursue their own national interests. But
we are very clear about where our national interest lies.”
Frederike Holewik contributed reporting from Hamburg.
Tag - Offshore wind
Listen on
* Spotify
* Apple Music
* Amazon Music
Die USA erleben eine neue Eskalation in der Migrationspolitik: In Minnesota
stirbt erneut ein Mensch bei einem Einsatz der Einwanderungsbehörde ICE. Die
Debatte über Gewalt, Rechtsstaatlichkeit und politische Verantwortung spitzt
sich zu – und könnte auch nach Europa überschwappen.
In Hamburg trifft sich der Kanzler mit internationalen Partnern zum
Nordsee-Gipfel. Es geht um Energie, Offshore-Wind und die Frage, wie Europa
unabhängiger werden kann, auch als Antwort auf Donald Trumps Attacken gegen
erneuerbare Energien.
Unseren Politico Pro-Newsletter ‘Energie und Klima’ findet ihr hier.
Innenpolitisch geht es nach Nordrhein-Westfalen: Die SPD schickt Jochen Ott als
Spitzenkandidaten ins Rennen gegen Hendrik Wüst. Im 200-Sekunden-Interview
erklärt er, wie er das scheinbar aussichtslose Duell drehen will.
Und: In Sachsen-Anhalt legt die AfD ihr Regierungsprogramm vor. Pauline von
Pezold analysiert, was darin zu Familie, Inklusion, Waffenrecht und Russland
steht – und warum das Papier weit über das Bundesland hinaus Bedeutung hat. Den
Spaziergang mit AfD-Spitzenkandidat Ulrich Siegmund hier nochmals hören.
Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski
und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international,
hintergründig.
Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis:
Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und
Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren.
Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski:
Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski.
POLITICO Deutschland – ein Angebot der Axel Springer Deutschland GmbH
Axel-Springer-Straße 65, 10888 Berlin
Tel: +49 (30) 2591 0
information@axelspringer.de
Sitz: Amtsgericht Berlin-Charlottenburg, HRB 196159 B
USt-IdNr: DE 214 852 390
Geschäftsführer: Carolin Hulshoff Pol, Mathias Sanchez Luna
Europe has a chance Monday to flex its independence from the United States by
embracing the energy technology that President Donald Trump hates the most.
After a fortnight spent staring into the abyss of conflict with America,
ministers from across the continent will meet in Hamburg to agree to massively
boost the North Sea’s production of wind energy.
The Hamburg Declaration — to be signed by Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany,
Iceland, Ireland, Luxembourg, the U.K., the Netherlands, and Norway — will
pledge to build 100 gigawatts of joint offshore wind projects. That’s more than
the current total electricity generation capacity of the U.K.
The summit has taken on new meaning since Trump’s attempts to coerce his NATO
allies to hand over Greenland pushed the transatlantic alliance to — perhaps
beyond —breaking point.
“Homegrown clean power,” U.K. Energy Secretary Ed Miliband and EU Energy
Commissioner Dan Jørgensen wrote in POLITICO on Monday, offers an alternative to
the EU’s deepening reliance on imported liquefied natural gas, much of which now
comes from the U.S.
“Relying so heavily on fossil fuels, whether they come from Russia or anywhere
else, cannot give us the energy security and prosperity we need. It leaves us
incredibly vulnerable to the volatility of international markets and pressure
from external actors,” they said.
Harnessing the North Sea’s gusty winds requires political cooperation that
bridges national differences, the Brexit divide and political backlash to the
expansion of renewables. While the offshore industry in the U.K. has recently
seen strong interest, countries such as Germany and France are struggling to get
companies to bid for new projects.
And clean energy boosterism cannot mask the fact that gas, while slowly
declining, is still almost one quarter of Europe’s energy supply and central to
Europe’s heavy industry. Nor are all European countries and companies convinced
there is any need to stop the boats pouring in from Texas.
Trump knows he has Europe over a barrel. Last week at the World Economic Forum
in Davos, Switzerland, he derided wind turbines and the Europeans that install
them as “losers.”
His self-interest was barely veiled. The U.S. is the world’s biggest exporter of
LNG and since the EU began shutting off Russian pipeline gas, the bloc’s imports
from the U.S. have risen fourfold, according to the Institute for Energy
Economics and Financial Analysis, a non-profit climate group.
Trump’s Energy Secretary, Chris Wright, boasted in Davos that U.S. exports had
been able to “displace most all of the Russian gas” and foresaw “robust energy
trade” going forward; trade that would be, “in the short run … dominated by
exports from the United States into Europe.” He called for the EU to remove
“barriers” to the new era of transatlantic gas exports, namechecking Europe’s
carbon border tax and its corporate environmental regulations.
The U.S., he said, is “working with our colleagues here in Europe to remove
those barriers.”
U.S. gas was celebrated by European officials as key part of their strategy for
ditching Russian energy, a savior from across the seas — alongside, of course,
the growing the use of renewables like wind and solar.
But the growing reliance has taken on an entirely new geopolitical significance
under Trump.
“The big weakness was and is that fossil fuel supply was moving from one
unreliable supply source (Russia) to a set of other potentially unreliable
supply sources and that over-dependency on any one of them risked a repeat of
previous problems,” said a European Commission official involved in the EU’s
efforts to cut dependence on Russian gas, who was granted anonymity to speak
candidly.
“I just didn’t think we’d have to worry about the U.S. — that was before Trump,”
they added.
The North Sea summit was first set up in 2022 as an antidote to Russian energy
dependence. Its third edition will be overshadowed by fears — voiced by energy
analysts, if not necessarily by some European leaders still eager to appease
Trump — that the U.S. could weaponize gas in the way Vladimir Putin did against
the Europeans before and after his invasion of Ukraine.
This year several heads of state, energy ministers as well as the biggest
industry players are expected to attend, the German hosts said. The goal is to
strengthen the cooperation between neighboring states along the North Sea.
Three declarations are set to be signed, according to German government
officials familiar with the matter. The heads of states will sign the Hamburg
Declaration pledging close cooperation and united efforts to secure critical
infrastructure.
The energy ministers will also sign their own declaration focusing on the
necessary grid infrastructure for offshore wind parks including financing
measures and accelerating planning measures.
And lastly there will be the Joint Offshore Wind Investment Pact for the North
Sea, signed by the energy ministers and key industry players. Both sides are
promising to do everything in their power to bring offshore wind back on track.
“This is a great opportunity to remind us why the transformation of the energy
system matters,” Teresa Ribera, the Commission’s Executive Vice President told
POLITICO after Trump’s attack on green energy in Davos. Renewable sources of
energy “mean freedom, lower dependence and vulnerabilities.”
CAN’T STOP GUZZLING
While pivoting to clean power is an obvious priority, “you cannot dream away the
existing dependence on oil and gas imports,” said Thijs Van de Graaf, a
specialist in the geopolitics of energy at the Ghent Institute for International
and European Studies.
The Commission has limited power to dictate where companies obtain their LNG
supplies, and the dizzying pace of growth in purchases of the U.S. product will
be difficult to reverse.
“Unilateral action from the EU to limit its purchases is … unlikely,” argued
Jack Reid, a lead economist at economic advisory firm Oxford Economics in a note
published last week. He pointed out that for all the EU’s efforts to diversify,
Russia remains the bloc’s second largest supplier of LNG.
On top of that, the importers themselves are hesitant to curb such a roaring
trade. POLITICO asked several German companies and received a range of
responses. Some foresaw no change in the U.S. trade, while others, including
Uniper, said flexibility may be needed.
“This is not a relationship we are stepping back from, on the contrary, we are
deepening cooperation with U.S. partners at pace,” said Alexandros Exarchou, the
CEO of Atlantic See, a Greek LNG import venture that recently struck a 20-year
deal with U.S. firm Venture Global to import half a million tons of LNG
annually.
Others have more pressing energy challenges to address. For Ukraine’s largest
private energy company, DTEK, reassessing the U.S. trade relationship is
unthinkable as war with Russia rages on.
“We have no plans to reduce our engagement with U.S. suppliers,” James O’Brien,
the head of trading at DTEK’s trading unit, D.Trading, told POLITICO. “In fact,
we are actively seeking to expand our volumes to cover the critical supply gap
in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe from 2026/27.”
The U.S. LNG market remains “the most liquid and flexible in the world,” he
said, adding that for Ukraine, U.S. LNG “is not a risk, it is a lifeline.”
Many European officials “are still living that old liberal world,” said Van de
Graaf, and expect a return to normalcy and stability in EU-U.S. trade. “That
ideological position is no longer tenable in light of all of what is
transpiring.”
Ed Miliband is the U.K. energy secretary and Dan Jørgensen is the EU
commissioner for energy.
The world has entered an era of greater uncertainty and instability than at any
other point in either of our lifetimes, and energy is now central to this
volatile age we find ourselves in.
In recent years, both Britain and Europe have paid a heavy price for our
exposure to the roller coaster of international fossil fuel markets. Russia’s
illegal invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sent global gas prices soaring — driving up
bills for families and businesses across the continent and leading to the worst
cost-of-living crisis our countries have faced in a generation.
Even as Europe rapidly cut its dependence on Russian gas and is now swiftly
moving toward a complete phaseout, exposure to fossil fuels remains the
Achilles’ heel of our energy systems. The reality is that relying so heavily on
fossil fuels — whether from Russia or elsewhere — can’t give us the energy
security and prosperity we need. It leaves us incredibly vulnerable to
international market volatility and pressure from external actors.
Like European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said: “As our energy
dependency on fossil fuels goes down, our energy security goes up.” This is why
Britain and the EU are committed to building Europe’s resources of homegrown
clean power, looking to increase our energy security, create well-paid jobs,
bring down bills and boost our industrial competitiveness, all while tackling
the climate crisis to protect future generations.
Today, nine European countries, alongside representatives from NATO and the
European Commission, are meeting in Hamburg for the third North Sea Summit to
act on this shared understanding.
Together, we can seize the North Sea’s vast potential as a clean energy
powerhouse — harness its natural resources, skilled workforce and highly
developed energy industries to lead the world in offshore wind, hydrogen and
carbon capture technologies.
Three years ago in Ostend, our countries united behind a pioneering goal to
deliver 300 gigawatts of offshore wind in the North Sea by 2050. Today in
Hamburg, we will double down on those commitments and pledge to jointly deliver
shared offshore wind projects.
With around $360 billion invested in clean energy in the EU just last year, and
wind and solar overtaking fossil-fuel-generated power for the first time, this
is an historic pact that builds on the clean power momentum we’re seeing all
across Europe. And this unprecedented fleet of projects will harness the
abundant energy waiting right on our doorstep, so that we can deliver cheap and
secure power to homes and businesses, cut infrastructure costs and meet rising
electricity demand.
Everything we’re seeing points to a clean energy economy that is booming.
Indeed, earlier this month Britain held the most successful offshore wind
auction in European history, delivering enough clean energy to power 12 million
homes — a significant vote of confidence in Britain and Europe’s drive to regain
control of our energy supplies.
We believe there is huge value in working together, with our neighbors and
allies, to build this future — a future that delivers on shared energy
infrastructure, builds strong and resilient supply chains, and includes talks on
the U.K.’s participation in the European electricity market. Strengthening such
partnerships can help unlock investment, reduce our collective exposure to
fossil fuels and bring down energy costs for our citizens.
This speaks to a wider truth: An uncertain age makes cooperating on the basis of
our shared interests and values more important — not less.
By accelerating our drive to clean energy, today’s summit will be fundamental in
delivering the energy security and prosperity Europe desperately needs.
LONDON — British ministers have been laying the ground for Keir Starmer’s
handshake with Xi Jinping in Beijing this week ever since Labour came to power.
In a series of behind-closed-door speeches in China and London, obtained by
POLITICO, ministers have sought to persuade Chinese and British officials,
academics and businesses that rebuilding the trade and investment relationship
is essential — even as economic security threats loom.
After a “Golden Era” in relations trumpeted by Tory Prime Minister David
Cameron, Britain’s once-close ties to the Asian superpower began to unravel in
the late 2010s. By 2019, Boris Johnson had frozen trade and investment talks
after a Beijing-led crackdown on Hong Kong’s democracy movement. At Donald
Trump’s insistence, Britain stripped Chinese telecoms giant Huawei from its
telecoms infrastructure over security concerns.
Starmer — who is expected to meet Xi on a high-stakes trip to Beijing this week
— set out to revive an economic relationship that had hit the rocks. The extent
of the reset undertaken by the PM’s cabinet is revealed in the series of
speeches by ministers instrumental to his China policy over the past year,
including Chancellor Rachel Reeves, then-Foreign Secretary David Lammy, Energy
Secretary Ed Miliband, and former Indo-Pacific, investment, city and trade
ministers.
Months before security officials completed an audit of Britain’s exposure to
Chinese interference last June, ministers were pushing for closer collaboration
between the two nations on energy and financial systems, and the eight sectors
of Labour’s industrial strategy.
“Six of those eight sectors have national security implications,” said a senior
industry representative, granted anonymity to speak freely about their
interactions with government. “When you speak to [the trade department] they
frame China as an opportunity. When you speak to the Foreign, Commonwealth and
Development Office, it’s a national security risk.”
While Starmer’s reset with China isn’t misguided, “I think we’ve got to be much
more hard headed about where we permit Chinese investment into the economy in
the future,” said Labour MP Liam Byrne, chair of the House of Commons Business
and Trade Committee.
Lawmakers on his committee are “just not convinced that the investment strategy
that is unfolding between the U.K. and China is strong enough for the future and
increased coercion risks,” he said.
As Trump’s tariffs bite, Beijing’s trade surplus is booming and “we’ve got to be
realistic that China is likely to double down on its Made in China approach and
target its export surplus at the U.K.,” Byrne said. China is the U.K.’s
fifth-largest trade partner, and data to June of last year show U.K. exports to
China dropping 10.4 percent year-on-year while imports rose 4.3 percent.
“That’s got the real potential to flood our markets with goods that are full of
Chinese subsidies, but it’s also got the potential to imperil key sectors of our
economy, in particular the energy system,” Byrne warned.
A U.K. government spokesperson said: “Since the election, the Government has
been consistently transparent about our approach to China – which we are clear
will be grounded in strength, clarity and sober realism.
“We will cooperate where we can and challenge where we must, never compromising
on our national security. We reject the old ‘hot and cold’ diplomacy that failed
to protect our interests or support our growth.”
While Zheng Zeguang’s speech was released online, the Foreign Office refused to
provide Catherine West’s own address when requested at the time. | Jordan
Pettitt/PA Images via Getty Images
CATHERINE WEST, INDO-PACIFIC MINISTER, SEPTEMBER 2024
Starmer’s ministers began resetting relations in earnest on the evening of Sept.
25, 2024 at the luxury Peninsula Hotel in London’s Belgravia, where rooms go for
£800 a night. Some 400 guests, including a combination of businesses, British
government and Chinese embassy officials, gathered to celebrate the 75th
anniversary of the People’s Republic of China — a milestone for Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) rule.
“I am honored to be invited to join your celebration this evening,” then
Indo-Pacific Minister Catherine West told the room, kicking off her keynote
following a speech by China’s ambassador to the U.K., Zheng Zeguang.
“Over the last 75 years, China’s growth has been exponential; in fields like
infrastructure, technology and innovation which have reverberated across the
globe,” West said, according to a Foreign Office briefing containing the speech
obtained through freedom of information law. “Both our countries have seen the
benefits of deepening our trade and economic ties.”
While London and Beijing won’t always see eye-to-eye, “the U.K. will cooperate
with China where we can. We recognise we will also compete in other areas — and
challenge where we need to,” West told the room, including 10 journalists from
Chinese media, including Xinhua, CGTN and China Daily.
While Zheng’s speech was released online, the Foreign Office refused to provide
West’s own address when requested at the time. Freedom of information officers
later provided a redacted briefing “to protect information that would be likely
to prejudice relations.”
DAVID LAMMY, FOREIGN SECRETARY, OCTOBER 2024
As foreign secretary, David Lammy made his first official overseas visit in the
job with a two-day trip to Beijing and Shanghai. He met Chinese Foreign Minister
Wang Yi in Beijing on Oct. 18, a few weeks before U.S. President Donald Trump’s
re-election. Britain and China’s top diplomats discussed climate change, trade
and global foreign policy challenges.
“I met with Director Wang Yi yesterday and raised market access issues with him
directly,” Lammy told a roundtable of British businesses at Shanghai’s Regent On
The Bund hotel the following morning, noting that he hoped greater dialogue
between the two nations would break down trade barriers.
“At the same time, I remain committed to protecting the U.K.’s national
security,” Lammy said. “In most sectors of the economy, China brings
opportunities through trade and investment, and this is where continued
collaboration is of great importance to me,” he told firms. Freedom of
information officers redacted portions of Lammy’s speech so it wouldn’t
“prejudice relations” with China.
Later that evening, the then-foreign secretary gave a speech at the Jean
Nouvel-designed Pudong Museum of Art to 200 business, education, arts and
culture representatives.
China is “the world’s biggest emitter” of CO2, Lammy told them in his prepared
remarks obtained by freedom of information law. “But also the world’s biggest
producer of renewable energy. This is a prime example of why I was keen to visit
China this week. And why this government is committed to a long-term, strategic
approach to relations.”
Shanghai continues “to play a key role in trade and investment links with the
rest of the world as well,” he said, pointing to the “single biggest” ever
British investment in China: INEOS Group’s $800 million plastics plant in
Zhejiang.
“We welcome Chinese investment for clear mutual benefit the other way too,”
Lammy said. “This is particularly the case in clean energy, where we are both
already offshore wind powerhouses and the costs of rolling out more clean energy
are falling rapidly.”
“We welcome Chinese investment for clear mutual benefit the other way too,”
David Lammy said. | Adam Vaughan/EPA
POPPY GUSTAFSSON, INVESTMENT MINISTER, NOVEMBER 2024
Just days after Starmer and President Xi met for the first time at the G20 that
November, Poppy Gustafsson, then the British investment minister, told a
U.K.-China trade event at a luxury hotel on Mayfair’s Park Lane that “we want to
open the door to more investment in our banking and insurance industries.”
The event, co-hosted by the Bank of China UK and attended by Chinese Ambassador
Zheng Zeguang and 400 guests, including the U.K. heads of several major China
business and financial institutions, is considered the “main forum for
U.K.-China business discussion,” according to a briefing package prepared for
Gustafsson.
“We want to see more green initiatives like Red Rock Renewables who are
unlocking hundreds of megawatts in new capacity at wind farms off the coast of
Scotland — boosting this Government’s mission to become a clean energy
superpower by 2030,” Gustafsson told attendees, pointing to the project owned
by China’s State Development and Investment Group.
The number one objective for her speech, officials instructed the minister, was
to “affirm the importance of engaging with China on trade and investment and
cooperating on shared multilateral interests.”
And she was told to “welcome Chinese investment which supports U.K. growth and
the domestic industry through increased exports and wider investment across the
economy and in the Industrial Strategy priority sectors.” The Chinese
government published a readout of Gustafsson and Zheng’s remarks.
RACHEL REEVES, CHANCELLOR, JANUARY 2025
By Jan. 11 last year, Chancellor Rachel Reeves was in Beijing with British
financial and professional services giants like Abrdn, Standard Chartered, KPMG,
the London Stock Exchange, Barclays and Bank of England boss Andrew Bailey in
tow. She was there to meet with China’s Vice-Premier He Lifeng to reopen one of
the key financial and investment talks with Beijing Boris Johnson froze in 2019.
Before Reeves and He sat down for the China-U.K. Economic and Financial
Dialogue, Britain’s chancellor delivered an address alongside the vice-premier
to kick off a parallel summit for British and Chinese financial services firms,
according to an agenda for the summit shared with POLITICO. Reeves was also due
to attend a dinner the evening of the EFD and then joined a business delegation
travelling to Shanghai where she held a series of roundtables.
Releasing any of her remarks from these events through freedom of information
law “would be likely to prejudice” relations with China, the Treasury said. “It
is crucial that HM Treasury does not compromise the U.K.’s interests in China.”
Reeves’ visit to China paved the way for the revival of a long-dormant series of
high-level talks to line up trade and investment wins, including the China-U.K.
Energy Dialogue in March and U.K.-China Joint Economic and Trade Commission
(JETCO) last September.
EMMA REYNOLDS, CITY MINISTER, MARCH 2025
“Growth is the U.K. government’s number one mission. It is the foundation of
everything else we hope to achieve in the years ahead. We recognise that China
will play a very important part in this,” Starmer’s then-City Minister Emma
Reynolds told the closed-door U.K.-China Business Forum in central London early
last March.
Reeves’ restart of trade and investment talks “agreed a series of commitments
that will deliver £600 million for British businesses,” Reynolds told the
gathering, which included Chinese electric vehicle firm BYD, HSBC, Standard
Chartered, KPMG and others. This would be achieved by “enhancing links between
our financial markets,” she said.
“As the world’s most connected international financial center and home to
world-leading financial services firms, the City of London is the gateway of
choice for Chinese financial institutions looking to expand their global reach,”
Reynolds said.
Ed Miliband traveled to Beijing in mid-March for the first China-U.K. Energy
Dialogue since 2019. | Tolga Akmen/EPA
ED MILIBAND, ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE SECRETARY, MARCH 2025
With Starmer’s Chinese reset in full swing, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband
traveled to Beijing in mid-March for the first China-U.K. Energy Dialogue since
2019.
Britain’s energy chief wouldn’t gloss over reports of human rights violations in
China’s solar supply chain — on which the U.K. is deeply reliant for delivering
its lofty renewables goals — when he met with China’s Vice Premier Ding
Xuexiang, a British government official said at the time. “We maybe agree to
disagree on some things,” they said.
But the U.K. faces “a clean energy imperative,” Miliband told students and
professors during a lecture at Beijing’s elite Tsinghua University, which counts
Xi Jinping and former Chinese President Hu Jintao as alumni. “The demands of
energy security, affordability and sustainability now all point in the same
direction: investing in clean energy at speed and at scale,” Miliband said,
stressing the need for deeper U.K.-China collaboration as the U.K. government
reaches towards “delivering a clean power system by 2030.”
“In the eight months since our government came to office we have been speeding
ahead on offshore wind, onshore wind, solar, nuclear, hydrogen and [Carbon
Capture, Usage, and Storage],” Britain’s energy chief said. “Renewables are now
the cheapest form of power to build and operate — and of course, much of this
reflects technological developments driven by what is happening here in China.”
“The U.K. and China share a recognition of the urgency of acting on the climate
crisis in our own countries and accelerating this transition around the world —
and we must work together to do so,” Miliband said, in his remarks obtained
through freedom of information law.
DOUGLAS ALEXANDER, ECONOMIC SECURITY MINISTER, APRIL 2025
During a trip to China in April last year, then-Trade Minister Douglas Alexander
met his counterpart to prepare to relaunch key trade and investment talks. The
trip wasn’t publicized by the U.K. side.
According to a Chinese government readout, the China-UK Joint Economic and Trade
Commission would promote “cooperation in trade and investment, and industrial
and supply chains” between Britain’s trade secretary and his Chinese equivalent.
After meeting Vice Minister and Deputy China International Trade Representative
Ling Ji, Minister Alexander gave a speech at China’s largest consumer goods
expo near the country’s southernmost point on the island province of Hainan.
Alexander extended his “sincere thanks” to China’s Ministry of Commerce and the
Hainan Provincial Government “for inviting the U.K. to be the country of honour
at this year’s expo.”
“We must speak often and candidly about areas of cooperation and, yes, of
contention too, where there are issues on which we disagree,” the trade policy
and economic security minister said, according to a redacted copy of his speech
obtained under freedom of information law.
“We are seeing joint ventures and collaboration between Chinese and U.K. firms
on a whole host of different areas … in renewable energy, in consumer goods, and
in banking and finance,” Alexander later told some of the 27 globally renowned
British retailers, including Wedgwood, in another speech during the U.K.
pavilion opening ceremony.
“We are optimistic about the potential for deeper trade and investment
cooperation — about the benefits this will bring to the businesses showcasing
here, and those operating throughout China’s expansive market.”
LONDON — Prime Minister Keir Starmer usually goes out of his way not to annoy
Donald Trump. So he better hope the windmill-hating U.S. president doesn’t
notice what the U.K. just did.
In a fillip for the global offshore wind industry, Starmer’s government on
Wednesday announced its biggest-ever down payment on the technology.
It agreed to price guarantees, funded by billpayers to the tune of up to £1.8
billion (€2.08 billion) a year, for eight major projects in England, Scotland
and Wales.
The schemes have the capacity to generate 8.4 gigawatts of electricity, the U.K.
energy department said — enough to power 12 million homes. It represented the
biggest “wind auction in Europe to date,” said industry group WindEurope.
It’s also an energy strategy that could have been tailor-made to rankle Trump.
The U.S. president has repeatedly expressed a profound loathing for wind
turbines and has tried to use his powers to halt construction on projects
already underway in the U.S. — sending shockwaves across the global industry.
Even when appearing alongside Starmer at press conferences, Trump has been
unable to hide his disgust at the very sight of windmills.
“You are paying in Scotland and in the U.K. … to have these ugly monsters all
over the place,” he said, sitting next to Starmer during a visit to his
Turnberry golf course last year.
The spinning blades, Trump complained, would “kill all your birds.”
At the time, the prime minister explained meekly that the U.K. was seeking a
“mix” of energy sources. But this week’s investments speak far louder about his
government’s priorities.
The U.K.’s strategy — part of a plan to run the British power grid on 95 percent
clean electricity by 2030 — is a clear signal that for all Starmer’s attempts to
appease Trump, the U.K. will not heed Washington’s assertions that fossil fuels
are the only way to deliver affordable bills and secure supply.
“With these results, Britain is taking back control of our energy sovereignty,”
said Starmer’s Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, a former leader of the Labour
party.
“With these results, Britain is taking back control of our energy sovereignty,”
said Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. | Pool photo by Justin Tallis via Getty
Images
While not mentioning Trump or the U.S., he said the U.K. wanted to “stand on our
two feet” and not depend on “markets controlled by petrostates and dictators.”
WIND VS. GAS
The goal of the U.K.’s offshore wind drive is to reduce reliance on gas for
electricity generation.
One of the most gas-dependent countries in Europe, the U.K. was hit hard in 2022
by the regional gas price spike that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The
government ended up spending tens of billions of pounds to pay a portion of
every household energy bill in the country to fend off widespread hardship.
It’s a scenario that Miliband and Starmer want to avoid in future by focusing on
producing electricity from domestic sources like offshore wind that are not
subject to the ups and downs of global fossil fuel markets.
Trump, by contrast, wants to keep Europe hooked on gas — specifically, American
gas.
The U.S. National Security Strategy, updated late last year, states Trump’s
desire to use American fossil fuel exports to “project power.” Trump has already
strong-armed the European Union into committing to buy $750 billion worth of
American liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a quid pro quo for tariff relief.
No one in Starmer’s government explicitly named Trump or the U.S. on Wednesday.
But Chris Stark, a senior official in Miliband’s energy department tasked with
delivering the 2030 goal, noted that “every megawatt of offshore wind that we’re
bringing on is a few more metric tons of LNG that we don’t need to import.”
The U.K.’s investment in offshore wind also provides welcome relief to a global
industry that has been seriously shaken both by soaring inflation and interest
rates — and more recently by a Trump-inspired backlash against net zero and
clean energy.
“It’s a relief for the offshore sector … It’s a relief generally, that the U.K.
government is able to lean into very large positive investment stories in U.K.
infrastructure,” said Tom Glover, U.K. country chair of the German energy firm
RWE, which was the biggest winner in the latest offshore wind investment,
securing contracts for 6.9 gigawatts of capacity.
A second energy industry figure, granted anonymity because they were not
authorized to speak on the record, said the U.K.’s plans were a “great signal
for the global offshore wind sector” after a difficult few years — “not least
the stuff in the U.S.”
The other big winner was British firm SSE, which has plans to build one of the
world’s largest-ever offshore wind projects, Berwick Bank — off the coast of
Donald Trump’s beloved Scotland.
LONDON — Rachel Reeves needs at least one good news story to sell.
The under-fire U.K. finance minister is gearing up for a tricky budget next week
— and slashing Brits’ energy bills could give her something to shout about.
Officials in the Treasury and at No. 10 Downing Street are exploring ways to cut
domestic energy costs by shifting some levies currently added to household bills
into general taxation, said three government figures granted anonymity to
discuss pre-budget planning.
Ministers are targeting a cut of between £150 and £170 on an annual household
bill, according to one of the three figures.
That would get Chancellor Reeves and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband halfway toward
a totemic election promise of slashing bills by £300 by 2030 — and give the
government something positive to pitch on budget day.
Officials are looking at “big numbers,” said another of the figures. “It could
be a significant moment.”
A cut to VAT on energy bills is also under consideration, they said, echoing
previous reports.
Number crunching by green policy wonks shows how Reeves, via those changes to
levies and a potential VAT cut, could get the Treasury to its magic number.
PRIORITY: BILLS
Energy bills are the single biggest factor cited by voters as a cost-of-living
concern, according to polls. Left-leaning think tank the Institute for Public
Policy Research, which is highly influential in government circles, has called
on Labour ministers to launch a “war on bills” campaign, modeled on Prime
Minister Anthony Albanese’s approach in Australia.
The hope in the Treasury is that, by conjuring up a sum large enough to win some
prominent headlines, Reeves might land a good news story on energy bills on a
day otherwise set to be dominated by a “smorgasbord” of unpopular tax rises.
Energy prices were “still very high for people,” Reeves acknowledged earlier
this month. She pledged to make action on the cost of living “one of the three
priorities for the budget,” alongside reducing national debt and protecting the
National Health Service.
Last week, nine Labour MPs, including the chair of parliament’s Environmental
Audit Committee, Toby Perkins, wrote to Reeves urging her to move all social and
environmental levies from bills into taxation.
Advocates regard this as a fairer way to ensure the costs fall on those with the
broadest shoulders.
“The public wants to see action to reduce energy bills, which now ranks as the
most worrying household expense amongst the population,” the letter, coordinated
by charity the MCS Foundation, said.
OPTIONS
A dizzying array of levies are charged on bills to pay for renewable energy
projects, energy-efficiency schemes and the costs of maintaining a stable
electricity system. Collectively, they make up around 18 percent of the average
electricity bill.
It isn’t yet clear which might be moved into taxation, but the first government
figure above said the so-called Renewables Obligation — a charge that provides
an income for older clean energy projects, some built 20 years ago — is the
leading candidate to be shifted onto taxation.
The think tank Nesta, which has calculated the value of the reform, says it
could potentially cut electricity bills by £86. The New Economics Foundation
think tank puts the figure at around £95.
The government is also looking at the Energy Company Obligation, according to
reports, which is currently levied on electricity and gas bills. That could
instead be paid for using spending already allocated to the £13.2 billion Warm
Homes Plan.
The Warm Homes Plan is expected to pay for energy-efficiency measures, solar
panels and electric heating for poorer households — but full details have not
yet been finalized.
Cornwall Insight, a consultancy which forecasts future trends in the energy
market, said Tuesday that cutting VAT on energy bills from 5 percent to zero at
the budget could bring down annual bills by a further £80.
NET ZERO CONSENT
Ministers hope taking direct action on bills will shore up public confidence in
the government’s wider energy and climate agenda, which includes a stretching
target to almost fully decarbonize electricity by 2030 and hit net zero
greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
The goal in the long run is to reduce U.K. dependence on gas, the volatile price
of which has done major damage to household finances in recent years.
But the problem for the government is that actions required to achieve that
strategy are — in the short term at least — pushing up bills. The costs of
investing in new clean power sources like offshore wind farms, along with the
electricity lines and pylons required to clean up the energy system, are all
adding to costs.
The independent National Energy System Operator expects charges on energy bills
to pay for upgrading the power grid to hit £93.48 next year, a jump of £40.
Further increases are anticipated as vast pylon-building projects gather steam.
“This is a really delicate time for prices and their link to the legitimacy of
the energy transition,” said Adam Berman, director of policy and advocacy at
Energy UK, speaking in September. If ministers don’t look at ways to lower bills
now, he argued, “they will be lining themselves up for a very challenging start
to next year.”
Opposition parties have seized on this weakness in the government’s energy
strategy. The Conservatives are calling for a Cheap Power Plan (rather than a
clean one). Nigel Farage’s Reform UK said it would tear up expensive government
contracts with offshore wind projects and abandon net zero altogether.
“Bills are the number one public concern,” said Sam Alvis, director of energy at
the IPPR. “Regardless of whether it’s to underpin support for the clean power
mission, any government needs to show it’s heard that message from the public
that they want action on cost. Without that sense of public buy-in now, there’s
no hope for any longer term economic or energy reforms.”
A Treasury spokesperson confirmed action on the cost of living was a priority
for Reeves but said: “We do not comment on budget speculation.”
BELÉM, Brazil — Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) will arrive Friday at the COP30
climate summit — making him the sole U.S. federal representative at United
Nations talks that the Trump administration is skipping.
Whitehouse’s office said he will meet in the Amazonian port city of Belém,
Brazil, with elected officials along with business and global climate leaders.
It said his goal is to show that the U.S. public still broadly supports
addressing climate change despite Trump abstaining from the negotiations.
Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom delivered a similar message earlier this
week during his own swing through Belém.
The White House has defended the U.S. absence from the talks, maintaining that
the annual global climate gatherings work in the interests of rival countries
like China. “President Trump will not allow the best interest of the American
people to be jeopardized by the Green Energy Scam,” spokesperson Taylor Rogers
said in an email last week.
One GOP lawmaker, Sen. John Curtis of Utah, had planned to attend the summit
but canceled because of the federal government shutdown.
Whitehouse said he plans to harp on Trump and GOP policies that he cast as
unpopular and responsible for boosting energy costs.
“Amidst sinking approvals and a shellacking in the most recent elections, it’s
no surprise the Trump administration is unwilling to defend the fossil fuel
industry’s unpopular and corrupt climate denial lies on the global stage.”
Whitehouse will participate in events Friday on offshore wind, shipping and
non-carbon-dioxide greenhouse gas emissions before delivering a keynote speech
at a roundtable with elected officials from other nations hosted by the
Sustainable Energy and Environment Coalition. On Saturday, he will weigh in on
methane rules, net-zero policies and the effect climate change has on oceans.
It’s been a decade since the U.S. and Europe pushed the world to embrace a
historic agreement to stop the planet’s runaway warming.
The deal among nearly 200 nations offered a potential “turning point for the
world,” then-U.S. President Barack Obama said. Eventually, almost every country
on Earth signed the 2015 Paris Agreement, a pact whose success would rest on
peer pressure, rising ambition and the economics of a clean energy revolution.
But 10 years later, the actions needed to fulfill those hopes are falling short.
The United States has quit the deal — twice. President Donald Trump
is throttling green energy projects at home and finding allies to help
him undermine climate initiatives abroad, while inking trade deals that commit
countries to buying more U.S. fossil fuels.
Europe remains on track to meet its climate commitments, but its resolve is
wavering, as price-weary voters and the rise of far-right parties raise doubts
about how quickly the bloc can deliver its pledge to turn away from fossil
fuels.
Paris has helped ingrain climate change awareness in popular culture and policy,
led countries and companies to pledge to cut their carbon pollution to zero and
helped steer a wave of investments into clean energy. Scientists say it appears
to have lessened the odds of the most catastrophic levels of warming.
On the downside, oil and gas production hasn’t yet peaked, and climate pollution
and temperatures are still rising — with the latter just tenths of a degree from
the tipping point agreed in Paris. But the costs of green energy have fallen so
much that, in most parts of the world, it’s the cheapest form of power and is
being installed at rates unthinkable 10 years ago.
World leaders and diplomats who are in Brazil starting this week for the United
Nations’ annual climate talks will face a test to stand up for Paris in the face
of Trump’s opposition while highlighting that its goal are both necessary and
beneficial.
The summit in the Amazonian port city of Belém was supposed to be the place
where rich and poor countries would celebrate their progress and commit
themselves to ever-sharper cuts in greenhouse gas pollution.
Instead, U.S. contempt for global climate efforts and a muddled message from
Europe are adding headwinds to a moment that is far more turbulent than the one
in which the Paris Agreement was adopted.
Some climate veterans are still optimists — to a point.
“I think that the basic architecture is resistant to Trump’s destruction,” said
John Podesta, chair of the board of the liberal Center for American Progress,
who coordinated climate policy under Obama and former President Joe Biden. But
that resistance could wilt if the U.S. stays outside the agreement, depriving
the climate movement of American leadership and support, he said.
“If all that’s gone, and it’s gone for a long time, I don’t know whether the
structure holds together,” Podesta added.
Other climate diplomats say the cooperative spirit of 2015 would be hard to
recreate now, which is why acting on Paris is so essential.
“If we had to renegotiate Paris today, we’d never get the agreement that we had
10 years ago,” said Rachel Kyte, the United Kingdom’s special climate
representative.
“But we can also look to these extraordinary data points, which show that the
direction of travel is very clear,” she said, referring to growth of clean
energy. “And most people who protect where their money is going to be are
interested in that direction of travel.”
THE PARIS PARADOX
One thing that hasn’t faded is the business case for clean energy. If anything,
the economic drivers behind the investments that Paris helped unleash have
surpassed even what the Paris deal’s authors anticipated.
But the political will to keep countries driving forward has stalled in some
places as the United States — the world’s largest economy, sole military
superpower and historically biggest climate polluter — attacks its very
foundation.
Trump’s attempts to undermine the agreement, summed up by the 2017 White House
slogan “Pittsburgh, not Paris,” has affected European ambitions as well, French
climate diplomat Laurence Tubiana told reporters late last month.
“I have never seen such aggressivity against national climate policy all over
because of the U.S.,” said Tubiana, a key architect of the Paris Agreement. “So
we are really confronted with an ideological battle, a cultural battle, where
climate is in that package the U.S. government wants to defeat.”
The White House said Trump is focused on developing U.S. oil and engaging with
world leaders on energy issues, rather than what it dubs the “green new scam.”
The U.S. will not send high-level representatives to COP30.
“The Green New Scam would have killed America if President Trump had not been
elected to implement his commonsense energy agenda,” said Taylor Rogers, a
spokesperson. “President Trump will not jeopardize our country’s economic and
national security to pursue vague climate goals that are killing other
countries.”
Trump is not the only challenge facing Paris, of course.
Even under Obama, the U.S. insisted that the Paris climate pollution targets had
to be nonbinding, avoiding the need for a Senate ratification vote that would
most likely fail.
But unlike previous climate pacts that the U.S. had declined to join, all
countries — including, most notably, China — would have to submit a
pollution-cutting plan. The accord left it up to the governments themselves to
carry out their own pledges and to push laggards to do better. An unusual
confluence of political winds helped drive the bargaining.
Obama, who was staking part of his legacy on getting a global climate agreement,
had spent the year leading up to Paris negotiating a separate deal with China in
which both countries committed to cutting their world-leading pollution.
France, the host of the Paris talks, was also determined to strike a worldwide
pact.
In the year that followed, more than 160 countries submitted their initial plans
to tackle climate change domestically and began working to finish the rules that
would undergird the agreement.
“The Paris Agreement isn’t a machine that churns out ambition. It basically
reflects back to us the level of ambition that we have agreed to … and suggests
what else is needed to get back on track,” said Kaveh Guilanpour, vice president
for international strategies at the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions and
a negotiator for the United Kingdom during the Paris talks. “Whether countries
do that or not, it’s essentially then a matter for them.”
Catherine McKenna, Canada’s former environment minister and a lead negotiator of
the Paris Agreement’s carbon crediting mechanism, called the deal an “incredible
feat” — but not a self-executing one.
“The problem is now it’s really up to countries as well as cities, regions,
companies and financial institutions to act,” she said. “It’s not a treaty thing
anymore — it’s now, ‘Do the work.’”
WHEN GREEN TURNS GRAY
Signs of discord are not hard to find around the globe.
China is tightening its grip on clean energy manufacturing and exports, ensuring
more countries have access to low-cost renewables, but creating tensions in
places that also want to benefit from jobs and revenue from making those goods
and fear depending too much on one country.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, a former United Nations climate envoy,
eliminated his country’s consumer carbon tax and is planning to tap more natural
gas to toughen economic defenses against the United States.
The European Union spent the past five years developing a vast web of green
regulations and sectoral measures, and the bloc estimates that it’s roughly on
track to meet those goals. But many of the EU’s 27 governments — under pressure
from the rising far right, high energy prices, the decline of traditional
industry and Russia’s war against Ukraine — are now demanding that the EU
reevaluate many of those policies.
Still, views within the bloc diverge sharply, with some pushing for small tweaks
and others for rolling back large swaths of legislation.
“Europe must remain a continent of consistency,” French President Emmanuel
Macron said after a meeting of EU leaders in October. “It must step up on
competitiveness, but it must not give up on its [climate] goals.”
Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk, in contrast, said after the same meeting
that he felt vindicated about his country’s long-standing opposition to the EU’s
green agenda: “In most European capitals, people today think differently about
these exaggerated European climate ambitions.”
Worldwide, most countries have not submitted their latest carbon-cutting plans
to the United Nations. While the plans that governments have announced mostly
expand on their previous ones, they still make only modest reductions against
what is needed to limit Earth’s warming since the preindustrial era to 1.5
degrees Celsius.
Exceeding that threshold, scientists say, would lead to more lives lost and
physical and economic damage that would be ever harder to recover from with each
tenth of a degree of additional warming.
The U.N.’s latest report showing the gap between countries’ new pledges and the
Paris targets found that the world is on track for between 2.3 and 2.5 degrees
of warming, a marginal difference from plans submitted in 2020 that is largely
canceled out when the U.S. pledge is omitted. Policies in place now are pointing
toward 2.8 degrees of warming.
“We need unprecedented cuts to greenhouse gas emissions now in an
ever-compressing timeframe and amid a challenging geopolitical context,” said
Inger Andersen, executive director of the U.N. Environment Programme.
But doing so also makes sense, she added. “This where the market is showing that
these kind of investments in smart, clean and green is actually driving jobs and
opportunities. This is where the future lies.”
U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said in a video message Tuesday that
overshooting the 1.5-degrees target of Paris was now inevitable in the coming
years imploring leaders to rapidly roll out renewables and stop expanding oil,
gas and coal to ensure that overshoot was short-lived.
“We’re in a huge mess,” said Bill Hare, a longtime climate scientist who founded
the policy institute Climate Analytics.
Greenhouse gas pollution hasn’t fallen, and action has flat lined even as
climate-related disasters have increased.
“I think what’s upcoming is a major test for the Paris Agreement,
probably the major test. Can this agreement move forward under the weight of all
of these challenges?” Hare asked. “If it can’t do that, governments are going to
be asking about the benefits of it, frankly.”
That doesn’t mean all is lost.
In 2015, the world was headed for around 4 degrees Celsius of warming, an amount
that researchers say would have been devastating for much of the planet. Today,
that projection is roughly a degree Celsius lower.
“I think a lot of us in Paris were very dubious at the time that we would ever
limit warming to 1.5,” said Elliot Diringer, a former climate official who led
the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions’ international program during the
Paris talks.
“The question is whether we are better off by virtue of the Paris Agreement,” he
said. “I think the answer is yes. Are we where we need to be? Absolutely not.”
GREEN TECHNOLOGY DEFYING EXPECTATIONS
In addition, the adoption of clean energy technology has moved even faster than
projected — sparking what one climate veteran has called a shift in global
climate politics.
“We are no longer in a world in which only climate politics has a leading role
and a substantial role, but increasingly, climate economics,” said Christiana
Figueres, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change in 2015. “Yes, politics is important; no longer as important as
it was 10 years ago.”
Annual solar deployment globally is 15 times greater than the International
Energy Agency predicted in 2015, according to a recent analysis from the Energy
and Climate Intelligence Unit, a U.K. nonprofit.
Renewables now account for more than 90 percent of new power capacity added
globally every year, BloombergNEF reported. China is deploying record amounts of
renewables and lowering costs for countries such as Brazil and Pakistan, which
has seen solar installations skyrocket.
Even in the United States, where Trump repealed many of Biden’s tax breaks and
other incentives, BloombergNEF predicts that power companies will continue to
deploy green sources, in large part because they’re often the fastest source of
new electricity.
Costs for wind and batteries and falling, too. Electric vehicle sales are
soaring in many countries, thanks in large part to the huge number of
inexpensive vehicles being pumped out by China’s BYD, the world’s largest
EV-maker.
Worldwide clean energy investments are now twice as much
as fossil fuels spending, according to the International Energy Agency.
“Today, you can actually talk about deploying clean energy technologies just
because of their cost competitiveness and ability to lower energy system costs,”
said Robbie Orvis, senior director of modeling and analysis at the research
institution Energy Innovation. “You don’t actually even have to say ‘climate’
for a lot of them, and that just wasn’t true 10 years ago.”
The economic trends of the past decade have been striking, said Todd Stern, the
U.S. climate envoy who negotiated the Paris Agreement.
“Paris is something that was seen all over the world, seen by other countries,
seen in boardrooms, as the first time in more than 20 years when you finally got
heads of government saying, ‘Yes, let’s do this,’” he said. “And that’s not the
only reason why there was tremendous technological development, but it sure
didn’t hurt.”
Still, limits exist to how far businesses can take the clean energy transition
on their own.
“You need government intervention of some kind, whether that’s a stick or a
carrot, to push the economy towards a low-carbon trajectory,” said Andrew
Wilson, deputy secretary general of policy at the International Chamber of
Commerce. “If governments press the brakes on climate action or seriously start
to soft pedal, then it does have a limiting effect.”
Brazil, the host of COP30, says it wants to demonstrate that multilateralism
still works and is relevant to peoples’ lives and capable of addressing the
climate impacts communities around the world are facing.
But the goal of this year’s talks might be even more straightforward, said
Guilanpour, the former negotiator.
“If we come out of COP30 demonstrating that the Paris Agreement is alive and
functioning,” he said, “I think in the current context, that is pretty
newsworthy of itself.”
Nicolas Camut in Paris, Zi-Ann Lum in Ottawa, Karl Mathiesen in London and Zia
Weise in Brussels contributed to this report.
LONDON — Since Labour swept into office last year, Energy Secretary Ed Miliband
has traveled the country enthusing over the government’s dream of a humming,
futuristic net-zero economy.
The good news, according to polling released Wednesday, is that his vision still
has the backing of the public.
The bad news is that support is slipping — and voters aren’t convinced Miliband
is the guy to deliver it.
For Miliband’s political opponents, this validates their wider attacks on him as
an out-of-touch climate warrior, flogging a net-zero dream voters have rejected.
At Reform’s party conference Friday, party chair David Bull referenced “mad Ed
swivel-eyed Milliband.” Not to be outdone, the Conservatives have vowed to
squeeze every molecule of oil and gas from beneath the North Sea, deadly
heatwaves be damned.
But it also shines a light on a confusing feature of British politics: a
misalignment between the stories politicians want to tell about efforts to stop
climate change, and stuff the public actually care about.
At Reform’s party conference Friday, the party chair David Bull referenced “mad
Ed swivel-eyed Milliband.” | Leon Neal/Getty Images
The polling, conducted by progressive think tank More in Common and the Climate
Outreach NGO, found the number of people who think reaching net-zero emissions
will be good for the U.K. vastly outnumber those who think it will have a
negative effect — 48 percent versus 16 percent.
More people feel that the shift to clean energy has been fair than unfair. In
Scotland, more are proud of the offshore wind industry (63 percent) than the oil
and gas industry (54 percent).
“Those who seek to divide communities with climate disinformation will not win
because they do not represent the interests or values of the British people,”
Miliband said in a statement shared with the media.
Despite this, voters are hesitant about the personal impact of a country rushing
to go green. Seventy-four percent of people think the U.K.’s commitment to reach
net-zero emissions by 2050 will eventually cost them money personally. The gap
between those who think it will be beneficial for the U.K. versus harmful has
shrunk by 20 points in only a year.
This is frequently interpreted as a sign that a personal desire to help fix the
climate is butting up against the hard realities of net zero, which requires
changes like fitting millions of heat pumps and EV chargers and overhauling the
energy grid.
Further polling released by The Times Tuesday backs up the sense voters are
growing more divided on climate change. It shows support for net zero collapsing
among Reform and Conservative voters, while overall the issue has slipped from
voters’ list of top concerns.
But analysts from Climate Outreach said part of the problem isn’t the message
but the messengers.
“Politicians are not well trusted to speak about climate,” the NGO said in an
analysis shared with POLITICO. In fact, elected leaders were the least trusted
carriers of the climate message — beneath also-lowly ranked protesters and
energy company executives.
TRUST ISSUES
Voter wariness about pro-climate messages isn’t a feature of green politics in
particular, said Emma James, a researcher at Climate Outreach, but a symptom of
broader public cynicism about government.
“They don’t trust that politicians are there for people like them. Some audience
segments feel that the system is rigged against them,” she said.
It’s not net zero the public aren’t buying, it’s the ability of this government
— or any government — to deliver it. Voters believe the NHS remains broken.
National projects like high-speed rail lines and nuclear power stations keep
being delayed at higher and higher costs.
This creates a problem for Miliband. At a time of deep voter skepticism, his
Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) is pursuing precisely that
kind of major national project — involving upfront costs, disruption and complex
trade-offs, with the promise of huge savings to private and public purses down
the line. It will, Miliband argues, generate new jobs.
Under Rishi Sunak, the Conservatives went in search of their own set of climate
salespeople. | Carl Court/Getty Images
“We will win this fight by showing the visible benefits of the clean energy
transition,” insisted one Labour official, granted anonymity to discuss the
government’s internal deliberations.
The story of failure, however, is pervasive and self-reinforcing, said Richard
Johnson, a political scientist at Queen Mary University of London.
“Policy delivery has to be tied in with a compelling political narrative and the
political leadership that can tell that story and interpret what people are
seeing in front of their eyes,” he said. “I wonder now if there is such a high
level of cynicism … that even if you did tell a compelling narrative around
policy delivery, that people would not believe it.”
Johnson lays the blame with Miliband’s boss, U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer,
“who has been in a way almost catastrophically unable to put together a
compelling narrative for his government. Or, quite frankly, even his own
leadership.” Downing Street says it is focused on driving economic growth across
the country.
This is not isolated to Labour. Under Rishi Sunak, the Conservatives went in
search of their own set of climate salespeople — before deciding that there was
more political capital in ditching pro-climate policies.
Climate Outreach said Miliband could turn this problem into an “opportunity,” as
long as he laid off the grand projet and focused on the visible, local benefits
of climate policies.
And there is some evidence that Labour gets it, seen in the government’s move to
chip in for the energy bills of people living in sight of unpopular new
electricity pylons.
The more conservative or skeptical parts of the British electorate still had
deep enthusiasm for messages about protecting the environment, the pollsters
said. But most important, the NGO argued, was bringing other voices into the
frame.
While politicians are viewed very dimly indeed, experts and scientists are seen
as credible messengers, the polling shows. So too are those seen to understand
what life is like for normal British people. Farmers were among the messengers
who cut through most with traditionalists and those described by the pollsters
as “patriots.”
Jeremy Clarkson, DESNZ needs you.