Many describe our geopolitical moment as one of instability, but that word feels
too weak for what we are living through. Some, like Mark Carney, argue that we
are facing a rupture: a break with assumptions that anchored the global economic
and political order for decades. Others, like Christine Lagarde, see a profound
transition, a shift toward a new configuration of power, technology and societal
expectations. Whichever perception we adopt, the implication is clear: leaders
can no longer rely on yesterday’s mental models, institutional routines or
governance templates.
Johanna Mair is the Director of the Florence School of Transnational Governance
at the European University Institute in Florence, where she leads education,
training and research on governance beyond the nation state.
Security, for example, is no longer a discrete policy field. It now reaches
deeply into energy systems, artificial intelligence, cyber governance, financial
stability and democratic resilience, all under conditions of strategic
competition and mistrust. At the same time, competitiveness cannot be reduced to
productivity metrics or short-term growth rates. It is about a society’s
capacity to innovate, regulate effectively and mobilize investment toward
long-term objectives — from the green and digital transitions to social
cohesion. This dense web of interdependence is where transnational governance is
practiced every day.
The European Union illustrates this reality vividly. No single member state can
build the capacity to manage these transformations on its own. EU institutions
and other regional bodies shape regulatory frameworks and collective responses;
corporations influence infrastructure and supply chains; financial institutions
direct capital flows; and civic actors respond to social fragmentation and
governance gaps. Effective leadership has become a systemic endeavour: it
requires coordination across these levels, while sustaining public legitimacy
and defending liberal democratic principles.
> Our mission is to teach and train current and future leaders, equipping them
> with the knowledge, skills and networks to tackle global challenges in ways
> that are both innovative and grounded in democratic values.
The Florence School of Transnational Governance (STG) at the European University
Institute was created precisely to respond to this need. Located in Florence and
embedded in a European institution founded by EU member states, the STG is a hub
where policymakers, business leaders, civil society, media and academia meet to
work on governance beyond national borders. Our mission is to teach and train
current and future leaders, equipping them with the knowledge, skills and
networks to tackle global challenges in ways that are both innovative and
grounded in democratic values.
What makes this mission distinctive is not only the topics we address, but also
how and with whom we address them. We see leadership development as a practice
embedded in real institutions, not a purely classroom-based exercise. People do
not come to Florence to observe transnational governance from a distance; they
come to practice it, test hypotheses and co-create solutions with peers who work
on the frontlines of policy and politics.
This philosophy underpins our portfolio of programs, from degree offerings to
executive education. With early career professionals, we focus on helping them
understand and shape governance beyond the state, whether in international
organizations, national administrations, the private sector or civil society. We
encourage them to see institutions not as static structures, but as arrangements
that can and must be strengthened and reformed to support a liberal, rules-based
order under stress.
At the same time, we devote significant attention to practitioners already in
positions of responsibility. Our Global Executive Master (GEM) is designed for
experienced professionals who cannot pause their careers, but recognize that the
governance landscape in which they operate has changed fundamentally. Developed
by the STG, the GEM convenes participants from EU institutions, national
administrations, international organizations, business and civil society —
professionals from a wide range of nationalities and institutional backgrounds,
reflecting the coalitions required to address complex problems.
The program is structured to fit the reality of leadership today. Delivered part
time over two years, it combines online learning with residential periods in
Florence and executive study visits in key policy centres. This blended format
allows participants to remain in full-time roles while advancing their
qualifications and networks, and it ensures that learning is continuously tested
against institutional realities rather than remaining an abstract exercise.
Participants specialize in tracks such as geopolitics and security, tech and
governance, economy and finance, or energy and climate. Alongside this subject
depth, they build capabilities more commonly associated with top executive
programs than traditional public policy degrees: change management,
negotiations, strategic communication, foresight and leadership under
uncertainty. These skills are essential for bridging policy design and
implementation — a gap that is increasingly visible as governments struggle to
deliver on ambitious agendas.
Executive study visits are a core element of this practice-oriented approach. In
a recent Brussels visit, GEM participants engaged with high-level speakers from
the European Commission, the European External Action Service, the Council, the
European Parliament, NATO, Business Europe, Fleishman Hillard and POLITICO
itself. Over several days, they discussed foreign and security policy,
industrial strategy, strategic foresight and the governance of emerging
technologies. These encounters do more than illustrate theory; they give
participants a chance to stress-test their assumptions, understand the
constraints facing decision-makers and build relationships across institutional
boundaries.
via EUI
Throughout the program, each participant develops a capstone project that
addresses a strategic challenge connected to a policy organization, often their
own employer. This ensures that executive education translates into
institutional impact: projects range from new regulatory approaches and
partnership models to internal reforms aimed at making organizations more agile
and resilient. At the same time, they help weave a durable transnational network
of practitioners who can work together beyond the programme.
Across our activities at the STG, a common thread runs through our work: a
commitment to defending and renewing the liberal order through concrete
practice. Addressing the rupture or transition we are living through requires
more than technical fixes. It demands leaders who can think systemically, act
across borders and design governance solutions that are both unconventional and
democratically legitimate.
> Across our activities at the STG, a common thread runs through our work: a
> commitment to defending and renewing the liberal order through concrete
> practice.
In a period defined by systemic risk and strategic competition, leadership
development cannot remain sectoral or reactive. It must be interdisciplinary,
practice-oriented and anchored in real policy environments. At the Florence
School of Transnational Governance, we aim to create precisely this kind of
learning community — one where students, fellows and executives work side by
side to reimagine how institutions can respond to global challenges. For
policymakers and professionals who recognize themselves in this moment of
rupture, our programs — including the GEM — offer a space to step back, learn
with peers and return to their institutions better equipped to lead change. The
task is urgent, but it is also an opportunity: by investing in transnational
governance education today, we can help lay the foundations for a more resilient
and inclusive order tomorrow.
Tag - Education
The Cuban deputy foreign minister issued a blunt warning to the U.S. on Sunday:
His island’s military is “prepared” for any U.S. aggression as the Trump
administration continues to push for regime change in the country.
Speaking to NBC’s Kristen Welker in a sometimes tense interview, Carlos
Fernández de Cossío said he doesn’t understand why the U.S. would attack the
island — but added, “our military is always prepared. And in fact it is
preparing these days for the possibility of military aggression.”
“Our country has historically been ready to mobilize, as a nation as a whole,
for military aggression,” Cossío said on “Meet the Press.” “We truly always see
it as something far from us. We don’t believe it is something that is probable.
But we would be naive if we do not prepare.”
Cossío’s warning came days after President Donald Trump spoke of “taking” Cuba.
“I do believe I’ll be the honor of — having the honor of taking Cuba. That’d be
a good hon — that’s a big honor,” Trump told reporters. “I mean, whether I free
it, take it. I think I can do anything I want with it, you want to know the
truth.”
American presidents have been hoping to see a new government in Cuba since Fidel
Castro took power in 1959. Still, Cossío said on Sunday that regime change is
“absolutely” off the table.
“Cuba is a sovereign country and has the right to be a sovereign country and has
the right to self-determination,” he said. “Cuba would not accept to become a
vassal state or a dependent state from any other country or any other
superpower.”
Cuba’s economy has plummeted since the Trump administration captured Venezuelan
leader Nicolás Maduro in January. The U.S. has cut off Venezuelan oil supplies,
which are critical to propping up the island’s economy, and the nation’s
transportation, health and education systems are also strained.
But the U.S.’s oil blockade is “very severe,” Cossío said, accusing the United
States of threatening other countries “with coercive measures” against importing
fuel to the island.
“We do hope that fuel will reach Cuba one way or the other and that this boycott
that the United States has been imposing does not last and cannot be sustained
forever,” Cossío said.
Though the U.S. and Havana are now in discussions, led by Secretary of State
Marco Rubio, the son of Cuban immigrants, Cossío said those discussions do not
include regime change — or the release of political prisoners.
“We are in dialogue with the United States to talk about bilateral issues. We’re
not talking about prisoners in the United States, and the U.S. has the highest
record of prisoners in the world,” Cossío said.
And though Rubio this week asserted that Cuba will collapse “on its own” and
Havana’s leaders “don’t know how to fix” the country, Cossío insisted his
country is not in any state of collapse.
“What does ‘on its own’ mean when it’s being forced by the United States? It’s a
very bizarre statement,” he said. “Why does the U.S. government need to employ
so many resources, so much political capital, so many human resources, to try to
destroy the economy of another country? Evidently, it implies that the country
does not have the characteristics to collapse on its own.”
LONDON — Britain will reduce its aid sent to Africa by more than half, as the
government unveils the impact of steep cuts to development assistance for
countries across the world.
On Thursday the Foreign Office revealed the next three years of its overseas
development spending, giving MPs and the public the first look at the impact of
Labour’s decision to gut Britain’s aid budget in order to fund an increase in
defense spending.
Government figures show that the value of Britain’s programs in Africa will fall
by 56 percent from the £1.5 billion in 2024/25 when Labour took office to £677
million in 2028/9. It follows the move to reduce aid spending from 0.5 to 0.3
percent of gross national income.
However, the government did not release the details of the funding for specific
countries, giving Britain’s ambassadors and diplomats time to deliver the news
personally to their counterparts across the world ahead of any potential
backlash from allies.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper told MPs that affected countries want Britain
“to be an investor, not just a donor” and “want to attract finance, not be
dependent on aid,” as she pointed to money her department had committed to
development banks and funds which will help Africa raise money.
The decision shows a substantial shift in the government’s focus, moving away
from direct assistance for countries, and funneling much of the remaining money
into international organizations and private finance initiatives.
Chi Onwurah, chair of the All Party Parliamentary Group for Africa, told
POLITICO that she was “dismayed at the level and extent of the cuts to
investment in Africa and the impact it will have particularly on health and
economic development.”
She added: “I hope the government recognizes that security of the British people
is not increased by insecurity in Africa and increased migration from Africa,
quite the opposite.”
Ian Mitchell from the Center for Global Development think tank noted the move
was “a remarkable step back from Africa by the U.K.”
NEW PRIORITIES
Announcing the cuts in the House of Commons, Cooper stressed that the decision
to reduce the aid budget had been “hugely difficult,” pointing to similar moves
by allies such as France and Germany following the U.S. President Donald Trump’s
decision to dramatically shrink America’s aid programs after taking office in
January 2025.
She insisted that it was still “part of our moral purpose” to tackle global
disease and hunger, reiterating Labour’s ambition to work towards “a world free
from extreme poverty on a livable planet.”
Cooper set out three new priorities for Britain’s remaining budget: funding for
unstable countries with conflict and humanitarian disasters, funneling money
into “proven” global partnerships such as vaccine organizations, and a focus on
women and girls, pledging that these will be at the core of 90 percent of
Britain’s bilateral aid programs by 2030.
A box with the Ukrainian flag on it awaits collection in Peterborough, U.K. on
March 10, 2022. | Martin Pope/Getty Images
Only three recipients will see their aid spending fully protected: Ukraine, the
Palestinian territories and Sudan. Lebanon will also see its funding protected
for another year. All bilateral funding for G20 countries will end.
Despite the government’s stated priorities, the scale of the cuts mean that even
the areas it is seeking to protect will not be protected fully.
An impact assessment — which was so stark that ministers claimed they had to
rethink some of the cuts in order to better protect focus areas such as
contraception — published alongside the announcement found that there will
likely be an end to programs in Malawi where 250,000 young people will lose
access to family planning, and 20,000 children risk dropping out of school.
“These steep cuts will impact the most marginalized and left behind
communities,” said Romilly Greenhill, CEO of Bond, the U.K. network for NGOs,
adding: “The U.K. is turning its back on the communities that need support the
most.”
Last-minute negotiations did see some areas protected from more severe cuts,
with the BBC World Service seeing a funding boost, the British Council set to
receive an uplift amid its financial struggles, and the Independent Commission
for Aid Impact (ICAI) — the aid spending watchdog that had been at risk of being
axed — continuing to operate with a 40 percent budget cut.
GREEN THREAT
Though the move will not require legislation to be confirmed — after Prime
Minister Keir Starmer successfully got the move past his MPs last year — MPs
inside his party and out have lamented the impact of the cuts, amid the ongoing
threat to Labour’s left from a resurgent Green Party under new leader Zack
Polanski.
Labour MP Becky Cooper, chair of the APPG on global health and security said
that her party “is, and always has been, a party of internationalism” but
today’s plans would “put Britain and the world at risk.”
Sarah Champion, another Labour MP who chairs the House of Commons international
development committee said that the announcement confirmed that there “will be
no winners from unrelenting U.K. aid cuts, just different degrees of losers,”
creating a “desperately bleak” picture for the world’s most vulnerable. “These
cuts do not aid our defense, they make the whole world more vulnerable,” she
added.
Her Labour colleague Gareth Thomas, a former development minister, added: “In an
already unsafe world, cutting aid risks alienating key allies and will make
improving children’s health and education in Commonwealth countries more
difficult.”
The announcement may give fresh ammunition to the Greens ahead of May’s local
elections, where the party is eyeing up one of its best nights in local
government amid a collapse in support for Labour among Britain’s young,
progressive, and Muslim voters.
Reacting to the news that Britain will cut its aid to developing countries aimed
at combatting climate change, Polanski said: “Appalling and just unbelievably
short-sighted. Our security here in the U.K. relies on action around the world
to tackle the climate crisis.”
BUDAPEST — If Brussels claws back €10 billion of EU funds controversially
disbursed to Hungary, it will also have to recover as much as €137 billion from
Poland too, Budapest’s EU affairs minister told POLITICO.
The European Commission made a highly contentious decision in December 2023 to
free up €10 billion of EU funds to Hungary that had been frozen because of
weaknesses on rule of law deficiencies and backsliding on judicial independence.
Members of the European Parliament condemned what looked like a political
decision, offering a sweetener to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán just before a key
summit where the EU needed his support for Ukraine aid.
On Feb. 12, Court of Justice of the European Union Advocate General Tamara
Ćapeta recommended annulling the decision, meaning Hungary may have to return
the funds if the court follows in its final ruling in the coming months. Orbán
has slammed the idea of a repayment as “absurd.”
János Bóka, Hungary’s EU affairs minister, told POLITICO that clawing back the
€10 billion from the euroskeptic government in Budapest would mean that Brussels
should also be recovering cash from Poland, led by pro-EU Prime Minister Donald
Tusk.
“We believe that the Commission’s decision was lawful … the opinion, I think,
it’s legally excessive,” Bóka said. He warned that “if the Advocate General’s
opinion is followed then the Commission would be legally required to freeze all
the EU money going to Poland as well, which I think in any case the Commission
is not willing to do.”
The legal opinion on Hungary states the the Commission was wrong in unfreezing
the funds “before the required legislative reforms had entered into force or
were being applied,” Ćapeta said in February.
Bóka said that would seem to describe the situation in Poland too.
In February 2024, the EU executive released €137 billion in frozen funds to
Tusk’s government in exchange for promised judicial reforms. But these have
since been blocked by President Karol Nawrocki as tensions between the two
worsen — spelling trouble for Poland’s continued access to EU cash.
“It’s very easy to get the EU funds if they want to give it to you, as we could
see in the case of Poland, where they could get the funds with a page-and-a-half
action plan, which is still not implemented because of legislative difficulty,”
Bóka said.
Fundamentally, that is why Bóka said he believed “the court will not issue any
judgment that would put Poland in a difficult position.”
Bóka risks leaving office with Orbán after the April 12 election, with
opposition leader Péter Magyar leading in the polls on a platform of unlocking
EU funds, tackling corruption, and improving healthcare and education.
The Commission is, separately, withholding another €18 billion of Hungarian
funds — €7.6 billion in cohesion funds and €10.4 billion from the coronavirus
recovery package.
“I think Péter Magyar is right when he says that the Commission wants to give
this money to them … in exchange, like they did in the case of Poland, they want
alignment in key policy areas,” he said, “like support for Ukraine,
green-lighting progress in Ukraine’s accession process, decoupling from Russian
oil and gas, and implementing the Migration Pact.”
“Just like in the case of Poland, they might allow rhetorical deviation from the
line, but in key areas, they want alignment and compliance.”
Poland’s Tusk has been vocal against EU laws, such as the migration pact and
carbon emission reduction laws.
Bóka also accused the Commission of deciding “not to engage in meaningful
discussions [on EU funds] as the elections drew closer.”
He added that if Orbán’s Fidesz were to win the election, “neither us nor the
Commission will have any other choice than to sit down and discuss how we can
make progress in this process.”
Legal experts are cautious about assessing the potential impact of such a
ruling, noting that the funds for Poland and Hungary were frozen under different
legal frameworks. However, there is broad agreement that the case is likely to
set some form of precedent over how the Commission handles disbursements of EU
funds to its members.
If the legal opinion is followed, “there could be a strong case against
disbursing funds against Poland,” said Jacob Öberg, EU law professor at
University of Southern Denmark. He said, however, that it is not certain the
court will follow Ćapeta’s opinion because the cases assess different national
contexts.
Paul Dermine, EU law professor at the Université Libre de Bruxelles agreed the
court ruling could “at least in theory, have repercussions on what happened in
the Polish case,” but said that he thought judges would follow the legal opinion
“as the wrongdoings of the Commission in the Hungarian case are quite blatant.”
LONDON — Ministers are poised to axe the watchdog that measures the U.K.’s
overseas aid spending as part of deep cuts to the development budget, set to be
confirmed this week.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced last year he would reduce the aid budget
from 0.5 percent to 0.3 percent of economic output in order to pay for a boost
to defense spending, but has not yet spelled out where those cuts will fall.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper is expected to unveil details before the Easter
recess, including tough funding settlements for the BBC World Service and the
British Council.
The Independent Commission for Aid Impact (ICAI), which scrutinizes official
development assistance (ODA), may be downsized or scrapped altogether under the
plans, according to three people with knowledge of discussions with the Foreign,
Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO).
The move comes as Starmer’s government shifts away from a focus on international
development — a cornerstone of Labour Party foreign policy since the 1990s — and
plows those resources into defense.
An ICAI spokesperson said: “The Independent Commission for Aid Impact costs less
than 0.03 percent of the total U.K. aid budget. … As the government reduces the
aid budget and changes the way it does development, independent scrutiny and
learning become even more important, not less.”
The ICAI’s latest report lambasted the government for a lack of “an overarching
strategy or set of priorities,” pointing out that aid cash is being spent on
supporting refugees in the U.K. rather than on the global poor.
The potential closure of the ICAI has drawn concern from within Starmer’s own
ranks, with Labour MPs pointing out that the party made an explicit commitment
to “work closely” with the watchdog in their 2024 election manifesto.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper is expected to unveil details before the Easter
recess. | WPA pool photo by Jaimy Joy/Getty Images
Sarah Champion, chair of the international development committee, said the
ICAI’s latest report “underlines why the government should row back from its
plans to scrap the U.K.’s aid watchdog.”
She added: “At a time of brutal budget cuts, it is more important than ever that
the government spends its aid wisely and transparently.”
Fleur Anderson, a member of the foreign affairs committee, told POLITICO: “When
something works as well as ICAI, why are we even considering dismantling it?”
Beccy Cooper, a 2024 intake MP, said: “More than ever, we need to ensure
effectiveness and maximum impact of our aid funding.”
Asked about the body’s future in January, International Development Minister
Jenny Chapman said: “I have to ask myself whether that is the right use of that
money or whether we could get what we need more efficiently.”
The government is expected to prioritize multilateral aid while slashing funding
for bilateral donations and in-country projects including public health
initiatives and education for women and girls.
A Labour MP briefed on the plans, granted anonymity to speak candidly, raised
fears that some cuts would go against ministers’ own stated aims for the
remaining aid budgets.
The MP flagged proposals to reduce funds for the British International
Investment development bank, despite a stated aim to boost private investment in
development projects, and to reduce the headcount of Whitehall staff working on
ODA, despite professing a wish to focus on expertise.
Fleur Anderson, a member of the foreign affairs committee, told POLITICO: “When
something works as well as ICAI, why are we even considering dismantling it?” |
Brian Lawless/PA Images via Getty Images
Chapman held briefings on the plans last week and will hold more sessions next
week as the government tries to keep MPs onside as the details emerge of where
savings will be made.
An FCDO spokesperson said: “National security is the first duty of this
government. That’s why, to fund a necessary increase in defense spending, the
government has taken the decision to reduce the U.K. ODA budget to 0.3 percent
of [economic output] by 2027.
“We remain absolutely committed to tackling the global challenges of hunger,
disease, insecurity and conflict, but we have been clear we must modernize our
approach to development to reflect the changing global context.”
BUDAPEST — As Hungarians awoke to a sunny national day on March 15, a question
overshadowed the celebrations: Who would draw the larger crowd to the streets of
Budapest?
Would it be incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, still a formidable force
after 16 years of uninterrupted rule? Or Péter Magyar, a less prickly opposition
wild card who is bidding to bring down Orbán’s government?
With less than a month to go until the April 12 election — and with Magyar’s
opposition Tisza party polling about 10 points ahead of Orbán’s Fidesz — the
national day festivities offered both parties a final chance to show off their
strength and sway public opinion as the campaign enters its final stretch.
“Everything is ready for the biggest event ever,” Magyar had said the evening
before. “This will be the day when size truly matters,” he added Sunday morning.
Meanwhile, as followers started gathering after 9 a.m. to march for Orbán, the
Fidesz-aligned Magyar Nemzet newspaper said that “the crowd is huge.”
Small wonder, then, that the two sides disputed who had attracted the bigger
crowd.
The Fidesz “peace march” rally at Kossuth Square, next to the Hungarian
Parliament building. | Max Griera/POLITICO
Fidesz shared data from the Hungarian Tourism Agency, which reported that
Orbán’s “peace march” had drawn 180,000 people to the opposition’s 150,000; the
agency, which is controlled by the government, based its estimate on how many
cell phones had been connected to antennas near the respective rallies.
But people close to Tisza estimated for POLITICO that their party had mobilized
350,000 attendees.
DEFENDING HUNGARY AGAINST BRUSSELS, KYIV
Hungary’s March 15 national day commemorates its revolution and war of
independence to escape the rule of Austria’s Habsburg monarchy from 1848-1849.
Both parties used the occasion to drive home their campaign slogans and espouse
patriotism and national identity. Orbán’s Fidesz has focused on the war in
Ukraine and Iran, portraying itself as the party of security but avoiding
domestic issues. Tisza has campaigned on a platform of complete regime change.
The competing events both featured national anthems and folk songs, most
prominently “Nemzeti Dal” by Sándor Petőfi — an iconic poem and a cornerstone of
Hungarian literature that is widely credited with helping spark the Hungarian
Revolution in 1848.
And both Orbán and Magyar called on Hungarians to rise and defend the country
just like they did in 1956 against the Soviet occupation — the former invoking
Ukraine as the threat, the latter another Orbán government after 16 years of
uninterrupted rule.
Orbán addressed his supporters beside the parliament in Kossuth Square, where
they had marched from the Buda quarter of the capital across the Danube River.
“We will not be a Ukrainian colony,” was the motto on the placards protesters
carried, a slogan that Orbán had echoed on social media the day before. Budapest
is embroiled in a furious dispute with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
over the cessation of Russian oil flows across Ukraine and a stalled €90 billion
EU loan to fund Kyiv’s war effort. Orbán has framed his rival Magyar as a
Brussels proxy who will do as the EU and Ukraine say.
“I said no to the Soviets,” Orbán told the rally. “I said no to Brussels, to the
war, and I’m standing before the vote now, together with you, saying no to the
Ukrainians.”
Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó took the stage to claim that Brussels, Kyiv and
Berlin “want to bring Europe to war” and “want the money of Europeans to be
given to the Ukrainians.”
Near Kossuth Square, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky Boulevard was at a standstill with dozens
of buses still disgorging supporters from the countryside, who had been brought
in to offset Budapest’s predominantly opposition voters.
High school student Mikolt, 16, and her stay-at-home mother Daniela, 42, were
arriving from the village of Eger in the northeast of the country. They said
they supported Orbán because he is keeping Hungary out of the war in Ukraine and
because he supports Christianity, the family and Hungarians.
Tisza volunteers Balázs and Zsigmund on Andrássy Avenue before the march starts.
| Max Griera/POLITICO
Magyar is a “narcissist,” Daniela said, who “behaves like a wounded little child
who no longer has any power” since leaving Fidesz in February 2024.
“RUSSIANS GO HOME”
A 20-minute walk away, the Tisza marchers were beginning to assemble. Volunteers
Zsigmund and Balázs, both 18, agreed to talk with POLITICO, despite having
received a caution from their team leader not to speak with media, as Orbán’s
“propagandists” could use what they said against the party.
Describing themselves as “patriots,” the two students are counting on Magyar to
improve the country’s health care and education systems, which they said have
been battered by years of misrule.
“Orbán replaced skilled people with loyalists. Tisza has many professionals and
they have a program, Fidesz hasn’t had a program for years,” Zsigmund said.
For Balazs, who plans to study economics at a foreign university, the election
is existential — he says he may not come back if Orbán wins. “I would prefer to
come back, definitely, but let’s see what happens.”
Once it gets going, the Tisza march fills the 2.5 kilometer-long Andrassy
Avenue, heading for Heroes Square, where Magyar is due to speak at 17:00.
On stage, the opposition leader promises to fix Hungary’s health care system,
restore billions of euros in EU funding that has been frozen due to rule-of-law
concerns regarding Orbán’s government, improve pensions and child support, boost
the economy and fight corruption.
Evoking Hungary’s “other” revolution — the 1956 uprising that killed 3,000
civilians — Magyar said Hungarians need to rise up again to regain their
“freedom” and protect their rights. Framing the current government as an
occupier that represses its “subjects,” he accused Orbán of allowing Russian
agents in the country to meddle in the election.
“Russians go home!” the crowd chanted, repeating: “It’s over!”
LONDON — Brussels is insisting that British Prime Minister Keir Starmer agree to
a cut in tuition fees for EU students as the price of his Brexit reset,
according to two officials familiar with the state of negotiations.
EU officials say they are frustrated that the U.K. is yet to engage on the topic
in talks — which are meant to finish by the summer.
“It needs to be worked out before talks can be concluded,” one EU official told
POLITICO.
“There is some frustration on our side that we haven’t reached a point in
negotiations where this issue has been openly discussed.”
The EU official added that a cut in fees for European students was “a very key
point for our member states” and “a clear interest for us.”
Before Brexit, EU students paid “home” U.K. tuition fees of about £9,500 a year
in England — but are now subject to eye-watering “international” rates that can
lock out all but the wealthiest students.
Overseas rates can range from roughly double the U.K. rate for some courses to
huge sums for the most prestigious degrees, such as the £62,820 a year
international fee to study computer science at Oxford University.
Under pressure from its member countries, the EU wants fees cut for Europeans
studying in the U.K. as part of talks to set up a “youth experience” scheme.
But Starmer and his negotiators are under pressure from British universities not
to accede to the demand.
Universities say they will face a cash crisis if lucrative foreign fee income is
cut and not replaced, with one recently published analysis by the Russell Group
suggesting the sector would be left £580 million out of pocket.
A U.K. official said the home fees demand wasn’t mentioned in the “common
understanding” drawn up as a blueprint for talks last year — and that
negotiations are about implementing that document.
The agreement does not explicitly mention tuition fees and only says the youth
scheme should “facilitate the participation of young people from the European
Union and the United Kingdom” in areas including study.
But the EU official quoted above said that, while it was debatable whether the
change was alluded to in last year’s communique, it was nevertheless the EU’s
position.
They stressed that other issues under discussion, like the planned agri-food
agreement or linking emissions trading systems, were largely U.K. “asks” — and
that the EU also had its own interest to pursue.
“It’s important to look at the position from the other side,” they added.
A U.K. government spokesperson said: “We will not give a running commentary on
ongoing talks.”
They added: “We are working together with the EU to create a balanced youth
experience scheme which will create new opportunities for young people to live,
work, study and travel.
“Any final scheme must be time-limited, capped and will be based on our existing
youth mobility schemes, which do not include access to home tuition fee status.”
BRITAIN’S LABOUR PARTY STARES INTO THE ABYSS IN ITS WELSH HEARTLAND
In the old coalfields of south Wales, Britain’s center-left establishment faces
being crushed by a nationalist left and populist right. POLITICO went to find
out why.
By DAN BLOOM
and SASCHA O’SULLIVAN
in Newport, South Wales
Photo-Illustration by Natália Delgado/POLITICO
Eluned Morgan, the Welsh first minister, stood in a sunbeam at Newport’s
Victorian market and declared: “Wales is ready for a new chapter.”
Many voters agree. The problem for Morgan is: few think she’ll be the one to
write it.
This nation of 3 million people, with its coalfields, docks, mountains and
farms, is the deepest heartland of Morgan’s center-left Labour Party. Labour has
topped every U.K. general election here for 104 years and presided over the
Welsh parliament, the Senedd, since establishing it 27 years ago.
Yet Senedd elections on May 7 threaten not only to end this world-record winning
streak, but leave Welsh Labour fighting for a reason to exist.
One YouGov poll in January put the party joint-fourth with the Conservatives on
10 percent, behind Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru on 37 percent, Nigel Farage’s
populist Reform UK on 23 percent and the Greens on 13 percent. Other polls are
less dramatic (one last week had Reform and Plaid equal, and Labour a closer
third), but the mood remains stark.
The most common projection for the 96-seat Senedd is a Plaid minority government
propped up by Labour — blowing a hole in Labour’s status as the default
governing party and safe vote to stop the right, and echoing recent by-elections
in Caerphilly (won by Plaid) and Manchester (won by Greens).
POLITICO visited south Wales and spoke to 30 politicians and officials across
Labour, Plaid and Reform. | Dan Bloom/POLITICO
It would raise the simple question, said a senior Welsh Labour official granted
anonymity to speak frankly: “What is the point in this party?’”
POLITICO visited south Wales and spoke to 30 politicians and officials across
Labour, Plaid and Reform, including interviews with all three of their Welsh
leaders, for this piece and an episode of the Westminster Insider podcast. The
conversations painted a vivid picture of a center-left establishment fighting
for survival in an election that could echo far beyond Wales.
While in the 1980s Welsh Labour could unite voters against Margaret Thatcher’s
Conservatives, now it is battling demographic changes, a decline in unionized
heavy industry and an anti-incumbent backlash. All have killed old loyalties and
habits.
Squeezed by Plaid and Greens to their left and Reform to their right, some in
Labour see parallels with other mainstream postwar parties facing a reckoning
across Europe. This week, Germany’s conservative Christian Democrats and
center-left Social Democrats lost to the Greens in the car production region of
Baden-Württemberg; the latter barely scraped 5 percent. In the recent Manchester
by-election, the Conservatives lost their deposit.
Welsh Labour MPs fear a reckoning. One said: “We will have to start again. We
rebuild. We figure out, what does Welsh Labour mean in 2026? What do we stand
for?”
NEW CHAPTER, SAME AUTHOR
It takes Morgan 20 minutes to walk the 500 meters from Newport Market to our
interview. Some passers-by flag her down; others she ambushes. We pass a baked
goods shop (“Ooh, Gregg’s! That’s what I want!”) and Morgan emerges with a
latte, though not with one of the chain’s famous sausage rolls. She introduces
herself to one woman as “Eluned Morgan, first minister of Wales.” Her target
looks vaguely bemused.
After the Covid pandemic, people are simply more aware of what the Welsh
government actually does — which means Labour, as the incumbent, gets more blame
when things go wrong. | Matthew Horwood/Getty Images
A peer and ex-MEP who joined the Senedd in 2016, Morgan is a fixture of Wales’
Labour establishment who became first minister unopposed in August 2024 after
her predecessor, Vaughan Gething, resigned over a donations scandal.
“I didn’t have a mandate really, because I was just kind of thrown in,” she
tells POLITICO midway up the high street. “I thought, right, I need a program,
so I went out on the streets and took my program directly from the public
without any filter.”
She is selling a nuts-and-bolts offer of new railway stations, a £2 bus fare cap
and same-day mental health care. Morgan casts herself as the experienced option
to beat what she calls the “separatists” of Plaid and the “concerning” rise of
populism. She means Reform, which wants to scrap net zero targets and cut 580
Welsh civil service jobs.
Yet paradoxically, she also paints herself as a vessel for change. “[People]
want to see change faster,” she said in John Frost Square, named after the
leader of an 1839 uprising that demanded voting rights for all men. She wants to
show “delivery” and “hope.”
Dimitri Batrouni, Newport Council’s Labour leader, suggested an Amazonification
of politics is under way. “Our lives commercially are instant,” he said. “I want
something, I order it, it’s delivered to my house … people quite naturally want
that in their governments.”
But after 27 years, many voters are rolling the dice on delivery elsewhere.
Welsh Labour is promising to end homelessness by 2034, but previously made the
same pledge by 2026. Around 6,900 people are still waiting two years or more for
NHS treatment (though this figure was 10 times higher during the Covid-19
pandemic). Education rankings slumped in 2023.
At Newport’s Friars Walk shopping center, retired mechanical engineer Roy
Wigmore, 81, said all politicians are liars. “I’ve voted Labour all my life
until now,” he said, “but I’ll probably vote for somebody else — probably Nigel
Farage.”
‘SHIT, WELL, HE DIDN’T CALL ME’
Much of this anger is pointed at Westminster — which is why Labour has long
tried to show a more socialist face to Wales.
It was the seat of Labour co-founder Keir Hardie as well as of Nye Bevan, who
launched Britain’s National Health Service in 1948. “Welsh Labour” was born out
of the first Senedd-style elections in 1999, when Plaid surged in south Wales
heartlands while Tony Blair’s New Labour appealed to the middle classes. For
years, this deliberate rebranding worked; Labour pulled through with the most
seats even when the Tories ruled Westminster.
Yet in 2024, the party boasted of “two Labour governments at both ends of the
M4” — in London and in Cardiff — working in harmony. The emphasis soon flipped
back when things went wrong in No. 10; Morgan promised a “red Welsh way” last
May. She is “trying to find our identity again,” said the MP quoted above.
Morgan appeared to disown the “both ends of the M4” approach, while declining to
call it a mistake. “Look, that was a decision before I became first minister,”
she said.
A peer and ex-MEP who joined the Senedd in 2016, Morgan is a fixture of Wales’
Labour establishment who became first minister unopposed in August 2024 after
her predecessor, Vaughan Gething, resigned over a donations scandal. | Matthew
Horwood/Getty Images
She tries to be playful in distancing herself from Keir Starmer. “He came down a
couple of weeks ago and I was very clear with him, if you’re coming you need to
bring something with you. Fair play, he brought £14 billion of investment,” she
said. “If he wants to come again, he’ll have to bring me more money.”
But she has also hitched herself to Starmer for now — unlike Scottish Labour
leader Anas Sarwar, who has called for the PM to go. As we sat down, Morgan
professed surprise at news that Sarwar called several Cabinet ministers
beforehand.
“Did he! Shit, well, he didn’t call me,” she said.
“Look at the state of the world at the moment; actually what we need is
stability,” she added. “We need the grown-ups in the room to be in charge, and I
do think Keir Starmer is a grown-up.”
‘ELUNED WASN’T HAPPY’
Morgan has mounted a fightback since Plaid won October’s Caerphilly
by-election.
She has hired Matt Greenough, a strategist who worked on London Mayor Sadiq
Khan’s re-election campaign last year, said three people with knowledge of the
appointment.
One of the people said: “During Caerphilly, it became quite clear there were a
lot of problems. Eluned wasn’t happy with Welsh Labour or the way the campaign
was running. She did a lot of lobbying and got the Welsh executive to basically
give her complete power over the campaign.” Morgan “was angry that the central
party [in London] took control of the Caerphilly by-election,” another of the
people added.
(A Morgan ally disputed this reading of events, saying she would always take a
bigger role as the election drew near, and that a wide range of Labour figures
are involved in the campaign committee such as a Westminster MP, Torsten Bell.)
Morgan also has more support these days from Labour’s MPs — who pushed last year
for her to focus less on Plaid and more on Reform. That lobbying may have been a
mistake, the MP quoted above admits now. “We were quite naive in thinking that
the progressives would back us,” this MP said.
Privately, Labour politicians and officials in Wales say the mood and prospects
are better than the start of 2026. Though asked if Labour would win the most
seats in the Senedd, Batrouni said: “Let’s look and see. It’s not looking good
in the polls but … politics changes so quickly.”
IT’S NOT JUST ABOUT KEIR STARMER
The harsh reality is that Labour’s base in Wales began slipping long before
Starmer, rooted in deindustrialization since the 1970s and 80s.
Newport, near England on the M4 corridor, has a measure of prosperity that other
parts of Wales do not. The 137-year-old market has had a makeover, Microsoft is
building data centers and U.S. giant Vishay runs Britain’s biggest semiconductor
plant. Here Labour is mostly expecting a fight between itself and Reform.
At Newport’s Friars Walk shopping center, retired mechanical engineer Roy
Wigmore, 81, said all politicians are liars. “I’ve voted Labour all my life
until now,” he said, “but I’ll probably vote for somebody else — probably Nigel
Farage.” | Jon Rowley/Getty Images
Wales’ west coast and north west are more Plaid-dominated, with more Welsh
speakers and independence supporters. But support for nationalists is spreading
in the southern valleys.
“All across the valleys you’re seeing places where Labour has dominated for 100
years plus but is now in deep, deep crisis,” said Richard Wyn Jones, professor
of Welsh politics at Cardiff University. “It has long been the case that a lot
of Labour supporters have had a very positive view of Plaid Cymru — they just
didn’t have a reason to vote for them until now.”
Wyn Jones attributes the change to trends across northern Europe, where
traditional left-wing parties have been “unmoored” from working-class
occupations. A growing service sector has brought more white-collar voters with
socially liberal values.
Carmen Smith, a 29-year-old Plaid campaigner who is the House of Lords’
youngest-ever peer, said Brexit had unhitched young, left-leaning voters from
the idea of British patriotism: “There are a lot more young people identifying
as Welsh rather than British.”
And after the Covid pandemic, people are simply more aware of what the Welsh
government actually does — which means Labour, as the incumbent, gets more blame
when things go wrong.
All the while, a left-behind contingent of socially conservative ex-Labour
voters is turning to Reform UK. At the Tumble Inn, a Wetherspoons chain pub in
the valley town of Pontypridd, retired gas engineer Paul Jones remembered: “You
could leave one job, walk a couple of hundred yards and start another job … it
was a totally different world. I wish we could get it back, but I don’t think
it’s going to happen.” He hasn’t voted for years but plans to back Reform.
THEY’VE BLOWN UP THE MAP
All these changes will be turbocharged by a new electoral map.
A previous Labour first minister, Mark Drakeford, introduced a more proportional
voting system which will see voters elect six Senedd members in each of 16
super-constituencies.
The results will reflect the mood better than U.K. general elections (Labour won
84 percent of Wales’ seats on a 37 percent vote share in 2024), but create a
volatile outcome. In the mega-constituency for eastern Cardiff, Wyn Jones
believes the six seats could be won by six parties: Labour, Plaid, Reform, the
Conservatives, Greens and Liberal Democrats.
Ironically, said the Labour MP quoted above, Welsh Labour is now polling so
badly that it could actually win more seats under the new system than the old
one.
Trying to win the sixth seat in each super-constituency will hoover up many
resources. The size of each patch changes how parties campaign, said Plaid’s
Westminster leader Liz Savile Roberts: “We’ve had to go to places that I’ve
never been to.”
And the scale means activists have a weaker connection to the candidates they
campaign for — compounded in Labour by many Senedd members stepping down. Just
six people turned up to one recent Labour door-knocking session in a heartland
seat.
A left-behind contingent of socially conservative ex-Labour voters is turning to
Reform UK. | Huw Fairclough/Getty Images
After May 8, the new system will make coalitions or informal support deals more
necessary to command a Senedd majority.
Morgan declined to say if she would support Plaid’s £400 million-a-year offer to
expand free childcare (which Labour says is unfunded), rather than see it voted
down. “I’m certainly not getting into hypotheticals,” she said. “I’m in this to
win it.”
Her rivals have other ideas.
THE PRESIDENT IS COMING
On the hill above Newport, a two-story presidential-style image of Rhun ap
Iorwerth filled a screen at the International Convention Centre above the words:
“New leadership for Wales.”
The former BBC presenter, who took over Plaid’s leadership in 2023, strained not
to make his February conference look like a premature victory lap. Members
could’ve been fooled. They struggled to find parking. There were more lobbyists;
more journalists.
It is a slow burn for a party founded in 1925, which won its first Westminster
seat in 1966.
Ap Iorwerth ramped up the anti-establishment rhetoric in his conference speech
while Lindsay Whittle, who won Caerphilly for Plaid in October’s by-election,
bellowed: “Rich men from London, we are waiting for you!”
Yet he insists his success is more than a protest vote, a trend sweeping Europe
or a mirror of Reform’s populism.
“I’d like to think that we’re doing something different,” Ap Iorwerth told
POLITICO. While Morgan accuses him of “separatism,” he said: “We have a growing
sense of Welsh nationhood and Welsh identity, at a time when there’s deep
disillusionment in the old guard of U.K. politics and a sense of needing to keep
at bay that populist right wing.”
Ap Iorwerth said there is a “very real danger” that Labour vanishes entirely as
a serious force in the Senedd. “The level of support that they have collapsed to
is a level that most people, probably myself included, could never have imagined
would happen so quickly,” he said.
INDEPENDENCE DAY?
But Plaid faces three big challenges to hold this pole position.
The first is its ground game, stretched thin to cover the new world of
mega-seats.
On the hill above Newport, a two-story presidential-style image of Rhun ap
Iorwerth filled a screen at the International Convention Centre above the words:
“New leadership for Wales.” | Matthew Horwood/Getty Images
The second is to remain distinct from Labour and the insurgent Greens while
running a broad left-leaning platform focused on energy costs, childcare and the
NHS.
The third is to convince unionist voters that Plaid is not simply a Trojan horse
for Welsh independence.
Independence is Plaid’s core belief, yet Ap Iorwerth did not mention the word
once in his speech, instead promising a “standing commission” to look at Wales’
future. He told POLITICO he would rather have a “sustained, engaging, deep
discussion … than try to crash, bang, wallop, towards the line.”
But opponents suggest Plaid will push hard for independence if they win a second
term in 2030 — like the Scottish National Party did after topping elections in
2007 then 2011.
One conference attendee, Emyr Gruffydd, 36, a member for 19 years, said
independence “is going to be part of our agenda in the future, definitely. But I
think nation-building has to be the approach that we take in the first term.”
Savile Roberts accepted that shelving talk of independence (which is still
supported by less than half the Welsh population) is part of a deliberate
strategy to broaden the party’s reach and keep a wide left-leaning appeal. “I
mean, we know the people that we need to appeal to — it is the disenchanted
Labour voters,” she said.
For some shoppers in Newport — not Plaid’s home turf — it may be working. One
ex-Labour voter, Rose Halford, said of Plaid: “All they want to do is make
everybody speak Welsh.” But she’ll consider backing them: “They’re showing a bit
more gumption, aren’t they?”
TAXING QUESTIONS FOR PLAID
If Plaid does win, that’s when the hard part begins.
Ap Iorwerth would seek urgent talks about changing Wales’ funding formula from
Westminster — but cannot say how much this would raise. And Plaid has vowed not
to hike income tax, one of the few (blunt) tax instruments available to the
Welsh government. Strategists looked at the issue before and feared it would
prompt taxpayers to flee over the border to England.
So Plaid promises vague financial “efficiencies” in areas such as child poverty,
where spending exceeded £7 billion since 2022, and health. Whittle said:
“There’s an awful lot of people pen-pushing in the health service. We don’t need
pen-pushers.”
Labour’s attack machine argues that Plaid and Reform UK alike would cut
services. Ap Iorwerth insists his and Farage’s promises are different: “We’re
talking about being effective and efficient.” But he admitted: “You don’t know
the detail until you come into government.”
Ap Iorwerth jettisoned any suggestion that Plaid would introduce universal basic
income, saying it is “not a pledge for government.” He added: “It’s something
that I believe in as a principle. I don’t think we’re in a place where we have
anything like a model that could be put in place now.”
Ap Iorwerth would seek urgent talks about changing Wales’ funding formula from
Westminster — but cannot say how much this would raise. | Matthew Horwood/Getty
Images
The blame game between Cardiff and Westminster will run hot. Ap Iorwerth voiced
outrage this week at a leaked memo from Starmer in December, ordering his
Cabinet to deliver directly in Wales and Scotland “even when devolved
governments may oppose this.”
FARAGE’S WELSH SURGE
And then there’s Reform. Farage’s party has rocketed in the polls since 2024;
typical branch meetings have swelled from a dozen members to several dozen.
Since February, Reform has even had its own leader for Wales — Dan Thomas, a
former Tory councillor in London who says he recently moved back to the area of
Blackwood, in the south Wales valleys.
Some party figures have observed a dip after the Caerphilly by-election, where
Reform came second. Thomas insists: “I don’t think we’ve plateaued” — and even
said there is room to increase a 31 percent vote share from one (optimistic)
poll. “There’s still a Labour vote to squeeze,” he told POLITICO. “We’re
targeting all of Wales.”
It is a measure of Plaid’s success that Reform UK often now presents the
nationalist party as its main competition. “It’s a two-horse race [with Plaid],
that’s what I say on the doors,” said Leanne Dyke, a Reform canvasser who was
drinking in the Pontypridd Wetherspoons.
James Evans, who is now one of Reform’s two Senedd members after he was thrown
out of the Conservative group in January on suspicion of defection talks, argues
his supporters are underrepresented in polling because they are “smeared” as
bigots.
Evans added: “Very similarly to what happened in America when Donald Trump was
elected, I think there is a quiet majority of people out there who do not want
to say they’re voting Reform, who will vote Reform.”
Reform has its own custom-built member app, ReformGo, as it canvasses data on
where its supporters live for the first time. It sent a mass appeal by post to
all registered Welsh voters in late 2025 (before spending limits kicked in).
Welsh campaign director David Thomas is recruiting a brand new slate of 96
candidates, booking hotels for training days with interviews, written exercises
and team-building. Daytime TV presenter Jeremy Kyle has helped with media
training. English officials cross the border to help; Reform still only has
three paid officials in Wales.
FARAGE HAS AN NHS PROBLEM
Lian Walker, a postal worker from the village of Pen-y-graig, would be a prime
target for Reform. “There’s people who I see on the databases, they don’t work,”
she said in Pontpridd’s Patriot pub, “but they get everything; new windows,
earrings, T-shirts, shorts.” She supports Reform’s plans to deport migrants.
But on the NHS, she says of Reform: “They want it to go private like America.”
Labour and Plaid drive this attack line relentlessly. The full picture is more
nuanced — but still exposes a tension between Farage and Thomas.
But Farage has an advantage; the right is less split than the left. | Ben
Birchall/PA Images via Getty Images
While Reform emphasizes it would keep the NHS free at the point of use, Farage
has not ruled out shifting its funding from general taxation to a French-style
insurance model, saying that would be “a national decision ahead of a general
election.”
Thomas, however, broke from this stance. He told POLITICO: “No, no. We rule out
any kind of insurance system or any kind of privatization.” He added: “Nigel’s
also said that devolved issues are down to the Welsh party, and I wouldn’t
consider any kind of insurance-based or private-based system for the Welsh NHS.”
Labour and Plaid are relying on an anti-Reform vote to keep Farage’s party out
of power. Opponents have also highlighted the jailing of Nathan Gill, Reform’s
former Welsh leader, for taking bribes to give pro-Russia interviews and
speeches.
But Farage has an advantage; the right is less split than the left. In Evans’
sprawling rural seat of Brecon and Radnorshire, two people with knowledge of the
Conservative association said its membership had fallen catastrophically from a
recent peak of around 400.
On the other hand, the sheer number of defections makes Reform look more like a
copycat Conservative Party. A former Tory staffer works for Evans; Thomas’ press
officer is the Welsh Conservatives’ former media chief. Evans said last year
that 99 percent of Reform’s policies were “populist rubbish,” but was allowed to
see the policy platform in secret before he agreed to join (and has since
contributed to it).
While the long-time former UKIP and Brexit Party politician Mark Reckless led a
policy consultation in the first half of 2025, former Conservative Welsh
Secretary David Jones — who defected without fanfare last year — played a
hands-on role behind the scenes working up manifesto policies, two people with
knowledge of his work said.
THE NIGEL SHOW
Then there is Reform’s reliance on Farage himself.
The party deliberately left it late before unveiling a Welsh leader, said a
Reform figure in Wales, and chose in Thomas a Welsh figure who would not
“detract from Nigel’s overall umbrella and brand.”
While Welsh officials and politicians worked on the manifesto, Farage himself
was involved in signing it off — as were several others in London, said Evans,
including frontbench spokespeople Robert Jenrick, Suella Braverman and Zia
Yusuf.
Thomas said: “Ultimately, it’s my decision to sign off the manifesto. Of course,
Nigel was consulted because he’s our U.K. leader, and we want to ensure that
what’s going on in Wales is aligned to the broader picture in the UK.”
Reform’s Welsh manifesto promises to cut a penny off every band of income tax by
2030, end Wales’ “nation of sanctuary” plan to support asylum seekers, scrap
20mph road speed limits and upgrade the M4 and A55 highways. But costings have
not been published yet — Reform has sent them to be assessed by the Institute
for Fiscal studies, a nonpartisan think tank — and like other parties, Reform
faces questions about how it will all be paid for.
Asked if Reform would begin work on the M4 and A55 upgrades by 2030, Thomas
replied: “We’d like to. But we all know in this country, infrastructure projects
take a long time.”
While Welsh officials and politicians worked on the manifesto, Farage himself
was involved in signing it off — as were several others in London, said Evans,
including frontbench spokespeople Robert Jenrick, Suella Braverman and Zia
Yusuf. | Huw Fairclough/Getty Images
‘I’VE GOT TO FOCUS ON WHAT I CAN CONTROL’
These harsh realities facing Wales’ would-be rulers are a silver lining for
Labour.
Morgan avoided POLITICO’s question about whether she believes the polls — “I’ve
got to focus on what I can control” — but insisted many voters remain
persuadable. “People will scratch the surface and say [our rivals] are not
ready,” she said.
Alun Michael, who led the first Welsh Labour administration in 1999, said the
idea that the Labour vote has “collapsed completely” is wrong. “It’s always
dangerous to go on opinion polls as a decider of what will happen in an
election,” he said.
Whoever does win will deserve a moment of levity.
If Ap Iorwerth wins the most seats on May 7, he will drink an Aperol spritz;
Thomas will have a glass of Penderyn Welsh whisky.
As for Morgan? She would like a cup of tea — milk, no sugar. Perhaps survival
would be sweet enough.
LONDON — The U.K. government last year awarded contracts worth more than £70,000
to a company headed by the brother of the energy department’s most senior civil
servant.
Three contracts were awarded to Amelio Enterprises to install solar panels on
schools, according to documents acquired under a Freedom of Information
request.
The procurement process was led by the Crown Commercial
Services, an agency inside the Cabinet Office. The funding for each
school, announced by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero in
September 2025, was provided by the government’s publicly-owned clean energy
company Great British Energy (GBE).
GBE — which is funded by DESNZ and of which Ed Miliband, in his role as energy
secretary, is the sole shareholder — has a budget of £8.3 billion to spend on
clean power projects, including nuclear.
Amelio Enterprises was bought by the renewables company Good Energy Group —
headed by chief executive Nigel Pocklington — in October 2024. At the time the
contracts were awarded, his brother, Jeremy Pocklington, was permanent secretary
at DESNZ.
Pocklington was the top official at DESNZ between February 2023 and November
2025, when he left the department to become permanent secretary at the Ministry
of Defence.
He declared his brother’s position at Good Energy on his register of
interests. The register stated that he would “recuse himself from any direct
engagement with Good Energy” as permanent secretary at DESNZ, with any
engagement “delegated to a director general.”
DESNZ did not comment on the record about the procurement process. An official
from the Department for Education said the contracts, issued under government
plans to fund the roll out of solar panels on schools and
hospitals, had complied with U.K. procurement rules.
A spokesperson for Good Energy said: “We strongly reject any suggestion of a
conflict of interest in this contract. The work was awarded following an open,
competitive tender process and assessed against the same objective criteria
applied to all suppliers.”
They added: “Amelio Solar Enterprises had already built a strong track record
delivering solar projects for schools and had secured similar work for several
years before Good Energy acquired the business.”
The contracts awarded to Amelio Solar were part of the latest tranche of
GBE funding to install solar panels on schools and hospitals across the U.K., in
a bid to bring down energy bills in public buildings. DESNZ argues this will
free up cash to be invested back into education and the NHS.
Announcing the grants in September, Miliband said the funding would help schools
and hospitals “save money on its bills, to be reinvested into the frontline,
from textbooks to teachers to medical equipment.”
In the case of the contracts with Amelio Solar, a separate company was appointed
to manufacture the solar panels used.
Herz-Kreislauf-Erkrankungen sind weltweit und damit in den meisten europäischen
Ländern – auch Deutschland – seit Jahren die häufigste Todesursache bei Frauen.
Dennoch wird ihr Risiko oft unterschätzt. Ein Grund dafür: Frauenherzen senden
häufig andere, „leisere“ Signale als die, die wir aus dem klassischen
medizinischen Bild kennen. Viele Frauen erleben keine typischen Brustschmerzen
mit Ausstrahlung in den linken Arm, sondern Symptome wie Rückenschmerzen,
Übelkeit, Atemnot, Erschöpfung oder ein unspezifisches Druckgefühl. Das macht
die Einordnung schwieriger und führt dazu, dass diese Warnzeichen im Alltag
leicht „überhört“ werden.
Herz-Kreislauf-Erkrankungen äußern sich bei Frauen oft anders als bei Männern,
was ihre Diagnose komplexer macht. Hinzu kommt, dass Frauen in kardiologischen
Studien historisch unterrepräsentiert sind. Viele diagnostische Standards wurden
lange auf Basis männlicher Daten entwickelt. Dabei unterscheidet sich der
weibliche Körper stark hinsichtlich des Herz-Kreislauf-Systems: hormonelle
Einflüsse, zusätzliche Risikofaktoren, Krankheitsbilder und Symptome folgen
teilweise eigenen Mustern – und diese Unterschiede sind für Diagnostik und
Therapie entscheidend.
> Herz-Kreislauf-Erkrankungen äußern sich bei Frauen oft anders als bei Männern,
> was ihre Diagnose komplexer macht.
Studien zeigen zudem, dass Frauen bei ähnlicher Symptomatik häufiger
unzureichend diagnostiziert werden als Männer – selbst dann, wenn später ein
Herzinfarkt folgt. Diese Versorgungslücke entsteht nicht nur durch
unterschiedliche Symptomprofile, sondern auch durch Verzögerungen im
Hilfesuchverhalten: Viele Frauen gehen später in die Notaufnahme, weil sie ihre
Beschwerden nicht als herzbezogen erkennen, sie auf Stress zurückführen oder
ihre Angehörigen nicht beunruhigen möchten. Das kostet Zeit – und Zeit kann im
Falle eines Herzinfarkts ein kritischer Faktor sein.
Daten aus der deutschen NAKO-Gesundheitsstudie zeigen, dass sozioökonomische
Faktoren das kardiovaskuläre Risiko von Frauen stärker beeinflussen als das der
Männer. Besonders deutlich wird dies beim Bildungsniveau: Frauen mit niedriger
Bildung haben mehr als dreimal so hohe Chancen, innerhalb von 10 Jahren ein sehr
hohes kardiovaskuläres Risiko zu entwickeln – deutlich stärker ausgeprägt als
bei Männern im gleichen Bildungssegment. Diese Differenz zieht sich durch
mehrere Risikofaktoren wie Bluthochdruck, Übergewicht oder ungünstige
Cholesterinprofile. Für die Praxis kann das bedeuten: Auch soziale Faktoren
können das Herzrisiko von Frauen zusätzlich verstärken, weshalb
niedrigschwellige Aufklärung, verständliche Risikokommunikation- und leicht
zugängliche Untersuchungsangebote eine besonders wichtige Rolle spielen.
Umso wichtiger ist eine gezielte Aufklärung mit klaren, verständlichen
Informationen zu spezifischen Warnzeichen. Community‑based Ansätze –
niedrigschwellig und alltagsnah – haben sich hier als besonders wirksam
erwiesen. Für medizinisches Fachpersonal können strukturierte Checklisten und
regelmäßige Trainings in der Erstversorgung helfen, subtile Hinweise besser zu
erkennen und geschlechterspezifische Unterschiede konsequent zu berücksichtigen.
Zuhören bedeutet in diesem Zusammenhang: Beschwerden ernst nehmen, auch wenn sie
„leise“ sind und nicht dem vertrauten klinischen Bild entsprechen.
Moderne bildgebende Verfahren können eine zentrale Rolle spielen, da sie sowohl
strukturelle Veränderungen der Koronararterien als auch funktionelle Störungen
der Durchblutung des Herzmuskels erfassen können. Während funktionelle Verfahren
Durchblutungsstörungen sichtbar machen, ermöglicht die koronare CT-Angiographie
insbesondere die Visualisierung frühzeitiger Veränderungen und
Risikokonstellationen der Herzkranzgefäße, die im EKG (Elektrokardiogramm) oder
in Blutwerten häufig unauffällig bleiben. Gerade bei Frauen liefert sie wichtige
Hinweise auf nicht-kalzifizierte Plaques und sogenannte nicht-obstruktive Formen
der koronaren Herzkrankheit. Leitlinien betonen daher zunehmend diagnostische
Wege, die Frauen und ihre spezifischen Muster stärker einbeziehen und damit
frühere sowie präzisere Entscheidungen ermöglichen.
> Frauenherzen warnen anders. Sie warnen „leise“. Wenn wir ihre Signale kennen,
> ihnen zuhören, moderne Diagnostik gezielt einsetzen und die Therapie
> personalisieren, können wir viel bewegen.
Auch die interdisziplinäre Zusammenarbeit gewinnt an Bedeutung. Viele
kardiovaskuläre Risiken stehen im Zusammenhang mit hormonell relevanten
Lebensphasen wie Schwangerschaft oder Menopause. In diesen Situationen ist die
interdisziplinäre Zusammenarbeit zwischen den Disziplinen Kardiologie,
Gynäkologie und Endokrinologie besonders wichtig.
Herzgesundheit bei Frauen erfordert ein bewusstes Hinsehen und ein besseres
Verständnis für ihre eigenen Muster. Frauenherzen warnen anders. Sie warnen
„leise“. Wenn wir ihre Signale kennen, ihnen zuhören, moderne Diagnostik gezielt
einsetzen und die Therapie personalisieren, können wir viel bewegen: frühere
Diagnosen, präzisere Entscheidungen und somit eine verbesserte Prognose.
Aufmerksamkeit ist kein Detail. Sie ist der Anfang einer besseren Versorgung –
und der Schlüssel zu mehr Gesundheit.