BRUSSELS — Ukraine’s war chest stands to get a vital cash injection after EU
envoys agreed on a €90 billion loan to finance Kyiv’s defense against Russia,
the Cypriot Council presidency said on Wednesday.
“The new financing will help ensure the country’s fierce resilience in the face
of Russian aggression,” Cypriot Finance Minister Makis Keravnos said in a
statement.
Without the loan Ukraine had risked running out of cash by April, which would
have been catastrophic for its war effort and could have crippled its
negotiating efforts during ongoing American-backed peace talks with Russia.
EU lawmakers still have some hurdles to clear, such as agreeing on the
conditions Ukraine must satisfy to get a payout, before Brussels can raise money
on the global debt market to finance the loan — which is backed by the EU’s
seven-year budget.
A big point of dispute among EU countries was how Ukraine will be able to spend
the money, and who will benefit. One-third of the money will go for normal
budgetary needs and the rest for defense.
France led efforts to get Ukraine to spend as much of that as possible with EU
defense companies, mindful that the bloc’s taxpayers are footing the €3 billion
annual bill to cover interest payments on the loan.
However, Germany, the Netherlands and the Scandinavian nations pushed to give
Ukraine as much flexibility as possible.
The draft deal, seen by POLITICO, will allow Ukraine to buy key weapons from
third countries — including the U.S. and the U.K. — either when no equivalent
product is available in the EU or when there is an urgent need, while also
strengthening the oversight of EU states over such derogations.
The list of weapons Kyiv will be able to buy outside the bloc includes air and
missile defense systems, fighter aircraft ammunition and deep-strike
capabilities.
If the U.K. or other third countries like South Korea, which have signed
security deals with the EU and have helped Ukraine, want to take part in
procurement deals beyond that, they will have to contribute financially to help
cover interest payments on the loan.
The European Parliament must now examine the changes the Council has made to the
legal text. | Philipp von Ditfurth/picture alliance via Getty Images
The text also mentions that the contribution of non-EU countries — to be agreed
in upcoming negotiations with the European Commission — should be proportional
to how much their defense firms could gain from taking part in the scheme.
Canada, which already has a deal to take part in the EU’s separate €150 billion
SAFE loans-for-weapons scheme, will not have to pay extra to take part in the
Ukraine program, but would have detail the products that could be procured by
Kyiv.
NEXT STEPS
Now that ambassadors have reached a deal, the European Parliament must examine
the changes the Council has made to the legal text before approving the measure.
If all goes well, Kyiv will get €45 billion from the EU this year in tranches.
The remaining cash will arrive in 2027.
Ukraine will only repay the money if Moscow ends its full-scale invasion and
pays war reparations. If Russia refuses, the EU will consider raiding the
Kremlin’s frozen assets lying in financial institutions across the bloc.
While the loan will keep Ukrainian forces in the fight, the amount won’t cover
Kyiv’s total financing needs — even with another round of loans, worth $8
billion, expected from the International Monetary Fund.
By the IMF’s own estimates, Kyiv will need at least €135 billion to sustain its
military and budgetary needs this year and next.
Meanwhile, U.S. and EU officials are working on a plan to rebuild Ukraine that
aims to attract $800 billion in public and private funds over 10 years. For that
to happen, the eastern front must first fall silent — a remote likelihood at
this point.
Veronika Melkozerova contributed reporting from Kyiv.
Tag - Economic governance
The center-right European People’s Party is eyeing “better implementation” of
the Lisbon Treaty to better prepare the EU for what it sees as historic shifts
in the global balance of power involving the U.S., China and Russia, EPP leader
Manfred Weber said on Saturday.
Speaking at a press conference on the second day of an EPP Leaders Retreat in
Zagreb, Weber highlighted the possibility of broadening the use of qualified
majority voting in EU decision-making and developing a practical plan for
military response if a member state is attacked.
Currently EU leaders can use qualified majority voting on most legislative
proposals, from energy and climate issues to research and innovation. But common
foreign and security policy, EU finances and membership issues, among other
areas, need a unified majority.
This means that on issues such as sanctions against Russia, one country can
block agreement, as happened last summer when Slovakian Prime Minister Robert
Fico vetoed a package of EU measures against Moscow — a veto that was eventually
lifted. Such power in one country’s hands is something that the EPP would like
to change.
As for military solidarity, Article 42.7 of the Lisbon Treaty obliges countries
to provide “aid and assistance by all the means in their power” if an EU country
is attacked. For Weber, the formulation under European law is stronger than
NATO’s Article 5 collective defense commitment.
However, he stressed that the EU still lacks a clear operational plan for how
the clause would work in practice. Article 42.7 was previously used when France
requested that other EU countries make additional contributions to the fight
against terrorism, following the Paris terrorist attacks in November 2015.
Such ideas were presented as the party with a biggest grouping in the European
Parliament — and therefore the power to shape EU political priorities —
presented its strategic focus for 2026, with competitiveness as its main
priority.
Keeping the pulse on what matters in 2026
The EPP wants to unleash the bloc’s competitiveness through further cutting red
tape, “completing” the EU single market, diversifying supply chains, protecting
economic independence and security and promoting innovation including in AI,
chips and biotech, among other actions, according to its list 2026 priorities
unveiled on Saturday.
On defense, the EPP is pushing for a “360-degree” security approach to safeguard
Europe against growing geopolitical threats, “addressing state and non-state
threats from all directions,” according to the document.
The EPP is calling for enhanced European defense capabilities, including a
stronger defense market, joint procurement of military equipment, and new
strategic initiatives to boost readiness. The party also stressed the need for
better protection against cyberattacks and hybrid threats, and robust measures
to counter disinformation campaigns targeting EU institutions and societies.
On migration and border security, the EPP backs tougher asylum admissibility
rules, faster returns, and strengthened external borders, including reinforced
Frontex operations and improved digital systems like the Entry/Exit System.
The party also urged a Demographic Strategy for Europe amid the continent’s
shrinking and aging population. The text, initiated by Croatian Democratic Union
(HDZ), member of the EPP, wants to see demographic considerations integrated
into EU economic governance, cohesion funds, and policymaking, while boosting
family support, intergenerational solidarity, labor participation, skills
development, mobility and managed immigration.
Demographic change is “the most important issue, which is not really intensively
discussed in the public discourse,” Weber said. “That’s why we want to highlight
this, we want to underline the importance.”
ABOARD THE PRIME MINISTER’S PLANE TO BEIJING — Keir Starmer rejected his
Canadian counterpart’s call for mid-sized countries to band together in the face
of unpredictable global powers — and insisted his “common sense” British
approach will do just fine.
The British prime minister arrives in China Wednesday for a trip aimed at
rebooting the U.K.’s relationship with the Asian superpower. He’s the latest
Western leader to make the visit — which will include a meeting with Chinese
President Xi Jinping — after trips by Carney and France’s Emmanuel Macron.
Carney used a searing speech at the World Economic Forum last week to warn of
the “rupture” caused by “great powers” acting in their own self-interest. While
he did not namecheck Donald Trump’s administration, the speech riled the U.S.
president, who insisted: “Canada lives because of the United States.”
The Canadian PM had called for middle powers to work together to “build
something bigger, better, stronger, more just.”
Starmer was pressed on those remarks on board his flight to China Tuesday. Asked
whether he agreed that the old global order is dead — and whether smaller powers
need to team up to push back at the U.S. and China, Starmer defended his own
policy of trying to build bridges with Trump, Xi and the European Union all at
once.
“I’m a pragmatist, a British pragmatist applying common sense, and therefore I’m
pleased that we have a good relationship with the U.S. on defense, security,
intelligence and on trade and prosperity,” he says. “It’s very important that we
maintain that good relationship.”
He added: “Equally, we are moving forward with a better relationship with the
EU. We had a very good summit last year with 10 strands of agreement.
“We’ll have another summit this year with the EU, which I hope will be
iterative, as well as following through on what we’ve already agreed.
“And I’ve consistently said I’m not choosing between the U.S. and Europe. I’m
really glad that the UK has got good relations with both.”
Starmer’s government — which faces pressure from opposition parties back home as
it re-engages with China — has stressed that it wants to cooperate, compete with
and challenge Beijing when necessary, as it bids to build economic ties to aid
the sputtering U.K. economy.
“Obviously, China is the second biggest economy in the world, one of our biggest
trading partners,” the British PM — who is flying with an entourage of British
CEOs and business reps — said Tuesday. “And under the last government, we veered
from the golden age to the ice age. And what I want to do is follow through on
the approach I’ve set out a number of times now … which is a comprehensive and
consistent approach to China.
“I do think there are opportunities, but obviously we will never compromise
national security in taking those opportunities.”
BRUSSELS — The U.S. and EU are hoping to attract $800 billion of public and
private funds to help rebuild Ukraine once Russia ends its full-scale invasion,
according to a document obtained by POLITICO.
The 18-page document outlines a 10-year plan to guarantee Ukraine’s recovery
with a fast-tracked path toward EU membership. The European Commission
circulated the plans with EU capitals ahead of the leaders’ summit Thursday
evening where the document, dated Jan. 22, was addressed, according to three EU
officials and diplomats who were granted anonymity to talk about the sensitive
topic.
While Brussels and Washington are lining up hundreds of billions of dollars in
long-term funding and pitching Ukraine as a future EU member and investment
destination, the strategy hinges on a ceasefire that remains elusive — leaving
the prosperity plan vulnerable as long as the fighting continues.
The funding strategy stretches until 2040 alongside an immediate 100-day
operational plan to get the project off the ground. But the prosperity plan will
struggle to attract outside investment if the conflict rumbles on, according to
the world’s largest money manager, BlackRock, which is advising on the
reconstruction plan in a pro-bono capacity.
“Think about it. If you’re a pension fund, you’re fiduciary towards your
clients, your pensioners. It’s nearly impossible to invest into a war zone,”
BlackRock’s vice chairman, Philipp Hildebrand, said Wednesday in an interview at
the World Economic Forum in Davos. “I think it has to be sequenced and that’s
going to take some time.”
The prosperity plan is part of a 20-point peace blueprint that the U.S. is
attempting to broker between Kyiv and Moscow. It explicitly assumes that
security guarantees are already in place and is not intended as a military
roadmap. Instead, it focuses on how Ukraine can transition from emergency
assistance to self-sustaining prosperity.
A three-way meeting between Ukraine, Russia and the U.S. will take place in Abu
Dhabi on Friday and Saturday, as the all-out conflict nears its fourth
anniversary. The U.S. is set to play a prominent role in Ukraine’s recovery.
Rather than framing Washington primarily as a donor, the document positioned the
U.S. as a strategic economic partner, investor and credibility anchor for
Ukraine’s recovery.
The note anticipates direct participation by U.S. companies and expertise on the
ground, and highlights America’s role as a mobilizer of private
capital. BlackRock’s chief executive, Larry Fink, has sat in on peace talks with
Kyiv alongside U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and his
special envoy, Steve Witkoff.
SHOW ME THE MONEY
Over the next 10 years, the EU, the U.S. and international financial bodies,
including the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, have pledged to
spend $500 billion of public and private capital, the document said.
The Commission intends to spend a further €100 billion on Kyiv through budget
support and investment guarantees, as part of the bloc’s next seven-year budget
from 2028. This funding is expected to unlock €207 billion in investments for
Ukraine. The U.S. pledged to mobilize capital through a dedicated U.S.-Ukraine
Reconstruction Investment Fund, but did not attach a figure.
While Trump has slashed military and humanitarian support to Ukraine during the
war, it showed willingness to invest in the country after the end of the
conflict. Washington said in the document that it will invest in critical
minerals, infrastructure, energy and technology projects in Ukraine.
But business is unlikely to boom before the eastern front falls silent.
“It’s very hard to see that happening at scale as long as you have drones and
missiles flying,” BlackRock’s Hildebrand said.
Kathryn Carlson reported from Davos, Switzerland.
FRANKFURT — No one saw this coming.
Eurozone finance ministers on Monday picked Croatia’s central bank governor,
Boris Vujčić, as the European Central Bank’s next vice president — defying all
expectations and the European Parliament’s calls for someone else.
Ministers chose Vujčić over his Finnish counterpart Olli Rehn, the favorite to
win, in the third and final round of voting after seeing off other heavyweight
contenders in Portugal’s Mário Centeno and Latvia’s Mārtiņš Kazāks — the
Parliament’s preferred picks for the job. Estonia’s Madis Müller and
Lithuania’s Rimantas Šadžius lost out in the first round.
At a time when the U.S. administration is putting extreme pressure on the
Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, the choice of Vujčić — a technocrat
with no obvious partisan backing — is a strong signal of the EU’s desire to keep
the ECB independent of direct political influence.
Barring any last-minute surprises, EU leaders will formally present Vujčić to
succeed incumbent Vice President Luis de Guindos when the Spaniard ends his
eight-year term on May 31.
“Crazy,” was all one diplomat could muster after the vote. Others were more
understanding. “He is the most senior central banker of them all,” a second said
on the condition of anonymity.
Vujčić needed 16 votes from ministers who represent 65 percent of the eurozone’s
population, meaning he had the support of the euroclub’s largest members to
clinch victory.
Germany, France and Spain will all have been thinking strategically ahead of
Monday’s vote, which kicks off a game of musical chairs for a place at the ECB’s
coveted six-person Executive Board over the next two years. The vice presidency
is the first of four board vacancies, including the presidency, that will come
up in that time. All are important positions for the eurozone’s biggest economic
powerhouses.
By tapping Vujčić for the no. 2 job, capitals have kept the playing field wide
open — especially when it comes to finding a successor for ECB President
Christine Lagarde once her term ends on Oct. 31, 2027.
Vujčić now faces an awkward hearing in Parliament, whose non-binding preference
for the post was completely ignored by finance ministers. The 61-year-old will
need to bring Parliament onside to avoid MEPs voting against his victory in a
symbolic, but politically embarrassing, ballot — a similar fate to when
Luxembourg’s governor, Yves Mersch, joined the ECB’s highest echelon in 2012.
DARK HORSE
Vujčić has vast experience as a central banker, having led the Croatian National
Bank since 2012, and is highly regarded among fellow rate-setters. But his
appointment will still come as a massive surprise to ECB watchers who have long
bet on Rehn. Rehn’s dual experience in Brussels politics and monetary policy had
widely been seen as giving him an edge over his five rivals.
Croatia’s chances were seen as slim from the outset, as it only joined the
eurozone in 2023, placing it toward the back of the queue for a seat at the
Executive Board. None of the three Baltic states, which adopted the euro roughly
a decade earlier than Croatia, have yet had a representative serve on the Board.
While generally considered a moderate hawk, Vujčić defies the usual
northern-hawk-versus-southern-dove classification that has historically
dominated debates when politicians haggle over coveted positions at the ECB.
His appointment is thus unlikely to change the probability of either a northern
heavyweight such as Germany or the Netherlands, or a southern contender such as
Spain, securing the presidency.
Current front-runners for the top job include former Dutch central bank chief
Klaas Knot and Bank for International Settlements head Pablo Hernández de Cos.
But in European politics, two years is an eternity. Lagarde herself only emerged
as a serious candidate late in the process to name a successor for Mario Draghi,
showing how fast the ECB’s leadership race can turn.
BRUSSELS — The European Commission on Wednesday unveiled a €90 billion loan to
Ukraine aimed at saving it from financial collapse as it continues to battle
Russia while aid from the U.S. dries up.
About one-third of the cash will be used for normal budget expenditures and the
rest will go to defense — although countries still need to formally agree to
what extent Ukraine can use the money to buy weapons from outside the EU. A
Commission proposal gives EU defense firms preferential treatment but allows
Ukraine to buy foreign weapons if they aren’t immediately available in Europe.
While the loan is interest-free for Ukraine, it is forecast to cost EU
taxpayers between €3 billion and €4 billion a year in borrowing costs from 2028.
The EU had to resort to the loan after an earlier effort to use sanctioned
Russian frozen assets ran into opposition from Belgium.
The race is now on for EU lawmakers to agree on a final legal text that’ll pave
the way for disbursements in April, when Ukraine’s war chest runs out. Meetings
between EU treasury and defense officials are already planned for Friday. The
European Parliament could fast-track the loan as early as next week.
The financing package is also crucial for unlocking additional loans to Ukraine
from the International Monetary Fund. The Washington-based Fund wants to ensure
Kyiv’s finances aren’t overstretched, as the war enters its fifth year next
month.
The €90 billion will be paid out over the next two years, as Moscow shows no
sign of slowing down its offensive on Ukraine despite U.S.-led efforts to agree
on a ceasefire.
“Russia shows no sign of abating, no sign of remorse, no sign of seeking peace,”
Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told reporters after presenting the
proposal. “We all want peace for Ukraine, and for that, Ukraine must be in a
position of strength.”
When EU leaders agreed on the loan, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
called the deal an “unprecedented decision, and it will also have an impact on
the peace negotiations.”
Adding to the pressure on the EU, the U.S. under President Donald Trump has
halted new military and financial aid to Ukraine, leaving it up to Europe to
ensure Kyiv can continue fighting.
Once the legal text is agreed, the EU will raise joint debt to finance
the initiative, although the governments in the Czech Republic, Hungary and
Slovakia said they will not participate in the funding drive.
The conditions on military spending are splitting EU countries. Paris
is demanding strict rules to prevent money from flowing to U.S. weapons
manufacturers, while Germany and other Northern European countries want to give
Ukraine greater flexibility on how to spend the cash, pointing out that some key
systems needed by Ukraine aren’t manufactured in Europe.
MEETING HALFWAY
The Commission has put forward a compromise proposal — seen by POLITICO. It
gives preferential treatment to defense companies based in the EU, Ukraine and
neighboring countries, including Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein, but doesn’t
rule out purchases from abroad.
To keep the Northern European capitals happy, the Commission’s proposal allows
Ukraine to buy specialized weapons produced outside the EU if they are vital for
Kyiv’s defense against Russian forces. These include the U.S. Patriot long-range
missile and air defense systems.
The rules could be bent further in cases “where there is an urgent need for a
given defense product” that can’t be delivered quickly from within Europe.
Weapons aren’t considered European if more than 35 percent of their parts come
from outside the continent, according to the draft. That’s in line with previous
EU defense-financing initiatives, such as the €150 billion SAFE
loans-for-weapons program.
Two other legal texts are included in the legislative package. One proposes
using the upper borrowing limit in the current budget to guarantee the loan. The
other is designed to tweak the Ukraine Facility, a 2023 initiative that governs
the bloc’s long-term financial support to Kyiv. The Commission will also create
a new money pot to cover the borrowing costs before the new EU budget enters
into force in 2028.
RUSSIAN COLLATERAL
Ukraine only has to repay the €90 billion loan if it receives post-war
reparations from Russia — an unlikely scenario. If this doesn’t happen, the EU
has left the door open to tapping frozen Russian state assets across the bloc to
pay itself back.
Belgium’s steadfast opposition to leveraging the frozen assets, most of which
are based in the Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear, promises to make
that negotiation difficult. However, the Commission can indefinitely roll over
its debt by issuing eurobonds until it finds the necessary means to pay off the
loan. The goal is to ensure Ukraine isn’t left holding the bill.
“The Union reserves its right to use the cash balances from immobilized Russian
assets held in the EU to repay the Ukraine Support Loan,” Economy Commissioner
Valdis Dombrovskis said alongside von der Leyen. “Supporting Ukraine is a litmus
test for Europe. The outcome of Russia’s brutal war of aggression against
Ukraine will determine Europe’s future.”
Jacopo Barigazzi contributed to this report from Brussels.
Global central banks rallied behind Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on
Tuesday, pushing back against a perceived political attack on the independence
of the world’s most important financial institution.
“We stand in full solidarity with the Federal Reserve System and its Chair
Jerome H. Powell,” the officials said in a joint statement. “The independence of
central banks is a cornerstone of price, financial and economic stability in the
interest of the citizens that we serve. It is therefore critical to preserve
that independence, with full respect for the rule of law and democratic
accountability.”
The statement was signed by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde on
behalf of the ECB’s Governing Council, by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey
as well as the heads of the Swiss, Swedish, Danish, Australian, Canadian, South
Korean and Brazilian central banks.
Pablo Hernández de Cos, general manager of the Bank for International
Settlements and François Villeroy de Galhau, chair of the Board of Directors of
the Bank for International Settlements, also signed the statement.
Over the weekend, Powell disclosed that the Fed had been served with grand jury
subpoenas by the Department of Justice, raising the threat of a criminal
indictment tied to his congressional testimony on the ongoing renovation of the
Fed’s Washington headquarters.
In what amounted to a dramatic escalation in the standoff between the White
House and the central bank, Powell used an unusually direct video message to
argue that the legal action is politically motivated and part of a campaign of
“intimidation,” designed to push the Fed into cutting interest rates more
aggressively.
“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting
interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public,
rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said in language
rare in its starkness for a serving Fed chair.
Trump, a longtime critic who has piled personal insults on Powell since his
reelection both through ad hoc comments and through his social media feed,
denied any role in the investigation. Speaking to NBC News on Sunday, Trump said
he was unaware of the probe but added that Powell is “certainly not very good at
the Fed, and he’s not very good at building buildings.”
The joint statement on Tuesday took a different view.
“Chair Powell has served with integrity, focused on his mandate and an
unwavering commitment to the public interest,” it said. “To us, he is a
respected colleague who is held in the highest regard by all who have worked
with him.”
Expressions of support for Powell from around the world had already begun on
Monday, with Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel telling POLITICO that: “The
independence of central banks is a prerequisite for price stability and a great
public good. Against this background, the recent developments in the U.S.
regarding the Fed chairman are cause for concern.” Bank of France Governor
Villeroy de Galhau, meanwhile, had told a new year event at the ACPR regulator
that Powell was “a model of integrity and commitment to the public interest.”
POLITICO reported on Monday that the decision to subpoena the Fed had also
raised concern among various White House officials, who are concerned that it
may trigger volatility in financial markets and complicate efforts to keep the
economy on track in an election year. Senior Republican Party lawmakers have
also spoken out against the move.
Croatia, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania and Portugal will face off for the
European Central Bank’s No. 2 job, according to a statement from the Council of
the EU.
The crowded race for the vice presidency kickstarts a wider battle for a seat on
the ECB’s coveted six-person executive board, the eurozone’s most powerful forum
for economic and monetary policy.
Four of the seats, including the presidency itself, will become vacant over the
next two years. Competition will be fierce, as the eurozone’s largest economies
will seek to maintain their influence on the board, leaving smaller countries
with fewer seats to fight over.
Eurozone finance ministers are set to pick the winner behind closed doors in a
secret ballot when they meet in Brussels for this month’s Eurogroup meeting on
Jan. 19. The winner will need at least 16 votes from the 21 ministers,
representing around 65 percent of the eurozone’s population.
Eurozone leaders formally propose the candidate to succeed the outgoing vice
president, Luis de Guindos, whose eight-year term ends on May 31. The European
Parliament and the ECB are entitled to an opinion about the final pick.
Northern European applicants make up the bulk of the contenders, with Finland’s
central banker, Olli Rehn, facing competition from Baltic neighbors. These
include his central banking peers, Estonia’s Madis Müller and Latvia’s Mārtiņš
Kazāks. Lithuania’s former finance minister, Rimantas Šadžius, completes the
Baltic round-up. The other two applicants come from Southern Europe: Portugal’s
ex-Eurogroup president, Mário Centeno, and the Croatian central bank governor,
Boris Vujčić.
The candidates are tentatively scheduled to face questions from MEPs behind
closed doors before finance ministers meet on Jan. 19.
LONDON — The U.K. government has increased the threshold at which farmers and
businesses pay inheritance tax following significant pushback.
The Agricultural and Business Property Reliefs threshold — where 100 percent
rate relief is capped — will be increased to £2.5 million when it is introduced
from next April, which is a large hike from the original £1 million level
proposed by Chancellor Rachel Reeves in her 2024 autumn budget. Reeves’ original
plan sparked intense backlash and protests from British farmers.
50 percent relief will apply to qualifying assets above that level, and spouses
or civil partners will be able to pass on up to £5 million of agricultural and
business assets tax-free, on top of existing nil‑rate bands, following the
government U-turn.
The government said on Tuesday that it changed tack after listening to concerns
from the farming community and businesses about the reforms.
“We have listened closely to farmers across the country, and we are making
changes today to protect more ordinary family farms,” said Environment Secretary
Emma Reynolds.
The government estimates only 185 farming estates will now fall into scope, down
from 375, and 1,100 estates overall will pay more inheritance tax in 2026-27,
down from an initial figure of 2,000.
BRUSSELS — EU taxpayers will have to pay €3 billion per year in borrowing costs
as part of a plan to raise common debt to finance Ukraine’s defense against
Russia, according to senior European Commission officials.
The bloc’s leaders agreed in the early hours of Friday to raise €90 billion for
the next two years, backed by the EU budget, to ensure Kyiv’s war chest won’t
run dry in April.
The war-ravaged country faces a budget shortfall of €71.7 billion next year and
is in desperate need of funds to ensure its survival after Russian President
Vladimir Putin pledged to keep the conflict going on Friday.
Czechia, Hungary and Slovakia will not join the bloc’s other 24 countries in
sharing the debt burden, but agreed not to obstruct Ukraine’s financing needs.
As part of the carve-out deal, the Commission will propose a so-called enhanced
cooperation early next week, giving the 24 countries a legal platform to raise
joint debt.
Many of the hallmarks of the €210 billion financing package for Ukraine will be
transferred to the new plan for common debt. These include payout structures in
tranches, anti-corruption safeguards, and an outline for how much money should
be spent on Kyiv’s military and the country’s budgetary needs.
European governments resorted to joint debt after failing to agree on a
controversial plan to leverage frozen Russian assets across the bloc.
The new plan would provide Ukraine with €45 billion next year, handing Kyiv a
crucial lifeline as it enters its fifth year of fighting. The remaining funds
would be disbursed in 2027.
COST OF BORROWING
The new plan won’t come cheap. The EU is expected to pay €3 billion annually in
interest from 2028 through its seven-year budget, which is largely financed by
EU governments, senior Commission officials told reporters on Friday. Interest
payments would begin in 2027, but would cost only €1 billion that year.
Ukraine will only have to repay the loan once Russia ends the war and pays war
reparations. That seems unlikely, which means the EU could continuously roll
over the debt or use frozen Russian assets to repay it.
That would require another political agreement among EU leaders, as Belgium is
strongly opposed to using the frozen assets, most of which are held in the
Brussels-based financial depository Euroclear.
It was Belgium’s resistance that ultimately forced leaders to pursue common
debt. Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever wanted unlimited financial guarantees
against the Russian asset-backed loan, a demand too great for his peers.